Reactions to President Biden's calls for unity following the attempt on Donald Trump’s life is serving to create more division. Aggressive political rhetoric on both sides exacerbates the contentious political landscape. Many are expressing a sense of hypocrisy as Biden’s own words one day prior to calling for unity call Trump a “danger to the country” and democracy.

Biden — days after an assassination attempt on President Trump — calls him "a real danger to the country" pic.twitter.com/PCnJrZempZ

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) July 15, 2024

Conservative Takes

Biden's call for unity is met with skepticism or outright disbelief from both ends of the political spectrum. On one side, many conservatives and right-leaning individuals express hostility and doubt regarding Biden's intentions, interpreting his rhetoric as insincere or politically motivated.

They frequently cite examples of Biden’s own incendiary comments, along with other Democrats. They accuse Democrats and the media of fanning divisive flames against Trump and his supporters.

Many bring up a specific instance of Joe Biden saying it’s time to put Trump “in the bullseye,” which he later dismissed when questioned about it.

NBC: You called President Trump "an existential threat" and said it's time to put him "in the bullseye."

BIDEN: "I didn't say 'crosshairs.'" pic.twitter.com/RKeKVxULJ9

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) July 15, 2024

Sentiment among conservatives is largely negative, with repeated calls for accountability among Democrats and leftist groups. They express frustration and anger, claiming Biden and liberals are the ones provoking violence with incendiary rhetoric that goes unchecked. This group tends to feel their perspectives and concerns are regularly undermined and demonized by mainstream media and political elites.

Many on the right also point to the fact that Morning Joe was pulled from MSNBC on the Monday following Trump’s shooting. The network allegedly sidelined the show to avoid inappropriate comments on live television that could be used against MSNBC. Conservatives took this as an admission that MSNBC and, specifically Morning Joe, are part of the problem when it comes to divisive rhetoric.

Pulling Morning Joe off the air is an admission.

— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) July 15, 2024

Liberal Takes

On the other hand, discussions among liberals exhibit polarized emotions but focus primarily on the narrative of right-wing extremism and Trump's rhetoric. Here, sentiments veer towards portraying Trump and his supporters as the primary sources of division and violence. They accuse conservatives of inciting insurrection and civil unrest. Many also point out Trump’s shooter was registered as a Republican, placing the blame for political violence at the feet of Trump’s own side.

Liberals defend Biden's calls for unity as necessary and justifiable attempts to restore order and civility in American politics. They frequently highlight cases of violence attributed to right-wing extremists and decry the perceived hypocrisy of conservatives who fail to acknowledge their own side's contribution to the nation's divisive climate.

Demographic Patterns

Younger and left leaning voters often use social media to express their distrust and condemnation of Trump and his followers. They portray MAGA voters and Trump’s administration as threats to democracy. These sentiments are further amplified by older, staunch Democrats who recall past grievances and historical wrongs as justification for their current political stance.

Independent and undecided voters seem fractured in their reactions. Some feel alienated by the extreme partisanship and are disillusioned with both major parties. This group shows a mix of frustration and apathy, often expressing that the divisive rhetoric from both sides makes it hard to trust either.

However, violent incidents, such as the attempted assassination of Trump, have the potential to push independents to more firmly support one side over the other, depending largely on how the events and subsequent discussions are framed by the media they consume.

MIG Reports data shows online reactions to mainstream media coverage of the assassination attempt against former president Donald Trump are intense and polarized. There is significant variance in how different news outlets and social media platforms reported and reacted to the event.

The narrative and sentiment analysis across various media outlets and social media platforms reveal a complex landscape of reactions influenced by political allegiances, underlying distrust of law enforcement agencies, and concerns about political violence.

Discussion Trends

The assassination attempt is fueling discussions about the perceived weaponization of the DOJ and FBI against Trump and conservatives. Many pro-Trump voters express skepticism over the integrity of these agencies, often casting the FBI as complicit in broader conspiracies against Trump.

These narratives also suggest a belief that the attempt on Trump's life may have been orchestrated or at least enabled by anti-Trump forces within the government. This includes suggestions the suspect was linked to groups like Antifa. This sentiment underscores a deep-seated view of institutional betrayal among Trump supporters.

Sentiment Trends

In conservative circles, the attempted assassination is being met with anger and a call for accountability from opponents, including the media, Democrats, and various government agencies. Language depicting the DOJ and FBI as corrupt and untrustworthy is pervasive.

Sentiment often includes anger, distrust, and a call to action, with strong support for Trump’s resilience and leadership. There's a sentiment of martyrdom projected onto Trump, framing his survival as another instance of his invincibility against orchestrated attacks, thereby rallying his base even further.

In contrast, anti-Trump reactions are fewer and appear to be more subdued, but still critical. These voices often refocus on Trump's previous alleged transgressions, including accusations of incitement on January 6 and illegal handling of classified documents. Sentiment here ranges from skepticism to outright hostility, with some dismissing the incident’s severity or attributing nefarious motives to the Trump camp itself.

Sentiment patterns from these discussions indicate strong demographic divides. Trump’s base, typically older, rural, and less trusting of mainstream institutions, responds with heightened defensiveness and a propensity to view the incident through the lens of allegations or conspiracy theories. Alternatively, younger, urban, and college-educated groups, generally more critical of Trump, emphasize the legal and ethical ramifications of Trump’s past behavior over the assassination attempt's immediate implications.

Demographic Patterns

Younger Americans, particularly those under 30, are more likely to approach the event with irony or disbelief. They frequently invoke internet memes and nuanced discussion of events, suspicions, and theories related to the assassination attempt.

Older demographics, particularly those over 50, express more traditional outrage and call for immediate justice and systemic changes. The generational divide in sentiment illustrates an underlying disparity in media consumption and reaction to political violence.

Impact Analysis

The impact on Independent and undecided voters could be significant. The event might galvanize Trump supporters while sowing further distrust among centrists. It could push Independents who were wary of Trump’s previous actions further away. They may view the event as symptomatic of a broader culture of violence and extremism associated with his rhetoric.

This event may alternatively draw some in the middle to Trump if they become dissatisfied with how Democrats and the media handle the situation. Some may also feel inspired by the leadership and patriotism displayed by Trump and his base.

On July 13 in Butler, PA, former president Donald Trump held a campaign rally, during which, he was shot in the ear and took cover as follow-on shots continued between a would-be assassin and Secret Service counter-sniper agents.

President Trump was immediately removed from the scene, holding up a fist and chanting “fight” and “USA.” Americans and the world immediately took to social media to pour out reactions and feelings. MIG Reports analysis of these initial conversations reveals a complex and possibly disturbing trend:

• Deep political divisions and escalating tensions within American society.
• A mix of outrage, conspiracy theories, and heightened rhetoric from both supporters and detractors of Trump.

Trump  Supporters

Among Trump supporters, the sentiment is predominantly one of anger and determination. There is a strong sense of martyrdom surrounding Trump, with many asserting the assassination attempt is a direct result of the liberal media's rhetoric about the end of democracy and the Democratic establishment's aggressive stance against him.

This group tends to emphasize themes of divine protection and resilience, often invoking religious overtones and patriotic fervor. They argue the attack has only solidified their support for Trump and has awoken a "sleeping giant" of political activism within the conservative base.

Many conservatives and Trump supporters suggest a coordinated effort by the left, possibly involving figures within the Biden administration or intelligence agencies, to silence Trump. There is also increasing speculation of incompetence or even malice coming from within the Secret Service and DHS. Many point to recent inflammatory comments from prominent Democrats as evidence of incitement.

Anti-Trump Skeptics

Those opposed to Trump express skepticism about the motivations behind the attack and its implications. Some dismiss the seriousness of the attack, while others suggest it was staged by Trump or his allies to garner sympathy and galvanize his political base.

There are also claims that the shooter might not align with any clear political ideology, complicating the narrative further. This side is more likely to call for a measured and investigative approach, emphasizing the need to de-escalate political violence and rhetoric—despite some within the ranks openly lamenting the assassinations failure.

On the left, there is a counter-narrative that suggest Trump himself and allies are to blame for inciting violence. They suggest heightened animosity in America, leading to events like this attempted assassination, are the product of the toxic political environment Trump has fostered.

Independents and Undecided

Independent and undecided voters appear to be caught in the middle of these polarized viewpoints. The assassination attempt and subsequent reactions might push some undecided voters towards Trump out of sympathy or distrust towards the left's handling of political violence. Conversely, others may become disenchanted with the entire political process, viewing the escalating rhetoric and violence as evidence of a broken system.

The Pennsylvania Rally

Right-of-Center Responses

Trump supporters and right-wing voters mostly attribute the attack to liberal or leftist causes, linking the shooter to groups like Antifa. They claim Democratic leaders and anti-Trump rhetoric incited the attack and suggest the incident was either orchestrated or mishandled by government agencies, furthering distrust in federal institutions. This narrative is used to rally Trump’s base by highlighting systemic bias and targeted aggression against them.

Left-of-Center Responses

Left-leaning and liberal voices focus on gun control, noting the use of an AR-15 and the shooter's alleged Republican affiliations. They critique Trump’s history of incendiary language and emphasize broader issues of gun culture and political extremism in the U.S. This group is also skeptical about the details of the incident, separating the shooter’s actions from broader political groups.

Centrist Responses

The polarized conversations likely have a substantial impact on undecided and independent voters, who may find the vitriol and partisan accusations off-putting, leading to disillusionment with both major parties. High-profile violent incidents often push voters towards policy-oriented stances, potentially nudging them to support candidates advocating for gun control or criminal justice reforms.

Sentiment Trends

Sentiment trends align with ideological inclinations. Trump supporters feel outrage and victimization, while critics highlight the dangers of permissive gun laws and violent rhetoric. The discourse includes significant blame-shifting, with Trump backers accusing Democrats and "deep state" actors of foul play, while opponents called out perceived hypocrisies and the consequences of Trump’s polarizing language.

Assassination

Right-of-Center Responses

The predominant trend among Trump supporters is an outpouring of outrage and calls for accountability. Many posts focus on identifying and condemning perceived liberal incitement to violence, often citing past rhetoric from Democratic leaders and media outlets as catalysts.

There is a strong narrative that this attempt on Trump's life is a direct consequence of the "hate-filled" discourse promulgated by the left. Sentiment among Trump's base is highly charged, oscillating between anger, blame, and a renewed sense of fervor to support Trump against what they see as a corrupt and malevolent political system.

Left-of-Center Responses

Most on the left either downplay the severity of the attack or suggest it was staged, contributing to a narrative of skepticism and conspiracy. Criticism is aimed at security lapses and the potential political manipulation of the event. A fraction of posts reflect a chilling nonchalance or thinly veiled schadenfreude, which only serves to fuel the ire of Trump supporters further.

Neutral and Independent Responses

Neutral and independent voters are caught in the middle, attempting to call for calm and rational discourse in the aftermath. Sentiment analysis shows many undecided and independent voters are disheartened by the level of vitriol and divisive rhetoric coming from both sides. The assassination attempt and the subsequent reaction have left many in the center feeling alienated and distressed, worried about the implications for future political stability.

Impact on Centrist Voters

Undecided and Independent voters say extreme reactions only heighten their disenchantment with the current political climate. The discourse generates a perception of increased instability and the potential for wider societal divisions.

While the assassination attempt has undeniably rallied Trump's core supporters, solidifying their opposition to perceived left-wing extremism, independent voters may find themselves more wary of aligning with either extreme end of the political spectrum.

However, there are some in the middle who perceived Trump’s reaction and demeanor during the shooting as a sign of strong leadership and express heightened patriotism. Some even say it has swayed them to want to vote for him.

Broader Implications

Rhetoric on both sides, from charged accusations and language to actual threats and expressions of hope for further violence, exacerbates a deepening sense of mistrust and fear. Moderate voices calling for unity, calm, and rationality are crucial but easily drowned out by the cacophony of partisan anger.

The assassination attempt against Donald Trump has thus impacted the political landscape, potentially shifting the sentiments of undecided voters towards disengagement or a search for a candidate who promises a return to stability and decorum.