election-analysis Articles
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Despite Republicans hoping to keep the spotlight on Biden’s vulnerabilities and panic among Democrats, there is still significant interest in Trump’s choice for a running mate. Current discussions about Donald Trump's potential VP picks are heating up as people anticipate his impending announcement. MIG Reports data suggest top choices in terms of voter support volume and approval sentiment include Ben Carson, J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, and Byron Donalds.
Within MAGA, there is a strong sentiment against anyone viewed as a RINO (Republican in Name Only). Figures like Doug Burgum and Marco Rubio have come under scrutiny for their insufficient alignment with the MAGA agenda.
Conversely, loyalty to Trump and America First is a crucial criterion for many supporters. Names like J.D. Vance and Ben Carson are frequently mentioned as preferable picks. Vance has garnered support for his commitment to America First and his potential appeal to younger and Rust Belt voters. Similarly, Ben Carson receives praise for his loyalty and personal integrity. However, there are concerns about his age and political charisma.
- MIG Reports data shows Ben Carson leading in both voter support at around 15% and approval sentiment staying above 50% in the last week.
- J.D. Vance is both generating buzz and garnering support with a 13% second position and 48% approval.
- Rubio and Donalds both have lesser support, both around 7% and approval around 48% and 52% respectively.
Speculation About Trump’s Strategy
MAGA and GOP voters are speculating about possible strategies Trump make take to choose his running mate. One prevalent theme is his inclination to choose a Vice President who can expand his voter base by adding a fresh and dynamic appeal. With this strategy J.D. Vance frequently emerges as a favored candidate.
Despite some vocal opposition within the conservative sphere over Vance's past criticisms of Trump, his staunch support in recent years has earned him significant backing. Proponents argue that Vance's youth and vigor could help extend Trump's influence.
Some highlight the potential of picking someone with a strong appeal to minority groups and independents. Candidates like Byron Donalds and Doug Burgum are cited for their potential to attract these voter demographics. Donalds, with his compelling life story and intellect, could resonate with educated minorities and counter the Democratic narratives. Meanwhile, Burgum's less controversial, steady leadership style and his appeal to women and independents due to his moderate positions in certain areas are considered valuable.
Lastly, MAGA voters stress the necessity for a VP who aligns closely with Trump’s vision and can enhance his governance without overshadowing him. Loyalty is paramount, for those hoping for someone who won’t divert from Trump’s established agenda. They want a harmonious and effective administration, as many MAGA voters have adopted criticisms of Trump’s former VP Mike Pence.
While ideological alignment and loyalty are paramount, strategic considerations are also at play. For example, the potential disadvantage of removing Vance from the Senate, where every vote is critical, is a point of concern. There are also mixed feelings about selecting a current governor or senator who might face political complications or risks in their home states, which could impact the broader Republican strategy. Several people also mention those they view as out of the running like Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley and Kristi Noem.
J.D. Vance
JD Vance brings a fresh perspective to the political scene, particularly appealing to younger voters. His non-traditional background and vocal stance against establishment norms mirror Trump’s outsider appeal.
Vance's life story, including his rise from a challenging upbringing to a successful career, resonates with voters who admire resilience and the American Dream narrative. Nonetheless, his past criticisms of Trump and the controversy over his rapid turnaround might alienate some of Trump's hardcore base.
His stance on controversial issues like abortion may polarize the electorate further, potentially undermining his candidacy. However, Vance’s appeal to the Rust Belt may be an asset, as this could help shore up crucial electoral support in that region.
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio comes with significant political experience and a robust foreign policy background. His Cuban heritage and strong stance against Beijing make him an appealing candidate for voters concerned with global issues and Hispanic voter outreach.
Rubio's presidential run in 2016 elevated his profile, making him a recognizable and seasoned choice. Despite these strengths, his earlier clashes with Trump during the 2016 primaries might still linger in the minds of some Trump loyalists. His career political background might not excite the anti-establishment wing of Trump's base, who dislike swamp figures.
Some hope Rubio’s comparatively moderate image may draw in independents and suburban voters. However, many MAGA voters recall his affiliation with establishment politics, labeling him a RINO. Discussions frequently center on his neo-conservative stances, past failures to strongly back Trump during critical moments, and his immigration stance.
Ben Carson
Ben Carson has a significant base due to his unwavering loyalty to Trump and his moral compass, which resonates with many conservative voters. His background as a neurosurgeon and his calm, thoughtful demeanor make him a credible choice for those seeking stability and ethics in leadership.
However, Carson’s relatively low political profile and lack of forceful public presence have some critics labeling him as a "yes man." This diminishes his appeal among voters who want a more dynamic and assertive figure to energize the ticket. He generally appeals to voters who value integrity and decency.
Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds brings a strong narrative to the table, particularly his life story which could resonate with minority voters. His articulate opposition to Democratic policies makes him a favorite among conservatives looking for younger and more diverse leadership within the GOP.
Donalds' appeal lies in his potential to bridge gaps and bring new demographics into the fold, particularly educated minorities who feel disillusioned by current Democratic leadership. However, his relatively recent emergence on the national stage may work against him, as some question if he has the experience necessary.
Byron Donalds, while relatively less talked about in mainstream narratives, has a strong following among hardcore Trump supporters. His credentials as a staunch conservative and his energetic presence resonate with voters who want a VP who can actively fight for Trump’s policies.
15
Jul
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Joe Biden's recent "big boy" press conference, as his administration labeled it, took social media by storm. Conversations are primarily driven by his significant gaffes, including referring to Trump as the Vice President and Ukraine president Zelensky as Putin. These missteps are prompting widespread concern about his mental acuity and competence.
Voters are especially worried at a time when clear and decisive leadership is essential. The term "big boy press conference" was used by the press and White House staff to describe what was touted as a pivotal and unscripted press conference. However, most Americans on social media mocked the term, suggesting it is infantilizing and patronizing—although perhaps fitting.
No Flips, No Gains
Most of the American public, particularly those on the right, interpret Biden's mistakes as a troubling sign of cognitive decline. Although groups across parties are vocal in their criticism, arguing that such errors potentially undermine confidence in U.S. leadership on the global stage.
This aspect of the discussion often includes a juxtaposition with former President Donald Trump, who handled international crises much better. Many say the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Israel-Hamas situation have worsened under Biden's administration.
Biden supporters, however, aim to downplay his verbal missteps, attempting to highlight substantive aspects of his press conference where he discussed foreign policy initiatives and the administration's stance on various global issues.
Defenders argue the president's gaffes are largely inconsequential or nitpicking. In some Democratic circles, Biden still have strong backing—although more elected representatives are calling for him to step down.
Some Democrats are trying to foster unity withing the party, emphasizing urgency and aiming to mobilize voters around continuing the Biden-Harris administration's agenda.
How People See It
Undecided voters and Independents are particularly impacted by discussions of Biden’s performance. Many in this group express growing concerns about the president's age and mental sharpness, which could sway them against voting for Biden in the upcoming general election.
This demographic appears to be leaning toward alternatives, both within the Democratic Party and potentially toward Trump. Many suggest a desire for a presidential candidate who can embody strength, clarity, and innovative solutions without the embarrassment of Biden’s increasingly shocking struggles.
Many people also criticize Biden’s image on the world stage in front of foreign leaders at NATO. They mention his flub in calling President Zelensky Putin and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s disgusted reactions to Biden. Many argue these incidents are just the tip of the iceberg in how negatively foreign world leaders view the current U.S. President.
Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict also continues to attract significant scrutiny. While some appreciate his diplomatic efforts to negotiate a ceasefire and his attempts to manage the humanitarian aspects, others criticize him for appearing to side too explicitly with Israel, potentially alienating voters who are sensitive to the plight of Palestinians.
14
Jul
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President Joe Biden publicly stating he plans to stay in the presidential race has caused viral discussion online and among Democrats. There are passionate debates on both sides, but especially within Biden’s own constituencies. MIG Reports data shows a split among those who hope Biden stays in to beat Trump at any cost, and those who vehemently insist he step down.
Biden's Increasing Health Concerns
Biden's mental and physical health have nearly overshadowed all political conversations in recent days. Critics often raise concerns about his age and clear cognitive decline, with many pushing for him to step down.
More Democrats are now saying a younger candidate like Kamala Harris or others should take the helm. Some Democrat leaders, including Nancy Pelosi, also insist that time is growing short for Biden to make a decision.
Voters across the political spectrum discuss the possibility of Biden suffering from dementia, Parkinson's, and other health issues. This focus on the President’s increasing feeble appearance causes many to question his ability to handle the pressures of the presidency.
Democrats are now split on whether Biden can withstand another rigorous campaign. His supporters often dismiss these concerns as baseless attacks meant to undermine Biden’s credibility. They argue he is capable of fulfilling his duties and the media is making unjustified claims.
Other Democrats say, even if Biden does not have the capacity to continue as the sitting president, they are not bothered. A viral clip of Whoopie Goldberg promoting a similar idea went viral, drawing criticism from Republicans and some Democrats.
Whoopi: "I don't care if [Biden] pooped his pants. I don't care if he can't put a sentence together. Show me he can't do the job, and then I'll say, okay, maybe it's time to go...I have poopy day all the time. All the time." pic.twitter.com/QlMHzH8LF9
— Nicholas Fondacaro (@NickFondacaro) July 8, 2024Any Blue Won’t Do
A salient point in the conversation is the perception of party loyalty and internal disarray among Democrats. The idea that influential Democrats and former supporters are now withdrawing their support for Biden is gaining traction.
Notable figures and entities, such as a Disney heiress and a growing number of mainstream media outlets, are shifting their allegiance or calling for Biden to step aside. Recent news that fervent Obama supporter George Clooney is calling for Biden to step down displays the significant fracture among Democrats.
George Clooney urges Joe Biden to step down as the 2024 Democratic nominee for president in a new op-ed:
— Variety (@Variety) July 10, 2024
“We are not going to win in November with this president. On top of that, we won’t win the House, and we’re going to lose the Senate. This isn’t only my opinion; this is the… pic.twitter.com/EArMreTtMkThis swell of infighting among Democrats gives critics space to argue that a party in disarray will weaken their chances in the upcoming election. Many are also questioning whether VP Harris could carry the ticket, should Biden step down.
Trending Sentiment
Sentiment toward Biden is polarized. There’s a mixture of die-hard support and vehement opposition. Supporters champion his achievements and leadership, expressing frustration towards those within the party who are contemplating a replacement. They argue Biden represents stability and a return to normalcy compared to the chaotic tenure of his predecessor.
Opponents paint a grim picture of Biden’s presidency, attributing various national issues to his leadership and suggesting that his running for re-election would be detrimental to the country. They evoke strong imagery of moral and political decay, centering on personal attacks against Biden and his family.
For undecided voters, the ongoing discussions introduce an element of uncertainty. They are weighing the implications of Biden continuing his presidency against emerging critiques and alternative possibilities. The growing divide may influence undecided voter perceptions of party stability.
Independents, often swayed by pragmatic considerations and a broader perspective beyond strict party lines, are closely observing these developments. The Democratic Party's ability to maintain coherence and present a strong, unified case for Biden’s continuance remains a key factor for these voters. Visible rifts and intra-party dissent may deter their support, emphasizing the importance of how Democrats manage these narratives moving forward.
Conversations among those aligned with the Uncommitted Movement—a pro-Palestinian movement critical of Biden’s Israel policy—have added another layer of complexity to the debate. While not all primary-held states have an “Uncommitted” option for Democrats, notable results included:
- Michigan: 13.3% Uncommitted
- Minnesota: 19% Uncommitted
- New Jersey: Approximately 9% Uncommitted
- New Mexico: Approximately 10% Uncommitted
Online discussions suggest this movement is likely to continue through August and the Democratic National Convention. However, if Biden stays in the race, he will likely receive the official nomination via Zoom, without attending in person.
12
Jul
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Former President Donald Trump released a 20-point plan outlining his 2024 platform. Predictably, the release was quickly and widely shared and discussed on social media. The document garnered approval from Trump’s base and strong disavowal from his opponents. Independent voters have a narrower perspective on the otherwise binary sentiment, but generally sway more in agreement with Trump’s plan.
Support for Trump’s Platform
Trump's plan, which includes measures like sealing the border, ending inflation, defending constitutional rights, and opposing Critical Race Theory in schools, receives ardent support from his core base. His followers, often associated with the MAGA movement, express enthusiastic approval, seeing his commitments as strong steps to restore American greatness.
They particularly emphasize issues like border security, energy independence, and upholding Second Amendment rights. These supporters articulate their devotion on social media, eagerly anticipating Trump's leadership to counter perceptions of a corrupt administrative state. They also hope international entanglements which weaken the nation's sovereignty will be resolved.
Conservative traditionalists, who may not align entirely with Trump but share common values, have mixed reactions. While they approve of points related to economic growth, military strengthening, and constitutional rights, there is hesitation around the more drastic aspects of the platform. Some are wary of expansive deportation and the perceived encroachments on states' rights and individual freedoms through proposed federal overreach in education and social policies.
Trump Critics Rip the Plan
Progressive and left-leaning groups react with intense opposition and vocal disapproval. They view Trump's platform as regressive, authoritarian, and potentially harmful to civil liberties.
Key points like mass deportations, the potential militarization of domestic policy, and rolling back social and racial equality initiatives provoke significant concern. Critics highlight fears of threat to democracy, climate change inaction, and economic policies favoring the wealthy over the working class.
Staunch opposition manifests in calls to action for voter mobilization and political activism. These critics hope to prevent a return to what they see as the divisive and dangerous policies of Trump’s administration.
In the Middle
Moderate and undecided voters express a mix of skepticism and cautious consideration. Some see potential merits in economic reforms and tax cuts proposed by Trump but remain wary of the broader implications of such an extensive policy overhaul.
Centrists ponder the feasibility of large-scale deportations. They also worry about the impact of education policies banning CRT and radical gender ideologies on societal cohesion and children's learning environments. This group appears pivotal, weighing the potential for policies they like versus the perceived risks of heightened political and social instability.
Independent and swing voters are often critical of both extremes. They scrutinize the platform's promises through a pragmatic lens, assessing their practicality and long-term effects. Issues like energy production and manufacturing resonate positively, but there is concern over the potential for increased authoritarian governance and reduced protections for minority groups.
Trump is showing consistent approval numbers, with approximately a two-point bump after his statement about Project 2025 and releasing his platform’s outline. This support may indicate a moderate sway toward Trump’s over Biden, amid ongoing health concerns. These sways may become more permanent depending on the Democratic ticket as well and continued economic stressors.
11
Jul
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A recent scoop alleging President Biden and his staff have been concealing ongoing visits from doctors who specialize in Parkinson's Disease created firestorm among voters and the press.
As Biden’s approval plummets and Democrats begin jumping ship, the White House is struggling to keep media and voters on their side. Sentiments toward the Biden family and allegations against them have reached lows in the mid 30% range over the last 15 days.
Mainstream Media Finally Wakes Up
Mainstream media and Democratic pundits have been responding with sharp criticisms toward Biden and his administration since the President’s disastrous debate performance. While some are still attempting damage control, trying to maintain a semblance of unity and stability, most seem to be turning on Biden.
Many observers suggest media figures, who have long been feigning ignorance of Biden’s clear cognitive decline, are turning on Biden because they believe he cannot win the election. Articles and reports from mainstream media outlets notorious for supporting Democratic narratives are now, for the first time in his presidency, asking tough questions about Joe Biden.
Figures like Joe Scarborough are generating harsh criticism for, just weeks ago, claiming Joe Biden was “more than cogent” and completely fit to serve. Now, those same talking heads are calling for Biden to step down—deepening distrust many Americans already held towards the media.
A Soviet-Style Coverup
In a recent White House press conference, Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre struggled to address questions about the allegations of Parkinson’s and medical exams. She claimed medical privacy privileges and security concerns for doctors involved.
Meanwhile, mainstream media reporters voiced dissatisfaction with the official White House responses. They said urgent questions about the president's health justify a release of public information, rather than suppression of information by the administration.
Truly incredible clip.
— Greg Price (@greg_price11) July 8, 2024
Jean-Pierre is asked over and over again why a Parkinson’s expert visited the White House multiple times.
She says she can’t answer for “security” and “privacy” reasons.
Literally the worst press secretary ever.
pic.twitter.com/7ZUKLSWH6tMore media representatives are now expressing frustration and dissatisfaction at White House talking points. They emphasize the lack of transparency to the press, which garners scoffs among many voters who believe the press, until now, has been complicit. Criticisms grew even more sharp the next day, as Karine Jean-Pierre admitted to lying about O’Connor and Dr. Cannard’s White House visits.
The pressing nature of Biden’s health concerns is making his administration’s inability to provide clear answers particularly concerning for many Americans. This frustration is also causing significant backlash toward Biden as a candidate and his family who are rumored to be pushing him to stay in the presidential race.
A Puppet President?
Allegations of President Biden being controlled by unelected figures like Jill Biden and Hunter Biden are also gaining traction. However, while Republicans and many Democrats balk at the idea of unknown and unelected individuals or groups running the White House, some Democratic voters insist it doesn’t matter as long as Trump loses.
One viral NBC news clip shows Parkinson's expert Dr. Tom Pitts explaining Joe Biden’s clear and obvious signs of the disease. He also says, as a Democrat, he has been shocked to witness the dystopian level of gaslighting from the White House—which he likens to a Soviet Union propaganda campaign.
NEW: Parkinson's expert Dr. Tom Pitts tells NBC that Biden clearly has it. No debate.
— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) July 9, 2024
He compares the coverup to the Soviets.
This is coming from a lifelong Democrat. pic.twitter.com/BcR0btWhjaFollowing the chaotic White House press briefing, it is not just critics who are calling out the Biden administration. More and more Democrats view the administration’s non-answers as indicative of a coverup.
Republican Voter Reactions
Among Republicans, there is a palpable sense of vindication combined with indignation. Many on the right have long questioned Biden’s fitness for office. The media and Democrats finally admitting their own suspicions only seems to increase Republican suspicions that Democrats have acted disingenuously.
Republican voters are not only concerned about the implications for national leadership but are also actively using the news to criticize the Democratic Party's apparently failing strategy.
While many Republicans believe Biden should step down for the good of the country, they also say it would be politically advantageous for them if he stays in the race. They view Biden's health issues as compromising national security and undermining public trust. However, some Trump supporters fear if Biden is removed, any other challenger could pose a problem for Donald Trump in the general election.
Democratic Voter Reactions
Democrat voters seem more defensive, with various reactions. There is a mix of concern for Biden’s health and frustration at the optics and handling of the situation. Many loyalists maintain that Biden remains the best option to uphold the party’s values and policies. They also say he may be the only person who can beat Trump in November.
Yet, a faction of Democratic voters is urgently calling for more transparency and possibly re-evaluating their support. Calls for Biden to step down are increasing within the Democratic base as worries mount around the long-term implications if he stays in.
Many Democrats also feel a deep sense of betrayal and concern over Biden’s health revelations. His obvious fragility has prompted supporters to grapple with questions of being lied to. There are also disagreements about whether Vice President Kamala Harris is a capable a safety net, should Biden become incapable of continuing his duties.
11
Jul
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New York just disbarred its former mayor and former Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani, making waves online as voters react. Accusations against Giuliani for making what the court deemed as false statements about 2020 election interference caused his disbarment. However, conservatives push back saying disbarring a lawyer for performer his job is an outrageous corruption of the court system.
Republicans Smell Vindictive Lawfare
Many voters say stripping Giuliani of his law license is one more case of selective and politicized targeting by Democrats against Trump allies. These voters argue Giuliani’s legal troubles are less about the facts of the case and more about a concerted effort by the Democratic establishment to silence and punish influential Republican figures.
They assert Giuliani, despite his controversial actions, is being unfairly targeted while similar scrutiny is not applied to Democratic counterparts. This perspective is echoed by assertions about media and Democrat complicity in protecting figures like Joe Biden, Merrick Garland, and Fani Willis from similar censure.
According to conservatives, the media and legal system are used as tools to advance a partisan agenda. They also frame Giuliani’s disbarment as a part of a broader strategy to destroy anyone who supports Donald Trump. They suggest high-profile Republican figures facing legal consequences like Giuliani, Steve Bannon, and Trump himself is boldfaced lawfare.
Further fueling outrage on the right is a distrust in the investigative processes that led to Giuliani being disbarred. Many conservatives suggest corrupt judges, prosecutors, and other political actors are playing out vendettas rather than impartial justice. They argue the real aim is to delegitimize Giuliani and prevent others from allying with Trump.
Right leaning voters believe cases like Giuliani’s set a dangerous precedent for legal action against Republican-aligned figures. They worry about a chilling effect on conservative legal advocacy, where potential defenders hesitate to represent Republican interests. Many also worry what these actions could mean for Trump as the election looms and his own legal cases are still unresolved.
In general, conservatives and Republicans feel Democrats will stop at nothing, including weaponizing the justice system, imprisoning and stripping credentials from their opponents, and gaslighting the public, to pursue the Democratic agenda.
Democrats Cheer for Giuliani’s Downfall
In contrast, Democrats generally perceive Giuliani being disbarred as a justified consequence of his actions. Many Democrats believe Giuliani engaged in unethical and potentially illegal behavior, particularly in contesting the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election.
They view his disbarment as a necessary step to uphold the rule of law, with an added bonus of kneecapping their opposition. Democrats say Giuliani’s disbarment represents accountability and a reaffirmation of professional standards they feel Giuliani flagrantly violated.
Many Democratic voters feel vindicated by Giuliani’s downfall, as it aligns with their belief that his actions were illegal but also detrimental to American democracy. Many are celebrating it as part of a larger movement to hold Trump and his associates accountable for their alleged infractions.
The liberal media’s coverage of the event tends to emphasize alleged legal and ethical violations rather than norms or partisan inconsistencies. This tends to reinforce voter perceptions of Giuliani as a key figure in a nefarious Republican plot to steal the 2020 election.
Independent Voters
Some Independents who lean left perceive Giuliani's disbarment positively, aligning their views with those of Democrats in terms of legal and ethical accountability. However, those with a more conservative tilt may echo Republican concerns about political bias and unjust persecution.
There's also a significant segment of Independents who are tired of the protracted legal and political battles associated with Trump and his allies. They view these ongoing legal battles with a sense of fatigue, wishing to move past the contentious politics of the Trump era.
06
Jul
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The possibility of Kamala Harris replacing Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee is generating significant buzz online. Voter reactions are heavily shaped by political affiliations and perceptions of Harris's performance and qualifications—much of which involves mocking and irony from both Democrats and Republicans.
Conversations reveal a growing tension about the presidential election as Democrats scramble in the wake of Biden’s debate disaster. Concerns about Biden's viability flood Democratic conversations, also bringing up uncertainties about Harris’s electability.
Amid rumors that President Biden’s family are urging him to stay in the race and rumblings that elected Democrats are turning on Biden, voter speculation about Kamala Harris exploded on Wednesday.
A bifurcated sentiment in the Democratic Party suggests panic and fear at the prospect of losing the general election, with disagreements on how to move forward. This is echoed loudly through tweets urging fast and decisive action by Democratic leaders, but without agreement on what action should be taken.
There is a feeling deep concern as Harris's approval ratings are abysmal, although in some cases better than Biden’s. Her public speaking skills and overall performance in office are also often used as the punchline to a joke.
Democrats Ironically Support the Khive
There are speculations that Kamala Harris is gaining support from party leaders, including people like Michelle Obama. However, her incompetence and confusing way of speaking are often the subject of memes and jokes. Many people mock her catch phrases and strange comments, reposting them online.
A certain line Harris used in a speech referring to falling out of a coconut tree has become a viral meme.
"You think you just fell out of a coconut 🥥 tree?
— Laina Media (@media_laina) February 11, 2024
Kamala Harris
You know sometimes I feel I've seen enough dumb videos online and then I come across this 👇 pic.twitter.com/fSX0UAyBNHMany Democratic voters are beginning to voice ironic support for the VP, as Joe Biden seems to be thrown completely by the wayside. These ironic supporters talk about being “coconut-pilled” and joining the “khive” in solidarity with Harris replacing Biden.
so khive pilled right now i am about to transcend and exist in the context of all in which i live, and what came before me
— anthony musa (@anthonydmusa) July 2, 2024All of a sudden I feel as though I’ve fallen out of a coconut tree and am ready to exist in a context in which we live
— Carter Christensen (@CarterChristens) July 2, 2024Some go so far as to advocate for using the 25th Amendment to replace President Joe Biden with Harris, though this suggestion is often framed with a heavy dose of irony and sarcasm. Critics on both sides of the aisle seem unconvinced of Harris's abilities to lead effectively and stabilize the country.
Although much of the conversation is making fun of her, some insist there is a growing swell of support behind VP Harris. Even if it starts as jokes and memes, some Democratic voters are hopeful real votes will materialize out of the energized base.
ironic khive posting is unironically the most energized the twitter Dem electorate has been in about a year and I think there’s probably something optimistic in that. call yourself ‘coconut-pilled’ or whatever. declare yrself a context fan. we might actually twet thru this one
— Kelly Weill (@KELLYWEILL) July 2, 2024Panic in the Democratic Party
There is high anxiety among Democrats about the party's future, with a feeling of doom if either Biden or Harris remain on the ticket. The discourse oscillates between suggestions for fresh candidates and reinforcing the need for unity behind the Biden-Harris administration.
Many voice angst at the lack of viable alternative candidates in the Democratic Party. Harris skeptics point out a lack of enthusiasm for her as a potential presidential candidate, often noting a change in leadership should not automatically default to her.
However, some argue criticisms aimed at Harris stem from systemic biases and a lack of understanding of her strategic value within the Democratic Party. They stress the importance of rallying behind Harris and Biden to ensure a cohesive front and to maintain funds raised for the campaign.
Following the debate debacle, there’s a growing rift between different factions in the Democratic Party. Progressive wings are split between backing Harris or seeking alternatives who might align more closely with their vision of the party's future. This division becomes glaringly apparent as some liberal Democrats advocate for people Gavin Newsom, angering black female voters who oppose another white male candidate.
Democrat Infighting Grows More Complex
Conversations about Biden’s fitness to run and concerns about Kamala Harris have a compounding effect on existing splits in the Democratic base. The party is also contending with infighting about the Israel-Hamas conflict and growing dissatisfaction about the border.
While many are now admitting Biden's age issues and clear cognitive decline, they still express a degree of loyalty to him. Meanwhile, a growing number of voices are expressing fear that Biden could not win, should he stay in the race. Despite poor approval ratings for both Biden and Harris, some insist she may have a better chance.
Progressives and leftists are more likely to outright reject both Biden and Harris, criticizing them for not being progressive enough. They say the administration has failed to meet the demands of the leftist agenda. Their calls often promote a more radical shift away from centrist policies. However, some progressives believe Harris could potentially be more adaptable and progressive than Biden.
- While both Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have poor approval ratings, Harris shows greater support on some of the top issues voters care about.
Republicans Watch with Satisfaction
Among Republican voters, the general sentiment towards Kamala Harris is overwhelmingly negative. Many Republicans view Harris as unqualified and cringey, often pointing to her tenure as the "border czar" and mocking her lack of achievement.
They argue Harris was chosen for her identity as a black woman rather than her capabilities. The idea of Harris handling significant issues such as nuclear negotiations with Russia or managing the ongoing tensions with Ukraine is seen as unfathomable and troubling by this group.
Some also promote theories about Harris merely being a placeholder for another candidate, like Gavin Newsom. There are also speculations that, despite being deeply unpopular, Democrats may view Harris as malleable and controllable. They say, if the party cannot run a “Weekend at Bernie's” candidate like Biden, Harris is a close second.
Conservative and Republican posts are often sarcastic, making fun of both Biden and Harris for their weaknesses and failings. Many on the right, however, express hope that Biden will not be replaced and can be easily defeated by Donald Trump.
05
Jul
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A growing swell of Democratic voters calling for Joe Biden to drop out of the presidential race is dividing the party as tensions rise. MIG Reports data shows conversations fraught with tension and mixed emotions among Democrats, highlighting a split that seems to be deepening.
Democrats Are Panicked
Sentiment analysis reveals Democratic voters feel devastated and terrified after Joe Biden’s poor debate performance. Many express feelings of disillusionment after his clearly declining state in a nationally televised debacle.
Some view his debate disaster as confirmation of his competency and capability issues. especially for a leader in high-stress situations involving national security. Enthusiasm for Biden is dropping fast as Democrats scramble for alternatives. Voters express a desire for a stronger, younger candidate to take the helm.
There is now a growing split within the Democratic Party. A significant portion of the base continues to support Biden, citing his past accomplishments and trustworthy character. This group tends to downplay his debate performance as a “bad night,” and one anybody is liable to experience.
However, a growing faction criticizes what they see as his inability to effectively counter Republican arguments, particularly against Trump. As Biden’s poll numbers crater, Democrat dissatisfaction is impacting his overall sentiment, leading to a noticeable dip in enthusiasm and morale.
The Debate Moment
Before the debate, Biden sentiment was somewhat mixed but leaned towards cautious optimism. Many Democrats touted his record, pointing to legislative successes such as the CHIPS Act and efforts to stabilize the economy post-pandemic. However, the debate unleashed a palpable sense of doom and dismay, especially among those who were already skeptical about his mental acuity. His performance during the debate, which devastated many Democratic voters online and media personalities, only reinforces this sense of impending loss.
Supporters who stand by Biden emphasize his integrity and past achievements. They say one bad debate night should not overshadow his years of public service. Nevertheless, their efforts look to be insufficient to quell the rising tide of Democrats distancing from their allegiance to Biden.
Lowered sentiment among Democratic voters is also causing enthusiasm to fall precipitously. Anxious conversations about voter engagement and turnout reveal a lack of excitement, particularly from younger voters who are often pivotal in securing electoral victories. The debate's aftermath reveals a strong and sudden about-face as Democrats call for fresh leadership. This milieu contributes to an overall decrease in morale among some party members.
The recurring notion that "Biden is too old" simply cannot be denied any longer for many Democrats. This group raises alarms about his age affecting his capacity to campaign effectively and govern.
However, some staunch supporters argue his experience and embodiment of American values outweigh any age-related criticisms. This dichotomy creates a rift, with some members urging Biden drop out, while others steadfastly support him.
03
Jul
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MIG Report shows several topics and themes emerge from the first presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. The impact on undecided and independent voters was nuanced. However, sentiment analysis suggests Trump’s strong performance may have swayed some undecided voters in his favor. This is particularly true for those who value decisive and bold articulation of policies. Conversely, Biden’s perceived empathy and his policy responses resonated with voters who are more sympathetic to his challenges with speech.
Among core Democratic supporters, there was a call to rally behind Biden despite his poor debate performance. His backers emphasized his long career and previous policy successes, encouraging a focus on the larger narrative of his presidency rather than isolated debate moments.
Discontent among some Democrats also prompted debates about whether Biden should continue his campaign, reflecting concerns over both his age and debate performance. Republicans mostly expressed a solidifying resolve to support Trump, emphasizing his combative approach as evidence of his capability to lead.
Economic Issues
- Reactions to economic questions are sharply divided, focusing on inflation, tax policies, job creation, economic performance, border control, healthcare costs, and social security.
- Inflation is a major point of contention, with some disputing the government's CPI figures and blaming high inflation on current Biden policies. Biden supporters largely blame the impact of Trump administration policies.
- Supporters of the current administration praise legislative achievements like the Inflation Reduction Act, while critics prefer Trump's economic policies.
- Undecided voters are notably influenced by economic arguments and personal financial impacts. They express frustration with both candidates but show a slight preference for Trump, due to current economic uncertainties.
Ideological Issues
- Independent and undecided voters appear to be swayed more toward Trump in this specific debate context. This is primarily due to concerns over Biden’s ability to govern effectively.
- Biden’s crucial voter demographic expresses increasing apprehension and a desire for alternative Democratic leadership.
- Trump’s consistent messaging and the portrayal of economic and social stability under his leadership attracts some who were previously on the fence.
Border Security
- Among independent and undecided voters, the general trend shows a significant lean towards Trump, largely influenced by the discussions on immigration and border security.
- These voters are particularly swayed by the arguments highlighting crime and economic pressures related to illegal immigration.
- Comments underscore a desire for a return to stricter immigration policies and stronger enforcement measures, which they associate with Trump's time in office.
- The reactions are predominantly negative towards Biden, indicating a shift favoring Trump's stance on these issues.
Security Issues
- Undecided and independent voters lean into Trump’s narrative of strength and control. They particularly like his emphasis on no wars during his term and promises to end ongoing conflicts swiftly.
- Many reactions highlight dissatisfaction with current global instability. Voters want a return to international stability over policy specifics.
- Simultaneously, Biden appears to maintain a hold on voters who prioritize diplomatic approaches and coalition-building, although his handling of the Israel-Hamas situation and Ukraine get mixed reactions, especially from those concerned about prolonged military engagements and the humanitarian costs involved.
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Jul