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{"overall": {"right_lean": 0.5703275529865125, "right": {"total": 296, "safe": 264, "likely": 32, "leaning": 0}, "unknown": 19, "left": {"total": 223, "safe": 218, "likely": 5, "leaning": 0}}, "pollResults": [{"code": "DE", "name": "Delaware", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 51.5%
Republican: 42.8%
Other: 5.7%"}, {"code": "AL", "name": "Alabama", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 63.8%
Democrat: 32.2%
Other: 3.9%"}, {"code": "LA", "name": "Louisiana", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 57.7%
Democrat: 37.7%
Other: 4.6%"}, {"code": "NE", "name": "Nebraska", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 50.9%
Democrat: 43.1%
Other: 6.1%"}, {"code": "OR", "name": "Oregon", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 55.6%
Republican: 38.3%
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Republican: 39.8%
Other: 6.7%"}, {"code": "WY", "name": "Wyoming", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 66.3%
Democrat: 27.3%
Other: 6.4%"}, {"code": "HI", "name": "Hawaii", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 51.8%
Republican: 41.6%
Other: 6.6%"}, {"code": "MT", "name": "Montana", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 56.2%
Democrat: 38.2%
Other: 5.6%"}, {"code": "NY", "name": "New York", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 53.8%
Republican: 38.8%
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Democrat: 43.6%
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Democrat: 42.8%
Other: 5.1%"}, {"code": "NH", "name": "New Hampshire", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 50.7%
Republican: 43.9%
Other: 5.4%"}, {"code": "OH", "name": "Ohio", "value": 0.6, "label": "Republican: 50.0%
Democrat: 45.5%
Other: 4.5%"}, {"code": "OK", "name": "Oklahoma", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 60.2%
Democrat: 36.0%
Other: 3.8%"}, {"code": "AZ", "name": "Arizona", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 56.3%
Democrat: 38.2%
Other: 5.5%"}, {"code": "AR", "name": "Arkansas", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 59.2%
Democrat: 35.6%
Other: 5.2%"}, {"code": "CA", "name": "California", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 56.7%
Republican: 36.7%
Other: 6.6%"}, {"code": "KY", "name": "Kentucky", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 57.6%
Democrat: 38.1%
Other: 4.3%"}, {"code": "MA", "name": "Massachusetts", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 54.1%
Republican: 39.0%
Other: 6.9%"}, {"code": "MN", "name": "Minnesota", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 52.2%
Republican: 42.1%
Other: 5.7%"}, {"code": "RI", "name": "Rhode Island", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 51.2%
Republican: 43.3%
Other: 5.5%"}, {"code": "UT", "name": "Utah", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 53.8%
Democrat: 39.1%
Other: 7.0%"}, {"code": "CT", "name": "Connecticut", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 50.8%
Republican: 43.2%
Other: 5.9%"}, {"code": "GA", "name": "Georgia", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 50.6%
Democrat: 44.0%
Other: 5.4%"}, {"code": "IN", "name": "Indiana", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 52.9%
Democrat: 42.3%
Other: 4.9%"}, {"code": "MO", "name": "Missouri", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 51.8%
Democrat: 43.3%
Other: 4.9%"}, {"code": "NV", "name": "Nevada", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 52.0%
Democrat: 42.2%
Other: 5.8%"}, {"code": "NM", "name": "New Mexico", "value": -0.6, "label": "Democrat: 49.7%
Republican: 45.7%
Other: 4.6%"}, {"code": "NC", "name": "North Carolina", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 51.5%
Democrat: 42.9%
Other: 5.6%"}, {"code": "ND", "name": "North Dakota", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 55.7%
Democrat: 36.6%
Other: 7.8%"}, {"code": "PA", "name": "Pennsylvania", "value": "", "label": "Democrat: 47.2%
Republican: 46.9%
Other: 5.9%"}, {"code": "DC", "name": "Washington DC", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 53.9%
Democrat: 40.4%
Other: 5.7%"}, {"code": "AK", "name": "Alaska", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 55.7%
Democrat: 36.1%
Other: 8.2%"}, {"code": "VT", "name": "Vermont", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 59.4%
Republican: 31.4%
Other: 9.1%"}, {"code": "CO", "name": "Colorado", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 49.6%
Republican: 43.5%
Other: 6.9%"}, {"code": "IL", "name": "Illinois", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 53.1%
Republican: 40.6%
Other: 6.3%"}, {"code": "ME", "name": "Maine", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 50.9%
Republican: 41.9%
Other: 7.3%"}, {"code": "MI", "name": "Michigan", "value": 0.6, "label": "Republican: 49.0%
Democrat: 46.0%
Other: 5.0%"}, {"code": "SD", "name": "South Dakota", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 58.8%
Democrat: 36.3%
Other: 4.9%"}, {"code": "TX", "name": "Texas", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 60.6%
Democrat: 34.9%
Other: 4.5%"}, {"code": "FL", "name": "Florida", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 60.7%
Democrat: 34.8%
Other: 4.5%"}, {"code": "WV", "name": "West Virginia", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 56.3%
Democrat: 37.9%
Other: 5.7%"}, {"code": "WI", "name": "Wisconsin", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 50.1%
Democrat: 44.2%
Other: 5.7%"}, {"code": "ID", "name": "Idaho", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 64.7%
Democrat: 30.4%
Other: 4.8%"}, {"code": "MD", "name": "Maryland", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 54.1%
Republican: 40.2%
Other: 5.7%"}, {"code": "MS", "name": "Mississippi", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 66.9%
Democrat: 29.7%
Other: 3.4%"}, {"code": "NJ", "name": "New Jersey", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 50.4%
Republican: 43.9%
Other: 5.6%"}, {"code": "SC", "name": "South Carolina", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 60.4%
Democrat: 35.3%
Other: 4.3%"}, {"code": "TN", "name": "Tennessee", "value": 1, "label": "Republican: 62.2%
Democrat: 33.3%
Other: 4.5%"}, {"code": "VA", "name": "Virginia", "value": -1, "label": "Democrat: 51.0%
Republican: 43.0%
Other: 6.0%"}]}
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Path to 270
Decoding the Electoral College: Why 270 Matters
In the U.S. presidential election, candidates vie for 538 electoral votes. Each state is allocated electors based on its congressional representation. To win, a candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes. Most states award all their electoral votes to the popular vote winner, except for Maine and Nebraska. Understanding this threshold is key to grasping the path to the presidency.
National Popular Vote
We determine support scores using a combination of discussion volume and approval toward each candidate in online conversations curated by our AI technology. With data from every state, we're able to determine national popular sentiment as accurately as traditional polling
Swing State Support Average
![](https://mig.media/assets/reports_assets/images/president-images/Donald Trump.png)
Donald Trump
Support Index: 00
![](https://mig.media/assets/reports_assets/images/president-images/Kamala Harris.png?v=2)
Kamala Harris
Support Index: 00
![](https://mig.media/assets/reports_assets/images/president-images/Robert Kennedy.png)
Robert Kennedy Jr.
Support Index: 00
![](https://mig.media/assets/reports_assets/images/president-images/Jill Stein.png)
Jill Stein
Support Index: 00