A viral clip between Sarah Stock and Sam Seder regarding what it means to be American is sparking discussion on national identity. Americans are caught in a dialectic which is difficult to resolve.

• Wanting to reclaim sovereignty yet flinching at the realities of power
• Lionizing European origins but diluting national identity into an abstraction
• Raging at government overreach while demanding its iron fist come down in service of nationalist restoration

The reactions to the exchange between Stock and Seder split between restoration and managerial inertia. This is the reality of American discourse: equal parts insurgent energy and incoherent retreat.

There is a rhetorical battle between those who still believe in civil power and those who demand it be stripped away. At stake is the very concept of what America is, who wields authority, and whether its trajectory will be that of civilizational reclamation or a final descent into technocratic deracination.

WATCH: “What’s the problem with xenophobic nationalism?”@SamSeder faced off with 20 young Republicans thanks to @jubileemedia — some jaw-dropping moments ensued. pic.twitter.com/Hh108T4Gtt

— The Tennessee Holler (@TheTNHoller) March 9, 2025

European Heritage and a Haunting Present

America cannot decide whether it is a Western nation. The analyses show an overwhelming pull toward European heritage—60% affirm it outright, but the numbers begin to fragment upon closer inspection.

Some reference European heritage nostalgically, others use it to signal political defiance, and a significant minority bristle at the classification, preferring a multicultural identity. The remaining number hedge, ignore, or frame the issue through economic pragmatism.

There doesn’t seem to be a middle ground in this war of worldviews. Those insisting on a European legacy present it as a demand for a future. America is either the inheritor of Western civilization or it is an administrative zone to be managed, curated, and even discarded. The approximately 18% who explicitly reject the European identity do so with the zeal of ideological cleansing, invoking either progressivism or globalist abstraction.

Government as a Blunt Instrument

A major contradiction at the core of American right-wing discourse is denouncing the state as an enemy, yet with a desire for its domination.

• 55-65% of discussions demand government be wielded aggressively—for tariffs, cultural defense, executive orders, or punitive action against perceived internal enemies.
• 20-35% are cautions against the same tactics when they appear too centralized, too overt, or too reminiscent of the state apparatus they despise.

Americans feel betrayed by institutions, yet most are unwilling to burn them down completely. They see the tools of power—regulatory bodies, fiscal policy, military-industrial complexes—as both weapons and threats. The only consistent principle is will-to-power. Voters say government must be strong when it serves their vision, but weak when it resists.

Sam Seder is offended by her definition of America’s identity but he has no alternative definition. This is how the Left plays the game. They condemn your definition but offer no coherent alternative. Their definition of everything is just “not that.”

pic.twitter.com/UG8JcsSKpn

— Matt Walsh (@MattWalshBlog) March 10, 2025

Nationalism vs. Managed Decline

Beneath every policy debate is the question of who America belongs to.

• 50-65% of discussion is charged with a revitalization narrative, where national rebirth is tied to economic protectionism, moral restoration, and an iron-fisted break from globalist decay.
• 30-35% are resentful toward elites, media, or globalist puppet masters—expressing a sense of betrayal rather than clear solutions.
• 10-15% exist in a rationalist limbo, trying to use data and policy to navigate a world that is increasingly ruled ideology.

There is no neutral ground. But a subset of those discussing immigration and national identity still think in terms of governance rather than conflict. They consider institutional integrity as salvageable in a world that no longer respects it.

Tone and Linguistic Brutality

The language in these discussions is not diplomatic. It is charged, profane, and uncompromising—abandoning persuasion in favor of declaration and mockery.

• 65-70% of posts are openly aggressive, laced with profanity and polemics.
• 20% use sarcasm, irony, or dark humor as weapons of dismissal.
• 10-15% attempt a neutral or fact-based tone, largely ignored by the rest.

There seems to be little space for detached intellectualism, only ad hominem, ideological agendas, and attempts to overwhelm opponents through sheer linguistic force.

Populist Myth vs. Managerial Realism

American discourse is populist, adversarial, and Manichean:

• 60% frame reality as "us vs. them"—whether it be against elites, immigrants, globalists, or media apparatchiks.
• 30% rely on historical anecdotes, using Western civilization, past wars, or economic collapses as rhetorical weapons.
• 10-15% engage in formal, policy-driven arguments, attempting to apply technocratic analysis to an increasingly irrational political world.

Those who appeal to reason find themselves drowned out by those who invoke war, struggle, and existential threats. This is the landscape of modern American discourse—not a forum for ideas, but a battlefield of narratives.

I watched that Sam Seder Jubilee episode and if young latino men are this indoctrinated into Christian Nationalism we are in big trouble. I am disgusted! pic.twitter.com/WUhqoDolIY

— Candidly Tiff (@tify330) March 10, 2025

Sovereignty or Irrelevance?

The responses to the viral immigration exchange likely hints at the trajectory of the issues in public discourse. The American right is at an impasse, caught between its instinct for dominance and its fear of centralization. Many are stuck yearning for a mythic past but needing to govern a chaotic present.

The left more often operates with managerial efficiency, controlling institutions, setting cultural parameters, and tightening its grip. The discourse is often more about how to use power rather than whether it should be used.

Voters seem to be grappling between assertion versus dissolution, identity and erasure, power and irrelevance. A worldwide map of recorded Black Lives Matter protests shows Western Europe events reach the highest volume and ratio of American-centric events. This may suggest Western Europeans and Americans share direction and identity.

An apparent surge in support, positivity, and engagement for the Kamala Harris presidential campaign is confusing many Americans. Despite media claims that the highly relatable, meme-friendly, and accomplished Vice President is gaining historic levels of support, many voters remain skeptical.

In addition to feeling much of the hype seems insincere, Americans are talking about suspicious media and Democrat efforts to modify public understanding of Harris’s political track record. The discourse reveals a potent blend of ideology, identity politics, and performance in public office fueling public opinion.

Critics debate Kamala Harris’s qualifications and achievements, often within the context of identity politics, questioning whether her gender and race unjustly shield her from criticism or amplify her credentials. Many also skewer the mainstream media for its increasingly obvious hypocrisy in reporting the VP’s accomplishments and embarrassments.

Protective Cover from the Media

Many Americans view Harris's policies and political endeavors as extremely liberal. This perception would likely damage her chances given the majority of Americans do not align with the far, progressive left.

There's also a perception that media outlets are systematically erasing or altering aspects of her record to present a moderated version of her stances. Examples of this include:

• Her position as “Border Czar”
• Her complicity in covering up Biden’s health and reasons for withdrawing
• Her renown as the “most liberal” Senator
• Her support for the Minnesota Freedom Fund
• Whether she was chosen for her accomplishments rather than her identity

Border Czar

The accusations against media outlets began when headlines claimed Kamala Harris was never named “Border Czar” for the Biden administration. Many people pointed out that, until now, everyone agreed and accepted the colloquial title given to her as the administration’s person in charge of the border.

Americans and right leaning journalists criticized the media for walking this back and even retroactively changing pervious reporting. Axios received significant backlash for modifying one of its own articles from 2021, which mention Harris as Border Czar.

CALLED IT. These pathetic Democrat hacks are the most predictably dishonest people on earth. https://t.co/hzft99D9Zg pic.twitter.com/iox1dlRgGR

— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) July 24, 2024

Some also criticized Wikipedia for apparently removing Kamala Harris from the list of historical Border Czars for the U.S.

Update: Wikipedia completely scrubbed Kamala from its executive branch czar page. The Axios article is no longer even listed in the citations. https://t.co/TBF6oHNrHx pic.twitter.com/oCn5Rp0I0h

— James Lynch (@jameslynch32) July 25, 2024

Criticism toward Democrats and the media grew overwhelming when a cue card was leaked which claimed to give the press talking point from the Harris campaign to deny and dismiss Border Czar claims.

Wow.

A Democrat lawmaker confirmed to FOX that Dems have received a piece of paper with talking points/lies about how to discuss Kamala Harris' role at the Southern border.

They are already using the exact lines.https://t.co/CITguKLWCD pic.twitter.com/Bo8pxla61M

— Bobby Burack (@burackbobby_) July 25, 2024

When asked about the cue card, White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre claimed to have no knowledge of it. This also generated criticism and backlash from voters who view the current administration as colluding with the media to promote Kamala Harris’s campaign.

JUST IN: Peter Doocy confronts KJP on the now-infamous "talking points" card that tells reporters to deny Kamala Harris was ever appointed "Border Czar."

Let the games begin. 🤣pic.twitter.com/QvfOWZy4a1

— Kyle Becker (@kylenabecker) July 25, 2024

Most Liberal Senator

GovTrack's also received sharp backlash for deleting its 2019 rating of Harris as the "most liberal senator." This deletion is seen as an attempt by the media to cover up or obscure her true political leanings to make her more palatable to moderate voters.

BREAKING: GovTrack just DELETED their 2019 page that ranked Kamala Harris as THE MOST LIBERAL of all 100 Senators

It would be a shame if we made it viral: pic.twitter.com/Pi6KvngOTh

— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) July 24, 2024

Harris critics often label her policies as “communist” and express concerns about her support for open borders, defunding the police, and providing benefits to illegal immigrants. This, people say, is the reason the establishment apparatus is being used to hide her legacy.

Commentary about Kamala’s support for programs such as the Green New Deal, socialized healthcare, and defunding law enforcement positions her even further left than other prominent Democrats, including Bernie Sanders. Most Americans think of these views as dangerously socialist or Marxist and in the minority.

BREAKING: Footage found of VP Kamala Harris supporting DEFUND THE POLICE:

"It's about upending the system"
"We need to look at police budgets"
"More safety with more cops is wrong" pic.twitter.com/0HxUQeov9x

— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) July 26, 2024

Minnesota Freedom Fund

There is also controversy around claims asserting or denying Kamala Harris donated or promoted the Minnesota Freedom Fund—which helps bail out protesters. News outlets published headlines denying Harris donated to the fund, also implying she never supported it. This drew an avalanche videos, articles, and posts being shared to debunk the claim.

Reports from the same outlets and reporters in the past said, “Kamala Harris urged people to donate to the fund while it was bailing out protestors. Since then, it’s been posting bail for other offenders, including one who Republicans say committed a murder in downtown St. Paul.”

This might be the most blatant lie I’ve ever seen.

Esme, the author of this article, was literally at our press conference in 2022 on the light rail platform where a man was murdered by a criminal the Minnesota Freedom Fund had bailed out a short time before.

She then aired… https://t.co/hGinFk7DK0 pic.twitter.com/WSHurmPGBy

— Nick Majerus (@njmajerus) July 26, 2024

The reasons for significant negative sentiment toward Harris and the media appear to stem largely from a broader distrust in institutions. There is a growing perception that there are concerted efforts to hide truths about Kamala’s record to help the Democratic Party. This distrust is further exacerbated by a polarized political climate where ideological purity and alignment are heavily scrutinized and often radicalized.

Trump's Madison Square Garden (MSG) rally is spurring wild and fervent discussion just a week ahead of Election Day. The rally’s impact, intensified by strong media framing, shows sharp divides among Republicans, Democrats, and Independents. But MIG Reports data shows the mainstream media’s plan to demonize Trump voters may be backfiring.

The top discussion topics related to the rally are:

• A comedian who goes by the state name “Kill Tony” joked about Puerto Rico being a “floating island of garbage.”
• The media’s reaction comparing the rally to a 1939 pro-Nazi rally at MSG.
• Trump campaigning in blue states like New York, suggesting he wants to win them.
• High energy and triumph for the MAGA movement around the size of the rally.

At Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally, podcast host and comedian Kill Tony referred to Puerto Rico as a “floating island of garbage,” during his set.

Notably, four percent of Pennsylvanians are Puerto Rican.

Around 500,000 people. pic.twitter.com/txE3UD0QVE

— Yashar Ali 🐘 (@yashar) October 27, 2024

The Media’s Streisand Effect?

Mainstream media outlets presented Trump’s rally through a highly critical lens. Many compared it to a 1939 pro-Nazi rally at MSG, calling Trump’s event an echo of the same.

This framing doubles down on the Harris campaign’s recent messaging of Trump as a fascist and a Nazi sympathizer. However, the media’s portrayal drew different reactions across groups—either as a rallying cry or confirmation of a disingenuous media.

• Independent are Split: Independents and undecideds are divided, with 65% viewing the media’s portrayal as excessive, while 35% feel it’s justified.
• Republicans Dismiss Hysteria: Republicans overwhelmingly dismiss Nazi comparisons as unfair attacks. Many say the strategy is backfiring since dramatic and hysterical rhetoric sounds unserious to reasonable people.
• Democrats Love Nazi Comparisons: Most Democratic voters say the Nazi comparison is accurate and necessary. They see it as an obvious conclusion in light of their beliefs about Trump as a fascist.

Among persuadable voters and those who are not deeply partisan Democrats, most voters view the media’s rhetoric as over the top. However, because the Harris campaign and mainstream media are leaning so hard into the Nazi comparisons, more voters are taking to social media to express their criticism.

New York a Swing State?

At the rally, Vivek Ramaswamy stirred discussion with his assertion that “New York could become a swing state.” This remark, intended to convey optimism about Republican growth in traditionally Democratic areas, receives mixed reactions.

VIVEK: “Welcome to 2024. New York is a swing state.” 🔥 pic.twitter.com/Uqv4ScJ3bj

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) October 27, 2024

• Republicans mostly embrace Ramaswamy’s comments, seeing his assertion as a bold and energizing signal of shifting political tides. The idea of New York as a potential battleground boosts morale among Republicans.
• Democrats dismiss Ramaswamy’s statement as unrealistic, perceiving it as wishful thinking. Many Democratic commenters say New York’s demographics and liberal base will not be competitive any time soon.
• Independents are divided. Some appreciate the ambitious tone, viewing it as optimistic for political realignments. However, many also question the practicality of Republicans winning over a heavily liberal electorate.

AOC Feigns Outrage

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was holding an online gaming rally with VP candidate Tim Walz during the MSG rally. Reacting to Tony Hinchcliffe’s Puerto Rico joke, AOC tweeted her offense, saying “4,000+ Puerto Ricans died” under Trump.

She framed the joke as representative of the MAGA movement’s disregard for marginalized communities, calling for Latino voters to share the offense with their families. However, AOC subsequently tweeted admitting she was not offended by the joke, but solely for Hinchcliffe’s willingness to go on stage for Trump.

And before people try to act like this is some PC overly sensitive nonsense, I’ve been to Kill Tony shows. I’m from the Bronx. I don’t give a shit about crude humor.

But don’t pretend that your support for Trump is a joke. Own it. You doing a set to support him. That’s a choice.

— Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (@AOC) October 27, 2024

• Democrats support AOC’s criticisms, voicing urgency for opposing Trump.
• Republicans mock and dismiss, AOC as politically motivated and disingenuous.
• Independents are split between being offended by the joke and viewing AOC’s reaction as trivial and dramatic.

Independents Mostly Distrust the Media

For Independents and undecideds, the MSG rally only became a point of interest following media characterizations. This led many to compare Trump’s populist messaging with the media’s critical framing.

• Nazi Rally: Around 65% of Independents dismiss the Nazi rally comparisons as media hyperbole. Only 35% accept it as a legitimate warning of rising extremism.
• Puerto Rico Joke: About 30% of discussions among Independents condemned the Puerto Rico joke, perceiving it as offensive to Latino voters.
• Potential Sway: 15% say they sense desperation among Democrats and that pushes them toward Trump.

Election Impact from Undecideds

The media’s framing generally mobilizes Democrats, reinforces Republican loyalty, and divides Independents. An already polarized electorate mostly responds with heightened partisanship. However, moderates and undecideds who are already skeptical of Democrats say the dramatic rhetoric turns them off.

• Trump Support: 55% of undecided voters say the media’s portrayal and Nazi comparisons makes them more likely to vote for Trump.
• Extremism Concern: 45% of undecideds lament inflammatory comments made during the event, suggesting it repulsed them from supporting Trump.

While many agree there are very few votes available to be swayed, MIG Reports data consistently shows undecideds likely leaning toward Trump.

Republicans are Unfazed

Unsurprisingly, Republicans are energized. They view turnout in a Democratic stronghold as a point of pride. They say the rally is a celebration of American solidarity and patriotism, framing criticisms as further proof of media bias against conservatives.

• Turnout Pride: Around 75% of Republicans are celebrating the success of the rally, seeing it as an affirmation of Trump’s draw and a sign of enduring support.
• Media Criticism: Roughly 65% believe the “Nazi rally” label is a biased attack, reinforcing views of Trump as a political outsider fighting establishment elites.
• Puerto Rico Joke: Only about 20% find the joke about Puerto Rico inappropriate, most dismiss the backlash as feigned outrage by Democrats like AOC.
• Unity: Many Republicans mention endorsements from minority groups, including Puerto Ricans, saying this refutes media portrayals of the rally as exclusionary.

Democrats Worked into a Froth

A whopping 80% of Democrats view the rally as a gathering of extremism. They call the rhetoric exclusionary and inflammatory, using the Puerto Rico joke as a prime example. They almost wholly embrace the media’s framing, presenting an urgent call to the ideological battle against Trump and his base.

• Hate Speech: 80% of Democrats see the rally as promoting hate speech, viewing the “Nazi rally” comparison as an accurate description.
• Focus on Mobilization: 70% call for strong voter turnout, using the rally as a call to reject Trump and get people to the ballot box.
• A Thread of Hope: Roughly 65% of Democrats say the rally’s tone could alienate undecided voters. They hope undecided voters will side with them, ignoring those who feel alienated by the media’s rhetoric.

The 2024 election delivered a historic “red wave,” as Trump and Republican candidates cleaned up with an electoral presidential win, the popular vote, and projections for a majority in the Senate and House.

While conservative circles celebrate this shift, Democratic voters and pundits are reeling from Democrats losing support in almost every state.

Donald Trump gained support in 49 out of 50 states from 2020 to 2024 pic.twitter.com/Jd4O2plEWZ

— America (@america) November 7, 2024

Democratic Voters in Shock and Disbelief

The scale of the Republican victory has generated shock among Democratic voters, many of whom anticipated more favorable results based on conventional polling and media reporting.

Voter reactions indicate a profound disconnect within the Democratic base, with discussions centering around disbelief that such a large political shift could take place after Biden’s historic popular vote totals in 2020.

10 Shocking Stories the Media Buried Today

#10 - Joe Rogan raises SERIOUS questions about Biden’s “81 million votes” in 2020.

“Look at the difference in how many people voted for Biden in 2020. It's unprecedented! It's way higher than any other time since 2012.”

“Look at where… pic.twitter.com/lUN3lMWZdb

— The Vigilant Fox 🦊 (@VigilantFox) November 7, 2024

Some attribute this wholesale American rejection of Kamala Harris to a cultural shift which the Democratic Party misread. However, the majority of Harris voters largely attribute the loss to “racism," "misogyny," and a resurgent conservatism. Now, many question whether America remains fundamentally center-right, a trend Democratic strategists appear to have underestimated.

Internal Conflict and Critique

There is division over whether Democrats strayed too far from their traditional working-class roots, or Americans are racist and misogynistic.

An increasingly progressive party, some argue, only alienated vital demographics who feel sidelined by elite-focused, urban-driven policies. Discussions show frustration with the party’s focus on identity politics over practical concerns like economic stability, public safety, and personal freedom.

On today's Morning Joe, Scarborough is still trying to square how Kamala Harris lost so bad and was SHOCKED to learn about the high price of groceries.

Scarborough was floored when a friend told him butter was $3 and he almost fell out of his chair when Mika Brzezinski told him… pic.twitter.com/6MelvWoput

— Steve Guest (@SteveGuest) November 7, 2024

• Identity Politics: Many Democrats criticize the party’s emphasis on identity politics (e.g., gender identity and race-based policies), arguing they are detached from the daily realities facing middle America.
• Working-Class Alienation: Voters from blue-collar and Latino communities report feeling condescended to, left out by a party they once identified with but now view as elitist and dismissive.
• Shift in Latino Support: A shift toward Trump among Latino voters in traditionally Democratic regions challenges assumptions that progressive policies resonate universally among minority groups.

Some also point out that Trump gained ground with nearly every voter group besides older voters 65+ and white, college educated women. This again results in either accusations of racism and misogyny or critiques of woke ideologies.

red wave is an understatement pic.twitter.com/oRJkGEYYY6

— ian bremmer (@ianbremmer) November 6, 2024

Strategic Failures and Down-Ballot Neglect

Internal critiques extend to strategic missteps that left Democrats vulnerable at both national and local levels. Voters accuse party officials of focusing too narrowly on top-ticket races, abandoning down-ballot races critical for future influence.

• Down-Ballot Neglect: Voters say too many down-ballot seats went uncontested in key areas, contributing to a domino effect that bolstered Republican gains. This lack of attention to local issues, especially in swing states, draws backlash.
• Missed Outreach: Many Democrats say party leadership failed to mobilize working-class voters, particularly losing touch with Teamsters. There is frustration at the party’s seeming disinterest in engaging on local, bread-and-butter issues.

Professor/NYT columnist Tressie McMillian Cottom urges Dems to double down on identity politics "[Trump] tapped into one of the most powerful of American identities, he tapped into white identity...That means you should double down on identities of your base." pic.twitter.com/21jyTKjhMQ

— Alex Christy (@alexchristy17) November 7, 2024

Woke Versus Democrat

Democratic voter responses indicate a growing internal division. Left-leaning voters are split between support for and frustration with reactionary movements like the “4B movement,” where liberal women pledge to abstain from relationships with men who supported Trump.

• Movement Backlash: Moderate Democrats say progressive and woke movements are self-defeating, alienating young male voters and many conservative minorities who reject identity politics.
• Conservative Mockery: These reactionary movements have also faced ridicule from conservatives. Particularly the 4B movement, which they say plays into Republican messaging on family values, abstinence, and pro-life advocacy.
• Traditional Democrats: A substantial faction in the party calls for a return to traditional Democratic values over worries about alienating leftist progressives.

Outside observers and those on the right are taking the Democrats’ dramatic loss as a complete rejection of woke politics from the American electorate.

Wokeism is dead.
Identity politics is dead.
Virtue-signalling is dead.
Trump’s massive win was a total repudiation of all the far-left’s ‘progressive’ (but actually regressive) crap.
Common sense will now return to a world that had gone nuts, and thank god for that.

— Piers Morgan (@piersmorgan) November 8, 2024

Election Integrity Worries

Another prominent reaction among Democratic voters centers on suspicions of election irregularities. Some suspect compromised mail-in ballots, voter ID issues, and lost votes are generating may have allowed Republicans to cheat. There are calls for reform, as Democrats grapple with the integrity of the electoral process they once championed.

• Missing Votes: Many view the disparity in voter turnout from 2020 to 2024 as suspicious, raising questions about the missing votes.
• Voter ID and Paper Ballots: In a reversal, some Democrats now call for stricter voter ID laws and paper ballots to ensure election security, a stance traditionally taken by Republicans.
• Perceived Fraud: Numerous comments suggest states Democrats lost correlate with lenient voter ID laws, intensifying voter mistrust and calls for electoral reform.

With less than two months until the presidential election, Donald Trump is gaining momentum against a Kamala Harris—who Democrats hoped would buoy the Party after Biden’s exit. MIG Reports data shows a tight race, with Trump’s base expressing high enthusiasm and Harris facing skepticism among her ostensible supporters. The first Trump versus Harris debate is tonight, which could shift sentiments further depending on how each candidate performs.

• Nationally, Trump is recovering from a brief Harris surge following the DNC.
• Prior to the debate on September 10, Trump shows 52% support to Harris’s 48%.

• Republican support across the electoral college is moving upward, with 49% today compared to 47% for Democrats.

The Big Picture

A MIG Reports weighted analysis of real-time voter conversations suggests voter base turnout for each candidate could be around:

• 64% turnout potential for Kamala Harris
• 72% turnout potential for Donald Trump

Currently, Trump appears to have stronger voter mobilization as enthusiasm for Harris wanes amid border and Israel-Palestine drama. This alone does not suggest who will win the election due to the complexity of the U.S. Electoral College system.

More importantly, swing states show Trump slightly ahead with a rising trend. These regions are crucial for a win and Trump's solid swing state support, along with the higher turnout potential, suggests he currently has a stronger path to victory.

Why Voters Are Leaning Toward Trump or Harris

Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris faces growing skepticism from her base over the economy, the border, and the U.S. position on Israel and Hamas. There are also some mentions of controversial endorsements from figures like Dick Cheney and Vladimir Putin.

JUST IN: Vladimir Putin says he supports Kamala Harris for president, says he finds her laugh “fascinating.”

The comments come after the DOJ accused Russia of funding Tenet who then paid conservative influencers for videos.

At the moment, it’s unclear what exactly Russia’s goal… pic.twitter.com/ciXyZ4MCyU

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) September 5, 2024

These issues are exacerbating a rift, particularly among progressive Democrats, who see her alignment with Israel and establishment figures as problematic. Recent Party defections from public figures like RFK Jr., Tulsi Gabbard, and Alan Dershowitz also signal the growing discontent among Democrats.

In voter conversations about Harris:

• 64% of Democratic voters express a willingness to vote for her.
• 33% vocally oppose her candidacy.
• 15% express concerns about certain endorsements and alignments.

Harris's platform on social justice, healthcare reform, and climate change still resonates with her core supporters. However, she is struggling to mobilize undecided or moderate voters, who have been skeptical of her leadership and competence.

Donald Trump

Meanwhile, Trump enjoys fierce loyalty from his base, who remain energized despite ongoing legal and media controversies. Trump’s supporters cite his stance on law and order, his previous administration’s economic performance, the economy, and frustration with the Biden-Harris administration as reasons for their continued support.

In voter conversations about Trump:

• 72% of Trump’s voter base is excited to turn out.
• 75% of voters highlight endorsements from those like RFK Jr., Tulsi Gabbard, and law enforcement as motivators.
• 82% of positive sentiments use terms like "MAGA" and "support" when discussing Trump.

Our presidential endorsement process is thorough and inclusive, involving over 377,000 members across the nation. Today, it's a privilege to announce that the collective will of our members has led us to endorse Donald J. Trump for President. We're committed to supporting… pic.twitter.com/RGQbEzroX9

— National Fraternal Order of Police (FOP) (@GLFOP) September 6, 2024

Trump’s endorsements from groups like the Fraternal Order of Police have been pivotal in reinforcing his image as a law-and-order candidate. This has helped solidify his base, making voter turnout for him more likely.

• Sentiment toward each candidate in the last seven days is similar, though Trump gains significantly more mentions at 94,118 to Harris’s 42,049.
• Harris’s highest sentiment is for endorsements at 48% and her lowest is for ideologies at 42%.
• Trump’s highest sentiment is endorsements at 47% and his lowest is for allegations at 39%.

Battlegrounds Will Decide the Election

MIG Reports analysis shows a steady rise in Trump’s support both nationally and in key battlegrounds, where Harris is losing ground. The debate tonight could prove pivotal for both candidates as they aim to secure these critical electoral votes.

• In swing states, Trump leads Harris in swing states, with a 30-day average of 49% support to Harris’s 46% average.
• Third party support dropped following RFK Jr. removing himself and endorsing Trump—though Jill Stein has gained 4% support in the last few days.

Key swing state metrics:

• Trump’s support in swing states increased following the DNC from 42% to a high of 54% on August 25.
• Since then, his swing state support has evened out, averaging 49% in the last seven days.
• Harris’s support in swing states dropped following the DNC from 54% on August 21 to 45% on August 25.
• Her support also evened out, averaging 47% in the last 7 days.
• Support for third-party candidates in swing states averaged 4% in the last seven days.

Swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are critical for both candidates. Trump’s growing presence in these battleground areas puts Harris in a difficult position, as she will need to reverse this trend to secure enough electoral votes.

MIG Reports data also shows in swing states:

Donald Trump

• 70% support among white evangelicals
• 50% support from working-class voters
• 80% opposition from younger voters
• 75% opposition from urban voters

Kamala Harris

• 60-70% support among young progressive voters
• 75% opposition from older conservative voters
• 40% of comments support Harris
• 50% of comments criticize Harris

A National Base Support and Turnout

Voter turnout will be a decisive factor in the 2024 election, and Trump’s base shows higher levels of enthusiasm. Trump’s supporters are not only loyal but highly mobilized, while Harris struggles to generate the same level of enthusiasm—particularly among undecided and swing voters.

Trump’s base is solid, and his ability to maintain support from key voter groups, including working-class and rural voters, gives him an edge. Harris, meanwhile, must address the ambivalence within her base and secure a higher turnout from progressive and moderate voters.

Reasons for Voter Support

Each candidate’s voter base expresses various reasons for and against their party’s nominee. These issues will likely be important in the debate.

Kamala Harris

Reasons for supporting:

• Abortion: Democrats’ strong stance on women’s reproductive rights, especially positive among liberal and progressive voters.
• Diversity and equity: Her advocacy for an “equitable society” resonates with those who feel marginalized.
• Progressive policies: Harris endorses healthcare reform, climate action, and immigration reform.
• Representation and inclusivity: Many supporters highlight her historic role as a woman of color and her advocacy for social justice, particularly LGBTQ+ rights.
• Changing American values: Supporters see her policies as positively moving modern American values in a progressive direction.

Reasons for not supporting:

• Perceived incompetence and dishonesty: Critics label Harris as unqualified, ineffective, and politically dishonest, with concerns about her decision-making.
• Failed policies: Despite attempts to distance herself from the Biden administration, voters still associate her with failures in immigration, crime, and economic management.
• Out of touch: Many see her as part of the “liberal elite,” disconnected from ordinary concerns.
• Ideological opposition: Detractors criticize her for promoting a perceived socialist or communist agenda, which they view as a threat to American values.

Donald Trump

Reasons for supporting:

• Economic performance: Many attribute economic growth during his previous presidency to his leadership, expressing dissatisfaction with Harris’s economic policies.
• Immigration and national security: Trump’s strong stance on immigration control is seen as necessary for protecting American jobs and public safety.
• "America First" policies: Supporters admire his protectionist policies, particularly on tariffs and job preservation, viewing him as a defender of American sovereignty.
• Conservative values: Trump is often a symbol for conservative principles, especially among older and rural voters.

Reasons for not supporting:

• Moral concerns: Critics cite January 6th and his rhetoric as divisive and damaging to democratic norms.
• Perceived dishonesty: Many opponents believe Trump undermines public trust by perpetuating false narratives, especially around election integrity.
• Social issues: Younger voters and minority groups often oppose Trump over concerns about social justice, climate change, and abortion.
• Divisive leadership style: Many are concerned Trump’s approach fosters division rather than unity, especially his incendiary remarks.