Public sentiment around the job market is increasingly defined by distrust and narrative complexity. Despite low official unemployment, many Americans feel left behind in an economy marked by gig work, automation fears, and policy fatigue.

The economic conversation is shaped by four overlapping storylines:

• Trump’s renewed tariff and layoff policies
• The acceleration of AI-driven disruption
• Concerns about manipulated job data
• Rising frustration over partisan gridlock in Congress.

Together, these forces drive a narrative of distrust, fatigue, and unmet expectations.

Voter Sentiment

MIG Reports data on job market sentiment shows:

• Negative Sentiment: 42% — Emphasizing economic insecurity, job losses, and policy failure
• Positive Sentiment: 33% — Highlighting job growth stats and perceived recovery
• Neutral Sentiment: 25% — Focused on data sharing and historical comparisons without ideological tone

Key Findings and Themes

Low Trust in Official Job Market Narratives

Many Americans believe unemployment figures are massaged to fit political narratives. Voters emphasize that real-life experiences with layoffs, contract work, and stagnant wages often contradict official reports. There are common refrains like, "everyone I know is struggling," dismissing unemployment rates as politically convenient fiction.

Tariffs Polarize Public

Trump’s reintroduction of aggressive trade measures is also dividing voter sentiments. While many support the concept of economic nationalism, others voice concern that poor enforcement, legal reversals, and retaliatory costs are undermining results. A recurring grievance is the clash between executive ambition and legislative inertia.

Government Spending and Layoffs

Defunding Job Corps and mass firings within agencies like the Department of Energy are causing backlash among many voter groups. While many in Trump’s base celebrate dismantling bureaucratic excess, others argue these cuts harm working-class Americans. Voters almost universally express frustration with Congress for contining to fund elite perks while undercutting programs that once provided upward mobility.

AI and Automation as Growing Threats

Anxiety over job loss due to AI and automation is growing. Workers across industries report being displaced or sidelined. Public frustration is mounting over what many call a lack of serious planning for the future of work. Voters see Trump as more attuned to the problem than Biden, but most are still losing patience with rhetoric lacking results.

Sentiment Now Versus Last Year

Previous MIG Reports analysis showed, in late 2024, voter sentiment focused on only 12,000 new jobs created in a month—most of which were government jobs. Last year, there was strong outrage toward the Biden administration and its inaccurate data.

Now in June 2025, sentiment is more diffuse. While jobs have returned on paper, many voters describe them as unfulfilling, short-term, or economically insufficient. A sense of betrayal has expanded beyond Democrats to include both parties and the institutions managing economic policy.

Sentiment Impact of Biden vs. Trump

Under Biden, employment sentiment was driven by accusations of data manipulation and short-term government hires. Voters were quick to call out "fake growth" and low-quality jobs, especially as inflation rose alongside job reports.

Under Trump, expectations have shifted. His base wants results, not slogans. While many appreciate his aggressive stance on trade and bureaucracy, they also note failures like court blocks on mass firings, inconsistent tariff policies, and a lack of clarity on how his policies will handle automation.

Still, Trump enjoys relatively stronger trust. The phrase "at least he fights for us" is common among conservatives, Independents, and the working class. But symbolic trust is conditional—and eroding.

Voter Commentary Highlights

In discussions about both presidents, there are recurring sentiments or phrases. Some of these include:

On Biden

• “Government jobs aren’t real jobs.”
• “The numbers lie. Everyone I know is struggling.”

On Trump

• “At least Trump’s trying to bring jobs back.”
• “I want the tariffs to work, but not like this.”
• “He talks about jobs, but I want to see factories reopening.”

A federal court ruling last week declared that President Trump lacks constitutional authority to impose tariffs under emergency powers. While the legal decision is confined to technical statutory interpretation, public reactions are more sweeping. The ruling exposes fierce disagreements over who controls U.S. economic policy and how far executive power should stretch.

MIG Reports data shows:

• 65% of discussions oppose the court’s decision
• 35% support it the ruling

There is strong voter resistance to judicial constraints on presidential action—particularly among Trump-aligned and populist-leaning voters.

The Constitution as Weapon

Those who support the ruling lean heavily on claims of constitutional principle. They applaud the judiciary for reasserting that tariff authority lies with Congress, not the executive.

Trump critics frame the ruling as a victory for separation of powers, emphasizing that regardless of political affiliation, no president should be allowed to bypass legislative process under vague declarations of economic emergency.

However, some institutionalists recognize the ruling could leave future presidents flat-footed in global trade disputes. On the left, many present the ruling as neutral and nonpartisan, though these celebratory voices are mostly hear in anti-Trump circles.

Conservatives Say Overreach or Sabotage

The right views the ruling as judicial sabotage. Posts condemn the decision as corrupt judicial overreach, a partisan move by the courts to kneecap Trump’s America First agenda. Rather than focusing on statutory limits, commenters accuse the bench of undermining a president who uses tariffs to defend American industry and leverage better trade terms.

Trump supporters see the court’s action as part of a broader pattern where partisan judges are attempting to strip power from a president elected to shake up a stagnant system. Voters warn that neutering the executive’s ability to apply economic pressure in real time invites foreign exploitation and delays critical policy responses.

Liberal Mockery and the TACO Meme Machine

The left is also attempting to seize the moment to score cultural points. MSNBC and liberal influencers are promoting the acronym TACO (“Trump Always Chickens Out”), turning the court ruling into a meme war. The phrase flooded left leaning social media, mocking Trump’s previous tariff threats and implying cowardice when legal pressure mounts.

I should make it my profile picture.#TACO pic.twitter.com/slBqNTXUWy

— Emmyjo (@Road_trippn) May 28, 2025

While some on the right acknowledge inconsistency in tariff implementation, they view the liberal response as performative and noisome. They say liberals have been harping on Trump from every angle for so many years that any new criticism is not taken seriously. This group sees TACO and other attack lines as stemming more from TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome) than legitimate criticism.

Trump becomes even more unhinged when he hears “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out). Share the hell out of this clip. #TACOTrump pic.twitter.com/cfKwmmmNsa

— 💥Arbiter of Cool💥😎✌🏻👊🏻 (@ArbiterofCool) May 28, 2025

Market Relief vs. Strategic Loss

Many are also discussing markets responding positively to the court ruling. They say stock futures rose because investors anticipate lower import costs and reduced trade uncertainty. But for economic nationalists, this optimism is shortsighted. They argue the court's ruling removes tariffs as a vital negotiating tool in dealing with bad-faith actors like China.

In this view, market stability bought at the price of sovereign flexibility is a losing trade. Critics of the ruling say the ability to act swiftly and unilaterally is a necessity in an increasingly multipolar world.

Judicial Trust and the Perception of Bias

The ruling also reignites skepticism about judicial neutrality. Among conservatives, there is a strong belief that courts selectively enforce constitutional principles. When Trump acts decisively, courts call it authoritarian. When Democrats govern through executive orders, it’s framed as efficiency. This perceived double standard continues to erode faith in judicial institutions, particularly among right-leaning voters.

Analysis of public comments related to this federal court ruling shows:

• 48% of discussions explicitly or implicitly describe courts as politically motivated and biased against Trump.

Voters say many judges are no longer interpreting law but deliberately obstructing policies with popular mandates. Many insist that judges, appointed through democratic processes, should exercise restraint when countering the executive branch. This is especially when the executive is pursuing policies that voters elected him to carry out.

Many discuss the court’s decision as a strategic political block. This reinforces the perception that institutional elites are determined to override the will of Trump’s voter base. The repeated pattern of Trump-era policies being overturned or delayed by the courts further entrenches beliefs that judicial authority is selectively applied to punish populist reform while shielding establishment interests.

Donald Trump’s controversial tariffs policy may finally be blossoming into a more positively defining feature of his foreign policy and domestic brand. Two major events in the past week—the tense Oval Office meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and a new US-UK trade deal—show shifting sentiment.

In recent weeks, there has been significant negativity around Trump’s trade tactics, with criticism for his rhetoric and the potential consequences for the U.S. economy. But with results, more voters are starting to see tariffs as a national strength.

Peter Mandelson, British Ambassador to the U.S. thanks @POTUS:

"You’ve done what you said you would do... that you would do a good trade deal with the U.K., that you would do it at pace, and that we would be first, and you have delivered that. You’ve been true to your word." pic.twitter.com/bB3NhQlG42

— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) May 8, 2025

The Polarizing Power of Tariffs

Tariffs, a significant focus of the media and Americans worried about the economy, have been a controversial topic in recent months. Previous MIG Reports data showed growing concern, even among MAGA voters.

But now, they are becoming shorthand for a broader nationalist worldview—one that asserts American leverage and rejects multilateral handwringing. Trump’s willingness to impose high tariffs, even on allies, has split the electorate. But the U.K. deal is swinging the majority in a positive direction.

• 55% of recent commentary on the U.K. trade deal supports the aggressive approach.
• 30% opposes it, citing retaliatory risks or inflation.
• In Canada-related discussions, criticism spikes higher—around 66% disapproval—driven by the tone of the meeting and the optics of Trump’s “51st state” quip.

Public Sentiment Metrics and Takeaways

• Canada Trade Sentiment: 66% critical, 20% supportive, 14% neutral
• U.K. Trade Deal Sentiment: 55% supportive, 30% critical, 15% neutral
• Tariff Floor Support: High engagement from nationalist and pro-industry users
• Supportive Themes: Tariffs are forcing the West to recognize U.S. leverage again
• Critical Themes: Tariffs are inflationary and alienate strategic allies

PM Carney and the “51st State” Gambit

Trump’s Oval Office meeting with Prime Minister Mark Carney generated dramatic reactions from critics and the media. Carney’s now-viral line, “Canada is not for sale,” was a direct response to Trump’s suggestion that Canada might someday join the United States.

The phrase became a lightning rod online, seen as both a diplomatic rebuke and a nationalist rallying cry, differing among Americans and Canadians. Roughly two-thirds of public reaction in the U.S. leaned critical, framing the event as unserious theater rather than a meaningful trade negotiation.

The meeting produced no tariff relief, no bilateral deal, and no reset in tone. Trump’s defenders say his posture reflects strength by refusing to budge on steel and auto tariffs. But critics, including many Canadians, interpret it as recklessness masquerading as diplomacy. The absence of deliverables fuel perceptions that Trump is leveraging trade not just for economics, but for narrative control.

U.K. and the Brexit Pivot

In contrast to Canadian talks, a new U.K. deal is giving Trump a high-profile win. Many tout the trade deal as a direct result of Brexit, “only possible because Britain took back control of its trade policy." Supporters agree. The deal plays well with Trump’s base because it capitalizes on Britain’s detachment from the EU, bypasses Brussels, and repositions the U.S. as a preferred trading partner.

'I was opening Turnberry the day you were voting… I said, I think they’re going to go their own separate way — and I think it’s better for them.'

Trump says Brexit was the right call, and the new US-UK trade deal proves it. pic.twitter.com/h0G4ePLYgI

— GB News (@GBNEWS) May 8, 2025

Trump has made clear that a 10% tariff floor is just the starting point. Critics argue this lopsided arrangement—where the U.S. increases tariffs while the UK cuts theirs—could hurt British industry. Yet among Trump’s supporters, that’s the point. Many see this as justified after decades of trade policy that favored European recovery at American expense. Some reference the post-WWII arrangements where the U.S. subsidized rebuilding Europe, saying now is the time to “rebalance.”

Sentiment around the Europe deal is mixed but leaning supportive as 55% of online discussions back Trump’s posture. About 30% warn the deal could fracture existing trade alliances or push Europe closer to Asia, where new deals are already accelerating.

Tariffs as Political Branding

Tangible wins like the deal with Great Britain help Trump demonstrate the positive impact of tariffs. Where earlier presidents treated them as economic levers, Trump uses them to signal defiance against adversaries like China and, in some eyes, the Fed. His ongoing feud with Jerome Powell, whom he labeled a “fool,” reinforces the image of Trump as an unfiltered nationalist willing to disregard elite consensus.

The potential of rising prices and inflation warnings seem easier to stomach when positive outcomes outweigh the perception of “national sacrifice.” The U.S.-U.K. deal functions as narrative proof that tariffs can generate movement. When combined with populist rhetoric, Trump’s trade policy becomes positive as supporters see realignment.

With growing economic concerns, housing continues to be a focal point of middle-class concern. Online conversations over the past week reveal a public increasingly vocal—and bipartisan—in their despair over skyrocketing rent, unmanageable property taxes, and climbing costs compared to wages.

Across all discussions, the top these is that working a full-time job no longer guarantees a stable home. In states like California and Colorado, renters report paying between $1,700 and $3,000 per month, often with no end in sight. The most common refrain is a variation of, “I work multiple jobs and still can’t afford to live.”

The Economics of Despair

Americans worry about inflated prices but also wage stagnation and the rising costs of living including groceries, insurance, and transportation. Increasingly, rent costs consume more than 50% of monthly income for single parents, veterans, and even professionals. Full-time employment, once a pathway to homeownership, now barely affords a one-bedroom apartment and a food budget.

Public frustration is compounded by structural mismatches. Tariffs, regulatory barriers, and bureaucratic inertia have made construction prohibitively expensive. Building materials are more costly than ever, and permitting delays further restrict the housing supply.

Many believe cutting regulations can reduce the price of home building—some say by 50%. That belief is widespread, especially among center-right voters who see the market being strangled by red tape in places like California, where rebuilding after the Palisades fire has been slow going.

Free taxpayer-funded down-payment handouts for illegal immigrants to buy a home - even as Californians can't afford our astronomical housing costs.

That's California Democrats' idea of "fairness." What an insult to every working family. Time for this insanity to end! pic.twitter.com/dfHnBVuDPn

— steve hilton (@SteveHiltonx) May 4, 2025

Who’s to Blame?

Among conservatives, blame rests heavily on Democratic leadership and regulatory overreach. They accuse state and local governments of raising taxes while prioritizing illegal immigrants, foreign aid, and vanity projects.

In California, commenters note that 96.5% of new jobs created last year were in government, not the private sector. “This is ridiculous,” one post said. “No wonder they need to keep raising taxes—we’re paying for bureaucrats and illegals.”

The Biden administration and Democratic governors are specifically targeted for exacerbating housing costs through bad fiscal policy. A recurring claim is that housing was far more affordable during Trump 1.0. Many say housing was affordable until Biden took office. Then, exacerbated by COVID, building materials and interest rates skyrocketed.

HOLY FUCK, Trump is trying to get rid of section 8.

LLLLLLLLMMMMMMMMMMMFFFFFFFFFFFGGGGGGGGGOOOOOOOOOOOOO

The Trump administration has proposed saving more than $26 billion by eliminating the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s rental assistance program, including…

— Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) May 5, 2025

Progressives point fingers at corporate landlords, institutional investors, and a capitalist system that has, in their view, commodified shelter. But even many on the left acknowledge that government programs meant to address housing shortages are ineffective or riddled with inefficiency. They say things like, “Affordable housing is now a privilege for the few. Even if you work full time, there’s no guarantee you can afford a place to live.”

Immigration and Prioritization

With immigration as the top voter issue, housing is now closely tied to the border debate. Many voters believe taxpayer dollars are being wasted supporting programs for illegal immigrants while veterans and low-income Americans are left behind. Discussion highlights a belief that Democrats don’t care about the homeless or the illegals. They just want the census numbers and the votes.

This perception fuels support for Trump’s tighter border enforcement and budget reallocations—less on sanctuary cities, more on community redevelopment. For the right, housing is the battleground where immigration policy, fiscal discipline, and social trust all intersect.

Solutions the Public Actually Wants

Across partisan lines there is a dominant desire to repair and retrofit rather than build new homes. Many voters believe existing housing stock should be salvaged and repurposed. They understand the cost of new construction is high. They hope existing homes will be more affordable than newly constructed ones.

Voters also suggest solutions like:

• Deregulating construction permitting and materials sourcing
• Eliminating rent caps that discourage new development
• Tax relief for renters and homeowners
• Redirecting funds from elite institutions and foreign projects toward domestic revitalization

These ideas gain support for their practicality and because they represent a direct rebuke to what voters see as the bloated, inefficient federal approach.

Voter Group Distinctions

Working-Class and Lower-Income Voters

These voters are united in outrage at both parties. They want immediate cost relief, not abstract promises. Their concerns are deeply pragmatic—fix the buildings, lower taxes, cut the waste.

Younger Voters

Often the most ideologically polarized, younger users are also the most pessimistic. Some lean toward systemic overhaul—capitalism critique, universal housing rights—while others just want to “escape” to red states where costs are lower.

Veterans and Retirees

This group expresses deep betrayal. Many now struggle to afford housing due to the loss of VA mortgage protections or rising fixed costs. They view government spending on other priorities as offensive and unjust.

Red-State Migrants

Transplants from high-cost blue states routinely praise prospects in Texas, Florida, or Tennessee. These testimonies contrast low taxes, stable housing, and better community values with their former states’ dysfunction.

President Trump’s tariff-driven economic strategy is becoming more polarizing as time goes on. Voters online discuss whether national strength should come at the cost of consumer stability. Designed to rebalance trade and reindustrialize the U.S. economy, the aggressive imposition of duties—particularly on China—causes debate between long-term nationalist vision and short-term economic pain.

A Fractured Voter Consensus

The prevailing sentiment is turning to pessimism. Roughly 65% of public commentary across partisan lines expresses concern or opposition to the tariff regime. This has dropped since MIG Reports previous analysis showing 44% negativity in online discussions.

Critics cite inflation, job losses, GDP contraction, and a lack of transparency as counts against Trump’s tariff policy. Around 25% of posts offer strong or conditional support, praising tariffs as a form of economic retribution against exploitative trade practices. A remaining 10% hold mixed views, acknowledging that while globalism has failed American workers, the current strategy may prove unsustainable if not recalibrated.

Among conservatives, even traditionally supportive voters are showing signs of anxiety. Many MAGA-aligned voices still defend the tariffs as a strategic sacrifice. Others—particularly independents and establishment Republicans—are raising questions about effectiveness, implementation, and optics.

Economic Sovereignty and Strategic Pressure

Supporters frame tariffs as a corrective to decades of asymmetric trade, saying:

• Trump’s “America First” platform is a long-overdue response to foreign protectionism.
• Imposing a 145% duty on Chinese imports is a powerful tool to pressure Beijing on IP theft and labor standards.
• Tariffs can eventually replace income tax burdens for middle-income Americans.
• There's an opportunity for supply chains to be repatriated, labor protected, and globalist dependencies severed.

In this view, short-term cost is justified by long-term reindustrialization and national sovereignty. The emotional tone often draws on themes of betrayal—America “ripped off” by cheap foreign goods—and defiance: “We don’t need cheap goods from China.”

Hidden Taxes and Economic Instability

Opposition is both economic and philosophical with top discussions including:

• Tariffs as a “hidden tax” on American consumers, raising prices on food, electronics, auto parts, and clothing.
• Reports of 20,000 layoffs at UPS, surging import volumes from stockpiling, and port disruptions disrupting the economy.
• Questioning the erratic nature of tariff rollouts, calling the policy “chaotic,” “suicidal,” and “uninformed.”
• Beliefs that this trade strategy is executive overreach, citing unilateral decisions with no congressional debate.

Detractors accuse Trump of blaming Biden, the media, or foreign governments while ignoring the domestic consequences of his own actions. People say things like, “Nobody else is responsible for Americans suffering under his stupid tariffs. Not Biden. Not China. Not DEI. It’s Trump’s fault, period.”

Transparency Wars and Showing Receipts

A major flashpoint in the public conversation is a perception that the administration is not being fully transparent:

• Some criticize Trump for discouraging companies like Amazon from itemizing tariff charges on receipts, calling it an intentional cover-up.
• Others say a lack of visibility makes it impossible for consumers to grasp the true economic cost, likening tariffs to an “invisible surcharge.”
• There are conversations about a gag order on corporate communication as a betrayal of the free-market ethos, causing concern even among some on the right.

This battle over disclosure has become symbolic. Calls for tariff cost itemization parallel broader demands for honest governance, data transparency, and fiscal accountability.

Media and Expert Commentary Doesn’t Help

Commentary on media coverage about tariffs and the economy reiterates distrust:

• Pro-Trump voices see mainstream economic analysis as rigged, accusing outlets of fearmongering to discredit nationalist policy.
• They dismiss economists’ warnings, such as a 70% chance of recession or falling consumer sentiment, as partisan spin.
• On the other hand, Trump critics use those same indicators—GDP shrinkage, layoffs, market contraction—to argue he is economically illiterate.

The drop in sentiment about the economy along with rising distrust of media suggests many average Americans are not fully convinced about the economy. A complex topic, which many voters do not have expertise in, partially feel uncertain because they don’t know who to believe. Supporters want to trust Trump’s strategy but fear there could be unforeseen consequences. Critics want to trust critical media but may ignore biased rhetoric.

International Backlash and Isolation Anxiety

Beyond domestic concerns, many express alarm at the global consequences:

• Trump’s tariffs are said to be alienating traditional allies like Canada and the EU, exposing the U.S. to retaliation and diplomatic drift.

• Some warn this economic brinkmanship is turning the U.S. into a lone aggressor lobbing tax bombs at friends and foes alike.

• There’s concern that America's global leadership is eroding, with adversaries like China using retaliatory measures to curry favor with other developing nations.

Though Trump’s base defends this posture as strongman negotiation, critics see it as shortsighted and destabilizing.

Mood: Bitter, Distrustful, and Strained

The prevailing mood across discussions is one of volatility, pessimism, and deep distrust. People are exhausted with promises that don’t translate into tangible relief. Many now view tariffs as a political performance that hurts more than it helps.

While support for Trump’s broader ideological goals remains strong within the base, concerns are seeping into conversation. The rhetoric of economic war is being tested against the reality of strained household budgets and employment anxiety.

High expectations ushered President Trump into his second term as supporters claimed a mandate handed down by the people in November. In his first month, Trump enjoyed soaring enthusiasm in the base and escalating concern from his opposition.

Now, hardening polarization on both sides seems to lock sentiment in a narrow channel, preventing President Trump’s support from dipping too low—but also guaranteeing criticism remains vehement.

Voter Views of Trump 2.0

The national mood around President Trump's second term is emotional and tribal. His base—around 30-35% of discussions—remains intensely loyal. They interpret ongoing criticism and decreasing sentiment as confirmation that Trump remains a threat to the establishment. Democrats and “Never Trumpers” have hardened into firm opposition, framing Trump as an existential threat to democratic norms.

A segment of independents and moderates, many of whom have been willing to give Trump chance, may drifting away. Their concerns center on:

• Foreign policy missteps regarding Ukraine, Russia, and China
• Fear of rising prices from tariff policies
• Perceived constitutional overreach

Border security discussion continues to show strong positivity (55-60%), but trade and foreign policy discussions waver around 35-40% positivity.

Trump’s overall sentiment dropped slightly at the beginning of March as wall-to-wall media coverage of tariffs and Russia questioned the administration’s tactics. However, daily online engagement regarding Trump remains high, ranging between 15,000–25,000 posts per day, and sentiment remains steady.

• In the last 30 days, discussions have focused on trade, China, Russia, and the border.
• Over the last 24 hours, President trump has gained support on trade, China, and military topics.

Trump as an Anti-Establishment Figurehead

Large rural counties continue to anchor Trump’s political base. These voters see President Trump as a political leader who is acting as the last real bulwark against cultural, economic, and political collapse driven by urban elites. Their loyalty is intensely personal, and policy outcomes matter less than the fight itself.

This dynamic reinforces cultural and political realignments away from traditional transactional politics toward ideological adherence. Trump's battles against legacy media, bureaucrats, and globalists are the core proof points of authenticity in the eyes of his base. Supporters view every indictment, headline, or poll showing declining national support as a badge of honor.

Media and Moderate Sentiment Erosion

Foreign policy optics around Ukraine and Russia have become an axis of disenchantment. Trump's behavior at the Pope’s Vatican funeral and his unclear stance on Ukraine reinforce critical perceptions that he is unserious, self-interested, and diplomatically dangerous.

Economic pain is another reason for cooling enthusiasm among moderates and swing voters. Tariff-driven price increases on food, housing, and imported goods cause concern for all who are uncertain of Trump's economic strategy and its consequences. However, economic sentiment remains relatively strong compared to Russia-Ukraine sentiment.

Constitutional concerns among critics also surge. Aggressive executive orders, deportations billed as “without due process,” and talk of arresting judges and politicians like Adam Schiff turn some swing voters from skepticism to active opposition. Broken grand promises, like ending the Ukraine war in 24 hours, now serve as symbolic proof that the administration's rhetoric has outpaced its competence.

The Role of Media in Shaping Polarization

Media narratives accelerate negativity, showcasing concerns and fears for daily news consumers and penetrating less political voters over time. Within Trump’s base, negative media coverage is a validation that he is fighting hostile interests. For many independents and critics, sustained negative media coverage intensifies distrust.

This dynamic is captured in the media trust levels among key voter groups:

Trump loyalists treat negative press as a feature, not a bug. Critics and independents, however, increasingly trust the media narrative that Trump's leadership threatens constitutional norms and American credibility abroad.

Opportunities for Shoring Up the Middle

With rapid and major changes sweeping across the first 100 days of Trump 2.0, it’s still possible to stabilize support outside of Trump’s core base. An imminent resolution to the Ukraine-Russia conflict and staying away from perceptions of capitulation to Russia could help quell fears.

Delivering visible economic relief—particularly through stable consumer prices and middle-class tax relief—would also restore credibility among swing voters. Public reaffirmation of constitutional norms, even symbolic, could blunt accusations of authoritarianism.

Bringing forward newer, disciplined administrative figures could help project stability without requiring Trump to alter his personal style. However, the cultural emotional drift away from Trump among independents may also be tied to political disengagement.

Strategic Outlook

Maximizing loyalty among rural and populist voters while urgently stemming defections among suburban and independent moderates will continue to normalize the new political paradigm. Despite continuous negative coverage, strong support from the American people on critical issues like the border and the cultural war forces the media and democrats to moderate.

Rather than changing policy positions or rhetorically pursuing outlier support, positive results will continue to move the needle for Trump 2.0. The media environment, shaped by identity-driven narratives, will continue to magnify both Trump's successes and failures. Relying on media mistrust alone is insufficient to build credibility outside of the MAGA base.

April’s media coverage paints a grim picture of the American economy. Axios reports an 11% drop in the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index—the fourth straight month of decline. CNN echoes, citing inflation expectations at a 40-year high and widespread economic despair cutting across demographics. According to the establishment narrative, President Trump’s tariff policy is responsible for crushed confidence, rattled markets, and spooked consumers.

But MIG Reports data shows real-time voter conversations are telling a more layered story. Online discourse shows frustration but also resolve, adaptation, and even pockets of optimism. In contrast to the media’s portrayal of national helplessness, voters are split in their fundamental view of what drives economic security.

Media Narrative: A Disastrous “Confidence Collapse”

Mainstream outlets have tethered April’s consumer confidence plunge directly to Trump’s tariff policies. Axios suggests these moves are pushing the U.S. toward “historic inflation,” while CNN frames the response as universal panic.

The headlines are creating a unified narrative that consumers are worried, inflation is spiraling, and Trump’s economic unpredictability is to blame. There’s no recognition of voter nuance, policy debate, or the deeper roots of economic anxiety. The public is cast not as participants, but as casualties of a reckless experiment.

Online Discourse is Polarized but Purposeful

MIG Reports analysis shows recent online comments are far more complex in their reactions:

• 35% express hope: They view tariffs as leverage to force fairer global trade terms and restore U.S. manufacturing.
• 30% maintain a neutral stance: They focus on real-time data without clear emotional framing.
• 35% are in despair: They see Trump's economy as driven by malpractice, raising costs and eroding middle-class security.

This is not uniform gloom. It’s a contested terrain, where nationalism, economic survival, and distrust of elite narratives intersect. MIG Reports analysis prior to the election showed negativity, particularly among younger voters. According to online sentiment, Americans are worried but not significantly more than they have been in recent months.

Strategic Tariffs vs. Regressive Tax

Supporters frame Trump’s 90-day tariff pause (excluding China) as a calibrated move. They cite market rebound as proof of strategy, not chaos. Meanwhile, Democrats accuse Trump of insider trading.

Critics say Trump's tariff policies function as a backdoor sales tax. Price hikes on essentials—like auto parts and eggs—fall hardest on families. Many accuse the administration of flip-flopping for market timing, citing Trump’s “buy now” messages as signals of insider manipulation.

An insider trading scandal is brewing.

Trump's 9:30am tweet makes it clear he was eager for his people to make money off the private info only he knew. So who knew ahead of time and how much money did they make? pic.twitter.com/AJbtEq372n

— Chris Murphy 🟧 (@ChrisMurphyCT) April 10, 2025

Still, even among critics, there’s recognition that Trump's tactics might work.

Congressional Failure and Institutional Distrust

At the same time, voters are livid with Congress for abdicating its constitutional role in trade policy. Across ideological lines, many now accuse legislators of enabling executive overreach while enriching themselves through insider trading.

While this has been a complaint on the right for many years, in the wake of Trump’s controversial policies, people on the left are beginning to adopt the cry. This causes some conservatives to accuse Democrats of shaping their policy positions on opposition to Trump, rather than pragmatism, logic, or values.

Either way, there's growing momentum behind dramatic institutional reform on:

• Term limits
• Bans on congressional insider trading
• Restoration of tariff authority to Congress

Outside of the tariff conversation, this isn’t anti-Trump sentiment but anti-elite and corruption. In many instances, economic discussions merge with institutional criticism.

Media vs. Voters: Who's Really Out of Touch?

Media outlets are painting a picture of the sky falling. Voters, however, are as divided as ever. While they acknowledge inflation and market swings, they resist the narrative of helplessness. Many see the media as stoking panic for political ends.

The Axios-CNN consensus treats voters as consumers of fear. But the digital public sphere shows Americans seeking agency, searching for reasonable analysis, and demanding accountability—not only from Trump, but from the entire governing class.

In swing-state discussions, Trump still garners strong support, even among those nervous about the economy. Economic pain hasn’t translated into political abandonment. Instead, it has amplified demands for structural correction and realignment.

The political center of gravity is shifting with discussions of economic volatility, trade upheaval, and collapsing institutional trust. The traditional imagery of Democrats and Republicans has been coming undone—and Trump’s tariff strategy drives this home.

Democrats, long cast as the champions of labor and working families, are increasingly seen as defenders of elite systems and global capital. Republicans, once synonymous with boardrooms and free-market orthodoxy, are emerging as the party of the working class.

Trump’s tariff strategies strike fear in the hearts of elites who are heavily invested in the stock market. But working-class Americans view Trump’s tactics as a gesture in support of the quality of life they feel has been taken from them over that last 50 years.

Approximately 56% of online conversations now cast the Republican Party as the working-class party. People see Democrats as representing elite, institutional, or financial interests. This inversion is starkly portrayed in public reactions to market and trade dynamics.

Tariffs Represent Working-Class Populism

Working-class voters overwhelmingly support tariffs. They frame them as protective tools that defend American labor, punish adversarial trade partners, and reduce dependency on foreign supply chains. These voters describe Trump’s strategy as a long-denied protection for domestic workers.

Most of this group are not heavily invested in the stock market and, therefore, do not discuss market movements as much. They criticize and even mock the small percentage of elites who wring their hands over market dips, saying the reality of working life exempts them from this dramatic reaction.

The formula used by the administration to calculate tariffs made other nations’ tariffs appear four times larger than they actually are.

President @realDonaldTrump is not an economist and therefore relies on his advisors to do these calculations so he can determine policy.… https://t.co/haPHKrxWOR

— Bill Ackman (@BillAckman) April 7, 2025

Republicans gain credibility with Trump’s bold strategy that is perceived, by many Americans, as forceful and tied to national identity. They say Trump, unlike the empty promises of Republicans past, is affirming economic sovereignty. These voters associate trade disruption with leadership, not recklessness.

In contrast, elite and financially exposed voices are concerned. Some view tariffs as inflationary, others as strategically useful only if temporary. Their focus is on cost structures, global capital flows, and supply chains. The contrast in language is sharp. The working class talks about fairness and jobs. The elite talks about stability and returns.

Financial Markets as a Class Divider

To investors and high-earners, volatility caused by Trump’s policies is unnecessary and dangerous. For boomers and older retirees, it heightens vulnerability. DOGE and crypto deregulation reveal how these groups interpret the same events differently.

Democrats are losing ground with the working class because they are no longer seen as challenging power. Voters view them as stewards of power. Criticism focuses on their alignment with federal institutions, regulatory expansion, and technocratic control over the economy.

Online discussions repeatedly link Democrats to the Federal Reserve, the IRS, and ESG-driven mandates. Many Americans now view these institutions as vehicles for upward redistribution—siphoning from productive sectors and transferring influence to credentialed elites. Voters point to high taxes, regulatory pressure on domestic energy, and complex compliance regimes as evidence.

Democratic rhetoric emphasizes programs and equity frameworks. But voters want their quality of life improved. They want leaders who will push back against systems that have failed to deliver upward mobility. More and more, Democrats offer language that satisfies think tanks and foundation staff, not working parents and tradesmen.

The GOP’s Populist Coalition

The Republican coalition is increasingly animated by action, not abstraction. Americans see tariffs, executive orders, energy deregulation, and the push for permanent legislative codification of Trump-era policies as proof of alignment with the working class.

Supporters don’t care about nuance. They want disruption to the status quo. The GOP’s willingness to target federal programs, reorient global trade, and dismantle administrative bottlenecks reads as strength. This includes moves with real risk—DOGE downsizing, unilateral tariff cycles, and crypto liberalization.

Discussions also show growing internal discipline. There is little patience for GOP members who resist institutional confrontation. Popular sentiment favors party cohesion over consensus-building. The working-class base no longer views procedural bipartisanship as productive. They view it as retreat.

Trump's style of governance—executive-heavy, combative, and symbolic—now defines the party’s populist appeal. The base measures outcomes by defiance and impact.

Class Realignment in Action: Data-Backed Shifts

The party realignment is becoming more defined.

• 56% of conversations across all data sets identify Republicans as the party most aligned with working-class interests.
• 70% of trade-related discussions explicitly credit GOP policies with supporting American labor.
• In Democrat-leaning forums, up to 55% of participants concede that Republicans now communicate more effectively on class-based economic issues.

By contrast, Democrats are repeatedly framed as elite-facing, institutionally captured, and out of touch with economic precarity. Their appeal remains strong among urban professionals and those with investment exposure. But among non-college voters, service workers, and rural communities, the party is hemorrhaging trust.

Public sentiment toward China has hardened. With Trump’s imposition of a 125% tariff on Chinese imports—and China responding with an 84% retaliatory hike—American voters are divided. MIG Reports analysis shows 44.1% of voters oppose the tariff strategy, 39.3% support it, and 16.6% express mixed or cautious views.

Patterns show an ideological and class-based realignment, as rural America, national security hawks, and economic populists increasingly converge behind economic nationalism. Market-aligned centrists and liberal urban voters, meanwhile, emphasize inflation risk and trade stability.

Trade War Puts Spotlight on China

The Trump administration escalated the trade war in April 2025 by raising tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%. China countered with an 84% tariff on U.S. imports. Simultaneously, Trump paused higher tariffs for most other countries, a tactical decision that further isolates China. This aggression toward Beijing paired with diplomacy elsewhere sent markets soaring but inflamed debate across the political spectrum.

Tariff opponents warn of consumer price spikes and global supply chain disruptions. Supporters applaud Trump's deal making abilities and mock China. But beyond immediate economic friction, the broader divide lies in how Americans view China’s role in the decline of U.S. manufacturing and geopolitical leverage.

pic.twitter.com/56efta6lZd

— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) April 9, 2025

Economic Nationalism from the Ground Up

Roughly 39.2% of Americans in MIG Reports data samples support the tariffs. This sentiment is concentrated among rural, working-class, and MAGA-aligned voters. They say tariffs are necessary to revive domestic industry, secure supply chains, and rebalance a trade relationship long skewed in China’s favor. The narrative is grounded in real-world experiences of job loss, factory closures, and economic stagnation.

Many in this camp recall the Reagan-era use of tariffs against Japan and see history repeating—this time with China as the dominant exporter. They welcome stringent tariffs as a strategic lever to enforce fair trade and deter further dependency on an adversarial power. Calls for a return to “Made in the USA” manufacturing are growing. They stem from communities hollowed out by global trade deals and decades of bipartisan neglect.

Opposition to Tariffs Laden with Inflation Anxiety

A larger 44.1% of voters oppose the tariff strategy. This group includes urban professionals, market-oriented centrists, and Democratic-leaning voters. They fear tariffs will worsen inflation, harm consumer confidence, and fracture global trade networks. They cite rising costs for electronics, clothing, and automotive parts as likely outcomes.

This group does not view tariffs as leverage, but as a blunt instrument. They warn the economic burden will fall hardest on middle-income consumers and small businesses and cause a recession. They would prefer multilateralism and WTO-aligned pressure rather than unilateral escalation.

Strategic Middle Ground is Cautious

Roughly 16.6% of voters hold more ambivalent or nuanced views. This group is often center-right professionals, independent business owners, or national security realists. They recognize the legitimacy of grievances with China but are wary of unintended consequences. They support targeted tariffs on sectors critical to defense and tech but caution against sweeping, across-the-board measures.

They point to vulnerabilities in rare earth minerals, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors, emphasizing the need for domestic investment and policy innovation. They want China held accountable, but not at the cost of American financial stability.

Political and Partisan Undercurrents

Tariff sentiment tracks closely with partisan lines. Trump’s base sees the trade war as fulfillment of his long-standing economic nationalism. Democrats frame it as reckless and placing the burden on consumers. They also claim contradictions in Trump’s actions—including his use of Chinese manufacturers for MAGA merchandise.

There’s also historical irony. Democrats like Nancy Pelosi and Bernie Sanders once echoed similar grievances about trade imbalances and offshoring. Now, it’s the right embracing economic protectionism as doctrine. Tariffs, like many political issues, boils down to supporting or opposing Trump for many Americans.

Incredible clip from 1996. Nancy Pelosi on tariffs and the trade deficit with China.

"On this day, your member of Congress could have drawn the line to say to the President of the United States, do something about this US-China trade relationship that is a job loser for the… pic.twitter.com/DFlQ9wWSKh

— MAZE (@mazemoore) April 3, 2025

Economic Class and Geographic Polarization

The divide also runs along economic and geographic lines. Rural and blue-collar voters in deindustrialized regions support the tariffs as necessary disruption. They fear continued irrelevance more than higher prices. They want jobs and factories restored in America.

Urban professionals and those with financial exposure to international markets view the tariffs as destabilizing. Their anxiety is about the risk to inflation, interest rates, and portfolio performance.

National Security and Strategic Resentment

Those who support Trump’s trade strategy consistently frame it in national security terms. They cite China’s dominance in rare earth minerals, pharmaceuticals, and tech components. The concern extends beyond economics into the realm of sovereignty: Can the U.S. defend itself if critical industries rely on adversaries?

A recurring theme among these voters is that China is an enemy and infiltrator. From spy balloons, embedded international students, to intellectual property theft, many believe the CCP poses a clear and present danger. This intensifies support for aggressive decoupling.

Great idea. https://t.co/JNSo8RC86U

— Donald Trump Jr. (@DonaldJTrumpJr) April 9, 2025

Future Strategy

For those on the right, several conclusions follow:

• Sustain pressure on China. The 125% tariff, while extreme, signals resolve. Use it as leverage to force meaningful concessions or a reordering of trade norms.
• Target strategic industries. Expand domestic production in defense-critical sectors through targeted subsidies and tax incentives.
• Negotiate bilaterally. Forge deals with aligned nations (Japan, South Korea, Israel) to isolate China economically without resorting to multilateral entanglements.
• Rebuild American self-reliance. COVID revealed supply chain vulnerabilities. A sovereign industrial base isn’t just patriotic—it’s essential.