Voter conversations regarding the upcoming presidential debate are turbulent. Trending topics, sentiments, and views of each candidate are all filtered through partisan lenses. MIG Reports analysis shows a calcifying electorate digging its heels into existing beliefs around:

• Economic stability
• Immigration control
• National security
  

Highest Volume Discussion Issues

The top issues consistently emerging in conversations among all voter groups are:

1. Economic Issues: This is the most dominant topic within all groups including Republicans, Democrats, Independents, and general discussions. Inflation, taxes, and middle-class struggles are central themes.
2. Security Issues: This includes concerns about national security and foreign policy, especially issues regarding Israel, Hamas, Russia, and terrorism.
3. Housing Issues: Related to the economy, housing affordability is a major concern, particularly its impact on the middle class.
4. Illegal Immigration: Strong concerns regarding border security, illegal immigration, and its economic impacts is pressing, especially among Republican voters. Immigration conversations often blend into economic and national security conversations.
5. Ideological Divides: Americans are concerned about socialism/communism vs. freedom/liberty, especially between Republican and Democratic voters.

Sentiment in Top Discussions

• Economic Issues: Sentiment is negative with frustration over inflation, perceived government inaction, and concerns about taxation. There’s a longing for stronger economic leadership, especially a return to pre-inflationary stability.
• Security Issues: Highly polarized as Republicans express frustration with the weakness Biden and Harris, while Democrats remain divided on Israel. Despite polarized views, foreign threats from Russia and Hamas evoke negative sentiment in most conversations.
• Housing: Negative sentiment, particularly regarding affordability, with widespread frustration at the perceived lack of solutions from both parties.
• Immigration: Republicans express highly negative sentiments, associating immigration with economic strain and security concerns. Democrats focus on human rights and immigration reform, but many are still negative.

Sentiment by Party

Republican Voters

• Economy: Negative, focusing on rising inflation and taxes under Biden-Harris, with calls for returning to Trump-era policies.
• Security: Negative towards Biden-Harris, expressing a need for stronger action on terrorism, foreign policy, and immigration.
• Immigration: Highly negative, viewing illegal immigration as a national security risk and economic burden.

Democratic Voters

• Economy: Mixed, with some acknowledging struggles but maintaining faith in progressive economic solutions focused on tax equity and job creation.
• Security: More neutral on Biden-Harris policies generally with the exception of continued polarization around Israel and Hamas.
• Immigration: Largely positive, with calls for reform and protecting immigrants' rights.

Independent Voters

• Economy: Negative, centered on inflation and the economic impact of policies on the middle class.
• Security: Leaning negative, with concerns about foreign policy failures and national security.
• Immigration: Mixed, with some voicing concerns about immigration’s economic impact, while others are neutral.

Subjects Not Shared Between Voter Groups

• Housing and Immigration as Linked Concerns: Republicans and Independents view immigration as exacerbating the housing crisis, contributing to negative sentiments.
• Progressive Social Policies: Democratic voters focus on maintaining social safety nets like Medicare and Social Security, which does not feature prominently in Republican discussions.
• First Amendment Rights and Constitutional Concerns: GOP voters focus on protecting individual freedoms and constitutional rights, especially around gun control and free speech. Concern is less present among Democrats.

Candidate Support and Opposition

Donald Trump

• Republicans: Trump has strong support, especially around economic issues. A significant portion of Republican voters—about 65%— view him as the solution to economic problems, focusing on his legacy of low taxes and perceived economic stability under his administration.
• Independents: While not as unanimous as Republicans, many Independents also lean toward Trump, particularly when discussing national security and the economy. Many are dissatisfied with current economic conditions and associate them with Democratic leadership.
• Democrats: Trump is generally viewed negatively. There is a prevailing narrative that associates him with authoritarianism and economic inequality.

Kamala Harris

• Democrats: Harris has strong support in the base, especially for her stance on social justice issues and progressive policies. Democratic voters rally behind her for policies like tax reforms aimed at wealth distribution, protecting social safety nets, and addressing climate change. However, there are signs of skepticism about her ability to tackle more immediate issues like the economy and inflation.
• Independents: Harris is viewed with skepticism, especially on economic management. Many Independents criticize the Biden-Harris administration for inflation, which negatively impacts their support.
• Republicans: Harris is overwhelmingly opposed. She is often associated with "socialism" or "communism" and seen as a representative of policies that undermine individual freedoms.

Uncertainty About Candidates

Kamala Harris is the more questioned candidate across all voter groups. She faces scrutiny for:

• Economic Issues: Both Independents and Republicans express skepticism about her economic policies, with concerns over inflation, housing affordability, and taxation. Even some Democratic voters want more tangible plans for economic recovery, and some are openly opposed to her economic proposals.
• Foreign Policy and Security: There is widespread criticism toward Harris on national security—especially related to Russia and Hamas. Republicans view her foreign policy as weak, and Independents echo this sentiment. Progressive Democrats also regularly criticize her for failing to sufficiently support Palestine.
• Leadership Ability: Voters from multiple groups question her ability to lead effectively. There is a recurring theme that Harris may not be strong enough to counter foreign adversaries. Many express disappointment in her lack of decisive leadership.
• There is less uncertainty around Donald Trump since many feel they understand his leadership from his first term. Criticisms or questions are more ideologically driven:
• Democrats: Trump is criticized for his past policies, perceived authoritarian leanings, and for his social viewpoints. Democrats view his rhetoric and economic policies as favoring the wealthy at the expense of the middle and lower classes.
• Independents: Some Independents criticize his handling of the economy in his last term, linking some of today’s economic struggles to his policies. However, this criticism is less pronounced compared to Harris.

Voter Polarization

The electorate is highly polarized, with few overlapping issues between the voter groups. Each group is entrenched in its political ideology, making compromise or crossover support unlikely. This polarization reflects deep ideological divides, particularly around economic and social issues, suggesting a heated election cycle with little room for shifting opinions.

Issue Focus Over Candidate Popularity

Voters, especially Independents and moderate Republicans, seem more focused on issues rather than specific candidates. Economic struggles and security concerns dominate the discussion, with voters seeking clear, actionable solutions. This suggests the candidate who offers more concrete, practical plans may sway more undecided voters during a debate.

Emerging Topics for Debate

Security and Foreign Policy

Given the widespread focus on Russia, Hamas, and national security issues across all voter groups, voters will expect detailed foreign policy responses. Americans demand a clear stance on these issues, with a significant portion of discussions revolving around military strategy and international relationships.

Economic Stability

Voters are very unhappy and concerned over inflation, housing, and taxes. The economy will likely dominate discussions. Whichever candidate provides more tangible solutions that resonate with voters who are struggling with daily financial pressures will likely win in a debate.

Housing Crisis and Affordability

This is a cross-cutting issue among all voter groups, particularly Independents and younger voters. Housing affordability is likely to be a major talking point in the debates, especially given the clear dissatisfaction with current policies.

Potential Forecasts

Kamala Harris

Harris will likely face increasing pressure to offer clear solutions to economic issues. Economic dissatisfaction, especially around inflation and housing, may present a significant obstacle for her campaign.

Foreign policy debates will also be crucial, particularly addressing concerns over her perceived weakness in handling global adversaries and national security threats. Harris continues to face a difficult tightrope walk to avoid upsetting pro-Israel and pro-Palestine Democrats.

Donald Trump

Trump largely has support from voters who associate him with economic stability and security. However, he may need to address concerns about some 2020 policies and their long-term impacts. This is crucial for many Independents who are dissatisfied with both current and past administrations.

The MAGA base remains highly engaged and cohesive, particularly around issues of immigration and constitutional rights, which he will likely continue to leverage in debates.

Overall

Harris’s performance in addressing economic and foreign policy concerns will significantly impact her chances, especially among undecided voters. If she fails to provide concrete solutions in these areas, it could cost her support, particularly from Independents.

Trump’s message of returning to economic stability under his leadership may resonate with voters concerned about inflation and taxes. However, he may face pushback regarding his handling of past crises, particularly in foreign policy, if not addressed proactively.

MIG Reports analysis of conversations across social media assesses public support and acceptance for Tim Walz and J.D. Vance. An analysis of language and sentiment in these discussions shows distinct patterns in how supporters defend or affirm their preferred candidate. Detractors distance themselves through critical, often impersonal remarks.

Defensive language, first-person viewpoints, and emotionally charged rhetoric dominate the conversations. There is a dynamic of personal stakes and political identity throughout. This narrative analysis explores these dynamics in detail, breaking down the tendencies and language structures across a variety of subjects, from accusations of dishonesty to ideological alignment and economic concerns.

Weighted Analysis

• 60-75% of comments supporting Wals are defensive.
• 60-70% of discussion about Vance offers affirmative support.

The discourse around VP nominees Tim Walz and J.D. Vance shows patterns of defensive and affirmative language. Walz’s supporters primarily use defensive language to counter accusations about his military record and China ties. Walz critics often use third-person, detached language to accuse him of dishonesty.

Vance receives more affirmative support, particularly on economic policies and national security. However, his supporters also defend him on issues like abortion and his Trump ties. Critics frame him as disconnected from social issues using third-person language.

Tim Walz

Discourse supporting Tim Walz overwhelmingly uses defensive language. On multiple fronts, especially regarding his military service and alleged ties to China, Walz’s defenders work to counter accusations rather than promoting his accomplishments. These discussions often center around national security, where supporters emphasize his Congressional delegation to Afghanistan, attempting to clarify that he did not falsely present himself as a combat soldier.

The language here tends to use first-person pronouns, with individuals sharing their personal viewpoints and experiences in defense of Walz. This first-person usage highlights how closely voters identify with him, seeing attacks on Walz as attacks also on themselves. For example, phrases like "I believe in his service" or "My family supports Walz despite the lies" reveal emotional investment.

In contrast, the third-person language in critiques of Walz is impersonal and accusatory. His critics, particularly those aligned with J.D. Vance, refer to him through detached terms such as “Walz is a risk” or “His ties to China are alarming,” focusing on accusations of dishonesty and corruption without any emotional attachment to the discussion.

These accusations are most prominent in discussions about his alleged connection to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), where third-person critiques amplify concerns about national security and Walz’s potential vulnerabilities as a political figure.

J.D. Vance

Republican VP candidate J.D. Vance gains an affirmative form of support—particularly on economic policies and national security. Discussions about Vance often paint him as a staunch defender of conservative values, with supporters using affirmative language to highlight his positions on inflation, government spending, and housing affordability.

Vance’s supporters say his understanding of economic issues aligns with middle-class interests, with first-person language reinforcing a personal connection to his policies. Statements like "We need Vance to protect our economy" or "I believe his stance on taxes is right for families" are common. This reveals a collective rallying cry among his base. The first-person narrative underscores a deep sense of belonging and urgency within his supporters.

However, while affirmative comments dominate discussions about Vance, his supporters also employ defensive rhetoric. They respond to criticisms of his stance on abortion rights and his alignment with Donald Trump. In these discussions, supporters shield Vance from what they view as misrepresentations of his beliefs, using defensive terms like “misunderstood” or “defender of religious liberty.”

Defenses arise when critics accuse Vance of misogyny or frame him as out-of-touch on women’s rights. The language here oscillates between first-person, personal narratives that emphasize shared values, and third-person, detached critiques that highlight perceived shortcomings in his policies.

Emotional Attachment

A clear commonality between the discussions of both candidates is partisan divisiveness. Supporters of Walz and Vance often feel personally invested in defending their candidate. Whether discussing national security, economic issues, or personal integrity, voters express their opinions as though their own values and lives are at stake.

This deep emotional connection is particularly evident when discussing character attacks, with both Walz and Vance receiving strong support from their bases. The common tactic of defense and personal involvement permeates both sides, despite their opposing political ideologies.

Anomalies and Singular Subjects

China

Talk about China is a topic mostly isolated to Tim Walz. Unlike the other issues, where the conversation is a mix of defense and affirmation, the narrative about Walz’s ties to China is overwhelmingly defensive. Accusations of his supposed CCP connections dominate, and the defensive tone becomes more urgent and repetitive. Supporters try to combat what they perceive as a significant and persistent threat to his reputation. First-person language is especially pronounced here, as voters feel compelled to personally stand against accusations of foreign allegiance.

Abortion Rights

In contrast, while abortion rights feature heavily in the discussions about Vance, the responses here reflect a unique balance between defense and affirmation. Vance supporters often use affirmative language to celebrate his anti-abortion stance, describing him as a protector of religious and traditional values. However, when confronted with criticisms, they quickly shift to a defensive tone, using personal stories to justify conservative positions. This demonstrates a rare flexibility between the two types of language.

In recent weeks, Vice President Kamala Harris has generated online controversy and in political circles over accusations that her rally attendees are being "bussed in." These allegations raise questions about whether she is drawing genuine, grassroots voter support.

CBS News along with local eyewitnesses have confirmed Kamala Harris's New Hampshire visit was primarily attended by Massachusetts activists who were bussed into the event.

This, along with her previous events being riddled with fake rumors of Taylor Swift and Beyonce… pic.twitter.com/D6KWYU924Q

— New Hampshire Beacon (@NewHampBeacon) September 5, 2024

Videos and eyewitness accounts from her rallies, including her recent visit to New Hampshire, suggest many attendees were transported from other states. This fuels doubt that Harris’s popularity might be artificially inflated.

Previous MIG Reports analysis showed earlier skepticism about the authenticity of Harris’s campaign amid rumors of AI-generated crowd images. These questions of fabricated and artificially boosted support have become a focal point in discussions about her viability as a candidate.

Skepticism About Grassroots Appeal

The ongoing discussion among voters is a perception that Harris is orchestrating her crowds rather than organically attracting them. The phrase "bussed in" has been a lightning rod for criticism, with a majority expressing skepticism over Harris’s draw.

Many interpret the use of chartered transportation as evidence attendees are not genuine, local, grassroots supporters. This notion is supported by allegations that the people being transported by bus are often from out-of-state, rather than local, to the rally. Many conservatives and swing voters focus on the idea that Harris is manipulating the optics of her rallies to project a stronger campaign position than she actually has.

Key phrases in these discussions include:

• "Bussed in"
• "Manufactured crowd"
• "Fake support"
• "Gaslighting"

Discussions connect the alleged artificial crowd support to broader concerns about Harris’s authenticity as a politician. Criticisms often overlap with negative perceptions of her policy record, particularly on economic and border issues.

• 65% of online comments are skeptical about Harris’s rally attendees.
• 75% of those criticizing Harris's rallies compare them unfavorably with Trump’s.
• 40% of critical comments link their dissatisfaction to a broader distrust of the Democratic Party.

Amid the skepticism regarding Harris's rally attendance, rumors also circulate about other attempts to artificially bolster engagement. Some suggested during the Democratic National Convention (DNC) that rumors of Beyoncé appearing were deliberately circulated by the Harris campaign to keep the audience engaged and interested.

When Beyoncé never appeared, many concluded the campaign may have intentionally used speculations to build excitement around Harris’s nomination speech. These claims, though unproven, feed into a broader narrative that Harris relies manufactured enthusiasm, which further raises questions about her grassroots appeal.

Moderate and Swing Voters

For moderate and swing voters, the issue of authenticity is crucial. These voters tend to favor candidates who connect on a personal level and whose support base feels legitimate. Many in this group who are already skeptical of Harris view Trump as having more genuine support. These voters say things like, "Kamala Harris bussed people in from up to four hours away," reflecting distrust in the image her campaign presents.

Harris’s authenticity is a key issue for the 2024 election because moderate and swing voters often determine presidential elections. If voters in the center perceive Harris's support as orchestrated rather than authentic, it could damage her chances of securing their votes. Many who doubt the authenticity of her rallies link their dissatisfaction to a broader distrust of the Democratic Party's direction. This skepticism among moderates could push them toward candidates they see as more relatable and genuinely supported by the public.

Potential Impact on Harris’s Campaign

The perception that the Harris campaign is inflating support through artificial means presents a risk for her campaign. Public sentiment analysis shows:

• 80% of comments about Harris reflect negative views of her leadership.
• 5% express positive sentiments.

This lack of enthusiasm among her potential voters might indicate a deeper problem in her campaign strategy. If the allegations of "bussed-in" supporters persist, they could exacerbate concerns that she lacks authenticity, or the momentum needed to win.

While Harris does have defenders—approximately 20% of overall discussion speaks positively of her rallies—this is a smaller segment of the discourse. Supporters argue organizing transportation for rally attendees is not unusual and is a normal part of campaign logistics. However, this defense may not resonate as strongly with voters who prioritize authenticity in their political leaders.

The Question of Authenticity

At the heart of this controversy is a larger question about Kamala Harris’s authenticity as a political figure. Voter conversations reveal deep distrust toward Harris, with words like "liar," "woke," and "radical" describing her policies and leadership. Her perceived failure to connect with the middle class and working Americans contributes to this growing distrust.

Many also point out that Harris was deeply unpopular, even among Democrats, prior to securing the nomination. This complete reversal of her image contributes to a collective feeling that Harris and her campaign are being propped up by Democrats and the media.

The issue of authenticity is likely to continue playing a significant role as the 2024 election approaches. Skepticism about Harris’s leadership and authenticity could have major implications for her campaign, particularly among swing state and moderate voters who prioritize transparency.

Recent state-level elections in Germany suggest a rise and momentum for nativist political parties—which some describe as “far right.” Some reports indicate Gen Z helped these political gains.

MIG Reports analysis shows Gen Z discussion patterns and language usage may reveal a traditional divide between how men and women engage with political and social issues. This distinction not only highlights differing communication styles but also underscores various ways younger men and women process and articulate their political views.

Bottom Line Up Front

Political sentiment among Gen Z voters in the U.S. is predominantly negative, with frustration and dissatisfaction in economic and security-related discussions. This may support a hypothesis that younger voters are more traditional and anti-establishment.

• Women’s language, though critical, often carries hope for change, contrasting with the more aggressive tone of men’s discussions.
• Women tend to use first-person language, reflecting a personal connection and blending personal experience with societal concerns, while men favor third-person language, focusing on broader societal critiques.

Potential Outcomes of Intergenerational Discord

Gen Z’s growing disillusionment with the political and economic establishment may drive them toward reactionary perspectives. Some talk of radical change rather than moderate conservatism. This shift could be fueled by a desire for strong, decisive action on issues like national sovereignty and immigration, reflecting a rejection of both progressive and centrist ideologies.

If the media and political elites fail to recognize this trend due to normalcy bias, they may misinterpret Gen Z’s anti-establishment sentiment as purely progressive. This would discount the rise of right-wing populism within the generation.

Severe misunderstanding could lead to significant political realignment, with Gen Z challenging traditional party structures and turning to alternative media sources that better align with their views. As a result, the establishment might face unexpected outcomes in elections and social movements—as demonstrated by some recent European elections.

Gender Trends

Women often use first-person language in discussion, with phrases like "I believe" and "I want." This personal engagement reflects their emotional investment in political outcomes, particularly in debates over socialism, free speech, and identity politics. Women often frame their arguments around personal beliefs and experiences, creating a narrative that emphasizes the individual’s role in the broader political landscape.

Men frequently use third-person language to discuss political ideologies. Their discussions often center on group identity and collective ideologies. Men use terms like "they believe" and "the party should" illustrating a focus on the broader societal implications of political choices. This language pattern reveals a tendency to engage with political ideologies from a more observational standpoint, critiquing the collective rather than emphasizing personal stakes.

Economic Issues

Women discussing the border express both their personal stakes in economic challenges and their broader concerns about societal impacts. They use phrases like "I’m struggling with rising costs" with discussions about the broader economy, inflation, and tax policies. They often connect personal experiences with broader economic trends, creating a narrative that resonates on both an individual and societal level.

Men show a stronger inclination towards first-person language in economic discussions, particularly when expressing frustration with current policies. Phrases like "I can’t afford this" and "Bidenomics is failing us" indicate a personal connection to the economic issues at hand.

Male discussions often reflect a deep skepticism toward government interventions, with a predominant focus on the failures of current economic policies. This personal engagement contrasts with their typical third-person narrative in other areas, revealing how economic pressures uniquely affect their political discourse.

Housing

Women express strong personal connection to the issue. They use first-person pronouns like "I" and "we," tying their personal experiences with housing affordability in society. Their discussions use empathy and concern for family and community to emphasize the seriousness of housing costs.

Men discuss housing with a more collective focus, using third-person language to critique government actions and policies. Their language reflects a broader societal concern, with discussions centering on the economic implications of housing policies and the perceived failures of political figures like Kamala Harris. This language pattern shows a more detached, critical viewpoint.

Border Security

Women use first-person language to express their personal experiences and emotional responses to immigration policies. Their discussions often center on the personal and familial impacts of border security, with phrases like "I fear for my family’s safety."

Men continue to favor third-person language, critiquing policies and focusing on societal implications. Discussions highlight the failures of the Biden-Harris administration, with an emphasis on stricter border controls and accountability. Men maintain a detached approach, framing their arguments around national security rather than personal impact.

Security Issues

Women use first-person language to connect their personal or familial experiences to broader security concerns, often discussing the human cost of war and the moral implications of U.S. foreign policy. Their language reflects personal investment, with themes of loss, accountability, and emotional engagement.

Men critique the political context, focusing on accountability at the leadership level. They assign blame for perceived security failures, emphasizing the roles of Biden and Harris. They focus on the external political landscape.

As campaign season ramps up for the 2024 election, MIG Reports analysis shows voter reactions to political advertisements. Overall, Americans are skeptical, criticizing the authenticity and impact of various political ad messages. Voters discuss the effectiveness of political ads and the potential hypocrisy of candidates, especially in situations where past statements contradict current claims.

General sentiment towards political ads includes disdain or disbelief:

• 40% of are skeptical of the authenticity of political ads
• 35% view them as strategically manipulative
• 20% express support for certain ads based on emotional resonance
• 5% remain neutral or indifferent about the impact of campaign advertising

For a Lot of Money, Nobody Buys the Bull

Voters discuss perceptions of honesty, emotional appeal, and strategic manipulation. Many express a sense of distrust toward campaign ads, citing instances where candidates appear to utilize sensational tactics to sway voters.

The use of past footage, particularly when altered or decontextualized, generates substantial attention. For instance, a recent ad featuring video of President Trump's border wall raises questions about inconsistencies and the integrity of such advertising strategies.

• Despite consistently increasing campaign spending, Americans remain critical of advertising tactics.

Echo Chambers

Supporters of specific candidates in national and state races tend to rally ads for their preferred politician. They view campaign ads as necessary tools for public engagement and awareness. Nonetheless, even this group acknowledges a level of cynicism, recognizing the tactics employed in public relations as inherently designed to provoke reactions.

Widespread ambivalence illustrates a broader trend where voters, while passionate about their political preferences, also maintain a critical lens on the methods candidates use to communicate with the electorate.

America’s contentious political landscape creates an environment where ads become flashpoints for broader debates on honesty, strategy, and voter manipulation. Engaged discussion about ads shows voters not as merely passive viewers, but active participants in critiquing and analyzing campaign communications.

People discuss the potential efficacy and ethical implications of political messaging. As the political landscape evolves, so does scrutiny of how candidates craft their narratives through advertisements. This highlights a burgeoning demand for transparency and accountability in political communication.

MIG Reports analysis of reactions to Kamala Harris's first media interview shows skepticism, criticism, and some support. There is division among voters between those with concerns about Harris's statements and policy shifts and her supporters. Many also note the conspicuous perception of CNN and Dana Bash preparing the interview to protect Harris from scrutiny.

People criticize the fact that the pre-taped interview was composed of soft-ball questions and was truncated to less than 20 minutes. They also question whether Harris could have fielded interview questions without her running mate, Tim Walz.

Trump’s last four interviews:

-57 minutes (Dr. Phil)
-57 minutes (Theo Von)
-2 hours and 3 minutes (Elon Musk)
-1 hour and 11 minutes (Shawn Ryan)

Kamala’s first interview in 40 days as the Democrat nominee:

18 minutes, edited, no transcript, and with a chaperone.

— Bad Hombre (@joma_gc) August 29, 2024

MIG Reports data shows:

• 65% of those discussing the interview express doubts about Harris’s reliability and consistency on policy.
• 58% voice frustration about her economic policies and lack of support for military families.
• 27% convey cautious optimism about her vision for the middle class.
• 70% call for accountability and transparency regarding her positions on key issues.

Flip-Flopper in Chief

Many Americans complain about Harris’s inconsistency or noncommittal posture on critical policy positions. This is a particular frustration regarding border security and immigration.

Voters express disbelief over her recent flip-flop on a border wall, calling it hypocritical given her historical stance. Americans feel betrayed, suggesting Harris's frequent shifts reveal her political opportunism, where her policies follow public sentiment rather than stand on principle.

Some also criticize her as a “copycat” saying she is adopting Trump’s populist policies like “no tax on tips” and a border wall because her own views are unpopular. People use words like "flip-flopper," "untrustworthy," and "gaslighting" to describe Harris. And 65% express doubts about her reliability on policy.

It’s the Border and Immigration, Stupid

MIG Reports analysis of election and swing state discussions confirm immigration and border issues are a strong source of public dissatisfaction toward Harris.

• In swing states, 75% of discussions on border security and 70% on immigration is negative as people voice frustration with Harris’s role as "Border Czar."
• In election discussions, 60% criticize her border security stance, and 82% disapprove of her immigration policies, focusing on leadership and ideological concerns.
• Overall, negative sentiment averages between 71-73%, highlighting significant challenges for Harris on these issues.

Other Issues

Military

Voters also disapprove of Harris's response to economic issues and the military. They criticize her, mentioning military support amidst economic hardship. Americans feel she neglects U.S. troops while simultaneously advocating for financial support for overseas actions.

There is frustration over promises of economic assistance. People say Harris’s platitudes come off as inadequate or superficial. Sentiments trend negative, with 58% expressing anger and disappointment towards Harris on economic matters and support for military families.

Middle Class

There is some cautious optimism regarding Harris’s vision for the middle class and supporting American aspirations. Some express appreciation for her hopeful messages in response to questions about her first actions as president.

This is a smaller group, however, with only 27% mentioning the interview positively. Supporters resonate with themes of hope and a desire for a new direction, even amid concerns regarding her current track record and decision-making

Accountability

An overall theme of skepticism about accountability and transparency overshadows much of the discussion. Voters raise pointed questions about her policy decisions and the implications of her previous statements.

Many view her as inauthentic and disengaged from real Americans. This consistent call for transparency highlights an overarching mistrust, as 70% demand clearer communication regarding her positions on critical issues.

Mark Zuckerberg’s recent acknowledgment of Facebook censoring information under pressure from the Biden-Harris administration is sparking fiery debate about media influence and election integrity. As more Americans get their news online, the revelations lead many to question whether censorship could have swayed the outcome of the 2020 election.

Zuckerberg’s statement acknowledged Meta received and complied with pressure from the Biden-Harris administration to censor certain content. He highlighted two specific topics Facebook censored—COVID-19 information and the Hunter Biden laptop story. Zuckerberg admitted this censorship, demanded by the government, might have infringed on users' First Amendment rights. He expressed regret and made promises not to interfere with U.S. elections in the future.

JUST IN - Zuckerberg regrets working with the Biden-Harris administration to censor Covid era information online. pic.twitter.com/vD4Ug5ebqh

— Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) August 26, 2024

MIG Reports analysis of voter reactions to Zuckerberg's statement highlight growing skepticism towards government, social media, and information suppression:

• 60% of Americans discussing election integrity express negative sentiment toward institutions like the media and government.
• 20% express positive sentiments, typically focusing on hopes for reform and increased transparency in electoral processes.
• 70% of conservatives discuss allegations of election manipulation, suggesting a strong belief in corrupted elections.
• 15% of liberals focus on allegations of fraud, with the majority preferring to discuss trust in the system.

Voters View Censorship as a Game-Changer

Voter conversations reacting to Zuckerberg’s statement reveal concerns that social media censorship may have altered the 2020 election outcome—in which Trump lost to Biden.

MIG Reports data suggest 34% of Americans are discussing a belief that information suppression of the Hunter Biden laptop story likely tipped the scales in favor of Joe Biden.

Further bolstering this belief, Rep. Lauren Boebert reported that 71% of Americans think honest reporting on the Hunter Biden laptop story would have changed the election results.

71% of Americans believe accurate reporting of Hunter Biden’s laptop would have changed the 2020 election outcome.

This isn’t some nothing story.

This coverup altered the history of our nation forever.

— Lauren Boebert (@laurenboebert) February 9, 2023

Rep. Elise Stefanik also points out that 53% of Americans would have changed their vote, including 61% of Democrats, had they known the full extent of Hunter laptop story. These themes suggest a broad consensus that censorship, especially when it involves politically sensitive topics, can significantly impact voter behavior.

"Of the people that were made aware of the Hunter Biden laptop story, 53% would have changed their vote, including 61% of Democrats...this is the definition of election meddling...it's collusion, it's corruption, and it's unconstitutional." -@EliseStefanikpic.twitter.com/zpm3yLISwe

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) February 9, 2023

Social Media Shaping Political Narratives

The discussion of media suppression dovetails into a broader conversation about where Americans get their news. According to Pew Research, 18% of U.S. adults in 2020 primarily turned to social media for political and election news. This figure is higher than the 16% who relied on cable television for their news at the time.

Since 2020, that number has grown, with 2024 Pew Research showing:

• 65% of X users go there primarily for news
• 37% of Facebook users go to Facebook for news

Meanwhile, among users who do not use social media primarily for news:

• 92% on X still see news-related content
• 91% on Facebook still see news-related content

MIG Reports analysis previously confirmed the trend, showing 65% of Americans distrust legacy news outlets, turning instead to platforms like X for information. These reports underscore the influence of social platforms in shaping public opinion, making Zuckerberg’s admission more consequential.

The fact that Americans increasingly get news from social media platforms, combined with evidence of government-influenced censorship, raises critical questions about the fairness and transparency of election outcomes. As more voters become aware of the extent of censorship during the 2020 election, negativity rises.

Censorship and Election Integrity

Americans were already concerned about election integrity prior to Zuckerberg’s statement, which has only served to deepen fears. Many voters, particularly conservatives, equate censorship with voter suppression.

Many say the government’s involvement in content moderation undermines the democratic process. The notion of a "deep state" manipulating information to favor certain political outcomes is a recurring theme, fueling beliefs that the 2020 election was compromised as well as fears about the upcoming 2024 election.

Progressive voters, however, tend to argue "content moderation” and “combating misinformation” is necessary, downplaying the concept of censorship. They view Zuckerberg’s admission as a call for stricter oversight of social media platforms. This group continues to advocate for preventing false information from proliferating.

The dichotomy between views of free speech and the need for accurate information reflects broader tensions in the current political landscape.

Speculation About Zuckerberg’s Motives

Voters present various theories about Zuckerberg's motivations for making a statement. Some speculate the timing aligns strategically with ongoing scrutiny of social media's role in shaping public opinion, particularly as elections approach.

Some suggest Zuckerberg may seek to deflect blame for censorship onto the government. People see this as an attempt to reposition Meta as responding to external political dynamics rather than making autonomous decisions about content moderation. This interpretation implies a calculated move to preserve the platform’s credibility and mitigate backlash.

Others posit Zuckerberg's remarks are a genuine response to pushes for transparency from tech giants amid mounting demands for reform. Ongoing discussions of free speech, censorship, and tech monopolies may be driving Zuckerberg’s motivations. This interpretation presents him as aligning Meta’s interests with those advocating for clearer guidelines, hinting at a willingness to cooperate with regulatory frameworks.

Polarized Voters and the Future of Free Speech

Zuckerberg’s statement is fostering critical debate about the role of social media in elections and the potential consequences of government-influenced censorship. While Americans see this as evidence of election manipulation, others believe oversight is necessary to protect the integrity of democratic processes.

Overall, voters are increasingly wary of the power social media platforms hold over public discourse. There is a growing demand for transparency and accountability. As the country grapples with 2024 election integrity, the lessons learned from 2020 will undoubtedly shape voter views and motivations.

Campaign promises are a central element of political discourse, shaping voter perceptions and influencing electoral outcomes. However, the effectiveness and authenticity of these promises often come under scrutiny. MIG Reports analysis explores how voters perceive and react to campaign promises, particularly in the context of housing, economic issues, and ideological alignment.

Voter discussions show a consistent theme of skepticism towards political promises, highlighting how impact on voter behavior is often temporary and contingent on immediate concerns.

The analysis suggests that much of the motivation to vote stems from a combination of:

• Supporting candidates who align with voter group identity
• Opposing candidates or policies voters perceive as harmful

2024 Presidential Election Discussions

Housing

Kamala Harris’s housing policy proposals are gaining significant skepticism from Americans. Voters debate whether financial assistance programs, such as the $25,000 down-payment aid for first-time homebuyers, will genuinely help or inadvertently worsen the housing market.

The recurring use of phrases like "empty promises" and "virtue signaling" underscores a broader disillusionment with political rhetoric. Voters seem to believe these promises are not only ineffective but would exacerbate the very problems they aim to solve.

Sentiment aligns with the notion that, while Harris's promises might temporarily attract support, they do not lead to long-term loyalty or trust.

Economic Issues

Discussion of economic issues further amplifies skepticism toward Harris. Voters critically examine her promised tax policies, expressing a profound sense of betrayal as she is the current VP. Voters often equate her promises with economic instability, particularly highlighting concerns about rising inflation and increased tax burdens on the middle class.

The language used in these discussions reflects a personal stake in the economic debate, with voters frequently sharing their struggles and fears. This personal connection to the issue reinforces the idea that campaign promises, though initially persuasive, fail to sustain voter alignment.

Ideologies

Proposed ideological alignment by candidates is often temporary, with voters remaining vigilant against perceived deviations from their values. The analysis shows that campaign promises, while initially persuasive, fail to create long-lasting loyalty. This is especially true when voters perceive a disconnect between the promises and the candidates’ actions.

Swing States Discussions

Housing

Discussions in swing states reveal widespread distrust in housing-related campaign promises. Voters are particularly concerned that initiatives like Harris’s down-payment assistance will drive up housing prices rather than make homeownership more accessible.

Skepticism is not just about the specific policy but also reflects a broader distrust in governmental intervention. Voters express anxiety about economic stability, fearing promises might do more harm than good. Sentiment shows a belief that promises are unlikely to deliver the intended results.

Economic Issues

Economic discussions in swing states show a deep engagement with the promises made by political candidates, especially concerning inflation and taxation. Voters express strong opinions about the current economic climate, often attributing rising costs and financial instability to the Biden-Harris administration.

The language in these discussions indicates a significant level of skepticism towards the promises of economic relief. Voters frequently question the sincerity and feasibility of campaign promises, particularly those involving tax increases.

What Does It All Mean?

As trust erodes due to unfulfilled promises, voters show growing disillusionment, particularly regarding housing and economic issues. This frustration leads many to view campaign rhetoric as more performative than genuine. While much of the discussion focuses on Kamala Harris, this concept seems to apply across politicians and political parties.

Despite this, voters seem acutely aware of their role in the political "game," understanding their vote is less about trusting promises and more about strategic decision-making. They approach elections pragmatically, recognizing the limitations of campaign rhetoric but still seeing participation as crucial for influencing outcomes. Many express their intention of voting to prevent what they perceive as worse alternatives.

One of Donald Trump’s significant electoral challenges is attracting moderate voters and women, particularly those who support the Democratic pro-choice platform, despite Trump’s neutral stance on abortion at the federal level. These voter groups, which traditionally lean Democratic, have proven elusive for Trump’s campaign.

However, recent shifts in voter priorities and emerging alliances could alter the political landscape. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s (RFK) recent Trump endorsement has shifted focus for many moderates and women who prioritize health freedom and child welfare. This alliance may offer a new avenue for Republicans to appeal to these voters.

According to MIG Reports analysis of real-time voter sentiment:

• 42.37% of Independents approve of RFK Jr.'s policies, particularly related to health.
• 41.89% of women support his health freedom and holistic approaches.
• 27.03% of moderate women prioritize health freedom and child health over abortion rights.
• 23.12% of moderate female voters might vote for a Trump-RFK Jr. coalition over Kamala Harris’s Democratic platform.

Since RFK Jr.’s Trump endorsement on Aug. 23, Democratic support dropped from 49% to 45% and Republican support rose from 51% to 54%.

RFK Jr.’s Trump Endorsement

In his speech endorsing Donald Trump, RFK Jr. championed a health platform centered on individual health freedoms. He emphasized the right to make personal health decisions and choose whether to receive vaccines. He also advocated for increased transparency from pharmaceutical companies and the government, supporting holistic and preventative health approaches.

He criticized the mainstream political and medical establishments, particularly calling out Democrats for systematically preventing voters from supporting their preferred candidates. Overall, RFK Jr. framed his platform as a challenge to current health policies and practices, aligning strongly with Trump's anti-establishment stance.

MIG Reports Analysis

Recent data from MIG Reports provides insight into how Trump and RFK Jr.'s platform might impact Independents and women.

The aggregate sentiment toward RFK Jr.'s health policies across data samples shows 42% of Independents approve. This suggests a significant base of support that could be leveraged toward Trump.

Women support RFK Jr.’s proposed health freedom and holistic approaches at around 42% within the sample. This also suggests RFK Jr.’s alignment with Trump could significantly soften women toward the Republican ticket.

To support this assertion, MIG Reports data shows approximately 27% of moderate female voters prioritize health freedom and child health over the traditional Democratic pro-abortion platform. This shift is also confirmed by sentiments indicating a new Trump-RFK Jr. coalition may attract around 23% of moderate female voters who might otherwise be hesitant.

Independents Moving to Trump

Independents say they’re drawn to Trump's camp largely due to their alignment with RFK Jr.'s health policies. This group values autonomy in health decisions and has shown significant support for vaccine choice and holistic health practices.

The shared anti-establishment sentiment between RFK Jr. and Trump also resonates with Independents who feel disillusioned with the establishment political figures. This group uses words like "vaccines," "freedom," "natural remedies," and "rights." They compare Kennedy's views with Trump’s, emphasizing overlapping rhetoric that appeals to anti-establishment sentiments.

Themes such as "government control" and "personal autonomy" dominate, revealing a desire for a shift towards more individual-driven health policies. Sentiment analysis indicates a desire for change, with discussions about wellness and the integrity of health system. There is a mix of hope and skepticism, revealing a complex interplay of cultural, emotional, and ideological factors.

Women and Abortion

For female voters, the appeal of a Trump-RFK Jr. alliance lies in their emphasis on health freedom and family welfare. Many women, particularly moderates, are increasingly prioritizing these issues over traditional Democratic stances on reproductive rights.

I’ve been saying for over a year and a half that health and wellness issues are a TOP interest of conservative female voters. Many ignored me, didn’t take it seriously or thought I simply had no idea what I was talking about because my following is niche and not the largest…

— Alex Clark (@yoalexrapz) August 27, 2024

Data suggests more than a quarter of moderate female voters are more concerned with health autonomy and child health. This cuts into the strong historical Democratic hold on pro-choice voters. The shift is driven by a desire for greater control over personal health decisions and skepticism towards current health systems and incentives.

Comments frequently cite the importance of protecting children from health risks associated with medical interventions. Many express willingness to embrace both Trump and Kennedy to prevent what they perceive as detrimental policies from the Democrats. This holds true for this bloc, even if it means sacrificing some aspects of on-demand abortion access or even full-term abortion.

• In the last week, sentiment toward abortion dropped from 45% prior to Kennedy’s alignment with Trump, to 43% today.
• Sentiment around individual freedoms fluctuated but increased from 44% prior to Kennedy’s alignment with Trump to 47% today.

A Key Demographic for Trump

Gaining support from moderates and women could significantly impact Trump’s chances in the 2024 election. By aligning with RFK Jr. and focusing on health freedom and reform, Trump could potentially tap into a critical voter base that is increasingly dissatisfied with traditional party platforms.

If Trump can effectively address the concerns of Independents and moderate women without continuing to alienate them, he may strengthen his electoral position. This will be especially true if more voters continue to grow skeptical of Kamala Harris’s authenticity and dwindling trust in the media. Discussions of a Trump-Kennedy alliance often mention bipartisan unity, hinting that conventional expectations in the upcoming election potentially tilt to Trump.