Judge Aileen Cannon’s decision to dismiss the classified documents case against former President Donald Trump has sparked a whirlwind of reactions amid the firehose of news hitting Americans in the last few days. In her dismissal, she cited the “unlawful appointment and funding of special counsel Jack Smith.”

This news emerged alongside the flurry of other major developments, including Trump's announcement of Ohio Senator J.D. Vance as his vice-presidential pick and the assassination attempt against Trump.

While news of Judge Cannon dismissing this case may have dominated conversations for several days at any other time, it is now only one among many huge political news stories. Despite this, conversations show the event serving to strengthen Trump’s momentum—especially among his supporters.

• Conversations about Trump regarding his legal issues spiked early in the week, along with a slight bump in sentiment.
• Mentions crossed 5,000 regarding legal topics as sentiment ticked up from 43% prior to the weekend, to 46% with recent news.

Supports Agree with Judge Cannon

Trump supporters view the decision by U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon as a vindication, praising it as a just end to what they perceive as a politically motivated witch hunt. They argue the dismissal highlights a misuse of prosecutorial power and underscores their belief in the judiciary being corrupted by liberal forces. Some celebratory posts even suggest the tide has turned against what they label as a weaponized DOJ’s political persecution strategies.

Along with Trump surviving an assassination attempt and appearing, to roaring applause, at the RNC, many on the right view this decision a major victory for Republicans. They speak out against what they perceive as relentless politically motivated attacks by the Biden administration and Democrats.

Many speculate that Trump might reward Judge Cannon for her decision, potentially with an even higher judicial appointment should he regain the presidency. These comments indicate the positive atmosphere Trump supporters are experiencing, emphasizing excitement for Trump’s potential second term.

People also vilify Smith, arguing his appointment was part of a broader scheme by Democrats to derail Trump's political influence. They frame the dismissal as a correction of an illegal and biased prosecution—especially considering Robert Hur’s decision not to prosecute Joe Biden for similar crimes.

Opposition from the Left

Trump opponents are expressing outrage and disbelief. They criticize Judge Cannon, who was appointed by Trump, accusing her of blatant partiality and failure to uphold the rule of law. Prominent Democratic leaders, including Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, and left leaning legal experts vehemently argue that Cannon's decision flies in the face of established judicial norms.

Liberals view Judge Cannon’s ruling as an egregious attempt to exonerate Trump despite strong evidence that he mishandled classified information. They stress the necessity for an immediate appeal to overturn what they consider a profoundly flawed and politically biased judgment. This group feels the decision undermines established legal principles and sets a dangerous precedent for the future.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer's call to have Cannon reassigned and the decision appealed emphasizes the disbelief and dismay felt among Democrats. Experts predict the dismissal will certainly be appealed, potentially leading to a prolonged legal battle stretching well beyond the next presidential election.

Some suggest this delay tactic might benefit Trump politically, allowing him to use the unresolved case as a rallying cry against perceived legal persecution. Experts also highlight that appellate courts are likely to scrutinize Cannon’s interpretation of the Appointments Clause. They note previous cases involving special counsel appointments, such as that of Robert Mueller, being upheld despite similar arguments.

Despite Republicans hoping to keep the spotlight on Biden’s vulnerabilities and panic among Democrats, there is still significant interest in Trump’s choice for a running mate. Current discussions about Donald Trump's potential VP picks are heating up as people anticipate his impending announcement. MIG Reports data suggest top choices in terms of voter support volume and approval sentiment include Ben Carson, J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, and Byron Donalds.

Within MAGA, there is a strong sentiment against anyone viewed as a RINO (Republican in Name Only). Figures like Doug Burgum and Marco Rubio have come under scrutiny for their insufficient alignment with the MAGA agenda.

Conversely, loyalty to Trump and America First is a crucial criterion for many supporters. Names like J.D. Vance and Ben Carson are frequently mentioned as preferable picks. Vance has garnered support for his commitment to America First and his potential appeal to younger and Rust Belt voters. Similarly, Ben Carson receives praise for his loyalty and personal integrity. However, there are concerns about his age and political charisma.

• MIG Reports data shows Ben Carson leading in both voter support at around 15% and approval sentiment staying above 50% in the last week.
• J.D. Vance is both generating buzz and garnering support with a 13% second position and 48% approval.
• Rubio and Donalds both have lesser support, both around 7% and approval around 48% and 52% respectively.

Speculation About Trump’s Strategy

MAGA and GOP voters are speculating about possible strategies Trump make take to choose his running mate. One prevalent theme is his inclination to choose a Vice President who can expand his voter base by adding a fresh and dynamic appeal. With this strategy J.D. Vance frequently emerges as a favored candidate.

Despite some vocal opposition within the conservative sphere over Vance's past criticisms of Trump, his staunch support in recent years has earned him significant backing. Proponents argue that Vance's youth and vigor could help extend Trump's influence.

Some highlight the potential of picking someone with a strong appeal to minority groups and independents. Candidates like Byron Donalds and Doug Burgum are cited for their potential to attract these voter demographics. Donalds, with his compelling life story and intellect, could resonate with educated minorities and counter the Democratic narratives. Meanwhile, Burgum's less controversial, steady leadership style and his appeal to women and independents due to his moderate positions in certain areas are considered valuable.

Lastly, MAGA voters stress the necessity for a VP who aligns closely with Trump’s vision and can enhance his governance without overshadowing him. Loyalty is paramount, for those hoping for someone who won’t divert from Trump’s established agenda. They want a harmonious and effective administration, as many MAGA voters have adopted criticisms of Trump’s former VP Mike Pence.

While ideological alignment and loyalty are paramount, strategic considerations are also at play. For example, the potential disadvantage of removing Vance from the Senate, where every vote is critical, is a point of concern. There are also mixed feelings about selecting a current governor or senator who might face political complications or risks in their home states, which could impact the broader Republican strategy. Several people also mention those they view as out of the running like Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley and Kristi Noem.

J.D. Vance

JD Vance brings a fresh perspective to the political scene, particularly appealing to younger voters. His non-traditional background and vocal stance against establishment norms mirror Trump’s outsider appeal.

Vance's life story, including his rise from a challenging upbringing to a successful career, resonates with voters who admire resilience and the American Dream narrative. Nonetheless, his past criticisms of Trump and the controversy over his rapid turnaround might alienate some of Trump's hardcore base.

His stance on controversial issues like abortion may polarize the electorate further, potentially undermining his candidacy. However, Vance’s appeal to the Rust Belt may be an asset, as this could help shore up crucial electoral support in that region.

Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio comes with significant political experience and a robust foreign policy background. His Cuban heritage and strong stance against Beijing make him an appealing candidate for voters concerned with global issues and Hispanic voter outreach.

Rubio's presidential run in 2016 elevated his profile, making him a recognizable and seasoned choice. Despite these strengths, his earlier clashes with Trump during the 2016 primaries might still linger in the minds of some Trump loyalists. His career political background might not excite the anti-establishment wing of Trump's base, who dislike swamp figures.

Some hope Rubio’s comparatively moderate image may draw in independents and suburban voters. However, many MAGA voters recall his affiliation with establishment politics, labeling him a RINO. Discussions frequently center on his neo-conservative stances, past failures to strongly back Trump during critical moments, and his immigration stance.

Ben Carson

Ben Carson has a significant base due to his unwavering loyalty to Trump and his moral compass, which resonates with many conservative voters. His background as a neurosurgeon and his calm, thoughtful demeanor make him a credible choice for those seeking stability and ethics in leadership.

However, Carson’s relatively low political profile and lack of forceful public presence have some critics labeling him as a "yes man." This diminishes his appeal among voters who want a more dynamic and assertive figure to energize the ticket. He generally appeals to voters who value integrity and decency.

Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds brings a strong narrative to the table, particularly his life story which could resonate with minority voters. His articulate opposition to Democratic policies makes him a favorite among conservatives looking for younger and more diverse leadership within the GOP.

Donalds' appeal lies in his potential to bridge gaps and bring new demographics into the fold, particularly educated minorities who feel disillusioned by current Democratic leadership. However, his relatively recent emergence on the national stage may work against him, as some question if he has the experience necessary.

Byron Donalds, while relatively less talked about in mainstream narratives, has a strong following among hardcore Trump supporters. His credentials as a staunch conservative and his energetic presence resonate with voters who want a VP who can actively fight for Trump’s policies.

MIG Reports analysis of social media discussions on the influence of Mexican cartels highlight domestic security, immigration, and the 2024 election. Conversations spiked just prior to Independence Day, emphasizing fear of terrorist attacks and broader security anxieties.

Immigration debates criticize DHS border management and polarized views of child trafficking. Discontent with political leaders like Joe Biden and Alejandro Mayorkas is high, with reforms like those proposed by Project 2025 gaining traction. Eroded trust in federal agencies will likely significantly influence voter behavior ahead of the election.

The level of discussion about cartels correlates with American sentiment on the matter. This suggests many Americans are familiar with and hypersensitive to cartel activity. Most people are extremely critical of ongoing issues with child and drug trafficking, violent crime, and the economic impact caused by illegal immigrants who are often brought by cartels.

Immigration Issues

Voter discussions around immigration issues are dominated by false asylum seekers and international human rights issues, and government policies allowing entry and accommodation in the U.S.

Sentiment Trends

There is strong opposition to Biden’s lenient and poorly managed immigration policies. Critics argue illegal immigrants and false asylum seekers are exploiting the system, leading to negative consequences for U.S. citizens. They cite impacts like job losses and increased crime rates.

An increasing number of Americans believe the Biden administration providing accommodations and financial support to illegals is unconscionable. Voters dislike taxpayer funds being used to put illegal immigrants in hotels while American veterans remain homeless.

Many Americans clarify their stance is not “anti-immigration.” They say asylum claims for legitimate refugees should remain possible. However, they also emphasize the current system allowing rampant fraud, waste, and abuse of asylum polices.

Partisan Viewpoints

Conservatives are more likely to criticize immigration policies and express nationalist sentiments. Liberal leaning voters tend to emphasize human rights and legal due process for asylum seekers. However, more Democrats are beginning to acknowledge the border as a serious issue for America.

Undecided and Independent voters seem to be navigating these polarizing issues with a level of caution. Their inclinations in the upcoming general election may be heavily influenced by how Trump versus Democrats discuss the border.

Swing votes likely hinge on promises of comprehensive immigration reforms that balance national security concerns with humanitarian obligations. They also want coherent foreign policies which address international human rights issues without compromising U.S. interests.

Border Security

Heightened tensions at the southern border and ongoing debates about how we treat migrants are also contentious. Most Americans want stricter border controls and many even support mass deportations. Voters often cite crimes committed by illegal immigrants and the strains on public resources.

Progressives and open-borders libertarians oppose an enforcement-centric approach to the border. They often hold a humanitarian perspective, advocating for more compassionate immigration policies and pointing out the contributions immigrants make to society and the economy. However, these viewpoints are growing less common.

Sentiment Trends

Discussions around the upcoming elections are heated, with strong sentiments on both sides. Democrats and Republicans are firmly entrenched in their respective viewpoints, often resorting to hyperbolic language to demonize the opposition.

Rhetoric is particularly intense around Donald Trump and Joe Biden, as both sides use every opportunity to point out failures and potential misconducts, whether factual or perceived.

Partisan Viewpoints

Undecided and Independent voters are disillusioned. They express frustration with the current political race and its candidates. They see partisanship as overshadowing genuine policy debates about the border.

Moderates seem wary of both major parties, citing concerns over corruption, inefficiency, and a lack of real solutions. Their online discourse often hints at a desire for a third option, or at least for the existing candidates to address practical solutions rather than engaging in partisan bickering.

There is also widespread use of memes and exaggerated scenarios to express political frustrations and satire. For example, people often mention ice cream in discussions about President Biden, trivializing his image to highlight his increasingly obvious decline. This mocking discourse is prevalent with younger demographics who use humor to cope with political disillusionment.

Drug and Human Trafficking

Americans are increasingly worried about the fentanyl crisis, child trafficking, the economic turmoil caused by cartel activity. Many people criticize political figures and the media for deflection attention away from the drug crisis and horrific trafficking stories.

Sentiment Trends

Voters express deep concern about America’s fentanyl crisis, with many attributing the problem to an alleged partnership between Chinese entities and Mexican cartels. They also suggest this nefarious union is facilitated by Democratic open border policies.

Many people discuss the issue as an epidemic responsible for untold deaths, touching nearly all Americans in some capacity. This severe problem deepens public anxiety about cartel activity across the southern border.

Economic struggles, particularly inflation, persist as a critical discussion point. Many voice frustrations over rising fuel prices, increased living costs, and stagnant wages. These economic anxieties are amplified by concerns over rising crime, which voters often attribute to illegal immigrant offenders.

The topic of human trafficking, particularly child trafficking, invokes strong emotional responses across the demographic spectrum. It is often brought up with discussions of crime and border security. People view trafficking as a rampant underground industry that profits from vulnerable populations. The increase in human trafficking statistics is frequently cited as evidence of governance failures, often linked to broader criticisms of the Biden administration.

Partisan Viewpoints

Demographic analysis shows older, more conservative voters are most vocal about border security and crime. They emphasize a return to more stringent immigration policies. Younger voters and liberal-leaning demographics, while also concerned about these issues, tend to focus more on systemic reforms rather than punitive measures.

The division extends to discussions about leadership, with many expressing nostalgia for Trump-era border policies.

Undecided and Independent voters appear to be swayed by trafficking and cartel narratives. Their inclinations are shaped by who they believe offers the most comprehensive solutions to these urgent issues. Such voters currently exhibit a blend of apprehension and skepticism regarding both major political parties.

Americans are unified in their negativity toward Mexican cartels and, to a lesser extent, border security. But disillusionment with both political parties indicates a fluid election landscape with potential for significant shifts as November draws nearer. At this stage, it seems likely voters will respond to candidate stances on border control, economic recovery plans, and concrete actions against human trafficking.

American reactions to Donald Trump's 2024 abortion platform reveal a complex and layered dynamic as Republicans try to balance closely held beliefs with pragmatic election strategy. Trump’s recent positioning seeks to soften the GOP stance, emphasizing a return to states’ rights over the federal imposition of a nationwide ban.

In prior years when Republicans vocally and strictly opposed all forms of abortion, Democrats typically beat them on the issue. Now, Trump’s GOP pivot has caused discussion on both sides as Democrats accuse Republicans of hypocrisy and Republicans grapple with conviction.

Some moderate Republicans and Independents see Trump's actions as a pragmatic shift necessary to appeal to a more extensive base. They hope it can mitigate the damage done to the GOP's image post-Roe.

However, intensely pro-life or religious conservatives feel frustrated. Many in this group believe in a moral duty which transcends political strategy. They tend to criticize Trump for compromising what is, to them, a non-negotiable issue.

Liberals Accuse the GOP of Waffling

Many progressive and liberal voices express disapproval of Trump's shift. They see it as an opportunistic and overly populist move. They accuse him of betraying fundamental pro-life principles, viewing him as hypocritical.

Democrats and pro-choice voters especially disapprove after Trump’s instrumental role in overturning Roe v. Wade. They frame our post-Dobbs world as Trump's fault and an unforgivable act that should not gain him swing votes. They claim his current moderation is a facade.

Some on the left also attempt to paint Trump and the GOP as inconsistent and willing to flip on core issues for political gain. They argue the change is merely window dressing, but the underlying fundamentalist conservative agenda is dangerous and authoritarian.

There are some who argue the focus on opposing late-term abortion is disingenuous because Democrats don’t even support late-term abortion.

Conservatives are Torn on Principles

Pro-life Americans appear split on what they believe versus winning elections. Some appreciate Trump's role in appointing Supreme Court justices who overturned Roe v. Wade, fulfilling a long-standing conservative goal. They argue the former president deserves continued support for his role in returning the issue to the state.

However, frustration exists among those who feel abandoned by the GOP's reluctance to pursue a more stringent stance on abortion. They view the pro-life cause as above politics—an issue which should not be compromised. This discontent may impact their willingness to vote for Republicans they view as weak on abortion.

Those who view themselves as pragmatic conservatives approve of a more nuanced approach to abortion. They recognize that stringent anti-abortion laws might alienate moderate voters, crucial for a broader GOP victory. Many also point out the need to prioritize states' rights and caution against federal overreach.

A certain group of conservatives perceive the refined focus on late-term abortion as a more palatable approach to national views. They hope it will garner wider support in a country with diverse views on abortion. Many in this group personally hold more vigorous pro-life views, however they assert that winning elections is necessary to move the needle.

Swing State Voters Remain Split

Reactions also seem split geographically. Voters in more liberal or swing states are often more open to Trump’s revised platform. Many of them view it as a necessary step to avoid alienating essential voter groups.

In swing states, perceptions about the authenticity of Trump’s stance are heavily influenced by broader views on MAGA and the Republican Party. There are some who assert that Trump himself never seemed to hold particularly pro-life viewpoints. They argue his platform aligns with his true beliefs.

Others in swing states feel a populist platform will not be enough to win voters to disapprove of the rest of Trump’s MAGA agenda.

• MIG Reports data shows swing state sentiment regarding abortion track similarly to national sentiment.
• Sentiment toward Trump and Biden also tend to move similarly among their respective supporters. However, Trump has seen a slight decrease in sentiment in recent days while Biden received a slight bump.

Will Abortion be Overshadowed in the Election?

While abortion continues to evoke strong reactions, its impact on the 2024 election depends on how varying issues come to prominence between now and November. Biden's age and cognitive abilities are currently dominating political discourse.

Questions about Biden's ability to serve effectively are currently influencing voter sentiment more strongly than abortion. Economic conditions are also a dominant concern for many voters, making the economy a central battleground.

Issues like inflation, job security, and economic resilience often take precedence, especially when Americans hear news that reaches crisis levels. The border is another issue influencing voters heavily in 2024.

It remains to be seen how strongly voters feel about abortion and whether Trump’s stance will significantly impact support loss or gain in November amid myriad other pressing issues.

Former President Donald Trump released a 20-point plan outlining his 2024 platform. Predictably, the release was quickly and widely shared and discussed on social media. The document garnered approval from Trump’s base and strong disavowal from his opponents. Independent voters have a narrower perspective on the otherwise binary sentiment, but generally sway more in agreement with Trump’s plan.

Support for Trump’s Platform

Trump's plan, which includes measures like sealing the border, ending inflation, defending constitutional rights, and opposing Critical Race Theory in schools, receives ardent support from his core base. His followers, often associated with the MAGA movement, express enthusiastic approval, seeing his commitments as strong steps to restore American greatness.

They particularly emphasize issues like border security, energy independence, and upholding Second Amendment rights. These supporters articulate their devotion on social media, eagerly anticipating Trump's leadership to counter perceptions of a corrupt administrative state. They also hope international entanglements which weaken the nation's sovereignty will be resolved.

Conservative traditionalists, who may not align entirely with Trump but share common values, have mixed reactions. While they approve of points related to economic growth, military strengthening, and constitutional rights, there is hesitation around the more drastic aspects of the platform. Some are wary of expansive deportation and the perceived encroachments on states' rights and individual freedoms through proposed federal overreach in education and social policies.

Trump Critics Rip the Plan

Progressive and left-leaning groups react with intense opposition and vocal disapproval. They view Trump's platform as regressive, authoritarian, and potentially harmful to civil liberties.

Key points like mass deportations, the potential militarization of domestic policy, and rolling back social and racial equality initiatives provoke significant concern. Critics highlight fears of threat to democracy, climate change inaction, and economic policies favoring the wealthy over the working class.

Staunch opposition manifests in calls to action for voter mobilization and political activism. These critics hope to prevent a return to what they see as the divisive and dangerous policies of Trump’s administration.

In the Middle

Moderate and undecided voters express a mix of skepticism and cautious consideration. Some see potential merits in economic reforms and tax cuts proposed by Trump but remain wary of the broader implications of such an extensive policy overhaul.

Centrists ponder the feasibility of large-scale deportations. They also worry about the impact of education policies banning CRT and radical gender ideologies on societal cohesion and children's learning environments. This group appears pivotal, weighing the potential for policies they like versus the perceived risks of heightened political and social instability.

Independent and swing voters are often critical of both extremes. They scrutinize the platform's promises through a pragmatic lens, assessing their practicality and long-term effects. Issues like energy production and manufacturing resonate positively, but there is concern over the potential for increased authoritarian governance and reduced protections for minority groups.

Trump is showing consistent approval numbers, with approximately a two-point bump after his statement about Project 2025 and releasing his platform’s outline. This support may indicate a moderate sway toward Trump’s over Biden, amid ongoing health concerns. These sways may become more permanent depending on the Democratic ticket as well and continued economic stressors.

MIG Reports data shows young American voters may be straying from historical norms of a traditional Democratic base. Current online discourse reveals some younger adults are increasingly expressing discontent with the Democratic Party. The primary causes of this sentiment are:

• Economic and personal financial situations
• Anti-establishment postures
• Border and immigration concerns

Democratic splits between younger pro-Palestine voters and older pro-Israel Democrats also seems to play a part in sentiment changes. As does the growing party concern over Joe Biden’s obvious frailty. These concerns are becoming pronounced even in swing states, where Democratic influence is critical.

Economic Issues

Nationally, young voters voice concerns over Democratic economic policies, particularly under President Biden. Many younger voters cite high inflation rates, increased cost of living, and unsatisfactory economic recovery as reasons for their discomfort.

Conversely, there is a noticeable trend of younger voters gravitating towards the America-First and MAGA movements. A significant number of these Gen Z voters argue during Trump's presidency, the economic conditions were more favorable. They highlight lower gas prices, reduced inflation rates, and tax cuts.

Economic issues are a top concern for young Americans, as many feel stretched by their current financial situations and future prospects. Many perceive Trump's policies as being more beneficial to the middle and working classes.

Demographic analysis shows certain trends within these sentiments. Among different racial groups, there's a nuanced division. While minorities traditionally lean Democrat, a segment of this group, particularly younger Hispanic and African American males, see Trump's business acumen and straightforward speak as attractive.

Socioeconomically, younger voters from the working and middle classes, especially those in economically struggling regions, express a desire for policies that will directly impact their financial stability. These voters are increasingly wary of what they consider the elitism within the Democratic party.

Geographically, Democratic skepticism is more pronounced in suburban and rural areas, particularly in economically vulnerable states.

Border Security

Patterns among younger voters also indicate a strong disenchantment with the Democratic party on the border. This is causing a noticeable shift towards Trump's MAGA agenda, which includes stronger border security and deportation.

Many young people express a desire for more practical solutions to these issues, which they may associate with Trump’s immigration platform. These trends are especially pronounced in border and sanctuary states, since they’re directly impacted by immigration policies.

The discourse focuses on immediate, tangible benefits from stricter policies and economic protectionism espoused by the America-First agenda. Claims of Biden’s "open borders" policy leading to increased crime and violence, also seems to push young voters away from Democrats.

Overall, there is a noticeable disenchantment among younger voters with the Democratic party's handling of key issues, suggesting a shift towards alternative political alignments.

Democratic Discontent

Many young progressives feel betrayed by the Democratic Party's perceived inaction on climate change, healthcare reform, and student debt relief, leading to dissatisfaction with the Biden administration's moderate stance.

Pro-Palestine Democrats are also increasingly unhappy with the party establishment. And, while this group is unlikely to move toward Trump, they have to potential to impact Democrat electability—especially in places like Michigan.

Some voice skepticism over Democratic leadership's competence and integrity, fueled by scandals, political gridlock, and President Biden's frail public appearances. These issues often lead young people to question the party's ability to lead effectively.

There is also a growing sense among less progressive young people that Democratic politics are overly focused on identity politics. These Gen Z voters view Democratic ideologies as divisive and neglectful of the groups it claims to protect. This sentiment is especially echoed in worries about immigration forecasts.

The landscape of younger voter sentiment is in flux, but many feel an allure towards the assertive and economically nationalistic rhetoric of the MAGA movement.

Swing State Snapshot

Sentiments among young Americans are echoed nationally, but patterns hold strong in key swing states like Ohio—which seems to bolster national trends.

Recent trends in Ohio among younger voters, particularly those aged 18 to 29, reveal significant shifts in political allegiance and evolving preferences. Historically, younger voters gravitate to the Democratic Party due to its stances on social justice, climate change, and progressive policies. However, dissatisfaction is growing.

Social media discussions in Ohio highlight frustration with the status quo. And some younger voters view Democratic leadership as out-of-touch or ineffective, leading to calls for radical change.

Of these dissatisfied voters, some are gravitating towards the America-First and MAGA movements. They express affinity with its anti-establishment rhetoric and populist appeals. These movements emphasize economic nationalism, prioritizing U.S. workers, and critiques of mainstream institutions.

Individual state trends largely seem to track with national trends, suggesting movement among younger voters is not isolated. This may also suggest the trend away from Democratic leadership may continue to grow.

The first presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is scheduled for tomorrow. Americans have been taking to social media expressing interest in key topics and how they believe the general election will impact their lives. People also speculate about the performance of both candidates, wondering if Joe Biden will be able to make it through despite his clear decline. Others wonder if Donald Trump will be unfairly treated by moderators or have his mic cut off, despite his vast popular support.

Republicans focus on illegal immigration, its economic impact, and Democrats prioritizing illegal immigrants over Americans. They also critique policies like student loan forgiveness and other economic issues.

Right leaning voters express frustration and distrust toward the Biden administration, advocating for tougher border policies and fiscal conservatism. Many firmly oppose current approaches to immigration, the economy, and international relations.

Democrats defend Biden’s measures as steps toward social justice and economic equity. They support immigration reform and policies aiding debt relief and pathways to citizenship. They are generally optimistic about the debate, hoping it will highlight Biden's achievements and reinforcing progressive values.

Independents and moderates have varied opinions. Many are concerned about economic management, immigration, and policy effectiveness. They seek clarity on policy impacts from the debate, with some undecided and awaiting more substantive discussions before finalizing their stance.

Economic Issues

Discussion Trends

Economic Policies and Tax Management

• Republicans argue current policies are creating economic instability and unfairly burdening taxpayers.
• Democrats support policies like student loan forgiveness and the Inflation Reduction Act, believing they reduce the economic burden on average Americans.
• Independents are looking for clear economic policies from candidates that address inflation, taxation fairness, and job market improvements.

Inflation

• Republicans blame the current administration for high inflation and believe previous policies kept inflation and gas prices lower.
• Democrats emphasize long-term investments and measures to revitalize the economy, suggesting current policies will benefit the economy in the future.
• Independents are concerned about high inflation and government inaction, seeking detailed plans from candidates.

Trump vs. Biden

• Republicans highlight greater economic stability and lower inflation under the Trump administration.
• Democrats argue Biden is correcting past missteps and making long-term investments.
• Independents are undecided and looking forward to upcoming debates for clearer comparisons.

Sentiment Trends

Republicans

• Predominantly dissatisfied with the current administration.
• Believe Trump provided more economic stability.
• Concerned about inflation, increased crime rates, and immigration policies.
• View policies like student loan forgiveness as economically destabilizing.

Democrats

• Support Biden’s efforts to reduce economic burdens.
• Emphasize alleged job market gains and infrastructure development.
• View policies like student loan forgiveness as necessary for economic inclusivity.
• Believe the Biden administration is addressing climate change and revitalizing the economy.

Independents

• Skeptical about both political parties.
• Concerned about high inflation and government inefficacy.
• Undecided and awaiting the debate to form opinions.
• Seeking clear and detailed economic and social policies from candidates.
• View debates as critical for understanding policy impacts and candidate capabilities.

Border Security

Discussion Trends

Immigration Policy and Citizenship Pathways

• Republicans have a strong negative reaction to Biden’s plan for citizenship for 500,000 illegal immigrants.
• They express concern about vote manipulation, crime, and economic strain.
• They call for stricter immigration controls, border security, and broad deportation measures.
• Democrats support policies prioritizing humanitarian values and family unity.
• They emphasize a moral obligation to provide protection and opportunities.
• Democrats show an internal disagreement on implications for domestic policy and public welfare systems.
• Independents have mixed responses oscillating between socio-economic concerns and humane treatment of immigrants.
• They call for a pragmatic approach, balancing border security and addressing the status of long-term illegal immigrants.
• There is frustration over the lack of bipartisan solutions and politicization of immigration.

Border Security and Legal Process

• Republicans and some Independents emphasize stronger border security and deportation illegal immigrants, especially those with criminal records.
• Democrats and more progressive Independents advocate for comprehensive immigration reform, ensuring border security and a fair path to citizenship.

Crime

• Many people express increased crime among illegal immigrants as an emotionally charged topic, especially among Republicans and Independents.
• Recent violent crimes committed by illegal immigrants intensify calls for tougher immigration policies.

Economic Impact

• There are concerns about the strain on social security, healthcare, and public services.
• Republicans and Independents stress safeguarding resources for American citizens.
• Democrats highlight their belief in the positive economic contributions of illegal immigrants and call for their integration into the formal economy.

Sentiment Trends

Republicans

• Overwhelmingly negative sentiment towards Biden's immigration policy.
• Fear of increased crime and economic strain, with accusations of vote manipulation using illegal immigrants.
• Strong advocacy for stricter immigration controls and border security.

Democrats

• Support for the Biden administration’s policies based on humanitarian values and family unity.
• Internal caution regarding domestic policy implications and public welfare systems.
• Emphasis on balancing security with compassion in immigration reform.

Independents

• Mixed perspectives with a pragmatic approach to border security and humane treatment for immigrants.
• Frustration with bipartisan failures to address underlying immigration issues constructively.
• Calls for detailed policy clarification and practical solutions.

Political Ideologies

Discussion Trends

Political Polarization

• Republicans express strong support for Trump and opposition to Biden, focusing on critiques of Biden's policies on immigration, the economy, and healthcare.
• Democrats defend Biden's record and attack Trump’s character and previous presidency, emphasizing reproductive rights, healthcare, and preserving democratic norms.
• Independents show frustration with the partisan nature of politics and are undecided, waiting for debates to form opinions.

Social Security and Medicare

• Both Republicans and Democrats accuse each other of threatening these programs.

Economic Concerns

• Issues like inflation and tax policies are central among Democrats and Republicans, reflecting anxiety about future financial stability.

Debate Expectations

• Voters have high expectations for the debates, viewing them as crucial for undecided voters, especially Independents, to make final decisions.

Sentiment Trends

Republicans

• Distrust mainstream media, suspecting conspiracies.
• Feel a sense of urgency and anger, viewing Biden as a threat to America’s future.

Democrats

• Emphasize reproductive rights, healthcare, and democratic norms.
• Concerned about GOP misinformation and threats to social security.
• Fear a second Trump term, viewing it as a potential catastrophe for democracy and social progress.

Independents

• Skeptical and disillusioned with both major parties.
• Frustrated with intense partisanship.
• Express high expectations for clarity and policy specifics in debates.

Security Issues

Discussion Trends

Foreign Policies and Geopolitical Tensions

• Republicans have strong critiques of Biden's foreign policies, particularly concerning Ukraine and Israel.
• They compare Trump's approach, viewing Biden's policies as weakening U.S. foreign policy.
• There are concerns about emboldened adversaries like Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, and a potential for World War III.
• Democrats defend Biden's strategic continuity and responses to long-standing international threats.
• There are internal divisions on the Israel-Palestine conflict, with progressives questioning traditional support for Israel.
• Democrats generally support Biden's actions against Russian aggression in Ukraine and maintaining alliances.
• Independents express concerns about escalation in global conflicts and dissatisfaction with bipartisan approaches.
• They call for a more nuanced and less interventionist foreign policy.

Ukraine-Russia Conflict

• Both sides debate whether U.S. strategy is too aggressive or appropriately defensive.

U.S. Relationship with Israel

• There are growing concerns over recent foreign policy decisions, including withholding ammunition and Middle East policy.

Alliances Against the U.S.

• Most Americans fear geopolitical consequences involving Russia, China, and North Korea.

Domestic Implications

• Voters worry over military spending and economic stability resulting from foreign policy decisions.

Sentiment Trends

Republicans

• Overwhelmingly negative sentiment towards Biden's foreign policy.
• Dissatisfaction with current Ukraine and Israel strategies.
• Fear Biden's policies are bringing the world closer to major conflict.
• Hope for a return to Trump's diplomacy to stabilize geopolitical tensions.

Democrats

• Largely support Biden's foreign policy actions, though with some internal divisions.
• Emphasis on strategic continuity and necessary responses to threats.
• Tension within the party over support for Israel, with progressives advocating for Palestinian rights.
• Support for efforts to counter Russian aggression and maintain alliances.

Independents

• Mixed perspectives with general skepticism towards both parties.
• Concerns about global conflict escalation and dissatisfaction with current foreign policy management.
• Calls for a less interventionist approach and more effective international relations.

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Recent economic data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis went viral showcasing economic disparities for Americans between the Trump and Biden administrations. MIG Reports analyzed voter commentary to identify sentiment patterns and reaction trends.

What Americans are Saying

When comparing economic strains under the Biden administration versus the Trump administration, it's important to consider consumer prices, household net worth, and discussions involving taxes.

Consumer prices as measured by the Consumer Price Index, a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services, have illustrated a rising trend with inflation. Between the two administrations, the American public has witnessed a noticeable shift in inflation rates under Biden.

As for household net worth, which is a measure of the value of all assets, minus the total of all liabilities—there is a mixed view. Changes in household net worth are not only determined by economic policies but also influenced by a variety of other factors like changes in property values, stock market performance, savings rates, debt levels, and more.

Generally, the housing market has seen significant increases, as has the stock market. However, disparity remains, as not all Americans hold assets in the form of property or stocks. Regardless of individual situations, both the housing and stock markets performed better during Trump’s administration.

Americans are also discussing day-to-day costs and are vocal about their tax obligations under Biden's administration. There are common concerns about taxation fairness, particularly concerning churches that engage in political expression, mega-churches, and big corporations. By contrast, Trump was often touted as the president for deregulation and tax cuts, particularly with the 2017 tax reform which lowered corporate tax rates. However, critics argued this increased wealth disparity.

Household Net Worth

During Trump's presidency, some Americans expressed optimism about lower taxes and the benefits to business owners and wealthy investors. Trump’s promise to reduce taxes was welcomed by those who view it as an incentive for economic growth and personal wealth accumulation. Some commend wealthy business owners under Trump's leadership, acknowledging their roles in job creation and charity donations.

Under Biden's presidency, discussions around wealth have also centered on taxation but with a different tone. People express concerns about increased taxes and their impact on personal and corporate wealth. This sentiment is particularly pronounced among the wealthy and business owners who claim they are unfairly targeted by higher tax rates.

The discourse also includes those championing higher taxation for the rich as a means of wealth redistribution. Some argue the wealthy and corporations should pay more taxes to fund government projects and programs that benefit the wider populace.

Many American voters express views about illegal immigrants and their impact on the economy. Some support amnesty for illegal immigrants, arguing they could contribute more substantially to America's tax revenue, however a consistently growing number of Americans disagree.

This study of online conversations gives a sense of the current mood and concerns of Americans. Perspectives for Americans of their economy under Biden and Trump consider and reflect multiple factors, including consumer price index, household net worth, day-to-day living expenses, and taxes. Notably, former President Trump gives Americans more confidence in all aspects.

With recent news that Trump sent vetting materials to several VP candidates, discussions have grown about potential VP picks for the Trump ticket. The top contenders mostly consist of expected names—largely those who have been considered among Republicans for months.

The Trump campaign has reportedly sent vice-presidential vetting paperwork to seven candidates, including Doug Burgum, Marco Rubio, J.D. Vance, Tim Scott, Byron Donalds, Elise Stefanik, and Ben Carson. The MIG Reports exclusive VP tracker shows live support and approval analysis which recently suggest:

• Voter reactions show different levels of popularity and approval toward the various choices.
• While Vivek Ramaswamy is often mentioned as an unlikely choice, he remains popular among voters with a 30-day average of nearly 20%.
• Byron Donalds takes second place in voter popularity with a 30-day average of 8% support. He also has strong approval numbers and is among the rumored top choices.

What Republicans Are Saying About the Top Picks

Voters are reacting positively to news of Ohio Senator J.D. Vance being in the running. Some endorsed Vance, calling him an America-First choice. They believe he aligns with Trump's agenda and would be acceptable to most. On the other hand, several criticized him primarily for his initial dislike towards Trump and his variable political positions.

Tim Scott and Marco Rubio received mixed reactions. While some voters consider them to be MAGA choices, others label them as RINOs (Republicans in Name Only) and doubt their allegiance to the Trump administration. Some even expressed absolute disapproval of Rubio being considered for vice presidency.

North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum is receiving relatively less attention. However, some say if Trump picks Burgum as his VP, it could indirectly give Bill Gates significant influence due to their close friendship. This generates disapproval since Gates is unpopular among many conservatives.

A recurring concern for many conservatives and MAGA voters is the prospect of having a RINO as Trump’s VP. They fear establishment candidates will not uphold true conservative values. Nikki Haley, although not officially in the running according to recent news, is repeatedly referenced as among these unfavorable RINO choices. Many say she would be even worse than Mike Pence in the eyes of MAGA supporters.

Byron Donalds

Many voters think Byron Donalds is a popular choice. However, he has sparked some strong backlash for his controversial comments on black America during the Jim Crow Era.

A Florida Congressman, Byron Donalds brings a conservative perspective and is one of the two African American Republicans in the House. However, some worry about his eligibility since he and Trump both reside in Florida. Donalds’ comments about “the Black family” during Jim Crow have been controversial and may alienate moderate voters. Republicans might find his admission and discussion of systemic racism to be problematic.

• Byron Donalds enjoys around 8% support, according to MIG Reports data. His approval is also strong, hovering near 50% and soaring above it at times in the last 30 days.

Marco Rubio

Views of Marco Rubio are divided, with some criticizing his allegiance to the Constitution and suggesting his ambition for power could be damaging. Yet, supporters think his background could attract Independent and moderate voters.

A junior senator from Florida, Rubio offers name recognition and experience from his 2016 presidential run. Republicans may appreciate his commitment to conservative principles on issues like tax and immigration. Moderates might appreciate his engagement on issues like climate change and higher education reform. Constitutional eligibility questions are a concern since both Rubio and Trump are residents of Florida.

• Rubio’s approval tends to vary widely, with dips down close to 30% and highs around 50%.

J.D. Vance

Despite his support with America-First voters, some people criticize Vance for his inconsistent loyalty towards Trump. Others are concerned that if Vance becomes VP, Ohio Governor Mike DeWine might appoint a RINO as his replacement.

Vance is the author of “Hillbilly Elegy” and brings an empathetic voice for the struggling working-class. His appeal is tested among Republicans, while his criticisms of Trump may resonate with moderates. Vance's lack of political experience may, however, be a hindrance.

• Vance has gained around 50% approval in the last few days, recovering from a dip to the low 40% range at the start of June.

Tim Scott

Tim Scott's vote against federal protections for contraception and his association with MAGA has earned him criticism from more moderate voters. Yet, some believe he could appeal to Independents better than some of the strong MAGA choices.

South Carolina Senator Scott is the only African American Republican in the Senate and is known for his work on criminal justice reform. This may appeal to moderate voters, although his endorsement of police reform could lead to push back from some conservatives.

• Scott struggled with approval at the start of June, but as news of his consideration increased, his approval increased back to nearly 50%.

Doug Burgum

A relative unknown as North Dakota's governor, some voters think Burgum would allow Trump to keep the spotlight on himself. His name in the running has not elicited any significantly negative reactions, though his VP credentials don't seem to stir up much enthusiasm either.

Burgum is a strong economic conservative with private sector experience as the former CEO of a software company. Republicans might appreciate his fiscally conservative approach and his governing experience, while moderates may be drawn to his reputation as a pragmatic rather than ideological leader.

• Burgum’s approval remains steadily around 50%, with a slight bump in recent days.

Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik did not generate as significant a volume of comments compared to others in contention. She also does not draw as strong of opposition as some other candidates, but she also doesn’t seem to have much momentum behind her.

A young Congresswoman from New York, Stefanik gained fame during the Trump impeachments. Her steadfast support for Trump may win her points with Republicans, but her combative style and strong alignment with Trump might turn off moderate voters.

• Stefanik’s approval can vary widely, fluctuating between 30-50% in the last 30 days.

Ben Carson

While some suggest Carson’s age might be a hindrance to a long-term role, many see him as a good candidate due to his loyalty to Trump and alignment with the America-First movement. Many also view his calm demeanor and intelligence as strengths.

Ben Carson, the former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, has a strong association with the Trump administration and a deep-rooted connection with conservative Christian voters. His quiet demeanor may appeal to those seeking a lower profile candidate but his lack of political experience beyond the HUD role may be a negative for those seeking a seasoned political candidate.

• Carson typically sees strong approval percentages, staying largely above 50% in the last 30 days with a high of 59%.

Passing Mention Contenders

There is also speculation about a few dark horse candidates like Vivek Ramaswamy, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, and Tulsi Gabbard, who some think could take up the America-First mantle. However, Gabbard's liberal background could deter many conservatives.

Tom Cotton is another notable contender. His right-leaning stances align with more conservative elements of the Republican base, but his alleged refusal to condemn threats of violence, puts him at odds with moderates who prioritize law and order. His attempts to secure a place on Trump's shortlist may also be viewed unfavorably by more traditionalist Republicans who disapprove of a perceived MAGA-centric approach.

This diverse field highlights the Trump campaign's attempt to appeal to various factions within the Republican Party and beyond, balancing ideological conservatives with potential candidates with moderate appeal. Given the early stage, it is likely the list may well evolve. Be sure to check in the MIG Reports exclusive VP tracker as the presidential campaign continues.

Based on AI-curated data and MIG Reports research, a clear front runner has yet to emerge for the Republican VP pick. Given the sentiments discussed in this report and developments in the political landscape, however, popularity may be gathering around Ben Carson, J.D. Vance, and Vivek Ramaswamy for the VP position.