The Democratic Party finds itself in a pivotal moment, grappling with the aftermath of their dramatic presidential loss. Discussions within the party show divergent views on the results of a campaign "autopsy." Determining the cause of failure, reassessing strategies, and potentially redefine the party’s identity all cause intra-party conflict.

Seeking Change or Doubling Down

Calls for Change

Most Democratic voices want introspection and reform, with approximately 45-60% emphasizing the need to reassess electoral strategies. These voices argue for focusing on economic issues, working-class concerns, and grassroots priorities.

Many point to a failure to connect with disaffected voters, particularly those who have shifted toward Republican messaging. Leadership figures like Bernie Sanders and other progressives call for bold reforms, prioritizing issues like wage equity and economic justice over current elitist strategies.

Defending the Status Quo

Around 30-40% of Democrats resist calls for reform, defending the party's existing strategies. They attribute Harris’s loss to external factors like misinformation, voter suppression, racism and misogyny, or media bias. They argue Democratic values remain fundamentally sound and view 2024 as an anomaly rather than an indicator of issues in the party.

Ambivalence and Compromise

Approximately 25% of the discourse reflects ambivalence, advocating for measured adjustments rather than a comprehensive overhaul. This group points to historical successes as a basis for continuity, suggesting a tempered approach that integrates innovation with traditional Democratic values.

Discussion Patterns

Frustration with Leadership

• 55% of comments voice frustration with Democratic leadership.
• Figures like Nancy Pelosi and Kamala Harris are criticized for being out of touch with grassroots concerns, particularly on issues affecting the working class.
• Many argue the party needs leaders who resonate with younger voters and marginalized communities, reflecting the priorities of an evolving base.

Identity Misalignment

• 45% of discussions highlight a disconnect between the party's values and voter priorities.
• Critics suggest an overemphasis on social justice, without a strong economic message, risks alienating voters struggling to make ends meet.

Unity vs. Division

• 50% of Democrats emphasize the need for party unity.
• They say the tension between progressive and moderate factions creates significant obstacles.
• They say an inability to reconcile internal divisions weakens the party's appeal.

Rise of Progressive Voices

• Progressive leaders and activists are increasingly vocal, championing bold reforms and economic equity as central to the party's platform.
• Figures like Bernie Sanders advocate for this shift, drawing attention to the inadequacies of traditional Democratic strategies in addressing voter concerns.

Fear of Losing Core Support

• A recurring concern is the potential to lose working-class voters, historically a key Democratic demographic.
• Many within the party warn that failing to address these voters' needs could result in long-term political consequences, emphasizing the urgency for genuine reform.

The Democratic Party’s Identity Crisis

Progressive vs. Moderate Tensions

The most prominent theme is the ideological battle between progressive and moderate Democrats. This divide leaves voters questioning what the party stands for, creating confusion and weakening its electoral message. Progressives advocate for transformational change, while moderates prioritize incremental adjustments and risk aversion.

Inclusivity and Messaging

The party's commitment to diversity and inclusivity remains a defining feature. However, inconsistencies in delivering tangible results dilute the effectiveness of this message. Critics argue the party needs to draw back from DEI to focus on substantive policies that address voter priorities.

A Crisis of Vision

Approximately 60-70% of Democrats say there’s an identity crisis in the party. The failure to reach a cohesive vision undermines the party's ability to inspire and mobilize its base. Without clarity of purpose, the party risks alienating key constituencies and losing ground to more unified opposition forces.

Democratic voters are reacting to Kamala Harris's presidential defeat and discussions about her relationship with Joe Biden. Online, there are growing divides within the party regarding who is to blame, leadership decisions, and strategic missteps.

Much of the discourse centers on President Joe Biden and his short remaining time in office. Many are speculating about the health of his relationships behind the scenes and implications for party unity.

SHE'S GONNA MISS PETER!!!😂😂😂 pic.twitter.com/J0uQtkyvdp

— il Donaldo Trumpo (@PapiTrumpo) November 13, 2024

Biden Blocks Kamala’s Path

Some Democrats attribute Harris's loss to Biden’s lack of effective leadership and failure to fully support her candidacy. They repeatedly express disappointment, describing Biden as lacking the proactive support to secure a win.

Refusing to place blame on Harris herself, they say things like "he could have done more" or "he didn’t take the lead." These discussions attempt to frame the loss as due to Biden’s missed campaign opportunities or not stepping down soon enough.

For the record this was meant to be The Art of Losing: Kamala Harris, but I wavered on it and eventually decided to leave her out of the headline. Whatever her flaws may be, Biden put her in an unprecedentedly difficult situation. https://t.co/EB1TJbXmbB

— ettingermentum (@ettingermentum) November 2, 2024

Harris is Ineffective

Though many blame Biden, others include Harris as a focal point of criticism, though in smaller numbers. MIG Reports analysis shows nearly half of discussions blame Biden, while around 25% include Harris in the blame.

Those who blame her say Harris "didn’t connect with the base" and was "not the right choice," for a party coronation. Creating continuity with her failed 2020 presidential bid, voters question her electability and effectiveness. Harris’s public perception emphasizes the disconnect between party leadership and the perspectives of the voter base.

The remaining 25% of the discourse critiques the Democratic Party's overall strategy, with calls for a complete overhaul of its approach. Comments such as "we need to rethink our approach" reveal frustration with the party's failed vision. Some contrast this with a more cohesive strategy they attribute to Republicans.

Living in the Past

While blame dominates much of the conversation, a smaller segment of Democrats defends Biden. They emphasize his stabilizing influence and achievements in a challenging environment

Supporters say things like, "Biden has done the best he can under the circumstances," framing him as a steady leader. However, even within these defenses, there is an implicit acknowledgment of unmet expectations. Voters grapple with their support for Biden’s legacy against the reality of the party’s recent loss.

...Maybe It’s Us?

Broader systemic concerns surface as well, pointing to issues like gerrymandering and voter disenfranchisement. These conversations present election failures as caused by structural problems rather than individual shortcomings.

There are calls advocating for comprehensive reform to address these systemic challenges in the party. Discussions use emotional language and personal pronouns, as individuals express feelings of betrayal, disappointment, and personal responsibility.

Leftists on social media are talking about anti-Trump Americans leaving the United States prior to his second presidency. Discussions are a multifaceted web of identity, belonging, authoritarian fear, disillusionment, and economic anxiety—intertwined with individual and communal expressions of distress.

Many who are complaining mention their perceptions of American values eroding nationwide, sparking concerns over identity and belonging. Many describe feeling disconnected from a national identity they once resonated with but now find alien. They view the political landscape appears increasingly hostile to their beliefs.

Statements like “I’m seriously considering leaving” reflect a reckoning among leftists, where the desire to is a physical relocation and symbolic rejection of an America they see as departing from democratic and progressive ideals.

Man dressed up as a woman says he can’t live in the US under Trump so he’s moving back to Australia.

He put on lipstick to make this historic announcement. pic.twitter.com/nFsHW1w7hC

— Paul A. Szypula 🇺🇸 (@Bubblebathgirl) November 7, 2024

True Belief in the Second Coming of Hitler

Fear of authoritarianism and fascism dominates these discussions, with progressives envisioning Trump as an existential threat to personal freedoms and civil rights. They often refer to Trump as akin to Hitler, calling his supporters racists, misogynists, and fascists.

They say things like, “I won’t stay under this regime” with visceral urgency. Among this group, emigration is a defense against the potential for oppressive governance. Fears are not isolated but collectively felt, amplified by social media.

Leftists find solace and validation in shared anxieties. They feel leaving is not just an escape but a protective measure against an anticipated erosion of democratic norms.

Virtue Signals in an Echo Chamber

There is also economic and social anxiety, as many express concerns about Trump exacerbating economic inequality, deteriorating social policies, and making healthcare unreliable.

Those on the left express a sense of vulnerability regarding the perceived socioeconomic regressions that a Trump administration will impose. Phrases like “I won’t suffer through another four years of this” reveal an underlying apprehension that cuts across personal and societal dimensions.

For some, leaving the country is a decision driven by ideological and material concerns, amplifying their sense that America may no longer offer stability or security.

A Lump Sum

A striking element in these discussions is the concept of “collective departure,” or leaving as a communal protest against a Trump regime. Those who share this sentiment are bound by shared fears and frustrations.

There is a sense of community and solidarity in the idea of abandoning a country that seems to threaten authoritarianism. Progressives say things like, “We’re planning our exit strategy” or “A group of us are looking into moving out together.” In this way, leaving is a unified response to a disillusioning political reality.

Social media’s role in creating these communal spaces magnifies the sentiment, fostering a sense of solidarity among those who feel estranged.

Oh shit. He won.

Anyone wanna check back on those “if Trump wins I’m going to kill myself” posts? pic.twitter.com/fBCD84M3V3

— 𓄂Pew (@PewOrPew) November 6, 2024

Rumors and reports are beginning to swirl about Trump’s transition team and incoming cabinet appointments. Republican voters and influencers are already voicing strong reactions to potential picks.

MIG Reports data shows a mix of hope and skepticism about Trump’s second term. MAGA Republicans voice support for an “America First” agenda and frustration with establishment influences.

Appointment Discussions

As discussions and announcement ramp up, Republicans are reacting to various names attached to cabinet positions.

Sen. Rick Scott

I’m committed to getting President Trump’s nominees confirmed by the Senate immediately.

Democrats will do everything they can to stonewall the Trump agenda, and we need a Senate Majority Leader who will fight to get it done. pic.twitter.com/4QwU97Fc4r

— Rick Scott (@ScottforFlorida) November 11, 2024

Florida Senator Rick Scott is discussed as a favorite for Senate Majority Leader. MAGA voters view him as a strong ally for advancing Trump’s legislative priorities in Congress, as opposed to Sen. John Thune or Sen. John Cornyn, who many strongly associate with establishment Republicans.

🚨WOW!

According to The Heritage Foundation’s conservative voting record scorecard, Sen. Rick Scott has a 95% lifetime score, while Thune and Cornyn have 62 and 64%.

No wonder the Swamp is doing everything in its power to keep Rick Scott from becoming Senate Majority Leader👇 pic.twitter.com/qeOssBL7Eb

— 🇺🇸Jessica🇺🇸 (@Jessica_4_Trump) November 11, 2024

Tom Homan

As the former acting ICE director, Tom Homan is a widely anticipated choice for “Border Czar,” tasked with overseeing immigration enforcement. His reputation for tough immigration policies aligns well with Trump’s strict border stance. Many are discussing his appointment as important for national security and border integrity.

Ladies and gentlemen, your new Border Czar, Tom Homan.

Let’s go!! pic.twitter.com/ELV9BBX7NO

— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) November 11, 2024

Rep. Elise Stefanik

Known for her strong pro-Israel stance and strong MAGA alignment, New York Rep. Stefanik gains favor among conservatives as Trump's pick for U.N. Ambassador. Her stance on foreign policy aligns closely with Trump's vision of robust U.S. leadership abroad.

🚨 #BREAKING: Rep. Elise Stefanik has ACCEPTED Trump’s offer for US Ambassador to the United Nations, per NYP

This admin is going to be STACKED! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/zQiMz92FVS

— Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) November 11, 2024

Stephen Miller

As an architect of Trump’s initial immigration policies, Stephen Miller’s influence on Trump's hardline stance is unmistakable. Recent reports naming him as Trump’s deputy chief of staff for policy generate positive discussion among MAGA voters. His reentry is a strong indication that Trump aims to revive the rigorous policies of his first term.

NEW: Donald Trump is expected to announce Stephen Miller as his deputy chief of staff for policy, according to CNN.

Miller is a strong advocate for a secure border and has repeatedly called for mass deportations.

Miller says he hopes to see deportations increase by 10x to over… pic.twitter.com/9gSFO7vcXc

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) November 11, 2024

Elon Musk

Many conservatives view Elon Musk as a positive influence in Trump's administration, particularly in tech, energy independence, and government efficiency. Musk’s outspoken positions on free speech and resistance to regulatory constraints align with Trump’s anti-bureaucratic vision. Trump and Elons’ public discussions about a Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), generates excitement in the base.

Washington DC swamp creatures trying to join the @realDonaldTrump administration right now 🤣🤣 pic.twitter.com/K3vJ6byDwy

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 9, 2024

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

RFK Jr. has gained some traction among conservatives for his skepticism of government health policies. His anti-establishment views resonate with Trump’s base, and many anticipate his involvement in the administration to push the MAHA movement.

America First Agenda

Supporters expect Trump’s team to double down on "America First,” particularly regarding border security, economic protectionism, and domestic deregulation. MAGA backers see these choices as necessary to address long-standing grievances, from the woke policies they say erode traditional values to rectifying illegal immigration.

Symbolic Wins and Quick Changes

Following Trump’s election, reports are beginning to flow on early victories, such as:

• Migrant caravans reportedly being dismantled at the southern border, reflecting hopes for a stricter immigration policy.
• Key figures from Trump’s first administration, like ICE veteran Tom Homan as “Border Czar,” being appointed to address the border.
• International relations being shored up swiftly and imminently in places like Ukraine and the Middle East.
• A sharp rise in the stock market and crypto, which many Republicans attribute to market confidence in Trump’s policies.

These developments heighten anticipation among GOP voters for quick, decisive policy shifts under Trump’s new team.

Distrust of the GOP Establishment

While Trump loyalists express enthusiasm, there is also clear distrust toward what Republicans label the “establishment” wing of the party.

Opposition to RINOs

Many Republicans are wary of RINOs being involved in the administration, mentioning Senators John Thune and John Cornyn by name. Voters see them as potential obstacles to the agenda they envision. Establishment figures are perceived as out of touch with Trump’s grassroots supporters, and many express relief at Trump’s announcement that neither Mike Pompeo nor Nikki Haley will be involved in the administration.

I was proud to work with President Trump defending America at the United Nations. I wish him, and all who serve, great success in moving us forward to a stronger, safer America over the next four years. pic.twitter.com/6PhWN6xn1B

— Nikki Haley (@NikkiHaley) November 10, 2024

Republican voters express frustration with GOP leaders willing to work with Democrats on issues like immigration reform. This sentiment reinforces calls for an “all-in” approach that prioritizes conservative values over bipartisan solutions.

MAGA Appointments

GOP voices are increasingly rallying around figures like Senator Rick Scott for Senate Majority Leader and other MAGA names being floated for various positions. Some also mention Kash Patel for CIA Director, saying he would be integral to challenging the deep state.

The “America First” segment of Republicans celebrate Susie Wiles being named Trump’s Chief of Staff, hoping Trump’s second term will finally “drain the swamp.”

Susie Wiles is great pic.twitter.com/h56f2LIn6d

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 8, 2024

A Vision for the Administration

Within discussions of Trump’s new administration and position appointments, Republicans are talking about top-priority issues.

• Strict Immigration: Voters want immediate action on mass deportations, completion of the border wall, and robust enforcement measures.
• An “America First” Economy: MAGA supports reinstating tariffs, limiting foreign dependencies, deregulating industries, and fostering domestic energy independence to strengthen the U.S. economy and create jobs.
• Combating Woke Culture: Conservatives are adamant about fighting back against progressive social policies, particularly related to gender and education. They expect appointees to uphold the people’s vote to kill woke ideology.
• Ending Federal Bureaucracy: Voters want Trump to dismantle the deep state, especially in intelligence, law enforcement, corrupt courts, and healthcare agencies.
• Strengthening Alliances: There is a focus on pro-Israel foreign policy, reasserting U.S. interests abroad, and settling foreign conflict.
• Cutting Federal Spending: Voters want to prioritize fiscal conservatism through spending cuts, reduced taxes, and targeting wasteful government programs that burden taxpayers.

Election fallout continues as Democrats, liberals, progressives, and left-leaning Americans dissect Harris’s loss and assign blame. MIG Reports suggests most blame goes to party leadership, strategic failures, and a growing disconnect Democratic priorities and voter needs. These issues can be summed up as:

• Out of touch with everyday voters' lives
• Too much focus on social issues and identity politics
• Disagreement on core policy issues

Kamala Harris Versus Joe Biden

Much of the Democratic discontent centers on Kamala Harris and Joe Biden accountable for the loss.

• Harris is often perceived as disconnected and ineffective, with many saying she failed to appeal to critical demographics such as progressives and minority groups.
• Biden faces criticism for not stepping aside sooner to allow a potentially more viable candidate to emerge.

Sentiment is especially strong among those who believe the Democratic Party’s existing leadership has become too entrenched in the establishment. There is also a generational divide, with younger progressives openly frustrated by the party's attempt at a centrist approach—one leftists feels is out of touch with pressing voter concerns.

This is not Kamala's fault. At all. And I won't entertain people who think it is. She's the most qualified candidate in history, and y'all still voted for a fascist promising dictatorship. https://t.co/8gxEGh0k68

— Small Screen Girl (@KiraJW) November 6, 2024

Fractured Identity Groups

While most conversations focus on domestic issues, some unique perspectives emerge.

• Certain Arab-Americans express dissatisfaction with Harris's stance on foreign issues like Palestine, seeing this as alienating key voter groups.
• The defection of Somali-Americans who endorsed Trump also causes consternation as Democrats discuss hemorrhaging base voters.
• Many also blame Trump’s gain in minorities and female votes, going as far as accusing Latino voters of misogyny.

The View says Latinos are misogynistic and blames them for Kamala’s election loss

Everyone and everything is to blame except Kamala…. 🤔 pic.twitter.com/y5XJVyLBzb

— Libs of TikTok (@libsoftiktok) November 7, 2024

Amid voter disillusionment, a notable subset of progressives expresses resilience, urging continued focus on social justice, climate change, and core Democratic values. This group advocates for a renewed ideological commitment rather than the moderation that many see as an impediment to meaningful change.

Strategy Versus Voter Priorities

Economic concerns dominate discussions about where the party went wrong.

• Many feel Democrats focused too heavily on social issues at the expense of more pressing economic problems.
• Inflation, job security, and cost-of-living repeatedly emerge as voter priorities, highlighting the party’s failure to address middle- and working-class voters.

Criticism of identity politics is a strong theme, with many arguing an overemphasis at the expense of practical issues alienates potential voters. Middle- and working-class voters often adopt this critique, voicing frustration with a strategy that feels decadent.

Information Echo Chambers

Democrats also discuss the role of news and social media in shaping the party’s messaging.

• Many feel social media echo chambers reinforce insular party messaging, deepening polarization rather than broadening appeal.
• Traditional media outlets also face accusations of failing to adequately support the Democratic message.

Some comments claim media coverage was biased toward Trump or neglected the issues that resonate with progressive voters. This frustration with the media indicates the Democratic Party and its voters are experiencing a breakdown in communication.

Generation and Gender Dynamics

There is also a demographic divide when it comes to placing blame.

• Younger Democrats are especially critical of the party’s centrist campaign strategy. They want a progressive approach that distinguishes Democrats from conservatives.
• Many younger voters are disillusioned, viewing Democratic leadership as unwilling to pursue transformative policies that could address systemic inequalities.
• Women, particularly those concerned with abortion rights, highlight the implications of a Trump victory for women.
• They say gender-based messaging failed to emphasize the stakes of a setback for gender equality under Trump.

Generational and gender divides reveal competing priorities and expectations in the Democratic coalition. Disagreements, regardless of cause, highlight the Harris campaign’s failure to unite an increasingly diverse voter base under a cohesive message.

Third-Party Candidates

There is also resentment toward Democratic voters who opted for third-party candidates, blaming "spoilers" who fractured the left-leaning vote.

• Frustration with the lack of unity on the left is exacerbated by lingering disillusionment with the electoral process.
• Allegations of voter fraud or electoral manipulation surface in many discussions, often alongside calls for greater accountability and transparency.

Disaffected Democrats receive blame from the core base, while those disaffected blame the party for straying too far left.

Following Trump’s hostoric win in the 2024 election, more people are expressing skepticism about the results of the 2020 election. At the time of this writing, total votes cast in 2024 have fallen more than 16 million short of the 155 million touted in 2020.

Conversations reveal a sense of confusion and growing questions about the validity of 2020 numbers. People are voicing distrust in democratic institutions, confusions, concern, and grievance. Some point out the drastic spike in popular vote totals for Joe Biden in 2020 as an unconvincing anomaly which has not been sufficiently explained.

Sorry to beat a dead horse, but can we go back to what happened here? pic.twitter.com/FkScNHivuU

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) November 6, 2024

Suspicion and Distrust

• Between 50-70% of election-related discussions show a pervasive belief that the 2020 election was manipulated or "stolen."
• Sentiments are driven by old and new grievances around vote counting, absentee ballot handling, and perceived interference from influential political figures.
• Many people view the 2020 election indicative of a corrupted electoral system, amplifying calls for transparency and changes to voting regulations.
• This sustained distrust reflects wider skepticism of the institutions that continue to erode confidence in government institutions.

Idealizing Past “Truthful” Elections

• Conversations contrast the perceived flaws of the 2020 election with an idealized past when voters feel elections were simpler and more transparent.
• This nostalgic framing imagines a bygone era of “truthful” elections and democratic purity when voters trusted institutions.
• Trump’s presidency is often framed as a period when political integrity and fairness were stronger, contrasting perceived betrayals in the 2020 outcome.
• This idealization solidifies voters in a collective desire for “restoration” and perceived moral clarity.

Yes, let's do go back. American voters want and deserve to know precisely where 81 million "votes" appeared from and how all the official 2020 evidence collected via courts and states has never been properly analyzed, summarized and presented. It's a huge public topic. https://t.co/mYHb6WxVI5 pic.twitter.com/vm17MOXUWu

— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) November 6, 2024

Language of Fear and Urgency

• Rhetoric around the 2020 election incorporates language of fear and urgency, often placed in existential terms.
• Phrases like “the last free election” or “fight for our democracy” reinforce a belief that core American freedoms are at risk.
• This language intensifies the emotional resonance of the “stolen election” narrative, presenting it as a political concern and an existential threat.
• Framing magnifies the urgency for action, mobilizing those who doubt the legitimacy of the electoral process.

Collective Memory

• There is a noticeable trend of commenters referencing old grievances, such as the 1960 Nixon-Kennedy election or other contentious moments in American political history.
• By positioning the 2020 election in this historical context, people highlight a legacy of electoral controversy, which serves to legitimize current doubts.
• Collective memory reinforces perceptions of a continuous struggle for transparency and fairness, battling systemic corruption.

Spiritual Appeals and Calls for Unity

• Suspicion drives calls for urgent intervention, with many framing the restoration of democratic integrity as a moral and spiritual duty.
• Americans call for unity through “prayers for America” or a “return to God’s values,” intertwining of faith and political viewpoints.
• For many, questioning the 2020 election a civic duty and a moral imperative.
• This spiritual framing fosters a sense of righteous indignation, mobilizing supporters around a higher cause and reinforcing their commitment to truth and transparency.

Over the last three election cycles, trust in political polls has dramatically deteriorated. Polling inaccuracies and media reporting on potential outcomes are destroying confidence and eroding public trust. After multiple elections where predictive numbers majorly failed to capture American sentiments, many are saying they’re done with legacy institutions.

You are the media now

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 6, 2024

Americans discuss Elon Musk’s alliance with Trump and his decision to buy Twitter (now X) in 2022 as death blows to mainstream media. Discussions of news media lies being revealed through citizen journalism on X bolster sentiments that America is ready to discard legacy platforms.

Unsalvageable Distrust Among Americans

Voters have long voiced distrust toward the media and political polls, but Trump’s shocking blowout victory only confirms those sentiments. Many point to inaccurate poll projections as evidence of anti-Trump and anti-conservative bias from the establishment regime.

Many see problems both in flawed methodology and elite resentment toward average Americans. Some voters even suggest mainstream polling is manipulated or used as a rhetorical tool to favor establishment narratives.

There is a reason why educated people vote blue. What we’re seeing is the uneducated population of America holding the rest of the country hostage. This is why there’s such a push to weaken education, ban books, and outlaw the teaching of Black history by the Republican Party.

— Sueanna Smith, PhD (@SueannaSmith3) November 6, 2024

• Distrust of Accuracy: Around 37% of voters say "polling manipulation" is a primary concern, believing poll results are skewed to fit media or political agendas.
• Partisan Divide: Conservative and right-leaning voters are more likely to distrust polling data, while liberal-leaning voters show more confidence.
• Broken System: Roughly 55% of conservatives say polling inaccuracies reflect deeper issues in the election process.

The sentiment exists among traditional conservative demographics, but now also resonates among Independents who distrust poll numbers. Many suggest traditional polling techniques may no longer capture the complexities of an evolving electorate.

MIG Reports Data

Amid many wildly inaccurate traditional polls, MIG Reports data proves to be highly competitive in tracking sentiment and trends among online voters.

MIG Reports data on the morning of Election Day showed Trump winning all the competitive battle ground states except VA and MN.

As of this writing, NYT election results show:

• Wisconsin +.88 for Trump
• Virginia +5 for Harris
• Pennsylvania +2 for Trump
• Nevada +5 for Trump
• North Carolina +3 for Trump
• Minnesota +4 for Harris
• Michigan +1.6 for Trump
• Georgia +2 for Trump
• Arizona +5 for Trump

Themes Emerging from Public Reactions

Voter sentiment surrounding polling isn’t just about accuracy—it’s an indictment of outdated and inadequate methodologies that fail to evolve with culture and technology.

• Demand for Transparency: Voters want greater transparency in polling methods. They seek clear explanations of how sample groups are selected, what adjustments are made for turnout assumptions, and how error margins are communicated.
• Media Narratives: Many say the media’s heavy reliance on polls—especially when those polls inaccurately project outcomes—only fuels distrust. They say media framing particularly underplays conservative viewpoints, causing an information bubble that misleads voters.
• Growing Cynicism: More voters are saying this election marks a shift away from mainstream reporting and polling metrics toward independent analysis. Many express hope that legacy institutions like the news media and political consultants will face extinction before 2028.

Polling and Voting Security

Many view predictive polling inaccuracies as connected to worries about election integrity and the voting system itself. Right-leaning voters often point to polling errors as evidence the electoral process may be similarly flawed, particularly regarding voting security.

• Mail-in Voting: 40% of right leaning voters continue to express doubts about the authenticity of mail-in ballots, which they perceive as prone to manipulation.
• "Red Mirage": Some discuss the concept of the “Red Mirage,” where initial in-person voting leans right only for mail-in ballots to shift later shift results to Democrats. This reinforces their belief that mail-in voting lacks transparency and amplifies polling errors.
• Voter ID: Up to 70% of Americans support voter ID laws, seeing them as a safeguard for election security. The absence of such standards across states feeds into skepticism about the election system’s integrity.

Proposed Reforms

Given the ongoing erosion of trust in polling and news reporting, many are calling for concrete reforms.

• Polling Transparency: Voters want pollsters to provide detailed breakdowns of how samples are chosen, the assumptions behind turnout models, and the adjustments made to reflect historical voting patterns.
• Adapting Methodologies: The call for modernized polling methods is growing. Many voters believe polling organizations should explore new techniques, like online panels, that better capture the evolving nature of the electorate.
• Media Accountability: There is strong support for media outlets to emphasize the provisional nature of predictions—though many also call for the death of mainstream media altogether.

Donald Trump’s decisive 2024 victory surprised many Americans, including hopeful MAGA voters who were optimistic but cautious about a potentially contentious win. With a robust electoral college win and projections for the popular vote, Trump reasserts his influence.

For many, the win represents a reaffirmation of America’s core values and hopes for economic recovery. For many on the left and in the media, Trump’s shocking comeback forebodes a concerning shift towards authoritarianism and global destabilization.

Jake Tapper and Anderson Copper: This is the greatest comeback in history pic.twitter.com/qOajjyTtlM

— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) November 6, 2024

• 40% of reactions express feelings of elation and optimism, celebrating Trump as a driving force for a return to traditional values and strong leadership.
• 30% view Trump’s triumph with deep concern, fearing authoritarianism and threats to democracy.
• 20% say they identify as undecided voters or previously aligned with Democratic ideals, but now express openness to Trump due to frustration with Democrat leaders.

Trump Supporters Celebrate

MAGA voters are experiencing a surge of enthusiasm, viewing his victory as a triumphal declaration America’s voice. Voters are rallying around hope for the economy, national security, and traditional values.

Many who were cautiously optimistic going into Election Day, express relief and joy at such a resounding win. Those who were braced for a protracted election with potentially drawn-out legal battles are sighing in relief as Trump unexpectedly secured the popular vote and potentially the House, within the night.

Economic Optimism

• Trump supporters overwhelmingly view his leadership as a return to economic fundamentals.
• Supporters discuss inflation control, job creation, and energy independence as expected outcomes under Trump.
• 40% of pro-Trump voters voice strong confidence in expectations of economic improvement for the next four years.

Defense of American Values

• Many see this win as a rejection of “leftist agendas,” with strong support for “America First,” particularly on immigration and national security.
• Social conservatism plays a key role, with voters expressing happiness at the prospect of rolling back woke ideology.
• Religious supporters say Trump’s comeback is a divinely led return to order, viewing providential events as a protection of freedom and liberty.

Rejection of Political Elitism

• There is a counter-cultural sentiment among Trump voters who feel resentful of “elite” media narratives.
• Voters view this decisive message to elites as pushing back against the establishment, positioning Trump’s win as a repudiation of legacy institutions.

Concerns from Democratic Voters

For many Democrats, Trump’s victory has fueled apprehension and frustration. They fear Trump is a threat to civil liberties, social justice, and particularly abortion.

Fear of Authoritarianism

• Progressive Democrats worry Trump’s leadership threatens democratic norms, with 30% expressing urgent concerns over potential authoritarian tendencies.
• Fears are centered on perceived risks to women’s rights, LGBTQ+ protections, and voting rights.
• Social justice advocates are concerned Trump’s stance on racial issues and immigration will increase divisions within American society.

Climate and Social Issues

• Democrats see Trump’s previous track record as detrimental to climate policies, fearing deregulation.
• Concerns extend to healthcare and educational equality, where Trump’s policies are viewed as dangerous to the vulnerable.

Distrust of MAGA

• Many Democrats describe Trump’s rhetoric as combative, warning it will stoke societal divisions.
• For this demographic, Trump’s win is not just political but symbolic of a cultural regression, with “MAGA” values often seen as exclusionary and harmful to minority groups.

On Election Day, polls are all over the place and electoral vote predictions are murkier than ever. According to MIG Reports data driven by AI and online voter discussion, Trump is leading in the most critical battleground states.

• Overall, data suggests Trump has 53% support nationally to Harris’s 45% support.
• In battleground states, Trump leads everywhere except Virginia and Minnesota, with his largest lead in Arizona at +9 and Nevada at +8.

Trump’s Base is Energized

Donald Trump’s supporters are resolute and mobilized to vote. The core of Trump’s appeal lies in his promises of economic recovery, traditional values, and an assertive national defense policy.

GOP messaging consistently underscores Biden-Harris's economic failings, especially inflation, which feel as eroding American family budgets. In daily discussions, Trump leads Harris in both volume and sentiment.

Top Voter Topics

• Economy: Voters want Trump’s economic policies, citing poor financial situations in the last four years.
• Traditional Values: Americans want a resurgence of traditional cultural values, particularly rejecting progressive values like identity politics and woke ideology.
• Border: Trump’s firm stance on border security continues to energize voters who want to prioritize Americans over illegal immigrants.
• National Security: Many express greater confidence in Trump’s ability to handle foreign nations and prevent world conflict in places like the Middle East and Russia.

Harris Struggling to Mobilize Beyond Her Base

Kamala Harris enters Election Day facing significant hurdles. While she has managed to secure strong support within progressive circles, her campaign faces resistance from moderate and undecided voters.

Critical Discussions

• Economic Concerns: Many voters say the Biden-Harris administration drastically worsened the economy. They feel rising costs of living particularly hurt Democratic appeal among working-class voters.
• Leadership: Harris critics cite her lack of achievements, inability to articulate a clear vision, and her failure to deftly handle tough questions as indicative of insufficient leadership qualities.
• Government Overreach: Harris’s stance on social justice and progressive policies, particularly regarding lawfare and proposed price controls, alienates moderates who worry about governmental overreach.

Gender Dynamics

Gender divisions play a critical role in this election. Women appear notably energized, primarily driven by abortion and healthcare access. Early reports suggest women are expected to outnumber men at the polls—though how many will vote Harris versus Trump remains to be seen.

Men are focused on economic stability and traditional values, expressing concern about rising inflation and a deterioration of trust in American institutions.

Voter Turnout Trends

• Women: Around 75% of online discussions among women focus on social justice, abortion, and healthcare.
• Men: Around 65% of discussions among men are motivated by economic conservatism and national security.