Abortion continues to be a central issue for the Harris campaign and voters are reacting. Following the KamalaHQ X account posting commentary on the tragic death of Amber Thurman, a Georgia woman who died after complications from an abortion pill, Americans are divided.

The Harris campaign used this incident to reinforce her stance on reproductive rights, positioning herself as a defender of women's healthcare. However, this has sparked fierce debate across party lines, with Republicans challenging the accuracy and sincerity of her message.

Statement from Vice President Harris on new report of a 28-year-old Georgia woman dying after not receiving urgent care needed for an infection under Georgia’s extreme abortion ban https://t.co/sf1yJp3foG pic.twitter.com/kM0pq3qG3K

— Kamala HQ (@KamalaHQ) September 17, 2024

In the statement Harris said:

“Abortion bans have fatal consequences. Amber Thurman should still be alive today. This is not just about Roe. This is about women’s lives.”

This frames the abortion debate as deserving sympathy in the wake of a tragic loss of life, blaming abortion restrictions for Thurman's death. But Republicans are pushing back hard, challenging Harris on the facts of the story.

Republicans Fact Check the Amber Thurman Case

As many on the right point out, the tragic death of Amber Thurman has been used to highlight the dangers of restrictive abortion laws, particularly by the Harris campaign. However, the facts tell a more complicated story. Amber Thurman died after a botched medical procedure following complications from an abortion pill. The problem wasn't an abortion ban—it was the abortion pill itself, combined with medical malpractice.

.@michaeljknowles weighs in on this massive lie. https://t.co/lSjWm2tVYk pic.twitter.com/ZK2rBAdfyl

— The Michael Knowles Show (@MKnowlesShow) September 19, 2024

Georgia’s abortion laws, while stringent, still allow medical procedures like D&Cs (dilation and curettage)—a procedure for surgically removing sections of the lining of the uterus. This includes procedures following abortions or miscarriages. No state, Georgia included, prevents doctors from performing life-saving procedures to protect a woman’s health, a point conveniently omitted from Harris’s narrative.

For Republicans, this case exemplifies the broader issue: Democrats like Harris are using selective facts to maintain support on one of the top issues for their voter base. Meanwhile, they ignore the reckless prescription practices and FDA oversight failures which contributed to Thurman's death.

Kamala Harris is a LIAR!

Amber Nicole Thurman didn’t die because of lack of an abortion.

The abortion is what killed her! Abortion pills lead to her death.

Even Newsweek is reporting the truth: https://t.co/F8EjAFOgiQ https://t.co/CmCMFoVaHc pic.twitter.com/hMlIseuSmK

— Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene🇺🇸 (@RepMTG) September 19, 2024

MIG Reports data shows:

• Harris, who typically leads Trump in voter sentiment regarding abortion, dipped to 41% approval, below Trump’s 43% on the day she released the misleading statement.
• In the last few days, both Trump and Harris have surged in sentiment for their respective abortion platforms.

How Americans View this Issue

American voter reactions to this incident and Harris’s campaign framing have been deeply polarized. According to MIG Reports data samples:

Democrats

• 72% believe Harris’s commentary on the abortion pill incident was accurate and support her position.
• 62% are more likely to vote for Harris because of her abortion views.

Republicans

• 62% view Harris's remarks as misleading, saying her campaign politicized the tragedy for electoral gain.
• 45% of Republicans say they are less likely to support Harris because of her abortion platform.

The partisan divide on this issue is not surprising. For Democrats, reproductive rights are a non-negotiable issue and many express intentions to vote with abortion as the main driver. They see Harris as a strong advocate for women’s health and view abortion bans as dangerous.

Pro-life Republicans see Harris’s approach as exploitative and misinformed. They shift focus to the ethical concerns around abortion pills and late-term abortions. Many within the party believe abortion should be restricted, and 25% even argue the abortion pill itself is too dangerous for unrestricted access—using the Thurman case as an example.

Abortion is Likely Crucial for Harris’s Election

Abortion has always been a divisive issue, but in the 2024 election, it has become a flashpoint. Especially in battleground states where voter sentiments can tip the balance of electoral votes. In states like Georgia, where Amber Thurman perished, local laws play a significant role in shaping voter views. Laws like Georgia’s Heartbeat Bill, which restrict abortions after six weeks, are a major point of contention.

MIG Reports data shows how abortion may influence voters this cycle:

• 62% of overall voters express anger or outrage over abortion bans, with many calling for restrictive laws to be repealed.
• 31% defend abortion bans, viewing them as necessary to protect the unborn.
• 7% favor the state-specific approach to abortion laws, part of Donald Trump’s platform.

Demographic trends also highlight the influence of abortion on voter behavior:

• 71% of women oppose abortion bans, particularly women under 30, with 65% of this demographic opposing these restrictions.
• 45% of men support abortion bans, showing a more divided perspective along gender lines.

The broader implications for the election are significant. In swing states, where independent voters often determine the outcome, abortion could be a deciding factor. Independents are split, with 45% believing the issue is being politicized and 31% advocating for greater access to reproductive healthcare. These voters are likely the ones Harris needs to sway if she hopes to secure victory in key battlegrounds.

The Importance of Abortion for Democrats

For Kamala Harris, abortion is not just an issue—it’s central to her 2024 platform. Her emphasis on reproductive rights resonates strongly with her base, especially women and younger voters. By focusing on the dangers of abortion restrictions, Harris is attempting to galvanize support from pro-choice advocates and position herself as a protector of women’s health.

However, the risks for Harris are clear. By overplaying the tragedy of Amber Thurman and misrepresenting the facts, she risks alienating moderate voters who might view her rhetoric as too extreme or politically motivated. The focus on reproductive rights could also backfire in swing states, where voters are more likely to support moderate or state-specific approaches to abortion laws.

Donald Trump's recent comments on abortion and reproductive rights, particularly his remarks on IVF and the viability of a six-week ban on abortion, are dividing voters. MIG Reports analysis reveals sharply polarized sentiment among voters—especially pro-life Republicans. This issue often serves as a barometer for Trump’s standing in both pro-choice and pro-life circles.

The overall sentiment reveals:

• 45% of voters express strong dissent toward Trump's stance on reproductive rights, feeling he has strayed from core pro-life principles.
• 30% appear to support Trump's approach, reflecting a pragmatic view that prioritizes political survival over absolutism in pro-life advocacy.
• 25% voice confusion or ambivalence toward Trump's remarks, asking for clearer communication about his plans.

A significant theme of discourse is the apparent recalibration of Trump’s position on abortion. Many voters say they are confused and frustrated over his evolving rhetoric—especially as he positions himself in favor of women’s reproductive rights, seeming to challenge the traditional pro-life stance of his base.

Sentiment fluctuates as many express disappointment in Trump for not adhering strictly to pro-life ideals. This group feels he is alienating a crucial segment of his voter base and setting himself up as opposition in this area.

Pro-life advocates often express a sense of betrayal, suggesting Trump’s stance on IVF and refusing a federal abortion ban compromises the integrity of their cause.

The Reality: Abortion is a Political Issue

Discussions of strategic voting feature prominently. Voters emphasize the complex relationship between personal beliefs about abortion and the political realities of the upcoming election.

Some convey a sense of urgency about unifying against perceived threats from opposing parties. They suggest that even if they disapprove of Trump’s recent comments, they feel obligated to support him as the lesser evil. However much they may dislike his rhetoric, aggressively pro-choice Democratic policies sound worse. This dynamic creates a discussion about pragmatism, where voters weigh moral principles against the prevailing political landscape.

MIG Reports analysis shows:

• 55% of the discussion expresses support for pro-abortion perspectives, emphasizing rights and autonomy.
• 30% are firmly rooted in anti-abortion sentiments, focusing on their moral imperative to protect unborn lives.
• 15% present moderate views, expressing desire for balanced solutions without strong adherence to extremes.

Those who hold moderate views, or are ambivalent about abortion, often lean towards a pro-choice sentiment. This group tends to frame the conversation in terms of personal experiences or reflections, suggesting they might prioritize pragmatic solutions. These moderates often want balanced approaches that respect individual rights while recognizing the complexities of reproductive health decisions.

Nobody is Happy

There are also concerns about the messaging and effectiveness of the Democratic Party on abortion rights. Voters comment on how the Democratic framing of abortion may not resonate with all demographics, particularly the working-class voters who prioritize economic issues over reproductive rights.

This presents a dual concern as moderates within each party are wary of extreme positions. It creates tension outside of traditional party lines, where pro-choice versus pro-life takes center stage.

Divisions also surface among pro-life factions themselves. Pro-life absolutists say the movement is failing to enact meaningful changes that will move the country toward ending all abortion. The implications of Trump’s positions on state-level bans and federal legislation fuel debates about the effectiveness of advocacy strategies over the long term.

One of Donald Trump’s significant electoral challenges is attracting moderate voters and women, particularly those who support the Democratic pro-choice platform, despite Trump’s neutral stance on abortion at the federal level. These voter groups, which traditionally lean Democratic, have proven elusive for Trump’s campaign.

However, recent shifts in voter priorities and emerging alliances could alter the political landscape. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s (RFK) recent Trump endorsement has shifted focus for many moderates and women who prioritize health freedom and child welfare. This alliance may offer a new avenue for Republicans to appeal to these voters.

According to MIG Reports analysis of real-time voter sentiment:

• 42.37% of Independents approve of RFK Jr.'s policies, particularly related to health.
• 41.89% of women support his health freedom and holistic approaches.
• 27.03% of moderate women prioritize health freedom and child health over abortion rights.
• 23.12% of moderate female voters might vote for a Trump-RFK Jr. coalition over Kamala Harris’s Democratic platform.

Since RFK Jr.’s Trump endorsement on Aug. 23, Democratic support dropped from 49% to 45% and Republican support rose from 51% to 54%.

RFK Jr.’s Trump Endorsement

In his speech endorsing Donald Trump, RFK Jr. championed a health platform centered on individual health freedoms. He emphasized the right to make personal health decisions and choose whether to receive vaccines. He also advocated for increased transparency from pharmaceutical companies and the government, supporting holistic and preventative health approaches.

He criticized the mainstream political and medical establishments, particularly calling out Democrats for systematically preventing voters from supporting their preferred candidates. Overall, RFK Jr. framed his platform as a challenge to current health policies and practices, aligning strongly with Trump's anti-establishment stance.

MIG Reports Analysis

Recent data from MIG Reports provides insight into how Trump and RFK Jr.'s platform might impact Independents and women.

The aggregate sentiment toward RFK Jr.'s health policies across data samples shows 42% of Independents approve. This suggests a significant base of support that could be leveraged toward Trump.

Women support RFK Jr.’s proposed health freedom and holistic approaches at around 42% within the sample. This also suggests RFK Jr.’s alignment with Trump could significantly soften women toward the Republican ticket.

To support this assertion, MIG Reports data shows approximately 27% of moderate female voters prioritize health freedom and child health over the traditional Democratic pro-abortion platform. This shift is also confirmed by sentiments indicating a new Trump-RFK Jr. coalition may attract around 23% of moderate female voters who might otherwise be hesitant.

Independents Moving to Trump

Independents say they’re drawn to Trump's camp largely due to their alignment with RFK Jr.'s health policies. This group values autonomy in health decisions and has shown significant support for vaccine choice and holistic health practices.

The shared anti-establishment sentiment between RFK Jr. and Trump also resonates with Independents who feel disillusioned with the establishment political figures. This group uses words like "vaccines," "freedom," "natural remedies," and "rights." They compare Kennedy's views with Trump’s, emphasizing overlapping rhetoric that appeals to anti-establishment sentiments.

Themes such as "government control" and "personal autonomy" dominate, revealing a desire for a shift towards more individual-driven health policies. Sentiment analysis indicates a desire for change, with discussions about wellness and the integrity of health system. There is a mix of hope and skepticism, revealing a complex interplay of cultural, emotional, and ideological factors.

Women and Abortion

For female voters, the appeal of a Trump-RFK Jr. alliance lies in their emphasis on health freedom and family welfare. Many women, particularly moderates, are increasingly prioritizing these issues over traditional Democratic stances on reproductive rights.

I’ve been saying for over a year and a half that health and wellness issues are a TOP interest of conservative female voters. Many ignored me, didn’t take it seriously or thought I simply had no idea what I was talking about because my following is niche and not the largest…

— Alex Clark (@yoalexrapz) August 27, 2024

Data suggests more than a quarter of moderate female voters are more concerned with health autonomy and child health. This cuts into the strong historical Democratic hold on pro-choice voters. The shift is driven by a desire for greater control over personal health decisions and skepticism towards current health systems and incentives.

Comments frequently cite the importance of protecting children from health risks associated with medical interventions. Many express willingness to embrace both Trump and Kennedy to prevent what they perceive as detrimental policies from the Democrats. This holds true for this bloc, even if it means sacrificing some aspects of on-demand abortion access or even full-term abortion.

• In the last week, sentiment toward abortion dropped from 45% prior to Kennedy’s alignment with Trump, to 43% today.
• Sentiment around individual freedoms fluctuated but increased from 44% prior to Kennedy’s alignment with Trump to 47% today.

A Key Demographic for Trump

Gaining support from moderates and women could significantly impact Trump’s chances in the 2024 election. By aligning with RFK Jr. and focusing on health freedom and reform, Trump could potentially tap into a critical voter base that is increasingly dissatisfied with traditional party platforms.

If Trump can effectively address the concerns of Independents and moderate women without continuing to alienate them, he may strengthen his electoral position. This will be especially true if more voters continue to grow skeptical of Kamala Harris’s authenticity and dwindling trust in the media. Discussions of a Trump-Kennedy alliance often mention bipartisan unity, hinting that conventional expectations in the upcoming election potentially tilt to Trump.

Current social discourse about Medicare premium hikes is critical of the healthcare system and political environment. Americans consistently focus on the financial burden rising Medicare costs impose on families, particularly those caring for elderly relatives.

The most prominent discussion centers on sharply increasing premiums, with many saying it’s becoming difficult to provide adequate care for aging parents. The conversations are filled with terms like “cost,” “affordability,” and “financial burden,” which highlight anxieties about the sustainability of Medicare in its current form.

Americans Can’t Afford to Care for Parents

Accompanying financial concern is skepticism toward politicians and their actions. Voters do not trust their current political leaders, particularly the Biden-Harris administration. Many are discussing reports that Kamala Harris is using taxpayer funds to hide Medicare premium hikes from voters before the election.

Voters believe the government is more focused on protecting political interests than addressing serious livability challenges for average citizens. People are frustrated with what they view as political manipulation, where critical information about healthcare costs is being obscured or misrepresented to avoid electoral consequences.

JUST IN: The Harris-Biden administration is reportedly using taxpayer funds to hide Medicare premium hikes from voters before the election.

Voters over the age of 65 should pay close attention to the CON GAME the Harris campaign is running on them with taxpayer dollars.

"In a… pic.twitter.com/8nAz7IPTE3

— Kyle Becker (@kylenabecker) August 14, 2024

There are also critiques of perceived inadequacies in the current Medicare system. People share personal experiences of struggling with high out-of-pocket expenses, deductibles, and gaps in coverage. They say these issues are not being adequately addressed by existing policies.

Growing disillusionment permeates conversations, with many feeling Medicare is failing to meet the needs of seniors and their families. This frustration is compounded by the belief that politicians are not genuinely concerned with improving the system. Voters say Democrats like Harris are focused on maintaining a façade of progress while the situation deteriorates.

A Bad Idea Gets Worse

People say the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) claims to make healthcare more affordable, but it actually increases costs for those on Medicare. They cite several reasons:

Higher Premiums Due to New Protections

The IRA introduces new protections like a $2,000 cap on out-of-pocket drug costs. This is meant to prevent people from paying too much for their medications each year. However, to fund these new protections, Medicare may have to raise monthly premiums. This means, while some costs are controlled, the amount people pay each month for Medicare would rise. For families already struggling with rising healthcare costs, this could feel like another financial burden.

Complexity and Uncertainty

People worry changes will add complexity to an already confusing system. The prospect of premiums rising, even with caps in place, creates uncertainty about future healthcare expenses. Families trying to budget for the care of aging relatives might feel even more anxious as they are unsure how much they will need to pay each year. This is exacerbated by the potential for premium increases tied to new benefits.

Skepticism Toward Political Promises

The IRA’s provisions also feed into existing disapproval for political leaders like Kamala Harris. Many already distrust politicians, fearing they manipulate policies for electoral gain. The IRA, for which Harris was the deciding vote, creates promised benefits Americans view as hollow or overshadowed by the reality of higher premiums. This reinforces feelings that Harris and others implementing such policies are not transparent. Voters believe they prioritize their own political gain over truly easing the financial burden on families.

The "White Dudes for Harris" online Zoom event has evoked disbelief and harsh criticism from the American public regarding race and abortion. Many who consider themselves “non-woke” deride the event as embodying the racism progressive wokeism claims to abhor. This group also strongly criticizes Vice President Kamala Harris, Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg, and white male progressives who attended the event—including multiple celebrities.

One significant trend in voter reactions questions Harris's qualifications and capabilities. People express deep concerns about her competence and potential impact on the country's future. Those voicing negative sentiments often express fear of worsening economic and border conditions and potential escalations of war should Harris assume the presidency.

White Dudes for Abortion

The topic of abortion remains a contentious issue. There are strong reactions on the left to the idea that Democrats have failed to protect women’s rights despite holding power. Many left leaning voters voice displeasure at Roe v. Wade being overturned and speak frequently about and alleged "Trump abortion ban."

Among progressives there is appreciation for the coalition-building efforts promoting Buttigieg during the "White Dudes for Kamala" initiative. Some express hope at his potential pick as Kamala’s VP. This “white dude” coalition is touted on the left as a strategic advantage that could potentially mobilize significant male voter turnout in the upcoming election.

However, comments made by Pete Buttigieg during the Zoom fundraiser have caused severe backlash. His statement that, “Men are more free when women have access to abortion,” has incited anger across many groups.

Pete Buttigieg says that men are freer when abortion is legal because men can have consequence free sex and simply kill their unborn babies instead of taking responsibility for them.

But J.D. Vance is weird or something.
pic.twitter.com/4Mj24p3USK

— Greg Price (@greg_price11) July 30, 2024

Moderate and right leaning voters express shock and disgust at Pete Buttigieg's remarks. They suggest he’s promoting the idea of men killing their unwanted children as a societal positive.

• National sentiment toward abortion and abortion rights has largely stayed below 50% in the last week with abortion topics briefly reaching 53% on July 28.

Mayor Pete Silencing Women

Following Buttigieg’s comments, social media blazed with anger. People highlight their moral and ideological objections to the notion that abortions contribute to men's freedom.

Americans characterize Buttigieg’s comments as antithetical to life and freedom, questioning the moral and social horror of Buttigieg’s views. Criticisms also touch on his personal life, suggesting a gay man, by his own progressive identity politics standards, should not be speaking on abortion rights. They say issues which deeply impact women should not be a talking point for politicians like Buttigieg.

There is outright frustration and anger, not just toward Buttigieg but also broader Democratic policies. Voters describe Buttigieg’s comments as vile, suggesting they promote misogyny by advocating for male support in promoting abortion.

Critics argue many abortions result from male pressure and emotional blackmail, negating the notion that abortion promotes freedom for anyone, male or female. The use of emotionally charged language such as "disturbing," "misogyny," and "emotional blackmail" underscores the deep-seated opposition to Buttigieg's stance.

Further sentiment indicates many view his comments as bizarre and tone-deaf. Comments like, "WTF does this actually mean? You want abortions so men don't have to take care of the children?" and "How misogynistic is that? Abortion was never intended to be a form of birth control," reflect confusion and indignation.

• In the last day, general support for Buttigieg remains steady, even increasing to 53%. Meanwhile, sentiment toward him on abortion topics sharply dropped to 42%.

Liberals Praise Buttigieg, Ignoring His Comments

A minority of comments align with Buttigieg's view, emphasizing that legal access to abortion is a matter of personal choice and bodily autonomy. They say this contributes to overall societal freedom. However, these supportive voices are drowned out by the vast number of detractors.

Progressives highlight Buttigieg as articulate with good communication skills and a strong progressive stance. They appreciate his ability to frame arguments about freedom and rights in ways that resonate with progressive values. They focus on phrases like, "Pete is so beloved," "would be an amazing Veep," and "an incredible communicator" instead of addressing the abortion comment directly. These voters also emphasize his effectiveness in debates and public appearances, praising his capability to challenge Republican narratives.

The conversation also reveals dynamics within the Democratic Party, including debates on the most suitable candidates for the 2024 election. Buttigieg's potential role as Vice President with Kamala Harris garners mixed reactions. Some Democratic voters say he would be a great choice, while others point to his lackluster performance as Transportation Secretary.

The Abortion Debate in America

While abortion tends to be a more popular issue for Democrats than Republicans, many vocal groups online strongly criticize Buttigieg’s comment. They say it endorses irresponsibility among men, suggesting normalized abortion allows men to avoid the responsibilities of fatherhood.

This perception frames men who make abortion an important issue as expressing thinly veiled misogyny rather than equality. People argue that, despite claiming to be the pro-women Party, Democrats are placing undue pressure on women to have abortions and encouraging men to pressure women as well.

Public sentiment also frequently references the moral dimensions of abortion. While conservative arguments typically do not resonate with pro-choice voters on the sanctity of life, spotlighting the hypocrisy of claiming to protect women while pressuring them into unwanted abortions may be a more convincing strategy.

Supporters of Pete Buttigieg who advocate for abortion rights frequently emphasize "freedom," underscoring women's autonomy to make decisions about their bodies. This group interprets Buttigieg's remarks about abortion providing more freedom for men as an extension of broader social liberties. However, counter arguments point out that “white men” gathering to discuss women’s health is contradictory to women making their own decisions.

American reactions to Donald Trump's 2024 abortion platform reveal a complex and layered dynamic as Republicans try to balance closely held beliefs with pragmatic election strategy. Trump’s recent positioning seeks to soften the GOP stance, emphasizing a return to states’ rights over the federal imposition of a nationwide ban.

In prior years when Republicans vocally and strictly opposed all forms of abortion, Democrats typically beat them on the issue. Now, Trump’s GOP pivot has caused discussion on both sides as Democrats accuse Republicans of hypocrisy and Republicans grapple with conviction.

Some moderate Republicans and Independents see Trump's actions as a pragmatic shift necessary to appeal to a more extensive base. They hope it can mitigate the damage done to the GOP's image post-Roe.

However, intensely pro-life or religious conservatives feel frustrated. Many in this group believe in a moral duty which transcends political strategy. They tend to criticize Trump for compromising what is, to them, a non-negotiable issue.

Liberals Accuse the GOP of Waffling

Many progressive and liberal voices express disapproval of Trump's shift. They see it as an opportunistic and overly populist move. They accuse him of betraying fundamental pro-life principles, viewing him as hypocritical.

Democrats and pro-choice voters especially disapprove after Trump’s instrumental role in overturning Roe v. Wade. They frame our post-Dobbs world as Trump's fault and an unforgivable act that should not gain him swing votes. They claim his current moderation is a facade.

Some on the left also attempt to paint Trump and the GOP as inconsistent and willing to flip on core issues for political gain. They argue the change is merely window dressing, but the underlying fundamentalist conservative agenda is dangerous and authoritarian.

There are some who argue the focus on opposing late-term abortion is disingenuous because Democrats don’t even support late-term abortion.

Conservatives are Torn on Principles

Pro-life Americans appear split on what they believe versus winning elections. Some appreciate Trump's role in appointing Supreme Court justices who overturned Roe v. Wade, fulfilling a long-standing conservative goal. They argue the former president deserves continued support for his role in returning the issue to the state.

However, frustration exists among those who feel abandoned by the GOP's reluctance to pursue a more stringent stance on abortion. They view the pro-life cause as above politics—an issue which should not be compromised. This discontent may impact their willingness to vote for Republicans they view as weak on abortion.

Those who view themselves as pragmatic conservatives approve of a more nuanced approach to abortion. They recognize that stringent anti-abortion laws might alienate moderate voters, crucial for a broader GOP victory. Many also point out the need to prioritize states' rights and caution against federal overreach.

A certain group of conservatives perceive the refined focus on late-term abortion as a more palatable approach to national views. They hope it will garner wider support in a country with diverse views on abortion. Many in this group personally hold more vigorous pro-life views, however they assert that winning elections is necessary to move the needle.

Swing State Voters Remain Split

Reactions also seem split geographically. Voters in more liberal or swing states are often more open to Trump’s revised platform. Many of them view it as a necessary step to avoid alienating essential voter groups.

In swing states, perceptions about the authenticity of Trump’s stance are heavily influenced by broader views on MAGA and the Republican Party. There are some who assert that Trump himself never seemed to hold particularly pro-life viewpoints. They argue his platform aligns with his true beliefs.

Others in swing states feel a populist platform will not be enough to win voters to disapprove of the rest of Trump’s MAGA agenda.

• MIG Reports data shows swing state sentiment regarding abortion track similarly to national sentiment.
• Sentiment toward Trump and Biden also tend to move similarly among their respective supporters. However, Trump has seen a slight decrease in sentiment in recent days while Biden received a slight bump.

Will Abortion be Overshadowed in the Election?

While abortion continues to evoke strong reactions, its impact on the 2024 election depends on how varying issues come to prominence between now and November. Biden's age and cognitive abilities are currently dominating political discourse.

Questions about Biden's ability to serve effectively are currently influencing voter sentiment more strongly than abortion. Economic conditions are also a dominant concern for many voters, making the economy a central battleground.

Issues like inflation, job security, and economic resilience often take precedence, especially when Americans hear news that reaches crisis levels. The border is another issue influencing voters heavily in 2024.

It remains to be seen how strongly voters feel about abortion and whether Trump’s stance will significantly impact support loss or gain in November amid myriad other pressing issues.

After President Biden claimed during the presidential debate that no Democrats want late-term abortion, pro-lifers took to social media. Joe Biden’s comment, “We are not for late-term abortion. Period. Period. Period,” caused many pro-life voters to object, saying Democrats regularly speak favorably about late-term abortion.

President Biden, angered by Trump highlighting infanticide, breaks from Dems on abortion: "We are not for late term abortion. Period. Period. Period."

Trump: "Under Roe v. Wade, you have late term abortion. You can do whatever you want, depending on the state. We don't think… pic.twitter.com/tmPRkPK1Sd

— Mary Margaret Olohan (@MaryMargOlohan) June 28, 2024

Many also took the opportunity to repost the statements by former Virginia Governor Ralph Northam explaining the need for post-birth abortion—an incident which Trump mentioned during the debate exchange.

Many on the left are calling what Trump said about "after-birth" abortions and Ralph Northam a lie. Here's then governor of VA Northam in his on words. You tell me what he's saying if Trump was lying. pic.twitter.com/UNX4ICmkAK

— Joe Pags Pagliarulo (@JoeTalkShow) June 28, 2024

Another piece of evidence conservatives and pro-lifers resurfaced was a viral clip from 2019 of Virginia lawmakers confirming they draw no limits on abortion timelines. Overall, voter reactions to Trump and Biden's comments on abortion have fanned ideological and political divides.

Heartbreaking... This isn't in New York, this isn't in California, this happened just this week right here in Virginia. @VAHouseDems proposed legislation to provide abortions up to just seconds before that precious child takes their first breath. Watch for yourself. pic.twitter.com/AxgPVyI6kU

— Virginia House GOP (@vahousegop) January 29, 2019

Many Americans seem to support Democrat narratives around women’s reproductive rights. However, Democrats have only a slight edge over Republicans regarding sentiment towards abortion issues.

• In the last 10 days, Democrats averaged 48.2% approval on abortion while Republicans averaged a very close 47.7% approval.
• Meanwhile, Donald Trump averaged 48% approval on abortion issues compared to Biden’s 47%.
• While Democrats overall seem to gain an advantage on abortion issues, among their supporters, Biden has lower approval compared to Trump.

Democrats Defend Their Abortion Views

Pro-choice Democrats defend Biden citing his fierce defense of women's reproductive rights. They express gratitude towards his administration for its advocacy for codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law. They express fear of further eroding reproductive freedoms should Trump or other conservative leaders regain power.

However, Biden also received critiques from the right and the left for his claim that, if reelected, he would restore Roe v. Wade. Many posted their belief that is words are hollow, considering he is currently the sitting president.

You are currently president https://t.co/Jxjq1utzWF

— Jake Flores 🇵🇸 (@feraljokes) June 28, 2024

Despite the debate dissatisfaction and insufficient action to restore Roe v. Wade, most Democrats view Biden as a bulwark against Republican abortion policies. Democratic voters often frame their views as important for social justice, linking reproductive rights to a wider agenda that includes LGBT rights, healthcare access, and the protection of democracy.

They see Biden’s stance, despite any inaccuracies, as reflective of party commitments to safeguard abortion rights across the nation.

Correcting the Record on Late-Term Abortion

Conservative critiques of Biden’s comment suggest he either cannot remember his party’s stance or is deliberately lying about it. They argue late-term abortions do occur and that a growing number of the Democratic Party supports abortion until birth.

Pro-life voters affirm Trump’s statement that both Republican and Democrat voters disapprove of late term abortion. They say any form of late-term abortion is infanticide, which many Americans still believe is morally and ethically repugnant.

Most Republicans view Biden’s dismissal and denial of the Democratic stance as a way to obfuscate a part of the issue which is still highly contentious within his own voter base.

Conservative Objections to the Democratic Platform

Pro-lifers assert that Biden's stance on abortion issues is misleading and fails to represent the true Democratic platform. They view Democratic phrases like "reproductive rights," and "women’s healthcare” as euphemisms designed to obscure the reality of abortion. They believe these terms intentionally obscure the realities of terminating a pregnancy.

Conservatives also criticize Biden for suggesting reproductive rights have been "stripped away" by Republicans. They contend the rollback of federal protections for abortion, particularly in Roe v. Wade, simply returned the issue to the states, where they believe it constitutionally belongs. In this view, Biden’s framing of the issue as a unilateral removal of rights misrepresents the decentralized nature of American federalism and the role of state legislatures in deciding abortion laws.

Another pro-life argument focuses on Biden's historical inconsistency. Critics highlight his long political career, during which he has changed stances. They point out Biden himself historically opposed federal funding for abortions, arguing against Roe v. Wade in the past. These hypocrisies, they argue, undermine his credibility and paint him as an opportunist rather than a steadfast advocate for women's rights.

News of the U.S. Supreme Court's decision not to hear a case challenging the abortion pill, or Mifepristone, has elicited significant reactions from Americans. A prominent theme is relief, mixed with caution.

Mifepristone is a prescription pill also known as the “abortion pill.” It works by inducing a miscarriage by blocking certain hormones, softening the cervix. It also requires a follow-up medication which sheds the baby from the uterus. The pill is considered effective within the first ten weeks of pregnancy.

Many pro-choice voters are celebrating the ruling, viewing it as a temporary safeguard for abortion rights. They view pro-life advocacy and initiatives as a threat to women’s abortion options. They emphasize the importance of codifying these rights into federal law to ensure lasting protection from future extremist attacks.

What Americans Are Saying

Relief and Caution

• Pro-choice voters celebrate the ruling as a temporary safeguard for reproductive rights.

• They place emphasis on the need to codify these rights into federal law for lasting protection.

Focus on Abortion Rights

• Many on both sides are taking the opportunity to reflect on SCOTUS overturning Roe v. Wade two years ago.
• There are concerns about the future preservation of reproductive freedoms.
• Some who lean left view the ruling as a procedural win, not a definitive safeguard.

FDA and Legal Standing

• The decision was based on the plaintiffs’ lack of legal standing, not a stance on abortion.
• It also highlights the fragility of the victory pro-lifers are hopeful for the potential of future legal challenges.

Political Discourse

• There are ongoing concerns about Republican efforts to restrict abortion access.
• Some call for political mobilization and electing representatives who defend reproductive rights.

Safety and Efficacy of Mifepristone

• Pro-choice voters view trust in Mifepristone as a reinforcement of the FDA's expertise and decisions.
• They advocate for medical decisions to be guided by science, not politics.

Broader Reproductive Health

• Discussions include debates about the potential need to use Mifepristone in cases of miscarriage.
• Some people highlight the multifaceted nature of reproductive care beyond just abortion.

Sentiment Trends

Most voters are polarized along ideological lines. On one side, many Americans are celebrating what they see as a crucial win for reproductive rights. They emphasize continued vigilance and activism. However, some express skepticism about the longevity of this victory and caution about taking comfort in what they see as a precarious ruling.

Pro-Lifers on Abortion Rights

There is a substantial counter-narrative challenging the legitimacy and morality of abortion rights. Pro-life voters who are critical of SCOTUS declining to hear the case argue abortion, including medication abortion, equates to the termination of unborn lives.

They highlight the moral and ethical considerations, saying the decision reflects broader political attempts to diminish the sanctity of life. This perspective frequently associates the protection of reproductive rights with broader societal and moral decline.

Recent House subcommittee hearings with Dr. Anthony Fauci have brought conversations about COVID-19 and vaccines to the fore. As more information comes out and members of Congress question Fauci about his role in alleged information suppression during COVID, Americans’ trauma and anger seems to be boiling up.

Fauci's credibility is in question with heated and partisan disagreements about whether American voters believe what he says. Some accuse him of providing conflicting or misleading information with guidance on masks and COVID origins. There are frequent complaints that he continued to back policies such as social distancing and masking children in the absence of substantial scientific proof for effectiveness.

In general, people express frustration and confusion at the perceived inconsistency. There is also significant suspicion that Fauci and others involved in both pandemic response and pharmaceuticals related to COVID vaccines intentionally hid, obfuscated, and suppressed important information.

What Americans Are Saying

Online conversations show strong disapproval toward inadequate and questionable management decisions during COVID by health officials and politicians. Many condemn mask mandates and vaccine shaming which they say was perpetuated by Fauci and the media. This group vocally blames Fauci for death, illnesses, and social and economic consequences associated COVID-19 restrictions and vaccines.

There is still considerable debate on the efficacy and safety of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines. Many are also expressing concern about potential side effects such as DNA alterations, increased risk of cancer, heart conditions, and sudden deaths.

Many on both sides of the political aisle have become skeptical and disillusioned with COVID narratives presented by Fauci, the media, and politicians. Those who remain strongly in support of Fauci tend to be left leaning. They view him as a competent authority figure, accusing his detractors of being political. They maintain Fauci's policies saved countless lives during a dangerous pandemic and provided necessary restrictions.

Conversations about COVID often also include criticism of government actions in 2020 and the divisive role of media and political narratives in shaping public opinion.

Anger Over COVID Origins

One recurring topic is the origin of the virus. Many suggest COVID-19 virus was a product of gain-of-function research in the Wuhan Institute of Virology. They blame Fauci for allegedly funding the research, suggesting he conspired to insulate himself from any repercussions.

Many people are also angry at the lack of consequences for the actions of officials who, voters believe, lied and covered up their own unethical behavior.

There is also some discussion about former president Donald Trump’s role in handling COVID. Many voters, including some of his supporters, criticize how President Trump handled the crisis and his rhetoric since. Most voters seem to have a negative view of any topic related to COVID.

Vaccine Skepticism

A significant portion of Americans are increasingly suspicious of the COVID-19 vaccines. They attribute a variety of adverse events, including sudden death and severe physical ailments, to the vaccines.

There’s talk about conditions people call "turbo cancer" and claims the vaccines alter human DNA in a way that can be passed on to future generations. This group is also highly critical of Dr. Fauci, questioning his integrity and blaming him for the negative effects they believe are related to the vaccines.

Those who believe vaccines are harmful are also likely to believe officials like Fauci participated in cynical cover-ups to suppress information and disparage dissenters. Recent testimony by Fauci only serves to further infuriate this group, entrenching their views that Fauci, big pharma, and the NIH conspired to protect themselves at the expense of public health.

Mainstream Media and Chris Cuomo

Many discussions also involve a deep-rooted distrust in mainstream media and institutions who remain "deathly silent" on the impact of COVID and emerging accusations. Some Americans accuse healthcare providers and media of altering death reports, misrepresenting vaccine safety, and silencing counter narratives

Infuriated voters call out media outlets and figures for ignoring critical pieces of information and remaining silent about perceived dangers of the vaccines. They also blame mainstream media for gaslighting and shaming Americans about COVID restrictions and vaccines.

A recent debate between Chris Cuomo and Dave Smith also generated viral discussion about Ivermectin, a drug notoriously debated during COVID-19. Cuomo’s claim that he did not agree with the criticism Joe Rogan received for advocating Ivermectin was very negatively received. The debate brought Cuomo’s credibility and consistency into question for many viewers.

Many people are labeling Cuomo a “liar,” suggesting the evidence contradicts Cuomo's denials about his role in shaping public opinion. This group believes Cuomo and others in the media intentionally demonized people who questioned the mainstream narrative. They insist these figures continue to ignore objective analysis as it unfolds.