Campaign promises are a central element of political discourse, shaping voter perceptions and influencing electoral outcomes. However, the effectiveness and authenticity of these promises often come under scrutiny. MIG Reports analysis explores how voters perceive and react to campaign promises, particularly in the context of housing, economic issues, and ideological alignment.

Voter discussions show a consistent theme of skepticism towards political promises, highlighting how impact on voter behavior is often temporary and contingent on immediate concerns.

The analysis suggests that much of the motivation to vote stems from a combination of:

• Supporting candidates who align with voter group identity
• Opposing candidates or policies voters perceive as harmful

2024 Presidential Election Discussions

Housing

Kamala Harris’s housing policy proposals are gaining significant skepticism from Americans. Voters debate whether financial assistance programs, such as the $25,000 down-payment aid for first-time homebuyers, will genuinely help or inadvertently worsen the housing market.

The recurring use of phrases like "empty promises" and "virtue signaling" underscores a broader disillusionment with political rhetoric. Voters seem to believe these promises are not only ineffective but would exacerbate the very problems they aim to solve.

Sentiment aligns with the notion that, while Harris's promises might temporarily attract support, they do not lead to long-term loyalty or trust.

Economic Issues

Discussion of economic issues further amplifies skepticism toward Harris. Voters critically examine her promised tax policies, expressing a profound sense of betrayal as she is the current VP. Voters often equate her promises with economic instability, particularly highlighting concerns about rising inflation and increased tax burdens on the middle class.

The language used in these discussions reflects a personal stake in the economic debate, with voters frequently sharing their struggles and fears. This personal connection to the issue reinforces the idea that campaign promises, though initially persuasive, fail to sustain voter alignment.

Ideologies

Proposed ideological alignment by candidates is often temporary, with voters remaining vigilant against perceived deviations from their values. The analysis shows that campaign promises, while initially persuasive, fail to create long-lasting loyalty. This is especially true when voters perceive a disconnect between the promises and the candidates’ actions.

Swing States Discussions

Housing

Discussions in swing states reveal widespread distrust in housing-related campaign promises. Voters are particularly concerned that initiatives like Harris’s down-payment assistance will drive up housing prices rather than make homeownership more accessible.

Skepticism is not just about the specific policy but also reflects a broader distrust in governmental intervention. Voters express anxiety about economic stability, fearing promises might do more harm than good. Sentiment shows a belief that promises are unlikely to deliver the intended results.

Economic Issues

Economic discussions in swing states show a deep engagement with the promises made by political candidates, especially concerning inflation and taxation. Voters express strong opinions about the current economic climate, often attributing rising costs and financial instability to the Biden-Harris administration.

The language in these discussions indicates a significant level of skepticism towards the promises of economic relief. Voters frequently question the sincerity and feasibility of campaign promises, particularly those involving tax increases.

What Does It All Mean?

As trust erodes due to unfulfilled promises, voters show growing disillusionment, particularly regarding housing and economic issues. This frustration leads many to view campaign rhetoric as more performative than genuine. While much of the discussion focuses on Kamala Harris, this concept seems to apply across politicians and political parties.

Despite this, voters seem acutely aware of their role in the political "game," understanding their vote is less about trusting promises and more about strategic decision-making. They approach elections pragmatically, recognizing the limitations of campaign rhetoric but still seeing participation as crucial for influencing outcomes. Many express their intention of voting to prevent what they perceive as worse alternatives.

One of Donald Trump’s significant electoral challenges is attracting moderate voters and women, particularly those who support the Democratic pro-choice platform, despite Trump’s neutral stance on abortion at the federal level. These voter groups, which traditionally lean Democratic, have proven elusive for Trump’s campaign.

However, recent shifts in voter priorities and emerging alliances could alter the political landscape. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s (RFK) recent Trump endorsement has shifted focus for many moderates and women who prioritize health freedom and child welfare. This alliance may offer a new avenue for Republicans to appeal to these voters.

According to MIG Reports analysis of real-time voter sentiment:

• 42.37% of Independents approve of RFK Jr.'s policies, particularly related to health.
• 41.89% of women support his health freedom and holistic approaches.
• 27.03% of moderate women prioritize health freedom and child health over abortion rights.
• 23.12% of moderate female voters might vote for a Trump-RFK Jr. coalition over Kamala Harris’s Democratic platform.

Since RFK Jr.’s Trump endorsement on Aug. 23, Democratic support dropped from 49% to 45% and Republican support rose from 51% to 54%.

RFK Jr.’s Trump Endorsement

In his speech endorsing Donald Trump, RFK Jr. championed a health platform centered on individual health freedoms. He emphasized the right to make personal health decisions and choose whether to receive vaccines. He also advocated for increased transparency from pharmaceutical companies and the government, supporting holistic and preventative health approaches.

He criticized the mainstream political and medical establishments, particularly calling out Democrats for systematically preventing voters from supporting their preferred candidates. Overall, RFK Jr. framed his platform as a challenge to current health policies and practices, aligning strongly with Trump's anti-establishment stance.

MIG Reports Analysis

Recent data from MIG Reports provides insight into how Trump and RFK Jr.'s platform might impact Independents and women.

The aggregate sentiment toward RFK Jr.'s health policies across data samples shows 42% of Independents approve. This suggests a significant base of support that could be leveraged toward Trump.

Women support RFK Jr.’s proposed health freedom and holistic approaches at around 42% within the sample. This also suggests RFK Jr.’s alignment with Trump could significantly soften women toward the Republican ticket.

To support this assertion, MIG Reports data shows approximately 27% of moderate female voters prioritize health freedom and child health over the traditional Democratic pro-abortion platform. This shift is also confirmed by sentiments indicating a new Trump-RFK Jr. coalition may attract around 23% of moderate female voters who might otherwise be hesitant.

Independents Moving to Trump

Independents say they’re drawn to Trump's camp largely due to their alignment with RFK Jr.'s health policies. This group values autonomy in health decisions and has shown significant support for vaccine choice and holistic health practices.

The shared anti-establishment sentiment between RFK Jr. and Trump also resonates with Independents who feel disillusioned with the establishment political figures. This group uses words like "vaccines," "freedom," "natural remedies," and "rights." They compare Kennedy's views with Trump’s, emphasizing overlapping rhetoric that appeals to anti-establishment sentiments.

Themes such as "government control" and "personal autonomy" dominate, revealing a desire for a shift towards more individual-driven health policies. Sentiment analysis indicates a desire for change, with discussions about wellness and the integrity of health system. There is a mix of hope and skepticism, revealing a complex interplay of cultural, emotional, and ideological factors.

Women and Abortion

For female voters, the appeal of a Trump-RFK Jr. alliance lies in their emphasis on health freedom and family welfare. Many women, particularly moderates, are increasingly prioritizing these issues over traditional Democratic stances on reproductive rights.

I’ve been saying for over a year and a half that health and wellness issues are a TOP interest of conservative female voters. Many ignored me, didn’t take it seriously or thought I simply had no idea what I was talking about because my following is niche and not the largest…

— Alex Clark (@yoalexrapz) August 27, 2024

Data suggests more than a quarter of moderate female voters are more concerned with health autonomy and child health. This cuts into the strong historical Democratic hold on pro-choice voters. The shift is driven by a desire for greater control over personal health decisions and skepticism towards current health systems and incentives.

Comments frequently cite the importance of protecting children from health risks associated with medical interventions. Many express willingness to embrace both Trump and Kennedy to prevent what they perceive as detrimental policies from the Democrats. This holds true for this bloc, even if it means sacrificing some aspects of on-demand abortion access or even full-term abortion.

• In the last week, sentiment toward abortion dropped from 45% prior to Kennedy’s alignment with Trump, to 43% today.
• Sentiment around individual freedoms fluctuated but increased from 44% prior to Kennedy’s alignment with Trump to 47% today.

A Key Demographic for Trump

Gaining support from moderates and women could significantly impact Trump’s chances in the 2024 election. By aligning with RFK Jr. and focusing on health freedom and reform, Trump could potentially tap into a critical voter base that is increasingly dissatisfied with traditional party platforms.

If Trump can effectively address the concerns of Independents and moderate women without continuing to alienate them, he may strengthen his electoral position. This will be especially true if more voters continue to grow skeptical of Kamala Harris’s authenticity and dwindling trust in the media. Discussions of a Trump-Kennedy alliance often mention bipartisan unity, hinting that conventional expectations in the upcoming election potentially tilt to Trump.

American discussions Democratic VP candidate Tim Walz and Montana Senate candidate Tim Sheehy offer a window into public views of military service among political figures.

While Americans generally express respect for military service, the particulars of a political candidate’s history inform the conversation. In the case of Walz, his military record raises questions about honesty and integrity. For Sheehy, military service implies patriotism and courage.

Discussions about each man reflect the complexities of how military service is valued and scrutinized in the political arena, particularly in the context of their respective campaigns. MIG Reports analysis shows a nuanced understanding among voters, highlighting key trends, sentiment analysis, and the resulting perceptions of Walz and Sheehy.

Military Service Implies Values

Analysis of voter discussions surrounding Tim Walz and Tim Sheehy reveals how their military backgrounds are perceived. The discussions present various sentiment trends, linguistic patterns, and recurring themes, depicting overall public opinion.

Discussions of military service focus on themes such as valor, leadership, and the implications of military experience on political aspirations. Americans regularly express positive sentiments toward military service, including for political figures. However, skepticism also plays a substantial role, particularly regarding Walz.

• 60% of voter discussions about Walz express negative sentiments.
• Negativity is driven by accusations of "stolen valor" and criticisms of his leadership during crises in Minnesota.

The analysis of linguistic patterns highlights the use of both first-person and third-person references, with a noticeable preference for third-person language in critical comments. This trend suggests a broader societal perspective where Americans critically evaluate the military service of political figures. First-person language, however, often appears in positive comments, emphasizing personal connections to military service or expressing personal stories and individual pride in service.

Voters Grapple with Walz’s Military Record

The discussions about Tim Walz's military service are notably polarized. More than half of discussions criticize Walz for perceived inconsistencies in his military narrative, with "stolen valor" as a recurrent theme. While critics don’t typically attack Walz for his long career in the military, they express deep dissatisfaction with the image and presentation of his accomplishments.

Criticism is often framed within broader political narratives, where Walz's military service is intertwined with his actions as governor. Supporters, around 30% of commenters, emphasize his lengthy service in the National Guard. They defend his record and leadership as being rooted in genuine commitment and experience.

• Prior to Walz’s selection as Democratic VP nominee, discussion volume mentioning his name was low and sentiment fluctuated.
• After his nomination, national discussion significantly increased, and sentiment evened out with a baseline in the low 40% range.

Tim Sheehy Gains Praise

In contrast, Tim Sheehy's military service is generally viewed positively. More than half of discussions about Sheehy express admiration for his dedication and courage. The narrative around Sheehy centers on his military background as a strong foundation for his political aspirations, with many commenters viewing his service as a testament to his character.

There is a lesser tenor of skepticism, particularly concerning his positions on public lands and transparency. Only 10-15% of discussions express direct criticism of Sheehy's military service. Negativity often centers on questions about his political integrity and concerns about his alignment with Republican values and transparency.

• Like Walz prior to his national spotlight, discussion of Sheehy is largely limited to state voters, though sentiment is relatively steady in the mid to high 40% range.

MIG Reports analysis of voter opinions on the economy and who they trust more shows significant trust in Donald Trump compared to Kamala Harris. Despite positive media coverage and selective polling showing a Harris surge, MIG Reports data reveals a consistent skepticism toward Harris's economic policies. These sentiments are largely shaped by perceptions of inflation, government spending, and unhappiness with her economic management.

Vice President Kamala Harris is catching up to former President Donald Trump on the number of voters who trust her handling of the economy, according to a new Financial Times/Michigan Ross poll. https://t.co/v4P9A0zZWO

— NBC4 Washington (@nbcwashington) August 12, 2024

Axios reported on recent polling showing Harris leads Trump by 1% in voter trust on the economy. However, the limited poll of 1,000 voters over a selected period also has a margin of error greater than Harris’s supposed lead—± 3.1 percentage points. This not only brings the poll’s results into question but emphasizes the stark contrast of MIG Reports data and analysis.

• MIG Reports analysis shows Harris with mostly very negative sentiment regarding voter trust. Donald Trump shows mostly very positive and positive sentiment regarding voter trust.
• About 70% expresses negative sentiment towards Harris. Voters focus on inflation and government intervention.
• Approximately 60% of discussions favor Trump’s economic policies, viewing them as more effective in managing inflation and stimulating growth.

All Discussions similarly reflect widespread distrust in Harris's economic strategies. Around 70% voice concerns about her strategies for handling inflation. Many attribute rising inflation to government overspending and policy failures like the Inflation Reduction Act.

About 30% express support for her efforts, particularly in reducing prescription drug prices. However, overall sentiment remains heavily negative. Approximately 60% of discussions suggest a preference for Trump’s economic leadership, citing lower inflation rates and more favorable economic conditions.

In swing states, sentiment again prefers Trump. Around 72% of voters express skepticism about Harris’s ability to address inflation effectively, criticizing her economic policies as misguided or overly reliant on government intervention. About 55% suggest trust in Trump’s economic management, particularly his tax cuts and deregulation efforts. Swing state voters view them as stimulating growth and keeping inflation low.

In national discussions, approximately 68% are critical of Harris, with many linking her policies directly to rising inflation and economic instability. Only 12% of the comments express support for her economic strategies, substantiating the theme of failure to gain public trust. About 70% of national conversations express a belief that Trump’s economic policies were more favorable.

The aggregated analysis from these sources highlights a strong public preference for Trump’s economic policies over Harris's. Overall, 60-70% of discussions favor Trump's approach to economic management over Harris’s. This preference is driven by widespread distrust in Harris’s ability to manage inflation and economic stability. Voters view her policies as exacerbating economic challenges rather than alleviating them.

Why are Voters Skeptical?

Inflation and Price Controls

One of the most recurrent themes in voter discussions is inflation. Harris’s role in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is a major point of criticism. Americans place "inflation" in quotes to emphasize the perceived failure of the IRA to achieve its intended effects.

Harris's policies are also compared to communism, specifically referencing price controls, which people fear to lead to shortages, market chaos, or inflationary pressures. Many predict similar results to those in countries like Venezuela and Cuba. These terms are often used in a derogatory context to undermine Harris's credibility. People suggest her policies are out of touch with economic realities and historical lessons.

Corporate Greed and Government Control

Voters also discuss corporate greed and government control in discussions criticizing Harris's economic policy. Many decry Harris’s claim that rising prices are due to corporate greed and “price gouging.” They cite slim margins for large food retailers like Walmart—and many criticize Harris surrogates like Senator Elizabeth Warren who defend the “corporate greed” narrative.

Holy crap!

NBC had enough of Elizabeth Warren 🤣 pic.twitter.com/kDPEjyQD9H

— Brandon Tatum (@TheOfficerTatum) August 23, 2024

There is a strong belief that Harris’s policies, such as price controls and housing subsidies, could lead to more significant issues like market distortions, crashes, and black markets. These fears are bolstered by comparisons to failures in other nations which implemented similar strategies.

Tax Cuts and Job Creation

Discussions about Trump’s economic policies often invoke terms like "tax cuts" and "job creation." These terms highlight voter confidence in the successes of his administration in fostering economic growth. The comparison between Harris and Trump is stark, with many comments suggesting Trump's policies were more beneficial for the middle class.

Americans believe Trump’s policies kept inflation low and the job market strong. This comparison is often framed in a way that paints Trump’s economic record as more favorable. Many people underscore his achievements to contrast Harris’s perceived failures.

Inflation Reduction Act

The IRA is frequently mentioned, often with a tone of skepticism. Voters criticize Harris for her involvement in the Act, with the phrase placed in quotes to question its effectiveness. Critics argue that instead of reducing inflation, the Act has contributed to its rise, thereby undermining the very purpose of the legislation. This term is often juxtaposed with discussions of other economic issues, such as prescription drug prices and environmental initiatives, further highlighting the divide between the policy’s intentions and its perceived outcomes.

Prior to Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropping out and endorsing Donald Trump for president, MIG Reports data showed voter inclination to switch loyalties. Through a weighted analysis of online discussions and sentiment, data suggests up to 50% of potential RFK Jr. voters would crossover to vote for Trump and another 30% likely to sit out.

As I predicted yesterday, RFK Junior will drop out of the race on Friday and endorse President Trump in a national address streamed to all major platforms. This is fantastic news for America and the entire world. We can stop World War III together. pic.twitter.com/jRYpid0ofG

— Alex Jones (@RealAlexJones) August 22, 2024

Sentiment and Support Dynamics

Across datasets and prior to RFK Jr.’s Friday announcement, there was significant discussion about the possibility he would suspend his campaign and endorse Trump. Weighing the data, it becomes clear that around 50% of RFK Jr.'s supporters are likely to shift their votes to Trump with an endorsement.

This shift is driven primarily by shared concerns about the current direction of the Democratic Party, particularly under the leadership of Kamala Harris. Supporters express a strong desire for unity against what they perceive as a leftward shift, and they see Trump as a vehicle for achieving this unity.

Despite this strong inclination toward supporting Trump, there is also a notable divide within RFK Jr.'s base. Approximately 30% of his supporters may choose to abstain from voting altogether rather than align with Trump. This group is driven by ideological differences and concerns that an endorsement would betray the more progressive or independent values that RFK Jr. has represented. This internal conflict highlights tension among his supporters, who are torn between pragmatic political alignment and maintaining their core principles.

Key Issues for RFK Jr. Voters

Economy

Economic concerns, particularly inflation and job security, are highly influential for this group. Many of RFK Jr.'s supporters view Trump's economic policies as more favorable compared to Biden-Harris polices. This economic focus drives a significant portion of the sentiment in favor of Trump, as supporters fear the impact of ineffective or damaging Democratic policies.

Vaccines

Vaccine mandates and health-related issues also emerge as critical points of discussion. RFK Jr. has been a vocal critic of vaccine mandates, and this stance resonates strongly with his supporters. The potential for him to influence health policy in a Trump administration, possibly through a cabinet position, is a major factor in the discussions. Supporters who prioritize these issues are more likely to favor a shift to Trump, seeing it as a way to advance their agenda.

Concerns of Authoritarianism

However, identity politics and broader ideological concerns create a counterbalance to RFK Jr. voters shifting support to Trump. Many in Kennedy’s base remain skeptical of aligning with Trump due to concerns about the potential erosion of civil liberties and the integrity of democratic principles. These discussions often involve fears about authoritarianism and a loss of individual freedoms, which are core to the values of many of his supporters.

The Bottom Line

The analysis reveals a complex and divided landscape among RFK Jr.'s supporters. While around 50% are likely to shift their votes to Trump with an RFK Jr. endorsement, about 30% are hesitant to support Trump and may abstain from voting. This divide underscores the challenges RFK Jr. faces in leaving the Democratic party and realigning his political identity. Discussions reflect a broader struggle within his base, where the tension between pragmatism and principle continues to shape their political choices.

This chart demonstrates the frequency with which specific keywords—such as "Endorse Trump," "Cabinet Position," "Unite," "Save America," and "Communism"—are mentioned across three different discussion datasets: All Discussions, National Discussions, and Election Discussions.

• "Endorse Trump" is prominent theme, particularly in the Election Discussions category, indicating strong interest in RFK Jr.'s potential alignment with Trump.
• "Cabinet Position" is also frequently discussed, especially in the All Discussions category, reflecting speculation about RFK Jr.'s possible role in a Trump administration.
• "Unite" and "Save America" highlight broader aspirations for unity and preservation of perceived traditional values, though these are less dominant.
• "Communism" emerges as a concern primarily in National Discussions, signaling fears about perceived leftward shifts in the Democratic Party.

The absence of several prominent Democrats from the Democratic National Convention (DNC) in Chicago is raising questions about the Party's unity. Many attribute absences to political strategy for Democrats in key down-ballot races. However, it also underscores the growing division in a typically unified Party.

A few prominent Democratic Senators are skipping the DNC including:

• Sherrod Brown
• Jon Tester
• Jacky Rosen
• Martin Heinrich
• John Fetterman

Voters are discussing the implications for upcoming elections—particularly in swing states where incumbents face tough re-election battles. Though Fetterman is not up for reelection, many point out his recurring clashes with the left over the border and Israel.

Other Democratic representatives not in attendance include Yadira Caraveo, Val Hoyle, Jared Golden, Mary Sattler Peltola, and Marie Gluesenkamp Perez.

Tough Races in Swing States

Democratic Senators Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Jon Tester of Montana, and Jacky Rosen of Nevada are all engaged in challenging re-election campaigns in states that have trended Republican in recent years. Many assume their decisions to forego the DNC, where Vice President Kamala Harris is being coronated to the nomination, is strategic.

Voters conclude these Democrats in important races hope to distance themselves from the national Party’s increasingly progressive platform. However, most of these candidates have endorsed the Harris-Walz ticket—with the exception of Tester in Montana.

MIG Reports data shows currently:

• Republican Bernie Moreno is leading Sherrod Brown in Ohio 52% to 48%.
• Republican Tim Sheehy is leading John Tester in Montana 52% to 48%.
• Jacky Rosen is leading Republican Sam Brown in Nevada 52% to 48%
• Martin Heinrich is leading Republican Nella Domenici in New Mexico 54% to 46%.

Voters in swing states like Ohio and Nevada likely view their Senators’ absence as an attempt to appeal to a broader electorate. Those wary of Harris’s progressive stances may be won over by the implicit rejection of Senators staying home. However, Democrats also face the difficulty of energizing the progressive base without alienating moderate or conservative voters who could determine the outcome of their races.

For candidates like Sherrod Brown, whose reputation is advocating for working-class issues, voters express disappointment. They say his absence is a missed opportunity to reinforce party solidarity. Similarly, Jon Tester and Jacky Rosen receive scrutiny from Democrats who suggest their participation is crucial in demonstrating alignment with leadership and the Democratic platform. This is a point of emphasis for those concerned about the challenging landscape Democrats face in retaining Senate control in various states.

John Fetterman, though not up for reelection, faces questions about his visibility at national events. Supporters worry his absence at the convention may signal a break with power centers in the Party, jeopardizing his standing among Democrats.

Division and Disarray Among Democrats

This strategic optics game is also indicative of deeper divisions within the party—particularly between traditional Democrats, progressives, and leftists. As more of her economic policies and historical positions surface, voters perceive Harris as deeply sympathetic toward the radical left. This perception is beginning to alienate Independent voters and some Democrats.

Despite leadership attempts to show unity within the Party, voters are keenly aware of growing fractures between far-left progressives and traditional Democrats—particularly when it comes to Israel. Sentiment is growing that the Party's shift towards progressive policies is pushing the country away from core values like meritocracy and free market capitalism. This division will likely have significant implications for Democratic success in critical down-ballot races, and potentially in the presidential race.

Voters are increasingly discussing Harris as supporting open borders and pushing communist economic policies. These two issues are the most important to voters, exacerbating the danger for Democrats in the election.

Voter Sentiment and Potential Backlash

Approximately 65% of discussions around the DNC hint at a potential backlash against the Democratic Party if it continues leftward. This suggests senators in critical races may be justified in attempting to distance themselves from national leadership. Voters, especially in swing states, express doubts about the effectiveness of the DNC and the broader Party strategy.

There is a prevailing sentiment that absence signals a lack of confidence in Harris's leadership. But critics say by not participating in the DNC, candidates may be missing an opportunity to demonstrate unity and solidarity. They say it could potentially weaken their campaigns or the national ticket among those who prioritize party cohesion. Some say it’s especially important when the spotlight is focused on Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.

The Impact of Harris's Leadership

Kamala Harris’s leadership and policy positions, especially on issues like the economy and immigration, are central concerns. Her proposals, which critics label as overly radical, likely will not resonate with moderate voters Senate candidates need to win. This sentiment suggests while some voters support Democratic ideals, they remain wary about the current direction of the Party.

Moderates accuse the DNC and its headliner candidates, particularly Harris, of radicalism and communism. They characterize Harris’s proposals as signs of a sharp leftward shift that aims to diminish traditional Democratic values. This exemplifies the tension, where voters in state races likely wish for a return to more centrist American values.

Symbols and rhetoric also play crucial roles in this discourse. Some X users highlight visuals and language around the DNC to showcase discontent. They emphasize various optics which they say capture a larger anti-Harris sentiment even among some DNC attendees like Chris Cuomo.

Dang… the left lost Cuomo 🤣😂😂

pic.twitter.com/5gRPlhM1NI

— MJTruthUltra (@MJTruthUltra) August 22, 2024

Most embarrassing moments at the DNC so far

These are unbelievable

🧵 A THREAD

12. Guy caught in 4K yelling "NOOOO" to choosing Kamala Harris pic.twitter.com/fEVvCH7kob

— TaraBull (@TaraBull808) August 21, 2024

Discussions also point to Kamala Harris’s nomination as people question its legitimacy due to the absence of primary votes. This narrative surfaces consistently, with voters expressing frustrations about the perceived "coronation" of Harris at the DNC—a decision they believe overrides the democratic process.

MIG Reports analysis shows the political landscape in Nevada emphasizes economic stability, housing affordability, and immigration policies. As the state grapples with rising inflation and the increasing cost of living, residents express dissatisfaction with the Biden-Harris administration. Discussions reveal a strong focus on the impact of government policies on everyday life. Voters seek leadership at the national and state level that can address their concerns and provide tangible solutions to pressing problems.

Border Security

The border is a high priority and highly charged conversation in Nevada. Approximately 70% of the discussion is negative toward the state of illegal immigration under Biden-Harris. The predominant concern is that "open borders" are increasing crime rates, economic strain, and a diversion of resources away from American citizens to support illegal immigrants.

Around 60% of Nevadans in the conversation express frustration with misallocation of taxpayer dollars. They believe tax funds should prioritize veterans and the homeless over illegal immigrants. Additionally, 65% of the conversations explicitly link illegal immigration to rising crime rates, further fueling the demand for stricter border controls.

Political Ideologies

Around 75% of comments show negative sentiment toward Democratic policies, often labeling them as socialist or communist. These discussions emphasize a fear that the Democratic Party has strayed too far from traditional American values. Roughly 65% of the discourse focuses on the idea that supporting Democratic candidates equates to endorsing socialism or communism.

On the other hand, Republican ideals, particularly those associated with Trump, receive a more favorable reception in Nevada. About 60% of the discussion supports Trump, expressing appreciation for his policies and the desire to return to traditional conservative values.

Economy

Housing

Housing is a critical issue in Nevada, with about 55% of the conversations expressing frustration over the lack of affordable housing. Rising costs, stagnant wages, and inflation are frequently mentioned, with 30% of discussions focusing on affordability concerns. Around 25% in Nevada are critical of current government policies, particularly those under Democratic leadership, which are seen as ineffective in addressing the housing crisis.

Economic Issues

The economic discourse in Nevada is dominated by concerns over inflation and government spending. Approximately 75% convey frustration with the Biden administration's economic policies. Nevadans blame Democrats for rising costs and wage stagnation. Inflation is the most frequently mentioned issue, appearing in about 40% of the discussion. Many participants criticize the Inflation Reduction Act, arguing it has worsened, rather than improved inflation.

Fiscal Policy

The sentiment toward fiscal policy is predominantly negative, with 72% expressing dissatisfaction with government spending and its impact on inflation. The perception that Democratic policies, particularly those under the Biden-Harris administration, have led to economic hardship is a recurring theme. Many participants advocate for a shift in leadership, with 10% of the comments emphasizing a desire to return to Trump-era policies that are perceived to have been more economically beneficial.

Inflation

Inflation is a major concern for Nevada voters, with 60% of the discussions linking rising prices directly to the policies of the Biden administration. There is a strong sense of discontent, with 45% of the conversations focusing specifically on food inflation, associating it with broader economic mismanagement. Proposed solutions, such as price controls suggested by Harris, receive substantial criticism, with 40% of the discourse arguing these measures would exacerbate the problem rather than solve it.

Nomination

Kamala Harris’s nomination also generates controversy in Nevada, with criticism of the Democratic Party's handling of primaries. About 62% of the comments express displeasure with how Kamala Harris secured the nomination. Voters say the lack of a primary undermines democratic principles.

Negative sentiment is also present regarding the Democratic National Convention, where 55% of the comments criticize the process as undemocratic and disconnected from voter interests. In contrast, around 40% of the commentary in Nevada expresses positive sentiment toward Republican candidates, framing them as more aligned with voter engagement and traditional political values.

All Entities

Across the board, discussions involving key political figures like Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are highly polarized. Housing and economic challenges are the most frequently mentioned issues, with approximately 30% of the conversations focusing on inflation and the cost of living. Election integrity is also a significant concern, with 20% of the discourse centered on skepticism about the legitimacy of past and future elections. The overall sentiment towards Democratic figures, particularly Harris, is predominantly negative, with 15% of the discussions highlighting perceived failures in leadership.

The discussion around border security and immigration remains deeply polarized among American voters. Conversations about the border, particularly focusing on presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, dominate overall public discourse, indicating it’s a top concern. MIG Reports analysis highlights significant differences in public perception and sentiment towards the Republican and Democratic nominees.

An analysis of public sentiment reveals stark differences in support for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump on border security:

• Voter sentiment against open borders is strong, averaging 66%.
• Harris's support averages around 34%, with only 20% support in broader discussions and up to 67% among Democrats.
• Trump enjoys consistent support, averaging 69% across various groups.
• He has particularly strong backing from his base—85% support him on border security.
  

Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris faces a complex and often critical landscape as voters react to her stance on border security. MIG Reports analysis indicates that across national conversations, a large portion of Americans criticize Harris's approach to immigration. Only a minority of supports express agreement or positivity.

Voter sentiment is consistent across broader analyses from Democrat-leaning conversations. This group prioritizes compassion and humane treatment for immigrants, leading to approval for her open border policies.

However, many conversations among Democrats suggest dissatisfaction with the outcomes of her policies, particularly in managing border programs effectively. There is a divide within the Democratic base, where support for Harris’s lenient approach to immigration is mixed. Many feel her policies do not adequately address the complexities of border security.

Most Americans want effective immigration management with accountability and tangible results. Harris's role as a leader and as "border czar" positions her as a figure of both hope and frustration within her party. Responding to criticisms of her administration on border security will likely pose a hurdle for her campaign.

Many Republicans criticize Harris and Democrats’ hypocrisy, pointing out the DNC has strong security and even physical walls. They say Democrats want anyone to enter the country without limitation but protect themselves behind walls and fences.

Watch as Steve tries to help illegal migrant enter the DNC convention, you can image how it went. pic.twitter.com/RdrI0jIZvW

— @amuse (@amuse) August 21, 2024

Donald Trump

Donald Trump remains a dominant figure in border security conversations, particularly among Republicans. MIG Reports analysis shows overwhelming support for Trump’s hardline stance against open borders and his advocacy for stringent immigration controls.

Trump’s policies, such as the "Remain in Mexico" program, receive strong approval from his base. They view strong measures as essential to protecting national security and upholding the integrity of the immigration system.

Republican voters are strongly aligned with Trump's approach of prioritizing enforcement and deterrence. Theu believe strong border security is synonymous with protecting American jobs and maintaining public safety.

Within party, Trump has overwhelming support. This contrasts with waning support among Democrats for their own leadership. Analysis suggests some Independents and disaffected Democrats are bolstering Trump’s broader support. His consistent message of strict border control and opposition to open borders resonates deeply with Americans who want safety and sovereignty.

This support is not only a reflection of Trump’s influence but an indication of voter priorities as border security remains a top concern. These discussions illustrate the extent to which Trump’s stance on immigration continues to shape and mobilize his base, making him a central figure in the ongoing national debate on border security.

The Michigan Senate race between Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Elissa Slotkin prioritizes important national issues. Important down-ballot races, especially in swing states, are increasingly important as November approaches. These areas can paint an informative picture about how voters are feeling and where important votes may fall—both at the state level and nationally.

MIG Reports analysis of online discussion in swing states and among Michigan voters reveals critical topics include political ideologies, the economy, candidate nomination, and national security issues. These topics capture the predominant concerns and sentiments of the electorate as they engage with the ongoing political developments.

Political Ideologies

Conversations emphasize the ideological divide between the conservative and liberal political perspectives. These discussions in Michigan specifically refer to Rogers and Slotkin and their respective viewpoints.

MIG Reports analysis shows around 40% of the ideological discussion centers on the GOP’s perceived shift toward a more populist, Trump-aligned platform. Voters describe this as MAGA ideology and some voice concerns about the GOP moving away from traditional values and bipartisanship.

About 25-30% of the conversations discuss Slotkin and the Democratic Party being aligned with socialism or communism. There are significant fears that their policies could lead to financial burdens, shortages, and worsening economic decline. Voters say this would be the result of government control over sectors like healthcare and social security.

Ideological polarization shows strong negative sentiments, with around 55% of discussions involving criticism and fear linked to the Democratic Party's direction for the state and the country.

The Economy

Economic concerns are also prevalent in Michigan political discourse, with discussions on various subtopics.

Housing

Housing affordability gets attention, comprising 20-25% of the overall economic discussion. Voters express deep concerns over housing affordability, with fears that government interventions. They mention Harris's proposed $25,000 grant for first-time homebuyers, saying it could inflate housing prices further and exacerbate the crisis rather than alleviate it. This sentiment is particularly strong in Michigan, where many view these policies as ineffective or even counterproductive.

Economic Issues

Broader economic issues like inflation, taxes, and government spending comprise 30-35% of the conversation. Inflation is routinely a concern, with voters attributing rising costs of living directly to current government policies. There is widespread dissatisfaction with how inflation is managed as many blame the Biden administration.

Voters are imminently concerned about the impact of inflation on their daily lives. They mention rising prices for groceries, energy, and housing. The sentiment towards inflation is overwhelmingly negative, with around 60% of comments reflecting frustration and skepticism towards the government's ability to control inflation.

Fiscal Policy

Discussions about government spending comprise around 30% of discussions. Negativity is pervasive as voters criticize “reckless financial management” by government officials. Michiganders voice concerns about long-term debt and the sustainability of fiscal strategies, questioning the efficacy of current government initiatives.

National Security Issues

National and international security concerns focus on U.S. support for Ukraine and Israel. Voters are deeply divided on these issues, largely along partisan lines. About 20% of the conversation focuses on the perceived alignment of Democratic politicians with pro-Hamas progressives. Sentiment towards Democratic candidates on security issues is predominantly negative. Voters are frustrated and fear the implications of these security concerns on national and personal safety if leadership caves to far-leftists who side with terrorists.

Candidate Nominations

Voters have significant concerns about the legitimacy and fairness of the nomination process. About 35% of conversations highlight issues related to party loyalty, candidate viability, and the accessibility of primaries.

There is anxiety about the effectiveness of the candidates' electoral strategies, particularly regarding Slotkin's financial advantages and her ability to appeal to centrist voters. This topic also reflects broader discontent with the candidate offerings, with around 60% of the conversation maintaining a critical tone towards the candidates.

Other Discussions

• About 25% of conversations focus on the credibility of the candidates, particularly Slotkin. There is skepticism about her ties to the agricultural community and concerns about her background and connections to wealth.
• Abortion conversations also feature prominently, comprising about 20% of the dialogue. Sentiment is largely supportive toward Democratic and pro-choice policies.
• Comparison of the two political parties comprises roughly 20% of the conversation. There is frustration with the perceived extremism in both the Republican and Democratic parties.