California Governor Gavin Newsom, a standard-bearer for progressive policies, recently made comments on his debut podcast with Charlie Kirk, acknowledging fairness concerns in women’s sports. This triggered intense debate within the Democratic Party over partisan stances on social issues.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed the most radical trans laws in the nation, but suddenly believes that it's unfair to have transgender athletes in female sports

He's running in 2028 pic.twitter.com/Ezvuryyf7u

— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) March 6, 2025

A few in the party see his remarks as a necessary political calculation, but most Democrats interpret them as a betrayal, shining a light on the growing crisis over the future of the party.

Democrats face growing pressure to reconcile ideological purity with electoral pragmatism. The divide is particularly evident in discussions about transgender rights, DEI policies, and the broader LGBTQ agenda.

A Party in Tatters

Democratic sentiment is largely fixed, with the voter base committed to progressive ideals and social ideology. MIG Reports data from online discussions among self-identified Democrats shows:

• 15% favor a shift rightward on social issues, believing a more moderate approach could prevent further electoral losses.
• 40% want to retain the party’s progressive stance but adjust messaging to better connect with voters who are skeptical of the party’s current direction.
• 45% insist on no compromise, viewing any moderation as a capitulation to conservative narratives.

These sentiments suggest the divide is deepening between ideological progressives and those concerned about the party’s electoral viability in the wake of 2024 losses. While the majority still support a progressive social framework, there is clear momentum toward messaging adjustments, if not outright policy recalibration.

• Newsom's standing among Democrats is fragile, with an average sentiment score of 37%, reflecting significant discontent.
• His recent pivot on transgender sports has resulted in a net loss of support, with 19 points lost and only 6 gained.
• This suggest Newsom’s attempt to moderate on trans issues is not welcomed, and rather than broadening his appeal, it may further alienate his Democratic coalition.

Progressive Backlash

For the most ardent progressives, Newsom’s remarks are highly objectionable. Many fear even acknowledging the debate over transgender athletes will embolden Republican attacks and undermine hard-won victories in LGBTQ advocacy.

Progressive activists see the issue as one of moral clarity rather than electoral strategy. They say shifting the Democratic position—even slightly—opens the door for a more drastic rollback of DEI policies, LGBTQ protections, and other progressive priorities. They argue that any pivot from Democratic leaders like Newsom, regardless of how minor, reinforce conservative narratives and erode the party’s standing with its base.

Moderates See a Warning Sign

More pragmatic Democrats recognize the party’s stance on social issues is increasingly at odds with public sentiment—as banning men in women’s sports surpasses 80/20 support overall. Polling and electoral trends suggest other social issues like crime, and DEI mandates are also alienating suburban voters, Independents, and blue-collar Democrats.

Newsom’s comments may have been a calculated effort to bridge this gap. Acknowledging fairness concerns aligns with majority public opinion, where data consistently shows skepticism of transgender athletes in women’s sports. While his remarks stopped short of endorsing restrictions, they signaled an awareness that Democrats cannot afford to ignore shifting voter attitudes.

Moderates wonder how the party can maintain its commitment to progressive values without handing Republicans an easy attack line. Many say the answer is recalibrating the messaging rather than making substantive policy shifts. They argue emphasizing fairness and common-sense governance could help the party retain support among swing voters.

Should Democrats Move Right?

The debate over whether Democrats should shift their platform to the right on social issues bleeds into a larger identity crisis within the party caused by the unpopularity of Democratic messaging.

Those advocating for a moderate shift point to key electoral realities:

• Suburban losses in key battleground states tie into voter dissatisfaction with progressive social policies.
• DEI mandates are increasingly unpopular, even among some Democrats, as concerns over meritocracy and fairness gain traction.
• Crime and public safety remain significant issues, with progressive policies facing backlash in major cities.
• Anger over mismanagement in states like California for things like poor governance during the most recent wildfires angers constituents in blue areas.

At the same time, progressives argue these issues are being exaggerated by conservative media and that any shift rightward would demoralize the Democratic base. They warn abandoning progressive commitments will fracture the coalition that delivered victories in 2020.

Republican Newsom as Unprincipled

While Newsom’s comments spark internal debate among Democrats, Republicans remain skeptical that his remarks indicate any real ideological shift. Online discussions among conservative voters and commentators overwhelmingly frame his comments as calculated to reposition himself for national politics, particularly a potential 2028 presidential run.

Those on the right point to Newsom’s long-standing record of supporting progressive policies, including legislation that expanded transgender rights in California. His financial ties to major left-wing donors further fuel suspicions that his comments are nothing more than political lip service.

Exactly right. Don’t fall for it. The trans stuff? Other than Minnesota there isn’t a more radical state in the union on so-called “trans” kids than Newsom’s CA. Don’t help pretend his fake turn to the middle is real. He’s a radical leftist & would govern accdgly https://t.co/1pnI4XfYol

— Megyn Kelly (@megynkelly) March 9, 2025

Many say Newsom is attempting to stem electoral damage by co-opting populist rhetoric on fairness in sports. His remarks, made to popular conservative figure Charlie Kirk, are seen as an attempt to appeal to disaffected moderates rather than a true reappraisal of his position. The prevailing belief is that if Newsom were sincere, he would be backing actual policy changes rather than making ambiguous statements on podcasts.

Electoral Implications

With the 2026 gubernatorial races and the 2028 presidential election on the horizon, the Democratic Party faces a strategic dilemma. The party’s position on social issues will shape its ability to win over key voter blocs:

• Independents and Suburban Voters – Polling suggests these voters are skeptical of progressive social policies but remain open to economic messaging.
• Younger Progressives and Activists – Any perceived retreat on social issues could dampen enthusiasm among the party’s activist wing, impacting voter turnout.
• Working-Class Democrats – Many traditional Democratic voters are frustrated with the party’s cultural priorities and feel alienated by elite progressive narratives.

The Democratic Party is facing a difficult recovery after a colossal loss in the 2024 presidential election. Voter sentiment trends indicate rising dissatisfaction with leadership, messaging, economic policies, and foreign affairs. With the 2026 midterms on the horizon, the party must adapt or risk its voter base fragmenting further.

Increasingly, voters are talking about a disconnect between Democratic leadership and its voters. While party elites continue pushing a narrative rooted in Trump opposition and progressive ideology, the base is frustrated with economic hardships, globalist priorities, and performative politics.

The GOP, particularly under Trump’s leadership, has positioned itself as the party of economic pragmatism, populist nationalism, and law-and-order policies. If Democrats fail to recalibrate, they will continue hemorrhaging working-class, moderate, and independent voters.

A Leadership Crisis

Democratic leadership is facing a credibility collapse. The party lacks charismatic figures who can unify the base while addressing the concerns of voters struggling under economic strain.

Voter frustration is clear with:

• 50% explicitly call for leadership reforms
• 30% expressing some satisfaction with the party’s direction
• 20% want a complete strategic overhaul

Between 60-65% of all Democratic voters voice positive sentiment toward major leadership changes, saying current leaders have failed to adapt to shifting voter priorities.

This crisis is most evident in the party’s failure to present a compelling alternative to Trump. Instead of offering substantive policy solutions, Democrats rely on symbolic protests, personal attacks, and ideological purity tests. This strategy alienates working-class voters and weakens the party’s ability to mobilize a broad coalition.

Social Media Blunders

Recent social media efforts by various Democratic politicians receive mixed reactions from the base. While Republicans universally react negatively, calling posts cringey, even base voters weigh engagement against authenticity. Voters say the "Choose Your Fighter" video put out by several female members of Congress is playful but lacks policy depth. This causes some to urge Democrats to tie social media efforts to progressive ideals.

Our side will be in power forever if this is our opposition pic.twitter.com/JnrKQhEchl

— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) March 6, 2025

Cory Booker’s scripted ad read by multiple Democratic politicians draws skepticism for feeling over-rehearsed. Voters contrast it with Trump’s raw, direct style, which they perceive as more authentic. Some Democrats praise Jasmine Crockett’s Kendrick Lamar dance video for its cultural relevance but raise doubts about whether it translates into tangible policy credibility.

Chuck Schumer, Elizabeth Warren and Cory Booker posted identical videos—word for word—right before Trump’s speech. pic.twitter.com/1iYUuuhaEN

— Libs of TikTok (@libsoftiktok) March 4, 2025

Bro Jasmine Crockett is getting ROASTED 🤣🔥

“This is crazy bro! She’s doing the chick that’s drunk at the club face! Ahh!.. She’s doing the ratchet tongue, bro!”

“When you have a mature mind and you’re a leader.. you’re not even thinking about doing no sh*t like this.” pic.twitter.com/sfHF2I2fhj

— TONY™ (@TONYxTWO) March 6, 2025

Meanwhile, voters see the party's response to Trump’s Ukraine stance—which gains majority support among all voters—as weak, highlighting the need for a stronger, unified foreign policy message. Trump’s recent address to Congress also generated discussion about Democratic strategy. Many criticize the performative nature of Democratic protest, with little to offer when it comes to strategy.

Messaging Breakdown

Messaging is another glaring vulnerability. Democratic voters are frustrated with a party that remains stuck in reactionary mode, more concerned with attacking Trump than articulating a coherent vision for governance.

• 70% of Democratic voters say their party’s messaging is ineffective, citing an overreliance on elite-centric rhetoric.

Voters feel Democratic leaders talk past their concerns instead of speaking to them. Progressive activists dominate the party’s messaging, but their priorities—climate extremism, social justice activism, and unrestricted immigration—don’t align with the concerns of mainstream voters. Working-class Democrats and Independents are focused on wages, inflation, border security, and crime, yet the party fails to engage on these issues in a way that resonates.

Social media analysis indicates 72% of Democratic voters want a shift away from anti-Trump rhetoric and toward tangible policy discussions. They say the party’s current leadership remains locked in an echo chamber, unwilling or unable to recognize that voters are exhausted by endless partisan warfare.

Losing the Working Class

Another devastating trend for Democrats is their deteriorating support among blue-collar and union voters—a group Trump had success in courting during his campaign. The party that once championed the working class is now viewed as elitist and disconnected.

• 75% of online discussions among Democrats express concerns that party economic policies harm wages and job security.
• 52% say the party is not addressing their financial concerns adequately.

This erosion is particularly evident in discussions about inflation and economic hardship. Biden’s economic policies—characterized by runaway spending, corporate favoritism, and deference to progressive regulators—have deepened economic uncertainty for middle-class families struggling with rising costs.

Immigration policy is another point of contention. While progressive Democrats embrace mass migration as a moral imperative, union voters and working-class Democrats increasingly see it as a direct threat to wages and job security.

If the GOP can successfully position itself as the party of economic pragmatism, pro-worker policies, and wage protection, Democrats could face steep losses in key Rust Belt states in the 2026 midterms.

Fundraising Fatigue and Trust Issues

The Democratic fundraising model is backfiring.

• 45% of Democratic voters say party fundraising tactics are too aggressive, exploitative, or out of step with voter priorities.
• High-pressure digital solicitations and crisis-driven donation appeals are alienating voters the party needs to re-engage.

Meanwhile, the GOP has mastered small-dollar donations and direct voter engagement, positioning itself as the party of grassroots support. If Democrats continue prioritizing corporate donors and tech billionaires over voter-driven fundraising, they will likely lose more working- and middle-class voters they need to regain power.

Foreign Policy and Ukraine

Democratic support for Ukraine is another growing wedge issue.

• 55% of Democratic voters now believe U.S. aid to Ukraine should be reassessed.
• 65% want party leadership to prioritize diplomacy over continued military aid.
• They say domestic economic challenges should take precedence over foreign entanglements.

Meanwhile, Trump’s proposed mineral deal with Ukraine—a strategic tradeoff designed to secure U.S. interests while reducing dependency on direct aid—is gaining traction among pragmatists. Many Democrats also abandoned support for Ukraine President Zelensky after his disastrous press conference with President Trump.

This shift reflects broader frustration with Democratic foreign policy. The Biden administration’s globalist approach is increasingly viewed as out of step with national interests, particularly among voters who see unchecked spending on Ukraine as a distraction from economic concerns at home.

Address to Congress Fallout

President Trump’s joint address solidified Democratic voters’ anxieties about the party’s trajectory. Many voters criticize the protest and disruption tactics used by Democratic politicians. They say the signs, pink suits, and Rep. Al Green’s outburst were embarrassing and ineffective. Many also criticize Democrats’ unwillingness to stand for DJ Daniel’s battle with brain cancer and honorary membership in the Secret Service.

Jim Barrett, a flight attendant, politely chased me down at Chicago Airport. "Sir, I am a Democrat but the way the party behaved was embarrassing. Made us look heartless. I don't care who is up there, you stand for the boy with cancer. Be more rational & get your act together."

— Ro Khanna (@RoKhanna) March 6, 2025

Rather than countering Trump’s speech with a robust policy alternative, Democratic leaders fell back on familiar theatrics—gestures that may play well on social media but fail to translate into electoral success.

Democratic senators are proving that protecting women’s sports is one of the rare and elusive 80/20 political issues. While Republican senators have overwhelmingly supported banning men from competing in women’s sports, the Democratic response is a shocker for some. In a 51-45 procedural Senate vote, every Democratic senator opposed the "Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act," causing outrage across the political spectrum.

• Sentiment increased from 29% to 45% just two days prior to the vote, sinking back down to 35% the day after.

What Voters are Saying

Online conversations about the Senate vote reveal a sharp divide in the Democratic voter base. While conservative voters and Republican representatives uniformly support measures to restrict transgender athletes from competing in women’s sports, Democratic voters are surprisingly at odds with their party politicians.

A Majority Issue

• 80% of all voters support banning transgender athletes from women’s sports.
• 13% of discussions oppose a ban, citing threats to transgender rights.
• 7% are uncertain or ambivalent.

In an extremely divided political climate, bipartisan agreement on hot button issues is almost unthinkable. However, conservative support for biological realities and liberal support for women’s rights brings two typically opposed sides together.

Democrats Overwhelmingly Agree

Within the subset of Democratic voters discussing trans athletes in women’s sports, MIG Reports data shows a vocal majority support a ban.

• 85% Democratic voters discussing this issue online are dissatisfied with their party's vote.

While this sample is limited only to Democrats speaking out online—who may be more likely to oppose—it remains consistent with the overall 80% majority among all voters.

They say the Senate’s inaction is a betrayal of women’s rights, accusing their representatives of prioritizing ideology over safety, fairness, and opportunities for women athletes.

Most Democratic voters feel allowing biological males to compete in women’s sports undermines decades of progress in ensuring equal opportunities for female athletes. Despite claims of advocating for women’s rights, Democratic leadership's refusal to act on this issue is causing backlash.

Poll Insights

Voters are discussing various polls ranging from 67% to 80% bipartisan support for protecting women’s sports. Most Americans are in favor of banning biological males from women’s sports, calling it common sense. This significant majority, particularly among Democrats, make voters feel ignored by those they elected to champion their concerns.

Frustration and the Backlash

The backlash against the Democratic Party's stance on transgender athletes is becoming a focal point of the party's hypocrisy. Many commenters point to the disconnect between political rhetoric on women’s rights versus the party’s legislative actions.

Betrayal and Hypocrisy

Democratic senators, who publicly advocate for women’s equality, were notably silent during the vote on banning men from women’s sports. This causes many to wonder how their party can claim to support women while refusing to back policies protecting them.

Many online juxtapose Democratic rhetoric with their actions, pointing out politicians protesting President Trump’s speech to Congress by wearing pink were among those who voted no on protecting women’s sports.

I’m sorry, didn’t all the Democrats who are wearing pink to highlight “women’s rights” all vote NO on banning men in women’s sports? Frauds.

pic.twitter.com/88bbw1GFcd

— Liz Wheeler (@Liz_Wheeler) March 5, 2025

There is a growing sense that Democrats are throwing aside women’s issues in favor of more divisive racial and social justice causes. Democratic voters feel their leaders have chosen to focus on symbolic issues rather than tangible ones with public support.

This episode serves to further beliefs that Democratic leadership is out of touch with the concerns of its constituents.

The 20% is Shrinking

Despite the overwhelming frustration, there is a vocal minority within the Democratic base that defends the party's position on transgender issues. Around 15% of Democratic commenters express support for the party's decision, citing a commitment to protecting transgender rights.

Defending Transgender Rights

For these voters, it’s important to ensure trans individuals are not denied opportunities based on their gender identity. They argue the issue of transgender athletes in sports is disproportionately exaggerated by the opposition.

This group often says the number of transgender athletes in high-level competitions is minimal—citing data from the NCAA that confirms there are fewer than ten transgender athletes in all of college sports.

Liberals who support trans rights say banning transgender athletes is a Republican distraction from more pressing issues like economic instability, healthcare, and inflation. They believe prejudice and bigotry drives the desire to place safeguards for female athletes, criticizing their fellow Democrats who disagree.

A Warning for Democrats

The deepening frustration among Democratic voters over this issue is indicative of a significant challenge for the party. While a majority of Democratic voters support restricting transgender athletes from women’s sports, their party leaders are not responding to this demand.

The disconnect is increasingly viewed as a microcosm of the party’s large crisis. Following an historic loss in the presidential election, many are questioning the party’s future, saying it’s on the wrong side of a strong populist movement.

Increasingly, voters believe the disconnect between voters and politicians is likely to have serious implications in future elections, particularly as the party grapples with maintaining its diverse coalition of voters.

If the Democratic Party continues to ignore the concerns of its base, it risks alienating more voters who might otherwise support its broader agenda. Voters who value women’s rights and fair competition in sports may look elsewhere on other issues, potentially opening the door for a further right-leaning political shift.

The way Americans use the word “democracy” and talk about its meaning suggests they no longer agree on what it means. This divide is not new, but it has deepened. In many online discussions, there is a partisan divide in how people view democracy and its import in American life.

• 70% of conversations on democracy focus on economic issues, particularly taxation and government spending.
• 85% of Democrats equate democracy with social welfare programs, arguing cuts to Medicaid, Social Security, and food assistance undermine its foundation.
• 75% of Republicans relate democracy to individual autonomy, where lower taxes and deregulation empower citizens.
• 60% of independent discussions are critical, they see both political parties as failures and demand greater accountability.

Two Americas, Two Democracies

The Progressive View

The progressive model of democracy is expansive. It absorbs social, economic, and cultural concerns under the banner of democratic protection. The ideal is a managed democracy where government intervention is a prerequisite for fairness.

Democrats frame democracy as a tool for redistribution and government intervention. In their discussions, social safety nets define democratic responsibility. The government’s role is to correct inequality, ensure access to healthcare, and protect marginalized groups from systemic oppression.

Their language reflects this focus. When discussing fiscal policy, Democrats describe Republican tax cuts as “attacks on democracy.” They say economic disparity is an existential threat to political stability.

Most Democratic responses in recent online discourse oppose tax cuts, citing their impact on wealth inequality. They call for aggressive state action—on corporate regulation, censorship of "misinformation," and expanded federal oversight—framing it as necessary, not authoritarian.

The Conservative View

Conservatives more often talk about democracy as preserving the rights of individuals against the creeping power of the state. They see it through the lens of individual sovereignty. In their framework, democracy thrives when government steps back.

Republicans see welfare as a mechanism of dependency that erodes civic responsibility. 75% emphasize tax cuts and deregulation as essential to preserving democracy, citing government overreach as its greatest threat.

Immigration policy follows the same pattern. While Democrats frame sanctuary cities as democratic commitments to inclusivity, Republicans argue an open-border approach dilutes national sovereignty and democratic self-determination. In conservative circles, democracy is national, not universal. The rule of law, the integrity of the voter base, and the ability of citizens—not noncitizens—to shape governance are non-negotiable.

The Independent Dilemma

Many who identify as independent voters discuss democracy not as a functioning system but rather an abstract concept used to justify partisan entrenchment.

Independents increasingly reject both parties’ interpretations of democracy. They voice skepticism toward government transparency and accountability. They see dysfunction, corruption, and an entrenched political class using “democracy” as a branding tool rather than a guiding principle.

They criticize Republicans for failing to follow through on limited government promises and view Democratic pushes for expanded state control as a power grab. They want bipartisan cooperation on economic and social issues, though there is little belief that either party will prioritize governance over electoral positioning.

Democracy as a Weapon

Because the use of “democracy” is often ideological, it has become a political weapon. Each side accuses the other of subverting democratic principles, but their accusations are rooted in fundamentally different understandings of what democracy entails.

• Democrats claim Republican tax cuts and budget reductions erode democracy by weakening government protections.
• Republicans argue Democratic policies threaten democracy by expanding bureaucratic control and suppressing the voices of voters.
• Independents increasingly believe both sides exploit “democracy” as a slogan while failing to protect any actual function of it.

Nowhere is this clearer than in the debate over speech and censorship. Democrats, prioritizing "misinformation control," frame content moderation as essential to preserving democracy. Republicans, prioritizing free speech, see these policies as authoritarian suppression. Each side sees itself as protecting democracy while accusing the other of undermining it.

Divides and Policy Battles

The fracture over democracy is not theoretical but plays out in every major policy debate.

Democracy and the Economy

Many frame the debate over taxation as a debate over democracy. The progressive model sees wealth redistribution as a democratic obligation. The conservative model sees it as a democratic violation of property rights.

Democrats frame Republican tax policies as “corporate giveaways,” while Republicans say taxation is government confiscation masquerading as public service.

National Identity and Democratic Sovereignty

Online discussion also uses democracy in immigration debates, though in vastly different ways.

• Democrats argue welcoming migrants is a democratic moral responsibility.
• Republicans say open borders dilute national sovereignty and voter integrity.
• Independents are frustrated with both parties, though a majority support tighter border control.

Because progressives view democracy as inclusive and global, they see strict immigration enforcement as authoritarian. Because conservatives view democracy as national and citizen-driven, they see open-border policies as undemocratic.

The Media and Narrative Control

Public discourse itself is now a contested space. Democrats say “disinformation” threatens democracy and must be fought against. Republicans argue censoring or suppressing speech threatens democracy and freedom.

Social media policies, deplatforming decisions, and mainstream media narratives are becoming battles over who gets to define what “democracy” allows.

Legacy media continues to collapse as Americans reaffirm their distrust. Institutions like CNN, MSNBC, and The Washington Post have been deteriorating for years, and recent events are deepening fault lines in the industry. Recent events like Lester Holt leaving NBC, Joy Reid being fired from MSNBC, new directives for the Washington Post fuel discussions about the future of traditional news.

Around 60% of voter discussions express frustration with media bias and selective reporting. Most people view legacy outlets as tools of the Democratic Party rather than independent institutions. There is a sense of relief and even schadenfreude as media outlets struggle to attract an audience while losing influence.

Distrust in Media Continues to Freefall

Public skepticism toward mainstream outlets has hardened.

• Around 60% of discussions express outright distrust of legacy media, citing bias and manipulated narratives.
• Another 30% cite frustration with sensationalist coverage and corporate control, with mentions of Jeff Bezos and the Washington Post.

Conservatives and independent voters see a coordinated media effort to protect the Democratic establishment while attacking Trump and his allies. Jeff Bezos’s recent mandate to the Washington Post to cover “personal liberties and free markets,” draws backlash from the left. However, many on the right remain skeptical of Bezos, questioning his motives.

The belief that legacy media operates as a political arm of the Democratic Party is now mainstream among center-right voters, with 65% of right leaning discussions categorizing these outlets as actively partisan rather than merely biased. The press once positioned itself as the watchdog of power. Today, much of the electorate sees it as protecting power.

Trump’s recent action to take over decisions making on presidential pool access further complicates these conversations. This decision gets praise from supporters as a necessary move to combat biased and hostile outlets. But critics say a president choosing his own press coverage is an overreach of power. Some worry future Democratic administrations will exploit this strategy to ban outlets like Fox from the press pool.

Financial and Audience Decline

Legacy news outlets facing financial struggles further reinforce perceptions of a dying industry. The Washington Post reported a $77 million loss last year, which many say prompted Bezos to overhaul its opinion section. While the left sees this as a betrayal of the paper’s progressive identity, the right views it as a corporate strategy to cling to relevance as trust in legacy outlets evaporates.

MSNBC and NBC recently fired or lost major hosts Joy Reid and Lester Holt, causing speculation about broader instability in newsrooms struggling with credibility. Some say these layoffs are a response to declining ratings and public distrust. Others see them as a sign that legacy media is shedding its more overtly partisan actors to regain trust.

Across the board, subscriptions and viewership are declining, particularly among younger demographics who now turn to independent outlets, YouTube streamers, and social media figures for news. While legacy media still holds institutional power, its grip on public discourse is fast declining.

The Rise of Digital Journalism

Many Americans are increasingly ignoring traditional media outlets and getting news from independent sources. Social media platforms, Substack, and streaming video channels are gaining traction as trust and viewership for mainstream outlets plummet. Major networks’ failure to provide balanced reporting on key political events—from Biden’s cognitive decline, the Epstein files, to financial corruption—drives audiences away.

This shift isn’t just about bias—it’s about accessibility. The media landscape is fragmenting into a decentralized network of information sources, where corporate narratives can no longer remain unchallenged. While legacy outlets struggle to adapt, independent journalists and commentators are thriving, particularly those on Rumble, X, and digital platforms that allow open political debate.

Can Legacy Media Rebuild Trust?

The trajectory for traditional media looks bleak. The current landscape is defined by two competing forces—a crumbling media establishment attempting to regain trust and a rising independent sphere that thrives on institutional distrust.

This doomed future seems all but sealed with the Trump administration publicly embracing independent and new media journalists. Traditional outlets like CNN, MSNBC, and the Washington Post now have a wider set of competition. Many Americans are happy to watch what they view as a corrupt media monolith crumbling.

The Governor of New York is stepping into the ongoing controversy over bribery charges against NYC Mayor Eric Adams and Trump’s request to throw out the charges. In an official release dated Feb. 17, 2025, New York Governor Kathy Hochul laid out the case for removing Adams as mayor. There are three basic interpretations of this letter:

• To the establishment crowd, Hochul is reassuring voters that she’s watching the situation closely.
• To progressives, she’s leaving just enough ambiguity to suggest she might act if things get worse.
• To Adams’ supporters, she’s trying not to come off as heavy-handed—at least, not yet.

MIG Reports data shows online discourse is growing the divide between New York Governor Kathy Hochul and NYC Mayor Eric Adams and the ideological and structural rifts in the Democratic Party.

Left-wing and Democratic voters frame the conflict as a power struggle set against a historical backdrop of past intraparty conflicts. They point out concerns over governance legitimacy, and the evolving role of progressive politics in state leadership. Broader public and institutional responses discuss key contradictions and challenges within Democratic governance.

The Left’s Lenses

Among left-leaning and Democratic social media users, the Hochul-Adams rift is primarily a crisis of leadership within the party. Roughly 45% of leftist discourse focuses on distrust in both leaders, with Hochul perceived as politically opportunistic and Adams viewed as ineffective or compromised.

Hochul’s moves against Adams—particularly speculation about his potential removal—draw historical comparisons to past Democratic schisms. Many liken current tensions to the Dinkins-Giuliani era, where city leadership clashed with state interests, particularly on public safety and racial dynamics. Others draw parallels to the Koch administration’s battles with Albany, where conflicts between municipal and state authority foreshadowed later Democratic fractures.

Democrats are concerned over the balance of power within Democratic governance. About 35% of discussions highlight fears that Hochul’s actions may set a dangerous precedent for state intervention in city affairs, raising questions about the legitimacy of local elections. Comments warning that “removing a legally elected mayor” would be “a Democratic Party disaster” show anxiety about party cohesion, particularly as Democrats struggle to present a unified national front against Republican opposition.

New York @RepLauraGillen calls for Hochul to remove NYC Mayor: "Adams is not above the law." pic.twitter.com/NQc05xv8td

— State of the Union (@CNNSOTU) February 16, 2025

A Display of Democratic Priorities

Democratic analysis is not entirely sympathetic to Adams. His cooperation with ICE and approach to public safety have made him a divisive figure among progressives. 25% of the discourse focuses on Adams’ perceived alignment with centrist or conservative policies, particularly on immigration. Critics say his collaboration with federal immigration enforcement is a betrayal, echoing past intra-party struggles over criminal justice reform.

Skepticism toward Hochul does not translate into full support for Adams. 30% of left-leaning reactions describe Hochul’s intervention as a cynical maneuver rather than a principled stand. These critiques often position Hochul as exploiting the situation to consolidate power rather than addressing systemic governance failures.

An emerging variable of race-based discourse is also beginning to take shape. Al Sharpton’s comments on the situation continue to divide may reacting to identity and power in the party.

Kathy Hochul wants to remove Eric Adams from his office as mayor. However, Eric Adams is a black man and because they love identity politics, they're also afraid of the image of a white woman taking a black man's job.

That's why Al Sharpton is there. The Democrats use Al… pic.twitter.com/KCu0PaGpC4

— Adam B. Coleman, Le Based Black (@wrong_speak) February 19, 2025

Public and Institutional Pushback

Outside of Democrats, the discourse surrounding Hochul’s potential intervention is more negative toward Hochul. The general conversation, while still critical, is more divided on whether Hochul’s actions are an overreach. 62% of the broader discussion frames Hochul’s actions as an authoritarian overstep, with concerns about excessive executive control overriding intra-party considerations.

General sentiment gives Adams higher marks for responsiveness to urban challenges. In bipartisan discussions, 40% support Adams, citing his direct engagement with crime and public safety concerns. Hochul’s intervention, rather than being seen as a necessary correction, is often portrayed as destabilizing at a time when New Yorkers are already disillusioned with state leadership.

A significant point of divergence is in the framing of historical precedent. Where leftist discourse invokes Democratic fractures of the past to warn against Hochul’s intervention, the wider political conversation places the conflict within the framework of power consolidation at the state level. People draw comparisons to past governors who sought to remove or undermine city leadership and threaten local governance structures.

The Compromise of 2025

If Hochul moves to remove Adams, it could set a precedent that reshapes the balance of power between state and city leadership, further alienating key factions within the party and reinforcing patterns of fragmentation that have long defined Democratic rule in New York. In the end, this moment is less about individual figures and more about the enduring uncertainty of Democratic power in an era of shifting political landscapes.

Donald Trump’s return to the White House has reignited Republican enthusiasm and quieted many old criticisms from Democrats and Independents. His first month back has been a firehose of executive actions, foreign policy moves, and empowering border security.

Voter sentiment is high, with strongest sentiment among Republicans, rising among independents, and still strong opposition among Democrats—apart from immigration. While many Democrats remain staunchly opposed, particularly on things like foreign policy and federal budget cuts, overall national sentiment is steadily positive.

Top Issues in National Discourse

Trump’s early policy moves daily shape the national conversation. MIG Reports data for online engagement and voter discussion show five dominant topics:

• Economy and Federal Spending – Tax reform, budget cuts with DOGE, and restructuring federal agencies.
• Border Security – Crackdowns on illegal immigration, sanctuary funding restrictions, and deportation policies.
• Foreign Policy – Trump’s approach to Ukraine, Israel, and military readiness.
• Cultural Issues – LGBTQ and DEI policy rollbacks and the battle over education and parental rights.
• Institutional Distrust – Growing anger at legacy media, intelligence agencies, and the federal bureaucracy.

Immigration

Around 32% of discussions about the Trump administration focus on immigration.

• Most Americans express support for Trump's stringent immigration measures.
• Supporters say his policies are necessary for national security and stopping illegal entries.
• They praise the administration designating cartels as terrorist organizations.

Voters who prioritize law and order voice gratitude for measures Trump has taken to curb the influx of illegal immigrants. However, a counter-narrative exists with critics lamenting the impact strict policies might have on migrants and criticizing funding cuts for social programs.

Economy and Taxation

Roughly 25% of the conversation is about the economy and taxes.

• Trump supporters laud his plan to cut taxes and eliminate wasteful federal spending.
• Voters see these moves as beneficial for average citizens rather than the political class.
• Many express optimism about a return to more business-friendly policies and economic recovery.

Critics challenge the sustainability of tax cuts and budget cutting policies, especially regarding federal employees and programs like Medicaid and veterans’ benefits.

Foreign Policy

International relations, particularly regarding Ukraine and Israel, represent 16% of the discussion.

• Trump's stance on Ukraine ignites heated debate, with critics saying he’s betraying an ally.
• Supporters say cutting aid will halt wasteful or corrupt spending and draw the U.S. back from perpetual involvement.
• Critics accuse Trump of capitulating to authoritarian regimes, causing his foreign policy to be one of the most divisive topics.

LGBTQ and DEI

Around 14% of the discussion is about LGBTQ rights, catalyzed by recent executive orders and school policies regarding women's sports and DEI.

• Supporters voice strong approval for Trump's actions, framing them as a reclamation of traditional values.
• They say banning DEI and men in women’s sports is a necessary check on liberal overreach in education and other sectors.
• Trump’s policies have generated rising sentiment among conservatives who also speak positively about defunding the Department of Education.

Republican Sentiment

Republicans overwhelmingly support Trump’s policies, negating the hopes of many Democrats who believe the base will abandon him.

I agree with Carville that we're about a month or so away from a larger collapse in Trump's support. They badly misjudged why they won the election—grievance politics isn’t a viable governing strategy. Most Americans don’t like what they’re seeing from Washington right now.…

— Mike Nellis (@MikeNellis) February 23, 2025

Economic Policy

• 63% of Republicans express strong approval for Trump’s efforts to cut government waste and reduce spending.
• 37% worry over the potential impacts on veterans’ programs and essential services.

Border Security

• 75% support Trump’s border policies, citing reduced illegal crossings and restored national sovereignty.
• 25% question the humanitarian consequences and long-term effects on labor markets.

Foreign Policy

• 68% approve of Trump’s pro-Israel and anti-Hamas stance.
• 32% are less critical of Trump than negative about the financial burden of continued foreign aid.

Republicans remain deeply invested in the Trump administration’s success, but some factions are beginning to question the balance between aggressive policy action and sustainable governance.

Democratic Sentiment

Among Democrats, opposition is as fierce as expected, but divisions are emerging.

Economic Policy

• 56% of Democrats view Trump’s tax cuts as disproportionately favoring the wealthy.
• 44% hope tariff policies and tax cuts will be an advantage for the U.S. economy.

National Security

• 70% express concern over military budget cuts and leadership reshuffling.
• 30% are open to Trump’s negotiation tactics, particularly those who support Israel.

Immigration

• 54% oppose Trump’s border policies, labeling them draconian.
• 46% support Trump’s border crackdown, agreeing it is time to shore up the border.

The party remains unified in its rejection of Trump’s agenda, but internal disagreements about Israel-Palestine and growing support for Republican immigrations policies suggest fractures continue to cause friction in a disillusioned party.

Independent Sentiment

Independents are split, with notable divisions across key policy areas but with immigration remaining the top issue.

Immigration

• 65% support Trump’s crackdown on benefits for illegal immigrants.
• 35% worry about humanitarian consequences.

Foreign Policy

• 55% are skeptical of Trump’s stance on Ukraine, fearing weakened alliances.
• 45% see it as a necessary recalibration of U.S. commitments.

Economic Policy

• 70% express concern over tax cuts that disproportionately benefit the wealthy.
• 30% believe they will stimulate economic growth.

Independents remain policy-focused rather than ideological, evaluating Trump’s moves based on impact rather than partisanship. Their skepticism toward both major parties continues to grow, but they remain solidly in support of Trump’s border policies.

Looking Forward

Trump’s first month has reinforced the existing political divide, though most Americans are warming to his border policies. His base remains energized, while Democrats increasingly express demoralization and resignation. Independents remain wary, but many align with Trump on immigration and defunding wasteful federal programs.

• Staying strong on the border is likely the highest priority as an extremely popular, bipartisan issue.
• Showing results on the economy will continue to draw independent and Democratic sentiment up.
• Deescalating foreign conflict and reducing U.S. involvement will also likely continue to increase overall sentiment.

Recent reports of polling on the 2026 California Governor’s race predict Kamala Harris as the frontrunner, should she enter the race. With a national profile and deep ties to the Democratic Party, she certainly has the greatest name ID. However, MIG Reports data paints a different picture of voter sentiment.

Voter Sentiment

Harris faces an electorate that is skeptical at best, outright hostile after her presidential train wreck. Her tenure as Vice President has left many unconvinced of her leadership skills, and her potential return to California politics meeting with resistance.

MIG reports data shows serious dissatisfaction among Californians as 60% express discontent with Harris’s record, highlighting economic concerns, crime, and immigration as key issues.

All Voters

• 55% of national voters hold a negative view of Harris
• 35% support her
• 10% remain neutral

Democratic Voters Nationally

• 40% of Democrats call for new leadership
• 50% express support
• 10% remain neutral

The Broader Voter Landscape

Harris’s viability as a Gubernatorial candidate is impacted by establishment backing and grassroots discontent. Nationally, she retains support among Democratic loyalists who see her as a necessary bulwark against Republican gains. However, Democratic sentiment is trending down overall as voters lose faith in party leaders. In California, the Democratic machine has come under scrutiny amid the recent wildfires and governance issues.

Among voters critical of her potential candidacy Harris is seen as ineffective. Her tenure as Vice President has been defined by failures on key issues like inflation, immigration, and public safety. Many Californians say she can only repeat party-line talking points, and her past struggle to connect with voters is a liability.

Democratic Division

While Harris maintains 50% support among partisan Democrats, nearly half of the party view her negatively, calling her too centrist or uninspiring. Her inability to energize the party’s far-left activist wing poses a serious risk in a state where progressive enthusiasm often translates into electoral strength.

Progressive critics cite her record as California’s Attorney General, arguing she was too punitive in criminal justice policies before shifting leftward in pursuit of national ambitions. Others believe her role in the Biden administration was an abject failure. Many want fresh leadership—candidates who can embody a grassroots-driven, issue-focused campaign.

Harris defenders see her as a nationally connected candidate who could maintain Democratic control in a state that is losing population. They say her positioning in the party apparatus, fundraising ability, and media profile make her the strongest candidate to follow Gavin Newsom. However, this support remains shallow rather than enthusiastic and both she and Newsom suffer from low support.

With media buzz and polling about her chances, Harris has seen a slight bump in sentiment compared to Newsom. However, Newsome has a 7-day low of 35% and Harris 41%.

California’s Growing Discontent

Harris is deeply unpopular in California, maintaining only name recognition which does not endear her to residents who have watched the state deteriorate under Democratic leadership.

Economic concerns are at the forefront. California faces some of the highest housing costs, energy prices, and tax burdens in the nation. Many blame Democratic policies for exacerbating these issues. They see Harris—who has long been involved in California politics—as a continuation of the status quo.

Immigration remains a flashpoint. Harris’s role as "Border Czar" in the Biden administration is widely viewed as a failure. Californians, facing overwhelmed social services and a growing illegal immigrant population, feel the brunt of national border policies. Voters critical of Harris say she has contributed to the border crisis.

Crime and public safety also weigh heavily. Rising crime rates in major California cities fuel dissatisfaction with Democratic governance. Harris’s record as Attorney General further damages her image among both progressive activists and pro-law-and-order voters.

A Captured Media

The growing disconnect between voter sentiment and media narratives also plays a part in negative sentiment. Many express frustration with what they see as a biased press propping up Harris. In the last year, legacy media coverage portrayed her as a strong leader and candidate, but voters see through this—particularly after the presidential election.

Critics argue that Harris’s public persona is overly polished yet politically empty. They see her media presence as scripted, rehearsed, and detached from real voter concerns. This has fueled resentment among voters who feel that the press is working to manufacture support for a candidate they do not trust.

Political Implications

If Harris enters the 2026 California gubernatorial race, she’ll have structural advantages, national name recognition, party backing, and a solid fundraising network. However, none of those things brought her across the finish line in 2024, and Californians are voicing strong desire for change.

Harris faces:

• A disillusioned Democratic base that is divided over whether she is competent.
• A California electorate that overwhelmingly disapproves of her record.
• A growing sense that her leadership represents the failures of the Biden administration rather than a fresh start.

The battle between the Trump administration and liberals—including judges—over federal funding is heating up. Media narratives and Democratic talking points frame the issue as an authority or constitutionality question. The Trump administration and its supporters frame the issue as Washington bureaucrats desperately clawing to maintain their seat on a federal gravy train—at the taxpayer’s expense.

The Trump team, led by Elon Musk and DOGE, is pursuing aggressive cuts to bloated and mismanaged federal agencies like USAID. These efforts are drawing legal challenges, with courts stepping in to block funding freezes and redirections, particularly in areas related to foreign aid, border security, and social programs.

Judicial interventions fuel the ongoing debate over the scope of executive authority. While past administrations exercised discretion over federal spending without comparable legal pushback, Trump’s efforts to audit and reshape government expenditures have been met with swift injunctions and protests and hysterics from Democrats.

I can't stop laughing at this.

Chuck Schumer and Maxine Waters holding hands and chanting "We Will Win" after losing everything just 90 days ago.

The Democrat Party is toast. pic.twitter.com/g8cRDwcjrY

— Thomas Hern (@ThomasMHern) February 4, 2025

The “Constitutional Crisis” Narrative

The Democratic Party and media outlets are framing Trump’s swift and decisive actions on the budget as part of a broader threat to constitutional governance. They claim Trump is defying court rulings, accusing him of authoritarianism. They often compare him to historical strongmen, calling his actions a “constitutional crisis.”

This argument, however, does not stand up to scrutiny. Public sentiment does not support the idea that Trump is dismantling constitutional norms.

MIG Reports data shows:

• 68% of voters disagree that Trump’s actions are creating a constitutional crisis
• 32% accept the premise

Most Americans see these legal battles as political maneuvers rather than genuine threats to democracy. They say, if there is an actual crisis, it is Democratic resistance to auditing federal agencies. People view the vociferous pushback against executive oversight of agencies as the bureaucratic class fighting to maintain control.

• Sentiment in discussions about USAID is low, dropping to 35% in the last week.
• DOGE discussions are also negative but recovering to 38% on Feb. 11.

Voters Distrust in Government Spending

Much of the opposition to Trump’s budget cuts stems from what his supporters see as an entrenched system of fiscal waste in a “deep state” which has been unaccountable for decades. Reports of a staggering $3 trillion in government waste since 2004 fuel calls for reform, with voters increasingly angry about how their taxpayer dollars are spent.

The USAID controversy exemplifies this concern.

• 60% of voters believe USAID has surreptitiously funded Hamas, after reports alleging the agency funneled hundreds of millions of dollars into organizations later linked to terrorism.
• 55% believe USAID funding contributed to the COVID-19 pandemic, citing financial ties to gain-of-function research in Wuhan.
• 65% believe the Biden administration enabled waste, fraud, and abuse, prioritizing globalist policies over American interests

Further fueling skepticism is FEMA’s reported $59 million expenditure on luxury hotel accommodations for illegal immigrants. These revelations reinforce anger that government priorities are misaligned with the needs of American taxpayers.

Judicial Obstruction or Necessary Oversight?

Trump’s efforts to cut federal funding have been met with an aggressive judicial response, sparking debates over the proper role of the courts. Democratic voters largely see judicial interventions as necessary safeguards against executive overreach.

Republican voters view the courts as a political weapon used to obstruct much-needed reforms. They say similar or worse violations happened during the Biden administration and Democrats made no objections and no legal actions.

The broader issue is selective judicial activism. While Trump’s budgetary decisions face immediate legal challenges, many believe Democrats freely exercised funding discretion in the past.

Obama’s executive actions on immigration, for example, went largely unchallenged by the courts, despite sidestepping congressional approval. Biden draws similar criticisms for his actions on differed rent and student loan debt. The disparity in legal scrutiny suggests politicized judges are not acting as impartial arbiters.

Elon Musk, DOGE, and the Push for Accountability

Perceptions of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) complicate the debate over fiscal accountability. Elon Musk and his team of young tech whiz analysts are drawing attention and criticism. Their role in exposing financial mismanagement across federal agencies is fueling accusations of misused power, unelected influence, and questions of security clearance.

While critics warn of an unelected billionaire influencing government decisions, supporters see Musk’s involvement as a necessary counterweight to entrenched bureaucratic inefficiency.

DOGE’s findings lend credibility to conservative calls for reform. Reports that $50 billion per year is funneled to individuals with no verified Social Security numbers raise alarms over entitlement fraud. This, coupled with revelations that Ukraine war refugees have been placed on American welfare rolls, has further galvanized public opinion against unchecked government spending.