presidential-race Articles
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Donald Trump’s appearance at a Pittsburgh Steelers game, with support from former players Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown, sparked intense discussions across social media. The intersection of sports and politics, combined with Trump's polarizing presence, generated fervent support and harsh criticism.
Something truly beautiful is happening in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania right now. Former Steelers Legends Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell are registering hundreds of new Trump voters
— George (@BehizyTweets) October 20, 2024
The culture is with Trump all the way this time.
pic.twitter.com/U4BoCgTM1nHowever, reaction may also point to a hidden or silent vote, quietly aligning with Trump’s values and leadership without engaging in the volatile public discourse.
President @realDonaldTrump arrives at Acrisure Stadium to chants of U-S-A! 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/TaVUjTDuT9
— Margo Martin (@margommartin) October 21, 2024Polarization in Public Discourse
Voter conversations online are polarized about Trump’s connection with the Steelers. Sentiment trends demonstrate a split between those who view Trump as a symbol of traditional American values and those who see his involvement in sports as problematic.
Some also point out that television coverage of Trump at the Steelers game was extremely limited, showing only a few seconds of him on the Sunday Night Football broadcast. However, viral social media videos show the crowd loudly and enthusiastically cheering, “USA, USA, USA,” as Trump waved down from his box seats.
Actual footage of the Steelers game tonight NBC won’t show you. pic.twitter.com/iK35jYAiDc
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) October 21, 2024The implication may be that—while online conversations are highly polarized, real-life voters are charged for Trump’s patriotic message. Thousands of fans cheering in a football stadium may capture sentiments which are absent online as not all voters engage in political discourse on social media.
Positive Sentiment
Around 45% of comments across various platforms express support for Trump, emphasizing his alignment with American values, patriotism, and leadership. Many fans appreciate his connection to blue-collar workers and traditional values, especially among older demographics, who see him as a “real American” representing their interests.
Negative Sentiment
Around 35-40% are critical of Trump’s appearance at the game, often voicing concerns about politicizing sports. These sentiments are especially pronounced among younger fans, who tend to view Trump’s involvement as divisive and distracting from the Steelers' legacy.
Former Pittsburgh Steelers are split on the Presidential election. One side has Mean Joe Greene, Jerome Bettis, and the family of Franco Harris supported her..
— Ryan Clark (@Realrclark25) October 20, 2024
and the other has Leveon Bell & Antonio Brown.
Different class of folks for sure.Neutral Sentiment
Roughly 20% are neutral, focusing on the spectacle of Trump’s appearance without delving deeply into political allegiances. This group reflects the broader discomfort with the merging of sports and politics, without taking a strong stance.
A Hidden or Ignored Vote?
Though polarization dominates public discourse, there are signs of hidden support for Trump among those who choose not to voice their opinions openly.
Rising Focus on American Values
The volume and sentiment around American Values discussions have both increased, with up to 1,600 comments per day, reflecting growing resonance, particularly among older, conservative voters. Many in this group may avoid engaging in public debates but align strongly with Trump's ideals, contributing to the silent support.
Decreasing Engagement with Racial Issues
Discussions around Racial Issues have seen both a decline in volume and a decrease in sentiment. This suggests that while the issue remains relevant for some, it is becoming less central in broader discussions. The shift away from this topic may be another indicator that voters are gravitating more to Trump over the identity-driven Democratic platform.
Generational and Regional Dynamics
- Younger voters (18-35) remain more critical, with racial and socio-political issues often dominating their critiques.
- Older voters (36+) show strong support for Trump, with 70% of their comments expressing positive sentiment.
This suggests older voters may avoid confrontational debates but \quietly support Trump. National-level enthusiasm for Trump contrasts with the mixed reactions from local Pittsburgh residents, further indicating potential hidden support in offline conversations.
Neutral Sentiment as Silent Support
The presence of 15-25% neutral sentiment, particularly in the context of rising engagement with American Values, could signal silent support for Trump. In an environment where dissatisfaction is often vocalized online, a large neutral perspective points to those who prefer not to engage publicly but may lean toward Trump privately.
Linguistic Cues: Identity and Patriotism
The language used in pro-Trump discussions like “freedom,” “real American,” and “working-class hero," evokes traditional American ideals. Critics, on the other hand, focus on terms like “politicizing” and “distraction.” This contrast may suggest Trump’s supporters remain quiet but deeply aligned with his values.
The Intersection of Sports and Politics
Trump’s association with the Steelers taps into cultural themes of working-class pride and American identity. For many older voters, this connection solidifies their support, but they may remain silent in polarized public forums while intending to vote for Trump.
22
Oct
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Inaccurate poll results in previous elections combined with worsening political polarization is eroding public confidence in polling overall. Voters express loyalty, hostility, fear, and distrust, with emotional conclusions often superseding polling data presented as fact. MIG Reports analysis reveals underlying patterns shaping public perception and how polls are interpreted in 2024.
Belief in Polls
Widespread Skepticism
Skepticism towards polling is a recurring theme, particularly on the right. Many distrust mainstream polling, believing the data is manipulated or biased to favor Harris and the Democratic establishment.
Skepticism of polls is ensconced in broader disillusionment with mainstream media and political institutions. This group view polls showing Harris in a favorable light as part of a larger agenda to undermine Trump and demoralize GOP voters.
Selective Trust
Despite their general distrust, Trump supporters selectively trust polling data when the results favor him. They express confidence in polls showing Trump in the lead, while dismissing those that do not align with their expectations.
This selective belief in polling suggests partisan leanings influence the perception of facts. Harris supporters similarly prefer to believe polls in their side’s favor. Polls showing Harris performing better than Biden prior to dropping out reinforce their optimism and hope for a second Trump defeat.
Emotional Engagement Over Data
Emotions likely play a greater role than objective statistical analysis in shaping people’s responses to polling. Rather than engaging with numbers in a detached manner, voters often react based on their emotional investment in certain outcomes.
Sentiments such as hope, fear, and animosity heavily influence their interpretation of polling results. For many, the polls serve less as an objective measure of public opinion and more as a reflection of their political identity and lived experiences.
Polarization and Loyalty
Trump and Harris supporters have sharply divided views of polling numbers. Republicans voice strong loyalty to Trump, often framing their support as a defiance of political oppression. They view Trump as a symbol of resistance, rallying around his perceived successes, and expressing doubt about negative polls results.
Harris supporters emphasize a desire for competent, progressive leadership, seeing her as a beacon of change and social justice. This divergence illustrates the stark polarization in sentiment, where each candidate's potential success would be viewed as revelatory of inaccurate polling.
Hostility and Animosity
Hostility toward Harris and Democrats is strong among Trump supporters, who frequently use derogatory terms to describe her and the Democratic Party. Harris is often portrayed as a failure or a traitor, intensifying the "us versus them" narrative.
Democratic voters are hostile to Trump, calling him an embarrassment to the nation, describing his leadership as detrimental to American democracy. This animosity is not limited to the candidates but extends to the political systems and institutions they represent. This fuels distrust and disillusionment in traditional forecasting methods.
Fear and Anxiety
Loyalty to Trump is often accompanied by fear about the consequences of a Harris victory. Republicans express anxiety over election integrity, fearing the system is being manipulated to favor the Democratic candidates, including polls.
These concerns are intertwined with broader fears about political change and the perceived threat to American values. Harris supporters have a sense of urgency, viewing the election as critical for advancing social justice and inclusivity. For them, the 2024 election represents a pivotal moment in shaping the future of the country.
20
Oct
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Kamala Harris's interview with Bret Baier on Fox News is generating many questions about her electability and how various demographic groups are responding. The conversation, which trended on Twitter as “Train Wreck,” revolves around issues of accountability, immigration, and leadership.
The Kamala Harris campaign officially ended tonight.
— Free (@KaladinFree) October 16, 2024
Someone told her “over talking” the interviewer in that annoying Cali wine-mom voice would be appealing to men in the rust belt. They lied.
Don’t blame Bret Baier. Kamala did this to herself. pic.twitter.com/C2nsWCWr28Harris's performance is mostly viewed negatively, with defense coming mostly from vehemently partisan Democrats. People criticize how she’s handled immigration, the economy, and crime. Voters describe her as evasive, condescending, and untrustworthy.
While the mainstream press and her supporters argue Harris exhibited resilience in a “testy” interview, the overall sentiment is heavily negative. Viewers believe she failed to offer substantive explanations or take responsibility for the current administration’s actions.
- 60% of voters reacted negative to the interview
- 25% reacted positively
- 15% expressed neutral reactions
The Freefall Continues
The interview appears to have harmed Harris's electability. Voters perceive her inability to clearly answer questions or demonstrate knowledge and accountability as a major weakness.
Critics point out that Harris overly relies on blaming Trump instead of addressing her administration's shortcomings. This narrative weakens her appeal with undecided voters who want strong leadership and tangible solutions. Skepticism about her leadership and frustrations about the Biden-Harris administration's failures seriously damages her image.
Many also reacted with memes, making fun of Harris’s demeanor, deflection, and lack of clarity. People pointed out her unlikable persona and her constant references to Trump as evidence of her popularity freefall.
Kamala's interview on Fox mentioned Trump dozens of times. It was her chance to stop lying and say,"I'm sorry, reversing Trump's border policies was a mistake, and I'll reinstate them if I win." But no... She never answered any questions and just kept mentioning Trump. #Trump2024 pic.twitter.com/BSbJH9M4SF
— Solesky Melchizedek (@SoleskyRolando) October 17, 2024Voter Group Reactions
- Conservatives overwhelmingly reacted negatively, with many focusing on Harris’s failures to manage immigration and crime.
- Black voters are split, with some expressing disappointment in her record as a prosecutor and others maintaining support.
- Gender also plays a role as some critics trivialize her abilities, criticizing her representation of women in leadership.
- Working-class and suburban voters voice concerns about economic instability and crime, expressing anxiety about current Harris policies as sitting VP.
The interview places a magnifying glass on significant challenges for the Harris campaign in maintaining voter support and turnout. The widespread negative reactions, particularly from Independents, along with the mixed response from black voters and the working-class suggest her pathway to victory is growing narrower and more fraught.
18
Oct
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Between Oct. 9-16, Aurora, Colorado, became a hotspot for intense political activity and discussion following Trump’s rally in the city. Residents are grappling with a whirlwind of emotions—anxiety, enthusiasm, and distrust—all of which are influencing their civic engagement and voting propensity.
LIVE: Trump Rally in Aurora, #Colorado https://t.co/8lIYs46lxh
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 11, 2024Aurora has become a pillar example in immigration discussions, with reports of Venezuelan gangs taking over apartment complexes and committing crimes.
MIG Reports data shows discussions among Colorado voters show:
- Trump’s highest sentiment in CO is for rallies, immigration, and housing.
- Harris’s highest sentiment in CO is for endorsements and housing.
Growing Enthusiasm to Vote
A striking element in Aurora’s political landscape is heightened voter enthusiasm. People across the political spectrum voice their intention to vote with renewed energy and urgency.
Trump Voters
Republican voters are fiercely committed to voting. They are frustrated with Biden and Harris, voicing dissatisfaction with their view of poor leadership and terrible results for the country. Many believe four more years of similar governance would hurt and possibly destroy the country.
This group says things like, "We can't handle four more years with no leadership," suggesting they believe both Biden and Harris are placeholders for the establishment. They urgently want a return to strong, decisive governance. Trump’s anti-establishment appeal and promises to "drain the swamp" further solidify their motivation to vote for him.
Kamala Voters
Opposition to Trump is equally passionate. Anti-Trump voters express a burning desire to keep him out of office, rallying around Democratic Kamala Harris. This group calls for a united effort to mobilize voters, seeing the election as a crucial opportunity to push back against dangerous, authoritarian tendencies they perceive in Trump.
Most of Harris’s support stems from hostility to Trump rather than support for her leadership. They say things like, “We must get out and vote for Harris,” emphasizing the importance of keeping Trump out of office. There is a sense of urgency on both sides to ensure their candidate prevails.
Cultural and Political Forces
Trump supporters view him as a defender against a corrupt political system. They see his criticisms of mainstream media, educational institutions, and political elites as evidence of his willingness to speak the truth, unafraid of the backlash from the establishment.
Supporters see Trump as a champion for those who feel alienated or left behind by traditional politics. They position him as the only figure capable of disrupting a system they believe is rigged against them.
This anti-establishment rhetoric resonates with many voters in Aurora and across Colorado. They believe the institutions they once trusted have turned against them, with some describing the Democratic party as "the radical left" which has been taken over by an oligarchy of elites. Trump's defiance strengthens their support as he represents a bulwark against creeping authoritarianism from the left.
Anti-Trump voices in Aurora see him as embodying chaos and unpredictability. They denounce Trump as divisive and authoritarian. There is particular concern about his policies on immigration and crime, which they say exacerbate tensions and endanger public safety.
Democratic voters see voting for Harris as a political choice but also a moral imperative. They hope to restore accountability and decency in public leadership, which they believe Trump has undermined.
The sharp contrast between these two perspectives highlights the cultural divides in Aurora and across the country. As in national constituencies, voters are torn between competing visions of the future, each rooted in a belief that the election will either save or destroy the nation.
Anti-Establishment Sentiment Across the Board
Despite the stark differences in political allegiance, both sides voice anti-establishment sentiments. Whether pro-Trump or anti-Trump, many in Aurora share a profound distrust in traditional political authorities, media outlets, and even government institutions.
Trump supporters are frustrated by their belief in treason or deceit by establishment political figures. They view the political class as conspiring to maintain power at the expense of citizens. Republicans are deeply skeptical of the media, which they believe misrepresents the truth to undermine Trump’s credibility.
Anti-Trump voices also express frustration with the establishment, but their anger is directed at the Republican Party and its leadership. They believe Trump has hijacked the party, turning it into a vehicle for his personal ambitions rather ensuring responsible governance.
Shared skepticism of establishment politics reflects a broader disillusionment with American politics, suggesting many in Colorado, regardless of political leaning, are united in their desire for political reform.
18
Oct
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Online discourse regarding Kamala Harris's campaign strategy shows her messaging has generated conflicting responses from Democrats and overall voters. There's enthusiasm driven by her focus on healthcare and abortion as well as skepticism of her ties to the political establishment. Voter dialogue about her campaign tactics offers insights into the likelihood of strong voter turnout.
Democratic and Left-Leaning Voters
Increased Enthusiasm and Desire to Vote
Younger progressives and left-leaning voters who resonate with Harris's focus on progressive issues like climate change and abortion show notable enthusiasm. This group, particularly active on social media, expresses a strong commitment to voting, with many driven by the urgency of countering conservative policies.
However, this enthusiasm is tempered by frustrations with a lack of substantial progress during Harris’s tenure as vice president. Some voters, particularly those who feel the Biden-Harris administration has been too complacent, express disillusionment.
A duality between excitement and frustration suggests that while Harris may energize younger and more progressive voter groups, there is also a significant portion who feel less motivated to support her campaign.
Cultural Force vs. Establishment Sentiment
Harris’s candidacy presents a cultural narrative that elicits admiration and skepticism. Her identity as a woman of color in a prominent political position is a source of pride for many progressives. These supporters view her as a trailblazer, embodying diversity and progress in American politics.
However, criticisms from within her own base label her as a product of the political establishment. These voters say her candidacy was an edict by elite political figures who wanted to push Joe Biden out, rather than a grassroots movement. This raises doubts about her authenticity and her ability to bring about real change.
General Electorate and Swing State Voters
Increased Enthusiasm and Desire to Vote
In the broader electorate, Harris’s campaign generates both enthusiasm and skepticism. Supporters, particularly those who resonate with her healthcare policies, such as “Medicare at Home,” express strong support. These voters, often from swing states, feel personal investment in progressive policies, driving their desire to vote.
However, many remain skeptical, particularly moderates and conservatives who criticize her policies and question her leadership. This polarization damages unity around her candidacy, even withing the base. Enthusiasm is largely concentrated among her core progressive supporters.
Cultural Forces and Establishment Sentiment
Harris’s position as a cultural icon, particularly among minority communities, continues to shape dialogue around her campaign. Supporters view her candidacy as a significant step forward in representation, linking her identity as a black woman to broader narratives of progress and equity.
Her identity narrative is undermined by critiques about position her as an establishment figure. Detractors argue that her rise to power is the result of a political coup, rather than her merit as a candidate. This contradiction of identity versus establishment skepticism is a central theme of her campaign.
The Harris campaign is fractured, driven by a mix of progressive enthusiasm and critiques of establishment politics.
17
Oct
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Emerging plagiarism allegations against Vice President Kamala Harris, particularly regarding her 2009 book “Smart on Crime,” are causing uproar. Revelations from investigative journalist Chris Rufo bring scrutiny to Harris’s political credibility and leadership.
EXCLUSIVE: Kamala Harris plagiarized at least a dozen sections of her criminal-justice book, Smart on Crime, according to a new investigation. The current vice president even lifted material from Wikipedia.
— Christopher F. Rufo ⚔️ (@realchrisrufo) October 14, 2024
We have the receipts. 🧵Voter conversations bring up concerns about Harris’s integrity and reveal sentiment among key Democratic constituencies. This analysis focuses on how the plagiarism accusations may impact public trust, voter turnout, and strategic implications for the upcoming election.
Impact on Voter Turnout
The potential impact on voter turnout, particularly among key demographics like men and minorities, is a significant concern for Harris’s campaign. Discussions indicate disengagement among black men, a historically crucial voter base for the Democratic Party.
Comments like, "You haven’t done a thing for black men in almost 4 years" illustrate a sense of betrayal, with voters feeling disillusioned by her lack of meaningful action. Linguistic analysis suggests voter dissatisfaction could lead to a 10-15% decline in turnout among black male voters.
Moderates and Independents, who may have previously viewed Harris favorably, are now showing signs of disillusionment. As much as 20% of these voters reacting to plagiarism accusations may abstain from voting or shift their support away from Harris. The escalating opposition to Harris may also energize conservative and right-leaning voter bases, potentially increasing their turnout as they mobilize against her.
Erosion of Trust
The language voters us on social media suggests a severe erosion of trust in Kamala Harris’s leadership and credibility. Accusations of dishonesty and insincerity dominate the discourse. Voters accuse Harris of being a "liar" and pandering to specific groups while failing to deliver meaningful policies.
People say things like, "you are literally destroying our country" and "she will never be President." There is growing frustration and skepticism among voters about her authenticity, despite little press coverage.
The plagiarism allegations compound voter distrust, aligning with long-standing criticisms of her tenure as a prosecutor and her broader political career. Approximately 65-70% of the discourse expresses distrust in Harris, further weakening her stance among voters.
17
Oct
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Recent anti-Trump conversations online show opposition to Trump's policies and personality but also a paradoxical hope among some for his re-election. This sentiment stems from a belief that a second Trump term could catalyze activism and protest. The dialogues reflect discontent with current Democratic leadership, as well as emerging patterns from younger, more diverse demographics.
In anti-Trump discussions, MIG Reports data shows:
- 30% discuss political identity
- 25% discuss protest and political activism
- 25% discuss economic issues
- 20% discuss civil liberties
Trump as a Catalyst for Protest
A recurring theme in anti-Trump conversations is the desire for Trump to win, not as an endorsement of his policies, but as an opportunity to mobilize protest movements. Certain anti-Trump factions say his presidency would create adversarial conditions for grassroots activism or hijacking corporate-fed movements which raged in 2020.
This group often uses language hinting at preparations for confrontation, with phrases like “prepare for protests” signaling a willingness to endure Trump’s policies for the sake of galvanizing opposition. This attitude is particularly prominent among younger progressives, who perceive a Trump victory as defining their political identity through resistance.
The notion that only an antagonist like Trump can spur movements reach their full potential has taken hold in various groups. Such views echo past reactions, such as the women's marches after Trump’s initial inauguration, where resistance served as a central theme in political engagement.
Minorities and Young Voters are Leaning Trump
There is also growing involvement among younger voters and diverse communities, especially Latino and African American populations. These groups are increasingly dissatisfied with both Trump and the Biden-Harris leadership. However, some younger Latino men shifted slightly towards Trump, citing economic concerns and stability they feel Democrats have failed to provide.
This demographic shift represents a significant divergence from traditional political loyalties. Younger voters, particularly those from minority communities, are vocalizing their frustration with what they perceive as the hypocrisy of establishment politicians. These voters are resistant to both Trump and the Democratic Party’s inability to address their economic and cultural concerns.
Generational Tensions
In addition to demographic diversity, there are also generational tensions. Older generations often frame the current political struggle through historical analogs like 1930s Germany). They mention the rise of authoritarian regimes and similar patterns in modern America.
Younger voters focus more on present-day concerns like identity politics and social justice. This generational divide reveals how different groups engage with the political system and respond to anti-Trump sentiments in various ways.
Strategic Forecast and Predictive Analysis
The ongoing discourse suggests if Trump wins a second presidency, his candidacy could reignite the forces propelling his opponents into action during his first term. Narratives also suggest dissatisfaction with both major parties could lead to more fragmented voting patterns, particularly in battleground states. If this happens, it could continue a trend of using social movements to gain political power rather than voting efforts.
A growing sense of disillusionment with systemic governance permeates discussions, with voters increasingly rallying around issues of civil liberties, economic justice, and identity politics. The dialogues imply that Trump’s candidacy could serve as a unifying force for these groups, albeit through their shared opposition to his policies.
Impact on Electoral Dynamics
If ideological movements continue to mobilize activists, it may lead to significant shifts in the traditional electoral map. States that have historically leaned conservative may see increased competition from progressive candidates, particularly those who resonate with the cultural and economic concerns of younger voters. The rise in political engagement, coupled with a heightened focus on grassroots movements, could potentially reshape the strategic priorities of both political parties in the future.
Quantitative Insights
While the primary analysis is qualitative, some quantitative patterns emerge:
- Protest Mobilization: 40-60% of anti-Trump discussions reflect a desire for activism and protest if Trump wins.
- Demographic Shifts: 25-35% of the anti-Trump discourse is driven by younger voters, emphasizing their growing influence in political discussions.
- Civil Liberties Concerns: Roughly 20% express concerns about authoritarianism, particularly focusing on civil liberties under both Trump and Harris.
Anti-Trump sentiments reveal a complex and evolving political landscape. Americans who oppose Trump’s policies also want to use his presidency as a touchstone for political activism. Trends suggest a growing mobilization among voters, particularly those eager to challenge the political status quo.
17
Oct
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Vice President Kamala Harris’s released an "Opportunity Agenda for Black Men,” drawing a swift ratio from X users reacting with incredulity. Less than 24 hours after posting the proposal, it had 23 million views, 35,000 replies, and only 28,000 likes.
Black men deserve a president who cares about making their lives better. pic.twitter.com/cUCdsvvYZ6
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) October 15, 2024In the proposal, Harris promises to:
- Give black men “fully forgivable” $20k loans.
- Provide “pathways to become teachers.”
- Protect the cryptocurrency investments of black men.
- Create a “national health initiative.”
- Legalize marijuana.
Most voters react to the proposal as racial pandering and empty promises, further damaging Harris’s image with the very group she’s attempting to court.
- 67% of voters distrust Harris's motives, calling the agenda empty pandering.
- 38% specifically criticize race-based crypto protections.
- 60% of non-black voters say Harris should focus on fixing her immigration policies before pandering to black men.
- 15% are cautiously optimistic but demanding more transparency.
Following Harris debuting the Opportunity Agenda, voter sentiment toward her dropped noticeably.
- Harris’s overall sentiment in the last seven days averaged 43%, dropping to 42% today.
- Specifically, sentiment on the economy dropped from 43% a week ago to 41% today and racial issues dropped from a high of 45% in the last week to a drastic 34% today.
Disingenuous Racial Politics
During the 2024 campaign season, Harris has been known for either remaining vague on her policy positions, piggybacking on Trump-Vance proposals like “No Tax on Tips” and child tax credits, or pandering with grandiose promises.
Harris’s Opportunity Agenda fits into this pattern, promising forgivable loans to black entrepreneurs and cryptocurrency protections specifically for black men. These, many say, are both incredible racial pandering and potentially illegal.
Around 67% of voters reacting are skeptical about Harris’s motivations with the proposal—this is supported by the glaring ratio on her rollout post. People point to her record as California's Attorney General, where she failed to deliver on promises related to criminal justice reform and economic empowerment. Many black voters echo sentiments like, "You are only 'supporting' Black men because you need votes."
The proposal also gained a slew of memes, mocking what many view as disingenuous and infantilizing promises to black voters.
— AtBrightone 📈 🐢 (@Atbrightone) October 15, 2024
Harris Finally Gets Specific on Policy, Too Specific
The proposal to forgive loans for black entrepreneurs and regulate cryptocurrency markets are particular points of ire for many online. Nearly 40% of those discussing the proposal specifically mention their criticism for race-specific provisions in cryptocurrency. And even more are reacting to race-restricted forgivable loans.
— The Right To Bear Memes (@grandoldmemes) October 15, 2024
Many voters view this proposal as part of a broader trend in the Democratic Party of focusing on specific groups rather than addressing the needs of nation holistically. Critics view these promises as merely symbolic, with little bearing on the real economic struggles black men, and all Americans, face.
Conservatives also argue Harris’s focus on niche financial reforms—like protections for black men in cryptocurrency —swings too far in the opposite direction from her typical evasion when asked about policy specifics.
People say things like, "Why is crypto suddenly a priority for black men when inflation is through the roof?" Voters express frustration that Biden-Harris policies have created the economic situation and skyrocketing inflation that Americans find themselves in. They view meager promises like “protecting crypto” as completely meaningless amid looming economic strain.
Legal Concerns and Unconstitutionality
The loudest outcry against the Opportunity Agenda is against forgivable loans for black entrepreneurs, which raises legal concerns about discrimination and the Constitution. Thousands of voters push back, suggesting racial policies like these probably violate anti-discrimination laws or violate the Constitution.
Also unconstitutional https://t.co/O7q6irT2UT
— Megyn Kelly (@megynkelly) October 15, 2024While Harris and her supporters argue targeted programs are necessary to correct racial injustice, most Americans, including some black voters, say Harris wants to undermine equality under the law. Many point out that implementing such a racial policy would likely open up a Harris-Walz administration to lawsuits and harsh public backlash.
Immigration Overshadows Opportunity
In response to the Opportunity Agenda, many people bring up Harris’s broader track record—particularly on immigration. As the Biden administration’s "border czar," Harris faces fierce criticism for allowing an unchecked stream of illegal immigrants, including gangs, murderers, and rapists into the country.
Around 60% of non-black voters are angry about Harris’s lack of urgency over the border. They say the influx of illegal immigrants which strains American communities like Aurora, CO and Springfield, MI are more damaging to black communities than the problems which the Opportunity Agenda would attempt to solve.
Voters are frustrated that Harris is focusing on race-specific economic initiatives while neglecting critical national concerns like border security. They say her failures undermine any credibility she may have in addressing the economic challenges facing black men.
"Mass immigration does not contribute to the dreams and aspirations of Black Americans," one comment states, condemning Harris for making future promises while failing to solve current problems within her control as the sitting Vice President.
The Hollow Promises of the Democratic Party
Voters view Harris’s Opportunity Agenda as just the latest disposable promise made by Democrats to the black community—most of which go unfulfilled. A dramatic 67% of voters doubt Harris’s ability to deliver, questioning her sincerity. Black voters particularly are weary of politicians making grand promises during election cycles but reneging once in office.
This growing disillusionment among black voters is consistent with recent MIG Reports analysis showing Trump gaining with minorities. These voters are beginning to view Harris’s policies as token gestures rather than meaningful reforms.
In the first day after debuting the plan, Harris’s Opportunity Agenda has decisively been shot down by voters who question her authenticity and competence. Legal concerns about discrimination, continued disapproval about identity politics, and her administration’s failures on economic and immigration issues all suggest Harris is failing to make inroads with any American men.
16
Oct
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Male voters are becoming a critical group to shore up in the presidential election, as Democrats make overtures and men react. Obama speaking out and a male-targeted Harris ad seem to do little to sway men, while J.D. Vance speaks directly to them about workforce reintegration and border security.
Vance’s Appeal to Working American Men
With male voters becoming a decisive demographic in 2024, J.D. Vance’s comments on immigration, workforce reintegration, and his deft confrontations with the media are appealing to his peers. Despite Democrats’ best efforts, the campaign’s actions suggest desperation at cratering support from American men.
Tampon Tim just can't figure out why male voters prefer President Trump and JD Vance over him and Kamala: "I refuse to admit that that's real."
— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) October 14, 2024
😂🤣 pic.twitter.com/8XKlDXaR3Z- 76% of male voters agree with Vance on border security, reacting positively to his media appearances.
- 57% voice skepticism toward Democratic outreach efforts.
- 22% view Democratic overtures positively.
In the last 30 days, J.D. Vance has improved his appeal with voters, performing well in the vice-presidential debate and reinforcing his image with prolific media appearances. A month ago, average sentiment toward Vance was 42%, while today it’s close to 50%. Meanwhile, Tim Walz faces a decline in sentiment, hovering around 46% a month ago but dropping to 44% today.
J.D. Vance Takes Down Left-Wing Media
Despite significant critical media coverage and hardball interviews, J.D. Vance is increasing his sentiment with American voters—especially men. His recent comments on immigration and economic nationalism during recent interviews resonate deeply with male voters, particularly those disillusioned by the American economy and job market.
During his interview with The New York Times, Vance explained his views on deporting illegal immigrants and reengaging American men in the workforce, particularly in construction and other blue-collar jobs. Many voters responded positively, appreciating his articulate counter-narrative to popular Democratic messaging of sympathy for immigrants.
NYT reporter Lulu Garcia-Navarro sits in silence as JD Vance educates her on the labor force participation rate relating to illegal immigration.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 12, 2024
Garcia-Navarro tried arguing that illegal immigrants can't be deported because America needs them for jobs.
She pointed to the… pic.twitter.com/SiNwyldSwRMale Voter Reactions:
- 64% of men support Vance’s policies on workforce reintegration and immigration.
- 28% express skepticism, viewing his policies as oversimplifications of complex labor dynamics.
Vance's tough stance, especially on construction jobs, earns him praise from blue-collar voters. His comments that American men could fill labor gaps if immigrants were deported plays positively with that group. Around 70% of male voters agree with Vance’s immigration approach, seeing it as a necessary step to reclaim job opportunities for native-born workers.
Only 25% raise questions around the feasibility of these plans. They suggest many American men are unwilling to take on lower-wage, physically demanding jobs, which are often filled by immigrants.
- Overall, Vance’s approval in the last week has remained steady, with a slight uptick on jobs, housing, and border security.
"Only a Handful” of Venezuelan Gangs
Vance’s discussion with Martha Raddatz on ABC News further elicited conversation around immigration and crime. Raddatz downplayed reports that Venezuelan gangs have taken over apartment complexes in Aurora, Colorado, sparking a firestorm of backlash from voters.
Raddatz: "The incidents were limited to a handful of apartment complexes... A handful!"@JDVance: "Do you hear yourself? Only a handful of apartment complexes were taken over by Venezuelan gangs and Donald Trump is the problem and not Kamala Harris' open border?"
— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) October 13, 2024
🔥 pic.twitter.com/VY4Ai35YJkThose who believe the media routinely downplays crime associated with illegal immigration are rallying behind Vance, who criticized the way Raddatz framed the issue. Critics, though fewer, accuse him of stoking xenophobic fears to gain political traction.
MIG Reports Analysis
- 76% of male voters agree with Vance’s position on border security, expressing concern that illegal immigration is exacerbating crime.
- 84% distrust mainstream media outlets, which they accuse of downplaying these issues to support Democratic policies.
- 57% of male voters remain skeptical of Democratic outreach efforts.
Raddatz attempted to dismiss Vance’s concerns saying only “a handful” of apartment complexes are plagued by migrant gangs. Male voters in particular express outrage, with many reiterating that any level of crime linked to illegal immigration is unacceptable. The sentiment of “Make America Safe Again” routinely appears in these discussions, further aligning Vance’s policies with a growing base who feel ignored by media and the left.
Democrats Panic About Male Voters
Democrats, meanwhile, show signs of panic over men drifting away from their platform. Recently, multiple efforts have been rolled out aimed at engaging this demographic. Unfortunately, the results have been underwhelming.
Obama’s Comments to Black Men
Former President Obama addressed black men directly, urging them to support the Democratic ticket, particularly Kamala Harris. But this message has largely fallen flat. More men are voicing their views that Democratic policies are out of touch with their economic and security concerns.
Black men seem to have taken to TikTok to slam Obama for his remarks last night. pic.twitter.com/zGtD0AMEcp
— Insurrection Barbie (@DefiyantlyFree) October 12, 2024Harris Campaign Ad
The Harris campaign also released an ad targeting men, attempting to redefine what it means to be “man enough.” Unfortunately, only 22% of male voters responded positively. Many reactions criticized the ad, claiming it failed in its attempt to resonate with male identity. Men cite a lack of authenticity in the messaging, perceiving it as a failure to understand their priorities.
I present to you the cringiest political ad ever created. pic.twitter.com/P0JMI1caNS
— Champagne Joshi (@JoshWalkos) October 11, 2024Tim Walz’s Hunting Photo Op
Next, the campaign trotted out VP candidate Tim Walz, attempting to court rural and working-class male voters. The staged hunting-themed photo op generated a tidal of memes about Walz, whose proficiency with a gun came across as lacking. Around 60% of voters describe the event as insincere and staged. The photo op drew comparisons to John Kerry’s infamous hunting stunt during the 2004 election, which also failed to resonate.
Tampon was REALLY struggling today pic.twitter.com/KG3zQfAKOJ
— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) October 12, 202415
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