“No New Wars” Isn’t Good Enough
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Key Takeaways
- Americans desire an end to war but are skeptical of ceasefires, viewing them as temporary maneuvers rather than pathways to peace.
- Distrust dominates discussions, viewing Palestinian leadership and Russia as the least reliable actors, while Israel and Ukraine face measured skepticism.
- Conversations about these conflicts are indicators of political distrust, elite skepticism, and the erosion of faith in international diplomacy.
Our Methodology
Demographics
All Voters
Sample Size
36,000
Geographical Breakdown
National
Time Period
7 Days
MIG Reports leverages EyesOver technology, employing Advanced AI for precise analysis. This ensures unparalleled precision, setting a new standard. Find out more about the unique data pull for this article.
Online discourse about the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and the end of the Israel-Palestine ceasefire is intense. Americans express a desire for wars to end, but not at any cost. While many acknowledge the humanitarian toll of ongoing conflicts, there is widespread skepticism that ceasefires actually bring lasting peace.
In the Israel-Palestine conflict, around 60% of discussions support ceasefires in principle, but only if they are fairly enforced. Between 40-45% oppose or question ceasefires, arguing they are used tactically rather than as genuine steps toward peace. About 65% of discussions are pessimistic, saying pauses in fighting are temporary and politically motivated.
Regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, only 40% of discussions support ceasefires, and even this support is conditional—limited to strategic pauses, such as halting attacks on infrastructure. A majority, 60%, reject ceasefires outright, doubting Russia’s sincerity and fearing pauses only benefit Moscow. Over 60% express doubt that any agreement will bring lasting peace. They say geopolitical maneuvering and national interests will keep the war going.
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Netanyahu has not allowed any food, water, or fuel into Gaza in two weeks.
— Bernie Sanders (@SenSanders) March 18, 2025
Now he has resumed bombing, killing hundreds of people and breaking the ceasefire that had given Gaza a chance to live again.
NO MORE MILITARY AID TO ISRAEL.
The "energy ceasefire" lasted approximately six hours before the Ukrainians broke it.
— Armchair Warlord (@ArmchairW) March 19, 2025
Welp.
Hope Poland enjoys having another land border with Russia. pic.twitter.com/p9T1N5g4sK
The American Posture Toward War
American sentiments toward both conflicts are distrust, skepticism, and political undertones.
Israel-Palestine
- While Americans distrust both sides, 70% view Palestinian leadership as the least trustworthy, with many believing groups like Hamas use ceasefires to regroup.
- 65% are suspicious of Israeli leadership, especially after ending the ceasefire on its own terms.
- Discussions tend to focus on the cyclical nature of conflict, with many voters doubting any permanent resolution is possible.
Russia-Ukraine
- Around 75% distrust Russia, with most Americans seeing its ceasefire proposals as stalling tactics.
- 40% are skeptical of Ukraine, as some believe accepting ceasefire conditions shows weakness rather than strategic negotiation.
- A majority believe the U.S. and NATO are more reliable mediators, but skepticism toward international involvement still lingers.
Across both conflicts, Americans view ceasefires as political maneuvers more than a means to end war. While there is some pragmatic support for pauses in fighting, most discussions frame these wars as inevitable struggles driven by larger power dynamics.
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Patterns and Anomalies in the Discussion
A few key themes stand out:
- Ceasefires as a Political Tool – Many Americans see ceasefires as short-term political calculations rather than legitimate peace efforts. In both conflicts, 60-70% of voters are skeptical, believing combatants only agree to ceasefires to gain an advantage or regroup.
- Populist Themes – Many Americans integrate discussions of these wars into their overall distrust of global elites. Around 40% of Russia-Ukraine discussions contain anti-establishment narratives, tying ceasefires to hidden agendas or elite power struggles.
- Domestic and International Politics – Nearly 40% of ceasefire discussions include references to U.S. domestic politics, particularly Trump, Biden, and American foreign policy. These conversations suggest voter views on foreign conflicts are shaped by domestic partisanship as much as by the events themselves.
No More Wars
Americans want wars to end, but they do not trust ceasefires to achieve that goal. Skepticism outweighs optimism, as many believe peace is not the end goal for leaders. While the desire for resolution exists, sentiment remains divided along political, strategic, and ideological lines. These discussions are shaped by the conflicts themselves and by growing distrust in global institutions and domestic political dynamics.