High expectations ushered President Trump into his second term as supporters claimed a mandate handed down by the people in November. In his first month, Trump enjoyed soaring enthusiasm in the base and escalating concern from his opposition.

Now, hardening polarization on both sides seems to lock sentiment in a narrow channel, preventing President Trump’s support from dipping too low—but also guaranteeing criticism remains vehement.

Voter Views of Trump 2.0

The national mood around President Trump's second term is emotional and tribal. His base—around 30-35% of discussions—remains intensely loyal. They interpret ongoing criticism and decreasing sentiment as confirmation that Trump remains a threat to the establishment. Democrats and “Never Trumpers” have hardened into firm opposition, framing Trump as an existential threat to democratic norms.

A segment of independents and moderates, many of whom have been willing to give Trump chance, may drifting away. Their concerns center on:

• Foreign policy missteps regarding Ukraine, Russia, and China
• Fear of rising prices from tariff policies
• Perceived constitutional overreach

Border security discussion continues to show strong positivity (55-60%), but trade and foreign policy discussions waver around 35-40% positivity.

Trump’s overall sentiment dropped slightly at the beginning of March as wall-to-wall media coverage of tariffs and Russia questioned the administration’s tactics. However, daily online engagement regarding Trump remains high, ranging between 15,000–25,000 posts per day, and sentiment remains steady.

• In the last 30 days, discussions have focused on trade, China, Russia, and the border.
• Over the last 24 hours, President trump has gained support on trade, China, and military topics.

Trump as an Anti-Establishment Figurehead

Large rural counties continue to anchor Trump’s political base. These voters see President Trump as a political leader who is acting as the last real bulwark against cultural, economic, and political collapse driven by urban elites. Their loyalty is intensely personal, and policy outcomes matter less than the fight itself.

This dynamic reinforces cultural and political realignments away from traditional transactional politics toward ideological adherence. Trump's battles against legacy media, bureaucrats, and globalists are the core proof points of authenticity in the eyes of his base. Supporters view every indictment, headline, or poll showing declining national support as a badge of honor.

Media and Moderate Sentiment Erosion

Foreign policy optics around Ukraine and Russia have become an axis of disenchantment. Trump's behavior at the Pope’s Vatican funeral and his unclear stance on Ukraine reinforce critical perceptions that he is unserious, self-interested, and diplomatically dangerous.

Economic pain is another reason for cooling enthusiasm among moderates and swing voters. Tariff-driven price increases on food, housing, and imported goods cause concern for all who are uncertain of Trump's economic strategy and its consequences. However, economic sentiment remains relatively strong compared to Russia-Ukraine sentiment.

Constitutional concerns among critics also surge. Aggressive executive orders, deportations billed as “without due process,” and talk of arresting judges and politicians like Adam Schiff turn some swing voters from skepticism to active opposition. Broken grand promises, like ending the Ukraine war in 24 hours, now serve as symbolic proof that the administration's rhetoric has outpaced its competence.

The Role of Media in Shaping Polarization

Media narratives accelerate negativity, showcasing concerns and fears for daily news consumers and penetrating less political voters over time. Within Trump’s base, negative media coverage is a validation that he is fighting hostile interests. For many independents and critics, sustained negative media coverage intensifies distrust.

This dynamic is captured in the media trust levels among key voter groups:

Trump loyalists treat negative press as a feature, not a bug. Critics and independents, however, increasingly trust the media narrative that Trump's leadership threatens constitutional norms and American credibility abroad.

Opportunities for Shoring Up the Middle

With rapid and major changes sweeping across the first 100 days of Trump 2.0, it’s still possible to stabilize support outside of Trump’s core base. An imminent resolution to the Ukraine-Russia conflict and staying away from perceptions of capitulation to Russia could help quell fears.

Delivering visible economic relief—particularly through stable consumer prices and middle-class tax relief—would also restore credibility among swing voters. Public reaffirmation of constitutional norms, even symbolic, could blunt accusations of authoritarianism.

Bringing forward newer, disciplined administrative figures could help project stability without requiring Trump to alter his personal style. However, the cultural emotional drift away from Trump among independents may also be tied to political disengagement.

Strategic Outlook

Maximizing loyalty among rural and populist voters while urgently stemming defections among suburban and independent moderates will continue to normalize the new political paradigm. Despite continuous negative coverage, strong support from the American people on critical issues like the border and the cultural war forces the media and democrats to moderate.

Rather than changing policy positions or rhetorically pursuing outlier support, positive results will continue to move the needle for Trump 2.0. The media environment, shaped by identity-driven narratives, will continue to magnify both Trump's successes and failures. Relying on media mistrust alone is insufficient to build credibility outside of the MAGA base.

The Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI), who fashion themselves as a “neutral and independent organization” published a viral analysis asserting the expression “Christ is King” is used as an antisemitic tool. Conspicuously, it did not discuss the term as anti-Islamic, anti-Hindu, etc. The analysis, created by non-Christians, began firestorm of discourse.

Some say ideological agendas seize symbols, redefine, and weaponize them. They say "Christ is King" has moved from a self-assured declaration of faith to a front in the battle over linguistic sovereignty. Some Christians say this was not a spontaneous linguistic shift, but an engineered moment designed to reframe and control perception.

Online commentary prior to the NCRI report shows "Christ is King" operated primarily as a marker of religious and cultural affirmation. After the report, the phrase has mutated into a cultural rallying cry, a reactionary invocation against perceived ideological incursion.

"Christ is King" Before the NCRI Report

Prior to the report, approximately 80% of users who employed "Christ is King" did so as a straightforward assertion of Christian identity, its meaning self-evident, its function unquestioned. It was an anchor in tradition, a direct reference to religious sovereignty. Only 20% of discourse engaged with the possibility that the phrase carried exclusionary overtones, and even these discussions remained largely academic.

Pre-NCRI, the phrase was more initiatory than reactionary with 50% of uses proactively established identity rather than responding to external criticism. The remaining 35% appeared in reactive settings, though even here, the response was more cultural than defensive. It linked to an assertion of historical Christian roots rather than an attack on perceived adversaries.

Prior to the report, people used the phrase within a framework of historical continuity and national identity or as a reminder of religious dominance within Western civilization. Even among non-Christian observers, there was some recognition of this permanence as 30% saw the phrase as relatively neutral, while 60% found it implicitly exclusionary—a far cry from the intensification that would follow.

• 80% of discourse featured strong, capitalized syntax—CHRIST IS KING!—structured around a traditionalist, normative logic.
• 75% of discussions framed the as cultural, reinforcing the narrative of an unbroken Christian order.
• 50% of discussions mentioned political aspects, but these were more gestural than hostile.
• 20% tied the phrase to economic discourse, positioning Christian heritage as intertwined with economic structures that preserve traditionalist communities.

"Christ is King" Post-NCRI Report

Once the NCRI framed "Christ is King" as an antisemitic dog whistle, the phrase no longer belonged solely to its original users. It became a site of conflict, its meaning subjected to the forces of ideological subjugation and countersubversion.

Now, only 60% of commentators define "Christ is King" as purely pro-Christian, a decline from pre-report sentiment. Meanwhile, the number of those who see it as exclusionary rose to 25-40%, depending on the dataset, with much of this shift occurring in academic and media-critical circles. The phrase has become unstable as some attempt to extract hostile intent from its mere utterance.

The shift in usage is stark:

• The proportion of reactive uses skyrocketed to 70-80%, with the phrase now deployed as a direct response to ideological policing.
• The language is aggressive, defensive, and sarcastic. 60-70% of discussions have tones of resentment and defiance, casting critics as "elitist" or "out of touch."
• Post-report narratives shift toward populist opposition to establishment forces—55% of discourse now follows this logic.
• Political usage expanded from 50% to 55%, with explicit anti-progressive sentiment woven into the debate.
• 20% of comments now frame the phrase in terms of taxpayer-funded ideological control, positioning the NCRI’s interpretation as a campaign against religious conservatism.

The meaning of "Christ is King" has become a contested artifact, shifting in response to pressure.

NCRI asserts “Christ is King” peaked at Catholicism’s Easter in 2024, which Google search trends also indicate. The report says, “shockingly, the most associated word to go along with ‘Christ is King’ was the word: Jew.” While the NCRI data and methodology is not replicable, “Catholic” and “Orthodox,” the two most traditional Christian denominations, also regularly use “Christ is King” and appear to outpace the phrase. April 20, 2025, is Easter for both Catholics and Orthodox, so the usage of “Christ is King” is likely to outpace previous years.

Further Examination and Expansion

Many commenters also took direct offense at the NCRI production being from a non-Christian perspective. Of note, Jordan Peterson positioned himself against numerous well-known Catholics, including Candace Owens. Peterson quoted Jesus Christ with “A warning: Not everyone who says ‘Lord, Lord’ will enter the Kingdom of Heaven” (Matthew 7:21). Peterson has been accused previously of not only usurping Christianity but also wearing it like a jacket, literally.

The narcissists, hedonists and psychopaths occupy the fringes, wherever they can obtain power and, using God's name, attempt to subvert the power of the divine to their own devices. A warning: Not everyone who says "Lord, Lord" will enter the Kingdom of Heaven. https://t.co/essOv0VkDp

— Dr Jordan B Peterson (@jordanbpeterson) March 13, 2025

Some of Peterson’s jackets include Eastern Orthodox icons and symbols like:

• ЦАРЬ СЛАВЫ (Tsar Slavi, King of Glory)
• The Crown of Thorns adorning the Cross

Peterson’s other Orthodox-inspired jacket include images of icons with the Virgin Mary depicted with a light blue background. In iconography, light blue is the color of Heaven and the Virgin Mary (known as the Theotokos, or God-Bearer). Another title is Queen of Heaven, with her Son being the King. Pictured here with Peterson is Ashley St. Clair, a Jewish woman. Events such as these are often pointed to as clear hypocrisy and attempting to usurp Christianity for the aesthetics while not understanding it.

"Christ is King" is moving toward full ideological entrenchment. Prior to NCRI’s involvement, it was primarily religious. Now, it has been politicized. This shift follows a familiar pattern:

• The Establishment (NCRI, media, academic circles) identifies a phrase as problematic.
• The Accusation becomes a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy—the phrase is now deployed because it has been attacked.
• The Reaction escalates beyond the original controversy, turning into a metapolitical struggle over language itself.

In the end, language does not remain neutral when placed under interrogation. "Christ is King" has been set on a trajectory toward entrenchment and defiance, an unrelenting pushback against semantic colonization. What was once an affirmation of divine sovereignty is now a battlefield in the ongoing struggle over who controls the lexicon of power. Whether that control succeeds—or whether the phrase transcends the imposed definition—will define the next phase of this linguistic insurgency.

Donald Trump’s return to the White House has reignited Republican enthusiasm and quieted many old criticisms from Democrats and Independents. His first month back has been a firehose of executive actions, foreign policy moves, and empowering border security.

Voter sentiment is high, with strongest sentiment among Republicans, rising among independents, and still strong opposition among Democrats—apart from immigration. While many Democrats remain staunchly opposed, particularly on things like foreign policy and federal budget cuts, overall national sentiment is steadily positive.

Top Issues in National Discourse

Trump’s early policy moves daily shape the national conversation. MIG Reports data for online engagement and voter discussion show five dominant topics:

• Economy and Federal Spending – Tax reform, budget cuts with DOGE, and restructuring federal agencies.
• Border Security – Crackdowns on illegal immigration, sanctuary funding restrictions, and deportation policies.
• Foreign Policy – Trump’s approach to Ukraine, Israel, and military readiness.
• Cultural Issues – LGBTQ and DEI policy rollbacks and the battle over education and parental rights.
• Institutional Distrust – Growing anger at legacy media, intelligence agencies, and the federal bureaucracy.

Immigration

Around 32% of discussions about the Trump administration focus on immigration.

• Most Americans express support for Trump's stringent immigration measures.
• Supporters say his policies are necessary for national security and stopping illegal entries.
• They praise the administration designating cartels as terrorist organizations.

Voters who prioritize law and order voice gratitude for measures Trump has taken to curb the influx of illegal immigrants. However, a counter-narrative exists with critics lamenting the impact strict policies might have on migrants and criticizing funding cuts for social programs.

Economy and Taxation

Roughly 25% of the conversation is about the economy and taxes.

• Trump supporters laud his plan to cut taxes and eliminate wasteful federal spending.
• Voters see these moves as beneficial for average citizens rather than the political class.
• Many express optimism about a return to more business-friendly policies and economic recovery.

Critics challenge the sustainability of tax cuts and budget cutting policies, especially regarding federal employees and programs like Medicaid and veterans’ benefits.

Foreign Policy

International relations, particularly regarding Ukraine and Israel, represent 16% of the discussion.

• Trump's stance on Ukraine ignites heated debate, with critics saying he’s betraying an ally.
• Supporters say cutting aid will halt wasteful or corrupt spending and draw the U.S. back from perpetual involvement.
• Critics accuse Trump of capitulating to authoritarian regimes, causing his foreign policy to be one of the most divisive topics.

LGBTQ and DEI

Around 14% of the discussion is about LGBTQ rights, catalyzed by recent executive orders and school policies regarding women's sports and DEI.

• Supporters voice strong approval for Trump's actions, framing them as a reclamation of traditional values.
• They say banning DEI and men in women’s sports is a necessary check on liberal overreach in education and other sectors.
• Trump’s policies have generated rising sentiment among conservatives who also speak positively about defunding the Department of Education.

Republican Sentiment

Republicans overwhelmingly support Trump’s policies, negating the hopes of many Democrats who believe the base will abandon him.

I agree with Carville that we're about a month or so away from a larger collapse in Trump's support. They badly misjudged why they won the election—grievance politics isn’t a viable governing strategy. Most Americans don’t like what they’re seeing from Washington right now.…

— Mike Nellis (@MikeNellis) February 23, 2025

Economic Policy

• 63% of Republicans express strong approval for Trump’s efforts to cut government waste and reduce spending.
• 37% worry over the potential impacts on veterans’ programs and essential services.

Border Security

• 75% support Trump’s border policies, citing reduced illegal crossings and restored national sovereignty.
• 25% question the humanitarian consequences and long-term effects on labor markets.

Foreign Policy

• 68% approve of Trump’s pro-Israel and anti-Hamas stance.
• 32% are less critical of Trump than negative about the financial burden of continued foreign aid.

Republicans remain deeply invested in the Trump administration’s success, but some factions are beginning to question the balance between aggressive policy action and sustainable governance.

Democratic Sentiment

Among Democrats, opposition is as fierce as expected, but divisions are emerging.

Economic Policy

• 56% of Democrats view Trump’s tax cuts as disproportionately favoring the wealthy.
• 44% hope tariff policies and tax cuts will be an advantage for the U.S. economy.

National Security

• 70% express concern over military budget cuts and leadership reshuffling.
• 30% are open to Trump’s negotiation tactics, particularly those who support Israel.

Immigration

• 54% oppose Trump’s border policies, labeling them draconian.
• 46% support Trump’s border crackdown, agreeing it is time to shore up the border.

The party remains unified in its rejection of Trump’s agenda, but internal disagreements about Israel-Palestine and growing support for Republican immigrations policies suggest fractures continue to cause friction in a disillusioned party.

Independent Sentiment

Independents are split, with notable divisions across key policy areas but with immigration remaining the top issue.

Immigration

• 65% support Trump’s crackdown on benefits for illegal immigrants.
• 35% worry about humanitarian consequences.

Foreign Policy

• 55% are skeptical of Trump’s stance on Ukraine, fearing weakened alliances.
• 45% see it as a necessary recalibration of U.S. commitments.

Economic Policy

• 70% express concern over tax cuts that disproportionately benefit the wealthy.
• 30% believe they will stimulate economic growth.

Independents remain policy-focused rather than ideological, evaluating Trump’s moves based on impact rather than partisanship. Their skepticism toward both major parties continues to grow, but they remain solidly in support of Trump’s border policies.

Looking Forward

Trump’s first month has reinforced the existing political divide, though most Americans are warming to his border policies. His base remains energized, while Democrats increasingly express demoralization and resignation. Independents remain wary, but many align with Trump on immigration and defunding wasteful federal programs.

• Staying strong on the border is likely the highest priority as an extremely popular, bipartisan issue.
• Showing results on the economy will continue to draw independent and Democratic sentiment up.
• Deescalating foreign conflict and reducing U.S. involvement will also likely continue to increase overall sentiment.

Public sentiment toward non-governmental organizations (NGOs) is sparking fierce disagreements over immigration, governance, and institutional trust. Americans once viewed NGOs as humanitarian entities, but now they’re at the center of a political and cultural conflict.

Some view them as corrupt extensions of elite influence and the other sees them as essential forces for global stability. MIG Reports data captures this growing divide, revealing policy disagreements and fracture on leadership and international responsibility.

USAID was funding over 6,200 journalists across 707 media outlets and 279 "media" NGOs, including nine out of ten media outlets in Ukraine.https://t.co/tLUoBT2GfNhttps://t.co/Siq2RJOXQf pic.twitter.com/LyaUFuq3He

— WikiLeaks (@wikileaks) February 6, 2025

NGOs, a Political Battleground

The dominant narrative in discussions is one of intense skepticism toward NGOs, particularly among Trump-aligned voters. The most explosive allegations center around beliefs that these organizations are complicit in facilitating illegal immigration and even human trafficking.

Many allege they benefit from billions in taxpayer dollars funneled through USAID. The claim that a single NGO receives $600 million every two months has fueled widespread outrage, reinforcing the idea that public resources are being siphoned away from American citizens to support what critics call a orchestrated invasion. Voters want audits, defunding, and criminal investigations, with many viewing NGOs as an extension of a broader, corrupt political ecosystem.

Opponents of Trump push back by emphasizing the humanitarian role of these organizations. They say dismantling them would cause human suffering, weaken America’s global standing, and create diplomatic crises. However, these defenses struggle to break through in a climate where anti-NGO sentiment has gained significant traction.

How did we get to the point where America is sending taxpayer dollars all over the world to NGOs that undermine religious freedom?

That is not what protecting religious liberty looks like, and it ends with this administration. pic.twitter.com/YVBxqoybUo

— JD Vance (@JDVance) February 5, 2025

Echo Chambers Stifle Debate

Rather than a structured policy discussion, the discourse is largely ideological. Trump supporters overwhelmingly frame his actions regarding USAID and funding NGOs as protective, portraying NGOs as hostile to national interests. Critics say his policies are reckless and cynical. There is no real dialogue happening—just competing narratives.

Around 70% of comments contain logical fallacies, ranging from ad hominem attacks to exaggerated slippery slope claims. Some accuse Trump critics of suddenly caring about Palestinian issues only because of their opposition to his foreign policy, dismissing the broader complexities of Middle Eastern geopolitics. Opposition accuses Trump’s base of blindly following a leader who disregards humanitarian obligations.

Only 30% of the discourse engages around policy impacts. Meaningful discussions are largely drowned out by partisan rhetoric. This creates a climate where positions are reinforced rather than challenged, discouraging resolution.

Americans are discussing recent news about USAID funding, perceiving the agency as a tool for leftist and globalists causes and institutions. Public discussion increases in volume while dragging down sentiment toward NGOs. Similarly, with efforts led by President Trump and DOGE, sentiment rebounds as Trump 2.0 focuses on ending corrupt systems and practices.

The Rise of Reflexive Distrust

There is also an increasing presence of immediate and negative narratives regarding NGOs. Trump’s base frequently frames these organizations as fronts for illicit activities, claiming they serve as vehicles for "elite money laundering" or backdoor influence operations for the Democratic Party. Memes and mockery are emerging as shorthand for a shadowy network of political figures profiting from these alleged schemes.

Opposition voices counter these claims by emphasizing the historical necessity of NGOs in global crisis response. However, their arguments often rely on emotional appeals rather than evidence debunking corruption claims. Both sides talk past each other, reinforcing their own versions of reality rather than confronting competing perspectives.

The Save the Children charity that’s been raided by authorities and under investigation for child sex trafficking received $534 million of the taxpayers’ money in the fiscal year 2023.

Your hard-earned money is going to NGOs that are facilitating or directly sex trafficking… https://t.co/xrGytKPTwO pic.twitter.com/SaRh4U24Xu

— LIZ CROKIN (@LizCrokin) January 26, 2025

Demographic and Ideological Divides

• Pro-Trump Sentiment (60%): Predominantly older, white, working-class, and rural. This group views NGOs as corrupt institutions undermining American values, particularly in relation to immigration and global governance.
• Anti-Trump Sentiment (20%): Younger, urban, diverse, and more likely to support social justice movements. This group sees NGOs as a necessary component of global stability and warns of humanitarian fallout from Trump’s policies.
• Inquisitive/Disengaged (20%): Some are skeptical of both narratives, often asking for clarification or expressing doubts about the extreme positions dominating the discussion.

Neglected Issues in the Debate

Despite the intensity of these conversations, certain key issues are not being meaningfully addressed. There is little focus on:

• The legal implications of Trump's NGO-related policies.
• The impact on foreign aid and diplomatic relationships.
• The role of traditional media in shaping narratives around NGOs.

Instead, the conversation repeatedly circles ideological battles rather than specific policy consequences, leaving crucial aspects of the issue unexplored.

Predictive Trends

As discussions continue, the following trends are likely to intensify:

• Escalating Division: Expect increased hostility between pro- and anti-NGO voices, especially as the Trump administration amplifies narratives around immigration and government corruption.
• Shift Toward Extremes: Radicalized views are gaining traction, pushing moderate perspectives to the margins and making compromise increasingly unlikely.
• Potential for NGO Alternatives: With mainstream NGOs under fire, there may be a rise in new organizations emphasizing transparency and local empowerment, attempting to fill the space left by declining public trust.

NGOs were invented to allow the government to do all the things it's not allowed to do.

They are a direct counter to the concept of limited government designed in the Constitution, and all NGOs should be outlawed.

— unseen1 (@unseen1_unseen) February 1, 2025

Fear and rumors about the potential of overturning of Obergefell v. Hodges in the wake of Roe v. Wade being overturned causes concern among many Americans. The landmark 2015 Supreme Court decision that legalized same-sex marriage in the United States has the potential to become a contentious partisan issue as Trump takes his second term with a conservative majority Supreme Court.

Concerns about the future of same-sex marriage are emerging, creating debates about civil rights, states’ rights, and judicial overreach. While many are firmly opposed to reversing Obergefell, there is not an overwhelming majority and there may be significant opportunities to influence voter sentiment.

Sentiment on Overturning Obergefell

MIG Reports data shows partisan division on overturning Obergefell, shifting the conversation around same-sex marriage from a question of legal rights to debates about the role of the judiciary, individual liberties, and federalism.

37% Oppose Overturning Obergefell

A slight majority of online discussion voices strong opposition to any move by SCOTUS to reverse Obergefell. They focus on equal rights and say overturning it would be a severe setback for civil liberties and societal progress.

Concerns about broader attacks on LGBTQ rights and protections are prevalent among critics. Many argue reversing gay marriage would facilitate eroding individual rights, as they say Roe v. Wade has done.

25% Support Overturning Obergefell

A strong minority voice support for the idea of overturning Obergefell. They argue a reversal aligns with states’ rights and preserving religious freedoms. They say marriage should be defined by individual states, reflecting local values and beliefs rather than a federal mandate—which many say is unconstitutional.

There is frustration with perceived judicial overreach in legalizing same-sex marriage, saying the issue should be returned to the states. There are some who argue gay marriage should not be legal at all. However, there is significant debate about federalism versus morality among conservatives.

20% Religious and Anti-State Views

A significant group calls for a complete restructuring of marriage laws. These views are more anti-state. They don’t just want to repeal Obergefell but also challenge the very concept of marriage as a legal institution.

This group frames their arguments within societal norms, often advocating for a return to traditional, religiously rooted family structures. Many here express moral objections to same-sex marriage. When combined with those who focus only on the legal battle, potential support for repealing Obergefell could be as high as 45%.

33% are Ambivalent or Uncertain

The neutral or uncertain stance on the issue is significant in discussions. This group has mixed views about the implications of overturning Obergefell. While they may not be entirely against or in favor, many are concerned about the societal and personal implications it would create—particularly for gay couples already married.

Uncertainty is driven by a desire for further dialogue and a deeper understanding of how a reversal might impact both marriage equality and LGBTQ rights overall. This portion of the electorate maybe be a persuadable group, open to messaging that presents the issue in a balanced but legally grounded context.

Targeting Persuadable Voters

Understanding which voter segments are open to persuasion is crucial for shaping effective messaging.

Moderates and Independents

• These voters are typically not committed to either side but are generally receptive to arguments grounded in judicial neutrality and local control.
• They value pragmatic solutions, and a message emphasizing states’ rights and judicial restraint could resonate with them.
• Many are not ideologically tied to either progressive or conservative values, making them more open to arguments about personal freedom and federalism.

Disenchanted Conservatives

• Many in the conservative base feel alienated by the mainstream political establishment, particularly when it comes to imposed values.
• These voters, while perhaps not outright hostile to same-sex marriage, are more likely to view the issue as judicial overreach by the left.
• Messages advocating for a return to the Constitution’s original intent, focusing on local governance and cultural influence, may appeal to this group.
• Wary of federal mandates, they may support returning decisions to the states to preserve geographical pockets with traditional conservative values.

Rhetorical Drivers for Reversing Obergefell

Supporters of reversing Obergefell use a reactionary rhetorical framework, using historical references, emotional appeals, and highlighting disillusionment with the judiciary.

• Historical Framing: Supporters draw parallels to past judicial decisions, like Roe v. Wade, positioning Obergefell as similarly unconstitutional and ideologically driven.
• Emotional Appeals: Terms like "traitor" and "betrayal" are used to describe justices perceived as betraying traditional values.
• Disillusionment: Skepticism of the Court's role in safeguarding civil liberties drives discussion. Many say the courts, including SCOTUS, can become a political tool.
• Reactionary Sentiment: Critics say prioritizing LGBTQ initiatives in governance, such as public appointments based on DEI, detracts from more important issues.

National Messaging Approach

The issue of same-sex marriage and overturning Obergefell can be framed as part of a social and legal reckoning following pushback against progressive and woke policies.

• Judicial Fairness: Advocate for a judiciary that upholds the rule of law and ensures decisions are based on legal principles, not political agendas. A message that positions overturning Obergefell as a return to constitutional norms will resonate with conservative and independent voters.
• Legal and Social Stability: Connect the consistency of legal decisions to social and legal fabric of society, maintaining both individual freedom and rule of law. Argue that Obergefell was a judicial overreach, regardless of personal views on gay marriage.
• Voter Trust: Focus on the importance of depoliticized SCOTUS rulings. Emphasize that Obergefell was decided by a politically motivated court rather than by legislative consensus. It is essential to communicate that returning marriage decisions to the states is in line with constitutional principles.

American culture and politics are undergoing a seismic transformation. Many Americans express disillusionment, a demand for justice, and a sense of alienation from a country they no longer recognize. MIG Reports analysis reveals an ongoing struggle to reconcile evolving societal norms with traditional values.

My illusion that America was what I thought it was has been gone for years now. Every major city is getting gross, crime is rising, theft is common, Big Pharma controls both parties with the good cop/bad cop routine, the food is toxic, everyone is addicted to pills, the…

— An0maly (@LegendaryEnergy) May 31, 2024

Disillusionment

• 60% express frustration with political hypocrisy, highlighting institutional decay as a root cause of societal unease.

The widespread erosion of trust in leadership and public institutions is spearheading national sentiment. Across the ideological spectrum, many perceive the justice system and political mechanisms as biased or manipulated by elites for personal gain.

Disillusionment fosters cynicism about the legitimacy of governance, with Americans citing recent events, corruption revelations, and systemic failures as evidence.

Political Partisanship

• 45-50% of discussions have a tribal dynamic, casting one’s own side as defenders of justice and the opposition as harbingers of decay.

The hyper-partisan nature of online discourse perpetuates the divide between ideological camps. Many frame societal issues in binary terms, focusing less on solutions and more on condemning opposing factions. Loyalty to one’s party is often equated with moral integrity, furthering division.

Losing Traditional Values

• 40% of discussions lament the perceived erosion of familiar values, equating this shift with broader societal decline.

Americans want to preserve or restore traditional American values. Many view cultural changes, such as shifts in education or diversity initiatives, as undermining the moral and societal foundations of the nation. The rapid pace of these changes exacerbates feelings of alienation.

Justice and Corruption

• 47% worry about accountability and the erosion of legal integrity, framing these issues as emblematic of a failing system.

The conversation often circles back to issues of fairness and accountability. Many feel that justice is selectively applied, favoring powerful figures while ordinary citizens face harsher consequences. This perceived imbalance fuels narratives of systemic corruption and demands for transparency.

Identity Crisis and Alienation

• 65% of discussions touch on American identity, with feelings of disconnection and a desire to clarify what defines the nation.

Americans increasing talk about, "not recognizing America." This reflects a deeper identity crisis, grappling with rapid cultural and political shifts. Generational divides and ideological conflicts further intensify this alienation, with many struggling to reconcile their vision of America with its evolving reality.

Take note of the people on the street cheering him on—this kind of behavior is why we have boarded-up towns across America.

In just 48 days things will change… pic.twitter.com/6f4g1PrPb7

— Civil Disco (@Civil_Disco) December 3, 2024

Emotional Complexity

Some discussions are more introspective and emotionally complex. There are tensions between personal sympathies and ethical expectations, particularly when discussing issues like political favoritism or perceived injustices.

For example, familial loyalty versus public morality emerges as a recurring theme. Many grapples with progressive social and moral obligations which place pressure on traditional family norms and relationships.

Divisive Media

Media narratives play a significant role in shaping these discussions. Many distrust media coverage, questioning its accuracy and the motivations of legacy institutions. This distrust exacerbates divisions, as echo chambers reinforce pre-existing biases and narratives.

Historical Analogies

Some discuss historical comparisons, likening current frustrations to the revolutionary sentiments of America’s founding. This creates a desire for systemic change, often described in terms of a moral or political revival.

Asians de-assimilate. The first generation is much more positive about America than their kids are, and older groups (eg Vietnamese) are more pro-America than newer ones (eg Indians). Every political issue with Asians gets worse with time by default, not better. pic.twitter.com/GZx7t7K7Iv

— arctotherium (@arctotherium42) September 29, 2024

Reasons Behind the Trends

Political and Cultural Shifts

The rapid evolution of progressive norms—particularly around issues of justice, race, and gender—provokes strong reactions from those who see these changes as undermining traditional values. For many, this woke transformation represents not progress but erosion.

Polarized Media Ecosystem

Partisan media amplifies ideological divides, creating echo chambers that reinforce existing narratives. As a result, discussions often focus on critiquing the "other side" rather than engaging in constructive dialogue.

Perceived Elitism

Americans increasingly believe the system is manipulated by elites for their own benefit, deepening feelings of disillusionment. Many view this as evidence of a broader societal failure, where the average citizen’s concerns are ignored in favor of maintaining power structures.

The redesign of American society over the last 15 years in basically every sphere of life was purposely done to remove your sense of connection with places and things as a reset for the new world they are manufacturing.

Every rebrand, every corporate redesign, Every new…

— Paul (@WomanDefiner) August 14, 2024

This Thanksgiving, as families across the country gather around the table, there are signs of profound cultural and social shifts. The nuclear family, once central to American life, has become the subject of intense public debate, sparking both concern and hope.

Tectonic shifts in the cultural milieu resonate particularly during the holiday season, a time traditionally associated with family unity, reflection, and shared values. Yet, in many households, the reality of strained family dynamics and political division casts a shadow over the celebrations.

MSNBC host Joy Reid: Stay away from pro Trump family members since they ENDED democracy, may turn you in pic.twitter.com/3v1UGKeSdT

— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) November 22, 2024

A Holiday at Odds with Itself

Thanksgiving has long symbolized the ideals of togetherness and gratitude. However, as political polarization deepens, traditional ideals are increasingly tested.

• Many Americans report tension at family gatherings, where differing political beliefs create tense conversations
• Rifts at times overshadow familial bonds, causing strife and alienation.
• Online, Americans discuss the holiday season as becoming a battleground of ideological clashes and a fragmenting of traditional family structures.

Family conflicts are exacerbated by the ongoing breakdown of traditional family structures. The rise in single-parent households, declining marriage rates, declining fertility rates, and an emphasis on friends over familial interdependence contribute to a sense of social fragmentation.

The Decline of the Nuclear Family

The nuclear family—long a symbol of stability and continuity—faces significant changes in modern society. Many say contributing factors include:

• Marriage rates dropping
• Fertility rates at historic lows
• Nontraditional families becoming increasingly common
• Millennials and younger people prioritizing careers and independence over family

Many Americans attribute these changes to progressive ideologies that challenge traditional gender roles and redefine family.

• Some on the left view these shifts as positive and inclusive.
• Others express concern they undermine social cohesion and stability provided by the nuclear family.
• Online conversations highlight the consequences of these trends on societal well-being, mental health, and social atomization.

Economic and Social Pressures

Economic realities further complicate the picture.

• People cite rising costs of housing, childcare, and education as a hinderance to family formation for younger generations.
• For many, the financial burden of raising children or supporting extended family members adds to the stress of an already fragmented environment.
• Mental health challenges also exacerbate feelings of isolation and societal pressures, creating barriers to family building.

During Thanksgiving, these issues often become more pronounced, highlighting the struggles people face in modern life.

Polarization at the Table

Political division has also become a defining feature of the modern holiday experience.

• Families with differing ideological perspectives often struggle to find common ground, leading to heated debates or estrangement.
• Discussions around immigration, social justice, or economic policy frequently spill into personal relationships.

This polarization challenges the traditional role of holidays as a unifying force. Many Americans express nostalgia for a time when political differences could be set aside during family gatherings.

My parents are MSNBC liberals who think Trump is a paid Kremlin asset.

I’m ultra MAGA.

Know what Thanksgiving will be like this year?

.

.

It will be great, because we’re normal people who love our family more than we care about politics.

It’s not that hard, folks.

— Robert Sterling (@RobertMSterling) November 11, 2024

A Cultural Renewal in Progress

Amid these challenges, there are signs of a cultural reevaluation.

• A growing number of Americans are advocating for a return to family-centered values, viewing the nuclear family as a stabilizing force in society.
• Grassroots movements, faith-based initiatives, and a conservative resurgence are championing family and rebuilding community ties.

With cultural tides turning, many express hope for a return to traditional norms. They say America has rejected progressive, woke ideology. Many also claim these social movements are to blame for social isolation and mental health crises. Returning to core American values and building families, many say, could be on the horizon with a right leaning cultural renaissance.

On Election Day, polls are all over the place and electoral vote predictions are murkier than ever. According to MIG Reports data driven by AI and online voter discussion, Trump is leading in the most critical battleground states.

• Overall, data suggests Trump has 53% support nationally to Harris’s 45% support.
• In battleground states, Trump leads everywhere except Virginia and Minnesota, with his largest lead in Arizona at +9 and Nevada at +8.

Trump’s Base is Energized

Donald Trump’s supporters are resolute and mobilized to vote. The core of Trump’s appeal lies in his promises of economic recovery, traditional values, and an assertive national defense policy.

GOP messaging consistently underscores Biden-Harris's economic failings, especially inflation, which feel as eroding American family budgets. In daily discussions, Trump leads Harris in both volume and sentiment.

Top Voter Topics

• Economy: Voters want Trump’s economic policies, citing poor financial situations in the last four years.
• Traditional Values: Americans want a resurgence of traditional cultural values, particularly rejecting progressive values like identity politics and woke ideology.
• Border: Trump’s firm stance on border security continues to energize voters who want to prioritize Americans over illegal immigrants.
• National Security: Many express greater confidence in Trump’s ability to handle foreign nations and prevent world conflict in places like the Middle East and Russia.

Harris Struggling to Mobilize Beyond Her Base

Kamala Harris enters Election Day facing significant hurdles. While she has managed to secure strong support within progressive circles, her campaign faces resistance from moderate and undecided voters.

Critical Discussions

• Economic Concerns: Many voters say the Biden-Harris administration drastically worsened the economy. They feel rising costs of living particularly hurt Democratic appeal among working-class voters.
• Leadership: Harris critics cite her lack of achievements, inability to articulate a clear vision, and her failure to deftly handle tough questions as indicative of insufficient leadership qualities.
• Government Overreach: Harris’s stance on social justice and progressive policies, particularly regarding lawfare and proposed price controls, alienates moderates who worry about governmental overreach.

Gender Dynamics

Gender divisions play a critical role in this election. Women appear notably energized, primarily driven by abortion and healthcare access. Early reports suggest women are expected to outnumber men at the polls—though how many will vote Harris versus Trump remains to be seen.

Men are focused on economic stability and traditional values, expressing concern about rising inflation and a deterioration of trust in American institutions.

Voter Turnout Trends

• Women: Around 75% of online discussions among women focus on social justice, abortion, and healthcare.
• Men: Around 65% of discussions among men are motivated by economic conservatism and national security.

Donald Trump’s appearance at a Pittsburgh Steelers game, with support from former players Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown, sparked intense discussions across social media. The intersection of sports and politics, combined with Trump's polarizing presence, generated fervent support and harsh criticism.

Something truly beautiful is happening in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania right now. Former Steelers Legends Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell are registering hundreds of new Trump voters

The culture is with Trump all the way this time.
pic.twitter.com/U4BoCgTM1n

— George (@BehizyTweets) October 20, 2024

However, reaction may also point to a hidden or silent vote, quietly aligning with Trump’s values and leadership without engaging in the volatile public discourse.

President @realDonaldTrump arrives at Acrisure Stadium to chants of U-S-A! 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/TaVUjTDuT9

— Margo Martin (@margommartin) October 21, 2024

Polarization in Public Discourse

Voter conversations online are polarized about Trump’s connection with the Steelers. Sentiment trends demonstrate a split between those who view Trump as a symbol of traditional American values and those who see his involvement in sports as problematic.

Some also point out that television coverage of Trump at the Steelers game was extremely limited, showing only a few seconds of him on the Sunday Night Football broadcast. However, viral social media videos show the crowd loudly and enthusiastically cheering, “USA, USA, USA,” as Trump waved down from his box seats.

Actual footage of the Steelers game tonight NBC won’t show you. pic.twitter.com/iK35jYAiDc

— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) October 21, 2024

The implication may be that—while online conversations are highly polarized, real-life voters are charged for Trump’s patriotic message. Thousands of fans cheering in a football stadium may capture sentiments which are absent online as not all voters engage in political discourse on social media.

Positive Sentiment

Around 45% of comments across various platforms express support for Trump, emphasizing his alignment with American values, patriotism, and leadership. Many fans appreciate his connection to blue-collar workers and traditional values, especially among older demographics, who see him as a “real American” representing their interests.

Negative Sentiment

Around 35-40% are critical of Trump’s appearance at the game, often voicing concerns about politicizing sports. These sentiments are especially pronounced among younger fans, who tend to view Trump’s involvement as divisive and distracting from the Steelers' legacy.

Former Pittsburgh Steelers are split on the Presidential election. One side has Mean Joe Greene, Jerome Bettis, and the family of Franco Harris supported her..

and the other has Leveon Bell & Antonio Brown.

Different class of folks for sure.

— Ryan Clark (@Realrclark25) October 20, 2024

Neutral Sentiment

Roughly 20% are neutral, focusing on the spectacle of Trump’s appearance without delving deeply into political allegiances. This group reflects the broader discomfort with the merging of sports and politics, without taking a strong stance.

A Hidden or Ignored Vote?

Though polarization dominates public discourse, there are signs of hidden support for Trump among those who choose not to voice their opinions openly.

Rising Focus on American Values

The volume and sentiment around American Values discussions have both increased, with up to 1,600 comments per day, reflecting growing resonance, particularly among older, conservative voters. Many in this group may avoid engaging in public debates but align strongly with Trump's ideals, contributing to the silent support.

Decreasing Engagement with Racial Issues

Discussions around Racial Issues have seen both a decline in volume and a decrease in sentiment. This suggests that while the issue remains relevant for some, it is becoming less central in broader discussions. The shift away from this topic may be another indicator that voters are gravitating more to Trump over the identity-driven Democratic platform.

Generational and Regional Dynamics

• Younger voters (18-35) remain more critical, with racial and socio-political issues often dominating their critiques.
• Older voters (36+) show strong support for Trump, with 70% of their comments expressing positive sentiment.

This suggests older voters may avoid confrontational debates but \quietly support Trump. National-level enthusiasm for Trump contrasts with the mixed reactions from local Pittsburgh residents, further indicating potential hidden support in offline conversations.

Neutral Sentiment as Silent Support

The presence of 15-25% neutral sentiment, particularly in the context of rising engagement with American Values, could signal silent support for Trump. In an environment where dissatisfaction is often vocalized online, a large neutral perspective points to those who prefer not to engage publicly but may lean toward Trump privately.

Linguistic Cues: Identity and Patriotism

The language used in pro-Trump discussions like “freedom,” “real American,” and “working-class hero," evokes traditional American ideals. Critics, on the other hand, focus on terms like “politicizing” and “distraction.” This contrast may suggest Trump’s supporters remain quiet but deeply aligned with his values.

The Intersection of Sports and Politics

Trump’s association with the Steelers taps into cultural themes of working-class pride and American identity. For many older voters, this connection solidifies their support, but they may remain silent in polarized public forums while intending to vote for Trump.