Path to 270

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{"overall": {"right_lean": 0.5849802371541502, "right": {"total": 296, "safe": 281, "likely": 15, "leaning": 0}, "unknown": 32, "left": {"total": 210, "safe": 169, "likely": 32, "leaning": 9}}, "pollResults": [{"code": "DE", "name": "Delaware", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 51.5%
Republican: 42.8%
Other: 5.7%"}, {"code": "AL", "name": "Alabama", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 67.0%
Democrat: 28.4%
Other: 4.6%"}, {"code": "LA", "name": "Louisiana", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 60.9%
Democrat: 34.6%
Other: 4.5%"}, {"code": "NE", "name": "Nebraska", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 56.6%
Democrat: 39.0%
Other: 4.4%"}, {"code": "OR", "name": "Oregon", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 53.8%
Republican: 39.2%
Other: 7.0%"}, {"code": "WA", "name": "Washington", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 52.6%
Republican: 40.1%
Other: 7.2%"}, {"code": "WY", "name": "Wyoming", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 69.1%
Democrat: 26.2%
Other: 4.7%"}, {"code": "HI", "name": "Hawaii", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 51.3%
Republican: 42.6%
Other: 6.1%"}, {"code": "MT", "name": "Montana", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 58.8%
Democrat: 35.1%
Other: 6.1%"}, {"code": "NY", "name": "New York", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 53.2%
Republican: 38.8%
Other: 8.1%"}, {"code": "IA", "name": "Iowa", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 52.2%
Democrat: 43.2%
Other: 4.7%"}, {"code": "KS", "name": "Kansas", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 55.1%
Democrat: 40.3%
Other: 4.6%"}, {"code": "NH", "name": "New Hampshire", "value": -0.3, "label": "Democrat: 47.9%
Republican: 45.4%
Other: 6.7%"}, {"code": "OH", "name": "Ohio", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 53.0%
Democrat: 42.2%
Other: 4.9%"}, {"code": "OK", "name": "Oklahoma", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 63.4%
Democrat: 32.9%
Other: 3.7%"}, {"code": "AZ", "name": "Arizona", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 58.2%
Democrat: 36.7%
Other: 5.1%"}, {"code": "AR", "name": "Arkansas", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 65.1%
Democrat: 31.1%
Other: 3.7%"}, {"code": "CA", "name": "California", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 56.4%
Republican: 36.4%
Other: 7.3%"}, {"code": "KY", "name": "Kentucky", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 60.1%
Democrat: 35.7%
Other: 4.2%"}, {"code": "MA", "name": "Massachusetts", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 52.2%
Republican: 40.0%
Other: 7.8%"}, {"code": "MN", "name": "Minnesota", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 51.4%
Republican: 42.5%
Other: 6.0%"}, {"code": "RI", "name": "Rhode Island", "value": -0.6, "label": "Democrat: 48.1%
Republican: 45.0%
Other: 6.8%"}, {"code": "UT", "name": "Utah", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 56.1%
Democrat: 38.3%
Other: 5.6%"}, {"code": "CT", "name": "Connecticut", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 50.0%
Republican: 43.3%
Other: 6.7%"}, {"code": "GA", "name": "Georgia", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 54.6%
Democrat: 40.8%
Other: 4.5%"}, {"code": "IN", "name": "Indiana", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 56.2%
Democrat: 38.6%
Other: 5.2%"}, {"code": "MO", "name": "Missouri", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 55.1%
Democrat: 39.6%
Other: 5.4%"}, {"code": "NV", "name": "Nevada", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 55.3%
Democrat: 39.5%
Other: 5.2%"}, {"code": "NM", "name": "New Mexico", "value": -0.3, "label": "Democrat: 49.0%
Republican: 47.0%
Other: 3.9%"}, {"code": "NC", "name": "North Carolina", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 52.6%
Democrat: 42.9%
Other: 4.5%"}, {"code": "ND", "name": "North Dakota", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 59.5%
Democrat: 35.0%
Other: 5.5%"}, {"code": "PA", "name": "Pennsylvania", "value": "", "label": "Republican: 47.4%
Democrat: 47.4%
Other: 5.2%"}, {"code": "DC", "name": "Washington DC", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 53.9%
Democrat: 39.4%
Other: 6.7%"}, {"code": "AK", "name": "Alaska", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 56.8%
Democrat: 36.7%
Other: 6.5%"}, {"code": "VT", "name": "Vermont", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 56.2%
Republican: 35.4%
Other: 8.3%"}, {"code": "CO", "name": "Colorado", "value": -0.6, "label": "Democrat: 47.8%
Republican: 44.8%
Other: 7.3%"}, {"code": "IL", "name": "Illinois", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 52.0%
Republican: 41.1%
Other: 6.9%"}, {"code": "ME", "name": "Maine", "value": -0.6, "label": "Democrat: 48.6%
Republican: 44.6%
Other: 6.8%"}, {"code": "MI", "name": "Michigan", "value": 0.6, "label": "Republican: 49.5%
Democrat: 46.2%
Other: 4.3%"}, {"code": "SD", "name": "South Dakota", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 61.6%
Democrat: 34.5%
Other: 3.9%"}, {"code": "TX", "name": "Texas", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 63.7%
Democrat: 31.2%
Other: 5.1%"}, {"code": "FL", "name": "Florida", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 63.4%
Democrat: 31.7%
Other: 4.9%"}, {"code": "WV", "name": "West Virginia", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 59.5%
Democrat: 35.4%
Other: 5.1%"}, {"code": "WI", "name": "Wisconsin", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 50.8%
Democrat: 44.8%
Other: 4.4%"}, {"code": "ID", "name": "Idaho", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 66.3%
Democrat: 28.3%
Other: 5.4%"}, {"code": "MD", "name": "Maryland", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 51.8%
Republican: 41.5%
Other: 6.7%"}, {"code": "MS", "name": "Mississippi", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 69.4%
Democrat: 27.1%
Other: 3.5%"}, {"code": "NJ", "name": "New Jersey", "value": -0.6, "label": "Democrat: 49.3%
Republican: 44.3%
Other: 6.3%"}, {"code": "SC", "name": "South Carolina", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 64.3%
Democrat: 31.4%
Other: 4.3%"}, {"code": "TN", "name": "Tennessee", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 64.7%
Democrat: 31.0%
Other: 4.3%"}, {"code": "VA", "name": "Virginia", "value": "", "label": "Democrat: 46.8%
Republican: 46.3%
Other: 6.9%"}], "display": true}

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Decoding the Electoral College: Why 270 Matters

In the U.S. presidential election, candidates vie for 538 electoral votes. Each state is allocated electors based on its congressional representation. To win, a candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes. Most states award all their electoral votes to the popular vote winner, except for Maine and Nebraska. Understanding this threshold is key to grasping the path to the presidency.

National Popular Vote

We determine support scores using a combination of discussion volume and approval toward each candidate in online conversations curated by our AI technology. With data from every state, we're able to determine national popular sentiment as accurately as traditional polling