Social media, online, and news commentary exploded following former President Donald Trump’s guilty verdict on 34 felony counts in a New York court. Discussions reveal there is an overwhelming expression of anger, disbelief, and skepticism among the American people.
What Voters Are Saying
The most discussion activity appears to be among politically engaged adult Americans, with more representation from Trump's critics. This group celebrate the conviction and point out the irony of Trump's supporters attempting to impeach Biden when Trump himself was impeached twice during his presidency.
Trump supporters are vehement in their accusations of election tampering and a rigged jury. Many also double down on their belief that the 2020 election was rigged against Trump. This shows a consistent pattern of distrust and skepticism about the legal and electoral process.
Other markers of outrage emerge economically, as Trump’s campaign raised $34.8 million in 24 hours. The rush of support also caused the WinRed donation website to crash. The unprecedented donations were exclusively from small-dollar donations, which range from $1 - $200.
Vitriol Against the Biden Administration
Trump’s supporters are turning the conversation to discredit Biden and his administration. They mention Biden’s impeachment—or lack thereof—as a primary grievance. Many use harsh words and phrases like "Joe Biden must be impeached now," "treason," and "destroying our country."
These voters also accuse Biden and his government of numerous scandals, including criminal behavior. A recurring theme reveals disapproval of Biden's past actions, with some referring to allegations of Biden using racial slurs and promoting segregation during his time in Congress. This group is capitalizing on Trump's guilty verdict to further their negative sentiments about Biden.
Support for Joe Biden took a significant hit after Trump’s conviction on Thursday as many Americans accuse Democrats of weaponizing the justice system.
Another dominant theme in conversations shows people agreeing that, even though Trump was found guilty, he is and will continue receiving massive waves of support. Many are hopeful the scandalous news will bring attention to the nation's current political and social climate.
The overall sentiment of these trends is highly polarized. While Trump's critics remain largely critical and scathing in their commentary, his supporters show a mixture of outrage at his treatment, disbelief, defiance, and hope for a political reversal. Despite the verdict, the polarized sentiments suggest Trump's influence on the political discourse remains strong.
Fears of possible armed conflict between China and Taiwan is growing as Americans see this as an eventuality more than a possibility. Ongoing tensions between these two nations have escalated in recent years, and Americans are alarmed by China's increasingly aggressive stance. This is primarily shaped by China's assertive moves and geopolitical strategies.
More Americans are beginning to fear a world war involving several major world powers. People speculate the hypothetical conflict would incorporate various global flashpoints like Ukraine-Russia, North Korea-South Korea, Iran-Israel, and China-Taiwan tension. These fears often come with an embellished grand narrative of worldwide struggle.
When people talk about trust in leadership for handling these international conflicts, there are differing levels of support and approval for Trump versus Biden. Some worry that Trump’s posture of strength would likely escalate conflicts. But there is also criticism of Biden's administration being too gentle or indecisive against growing Chinese aggression.
There are differing viewpoints on whether U.S. involvement in various international issues would exacerbate or ease potential conflicts. Some say the U.S. should reduce its international interventions and others argue for upholding our responsibilities as a global superpower.
Increasing skepticism towards international involvement leads some Americans to advocate for the U.S. “minding its own business.” This suggests a growing disapproval of overseas engagements and a preference for focusing on domestic matters.
The growing number of conflicts and increasing levels of intensity in the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Hamas wars seem to deepen negative sentiment towards foreign involvement. It is likely Americans consider current wars when discussing the odds of a China-Taiwan war under the Biden administration.
Future Trepidation About International Conflict
A potential China-Taiwan armed conflict seems increasingly likely to Americans who are tracking tensions around the world. Many discussions identify China's consistent military warning signs to Taiwan and U.S. support for the latter as signifying danger.
This sentiment is exacerbated the current geopolitical relationships between various power blocs including the U.S., Russia, China, Iran, Israel, and North Korea. Many Americans express growing concern about the U.S. military's capacity to contain intensifying global tensions concurrently.
An America-First stance versus globalism remains a topic of polarizing debate among American voters. Some prefer America to focus on its own interests and refrain from intervening in other countries' affairs. This America-First coalition is often vocal about avoiding conflict.
Others insist the U.S. plays a crucial role on the global stance and has responsibility in maintaining peace and democracy. These more globalist ideals still hold significant weight among many voters.
In this complex discussion, the overarching theme suggests a deep concern about escalating global tensions. There is an ongoing debate about whether the U.S. should adopt a more isolationist or America-First foreign policy or uphold its traditional role as a global peacekeeper.
Robert De Niro recently gained attention for an angry screed against former President Donald Trump in New York City. His comments, which included insisting that if America re-elects Trump, he will never leave office, drew heckles and boos from passing New Yorkers.
DeNiro losing it as someone starts honking their car horn over and over as he tries to say voting for Biden is how we fix America pic.twitter.com/kTSfnvexCg
De Niro then got into a yelling match with his hecklers, calling them gangsters. Video of the event online caused partisan discussion about Trump, De Niro, and celebrities using their influence for politics.
It’s embarrassing that even Vito Corleone AKA De Niro can’t win New Yorkers over.
— Patrick Bet-David (@patrickbetdavid) May 29, 2024
Right Leaning and Cringe-Sensitive Americans React
Mentions of De Niro online are mostly partisan, with left leaning commenters supporting him and right leaning voters ridiculing him. There are also less politically inclined Americans who simply view De Niro’s speech as a cringeworthy display by another actor desperate for attention.
Many voters perceive De Niro’s claims that Trump has dictatorial tendencies as unfounded and fantastical. People mock De Niro’s accusations of Trump wanting to "take our country down the black hole of dictatorship" and terminate the U.S. Constitution.
People are also discussing his integrations with hecklers during the political event, but reactions are similarly politically slanted. Some mention De Niro as falling from grace, calling him a "has been" who struggles with anger and TDS (Trump derangement syndrome).
Even with criticism from De Niro and his leftist counterparts, Trump’s approval remains steady with sentiment towards him on the topic of president consistently at 50%.
Liberal Trump Haters
Democratic voters and anti-Trumpers compare Trump unfavorably with Robert De Niro. They say De Niro, unlike Trump, paid his taxes and has contributed positively to New York City. They express a belief that Trump has played a role in deteriorating conditions in New York. They cite issues like rising crime and high taxes, criticizing Trump for his impact in exacerbating both.
Many liberals also agree with suggestions that Trump has demonstrated dictatorial tendencies. This seems to be a common belief among those who oppose Trump – and many view the gravity of the 2024 election as democracy hanging in the balance. This group regularly accuses Trump of intending to act like a dictator if he were to regain power.
Anti-Trumpers also raise concerns about his alleged intentions to punish political opponents. They frequently draw comparisons between him and historical dictators like Hitler. Some comment multiple times on these points.
Views of Celebrity Influence in Politics
De Niro, like many left leaning celebrities, is known for his outspoken political viewpoints. He frequently speaks up about the need for gun control and other Democratic platform issues like climate change.
The ongoing tendency for celebrities to insert themselves into political commentary is increasingly a point of annoyance for many Americans. Reactions often convey strong negative feelings towards woke culture and left-wing commentary imposed by entertainers and mainstream media.
Some also point out that, while Democrats and the left have long been seen as having more star power and cultural influence, trotting out celebrities like Robert De Niro and Mark Hamillwhose popularity is waning, may a sign of decreasing cultural cachet.
General patterns of American views about celebrity political activism include:
Partisan Responses: Some voters warmly embrace celebrity viewpoints if they align with their own political beliefs.
Disregard for Celebrity Opinions: Most people seem to believe celebrities lack the requisite knowledge or expertise to offer valid commentary on complex political issues.
Irrelevant Voices: People see celebrities as out-of-touch with the realities of ordinary citizens and therefore dismiss their perspectives as irrelevant.
Annoyance: There is also hostility towards celebrities who use their fame to promote political agendas. This attitude is often expressed with strong negative language.
Supporting Free Speech: Some express the belief that celebrities, like any other citizens, have the right to voice their political views, even if they disagree with these views.
Conspiracy and Distrust: Other trends indicate a broader mistrust in mainstream media and celebrity clout. Many view celebrity commentary as part of a larger, orchestrated propaganda agenda.
MIG Reports analyzed recent approval of Democratic voters toward President Joe Biden and their current views of the Democratic party. While some voters show support and approval of Biden's performance as president, many Democrats express disapproval or downright hostility towards Biden and his administration.
A perceived lack of transparency and honesty from his administration
There's a noticeable discontent with Biden's stance on border control, which some believe is leading to a crisis. Some Democratic voters accuse Biden of being supporting illegal immigrants more than U.S. citizens.
Economic concerns are also prominent, with frustrations centered on rising prices and perceived fiscal irresponsibility. Furthermore, there are negative sentiments about Biden's honesty and transparency, with many suggesting dealings involving his son, Hunter, were covered up.
MIG Reports has also extensively covered the growing divide among Democrats and progressives over Israel. Campus protests, “Uncommitted” votes, and defiance from his own party members like the progressive Squad indicate deep fractures within the party.
Despite significant negativity towards Biden, no other Democrat candidate is emerging as a preferable choice for voters. This suggests an increasing need for new leadership figures within the Democratic party. Voters calling for Biden's impeachment and using derogatory language suggest a significant division and hostility from some quarters.
Among the few supportive voices, there are mentions of Biden's perceived accomplishments and desire to challenge Republican hypocrisy. However, these views are noticeably outnumbered.
Overall, sentiment trends suggest dissatisfaction among many Democrats towards President Joe Biden for a variety of reasons. There is a possibility that AI-compiled data may be more likely to gather politically engaged or partisan viewpoints than those of average citizens. However, among vocal Democrats, the sentiments appear strong, indicating a likely similarity among less vocal party members.
The second day of jury deliberations in former President Donald Trump’s trial in New York City brings the trial closer to an end. The case involves 34 charges of falsifying business records during the 2016 presidential election. Judge Juan Mercan has instructed the jury and, while they have yet to reach a verdict, Americans are watching the trial unfold with interest.
MIG Reports analysis studied recent online discussion and sentiment trends about the trial. Based on public posts, it seems many Americans – including legal experts – are struggling to gain a clear understanding of what the trial is about. State felony criminal charges of falsifying business records with respect to specific invoices, vouchers, and checks, on which the case pivots, are overly complex for many voters. None of the online discussion provides detailed explanations of these charges or the specifics of the case. Instead, conversation focuses on broader political narratives and accusations of corruption.
The lack of depth in discussion suggests people are less engaged with the actual content of the trial, and more reactive to media narratives about it. Most of the discussion around this trial revolves around three key points of contention.
Discussion Trends
Accusations of Corruption and Bias
Many voters mention their belief that the New York Trump trial is rife with corruption and political bias. For example, there are repeated references to perceived bias by Judge Juan Merchan. People believe he has been making unfair rulings and that he is acting corruptly. There are claims he is part of a wider conspiracy to politically prosecute Trump, with some suggesting the entire American justice system is now corrupted.
Trump's Guilt or Innocence
Two major narratives emerge with respect to Trump's guilt or innocence. Some are vehement that Trump is guilty, arguing the evidence is compelling. However, a large portion of observers suspect Trump is innocent, positioning him as the victim of a witch-hunt. The theme of Trump's innocence amid a corrupt system that is politically targeting him seems most prevalent.
Political Persecution
There are strong suggestions the trial is politically motivated and seeking to discredit or undermine Trump and the Republican Party. Those who discuss this believe Democrats have weaponized the justice system for their own purposes. They say Trump’s trial is a symptom of a broader social corruption and potentially threatening to any American citizen.
Sentiment Trends
Emotional Drivers
Many voters express anxiety and anger about perceived biases within the justice system. These individuals see Trump as being unjustly persecuted. They feel the charges brought against him are overly politicized.
Others voice disgust at what they perceive to be corruption within the judicial system. They assert that Judge Merchan and the prosecutors are not impartial and are engaging in egregious misconduct that should be investigated.
There is also anger and frustration from those who insist Trump is guilty of the charges brought against him. They express their faith and hope in the justice system along with their desire for a conviction.
Demographic Patterns
There are no specific geographic patterns, which suggests national interest in the case is relatively consistent. However, political alignment plays an important role. Those who support Trump — likely staunch Republicans and MAGA voters — demonstrate a high level of skepticism and discontent with the trial. Those who support the trial proceedings are likely to be Democrats or anti-Trump voters.
Sentiment Trends
Overall, most voters seem to lean more towards negative reactions fueled by fear of corruption, perceived bias, and lack of trust in the legal framework. Any positive sentiments are submerged in the negative discourse, but mostly revolve around faith in the justice system and the prospect of Trump's conviction.
Recent reports of increasing credit card debt and delinquencies are indicative of continuing economic hardships for Americans. Debts are reaching higher highs in quarterly reporting for both Q4 2023 and Q1 2024. Specifically, delinquency is increasing for maxed‑out borrowers. There’s a feeling of unavoidability towards debt in MIG Reports data, which also shows increased discussions over time with a decrease in sentiment.
On the topic of personal finances, which includes credit card debt and late payments, there are numerous viewpoint trends and demographic patterns.
What Americans Are Saying
Discussion trends mainly orbit around the surge in prices, especially for consumer goods like food and fuel. Most Americans say these significantly contribute to their financial distress. Inflation realities, rising housing prices, and cost of living are prominent in these discussions.
Terms like “inflation” and “corporate greed” frequently appear in voter discussions, indicating dissatisfaction with the current economic situation under Biden’s administration.
General sentiment within these discussions leans negative. Most people express frustration, anxiety, and dismay over rising costs. They also decry the lack action by corporations and the president.
A noteworthy pattern across multiple discussions is the relationship between price rises and political leadership. Many voters routinely blame the political establishment for their financial woes – especially the current administration. However, a very vocal segment of voters denies any correlation between the two.
Demographic Trends
Rising costs and financial struggles are a common conversation across age groups and socioeconomic status. Detailed nuances between demographic patterns aren't explicitly clear from the data. However, recurring references to Joe Biden and swing states, suggest a potential geographic pattern of swing state voters feeling a greater impact from rising prices.
There are many mentions of credit card debt rising, indicating Americans’ increasing reliance on credit to manage their expenses. Late payments on car loans, rent, or mortgages, indicate increased financial distress for many demographic groups.
Those in lower-income brackets or in precarious work situations might be hit harder by the rising costs of essential items like food and energy. Similarly, demographics living in areas where housing prices are falling, amid an inflationary economy, may find themselves struggling with contradictory economic pressures more than their counterparts in other states.
Consumers sometimes blame corporate greed for price hikes, linking increased profit margins for large supermarkets to inflation. This is also a talking point frequently presented by the Biden administration, suggesting voters should place more blame on corporations than on politicians. Others feel increased prices are a result of improved quality, indicating a split in sentiment regarding the cost of goods.
Amid former president Trump’s visit to the Libertarian National Convention and Chase Oliver’s subsequent nomination, discussions about Libertarian Party immigration platforms emerge.
Libertarian policies, which emphasize open borders and free movement across countries, get mixed reception from both conservative and libertarian voters. Conservatives are quick to point out immigration as a point of deep disagreement between themselves and libertarians – typically overlapping ideologically on other issues.
Many conservatives on X are pointing out that Oliver’s Libertarian platform aligns more closely with Biden’s open borders. This has also sparked discussions about how broadly aligned Republicans, and even Trump himself, are with Libertarians.
Libertarians and Immigration
Libertarians, true to their philosophical principles, usually advocate for less government intervention across the board. This includes freer migration policies influenced by a belief in the free market and individual rights – or more simply, open borders. They often view ideas like a border wall as an imprudent use of tax dollars. They say government intervention at the border is contrary to their overall philosophy.
This group also argues free labor movement is beneficial to the economy and individual liberty, rather than hurtful to American sovereignty. However, not all libertarians agree with this perspective. Some express skepticism about completely open borders, particularly in terms of security and preserving the nation's cultural and social fabric.
Many voters view Chase Oliver’s platform as advocating open borders based on freedom and prosperity. Some Libertarians envision a world where people are free to move and seek opportunities anywhere in the world. They often highlight the historic role immigrants played in fueling American innovation and economic growth. They assert fears of economic and cultural displacement are both misplaced and overstated.
Conservative Views of Libertarian Borders
Right leaning and conservative voters, especially under the current administration, widely disagree with Libertarian immigration policies. They tend to view border security and stopping migrant entries into the U.S. as extremely important.
Conservatives are more likely to support building a wall and deporting illegal immigrants. This view is underpinned by their emphasis on national security and protecting jobs and resources. This group also attributes illegal immigration as a major contributor to issues like crime and economic hardship.
Republicans and conservatives regularly cite border security, economic impact, rule of law, and national identity as top issues. They sometimes accuse the Libertarian Party of supporting lawlessness by advocating for open borders. They are also more likely to criticize Libertarians for having minimal support and political impact.
Some point to polling reports by outlets like Axios and Reuters/Ipsos identifying more than 50% of Americans – including Democrats – support mass deportations.
56% of US registered voters support deporting most or all immigrants living in the country illegally, Reuters/Ipsos poll has found.
Donald Trump’s comments at the Libertarian National Convention also sparked discussion about the impact of the party. MAGA and conservatives who attended or viewed Trump’s remarks largely embraced what he said.
Trump supporters view his American-first immigration policies as safeguarding American values, jobs, and security. Despite the policy disagreements with Libertarians, they saw Trump's willingness to engage Libertarians as a true reflection of his assertive leadership style and an attempt to create unity on the right.
As for Trump himself, amid taunts and jeers from the crowd, he told Libertarians, "Maybe you don't want to win,” adding, “Keep getting your 3% every four years,” roasting the unruly audience.
Some argue Trump’s comments are accurate – especially with Libertarian policies like open borders becoming increasingly unpopular.
Trump just showed up to the Libertarian Party Convention, told libertarians "Maybe you don't want to win ... keep getting your 3 percent every four years,” then left.
New York Rep. Elise Stefanik filed a complaint calling for a conflict-of-interest investigation of Judge Merchan. She cites potential bias in Merchan’s history as a Democrat donor and his daughter’s financial interests.
Many who agree with Stefanik argue the judge's conduct clearly favors the prosecution and he has shown the appearance of prejudging the case before all the evidence was heard. Legal experts from across the political spectrum allege biases which put the fairness of the trial in question.
🚨🚨🚨 I just filed an official misconduct complaint with the New York State Unified Court System related to the “random” assignment of Acting Manhattan Justice Juan Merchan, a Biden donor whose daughter is fundraising millions off his unprecedented work, to criminal cases… pic.twitter.com/OsBjFc3qeI
Many observers, although conservatives are most vocal, express concern over payments made to Loren Merchan, Judge Merchan’s daughter. There are allegations she has received significant amounts of money from prominent Democrats.
Critics argue these monetary transactions indicate a potential bias on the part of Judge Merchan, suggesting he may not be capable of conducting a fair trial. Others argue Merchan’s daughter is likely to financially profit in the case of a Trump conviction. This, they say, is an issue – even if it’s only a perception of compromised incentives.
Democrats tend to argue that Merchan has maintained a neutral stance in the trial. They view him as fair, despite the politically charged nature of the case. They argue Merchan's conduct upholds the integrity of the judicial process and emphasizes that the law should be applied equally to all.
Legal experts on the left insist Judge Merchan's conduct is consistent with judicial norms and ethical standards. This view is starkly and vehemently opposed by experts who present theirregularities of Merchan’s rulings as highly alarming and outside of acceptable judicial practice.
Those who support Stefanik’s misconduct filing call for more complaints against the judge. They express frustration at what they perceive as inaction by Republicans to fight against lawfare by Democrats.
Sentiment towards Donald Trump is similar overall to topics specifically mentioning his legal troubles. This may suggest most voters are not deeply swayed by the cases against him.
Liberal Hysterics Against Republicans
Mainstream opinions on Elise Stefanik's ethics complaint against Judge Juan Merchan appear to be overwhelmingly negative. This is especially true among liberal Democrats and mainstream media figures.
Liberals accuse Stefanik of prioritizing the interests of former President Trump over the needs of the American people. They view Stefanik's ethics complaint as an extension of her loyalty to Trump rather than as a duty to uphold law and order. Democrats who hope for a Trump conviction use phrases like “hypocrite” and “treacherous” against Stefanik and other Republicans.
There are reverse accusations that Stefanik and Republicans are the ones using lawfare to achieve their political ends. Some bring up Trump and others’ failure to comply with subpoenas as a broader disregard for the rule of law. They use this as an argument against the supposed “law and order” ethos of the Republican Party.
Democrats argue Stefanik is attempting to thwart the legal process, deflecting from accusations against Judge Merchan and other figures who are perceived to be politicized like Letitia James, Engoron, and Fani Willis.
Despite widespread liberal criticism, Stefanik’s national approval has remained steady, even increasing by one point after filing her ethics complaint.
The issue around illegal immigrants voting in U.S. elections has recently become a point of discussion, especially for those concerned about securing the border. In general, illegal immigrants, which Democrats have begun calling “non-citizens” do not have the right to vote under the U.S. Constitution. This is based on a belief in the immemorial prerogative of every independent nation. However, contentions are beginning to arise across different political and ideological lines.
Conservatives tend to emphasize the importance of citizenship in voting rights, arguing illegal immigrants voting would devalue the privilege and duty of citizens. Theysay anyone voting who is in the country illegally inherently commits voter fraud and allowing it is a manipulation by Democrats.
There are many who believe the increasing possibility of illegal immigrants from many countries voting threatens the integrity of the political process in the United States. They argue citizenship should be a minimum requirement for political participation. Votersexpress fears the open border will lead to an influx of non-citizens influencing U.S. electoral outcomes.
Many also emphasize the need for greater scrutiny and verification of the ballot process. This includes calls for every state to introduce ballot verifiers like voter ID to ensure free and fair elections.
Across the political spectrum, there seems to be an increased desire for transparency and scrutiny to maintain election integrity. However, Democrats tend to fear interference by figures like former President Trump. Republicans are more likely to fear Democrat cheating, including allowing illegal aliens to vote.
Democrat Hypocrisy and Election Cheating
Many Americans accuse politicians and of obfuscating their intentions and betraying their constituents’ desires. The House recently voted to repeal an existing law allowing non-citizens to vote in local D.C. elections. This generated criticism toward the 143 Democrats who voted against repealing the law.
🚨🚨🚨
143 extreme House Democrats just voted to allow ILLEGAL migrants to vote in DC elections. pic.twitter.com/1EhrM9T1V0
The existence of laws like the one in D.C. – and Democrat support for it – causes many Americans to disbelieve protests from Democrats denying their desire to allow non-citizen voting. Democrats deflect on humanitarian grounds, claiming allegations about illegal immigrants voting are just strategies to justify hardline immigration policies. They assert many immigrants are refugees escaping dire conditions and are not seeking to impact U.S. elections.
Liberal voters tend to believe illegal immigrants, especially long-term residents who contribute to the economy and society, should have a say in decisions that affect their lives. They argue if these residents are expected to obey the laws of the country, they should have a voice in creating them. Advocates say allowing non-citizens to vote can be a means of fostering civic participation and political integration, granting representation to the diverse communities within the country.
However, these arguments mostly serve to foment conservative fears that Democrats are being opaque about their true desires. More conservative and moderate voters are expressing fears that Democrat hypocrisy is driven by a desire to use illegal immigrants to cheat in the 2024 election. They point out Democrats want more options as Biden’s poll numbers continue to tank among traditional voting groups.
Mainstream Media Negligence
Conservative voters are skeptical of the mainstream media's reporting on the border and election integrity. They believe major news networks like CNN and the New York Times fail to report the truth about border and voting issues. They also think biased media narratives harm the legal voting system and undermine trust in the system.
References to the New York Times using anonymous sources reflect skepticism about whether these sources are reliable. There is a strong sense of media bias, with many voters discrediting media reports about election integrity or process.
Complaints about mainstream media carrying water for Democratic politicians become especially pronounced when outlet like AP News report that illegal immigrants voting is illegal and that, despite Republican fears, it’s not happening “in significant numbers.”