Trump’s 2024 presidential win is rapidly shifting expectations and realities across many sectors—including cryptocurrency. Crypto markets are surging to new highs, crossing $85,000 for the first time at the start of the week.

BREAKING: $85,000 #Bitcoin NEW ALL TIME HIGH 💥🚀 pic.twitter.com/ZkqhrytriY

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) November 11, 2024

Now, the crypto community is discussing the potential longer-term impacts of a second Trump administration, including market movements, regulation, and a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

You might want to buy Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/mEjFNOACgm

— Altcoin Daily (@AltcoinDailyio) November 6, 2024

Crypto Voter Reactions

MIG Reports data shows:

• 70% want policies reducing government oversight in financial innovations.
• 65% of crypto voters are optimistic about a Trump administration’s impact on digital assets.
• 60% express hope for clearer regulations that protect rather than restrict crypto.
• 50% criticize legacy media’s portrayal of crypto and its neglect of blockchain’s benefits.
• 55% believe a Harris administration would have introduced unfavorable crypto policies.

Bitcoin Highs and Market Optimism

Almost immediately after Trump’s win, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies pumped, spurring discussions around:

• All-time highs: Bitcoin reached multiple new all-time highs following Trump’s victory, mirroring record gains in traditional stock markets.
• Increased trading volume: Trading volumes across major cryptocurrencies surged, reflecting renewed investor interest and perceived market stability.

This price movement isn’t the only reason to be bullish in crypto community—it’s symbolic of future positive movement. Many say the surge signals a political optimism toward decentralized finance, rejecting traditional financial systems which are over-regulated and restrictive.

Trump’s recent history of embracing crypto and making promises the community supports increases market optimism. Crypto voters who supported Trump are eager to see what his administration brings in the way of crypto regulation clarity and preventing a CBDC.

Enthusiasm and Policy Optimism

Beyond price pumps, the tone in the crypto community is optimistic about Trump’s impact on the industry.

Regulatory Relief

Many expect Trump to support less restrictive policies, anticipating an administration that leans into free-market principles. They want:

• Broader institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies.
• Greater regulatory clarity, particularly in navigating securities laws and tax regulations.
• Policy measures that prioritize financial innovation over governmental oversight.

Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

Crypto voters are excited about Trump’s promise to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve as a safeguard against broader economic uncertainties. They view this as strengthening the U.S. economically and positioning it as a global crypto leader. Many are growing more positive about having J.D. Vance in the administration, considering his history in venture capital and crypto-related tech industries.

Global Relations and Market Confidence

The community voices excitement about Trump’s relationships with foreign leaders, especially with countries like Russia and China. They believe a Trump administration could reduce international tensions, creating a stable environment for investment that directly benefits cryptocurrency markets.

Contrast with Harris

Many are relieved to have avoided a Harris administration, which would likely have leaned toward regulatory intervention. Voters speculate a Harris presidency would have dampened crypto enthusiasm through heavier restrictions and oversight on digital assets.

Overall, crypto voters view Bitcoin’s post-election rise as a financial victory and part of a larger paradigm shift toward decentralized finance. They see crypto assets as increasingly vital in a landscape where traditional financial systems are perceived as vulnerable to external pressures.

Geopolitical and Economic Signals

A bull market in crypto and traditional markets is also influenced by anticipated changes in global dynamics. Investors view Trump’s assertive foreign policy as a stabilizing force—one that fosters economic confidence beyond U.S. borders.

Global Stability Expectations

Trump's win coincides with immediate signals of reduced international tensions. His approach to foreign policy, which prioritizes economic interests, offers a sense of reassurance regarding:

• Dissolving migrant caravans at the border, which voters see as moving toward controlling immigration.
• Potential peace overtures with Russia, China, and the Middle East, likely to stabilize global markets and benefit U.S.-aligned economic interests.

Shift in Energy and Trade Dynamics

Comments in the crypto community suggest energy self-sufficiency and the move away from reliance on adversarial energy sources (e.g., Russian gas) could reinforce economic independence—an essential condition for a flourishing crypto market reliant on stable, decentralized finance.

Projections for Crypto Under Trump

While immediate data points reveal optimism, crypto voters also discuss their future hopes for crypto under Trum:

• Long-term market growth: If Trump’s administration delivers on regulatory relief, crypto investors expect prolonged growth for digital assets, with Bitcoin likely testing new highs. Trump’s anti-establishment stance, combined with crypto’s decentralized appeal, stokes enthusiasm.
• Institutional adoption: With a stable political climate, more traditional financial institutions may enter the crypto space. Banks and investment firms could see Trump’s policies as a green light for incorporating digital assets into portfolios, leading to higher market penetration.
• Global integration: Trump’s foreign policy approach, if it promotes energy independence and stable trade relations, could make the U.S. an appealing hub for crypto. Increased international cooperation could facilitate smoother cross-border crypto transactions, enhancing the legitimacy of digital finance worldwide.

Recent reports of Nancy Pelosi selling nearly $1 million worth of Visa stock, followed by the Department of Justice’s lawsuit against Visa, are sparking widespread public outrage. This incident stirs discussions about political ethics and accountability, with voters reacting across the internet. MIG Reports data shows predominantly negative sentiment towards Pelosi, driven perceptions of corruption and elitism within the political class.

Nancy Pelosi sold nearly $1 million of Visa, $V on July 1.

The US Department of Justice has sued Visa today, accusing one of the world’s largest payment networks of antitrust violations that affect “the price of nearly everything”, nearly three months later. pic.twitter.com/PoFHbtNgIp

— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) September 24, 2024

Anger at Elites

Voter sentiment is dominated by anger and frustration, with many people viewing Pelosi’s actions as an abuse of power. Her ability to make large financial transactions while still serving in a high-ranking political role evokes feelings of injustice, especially considering the financial struggles faced by ordinary citizens.

Outrage is amplified by accusations of hypocrisy, with critics pointing to her public stances which often seem at odds with her private financial dealings. Many discussing the subject are demanding transparency and accountability from Pelosi.

Disillusionment with the Political Establishment

Betrayal and distrust toward the political elite also permeate discussions about Pelosi's financial decisions. Many feel her actions embody the self-serving nature of politicians, further deepening public skepticism of the government. Some accuse her of insider trading, with critics pointing to the uncanny timing of her stock sale.

A smaller group expresses disillusionment and disappointment. These Americans view Pelosi’s suspicious financial trades as both a character failure and a reflection of broader systemic issues. For this group, Pelosi’s actions symbolize the growing divide between the political elite and average Americans. Many desire meaningful reform and stricter regulations to prevent corrupt financial dealings among the political class.

A Sense of Futility

Some express feelings of helplessness and hopelessness as powerful elites and rich politicians seem untouchable compared to normal citizens. There is a sense of resignation, doubting any meaningful consequences will follow for questionable or corrupt behavior.

Americans see the lack of accountability for powerful politicians as an inevitable and frustrating reality. While they call for systemic changes, they also emphasize little optimism any change will occur.

Pelosi Defenders

Finally, around 5% of the discussion expresses support for Pelosi. This group either defends her actions or attributes criticism to partisan bias. This group highlights the lack of concrete evidence for insider trading allegations, calling for caution before passing judgment. They argue Pelosi is being unfairly targeted by political opponents, further polarizing the conversation.

Days prior to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s announcement of a 0.5% rate cut, many reports speculated about the impending announcement. Americans just before the announcement, Americans were expressing outright skepticism and frustration at the idea.

Today, the national mood reflects widespread dismissal, with many questioning the government’s motives and doubting the effectiveness of Fed interventions. While there is scant support for the rate cut—though not wholesale support for the Fed—it is overshadowed by concerns interventions are politically motivated. Many say government actions primarily serves corporate and political interests rather than struggling Americans.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates massively, just 48 days ahead of the election. Thank god for the independence of the Fed! 😅

Funny how some of us last year predicted exactly this would happen.

— Vivek Ramaswamy (@VivekGRamaswamy) September 18, 2024

Americans Not Buying It

Skepticism is the dominant theme across both housing and economic conversations. MIG Reports analysis shows 66.7% of voters view the rate cuts as a political maneuver designed to boost the economy ahead of upcoming elections.

In housing-specific discussions, skepticism focuses on the belief that rate cuts will benefit corporations more than ordinary families. Across multiple data sets, concerns about affordability, rising housing costs, and inflation surface repeatedly. This fuels feelings that the government is out of touch with the everyday challenges facing Americans.

Supportive-ish Tones

Though skepticism is dominant, there is a smaller but notable group—around 21% to 31%—who view the rate cuts positively. These voters say interest rate cuts are a necessary step to stimulate economic growth and help families.

However, even within this more optimistic group, concerns about broader economic issues and banking turmoil remain. This suggests fragile public trust in government initiatives.

Day Late, Dollar Short

The conversations also consistently highlight inflation, economic inequality, and housing affordability. Americans across various online discussions express frustration at the rising cost of living. They voice frustration about everything from groceries to healthcare rising in costs and becoming unaffordable.

Many argue government and Fed intervention, including rate cuts and housing assistance proposals, fail to address the root causes of these problems. Some say these supposed “fixes” often worsen problems by benefiting corporations and government more than average citizens. This sense of economic insecurity reinforces a narrative of distrust, where political decisions are perceived as disconnected from the needs of ordinary people.

Reports of crypto company Ripple's Co-Founder and Executive Chairman Chris Larsen publicly endorsing Kamala Harris is sparking election discussions among crypto voters. This endorsement comes amid growing recognition of cryptocurrency's importance in American culture and crypto voters becoming a coveted voting bloc. Now, crypto holders are discussing which candidate would better align with the interests of cryptocurrency investors.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Ripple Co-Founder & Executive Chairman Chris Larsen endorses Kamala Harris for President. pic.twitter.com/C73cDl8rVb

— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) September 6, 2024

Ripple Labs is a blockchain company that facilitates fast and cost-effective cross-border payments—its crypto token is called XRP. For the last three and a half years, Ripple has been embroiled in a regulatory battle with the SEC over whether XRP is an unregistered security.

• Just hours after reports of Larsen endorsing Kamala Harris, a one-day XRP chart showed a 4.69% drop in XRP’s value.

Politicians Court Crypto Voters

The rise of cryptocurrency has created a politically engaged group whose motivations are deeply tied to economic policies, particularly those impacting crypto regulation. Both Republican and Democratic candidates are now vying for the support of these voters.

Trump’s recent strong support for the crypto community encourages those who hope for financial autonomy. Kamala Harris, while less overt in her outreach to crypto voters, may appeal to those who seek stronger or more explicit crypto regulations.

JUST IN: Coinbase CFO says Kamala Harris campaign is using Coinbase to accept crypto donations — Fortune 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/EWhSFY205R

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) September 4, 2024

Crypto voters prioritize policies that promote financial autonomy, minimal government intervention, and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as hedges against inflation. This group prioritizes their views on cryptocurrency and economic policy as central to their voting decisions.

Trump vs. Harris Among Crypto Voters

MIG Reports data and weighted analysis shows:

• 42.1% of crypto voters are likely to support Harris.
• 57.9% of crypto voters are likely to support Trump.

Recent Fairleigh Dickinson University polling from August 2024 shows crypto voters favoring Trump over Harris by 12 points. MIG Reports’ own analysis showing a 15.8-point advantage for Trump mirrors FDU polling and is just outside a ±3 margin of error. This sizable lead for Trump may indicate a significant electoral impact as the FDU poll also shows 1 in 7 voters own crypto.

Other MIG Reports analysis from online conversations among crypto voters confirms this group leans heavily toward Donald Trump.

Within crypto-related voter discussions:

• 70% of comments focus on the economic implications of current crypto policies.
• 58% express negative views of Harris and the Democratic Party.
• 68% show negative sentiment toward economic policies proposed by Harris.
• 75% are positive about Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation among Trump supporters.
• 61% express a sense of independence and self-sufficiency through crypto.

Sentiment analysis shows Trump’s promises to position the U.S. as the world capital of cryptocurrency and ease regulatory burdens, resonates strongly with crypto voters. In contrast, Harris’s proposed tax increases and crypto regulations generate significant skepticism, particularly from those who fear overregulation could hinder the growth of the crypto market.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Donald Trump says “instead of attacking industries of the future, we will embrace them, including making America the world capital for crypto and #Bitcoin.” pic.twitter.com/OsGd3i5WdQ

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) September 5, 2024

Key Issues Driving Sentiment

Discussions highlight specific themes driving the crypto community's views. Economic policies and regulation are key. Discussions often contain terms like:

• Bitcoin
• Capital gains tax
• Crypto regulations
• Inflation
• End the Federal Reserve
• Can’t trust the government

Crypto voters express a strong desire for reduced government interference. There is often a libertarian streak within the crypto community, as many view government intervention as a direct threat to their financial independence.

Trump’s promise to reduce regulation is often received as a lifeline for crypto investors who have long been frustrated with the U.S. regulatory environment. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris is mostly viewed warily for her proposals to increase regulation and taxes, which many fear would stifle innovation.

A striking 75% of crypto-related comments express positive sentiment toward Trump’s ability to revitalize the crypto industry. Many believe he will ease regulatory burdens and promote U.S. dominance in the crypto market.

• MIG Reports data shows Americans are generally bullish on crypto, with sentiment averaging 59% in the last 14 days and a low of 51%.

Predictive Analysis: The Crypto Voting Bloc

Crypto voters are poised to play a critical role in the 2024 election. Trump's projected advantage likely helps shape how seriously crypto voters and their policy preferences will be received by politicians in the future. In previous elections, crypto holders have not been seen as a particularly critical voting bloc. As cryptocurrency’s influence continues to grow, the 2024 election may change that.

In the current conversation, Harris faces the challenge of shaping a message that might appeal to crypto voters. Voters want her to clearly articulate her regulatory approach and how it would foster an innovation-friendly environment. Her ability to convince skeptical crypto voters that regulation can enhance rather than hinder the market could be a key factor in narrowing Trump’s lead.

Despite receiving endorsements from certain industry figures like Chris Larsen, Harris must overcome widespread skepticism about her crypto stance. Especially as her involvement in a flip-flopping and frustrating Biden administration has not left voters’ minds.

MIG Reports analysis of online conversations about rising bankruptcy filings coincides with wider economic worries. Bankruptcies have surged by 16% over the 12-month period ending March 31, 2024. This indicates American conversations about economic, social, and political concerns are more than worries. Voters express economic distress, financial instability, and fear the impact of government policies on their livelihoods.

The recent 16% increase in bankruptcy is similar to rates seen at the end of 2023. In the prior four years, bankruptcies were at their highest during COVID lockdowns. Despite coming down for the next three years, bankruptcy filings are now increasing again. Many attribute this to economic mismanagement by the Biden-Harris administration.

• U.S. Courts data shows there were 467,774 new bankruptcy cases filed during the cited 12-month period, compared to 403,273 in the previous year.
• Business bankruptcies saw a significant jump of more than 40%, rising from 14,467 cases in 2023 to 20,316 in 2024.
• Non-business bankruptcies, which involve individuals, also increased by about 15%, from 388,806 cases to 447,458.

Families and Businesses are Struggling

Americans continue to grow more concerned about financial instability, including due to rising bankruptcy rates. Conversations mention the challenges families and small business owners face along with economic stress, financial insecurity, and debt relief.

The plight of small businesses, often cited as especially vulnerable to economic fluctuations, underscores broader concerns about market volatility and consumer behavior shifts.

Voters discuss the role of government policies, with many skeptical of the effectiveness of stimulus packages and economic recovery plans. Phrases like "too little, too late" and "lack of support" indicate a sense of frustration about the government’s meager responses to economic challenges.

Political accountability also emerges as a significant theme. Americans link the increase in bankruptcies to perceived failures in government leadership and economic management. Voters criticize “Bidenomics” and the Biden-Harris administration for its policies causing inflation, using terms like "government failure," and "poor leadership." This dissatisfaction leads to a broader call for reform and changed leadership.

The Mood is Sour on the Economy

The national emotional tone is one of anxiety, frustration, and skepticism. People feel overwhelmed and worried about their financial futures. They wonder how they will afford basic living costs, completely giving up on saving for the future or retirement. There is a sense of betrayal by the political establishment and those who continue to grow wealthier.

Anger and distrust coexist with smaller pockets of hope and resilience. Some conversations highlight a commitment to community support. Despite the larger economic struggle, Americans still talk about "supporting local businesses" and "community strength" reflecting a proactive attitude despite the challenging economic climate.

In the current American political landscape, discussions about gun control are intense. Divisions are often along partisan lines when it comes to gun regulations, carry laws, and firearm availability. However, there is a related issue of credit card companies monitoring purchases which impacts wider groups of Americans, illustrated vividly by gun owners.

2A Advocates are Livid with Increased Gun Measures

Conservative and pro-2A (Second Amendment) Americans are increasingly worried about credit card company involvement in gun-related policies. Analysis of online conversations reveals sentiment towards credit card companies like Visa and Mastercard is deeply influenced by their policies related to gun purchases and tracking.

Gun owners view any action by financial institutions to monitor or restrict firearm transactions as a direct infringement on their freedoms. Any possibility of having purchases of financial access restricted by credit card companies causes severe protest. While this issues is particularly objectionable for gun owners, they also argue it is relevant for all Americans who fear their behavior could be tracked and acted upon by corporations.

Americans frequently express concerns over executives or policies perceived to infringe upon the First and Second Amendments, citing fears of mandatory buyback programs, bans on certain weapons, and free speech violations. These concerns are heightened by policy proposals from politicians like Kamala Harris.

She didn't say it once, twice or even three times. Kamala practically campaigned on gun confiscation.

Here is a clip of her clearly stating that the "buyback" will be compulsory. https://t.co/VShzBugAmj pic.twitter.com/gmu84g37dd

— National Association for Gun Rights (@NatlGunRights) August 2, 2024

There is strong negativity toward any company voters view as willing to participate in or support such gun control or censorship actions. People vehemently assert that increasing gun restrictions violates fundamental and constitutional rights.

Statements about “gun confiscation” and “mandatory buybacks” are central keywords to these conversations. Confiscation within a specific timeframe, such as the "first 100 days" appears with mentions of Kamala Harris, eliciting strong reactions among gun rights advocates. They fear the slippery slope of eroding freedoms. This includes a growing worry about financial tracking by credit card companies and government overreach.

Progressives Cheer Censorship and Gun Restrictions

Conversely, the term “gun violence” appears frequently in discourse on the left—unless it pertains to illegal immigrants. Democrats and progressives are more likely to talk about credit card companies as potentially playing a role in reducing violence.

Many on the left support companies if they implement policies leftists believe could reduce gun violence. They cheer for things like tracking suspicious purchases of firearms and ammunition. These advocates argue it's a form of “corporate responsibility” and is essential for public safety.

Liberals say purchase monitoring is a necessary measure to combat an "epidemic" of gun violence, especially in light of high-profile mass shootings. They appreciate efforts to impose gun restrictions and call for increased regulations to prevent firearms from getting into the wrong hands.

Any action by credit card companies to curb gun purchases is often lauded as a step forward among progressive. They connect mass shootings with the ease of access to firearms, saying it creates an environment where financial institutions are obligated to step in.

"Background checks" also dominate the conversation, with mixed sentiments. Some argue comprehensive background checks should be facilitated by credit card transaction reviews. They claim this could enhance public safety and prevent tragic outcomes, praising Visa and Mastercard for proactive measures.

Donald Trump's speech at the 2024 Bitcoin conference in Nashville generated excitement and enthusiasm in the crypto community. Crypto Twitter celebrated Trump's pledges and his robust endorsement of Bitcoin and broader cryptocurrency policies.

While some still express skepticism about whether Trump can fulfill his promises, many others push back saying Kamala Harris and democrats are openly hostile to crypto. Many say—despite Trump’s divisive style—his promises to build a crypto-friendly administration are hopeful.

Fire Gary Gensler

The topic generating the most enthusiasm in the crypto community is Trump’s vow to fire Gary Gensler, the current SEC Chairman. This commitment pleases crypto enthusiasts who feel oppressed by the existing regulatory environment under Gensler.

Trump’s statement, “On day one, I will fire Gary Gensler and appoint a new SEC Chairman,” gained roaring applause, which even surprised Trump himself. The crowd's reaction underscores a widespread dissatisfaction with the SEC’s current stance on digital assets.

A U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

Trump also proposed the U.S. government establish a "strategic national Bitcoin stockpile," maintaining 100% of the Bitcoin it owns. This was celebrated as a visionary policy and a profound commitment to integrating Bitcoin into the national treasury.

Many view this as a promising step toward making the U.S. a leading player in the global crypto economy. Voters see supportive strategies like this as crucial for Bitcoin’s mainstream adoption and its perceived legitimacy.

Free Ross Ulbricht

Eagerness in the crypto community to free Silk Road founder Ross Ulbrich also generated positivity when Trump promised to commute his sentence. Ulbricht’s cause is deeply embedded in the crypto community, representing issues of personal freedom, justice reform, and internet privacy.

Trump’s promise to commute Ross Ulbricht's sentence, who was sentenced in 2015, was met with palpable excitement. This issue particularly bolstered Trump’s image as a champion of financial and market freedom—values intrinsic to the Bitcoin ethos.

No CBDC for America

Trump also voiced strong opposition to any central bank digital currency (CBDC) under his presidency. He described CBDCs as a threat to economic freedom, promising to squash the possibility of implementing one if he is elected.

Crypto voters mostly view CBDCs as unjustifiable government overreach into personal financial autonomy. They say CBDCs will inevitably bring extensive surveillance and control, destroying individual freedoms and enabling censorship or a social credit system.

Criticism of Trump’s Crypto Message

There is some skepticism and criticism toward Trump from some segments of the crypto community. Critics argue Trump’s overture to Bitcoiners may not be out of genuine belief in crypto, but simply a strategic or populist move to gain votes.

Some point out that Donald Trump called Bitcoin extremely dangerous and a scam during his presidency. They say, now he’s realizing how important it is to Millennials and Gen Z, criticizing his pivot. This causes some to question whether Trump will make good on his promises.

Negativity Toward Kamala Harris

The political implications of Trump's speech haven't gone unnoticed. As Vice President Kamala Harris ramps up her political campaign, some are hoping for similar overtures toward crypto voters. However, many lodge the same complaints about Harris that critics levy against trump, questioning whether any move toward crypto would be genuine.

Negativity about crypto policies held by the Biden administration, which Harris has been party to, is strong. Rumors that Kamala Harris's advisers have approached top crypto companies to reset relations are often met with scorn and ridicule. Many encourage crypto advocates to decline conversations with a potential Harris administration.

Banking Freedom is American

The theme of the U.S. as the "crypto capital" and a "Bitcoin superpower" resonsates deeply with crypto voters who want this to become reality. Those who see potential for the U.S. to lead technological innovation welcome politicians who frame crypto as a positive for America.

Conversations strongly feature patriotic undertones, embracing the rhetoric of American leadership in the global financial ecosystem driven by blockchain technology. This vision appeals to those keen on seeing the United States at the forefront of the digital currency revolution, outpacing rivals like China.

Trump’s platform connecting Bitcoin and fundamental American values such as "freedom, sovereignty, and independence" generate strong support. This rhetorical framing resonates deeply with freedom-oriented voters and reinforces the view of Bitcoin as not merely a financial asset but a symbol of resistance against government overreach and monetary manipulation.

Gary Gensler

Public sentiment towards Gary Gensler, the current Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), is extremely negative in the crypto community. Discourse reflects a sense of antagonism, with many expressing strong dissatisfaction over his enforcement actions against the cryptocurrency market. People who mention Gensler recurringly use phrases like:

• Fire Gary Gensler
• SEC
• anti-crypto
• regulatory crackdown
• kill crypto
• Gensler out

Many voters perceive Gensler as the orchestrator of policies that stifle innovation and economic freedom within the crypto space. People repeatedly accuse the SEC under his leadership of initiating an "anti-crypto crusade." This stance is viewed as tyrannical and oppressive to free market financial innovations.

The sentiment favoring Donald Trump's promise to fire Gary Gensler is markedly positive among crypto enthusiasts. In general, people view Trump’s platform as crypto-friendly, fostering optimism toward an environment of reduced regulatory pressure and more supportive oversight.

MIG Reports data has been revealing a growing sense that crypto voters are becoming important for the 2024 election. Ongoing public sentiment toward the Biden administration and Democratic stance on cryptocurrency has largely been negative. There is sharp skepticism and a sense of caution about Democrat approaches to regulation and crypto policy.

Many voters express concern about overregulation by Democrat-led initiatives, blaming figures like Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and SEC chair Gary Gensler. Crypto voters also fear Democrats will stifle innovation and drive cryptocurrency ventures out of the United States. People say the Biden administration's regulatory impulses are the same as those which led to increased inflation and financial instability.

With a crypto-friendly politician like J.D. Vance stepping into the spotlight as Donald Trump’s VP pick, crypto voters are coming back to the fore. Recent developments on the Democratic ticket have also opened an opportunity for Democrats to change their tune.

After Trump’s recent overtures to the crypto community, rumors began to swirl that Democratic nominee Kamala Harris may try to change Democratic positioning. However, her decision not to speak alongside Trump at the 2024 Bitcoin conference and allegations that she said Bitcoin is “money for criminals” do not seem to support this hypothesis.

JUST IN: Kamala Harris decided NOT to speak at #Bitcoin 2024 Conference in Nashville, CEO David Bailey confirms. pic.twitter.com/FSMVemzEGM

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) July 24, 2024

Crypto Voters in Swing States

In swing states like Ohio, cryptocurrency discourse is growing. This group promotes the advantages of cryptocurrency and blockchain, suggesting these technologies should be embraced to create more accessible and inclusive financial systems. They view market volatility as an opportunity rather than a threat.

While still somewhat a niche group, their presence in swing states indicates a growing interest in non-traditional economic policies, particularly resonating with those disillusioned by traditional financial institutions.

Voters in critical states express varying degrees of enthusiasm and concern over the growth of cryptocurrency. There is increased buzz with political positioning from high-profile figures like Donald Trump and J.D. Vance.

Sentiment toward cryptocurrency in these regions appears predominantly positive, marked by optimism about technological innovation. However, there is also an undercurrent of skepticism and concern regarding regulatory actions and the stability of digital currencies.

Concerns About Crypto Regulation

Concerns about regulatory overreach, particularly from the SEC, are prevalent. This is notable with social media speculation that Kamala Harris may mention Elizabeth Warren or Gary Gensler as potential Treasury Secretary under a Harris administration.

Hearing from Democrat insiders that Kamala Harris will name-check Elizabeth Warren or Gary Gensler for Treasury, Bernie Sanders for HHS, and get this - in order to motivate the liberal base - AOC for Defense! 🤯

— Jason Miller (@JasonMillerinDC) July 23, 2024

The SEC's stringent regulatory approach is seen as stifling innovation and driving businesses and investors away. Gary Gensler, the current SEC chair, is frequently mentioned negatively, reflecting dissatisfaction with his handling of crypto regulations.

Sentiment towards Kamala Harris and other Democrat leaders indicates an expectation for clear stances on crypto. Harris's emerging candidacy raises questions about her position on digital assets, given her lack of public comments on cryptocurrency.

Republicans Court Crypto Voters

J.D. Vance's selection as a potential VP candidate generates excitement within the crypto community due to his crypto-friendly stance. This includes his criticisms of the SEC and calls for more relaxed and clear crypto regulations. His substantial Bitcoin investments and advocacy for the industry are seen as a promising sign for future policies.

The influence of Silicon Valley and tech entrepreneurs plays a significant role in the narrative. Some approve of a potential alliance between the tech sector and conservative politics, motivated by shared interests in minimizing regulatory burdens and fostering innovation.

The Importance of Crypto Voters

A growing audience views crypto as a pivotal issue in upcoming elections, both in swing states and nationally. However, there seems to be a generational divide where younger, tech-savvy voters gravitate towards crypto-friendly candidates and older voters may not.

The anticipation of regulatory clarity and favorable policies from a Trump-Vance administration contrasts sharply with fears of continued regulatory crackdowns under a similar Democratic regime. This divide may well be a critical factor in determining the sway of crypto voters in the next election cycle.

Overall, the importance of crypto voters is projected to be substantial in both swing states and the national election.

Crypto news recently surfaced that on-chain transactions show a wallet linked to the U.S. government transferred 3,940 bitcoins to the popular crypto exchange Coinbase. This is generating a lot of discussion online and speculation about whether the United States plans to sell large amounts of Bitcoin.

Some crypto investors speculate the transfer may indicate the government plans to liquidate assets, possibly to stabilize the market or address financial needs. This possibility generates significant controversy since the U.S. government still holds a massive reserve of approximately 213,546 Bitcoin, currently valued at around $12.9 billion. Some fear that, if the U.S. government floods the market with its Bitcoin holdings, it will drive the price down dramatically.

Why the U.S. Government Holds Bitcoin

The U.S. government holds Bitcoin primarily through seizures from criminal investigations involving activities like drug trafficking, money laundering, and cybercrime. Government agencies confiscate assets during enforcement actions or obtain crypto through asset surrender. At times, the U.S. Marshals Service has auctioned seized bitcoin, converting it to cash for various government functions.

Voter perception of the government's bitcoin holdings is mixed. Some Americans appreciate it as a sign of effective law enforcement against cybercriminals, while others may view it as draconian and unjustified for the government to benefit from digital assets it is hostile to.

Many people call for greater transparency in how these assets are managed and how the proceeds are utilized. Some also argue confiscated crypto should be burned or left dormant like confiscated drugs.

The Crypto Regulation Fight

The transfer has also sparked a broader debate on the regulatory and financial implications of government agencies using crypto exchanges. Investors are questioning whether this could lead to market volatility and how it reflects the government's stance on cryptocurrencies. Especially when many crypto holders feel perpetually frustrated at the lack of regulatory clarity in the United States.

The involvement of Coinbase, a major exchange currently in legal battles with the SEC, adds another layer of intrigue. Many crypto voters view the U.S. government as highly hypocritical for going after Coinbase on legal grounds, while at the same time utilizing its services.

A Reuters report stated, “The SEC sued Coinbase in June, saying the firm facilitated trading of at least 13 crypto tokens that should have been registered as securities and was operating illegally as a national securities exchange, broker and clearing agency without registering with the regulator.”

There is also ongoing legal action with Coinbase suing the SEC and FDIC for not honoring FOIA requests. The contentious and complicated relationship between the U.S. government and crypto exchanges like Coinbase seems to make Crypto users increasingly irate about government hypocrisy.

Reactions to Government Use of Bitcoin

At the same time, many in the crypto community see the government's accumulated Bitcoin as a testament to its resilience and increasing legitimacy. The fact that the government holds significant amounts of crypto, even if obtained through confiscations, indirectly validates the value and importance of digital currencies.

For some, government use of crypto tokens is a step towards broader acceptance and integration of cryptocurrencies within traditional financial and regulatory frameworks. It gives some hope that Bitcoin might someday be recognized not just as an asset, but as a potential medium for various financial transactions, including tax payments.

However, the majority of American crypto holders view Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as tools to undermine what they perceive as a corrupt or inefficient fiat-based financial system. They tend to view the government's possession of Bitcoin as ironic and hypocritical. It raises concerns about potential misuse or mismanagement of crypto markets and encourages national governments to continue targeting crypto holders as perceived threats.