Former Vice President Mike Pence recently made headlines with the announcement that he will not endorse Donald Trump for the 2024 presidential race. This statement came amid the backdrop of Trump securing sufficient delegates to clinch the Republican nomination for President, making him the presumptive Republican nominee.

Pence told Fox News, "It should come as no surprise that I will not be endorsing Donald Trump this year," sparking a flurry of positive media coverage for Pence. A recent opinion piece from the Hill proclaimed that Pence, “Saved the Country Once, and Might Do it Again.” However, reactions from Americans online captured and analyzed by MIG Reports reveals Pence’s actions will likely reverberate about as much as his bid for President did.

What They’re Saying

While Beltway pundits were busy praising Pence’s courage to not endorse his former running mate, online reactions reveal a starkly different reaction.

• Liberal users found Pence’s declaration insignificant, arguing, “He should have taken a stand against Trump earlier.”

Some, however, appear supportive of Pence’s decision, less interested in highlighting the morals of his decision and more interested in undermining Trump’s chances of beating Biden in November.

• There are also calls for other Republicans, like Nikki Haley, to follow Pence's example and refuse to endorse Trump.

While discourse on Pence’s decision was largely viewed as uninteresting or ignored by liberals, MIG Reports analysis of reactions showed significant ire among right-leaning voters.

• Conservatives dismissed his decision as irrelevant or even cowardly. There was considerable criticism towards Pence, with some labeling him as a RINO (Republican in Name Only), along with accusations of being a globalist and siding with the one-world government system.
• Hatred for Pence appears to have seriously magnified disdain since his initial run for President. Voters disliked his marked criticism of Trump during his short bid. Many mentioned they, “Feel that Pence is a traitor to the MAGA movement," with some even comparing him to Judas. They believe he has sold out the Republican Party and the American people, and they question his future in politics.

By the Numbers

Since Pence’s comments, MIG Reports finds a serious drop in his approval among those discussing him online.

• On March 15, Pence’s Fox News announcement caused his mentions to double their usual rate, and his approval rating fell shortly after.
• Following his announcement, Pence’s ratio of positive to negative comments in discussions displayed 187 positive points to 730 negative points.
• The bleeding continued the following day as he appeared on other outlets touting his decision, seeing a ratio of 178 positive points to 807 negative points on Saturday.
• Supporters of Pence’s decision, likely liberals based on MIG Reports data, lost interest in supporting Pence. Conservative anger persisted on Monday, seeing a ratio of just 99 positive points to 392 negative points that day.

As the dust settles on former Vice President Mike Pence's unequivocal decision not to endorse Donald Trump for the 2024 presidential race, beltway media failed to convey the implications of Pence’s decision across the country. Instead, media portrayed a narrative that Pence’s decision reflects a divide in the Republican Party.t seems Republicans outside of D.C. remain united in their support for President Trump.

Based on Trump’s uninterrupted cruise to the Republican Presidential nomination, securing support from his base should have been an easy conclusion to make. While many liberals were eager for other Republicans like Nikki Haley to join in Pence’s efforts, voter sentiment indicates anyone who attempts to undermine a Republican victory in November will struggle to find a future in the Republican Party.

Former President Trump made comments over the weekend about China attempting to bring car manufacturing to Mexico. He said they must be stopped from importing cars into the U.S. and that, if he is not elected, the economic result for American car manufacturing will be a “bloodbath.” The media’s interpretation of Trump’s comments has generated debate, with people interpreting the comments largely through their political lens.

Democrats generally view the comments as threatening and indicative of Trump's refusal to accept potential election losses. They argue that such language is dangerous and could incite violence among Trump's supporters. Some Democrats, however, say they understand Trump's comments were taken out of context and that he was not referring to potential violence, but rather the impact on the automotive industry if he were not elected.

Republicans are largely defending Trump, arguing that his comments were intentionally misrepresented by the media. They assert that Trump was talking about the economic consequences for industries like automotive manufacturing if he is not elected. They accuse the media of manipulating Trump's words to fit a negative narrative and fuel political tensions. However, some Republicans also perceive the comments as a warning of potential unrest or violence.

Independents are split in their interpretations of Trump's comments. Some agree with Democrats that the comments are a threat and could incite violence. Others side with Republicans, criticizing the media for taking Trump's words out of context.

Independents criticize Trump's choice of words and question his suitability for the presidency, but they also argue the media and certain political factions may be overblowing the remark.

Talking About - Donald Trump

Approval - Donald Trump

There seems to be an overall sentiment that the media sensationalizes Trump's comments. Both Republicans and some Independents are disillusioned with the media and argue that its portrayal of Trump's comments as a threat of violence is a clear distortion of his actual words. They believe that the media is disingenuous about their interpretation of the comment, furthering a negative narrative about Trump.

Some say the media puts Trump’s words in the worst possible light to generate controversy and boost ratings, taking every opportunity to attack Trump and those who do not condemn him. However, many Democrats and some Independents disagree, asserting that the media is accurately reporting Trump's threatening rhetoric.

The Democrat establishment and leftist media appear to be out of touch with the concerns and priorities of many Americans, particularly on issues like immigration and border control. This disconnect is recurringly evident in their coverage of these issues, where they often downplay the importance of border security and the rule of law in favor of a more open and inclusive immigration policy.

Despite a surge in illegal border crossings and an ongoing humanitarian crisis at the southern border, many Democrat leaders and leftist media outlets have largely ignored these problems or blamed them on the previous administration. This is in stark contrast to the views of many Americans, who see border security and immigration enforcement as key issues that need to be addressed.

Trust in Media 

Similarly, progressives and leftists have largely dismissed American concerns about the potential impact of unchecked illegal immigration on jobs, wages, and social cohesion. Instead, they often portray these concerns as rooted in racism or xenophobia, alienating many ordinary citizens who simply want their government to enforce the law and protect their interests.

Furthermore, Democrats seem to be out of touch with the political realities on the ground, as evidenced by their coverage of the 2024 Republican primaries. Despite overwhelming support for former President Donald Trump among Republican voters, many Democrats have tried to portray him as a dictator who is leading the GOP to electoral disaster. This narrative, however, seems to be more wishful thinking than reality, as Trump's dominance in the primaries shows.

Other issues where they appear to be out of touch with many Americans include:

• Law enforcement and crime
• Taxes and economic policy
• Education
• Cultural issues

On each of these issues leftists seem to be more in tune with the views of far-left progressive activists and academics than with the concerns and priorities of ordinary Americans.

The mainstream media, particularly leftist outlets, also seem to cover these issues less often, further alienating the public, for whom these are top concerns. The media's portrayal of President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris often focuses more on their personalities and less on their policies, which can contribute to this disconnect.

Many Americans see the media as being “drunk with power” and “fascist,” indicating a lack of representation and accountability. Some posts even compare the current state of the Democrat party to the era of the Great Depression, suggesting a disconnect with the lived experiences of many Americans and unpopularity for making unfair attacks on average citizens.

The term "Christian Nationalism" has been increasingly used in public discourse, particularly by liberals, democrats, and leftists. While it is difficult to pinpoint exactly who coined the term, it is apparent that these groups have adopted and weaponized its usage for strategic political purposes.

 Christian Nationalism is often used to describe a political ideology that merges Christian faith with American patriotism, advocating for the establishment of either a Christian state or a state guided by Christian values. However, the term is being leveraged by liberals to paint conservative Christians as extremists or fundamentalists who are seeking to impose their religious beliefs on the nation.

Critics are now adopting the term as a way to call out what they see as an attempt to undermine the secular nature of the state and promote a form of religious exclusivity.

The strategic use of the term "Christian Nationalism" may be part of a wider effort to frame certain political ideologies as extreme or detrimental to the principles of a secular and inclusive democracy. By associating Christian Nationalism with far right or extremist movements, the mainstream may be trying to delegitimize the positions held by some conservatives, framing them as a threat to democratic norms.

This analysis does not conclude that all criticisms of Christian Nationalism are unfounded or politically motivated. However, there seems to be a concerted effort to lump all Christians and American patriots under the umbrella of Christian Nationalism, which is largely understood negatively.

On the right, the term is also contentious. Some Christians and conservatives totally reject the term. Others adopt it but push back on the negative connotations, justifying their beliefs as nonthreatening. 

Messaging Analysis

Sentiment about Christian Nationalism is somewhat dependent on its framing. It is either perceived as a patriotic expression of religious freedom or a threat to democratic principles and social equality.

People tend to understand Christian nationalism as either a cultural issue or a political issue. The rise of social justice movements, the political climate, and the portrayal of Christian Nationalism in media and political discourse all play significant roles in shaping these sentiments. 

Republicans

A large group of Republicans support Christian Nationalism as they believe it aligns with their core values of religious freedom, patriotism, and conservative moral values. They often link Christian Nationalism to the preservation of American heritage and the upholding of traditional family structures.

Sentiment increases among Republicans when Christian Nationalism is presented as a defense against perceived threats to religious freedom, such as the "woke" culture or progressive social policies. However, sentiment decreases when Christian Nationalism is associated with extremist actions or intolerance towards other religious or ethnic groups.

Democrats

Most Democrats view Christian Nationalism as a threat to the separation of church and state. They claim it could lead to discrimination against non-Christian and marginalized groups. For Democrats, negativity strengthens against Christian Nationalism when it is linked to extremist actions, such as the Capitol Hill riot, and decreases when it is presented as a matter of religious freedom or patriotism.

Independents

Independents have mixed views on Christian Nationalism. Their sentiment generally increases when Christian Nationalism is associated with the broader freedom of religious expression. It decreases when it is linked to extremist actions, intolerance, or breaches of the church-state separation.

Diversity in Christian Nationalism

For Black and Hispanic communities, views on Christian Nationalism are more complex and nuanced. Generally, these communities also exhibit high levels of religious participation, particularly in Christian denominations. However, their views on Christian Nationalism can diverge significantly with the perception of Christian Nationalism as racial grouping.

Among Black Christians, for instance, there is often a strong emphasis on social justice, reflecting a long history of activism in the Black church. This can sometimes lead to a rejection of Christian Nationalism, perceived as a political tool to maintain white supremacy and socio-economic inequalities. Nevertheless, there are also pockets within the Black Christian community that support aspects of Christian Nationalism, particularly around social conservatism.

The Hispanic community, on the other hand, is extremely diverse, with a broad spectrum of views on Christian Nationalism. Some Hispanic Christians, particularly those of a more conservative persuasion, may align with Christian Nationalist ideals, particularly around issues such as pro-life and traditional family values. However, others may reject this ideology, citing concerns around immigration policy and social justice.

Talking About - American Values

Sentiment - American Values

The recent wave of layoffs and bankruptcies in the mainstream media has captured the attention of many online discussions. It's not only the media industry that has been affected, but also the political landscape and the perception of journalism among the public.

Democrats

Democrat voters tend to frame these layoffs as a result of corporate greed, arguing that large media conglomerates are prioritizing profits over quality journalism. They often point to the decline of local journalism as a significant loss for communities, arguing that these outlets play a vital role in keeping local governments accountable. They also emphasize the importance of journalism for a functioning democracy and often point to corporate greed, the rise of big tech, and the decline of traditional advertising revenues as key factors behind the layoffs.

Republicans

Republicans, in contrast, often refer to these layoffs as a consequence for what they perceive as liberal bias in the media. They argue that journalism has lost its way, with some citing the rise of “activist journalism” as a contributing factor undermining public trust. There is also a narrative among Republicans that media companies have failed to adapt to the digital age.

Independents

Independents tend to fall somewhere in between, with some echoing the Democrats' concerns about corporate greed and others agreeing with Republicans that perceived bias is driving consumers away. Many independents also express concern about the rise of "clickbait" journalism and the impact this is having on the quality of news coverage. Independents express a range of views, often reflecting concerns about both the loss of local news coverage and perceived media bias. They tend to focus on the need for media companies to adapt to the changing media landscape and explore new business models.

By The Numbers

Local Journalism vs Establishment Protector

The comparison between activist journalism and local journalism is also a topic of discussion. Some people commend activist journalism for its role in highlighting societal issues and advocating for change. However, others believe it compromises journalistic objectivity and blurs the line between reporting and advocacy. Local journalism, on the other hand, is widely appreciated for its role in community-building and its focus on local issues, but its decline due to financial struggles is a source of concern.

The perception of journalists as maintaining the status quo or the protecting establishment media varies among voters. Some believe that mainstream media perpetuates existing power structures by gatekeeping platforms for established voices, while others see journalists as watchdogs who hold the powerful accountable.

The Future and AI

Recent events throughout the industry have led to emerging conversations about technology and further potential biases.

A controversy surrounding Google's Gemini AI has elicited a variety of opinions. Some view it as a reflection of Silicon Valley's "woke” culture and an attempt to rewrite history, while others see it as a symptom of broader issues in AI development, like bias in training data.

The rumored release of Elon Musk's “Unwoke” search engine has been met with mixed reactions. Some see it as a potential alternative to platforms they perceive as suppressing free speech. Others raise concerns about the potential for further polarization and misinformation.

The idea of subsidies for journalism to save the industry has support and opposition. Some argue that government funding is necessary to preserve a vital industry in the face of economic challenges. Others worry about potential conflicts of interest and the threat to journalistic independence if the industry becomes reliant on government funding.

Recent online discussions reflect a general dissatisfaction and frustration with the current economic situation, particularly around rising prices. There is a clear demand for more effective communication from the government and corporations about measures to manage inflation and stabilize prices. The online discussions provide a rich insight into the public sentiment and concerns regarding the current economic situation, particularly focusing on inflation and price changes. A few key themes emerge from these discussions:

Frustration over Rising Prices

Many online users express dissatisfaction with the continued increase in the prices of goods and services, with specific mention of gas prices and the subsequent impact on other sectors such as fast food and retail.

Lack of Trust in Corporations

There is significant sentiment expressing distrust towards corporations like Walmart and McDonald's, with users questioning why prices have not dropped now that gas prices have been lower for over a year.

Concern Over Real Estate Market

Concerns over the stability of the real estate market, particularly in high-value areas, are evident. Users are worried about the potential impact of environmental factors (like climate change) on property values and safety.

Uncertainty and Anxiety

There is a general sense of uncertainty and anxiety about the future, particularly concerning economic stability and the potential for increased inflation.

Skepticism Towards Biden and Media

There is skepticism towards the claims made by Biden and the media regarding the state of inflation. Users are eager for tangible evidence of improvement.

Messaging

Increasing Sentiment on Inflation Getting Better:

1. Tangible evidence of price decreases, especially in essential goods and services.
2. Positive news about economic recovery and job growth.
3. Clear communication from the government about measures taken to control inflation.

Decreasing Sentiment on Inflation Getting Better:

1. Continued increase in prices of goods and services.
2. Negative news about the economy or job market.
3. Lack of clear communication or perceived inaction from the government on inflation.

Talking About - Economic Issues & Inflation

Sentiment - Economic Issues & Inflation

American voters have an unhappy view about the job market and general state of the economy. Conversations online boil down to two indicators:

1. Distrust in the economic reporting
2. How the government spends money

Americans remain skeptical about the job reports, with claims that half of the jobs are "fake" and the other half being government jobs. They also express concern about the lack of new jobs for native-born Americans since 2018. This sentiment could be indicative of wider concerns about unemployment, underemployment, and the overall health of the job market.

Online conversations support this a pattern of the top discussions:

1. Concerns about job security and employment prospects, especially for native-born Americans
2. Doubts about the accuracy and reliability of government-provided statistics
3. Belief in the recovery and stabilization of the labor market
4. General interest in economic matters, with specific focus on employment rates and the health of the job market
5. The broader context of political discourse, with jobs and the economy being key issues in political campaigns and policy-making

Bipartisan Disapproval

Democrats' comments seem to focus more on dissatisfaction with the current tax system, advocating for reform and suggesting that wealthy individuals and large corporations are not paying their fair share. They also express concerns about how tax money is being spent, particularly with regard to funding wars.

Republicans' comments reveal a similar dissatisfaction with the tax system, but from a different angle. They mention the burden of taxes on the middle class and business owners, and they express frustration with how tax money is spent. They also seem to be against high taxes and are more likely to suggest tax cuts or reforms that reduce taxes.

Independents' comments are a mix of the above. They express frustration with the complexity of the tax system, the perceived unfairness of the distribution of tax burdens, and the misuse of tax money. They also discuss the impact of taxes on various groups, including the homeless and the self-employed. Some Independents seem open to both tax hikes for the wealthy and tax cuts for middle-income earners and businesses.

Media Narrative Support

Online conversations appear to be sustained by assistance from traditional approaches; online discussions peaked on Jan 10, Jan 18, Jan 25, Feb.

• Jan 10: several articles about Biden adding 14 million jobs
• Jan 18: Biden tweets about adding 14 million jobs
• Jan 25: several articles and Nancy Pelosi tweet about adding 14 million jobs
• Feb 1: jobs report bolstered by traditional media

Talking About - Jobs, Economic Issues (Joe Biden)

Approval - Jobs, Economic Issues (Joe Biden)