An analysis of swing states by MIG Reports in the upcoming 2024 presidential election indicates former President Trump has a slight lead over President Biden on three key issues: border security, the economy, and foreign wars.

Several other data points also indicate a preference for Trump, highlighting successes from his administration and a general distrust of Biden’s leadership. Additionally, criticism of Biden appears to reflect recent and ongoing events. Criticisms of Trump are largely historical events like “Russiagate” and his handling of COVID, rather than current issues.

2024 President Race

Pennsylvania

Discussion about Trump is centered on his potential re-election and the perception that he still poses a significant challenge to the current administration. Some voters believe there are politicized efforts to mitigate his influence. They infer this means he remains an influential figure in politics, despite Democratic hopes to the contrary.

Conversations about Biden are predominantly critical. There are many accusations ranging from personal dishonesty to broader criticisms of his administration's handling of immigration and foreign conflicts. Despite negative sentiment, some voters express support for Biden's efforts to bring change and view him as the best option for Democratic re-election.

Georgia

Sentiment towards Trump is predominantly negative in Georgia. Voters focus on his past actions which they view as disrespectful or deceitful. Most conversations suggest little support for Trump’s potential return to office. However, there are pockets of supporters who believe in his chances of winning, highlighting the persistence of his voter base.

Discussions about Biden highlight his empathetic side, accomplishments, and significant support. There is specific discussion about his work with a young boy who stutters and his campaign's success in engaging younger voters. However, there are also criticisms and skepticism of his administration's effectiveness and integrity, including doubts about a potential second term.

Florida

Discussion trends among Trump supporters focus on calls for Biden's impeachment, citing perceived failures in his administration and criticism of the economy. There's also strong opposition towards Biden, with doubts about the legitimacy of his 2020 election and criticism of Vice President Kamala Harris's handling of the border crisis.

Conversely, Biden supporters dismiss calls for his impeachment. They accuse Republicans of distracting from policy issues. They criticize Trump for his alleged role in January 6 and express frustration with Republican obstructionism. Overall, sentiment reflects impatience with polarization and skepticism towards Trump's actions.

Ohio

Criticism of Trump centers on his personal character and past actions, including accusations of domestic abuse and criticism of his business practices. Some defend him, portraying him as a victim of political bias. Others express dissatisfaction with both parties' inability to listen to voters.

Criticism towards Biden focuses on his past actions, policies, family, wealth, and mental capability. There are accusations of hypocrisy and controversies involving his family members. While some appreciate his support of small businesses, overall sentiment remains largely negative towards both Biden and VP Harris.

Wisconsin

Discussion about Trump suggests frustration and disappointment with both his term and the current administration. Some imply trust in government is continuing to fall. There's a notable lack of direct mentions of Trump, indicating a shift in focus away from him as a news driver for Wisconsin voters.

Criticism towards Biden includes accusations of selling out the country, racism, and pedophilia. There is negative sentiment focused on perceived wrongdoings and scandals. However, some voters defend Biden, attributing budget mishandling to Congress and expressing support for his leadership.

Nevada

Discussion of Trump in Nevada includes criticism for past behavior and scandals during his presidency. However, it's less frequent and focused compared to criticisms of Biden. Some voters reference Trump's impeachment and refusal to accept the presidential salary.

Sentiment towards Biden is overwhelmingly negative in Nevada. There are accusations that he is a traitor, a criminal, and dishonest. Criticisms focus on his policies, particularly in foreign affairs and the economy. There are also frequent references to broken promises and negative comparisons with Trump.

North Carolina

Voter discourse about Trump includes criticism for being twice impeached and labeled as a liar and a criminal. However, there's a significant amount of support for his return in 2024, reflected in posts using #Trump2024.

Sentiment towards Biden is largely negative in North Carolina. There’s criticism directed at his policies, decisions, and personal character. Calls for his impeachment and hashtags like #DemocratsAreDestroyingAmerica indicate dissatisfaction with his leadership, along with attacks on VP Harris.

New Hampshire

Online discussion about Trump includes criticism of his character, handling of the pandemic, and faith. But there's also notable support, especially regarding his influence on industries like trucking and calls for him to run again in 2024.

Discussions around Biden are predominantly negative. New Hampshire voters criticize his policy decisions, leadership, and allegations of dementia and manipulation by a "shadow government.” However, some comments express support for his commitment to youth and AAPI communities, democracy, the environment, and optimism for a potential second term.

Michigan

Public sentiment towards Trump in Michigan is mixed but leans negative. There are criticisms of his personal behavior, alleged misconduct, and perceived corruption. However, some express support for his economic policies.

Sentiment towards Biden is predominantly negative. Voters accuse him of incompetence, dishonesty, and senility, along with speculating about his mental state and potential impeachment. Some voters express support for Biden's financial investments in public education and enthusiasm for his re-election.

Arizona

Discourse about Trump includes criticism of his past actions and handling of issues like immigration. Some Arizonans do defend him, claiming he's unfairly and politically targeted, anticipating his potential future leadership.

The sentiment towards Biden in Arizona is predominantly negative. There are calls for impeachment, criticism of policies, and dissatisfaction with the economy. However, some voters express support for the Biden-Harris team, praising VP Harris.

U.S. National Security Issues

Pennsylvania

Sentiment toward Trump on national security is mixed. Some in Pennsylvania express strong support for his policies, particularly regarding Ukraine and the Middle East. Others strongly criticize his handling of conflicts and allege ties to Russia.

Discussion about Biden is also mixed, with some supporting his approach to international issues like the Israel-Hamas conflict. Others question his emotional state and raise concerns about controversies like Hunter Biden's alleged laptop scandal.

Georgia

Discussion about Trump focuses on his administration's handling of international affairs. Supporters in Georgia credit him for maintaining peace in the Middle East and criticizing the current state under Biden's leadership. Critics see him as dangerous and unfit, accusing him of inciting insurrection and destabilizing alliances like NATO.

Sentiment toward Biden is mixed, with critics blaming him for perceived threats to Israel's sovereignty and conflicts in Ukraine. Democratic supporters defend his administration's actions and blame problems on the previous administration, particularly Trump's handling of foreign affairs.

Florida

Florida discussion about Trump shows strong support for his stance on Hamas and Israel. Some believe the conflict in the Middle East wouldn't have escalated under his leadership. However, others criticize him for potential ulterior motives in his relationship with Putin and handling of the Ukraine situation.

Sentiment towards Biden is less clear, with some users expressing skepticism about his approach to managing the Israel-Palestine conflict and providing aid to Israel, while others criticize his seeming support for Ukraine amid discussions about the role of Russia and Ukraine in foreign policy dynamics.

Ohio

Discussion about Trump reveals mixed sentiment in Ohio. Some express support for his pro-Israel stance and other foreign policies. Others criticize him for alleged ties to Russia and policies during his administration they believe didn't benefit the United States.

Ohio voters also criticize Biden's leadership, blaming him for a negative international image of America. There is also criticism for instances Hamas support on university campuses. Discussion trends focus on international relations and funding allocation, with questions about why funds are sent to Ukraine amidst domestic issues.

Wisconsin

Sentiment towards Trump is polarized in Wisconsin. Some express staunch support, citing him as a strong ally to Israel. Others criticize him for allegedly prioritizing Russia over America. There are also accusations of political corruption.

Discussions about Biden’s foreign policy center on his handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict. Sentiment seems split between dissatisfied Democrats and supporters. This is encapsulated in the term "Ben-Gvir vote," suggesting alignment with a hardline stance on Israel's security and sovereignty. There are allegations of political corruption, with public scrutiny towards financial influences in Biden’s administration.

Nevada

Sentiment towards Trump on security issues is mixed. Some Nevadans accuse him of colluding with Russia. Detractors express concern about his potential influence on future elections. However, many strongly support him, challenging the narrative that he has ties with Russia and emphasizing his support for Israel.

Discussion about Biden is similarly divided. Some voters show gratitude for his actions, especially regarding Israel and Hamas. Critics disavow his policies, particularly his approach to Ukraine and Israel. They question the accountability of aid provided to Ukraine.

North Carolina

In North Carolina, discussion about Trump is intensely polarized. Supporters praise his leadership skills, saying he will win the 2024 election. They applaud his stance on foreign policy and security. Detractors express concern about the potential for his return and criticize his approach to international relations, particularly with Ukraine and Russia.

References to Biden in the discussion focus on his administration's actions in the Ukraine conflict. Critics argue his policies have been ineffective and led to increased aggression from Russia. However, there are fewer direct sentiments expressed about Biden compared to Trump, indicating the current narrative is more heavily focused on Trump.

New Hampshire

Discussion around Trump includes his relationship with Russia, with some claiming he was "installed" by the country. Others find the idea amusing. His perceived attitude towards Palestine and Israel also generates criticism from anti-Israel activists. There's also criticism of his divisive politics, with some expressing optimism for a future where he is less influential.

Biden's narrative is less prominent in New Hampshire. There are isolated mentions such as an alleged link between Biden and the 1968 PLO terrorists. However, there's less discussion overall. The issue of financial aid to Ukraine and Israel is recurring in the minimal conversation. Some question foreign funding, suggesting the southern border of the U.S is more pressing.

Michigan

Discussion around Trump centers on his perceived relationship with Putin and Russia. There are allegations that he sold out the country and deliberately mishandled Afghanistan to distract from Russia's actions in Ukraine. There are also criticisms of his Middle Eastern policy. However, some Michigan voters express confidence in Trump’s ability to handle international relations if re-elected.

Sentiment towards Biden is also largely negative. There is focus on his administration's role in the Israeli-Hamas conflict and accusations of complicity in the Gaza Genocide. However, some praise his legislative operations and support his foreign aid decisions, indicating some mixed sentiment.

Arizona

For Trump, criticisms often focus on allegations of corruption and criminal behavior, including accusations of selling intelligence to Russia and Saudi Arabia. Despite this, many in Arizona praise his strong support for Israel and his tough stance against Hamas.

Criticisms of Biden’s foreign policy mainly revolve around his handling of international affairs in Ukraine, Russia, and Israel. Some argue his administration's financial aid to Ukraine will lead to more deaths and destruction. Others express disappointment at his perceived ambivalence towards Israel.

Nancy Pelosi recently appeared on MSNBC with Katy Tur, discussing Biden’s allegedly strong job growth numbers. Pelosi claimed Biden has created nine million jobs during his administration. In the exchange that followed, Tur asserted that job losses during Trump’s administration were due to COVID, rather than Trump’s policies.

Reactions to the interaction have split voters in an interesting way, with Republicans echoing Tur’s statement and Democrats siding with Pelosi. While reactions to the MSNBC exchange correspond with partisan divides, many Democratic voters are criticizing Tur and MSNBC for allegedly defending former President Trump.

This event suggests Democratic hatred for Trump may overcome ideological alignment with mainstream media outlets like MSNBC, which is widely viewed as left-leaning. Republicans point out that even a struggling economy and poor job prospects may not unify voters on contrasting narratives and political interpretations.

• Following the exchange between Pelosi and Tur, jobs sentiment toward Trump and Biden flipped, with Trump slightly surpassing Biden in approval.
• Sentiment toward MSNBC among all voters sits at 41%, with “propaganda,” “censorship,” and “fake news” among the top media-related discussion words.

Criticism of MSNBC and Katy Tur

Many voters across party lines are frustrated with MSNBC, especially Katy Tur. Democrats who agree with Nancy Pelosi’s accusation of Tur acting as a Trump apologist say Tur and the network promote a right-leaning bias. They appreciate Pelosi's criticism of Tur, and some have even called for Tur's replacement on MSNBC.

Conservative voters tend to assert Tur made a valid point about job losses during COVID, but still criticize MSNBC for its leftist bias. This group is more likely to discuss the general state of the economy and job market, with concerns about potential layoffs, increased unemployment, and concerns about inflation.

Following this contentious event, voters of all party affiliations express distrust and dissatisfaction with mainstream media, including MSNBC. A common criticism accuses the network of pushing narratives that align with certain political agendas.

Views of Nancy Pelosi

Interestingly, the exchange did not seem to negatively impact Nancy Pelosi’s approval. Many voters view Pelosi as a strong, assertive figure who challenges perceived bias in the media and unhesitatingly voices her opinions. Some Democrats thanked Speaker Pelosi for criticizing Katy Tur for defending Trump's job loss record.

However, many Republican voters are critical of Pelosi's comments, accusing her of undermining Trump's economic and jobs record. They argue Trump achieved significant job growth and that Pelosi is trying to manipulate the narrative to discredit him. These voters are mostly conservative and are generally opposed to Pelosi’s policies.

While partisan disagreement persists, there appears to be a consensus among both conservative and liberal voters that Pelosi is a skilled political operator. For conservatives, this manifests as critique of her as a master manipulator. For liberals, it is expressed as grudging respect for her ability to get things done.

• Despite Republican criticism, Nancy Pelosi’s nation approval increased slightly in the last few days, reaching 50% on April 30.

VP Kamala Harris’s recent appearance on Drew Barrymore's show appears to be drawing criticism and ridicule online. Discussions seem to be dominated by people who are highly critical of Harris and the Biden administration, with a few voices of support.

Barrymore’s comment that Harris should be “Momala” of the nation – a nickname her stepchildren gave her – was met with criticism and ridicule from many voters who poked fun at both Barrymore and Harris. There are also comments criticizing the Vice President’s recognizable laugh and what voters describe as her incomprehensible rhetoric. Many also regularly criticize mainstream media and celebrities for their obvious and cringeworthy political bias.

Harris claimed her laughter is a point of contention for many critics, but insisting the criticism she receives for it amuses her. The conversations seem to reflect the typical petty nature of political discourse, where personal quirks can become a focal point.

Drew Barrymore to Kamala Harris: “We need you to be ‘Momala’ of the country” 🤮

pic.twitter.com/tnqM0huxrK

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) April 29, 2024

The VP's Public Image is Lacking

The discussion about VP Kamala Harris, her laugh, and her confusing way of speaking seems to be divided by political affiliation. Democratic voters say they appreciate her strength and determination, praising the diversity she brings to the White House. In general, they tend to dismiss assertions that Harris is not well spoken or has a grating personality.

More right leaning voters often criticize her, saying she’s a failure and accuse her of neglecting her duties. They sometimes refer to her as being audibly illiterate and claim she rarely speaks coherent sentences. Republicans often brand her as an international embarrassment. Some even call her "Kamala Word-Salad Harris," implying her way of speaking is full of meaningless buzzwords.

As for her laugh, one voter says it's "not funny anymore," suggesting they find it irritating or inappropriate. Many seem to feel her laugh is too frequent, too loud, or not genuine. However, it's important to note that these comments are subjective and do not represent everyone's opinion.

Overall, the discussion seems to be highly influenced by political views. Most people's perceptions of Harris seem to largely depend on whether they align with her politically.

Overall Disapproval Toward VP Harris

• A common concern for the Democratic Party in recent years has been poor approval ratings for VP Harris.
• In the last two weeks, her approval has been sinking, even with a dramatic increase in mentions of her online.
• Just a day after her Drew Barrymore appearance went viral online, approval for VP Harris dropped to 37% nationally.

According to MIG Reports data, some of the most common observations about Harris include:

1. Criticism of her Laugh: Many say her laugh does not lend to the seriousness or impact of her public image, coming off as fake or ill-timed.
2. Accusations of Incompetence: Many voters view Harris as ineffective in her political career, particularly in her handling of the southern border crisis.
3. Support for Re-election: Despite the criticism, some Democratic voters still support VP Harris and President Biden, saying they plan to vote for them.
4. Concerns about Zionism: More progressive Democrats raise concerns about Harris's perceived support for Israel. They view her stance as Zionism.
5. Questions of Honesty: Some voters accuse Harris of lying about her support for the U.S. Constitution and gaslighting the public on certain issues.

As more American voters begin to think about the presidential election this fall, they are beginning to express concerns about political turmoil. MIG Reports analysis shows online discussion about increased turmoil in the form of violent, economic, and political contentions. While Democrats and Republicans typically emphasize different dangers, both sides seem to fear election interference and political violence.

The extent and nature of any pre-election turmoil could significantly impact voter sentiment and turnout, potentially affecting the election's outcome.

Mutual Worries Among Liberals and Conservatives

Most voters are concerned about corruption and unethical behavior within the government. They believe politicians are not acting in the best interest of the public and are instead focused on power and political agendas.

Election Interference

One of the most prominent concerns among all voters, regardless of party, is the possibility of election interference. For Democratic voters, fears seem to center more around potential foreign interference. Republican voters more frequently express skepticism about domestic interference from the Democrat party.

Political Violence and Riots

Memories of January 6 still loom large in the minds of many Democrats. This causes anxiety about the potential for increased “far-right violence,” whether Trump or Biden is reelected. Republicans worry more about politicized violence from leftist activists like Black Lives Matter or anti-Israel protesters. Both sides seem to fear political riots are highly likely no matter who wins the election.

October Surprises

The tradition of October surprises—major news stories breaking shortly before the election—also contributes to worries about election turmoil. Voters fear that such events could sway the election outcome, though there are many speculations as to what an October Suprise might be.

• National sentiment toward the economy, COVID, election integrity and protests have been decreasing in the last two weeks.
• Republicans voice concerns about a potential resurgence of COVID lockdowns and Democrats often worry about election interference.

Black Swan Events Could Bring Upheaval

Black swan events are unpredictable events which have potentially severe consequences. Given their nature, it's challenging to forecast what these could be – but many voters think of recent black swan events like COVID-19.

Some of the black swan events voter mention include:

• Significant escalation in international conflicts
• A global economic crisis
• Environmental or natural disasters
• Another public health or pandemic event

Any major black swan event could dramatically reshape the political landscape and voter sentiment.

Conservatives and right leaning voters are more likely to suggest black swan events like another public health crisis, causing renewed government lockdowns. They are also more likely to mention global economic situations which could severely impact American commerce and quality of life.

Liberal and left leaning voters are more likely to mention wars and conflicts breaking out internationally. They may also be more concerned about potential natural disasters or climate chaos due to climate change.

Republican Fears About Election Turmoil

Republican voters often speak out about potential changes to election laws which they believe could lead to fraud. They cite things like expanded mail-in voting or removal of voter ID laws as election dangers.

These voters also worry about violent protests or riots related to racial or social justice issues. There are also growing concerns about violent anti-Israel protests which could destabilize communities and potentially sway voter sentiment.

While Democrats talk more about misinformation online, some right leaning voters also worry about social media censorship or bias against conservative viewpoints. Many of this group believe that important information was suppressed during the 2020 election which, if voters had known, may have shifted opinions.

Overall, many voters express a lack of trust in the electoral process and legal system. Many Republicans feel the system is corrupt and untrustworthy, expressing disillusionment with the voting process in general. There is a growing sense that voting is becoming futile because of bureaucratic and power-grabbing tactics by corrupt politicians and institutions.

Democratic Fears in 2024

Democrats often voice concern about voter suppression, particularly impacting minority communities. They tend to place this as an important issue which could impede a fair election.

Liberals are also more vocal about the spread of misinformation and disinformation, particularly on social media platforms. This is a shared concern among many voters, but Democrats tend to express more concern about how misinformation may influence voter sentiment and election integrity.

There are some Democratic voters who worry about President Biden's mental fitness, particularly given his age. While this is a worry that many don’t express publicly, those that do fear it could deter Democrats from supporting him in 2024.

Many Democrats also fear the party is not doing enough to address pressing issues like racial and social justice. They fear Biden’s unwillingness to support Palestine or failing to engage with social issues could impact Democratic voter sentiment.

Democratic voters also have deep concerns about the potential impact of a Trump win on the nation's standing in the world. They fear if Trump returns to power, the U.S. may align more with Putin's Russia, which could have consequences for international relations and national security. There is also a strong sentiment among Democratic voters that a potential Trump win could lead to authoritarian rule.

The discourse surrounding election integrity, particularly in relation to Secretary Antony Blinken's claim about China interfering in U.S. elections, is contentious. The sentiments expressed fall along partisan lines and the intensity of these sentiments seems to have escalated after Blinken's claim.

Prior to Blinken's comment, discussion was centered mostly on allegations of domestic election fraud. The 2020 presidential election is still a highlight among many voter conversations. There are still accusations of criminal activity, with many blaming the former president, Donald Trump, for orchestrating a conspiracy to influence the election. This was a recurrent theme in many online comments.

Overall, sentiment toward election integrity is largely negative, with many expressing anger, frustration, and a sense of betrayal. Voter comments suggest a deep-seated mistrust in the electoral system and the political establishment on both sides. There are also calls for ensuring fair elections, with some suggesting measures like paper ballots and identification requirements.

After Blinken's claim, the discourse became even more heated. Allegations of election fraud continue, with some now also linking them to foreign interference, particularly from China. Sentiment is still largely negative, but there is now also a sense of fear and urgency. Many express the need for immediate action to protect the integrity of U.S. elections.

Based on MIG Reports data, most of the public is more worried about domestic interference than foreign interference in the 2024 election. This is evident from numerous references to the 2020 election, during which many allege domestic fraud was a significant issue.

There is a strong narrative among Republicans around a belief that the election was stolen. Some blame key figures in the Republican party for not supporting Donald Trump. Democrats seem more likely to be skeptical that Trump himself attempted to tamper with the election and secure an illegitimate presidency against the will of the people.

The discussion about NYC union workers and their support for Trump swept across social media recently, with videos of workers chanting, “USA” and “We want Trump!” While the former president visited with blue collar constituents, he told them he is going to try to win New York and is hopeful about his prospects.

Union Workers chanting “We Want Trump” and “USA”

pic.twitter.com/y7lGeIlvIT

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) April 25, 2024

Viral videos of voters in a notoriously blue New York City generated enthusiasm and approval among workers on the ground and voters viewing online. Trump’s surprise visit to the NYC construction site and positive reactions from Teamsters suggests strong support within that sector. Commenters say this indicates Trump may have significant backing from working-class voters in the city, which could impact the election if those voters turn out in large numbers.

Some believe this display of support indicates a shift in the traditional political alignment of unions, which typically lean Democratic. They suggest Trump's populist approach and focus on job creation resonates with these workers. There are suggestions NYC union worker enthusiasm potentially signals a broader trend of support among working class Americans.

The fact that Trump is actively meeting voters in NYC, while Biden is viewed as frequently confused and unable to make relatable campaign appearances, could also sway voters towards Trump. Especially voters feel he is more engaged and connected with them.

Overall, the discussion suggests Trump's support among NYC union workers could be a good sign for Trump’s campaign, among other recent wins. However, the outcome will likely depend on a variety of other factors, including overall voter turnout and the level of support Democrats can maintain.

• Following Trump’s visit to NYC union workers, discussion jumped sharply as Trump support slightly climbed.
• Biden support on the topic of union workers wavered slightly more, despite Democrats historically capturing much of the union worker vote.

Democrat Lamentations

Those who vehemently oppose Trump reacted negatively to footage of union workers celebrating him. They label Trump a criminal and traitor, saying one video of a man shouting“F*** you” to Biden is not indicative of overall New Yorker sentiment. Reactions suggest progressive Democrats are incensed at the show of support for Biden.

Some Democrats express surprise and confusion over why union workers would support Trump, given their belief in his administration’s anti-union stance. They argue this public display of support may be limited to specific unions or industries, rather than reflecting a larger trend among union workers nationwide. Voter groups like union workers and even Gen Z, who many expect to support Biden, elicit skepticism from Democrats if they voice support for Trump. 

There are also suggestions the event was staged to make Trump support look stronger than it really is. This groups says it was astroturfed to counter the anti-Trump sentiments in NYC. There are also criticisms directed towards the workers themselves, with some suggesting any union worker supporting Trump is ignorant of his anti-union stance.

Potential Election Impact

Some people believe this union support is significant and could indicate shifts that may sway the results of the election. They argue union workers make up a significant portion of the workforce and their support could represent a larger trend among blue collar workers. Some also speculate that, should Trump get convicted by a New York jury, it could potentially increase his support with average Americans who view the trail as politicized.

Others, however, argue the support from NYC union workers is not representative of the broader population. They point out that NYC is generally liberal and that union support for Trump could be more of an anomaly than a trend.

Although some believe it could help shift traditionally Democratic states like New York towards the Republican column, others argue it’s unlikely given the overall political leanings of these states.

JUST IN: Donald Trump announces he is going to try to win the state of New York during a visit with Union workers at a construction site in Manhattan.

The workers could be heard saying “We Love Trump” as he made the announcement.

“We're very close in New York. I understand…… pic.twitter.com/5hqItz5JyH

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) April 25, 2024

After Trump’s comments saying he hopes to win New York, some voters are hopefully a showing like this could swing the vote in favor of Trump. They are also hopeful this sentiment is echoed across other unions and blue-collar workers in the US. Others, however, argue that Trump's policies do not align with the interests of union workers and express confusion and disbelief at the support he received in NYC.

There's also mention of union leader Bobby Bartels meeting with Trump and expressing a shift in political allegiance from Democrat to Republican due to dissatisfaction with Democratic policies over the past four years. This indicates a potential shift in voter sentiment among union workers.

MIG Reports analysis of Joe Biden's proposed plan to grant legal status to illegal immigrants who married U.S. citizens sheds light on the heated and polarizing debate around immigration policy in the United States. The discussion shows a clear divide in opinions about the Biden policy with little room for a neutral stance.

This Biden program would provide “mixed-status couples” exemption from deporting the spouse who is in the country illegally. Critics express deep-seated frustrations over the financial burden on taxpayers, perceived threats to national security, and prioritizing foreign interests over domestic issues. They call for stricter border control measures, notably the construction of a wall along the southern U.S. border, and express anger at what they perceive as a lack of action from political leaders to address these concerns. There are also allegations of corruption and misuse of funds intended for the construction of the border wall, further fueling the controversy. The issue becomes especially touchy for Americans who feel the real-world impact of Biden's economic policies.

Supporters of the proposed policy are reacting saying criticism is misdirected and more comprehensive immigration reform is necessary. They point out the shortcomings of a wall as a deterrent for illegal immigration, suggesting alternative border control measures. 

Implications on the Border Discussion

If Biden continues with the policy of granting work authorization to illegal alien spouses, it could potentially escalate the ongoing debate about immigration policies. This may lead to further polarization of public opinion, with one group arguing for the rights of these individuals and another group emphasizing the need to prioritize the interests of American citizens.

Sentiment towards border control measures is likely to remain contentious. Those advocating for stricter measures will likely stand firm in their beliefs, especially if the high number of illegal crossings does not cease. Those against a physical wall may push for more progressive immigration reform, claiming to focus on the root causes of migration and advocating for more humane treatment of immigrants.

Biden's policies on these issues will continue to be a focal point of political and public discussion, with sentiment likely to fluctuate in response to policy changes and ongoing events at the border.

Hollywood actor Alec Baldwin’s recent encounter with a pro-Palestine activist has generated sympathy from conservatives who typically criticize him. There are various reactions to Baldwin's interaction with a pro-Palestine protester, who goes by “Crackhead Barney,” in a deli. The altercation reflects the politically charged discourse around the Israel-Hamas conflict.

Anti-Israel progressives are highly critical of Baldwin's response, considering his reaction to support a Zionist perspective. Republicans and Democrats who support Israel are more likely to side with Baldwin, saying the protestor who calls herself “Crackhead Barney” acted inappropriately.

Many right leaning commentors express the sentiment that a person must be astonishingly distasteful and offensive to make conservatives defend Baldwin. A tweet from comedian Adam Corolla represents this common reaction on the right.

You know you’re crazy when you make Alec Baldwin seem chill.

Get a life, Crackhead. https://t.co/xCDaCV6c2u

— Adam Carolla (@adamcarolla) April 23, 2024

Leftists and Palestine sympathizers accuse Baldwin of being a Zionist because he would not comply with Crackhead Barney’s demand that he say “Free Palestine.” These activists argue standing with humanity should involve supporting the Palestinian evoke condemnations of Israel's actions. One person accused Baldwin of acting violently against the activist when he knocked the phone out of her hand.

The New York Post tweeted images of the altercation, generating reactions criticizing Crackhead Barney for such a public display. Many say she represents the kind of activist voters are growing irritated with and who pose problems within Joe Biden’s voter base.

Alec Baldwin’s scuffle with anti-Israel agitator ‘Crackhead Barney’ spilled out onto sidewalk outside NYC coffee shop, photos show https://t.co/mJP1Hra9Gl pic.twitter.com/igDtRBEbMn

— New York Post (@nypost) April 23, 2024

Overall, it seems many Americans are increasingly tired and becoming frustrated with continued anti-Irael protests and altercations.

• National sentiment toward Palestine sunk below both Israel and protest topics in the last week, reaching a low of 35%.
• Israel sentiment dipped to 38% percent as all three topics trend downward but remains higher than both protest and Palestine sentiment.

Voter Criticisms of Anti-Israel Activists

Anti-Israel protests continue across public events and streets, on university campuses, and in altercations like the one involving Alec Baldwin. As these demonstrations continue, American voters increasingly express several criticisms.

• Accusations of Antisemitism: One of the most common complaints is that these protests often cross the line into antisemitism and harassment of Jewish people.
• Disruption of Academic Activities: Critics argue say university protests disrupt regular academic activities, citing instances where universities have had to switch to online classes due to intense protests.
• Violence and Intimidation: Many identify violence and intimidation from protesters who increasingly harass and endanger students and uninvolved citizens.
• Support for Terrorism: Many Americans say pro-Palestine rhetoric promotes support for terrorist groups like Hamas.
• Disruption of Public Order: People seem weary of protests which lead to public disorder, often inconveniencing individuals and commerce.
• Impact on Relations with Israel: Some worry about the impact of protests on U.S.-Israel relations, fearing progressives may pressure Biden into abandoning Israel.
• Misinformation: Critics say protesters spread misinformation about the conflict, portraying Hamas as sympathetic and Israel as violent.

If pro-Palestine protests continue to irritate American voters, sentiment could sway negatively against Joe Biden, who is often perceived as harboring or being complicit in anti-Israel sentiment. After the Biden administration’s condemnation of recent violent university protests, Democrats may alternatively run the risk of alienating progressive anti-Israel voters.

As Trump’s New York trial over alleged hush money payments gets underway, there’s significant partisan reactions on both sides. Republicans tend to be angry and frustrated about the trial, characterizing it as politically motivated and unjust. Democrats are more likely to celebrate the potential for punishment and criticize Trump’s behavior during the trail.

It remains to be seen whether the trial or possible convictions will impact Trump’s support in the presidential election. However, sentiment among all voters is lower regarding accusations made against Trump than the court case itself.

• The top three keywords used in discussions related to Trump and allegations, according to MIG Reports data, are “Corruption,” “Accusations,” and “Biden.”
• The top keywords related to Trump and legal topics are “Indictment,” “Investigation,” and “DOJ.”
• Nationally, sentiment toward Trump’s legal cases hovers in the low to mid 40% range, while sentiment toward allegations against him stays mid to high 30%.
• In swing states, sentiment for both topics is tighter, but averages higher for both legal and allegations.

Trump’s Gag Order

Many voters view the gag order against Trump as an unjust political move instigated by the Biden administration. Often Trump supporters, they express their frustration with politicized courts and judges who seem to be out to “get Trump.”

Furthermore, there are those who voice their concern over the potential impact of the gag order on democracy. They view the gag order as a threat to democratic principles, arguing that it hampers the ability of voters to make informed decisions as the election unfolds. This sentiment is more frequently held by Republicans and MAGA conservatives. But the concern does seem to cross party lines in some instances where voters are concerned about the integrity of the court system and elections.

Never Trumpers and Democrats tend to support the gag order, celebrating the idea that Trump should be silenced by a judge’s order.

Republicans Reactions to Jury Selection and Judge Merchan

Many Republicans view this hush money trial as politically motivated and part of a broader attempt to undermine the election. They argue Judge Merchan’s actions and the evidence allowed in the case are fueled by partisan bias and are unfair. Some suggest prosecutorial focus should be shifted to other political figures, such as Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, whom they accuse of committing crimes and violations.

Conservatives are also more likely to discuss the possibility of a biased jury. They point out that jury selection typically take longer – even in cases where the dependent isn’t a former president. This group worries that it will be nearly impossible for Trump to have an unbiased jury in a city like New York.

Democrats Are Eager for a Conviction

Democrats are largely enthralled and thrilled to witness the Trump trial. They say it is a necessary step towards holding him accountable for his alleged actions. They argue no one, including the President, should be above the law. This group often reiterates their belief that Trump undermines democracy and is a would-be dictator.

Most liberals and Democrats view the trial as a long-overdue measure of accountability. As inferred from Joy Reid's comments, some may see the prosecution of Trump as a victory for multicultural and multiracial democracy.

Democrats are also vocal about how they view Trump’s actions leading up to and during the trial. They criticize his demeanor in the court room and generally view the press's reporting on the trial as accurate and fair. Some Democrats have even called for Trump's immediate imprisonment.

Independents Say They’ll Judge the Trial on its Merits

Independent and more moderate voters have typically scattered views. Some express concern about the potential implications of a conviction if Trump should lose. Others question the timing and motivations behind the prosecutions.

Many Independents say they value weighing the facts of the case without the lens of party loyalty. They may be more focused on the legalities and the implications of the case for political norms and the rule of law. This could cause moderates to sway in Trump’s favor if they perceive a flimsy legal cause may be politicizing the court system.

Other believe Trump should face the consequences of his actions, siding with Democrats. However, in general, Independents are more likely to focus on the specific facts of the case rather than each party's rhetoric about the proceedings.

Media Coverage of the Trial

The press's coverage of the trial is similarly partisan. Conservative outlets tend to portray the trial as a politically motivated attack on Trump. They tend to focus on Judge Merchan’s actions and whether they believe the jurors can remain fair.

Liberal and mainstream outlets largely focus on describing Trump’s actions and demeanor in court. Some outlets have included analysis of Trump’s expressions and interactions in detail.

Many voters view various news coverage of the trial as biased according to political leaning. They also lament the fact that no video or audio from the trial is allowed, saying voters have a right to witness and judge for themselves.

The man who set himself on fire outside the trial has added another layer to the discussion. His extreme act has been reported widely, with his identity as an "investigative researcher" adding to confusion about his potential political affiliations.