The reactions to Judge Juan Merchan holding former President Trump in contempt for violating a gag order doesn’t seem to sway voter opinions about the court case or Trump as a 2024 presidential candidate. Those who support Trump and view the trial as politicized continue to do so. And those who believe Trump should be punished for his actions feel Judge Merchan’s actions are justified.

Republicans and conservatives express outrage and skepticism at the contempt ruling. They view special counsel Jack Smith as a political hitman and believe the case is politically motivated. Many also believe Trump is being unjustly persecuted and are calling for investigations into the individuals they perceive to be orchestrating this persecution.

Democrats and anti-Trump Republicans are more likely to believe Trump has violated the gag order and should be held accountable for his actions. These voters are likely to be generally critical of Trump's presidency and his future election prospects. They argue no one is above the law, including former presidents, and Trump should face the consequences of his actions.

Liberals tend to believe Trump represents a threat to democracy and accuse him of aspiring to dictatorship. This group often cites various investigations and legal actions against Trump as evidence of his supposed criminal behavior.

The fact that Trump is being prosecuted for multiple crimes indicates to anti-Trump voters that he is guilty. Meanwhile, the same evidence is viewed by Trump supporters, not as a sign that Trump is guilty, but rather that the cases are politically motivated.

Some moderate voters hold skepticism towards both sides, questioning the motivations and actions of all involved. These individuals express frustration at the perceived political theater and call for more focus on issues that directly affect the American people.

There are also Democrats who express concern about the potential impact of protests and contempt charges on the upcoming election. They worry court rulings or convictions could lead to a backlash among certain voter groups, ultimately helping Trump in his re-election bid.

• Donald Trump being held in contempt by Judge Merchan has not significantly impacted his approval, dropping only one point nationally and in swing states.
• Sentiment towards Trump’s legal issues also dropped slightly, indicating some voters may feel unhappy with the proceedings.

Fear of Trump Being Re-elected

Democrats and anti-Trump Republicans are more likely to view the contempt charge as a clear sign of Trump's disregard for the law and the Constitution. Some liberals argue the former president is attempting to establish a dictatorship, undermine democracy, and escape accountability for alleged criminal activities. They express fear that if Trump were to be re-elected, he would terminate the Constitution and establish authoritarian rule.

Concern Over Judicial Norms

The reaction of many legal professionals and experts has placed focus on the implications of a former president being held in contempt. These experts argue the issue is less about Trump as an individual and more about the precedent it sets for future interactions between the judiciary and the executive branch. Many legal minds contrast allegations against Trump with allegations against Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, and Bill Clinton, pointing out that political norms have historically prevented prosecuting political figures.

Critics of Trump argue the Trump prosecutions are justified and fair. They insist Trump's posts on social media could potentially influence the jury and witnesses. They applaud the judge's decision to hold Trump in contempt, arguing his conduct, rather than the tail itself, breaks norms. Some express hope this ruling could lead to further legal consequences for Trump, including potential jail time.

Free Speech Worries

Many are also framing the contempt charge as a free speech violation. They say the former president should be able to express his views without interference. This group believes the gag order is an example of judicial overreach and call for the fines to be returned.

Some argue the actions of Judge Merchan are part of a broader conspiracy to undermine Trump and his campaign. They have also expressed concern that the gag order extends to Trump's campaign, which they see as an infringement on political speech. There are repeated concerns that political actors are attempting to influence the election by silencing Trump and the American people have a right to hear from Trump himself.

There are also reactions that do not neatly fit into the pro-Trump or anti-Trump categories. Some voters say the issue is not as much about free speech as it is about the right to a fair trial. Others have expressed concern about the potential implications of the ruling for future cases. They say it could set a dangerous precedent for limiting free speech in the context of legal proceedings.

An analysis of swing states by MIG Reports in the upcoming 2024 presidential election indicates former President Trump has a slight lead over President Biden on three key issues: border security, the economy, and foreign wars.

Several other data points also indicate a preference for Trump, highlighting successes from his administration and a general distrust of Biden’s leadership. Additionally, criticism of Biden appears to reflect recent and ongoing events. Criticisms of Trump are largely historical events like “Russiagate” and his handling of COVID, rather than current issues.

2024 President Race

Pennsylvania

Discussion about Trump is centered on his potential re-election and the perception that he still poses a significant challenge to the current administration. Some voters believe there are politicized efforts to mitigate his influence. They infer this means he remains an influential figure in politics, despite Democratic hopes to the contrary.

Conversations about Biden are predominantly critical. There are many accusations ranging from personal dishonesty to broader criticisms of his administration's handling of immigration and foreign conflicts. Despite negative sentiment, some voters express support for Biden's efforts to bring change and view him as the best option for Democratic re-election.

Georgia

Sentiment towards Trump is predominantly negative in Georgia. Voters focus on his past actions which they view as disrespectful or deceitful. Most conversations suggest little support for Trump’s potential return to office. However, there are pockets of supporters who believe in his chances of winning, highlighting the persistence of his voter base.

Discussions about Biden highlight his empathetic side, accomplishments, and significant support. There is specific discussion about his work with a young boy who stutters and his campaign's success in engaging younger voters. However, there are also criticisms and skepticism of his administration's effectiveness and integrity, including doubts about a potential second term.

Florida

Discussion trends among Trump supporters focus on calls for Biden's impeachment, citing perceived failures in his administration and criticism of the economy. There's also strong opposition towards Biden, with doubts about the legitimacy of his 2020 election and criticism of Vice President Kamala Harris's handling of the border crisis.

Conversely, Biden supporters dismiss calls for his impeachment. They accuse Republicans of distracting from policy issues. They criticize Trump for his alleged role in January 6 and express frustration with Republican obstructionism. Overall, sentiment reflects impatience with polarization and skepticism towards Trump's actions.

Ohio

Criticism of Trump centers on his personal character and past actions, including accusations of domestic abuse and criticism of his business practices. Some defend him, portraying him as a victim of political bias. Others express dissatisfaction with both parties' inability to listen to voters.

Criticism towards Biden focuses on his past actions, policies, family, wealth, and mental capability. There are accusations of hypocrisy and controversies involving his family members. While some appreciate his support of small businesses, overall sentiment remains largely negative towards both Biden and VP Harris.

Wisconsin

Discussion about Trump suggests frustration and disappointment with both his term and the current administration. Some imply trust in government is continuing to fall. There's a notable lack of direct mentions of Trump, indicating a shift in focus away from him as a news driver for Wisconsin voters.

Criticism towards Biden includes accusations of selling out the country, racism, and pedophilia. There is negative sentiment focused on perceived wrongdoings and scandals. However, some voters defend Biden, attributing budget mishandling to Congress and expressing support for his leadership.

Nevada

Discussion of Trump in Nevada includes criticism for past behavior and scandals during his presidency. However, it's less frequent and focused compared to criticisms of Biden. Some voters reference Trump's impeachment and refusal to accept the presidential salary.

Sentiment towards Biden is overwhelmingly negative in Nevada. There are accusations that he is a traitor, a criminal, and dishonest. Criticisms focus on his policies, particularly in foreign affairs and the economy. There are also frequent references to broken promises and negative comparisons with Trump.

North Carolina

Voter discourse about Trump includes criticism for being twice impeached and labeled as a liar and a criminal. However, there's a significant amount of support for his return in 2024, reflected in posts using #Trump2024.

Sentiment towards Biden is largely negative in North Carolina. There’s criticism directed at his policies, decisions, and personal character. Calls for his impeachment and hashtags like #DemocratsAreDestroyingAmerica indicate dissatisfaction with his leadership, along with attacks on VP Harris.

New Hampshire

Online discussion about Trump includes criticism of his character, handling of the pandemic, and faith. But there's also notable support, especially regarding his influence on industries like trucking and calls for him to run again in 2024.

Discussions around Biden are predominantly negative. New Hampshire voters criticize his policy decisions, leadership, and allegations of dementia and manipulation by a "shadow government.” However, some comments express support for his commitment to youth and AAPI communities, democracy, the environment, and optimism for a potential second term.

Michigan

Public sentiment towards Trump in Michigan is mixed but leans negative. There are criticisms of his personal behavior, alleged misconduct, and perceived corruption. However, some express support for his economic policies.

Sentiment towards Biden is predominantly negative. Voters accuse him of incompetence, dishonesty, and senility, along with speculating about his mental state and potential impeachment. Some voters express support for Biden's financial investments in public education and enthusiasm for his re-election.

Arizona

Discourse about Trump includes criticism of his past actions and handling of issues like immigration. Some Arizonans do defend him, claiming he's unfairly and politically targeted, anticipating his potential future leadership.

The sentiment towards Biden in Arizona is predominantly negative. There are calls for impeachment, criticism of policies, and dissatisfaction with the economy. However, some voters express support for the Biden-Harris team, praising VP Harris.

U.S. National Security Issues

Pennsylvania

Sentiment toward Trump on national security is mixed. Some in Pennsylvania express strong support for his policies, particularly regarding Ukraine and the Middle East. Others strongly criticize his handling of conflicts and allege ties to Russia.

Discussion about Biden is also mixed, with some supporting his approach to international issues like the Israel-Hamas conflict. Others question his emotional state and raise concerns about controversies like Hunter Biden's alleged laptop scandal.

Georgia

Discussion about Trump focuses on his administration's handling of international affairs. Supporters in Georgia credit him for maintaining peace in the Middle East and criticizing the current state under Biden's leadership. Critics see him as dangerous and unfit, accusing him of inciting insurrection and destabilizing alliances like NATO.

Sentiment toward Biden is mixed, with critics blaming him for perceived threats to Israel's sovereignty and conflicts in Ukraine. Democratic supporters defend his administration's actions and blame problems on the previous administration, particularly Trump's handling of foreign affairs.

Florida

Florida discussion about Trump shows strong support for his stance on Hamas and Israel. Some believe the conflict in the Middle East wouldn't have escalated under his leadership. However, others criticize him for potential ulterior motives in his relationship with Putin and handling of the Ukraine situation.

Sentiment towards Biden is less clear, with some users expressing skepticism about his approach to managing the Israel-Palestine conflict and providing aid to Israel, while others criticize his seeming support for Ukraine amid discussions about the role of Russia and Ukraine in foreign policy dynamics.

Ohio

Discussion about Trump reveals mixed sentiment in Ohio. Some express support for his pro-Israel stance and other foreign policies. Others criticize him for alleged ties to Russia and policies during his administration they believe didn't benefit the United States.

Ohio voters also criticize Biden's leadership, blaming him for a negative international image of America. There is also criticism for instances Hamas support on university campuses. Discussion trends focus on international relations and funding allocation, with questions about why funds are sent to Ukraine amidst domestic issues.

Wisconsin

Sentiment towards Trump is polarized in Wisconsin. Some express staunch support, citing him as a strong ally to Israel. Others criticize him for allegedly prioritizing Russia over America. There are also accusations of political corruption.

Discussions about Biden’s foreign policy center on his handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict. Sentiment seems split between dissatisfied Democrats and supporters. This is encapsulated in the term "Ben-Gvir vote," suggesting alignment with a hardline stance on Israel's security and sovereignty. There are allegations of political corruption, with public scrutiny towards financial influences in Biden’s administration.

Nevada

Sentiment towards Trump on security issues is mixed. Some Nevadans accuse him of colluding with Russia. Detractors express concern about his potential influence on future elections. However, many strongly support him, challenging the narrative that he has ties with Russia and emphasizing his support for Israel.

Discussion about Biden is similarly divided. Some voters show gratitude for his actions, especially regarding Israel and Hamas. Critics disavow his policies, particularly his approach to Ukraine and Israel. They question the accountability of aid provided to Ukraine.

North Carolina

In North Carolina, discussion about Trump is intensely polarized. Supporters praise his leadership skills, saying he will win the 2024 election. They applaud his stance on foreign policy and security. Detractors express concern about the potential for his return and criticize his approach to international relations, particularly with Ukraine and Russia.

References to Biden in the discussion focus on his administration's actions in the Ukraine conflict. Critics argue his policies have been ineffective and led to increased aggression from Russia. However, there are fewer direct sentiments expressed about Biden compared to Trump, indicating the current narrative is more heavily focused on Trump.

New Hampshire

Discussion around Trump includes his relationship with Russia, with some claiming he was "installed" by the country. Others find the idea amusing. His perceived attitude towards Palestine and Israel also generates criticism from anti-Israel activists. There's also criticism of his divisive politics, with some expressing optimism for a future where he is less influential.

Biden's narrative is less prominent in New Hampshire. There are isolated mentions such as an alleged link between Biden and the 1968 PLO terrorists. However, there's less discussion overall. The issue of financial aid to Ukraine and Israel is recurring in the minimal conversation. Some question foreign funding, suggesting the southern border of the U.S is more pressing.

Michigan

Discussion around Trump centers on his perceived relationship with Putin and Russia. There are allegations that he sold out the country and deliberately mishandled Afghanistan to distract from Russia's actions in Ukraine. There are also criticisms of his Middle Eastern policy. However, some Michigan voters express confidence in Trump’s ability to handle international relations if re-elected.

Sentiment towards Biden is also largely negative. There is focus on his administration's role in the Israeli-Hamas conflict and accusations of complicity in the Gaza Genocide. However, some praise his legislative operations and support his foreign aid decisions, indicating some mixed sentiment.

Arizona

For Trump, criticisms often focus on allegations of corruption and criminal behavior, including accusations of selling intelligence to Russia and Saudi Arabia. Despite this, many in Arizona praise his strong support for Israel and his tough stance against Hamas.

Criticisms of Biden’s foreign policy mainly revolve around his handling of international affairs in Ukraine, Russia, and Israel. Some argue his administration's financial aid to Ukraine will lead to more deaths and destruction. Others express disappointment at his perceived ambivalence towards Israel.

As more American voters begin to think about the presidential election this fall, they are beginning to express concerns about political turmoil. MIG Reports analysis shows online discussion about increased turmoil in the form of violent, economic, and political contentions. While Democrats and Republicans typically emphasize different dangers, both sides seem to fear election interference and political violence.

The extent and nature of any pre-election turmoil could significantly impact voter sentiment and turnout, potentially affecting the election's outcome.

Mutual Worries Among Liberals and Conservatives

Most voters are concerned about corruption and unethical behavior within the government. They believe politicians are not acting in the best interest of the public and are instead focused on power and political agendas.

Election Interference

One of the most prominent concerns among all voters, regardless of party, is the possibility of election interference. For Democratic voters, fears seem to center more around potential foreign interference. Republican voters more frequently express skepticism about domestic interference from the Democrat party.

Political Violence and Riots

Memories of January 6 still loom large in the minds of many Democrats. This causes anxiety about the potential for increased “far-right violence,” whether Trump or Biden is reelected. Republicans worry more about politicized violence from leftist activists like Black Lives Matter or anti-Israel protesters. Both sides seem to fear political riots are highly likely no matter who wins the election.

October Surprises

The tradition of October surprises—major news stories breaking shortly before the election—also contributes to worries about election turmoil. Voters fear that such events could sway the election outcome, though there are many speculations as to what an October Suprise might be.

• National sentiment toward the economy, COVID, election integrity and protests have been decreasing in the last two weeks.
• Republicans voice concerns about a potential resurgence of COVID lockdowns and Democrats often worry about election interference.

Black Swan Events Could Bring Upheaval

Black swan events are unpredictable events which have potentially severe consequences. Given their nature, it's challenging to forecast what these could be – but many voters think of recent black swan events like COVID-19.

Some of the black swan events voter mention include:

• Significant escalation in international conflicts
• A global economic crisis
• Environmental or natural disasters
• Another public health or pandemic event

Any major black swan event could dramatically reshape the political landscape and voter sentiment.

Conservatives and right leaning voters are more likely to suggest black swan events like another public health crisis, causing renewed government lockdowns. They are also more likely to mention global economic situations which could severely impact American commerce and quality of life.

Liberal and left leaning voters are more likely to mention wars and conflicts breaking out internationally. They may also be more concerned about potential natural disasters or climate chaos due to climate change.

Republican Fears About Election Turmoil

Republican voters often speak out about potential changes to election laws which they believe could lead to fraud. They cite things like expanded mail-in voting or removal of voter ID laws as election dangers.

These voters also worry about violent protests or riots related to racial or social justice issues. There are also growing concerns about violent anti-Israel protests which could destabilize communities and potentially sway voter sentiment.

While Democrats talk more about misinformation online, some right leaning voters also worry about social media censorship or bias against conservative viewpoints. Many of this group believe that important information was suppressed during the 2020 election which, if voters had known, may have shifted opinions.

Overall, many voters express a lack of trust in the electoral process and legal system. Many Republicans feel the system is corrupt and untrustworthy, expressing disillusionment with the voting process in general. There is a growing sense that voting is becoming futile because of bureaucratic and power-grabbing tactics by corrupt politicians and institutions.

Democratic Fears in 2024

Democrats often voice concern about voter suppression, particularly impacting minority communities. They tend to place this as an important issue which could impede a fair election.

Liberals are also more vocal about the spread of misinformation and disinformation, particularly on social media platforms. This is a shared concern among many voters, but Democrats tend to express more concern about how misinformation may influence voter sentiment and election integrity.

There are some Democratic voters who worry about President Biden's mental fitness, particularly given his age. While this is a worry that many don’t express publicly, those that do fear it could deter Democrats from supporting him in 2024.

Many Democrats also fear the party is not doing enough to address pressing issues like racial and social justice. They fear Biden’s unwillingness to support Palestine or failing to engage with social issues could impact Democratic voter sentiment.

Democratic voters also have deep concerns about the potential impact of a Trump win on the nation's standing in the world. They fear if Trump returns to power, the U.S. may align more with Putin's Russia, which could have consequences for international relations and national security. There is also a strong sentiment among Democratic voters that a potential Trump win could lead to authoritarian rule.

MIG Reports analysis of the White House Correspondent's Dinner and Biden's attacks on Trump reveals Americans are conflicted, viewing Trump and Biden very differently. While some people seem to enjoy Biden's jabs at Trump, considering them either humorous or justified, many others believe they reflect poorly on Biden and show a lack of professionalism. This contrasts with Trump's recent successful public appearances, generating voter positivity.

Americans are focused on current ongoing foreign entanglements, a border crisis, and student unrest on campuses across the country. Much of the online commentary questions Biden’s image, including his cognitive function to seeming out-of-touch with American voters.

Many voters express concerns over Biden's fitness for office, with some calling for his impeachment and criticizing his administration's policies and actions. Several comments mention the failed impeachment inquiry against Biden, highlighting how some people believe it was doomed from the start due to lack of substantial evidence.

There is a clear division of opinion regarding Biden's reelection. Some express fervent support for Biden and his administration, intending to vote for him again in 2024. Others are vehemently against the idea of a second Biden term, citing issues such as his approval ratings and their dissatisfaction with his performance.

The White House Correspondent's Dinner appears to have been a significant event for many in the media and beltway, although average voters seem less interested. Some people appreciated Biden's remarks, while many found them distasteful or inappropriate.

Several discussions revealed support for Biden remains unmoved by the traditional Washington D.C. event with the overall sentiment leaning more towards criticism. Voters express concerns over Biden's competency and calls for his impeachment being frequently raised.

The discourse surrounding election integrity, particularly in relation to Secretary Antony Blinken's claim about China interfering in U.S. elections, is contentious. The sentiments expressed fall along partisan lines and the intensity of these sentiments seems to have escalated after Blinken's claim.

Prior to Blinken's comment, discussion was centered mostly on allegations of domestic election fraud. The 2020 presidential election is still a highlight among many voter conversations. There are still accusations of criminal activity, with many blaming the former president, Donald Trump, for orchestrating a conspiracy to influence the election. This was a recurrent theme in many online comments.

Overall, sentiment toward election integrity is largely negative, with many expressing anger, frustration, and a sense of betrayal. Voter comments suggest a deep-seated mistrust in the electoral system and the political establishment on both sides. There are also calls for ensuring fair elections, with some suggesting measures like paper ballots and identification requirements.

After Blinken's claim, the discourse became even more heated. Allegations of election fraud continue, with some now also linking them to foreign interference, particularly from China. Sentiment is still largely negative, but there is now also a sense of fear and urgency. Many express the need for immediate action to protect the integrity of U.S. elections.

Based on MIG Reports data, most of the public is more worried about domestic interference than foreign interference in the 2024 election. This is evident from numerous references to the 2020 election, during which many allege domestic fraud was a significant issue.

There is a strong narrative among Republicans around a belief that the election was stolen. Some blame key figures in the Republican party for not supporting Donald Trump. Democrats seem more likely to be skeptical that Trump himself attempted to tamper with the election and secure an illegitimate presidency against the will of the people.

The discussion about NYC union workers and their support for Trump swept across social media recently, with videos of workers chanting, “USA” and “We want Trump!” While the former president visited with blue collar constituents, he told them he is going to try to win New York and is hopeful about his prospects.

Union Workers chanting “We Want Trump” and “USA”

pic.twitter.com/y7lGeIlvIT

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) April 25, 2024

Viral videos of voters in a notoriously blue New York City generated enthusiasm and approval among workers on the ground and voters viewing online. Trump’s surprise visit to the NYC construction site and positive reactions from Teamsters suggests strong support within that sector. Commenters say this indicates Trump may have significant backing from working-class voters in the city, which could impact the election if those voters turn out in large numbers.

Some believe this display of support indicates a shift in the traditional political alignment of unions, which typically lean Democratic. They suggest Trump's populist approach and focus on job creation resonates with these workers. There are suggestions NYC union worker enthusiasm potentially signals a broader trend of support among working class Americans.

The fact that Trump is actively meeting voters in NYC, while Biden is viewed as frequently confused and unable to make relatable campaign appearances, could also sway voters towards Trump. Especially voters feel he is more engaged and connected with them.

Overall, the discussion suggests Trump's support among NYC union workers could be a good sign for Trump’s campaign, among other recent wins. However, the outcome will likely depend on a variety of other factors, including overall voter turnout and the level of support Democrats can maintain.

• Following Trump’s visit to NYC union workers, discussion jumped sharply as Trump support slightly climbed.
• Biden support on the topic of union workers wavered slightly more, despite Democrats historically capturing much of the union worker vote.

Democrat Lamentations

Those who vehemently oppose Trump reacted negatively to footage of union workers celebrating him. They label Trump a criminal and traitor, saying one video of a man shouting“F*** you” to Biden is not indicative of overall New Yorker sentiment. Reactions suggest progressive Democrats are incensed at the show of support for Biden.

Some Democrats express surprise and confusion over why union workers would support Trump, given their belief in his administration’s anti-union stance. They argue this public display of support may be limited to specific unions or industries, rather than reflecting a larger trend among union workers nationwide. Voter groups like union workers and even Gen Z, who many expect to support Biden, elicit skepticism from Democrats if they voice support for Trump. 

There are also suggestions the event was staged to make Trump support look stronger than it really is. This groups says it was astroturfed to counter the anti-Trump sentiments in NYC. There are also criticisms directed towards the workers themselves, with some suggesting any union worker supporting Trump is ignorant of his anti-union stance.

Potential Election Impact

Some people believe this union support is significant and could indicate shifts that may sway the results of the election. They argue union workers make up a significant portion of the workforce and their support could represent a larger trend among blue collar workers. Some also speculate that, should Trump get convicted by a New York jury, it could potentially increase his support with average Americans who view the trail as politicized.

Others, however, argue the support from NYC union workers is not representative of the broader population. They point out that NYC is generally liberal and that union support for Trump could be more of an anomaly than a trend.

Although some believe it could help shift traditionally Democratic states like New York towards the Republican column, others argue it’s unlikely given the overall political leanings of these states.

JUST IN: Donald Trump announces he is going to try to win the state of New York during a visit with Union workers at a construction site in Manhattan.

The workers could be heard saying “We Love Trump” as he made the announcement.

“We're very close in New York. I understand…… pic.twitter.com/5hqItz5JyH

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) April 25, 2024

After Trump’s comments saying he hopes to win New York, some voters are hopefully a showing like this could swing the vote in favor of Trump. They are also hopeful this sentiment is echoed across other unions and blue-collar workers in the US. Others, however, argue that Trump's policies do not align with the interests of union workers and express confusion and disbelief at the support he received in NYC.

There's also mention of union leader Bobby Bartels meeting with Trump and expressing a shift in political allegiance from Democrat to Republican due to dissatisfaction with Democratic policies over the past four years. This indicates a potential shift in voter sentiment among union workers.

As Trump’s New York trial over alleged hush money payments gets underway, there’s significant partisan reactions on both sides. Republicans tend to be angry and frustrated about the trial, characterizing it as politically motivated and unjust. Democrats are more likely to celebrate the potential for punishment and criticize Trump’s behavior during the trail.

It remains to be seen whether the trial or possible convictions will impact Trump’s support in the presidential election. However, sentiment among all voters is lower regarding accusations made against Trump than the court case itself.

• The top three keywords used in discussions related to Trump and allegations, according to MIG Reports data, are “Corruption,” “Accusations,” and “Biden.”
• The top keywords related to Trump and legal topics are “Indictment,” “Investigation,” and “DOJ.”
• Nationally, sentiment toward Trump’s legal cases hovers in the low to mid 40% range, while sentiment toward allegations against him stays mid to high 30%.
• In swing states, sentiment for both topics is tighter, but averages higher for both legal and allegations.

Trump’s Gag Order

Many voters view the gag order against Trump as an unjust political move instigated by the Biden administration. Often Trump supporters, they express their frustration with politicized courts and judges who seem to be out to “get Trump.”

Furthermore, there are those who voice their concern over the potential impact of the gag order on democracy. They view the gag order as a threat to democratic principles, arguing that it hampers the ability of voters to make informed decisions as the election unfolds. This sentiment is more frequently held by Republicans and MAGA conservatives. But the concern does seem to cross party lines in some instances where voters are concerned about the integrity of the court system and elections.

Never Trumpers and Democrats tend to support the gag order, celebrating the idea that Trump should be silenced by a judge’s order.

Republicans Reactions to Jury Selection and Judge Merchan

Many Republicans view this hush money trial as politically motivated and part of a broader attempt to undermine the election. They argue Judge Merchan’s actions and the evidence allowed in the case are fueled by partisan bias and are unfair. Some suggest prosecutorial focus should be shifted to other political figures, such as Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, whom they accuse of committing crimes and violations.

Conservatives are also more likely to discuss the possibility of a biased jury. They point out that jury selection typically take longer – even in cases where the dependent isn’t a former president. This group worries that it will be nearly impossible for Trump to have an unbiased jury in a city like New York.

Democrats Are Eager for a Conviction

Democrats are largely enthralled and thrilled to witness the Trump trial. They say it is a necessary step towards holding him accountable for his alleged actions. They argue no one, including the President, should be above the law. This group often reiterates their belief that Trump undermines democracy and is a would-be dictator.

Most liberals and Democrats view the trial as a long-overdue measure of accountability. As inferred from Joy Reid's comments, some may see the prosecution of Trump as a victory for multicultural and multiracial democracy.

Democrats are also vocal about how they view Trump’s actions leading up to and during the trial. They criticize his demeanor in the court room and generally view the press's reporting on the trial as accurate and fair. Some Democrats have even called for Trump's immediate imprisonment.

Independents Say They’ll Judge the Trial on its Merits

Independent and more moderate voters have typically scattered views. Some express concern about the potential implications of a conviction if Trump should lose. Others question the timing and motivations behind the prosecutions.

Many Independents say they value weighing the facts of the case without the lens of party loyalty. They may be more focused on the legalities and the implications of the case for political norms and the rule of law. This could cause moderates to sway in Trump’s favor if they perceive a flimsy legal cause may be politicizing the court system.

Other believe Trump should face the consequences of his actions, siding with Democrats. However, in general, Independents are more likely to focus on the specific facts of the case rather than each party's rhetoric about the proceedings.

Media Coverage of the Trial

The press's coverage of the trial is similarly partisan. Conservative outlets tend to portray the trial as a politically motivated attack on Trump. They tend to focus on Judge Merchan’s actions and whether they believe the jurors can remain fair.

Liberal and mainstream outlets largely focus on describing Trump’s actions and demeanor in court. Some outlets have included analysis of Trump’s expressions and interactions in detail.

Many voters view various news coverage of the trial as biased according to political leaning. They also lament the fact that no video or audio from the trial is allowed, saying voters have a right to witness and judge for themselves.

The man who set himself on fire outside the trial has added another layer to the discussion. His extreme act has been reported widely, with his identity as an "investigative researcher" adding to confusion about his potential political affiliations.

MIG Reports identifies there is a significant divide in the perception of Trump among Generation Z voters. Some are staunch supporters of Trump, frequently using the hashtag #MAGA (Make America Great Again). This group sees him as a victim of leftist and liberal bias.

Gen Z often expresses frustration with the ongoing legal trials and perceive them as political witch hunts orchestrated by liberals and communists to undermine Trump’s credibility and popular support. They are also opposed to media outlets they believe are biased against Trump, accusing them of spreading lies and misinformation about the former president.

Many Gen Z voters believe the Ukraine-Russia and Israel-Hamas conflicts wouldn't have happened under Trump's leadership. They say Trump's stronger stance on foreign policy would have deterred such actions. These voters also seem to believe Biden's administration is weaker in comparison and this has led to an emboldening of U.S adversaries across the board. They also say Biden has allowed heightened tensions across the world and worsening economic markets.

Trump supporters among Gen Z express strong dissatisfaction towards Biden, with many accusing him of crimes, decrying his handling of global issues, and critiquing his performance at the State of the Union address. They also express support for Trump, with some suggesting he would do a better job at handling the country's issues.

A recent Harvard Poll shows President Biden continuing to struggle with young voters. The survey showed Biden holding a 45% to 37% lead over former President Trump among all 18- to 29-year-olds, with 16% undecided. The survey also highlighted that at this point in the 2020, Biden polled at 51% to Trump’s 28% among young voters, which corroborates MIG Reports evidence that Biden is losing sway with Gen Z and younger Millennials.

Biden’s Gen Z supporters often voice concerns about Trump returning to the White House and the impact this could have on the country. However, some express exasperation at the continued focus on Trump, accusing the messaging of “living rent-free" in people's heads.

It seems many Gen Z voters are becoming highly critical of Biden's performance. This could potentially indicate that Trump is gaining traction with this demographic. The reasons range from perceived failures in Biden’s policy decisions, alleged criminal activities, and a general dissatisfaction with his leadership.

Support for Biden among young voters seems to be less vocal, with much of the conversation focusing instead on criticisms of Trump. It is also noteworthy that some Gen Z voters express disillusionment with both major political parties and the current state of American politics. They seem to be searching for truth and fairness amidst what they perceive to be a highly polarized and partisan political environment.

Increasingly disruptive pro-Palestine protests are causing anger and frustration for most Americans. In San Francisco, anti-Israel protestors blocked the Golden Gate Bridge, causing an hours-long traffic disruption. At the same time, similar protests at the Seattle and Chicago airports severely inconvenienced travelers, preventing them from reaching departure terminals.

The protests have been met with severe negative reactions from many criticizing the danger and disruptions to uninvolved civilians and commerce. Online discussions revealed frustration and outrage from those who said protesters were potentially endangering children, emergency responders, or others urgently traveling.

• Following Iran’s attack on Israel, support has dropped across the board for countries involved.
• Palestine sentiment fell to a low of 37% in the last week, generating negativity with the protests.
• Fewer people have been talking about Iran, but a spike in discussion coincided with a sentiment drop to 42%.

Pro-Palestine Messaging

Many of the protesters' messages were directed towards President Biden and other political leaders who show support for Israel. Protesters accuse American politicians of being too easily swayed by overseas interests – succumbing to Israel’s plight. Anti-Israel protesters accuse politicians of being puppets for a foreign power, while others expressed frustration at what they saw as a lack of independent thinking.

There have also been widespread protests involving burning American flags and chanting, “Death to America.” These protesters tend to be pro-Palestine activists of Middle Eastern descent, progressive Americans, and young people.

This group vehemently criticizes the Biden administration and Israel. They represent an increasingly divergent wing of the Democratic Party which is opposing historical Democrat support for Israel.

Disapproval Across the Board

Disapproval over the Biden administration’s handling of the ongoing conflict seems rampant on both sides of the political aisle.

Many American voters are concerned about the escalating tensions between Iran, Israel, and other global powers. There are fears about the potential for a direct military confrontation between these nations, which could lead to a large-scale conflict or even World War III.

As mentioned, far left activists and progressives who support Palestine are intensely critical of Joe Biden for supporting Israel. More conservative voters and some moderate Democrats are unhappy with increasingly dangerous and incendiary pro-Palestine protests that threaten the rule of law.

Many everyday voters are reacting with hostility towards pro-Palestine protesters, particularly those chanting "Death to America." There are calls for these protesters to be deported, and they are seen as un-American.

Some also argue protestors who disrupt traffic or other public services should face criminal charges. They highlight the differences between law enforcement responses in places like New York and California, compared to Florida.

Right leaning voters frequently call recent protests acts of domestic terrorism, expressing a desire for anti-American demonstrators to leave the country.

Potential Consequences for Joe Biden

The Biden administration's response to these protests and the overarching conflict will likely influence voter perceptions in the 2024 presidential election. Many progressive Democrats are unhappy with Biden and have voted “Uncommitted” in Democratic primary races. Moderates and Independents may also feel uninspired to vote for Biden if protests continue to inconvenience travel or threaten public safety.

Progressive and leftist voters may also object to voting for Biden due to his perceived failure to protect human rights. This group argues America's continued support for Israel, despite alleged human rights violations, contradicts the administration's stated commitment to human rights.

The protests themselves may influence public opinion on the broader issue of civil liberties and the right to protest. Many voters have not forgotten the violence and vandalism of 2016 and 2020 protests, seeking to prevent similar situations.

Law enforcement responses may also influence voters who value the rule of law. If people perceive the Biden administration as failing to enforce the law or protect public safety, it could have severe negative consequences for his reelection.

Finally, the protests could also impact Biden's relations with key international partners, including Israel and Arab countries. His administration's response to these protests and the broader Israel-Palestine conflict could influence these relationships, potentially affecting his foreign policy credentials and public perception.

Overall, pro-Palestine protests likely present a significant challenge for Biden, with potential implications for his 2024 Presidential campaign. How he navigates this issue could impact his public image, his standing within the Democratic Party, his appeal to certain voter demographics, and his foreign policy credentials.