presidential-race Articles
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In the final stretch of campaigning, Harris’s campaign trail footprint is heavily focused on urban areas and issues. Democratic voters say rural and suburban areas are feeling overlooked. This urban focus drives a sentiment of disillusionment and skepticism among non-urban Democrats, who frequently feel disconnected from Harris’s platform.
I love that Kamala Harris is doing an event in Mercer County, PA! This is deep red territory. Donald Trump won it by 25 points. It’s all about the margins. If she can bring it down to 20 points and keep her margins in Philadelphia, she wins PA, and thus the White House! pic.twitter.com/jdR9Zd23gV
— Russell Drew (@RussOnPolitics) September 5, 2024The Forgotten Democrat
MIG Reports data shows feelings of disenfranchisement, with up to 70% of Democratic comments in non-urban areas expressing negative sentiment toward Harris.
They use terms like "liar," "elite," and "out of touch" to describe her, saying she prioritizes the interests of urban elites over those of average Americans. Only about 10% of comments reflect positive sentiment. These highlight Harris’s potential for representation, though they’re greatly overshadowed by critiques.
Approximately 20% of comments contain a mix of approval and disappointment, indicating a nuanced struggle among some Democrats who appreciate her achievements but feel alienated by her focus on urban-centric issues.
- FEC data shows Democrats raised more than $1 billion, with the highest donations in coastal states with large urban populations.
- This is compared to Republicans raising $565 million in a wider scattering of geographical donations.
Nuanced Criticisms
Several anomalies add depth to these findings. Rural and suburban voters often critique Harris’s identity as a woman of color, associating her rise with elite endorsement rather than grassroots support, which they see as alienating. They reference her ascendence to the nomination with words like, "hand-picked" and "elite politics,” highlighting discomfort with her establishment involvement.
Language
Linguistic there is a prevalence of third-person language, even in supportive comments. This suggests a passive engagement that may indicate shallow connection to Harris’s campaign. Urban supporters often use first-person pronouns ("I" and "we") to voice optimism, reflecting personal identification with her campaign.
Conversely, rural and suburban critics lean toward third-person language ("they" and "them"), which reflects detachment and a sense of alienation. This split is pronounced, with around 60% of non-urban comments using third-person references, emphasizing the ostracization this group feels from the party.
The Economy
Non-urban Democratic voters often cite economic concerns such as inflation and taxation, criticizing Harris’s policies as insufficiently addressing their financial struggles. This economic critique is an anomaly, as Democratic support is generally strong for Harris on economic issues. Voters in middle America and rural and suburban communities say Harris’s policies do not address reality.
Messaging
The communication style of Harris’s campaign adds to these frustrations, with many non-urban Democrats finding her language divisive. They say it reinforces the urban-rural divide within the Democratic base.
Harris’s style has led to increased demands for unity and respectful dialogue. Ultimately, Harris’s urban-centric approach, combined with perceived elitism and divisive rhetoric, intensifies discontent among suburban and rural Democrats.
This sentiment presents a critical obstacle to broader Democratic support, suggesting Harris's ability may not be strong enough to unify the party’s diverse voter base.
05
Nov
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The most recent topical conversations online about Trump and Harris continue to show top discussions around:
- Ideologies (culture issues)
- Economic Issues
- Housing
- Border Security
- Security Issues (national security)
While both candidates generate considerable engagement, Trump consistently garners a more favorable perception or, at the very least, a more engaged and vocal base across these topics.
Ideologies
In discussions about cultural issues, Trump has a definitive edge, resonating with voters who prioritize traditional American values. The tone of these conversations reflects a divide between conservative values and progressive policies.
Many view Trump as a defender of American cultural identity against radical changes by the progressive left. Harris supporters are frustrated with “extremism” in the MAGA movement, but this sentiment lacks the intensity seen in Trump’s base.
Trump supporters are energized, framing the ideological battle as one to “save America” from forces they deem un-American. This cultural intensity gives Trump an advantage, as his supporters rally. Harris’s support appears more tempered and defensive in tone.
Economic Issues
Many voters blame their financial struggles with Biden-Harris policies. They point to Trump’s previous term as a period of economic stability and growth. There's frustration with inflation, high gas prices, and a rising cost of living—all blamed on Biden and Harris.
The narrative frequently casts Trump as a solution to these economic woes. Supporters believe his leadership could restore financial stability. Harris defenders attempt to highlight economic improvements, but this narrative seems to lack resonance, especially in light of the recent jobs report.
Trump appears to be “winning” the economic argument. People view his policies as pro-growth and more aligned with middle-class concerns.
Housing
Millions of Americans are also frustrated over housing affordability and rising costs. In these discussions, Trump’s supporters emphasize that his leadership would prioritize Americans over migrants, whom they blame for driving up housing demand and costs.
There is a strong undercurrent of resentment in these conversations, with phrases like “putting Americans first” and “protecting the American dream” often surfacing in support of Trump.
Harris supporters say her proposals for affordable housing and assistance to first-time homebuyers are necessary steps. However, many point out that these programs would likely still benefit illegal immigrants over citizens.
Policy proposals from Harris generate skepticism. This underlying doubt among critics, combined with Trump’s appeal to prioritize Americans, tilts public sentiment toward Trump in the housing debate.
Border Security
Border security consistently shows criticism toward Harris. Americans attribute current immigration challenges to her “open borders” policies. The rhetoric in these discussions often includes references to safety concerns and economic impacts.
Many present Trump as a champion of a strong border and protecting American interests. Harris’s narrative, by contrast, struggles against negativity, with supporters defending her approach as more humane but failing to overcome fears and frustrations.
This intensity of criticism directed at Harris and the frequent calls for a return to Trump’s immigration policies indicate that Trump holds a commanding position on the topic of border security. This is particularly evident in Harris’s messaging, which increasingly echoes Trump’s.
Security Issues
National and foreign security issues are particularly contentious across party lines, with both candidates receiving mixed sentiment. However, Trump’s image as a strong, decisive leader gives him a perceived edge in the public eye. Trump supporters view his approach to foreign relations as promoting peace. People cite things like the Abraham Accords and his handling of adversarial countries as exemplifying his strength.
Harris supporters argue her stance on Ukraine and upholding alliances is necessary for maintaining global stability. However, there is also significant criticism that the Biden-Harris administration fosters global tensions.
Many typically progressive groups are divided on Harris—Particularly regarding Israel-Hamas conflicts. Trump endorsements from Arab Americans and Somali leaders signal some shifts in voter views of American foreign policy.
04
Nov
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Many people are discussing the “gender gap” in this election with women largely leaning Harris and men leaning Trump. While many people understand that trends among men and women differ, it remains to be seen how these trends may sway the election results.
MIG Reports data confirms many trends driving male and female voters, their alignment with candidates, and generational trends influencing attitudes.
Male Support for Trump
Most men’s discussions of politics online are supportive of Trump. They say they’re drawn by his economic and national security policies. MIG Reports analysis reveals:
- 61.53% of male voters align with Trump, citing law and order and the economy. They view Trump as reinforcing traditional American values and ensuring stability.
- 38.47% of male voters support Harris, often citing dissatisfaction with Trump’s rhetoric rather than alignment with Harris’s policies.
Female Support for Harris
Female voters, especially those concerned with social equity and healthcare, favor Harris.
- 70.49% of female voters back Harris, praising abortion and gender equity. They see her as defending women’s autonomy and achieving social progress.
- 29.51% of female voters express support for Trump, often driven by economic concerns, which they feel outweigh social policies.
Men Dominate Online Discussions
Online data may not be completely representative as male voices dominate discussions.
- MIG Reports data shows 62.34% of online discussion is among men.
- This higher representation often skews discussions toward economic and national security themes, creating a narrative aligned with Trump’s platform.
- Only 37.66% of the discussions comes from women online.
- The gender disparity reflects broader trends where men dominate discourse on traditional political issues, while engaged women tend to be highly energetic.
Statistics show there are more women in American than men—168 million women versus 165.28 million men. This suggests the full spectrum of female viewpoints is likely not captured exclusively through online voter discussions.
Male Voter Priorities
In online discussions, men say they prioritize economic stability and national security.
Economic Stability
- Inflation, job creation, and taxes are top concerns.
- Many men align with Trump’s promise of fiscal conservatism and deregulation.
- They say Trump’s economic approach offers tangible stability, with sentiments focused on his track record of job creation and pro-business tax policies.
National Security and Immigration
- Male conversations voice anxiety about immigration policy and national security.
- Trump’s approach to border control resonates deeply, with men framing stricter immigration as essential to preserving American sovereignty.
Female Voter Priorities
Women mostly prioritize social equity, abortion, and healthcare.
Abortion and Healthcare
- Women discuss Harris’s pro-abortion platform with passion.
- Following the overturning of Roe v. Wade, many women say their support for Harris reflects a desire to safeguard personal freedoms.
- However, MIG Reports data also shows a growing number of women are willing to prioritize public health and MAHA over abortion.
Social Equity and Climate Change
- Many women are drawn to Harris’s positions on climate change and environmental policy, seeing these as critical to family and future welfare.
- Women focus less on economic strength compared to men, saying they prefer policies that will address systemic inequities.
Younger Voters (Under 30)
- Younger voters, especially women, lean towards progressive issues.
- This age group prioritizes social justice, climate change, and abortion, with strong support for Harris.
- Younger men are more likely to voice anti-establishment sentiment, with economic anxieties often eclipsing party loyalty.
- However, many younger men resonate with Trump’s focus on economic growth as an antidote to inflation.
Middle-Aged Voters (30-50)
- Middle-aged men say economic stability and national security are motivating them, leading many in this group to support Trump.
- These men associate Trump with financial and familial security.
- Middle-aged women see Harris’s healthcare and family welfare policies as preferable.
- They value stability but view it through a lens of economic impact through social policies and feeling reassured rather than economic theory.
Older Voters (50+)
- Older men mostly lean toward Trump, seeing his policies as preserving national strength and security.
- Older women, while concerned with national stability, place a higher emphasis on healthcare access and social welfare policies.
- Many voice preference for Harris’s opposition to Trump and advocacy for progressive social values.
Gender-Based Issues and Voter Engagement
Based on MIG Reports analysis of voter discussions, women likely to show higher turnout at the polls. This is fueled by anger over Roe v. Wade and abortion discussions among Democrats.
Many women see the election as a direct defense of their personal freedoms. Female urgency is evident in passionate discussions around Kamala Harris, whom they see as a champion for these rights.
Men are also engaged strongly in political discussions but indicate a mix of motivations to vote. Issues like gun rights and immigration also tend to feature prominently in male discussions, overshadowing the more interpersonal issues highlighted by women.
Energy levels suggest women are slightly more energized compared to men. Female commenters express a profound commitment to change, speaking out against Trump and calling to resist authoritarianism.
Men often express support in more practical and less emotional terms. The disparate energy level in discourse could suggest turnout differences. However, this remains to be seen if men choose to vote, while remaining at a lower baseline for emotional intensity.
04
Nov
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In the final week before Election Day, there is a growing wave of discontent and frustration directed at Kamala Harris and Joe Biden. Many Americans are angry, betrayed, and skeptical of the political establishments. Momentum changes emphasize the growing disconnect between voters and the ruling class.
Themes of economic struggle, political distrust, and desire for strong, decisive leadership dominate the discourse. Recent polling shows Trump leading significantly in battleground states among voters who have not previously voted. This suggests enthusiasm among Republicans is high, and perhaps not so much among Democrats.
#NEW BATTLEGROUND STATES poll
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 31, 2024
Voters who have voted in...
🔵 '22/'24 primaries: Harris+3
🟡 '22, not primaries: Tie
🔴 '20 general election only: Trump+12
🔴 No voting record: Trump+19
NYT/Siena | PA/MI/WI/AZ/GA/NCThe Language of Anger
The language voters use is impassioned and confrontational, often with strong and colorful language, signaling more than passive dissatisfaction—but a call to action.
- People use phrases like “it’s time to wake up America” and “we’re being lied to,” going beyond mere disappointment.
- The tone suggests readiness, even a demand for mobilization, among those who believe a leadership change can restore the values and stability of America.
“Y’all need to go back to Ukraine & get my f***king money back”
— Concerned Citizen (@BGatesIsaPyscho) October 11, 2024
Americans are getting angrier by the day as they continue to wake up. In fact it’s not just the US, but the entire Western World. pic.twitter.com/ZeGSrV7LA2Betrayal, Hypocrisy, and Urgency
Social media posts reveal a sense of betrayal and abandonment, as Americans feel deceived by political promises that remain unfulfilled.
- The language is direct, frequently harsh, and often laced with urgency—“it’s time to turn the page” or “we need change now.”
- Voters criticize Democrats for the failures of the last four years on the economy, border security, and social grievances.
- Words like “liars,” “garbage,” and “incompetent” permeate discussions, suggesting leaders are disconnected from everyday \working Americans.
Economic Disillusionment
Economic concerns are consistently a top priority.
- Discussions of inflation, wage stagnation, and rising living costs frustrate voters who feel neglected by policies they see as ineffective.
- Americans describe their struggles with affording bills, job stability, and housing—often blaming problems on failed leadership and out-of-touch policies.
- Sentiments such as “nothing has been fixed” and “the economy is in shambles” reveal a working-class who feel abandoned.
"Inflation has cooled, but people are still seething over prices," per WSJ.
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) October 31, 2024
"People find it unsettling that price tags don't look like they did before inflation took off during the pandemic, surging to the highest level in four decades."Anti-Establishment Fervor
A clear preference for Donald Trump is largely driven by anti-establishment ire. Voters view him as a counter to the inadequacies and corruption in the political class.
- Trump is often depicted as the antidote to systemic incompetence and political stagnation.
- Supporters view him as capable of restoring stability, strength, and decisiveness.
- Americans want a leader who can break the cycle of unfulfilled promises and ineffective governance, hoping to reform entrenched and powerful institutions.
- For many, Trump represents a sense of hope that resonates deeply with those feeling left behind.
Fear about Election Integrity
Following from the 2020 election, there is now persistent skepticism about the integrity of electoral processes.
- Voters on social media voice concerns about disenfranchisement, fraud, and dishonesty.
- Many have doubts about whether elections are truly representative or if they are, in fact, manipulated to favor the establishment.
- This distrust bolsters the desire for new leadership, with voters clamoring for transparency and reform to secure a system they can trust.
Oops!!! ABC somehow has the final results of the election in Pennsylvania, but there isn’t any cheating, and the media isn’t biased or anything. pic.twitter.com/C56NACylUB
— James Woods (@RealJamesWoods) October 31, 202402
Nov
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After multiple days of mainstream media coverage of Tony Hinchcliffe’s Puerto Rico joke at Trump’s MSG rally, Joe Biden stole the news cycle by calling Trump supporters “garbage.” This led to Trump’s meme-like arrival in Green Bay on a garbage truck. All this dramatic and joke-driven controversy overshadowed Kamala Harris’s major rally speech at the Ellipse in D.C.
Sometimes the Democrat elite tell us what they really think of us. Hillary Clinton thinks we are “deplorables”. Joe Biden thinks we are “garbage.” Kamala Harris thinks we are so stupid as to believe her lies.
— Tulsi Gabbard 🌺 (@TulsiGabbard) October 30, 2024
We deserve better. Vote Trump pic.twitter.com/cwEBnGSbLjVoter reactions show how each candidate’s strategic choices and surrogate impact are shaping the final days of the campaign.
- Prior to Joe Biden’s comment, Harris was leading Trump in national sentiment as news coverage slammed the MSG rally.
- After Biden’s “garbage” comment and Trump’s subsequent garbage truck stunt, public sentiment in swing states and nationally swung in Trump’s favor.
- In the national race, Trump maintains a support lead with 53% support to Harris’s 44%.
Harris at the Ellipse vs. Biden’s “Garbage”
Closing Arguments
Kamala Harris’s Ellipse rally drew an impressive crowd, reportedly reaching 75,000 attendees—a notable turnout for any candidate. Her message centered on anti-Trump rhetoric, January 6, calls for unity, and even, again cribbing from Trump, claims that a Harris administration would implement deportations for illegal immigrants.
Vice Pres. Harris addresses voters from the Ellipse, where then-Pres. Donald Trump gave Jan. 6 speech.
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) October 29, 2024
“He is the person who stood at this very spot nearly four years ago and sent an armed mob to the United States Capitol." https://t.co/ruQEQkjaUQ pic.twitter.com/MwPeAE9UbbThe speech resonated with her base, eliciting positive responses. However, the message alone fell flat with most Americans, including the pro-Palestine segment of Democratic voters.
Unfortunately, the content alone was not the downfall of Harris’s closing argument for presidential office. In the midst of her rally, Joe Biden was on camera making comments that swiftly took over the news cycle.
Biden’s “Garbage” Comment
Biden’s comment calling Trump supporters “garbage” flooded online conversation and news coverage. The episode drew outrage among conservatives who viewed it as another example of disdain from Democratic elites, causing team Biden to issue a clarification. The Washington Post helped with damage control.
Earlier today I referred to the hateful rhetoric about Puerto Rico spewed by Trump's supporter at his Madison Square Garden rally as garbage—which is the only word I can think of to describe it. His demonization of Latinos is unconscionable. That's all I meant to say. The…
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) October 30, 2024However, the controversy escalated when mainstream media and even the White House transcript began to spin the remark, claiming he wasn't referring to all Trump supporters. Discussion volumes around Biden vastly overshadowed Harris’s rally, adding fuel to the fire for those decrying Democrats over hypocrisy.
BREAKING: Rep @EliseStefanik sent a scorching letter to the White House Counsel demanding they correctly quote Biden's "garbage" comment after the official WH transcript EDITED it to cover for Biden.
— Libs of TikTok (@libsoftiktok) October 30, 2024
They may have BROKEN THE LAW.
The WH is trying to rewrite history. This is… pic.twitter.com/EZEMTTkv0KLosing the Spotlight
MIG Reports data shows 70% of conversations following the incident focused on Biden’s remark compared to only 30% discussing Harris’s speech and rally.
Conservatives
- Trump supporters are quick to point out the hypocrisy of Democrats and the media.
- They say those who claimed to be scandalized by a Puerto Rico joke were too quick to dismiss Biden’s comment.
- Many MAGA voters also embrace the label, calling for Trump to make use of the comment by working a garbage route.
Independent Discontent
- Moderates and Independents largely voice disappointment in Biden’s tone.
- They say it’s yet another instance of divisive rhetoric in politics, which contradicts Harris’s attempt at a unity message.
- Independents are disillusioned with the rhetoric on both sides of the aisle, but many recognize the incongruence of media coverage.
Trump’s Garbageman Meme
Adding insult to injury for Harris, who lost the news cycle, Trump arrived at his Green Bay rally wearing a reflective orange vest and riding a garbage truck. Social media erupted with commentary, making viral photos and clips of Trump into memes and jokes at the expense of Biden and Harris.
PRESIDENT TRUMP: "How do you like my garbage truck? This truck is in honor of Kamala and Joe Biden." pic.twitter.com/7UwMZ8syvx
— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) October 30, 2024Trump’s tongue-in-cheek and unapologetic style energizes his base. Embracing the garbage meme, Trump appeals to everyday, working-class Americans as refreshingly down-to-earth. He also took the time to sincerely assure Americans that they are not garbage.
President Trump is about to get off Trump Force One…and head over to the MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN Garbage Truck here in Wisconsin… pic.twitter.com/XpqvRFqgJv
— Dan Scavino Jr.🇺🇸🦅 (@DanScavino) October 30, 2024Internal Biden-Harris Conflict?
The Biden-Harris relationship has also become a focal point of discussion across voter groups, with each side interpreting this dynamic differently. Many speculate that, behind closed doors, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have a rocky relationship where, intentionally or inadvertently, Biden ends up damaging her with his public comments.
Even among those who do not believe there is animosity between the two, most agree that Biden is not helping Harris on the campaign trail. This was once again demonstrated by confusion and disgust at images of Biden biting babies at the White House Halloween Party.
President Trump is mingling with garbage men at his rally in Wisconsin.
— Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) October 31, 2024
Meanwhile, Joe Biden is literally BITING BABIES at the White House Halloween Party.
WTF IS THIS TIMELINE? pic.twitter.com/wYIzsDjxDtRepublican Criticism
- GOP voters see Harris as complicit in Biden’s failures, viewing her as an ineffective extension of his administration.
- Many Republicans speculate about bad blood between the two, suggesting Biden may be intentionally undermining her.
Unenthusiastic Democrats
- While Democrats acknowledge Harris’s historic role, there is significant tension within the party.
- The base voices frustration over Harris's ineffectiveness both as VP and on the campaign trail.
- There are also questions about the division she causes among different groups like Muslims and black men.
Independent Ambivalence
- For Independents, Harris’s visibility compared to Biden raises questions about leadership within the administration.
- Many express sentiments suggesting Americans have “forgotten that Biden is president.”
- This group wants an action-oriented administration, and the perceived lack of coordination among Democrats is causing some to reconsider their support.
01
Nov
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Reactions to Kamala Harris’s closing pitch in Washington, D.C. were tepid. There are significant obstacles for her, with criticism and skepticism largely overshadowing positive responses.
I am in Kamala Harris’s Ellipse rally crowd in D.C., and her whole crowd is angry pro-Hamas voters chanting “Intifada Revolution.” A Kamala victory means all these “lovely” people standing behind me will be coming to “protest” in your town. President Trump is the only one with… pic.twitter.com/xNg3Jl6ilb
— Charles R Downs (@TheCharlesDowns) October 29, 2024Voter Sentiment
- Sentiment toward Harris’s closing pitch skews heavily negative, with approximately 70% of comments expressing critical perspectives on her message and policies.
- While some supportive voices resonate with her emphasis on democratic values, the dominant tone is critical.
- Primary criticisms focus on issues like immigration, corruption, and perceived leadership failings, and her lack of support for Palestine.
Independents
- Around 82-85% of Independents express skepticism or opposition to Harris’s messaging.
- Many Independents are frustrated with her approach to the border, seeing her policies as disconnected from their concerns.
- Americans perceive her as out of touch with citizen needs, viewing her focus on unity and democracy as insufficient to address immediate crises.
- Only 15-18% expressed support, typically referencing her work for marginalized communities, though this support was notably less intense than the criticisms.
Language Patterns
The language on social media is charged and polarized. Key negative phrases—such as “inept,” “failure,” and “delusional”—paint a picture of Harris as lacking the capacity to address critical issues.
Negative terms related to immigration and law enforcement, like “open borders” and “corrupt judges,” further intensify the critical narrative, as commenters often challenge her ability to lead on pressing national issues.
Supportive language, though less frequent, often contains “democracy,” “freedom,” and “hope,” portraying Harris as an advocate for marginalized groups. However, this positive language is overshadowed by the stronger negative critiques.
Independents
Language among Independents reflects heightened skepticism, often using vivid and direct critiques of Harris’s policies. Terms like “open borders” and “draining Social Security” capture the most common concerns.
The rhetoric suggests Independents view her priorities as misaligned, prioritizing illegal migrants over American citizens. Other terms like “defund the police” and “intifada” reveal an intense reaction to what they see as her radical policies. Many protesters, even in her own base, are furious about Harris’s support for Israel.
Just a few seconds in and Kamala's already getting drowned out by sirens. pic.twitter.com/Fype2ThqP2
— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) October 29, 2024Convincing Undecided Voters
Harris’s narrative, focused on unity and social justice, struggles to resonate with undecided voters. They voice distrust and anger in response to her closing message.
The dominant critique from undecided voters is the disconnect between her rhetoric and American priorities. They say her messaging lacks the substance needed to sway them. Keywords like “inefficiency” and “self-seeking” further emphasize a view of Harris as unable to address critical issues convincingly.
Critiques often emphasize Harris's lack of authenticity, with terms like “pandering” and “lip service” describing her message. Harris’s focus on unity falls flat in the wake of divisive rhetoric from Harris and, during her closing speech, from Joe Biden.
Shriveling Enthusiasm
Any enthusiasm generated by her closing pitch is modest and likely unable to counterbalance the significant opposition. Supporters rallying behind her message are literally drowned out by protests from angry Democratic voters and disillusioned Independents. Many Americans view her policies as radical and impractical.
Independents say her closing pitch leaves them feeling disconnected rather than energized. There is a sense of disenchantment rather than engagement. Harris’s efforts to invoke pride or urgency appear largely ineffective, particularly overshadowed by Joe Biden’s comments calling Trump supporters “garbage.
01
Nov
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The online conversations of the past day continue charged discussions as the U.S. election approaches. There is significant engagement around cultural topics, the economy, border security, and recent campaign rallies. MIG Reports data shows Trump still leading the top discussion topics in both volume and sentiment.
The election is literally just people on the Diddy list vs people who want to be able to afford groceries.
— Elon Musk (Parody) (@ElonMuskAOC) October 26, 2024
Do you agree? https://t.co/tK8CU98EwcCulture, Ideology, and Alienation
Ideological divides are growing stark between the two sides. The most recent symbol of this chasm is President Biden's comment calling Trump supporters "garbage." This remark incited considerable backlash, particularly among MAGA supporters who see the comment as emblematic of a broader disdain from political elites.
- For many Trump supporters, Biden’s rhetoric confirms their belief in a hypocritical leftist agenda that uses one-sided cultural blame to demonize conservatives.
- Biden and Harris Democrats frequently emphasize MAGA voters as extremist, describing them as a threat to democratic values.
- These discussions heighten polarization, with voters expressing skepticism about the potential for national unity under the current leadership.
Still the Economy, Stupid
Economic issues remain central to the discourse, with inflation and rising living costs consistently vehicles to criticize the Biden-Harris administration.
- Voters recall lower inflation rate and better wages under Trump, contrasting this with current financial strain.
- While Harris claims to have big plans for middle-income economic relief, skeptics argue her policies are idealistic and lack practical or feasible implementation.
- Border security concerns intersect here as well, with many saying lenient immigration policies worsen economic strain.
- Many believe Trump’s economic strategies are more effective, hoping for a return to successfully managing inflation and stimulating job growth.
Border and Public Safety
Discussions around border security further sentiments that the current administration has failed, leading to increased crime and economic burdens.
- Trump supporters want a hardline approach, arguing strict immigration policies are necessary to maintain safety and economic stability of American citizens.
- The tone often reflects frustration with Harris’s inability to address the social and economic challenges caused by unchecked immigration.
- People want a law-and-order leader like Trump, whose proposed policies promise strict enforcement and deportations.
Rhetoric at Trump and Harris Rallies
Trump and Harris rallies are also a focal point, with commenters closely scrutinizing both candidates’ crowds, messaging, and optics.
- Harris’s recent rally at The Ellipse drew attention for its scale, despite being upstaged by Biden’s “garbage” comments.
- Trump’s events continue to face criticism from Democrats and the media over controversial humor and “American First” messaging.
- Biden’s comments about Trump supporters add to this charged environment, further polarizing voters who see these statements differently.
- Both sides receive criticism for their rhetoric, campaign priorities, and ideologies, underscoring the emotional weight of this election.
Housing Crisis Worries Americans
Skyrocketing housing costs continue to concern voters, particularly as many struggle with rent affordability or buying a home.
- Critics say Biden-Harris policies prioritize special interests over citizen needs, with some suggesting lax immigration exacerbates the housing shortage.
- The overlap of economic and housing issues indicates a public demand for urgent solutions that address affordability.
- Biden’s recent comments about Americans only intensifies frustrations among voters who see this election as elites versus average people.
01
Nov
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Joe Rogan's podcast allows public figures to connect directly with a vast and ideologically diverse audience—bypassing traditional media. And this election cycle, online content creators and podcasters have eclipsed the legacy media in audience reach, and potentially also influence.
Many voters believe, with internet generations joining the voting ranks, legacy media outlets—which are now facing a credibility crisis—could be obsolete before the 2028 cycle.
Donald Trump’s recent appearance on “The Joe Rogan Experience” had more than 40 million views on YouTube alone, just five days after its release. Rogan also posted the entire interview on X, implying YouTube may be throttling the video. Now, voters are discussing the impact of the three-hour-long interview, along with the pressure Kamala Harris is facing to sit with Rogan as well.
Since there's an issue with searching for this episode on YouTube here is the full podcast with Trump pic.twitter.com/sl2GTUaWdE
— Joe Rogan (@joerogan) October 29, 2024Comparing the Risks and Rewards
The disparities in voter reactions show contrasting risks and rewards for both candidates. For Harris, the stakes are high, as her recent media appearances have not created an image of a proficient or confidence-inspiring leader. Democrats fear an unscripted interview would not make her more relatable but expose vulnerabilities in her policies.
For Trump, the Rogan interview played as on-brand for his persona. This is a double-edged sword as many voters cannot be swayed in his direction with more exposure. Others, however, feel the conversation’s comprehensive and casual tone made Trump more appealing to moderates.
Harris Stakes
- Vulnerabilities: High potential for a challenging, possibly damaging interview experience.
- Reward Potential: Could humanize her and bridge gaps with undecided voters.
- Base Voter Risks: Many Democratic voters see Rogan’s platform as hostile territory, losing enthusiasm if she were to appear.
Trump Stakes
- Strengths: Rogan’s unformatted style aligns well with Trump’s communication approach.
- Reward Potential: Further cements his position as a no-nonsense leader who has a depth of knowledge and willingness to speak openly.
- Moderate Risk: Potential to alienate some moderate Independents, though many in this group already have an immovable negative opinion.
Her Base is Scared She’ll Bomb
Democratic voters don’t want Harris to go on Rogan, voicing skepticism and concern. They voice their strong reluctance, centering caution around Rogan’s format, which often promotes freewheeling dialogue, challenging guests directly. They view this as a risk to Harris’s image, especially given the scrutiny she is facing over all her public appearances.
Democrat Reactions
- 70% of Democratic voters discourage Harris from appearing on Rogan, citing concerns his audience and style could expose her to intensified criticism.
- 10% say an appearance could sway undecideds toward her, a low figure exclusive to those who believe she’s a capable and competent leader.
- Key Concerns: Democrats fear an interview could backfire, as any missteps would be widely circulated and potentially weaken her already wavering campaign.
Rogan himself has commented, saying a Harris sit-down is not out of the question. However, his post can also be read as critical, saying the Harris team will not go to his studio and want to limit the interview to one hour.
Also, for the record the Harris campaign has not passed on doing the podcast. They offered a date for Tuesday, but I would have had to travel to her and they only wanted to do an hour. I strongly feel the best way to do it is in the studio in Austin. My sincere wish is to just…
— Joe Rogan (@joerogan) October 29, 2024Independents Think She’ll Faceplant
Independent voters, typically more open to alternative media and diverse perspectives, advocate for Harris appearing on Rogan. They emphasize the importance of new media, but also express skepticism about the likelihood a Harris sit-down could change their votes.
Moderates and Independents responded mostly positively to Trump’s interview. They recognize Rogan’s platform could present Harris with an opportunity to connect authentically with voters, but many also believe she is not capable of doing so.
Independent Reactions
- 60% of Independents say Harris should go on Rogan, viewing it as a chance for her to address criticism and try to humanize her image.
- 30% say it could positively shift their view of her, only half of those urging her to accept the invitation.
- Key Concerns: Independents doubt Harris’s messaging and relatability will improve with longform content, raising further questions about her authenticity.
Rogan: "I'll give you 3 hours to say anything you want to America on the most popular show in the country."
— hoe_math (@ItIsHoeMath) October 27, 2024
Kamala: "No."
Leftoids: "So brave. Stunning."Reactions to Trump’s Rogan Interview
Donald Trump’s appearance on “The Joe Rogan Experience” resonates strongly with his base. Conservative and right-leaning Independents widely celebrate the three-hour conversation, viewing it as an unfiltered display of his commitment to America and his breadth of knowledge.
Even among some undecided voters, Trump’s unapologetic style on Rogan’s platform resonates as authentic, further distinguishing him from traditional politicians.
Right Leaning Reactions
- Trump supporters view his Rogan appearance as reinforcing anti-establishment sentiments, particularly contrasting Harris’s controlled media performances.
- Independents are divided. Some found the candid conversation appealing, humanizing Trump. But others find his rhetoric polarizing.
- For many, Trump’s unfiltered approach is refreshing. Though his divisive image still alienates some moderate and undecided voters.
The Broader Political Implications
MIG Reports data suggests a Rogan appearance for Harris could be a high-risk, high-reward gamble. Her base appears unconvinced of the benefits, while Independents offer only tepid support.
Meanwhile, Trump supporters praise both Trump’s performance and Rogan as a pioneer in the new media space. Many who distrust mainstream media, calling it biased and in Democrats’ pocket, say presidential politics crossing into digital media is a positive shift.
Voters are also discussing recent news that GOP VP candidate J.D. Vance is also scheduled to appear on Rogan before election day. Increasing anti-establishment feelings and distrust in legacy media suggests traditional outlets may be facing death throes.
@JDVance will sit down with Joe Rogan tomorrow - Live Updates - POLITICO https://t.co/7zK2uee79D
— Joe Rogan Podcast (@joeroganhq) October 29, 202431
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Only a few days prior to Election Day, voter discussions are tense. The atmosphere around Trump and Harris is fraught with tension, worry, and anticipation. Daily top discussion topics include:
- Culture issues
- The economy
- Border security
- Housing
Trump continues to hold a major advantage in social media discussions and a smaller edge in sentiment.
Trump Dominates Discussion Volume
Across the four top topics, Trump significantly outpaces Harris in mention volume:
- Trump gains nearly 20,000 daily mentions compared to Harris's 8,520.
- Voters discuss him more, both positively and negatively.
- The disparity suggests Trump’s rhetoric and policies elicit a greater response.
- Support for Trump on border security and economic deregulation contrast starkly with the criticisms from his detractors.
In contrast, Harris’s comparatively limited public engagement may indicate lower enthusiasm:
- Lower levels of attention may demonstrate Harris’s challenge connecting with voters.
- Those who could perceive her policies as either overly cautious or insufficiently distinct from Biden’s may not feel the need to weigh in.
- Her lower engagement on core issues potentially suggests a voter base that is less energized or divided in their support.
Trump’s Slight Sentiment Advantage
Though Trump’s higher volume might imply broader reach, the sentiment attached to both candidates is tighter.
- Excluding rallies, Trump leads Harris by a slight margin, holding an average sentiment score of 44.25% compared to Harris's 43.5%.
- A minor advantage suggests, despite divisive rhetoric, Trump’s stance on core issues resonates more positively with voters
- Those seeking strong leadership on economic and border policies are particularly positive toward him.
Culture Issues
Ideologies and culture war issues are relatively evenly matched for both candidates at 44%.
Trump
- This parity highlights the sharp cultural divide among Americans, where each candidate represents a competing ideological vision.
- Trump supporters view his cultural stances as a defense against progressive overreach and Democratic “dehumanization” of conservative values.
- There’s intense backlash against comments made by Democratic leaders and media who call Trump voters “Nazis,” “fascists,” and “garbage.”
Harris
- Harris’s alignment with progressive causes receives a mixed reception.
- While some view her as a voice for inclusivity and social justice, detractors interpret her policies as leaning too far left, threatening American values.
- Harris faces difficulty in uniting a broad coalition under a progressive platform, particularly moderate or non-woke Democrats.
Economic Issues
Economic issues a top issue in the 2024 race, with Trump holding a slight sentiment advantage—44% versus Harris's 43%.
Trump
- Trump advocates emphasizing his commitment to deregulation and tax reductions, which they argue will spur economic growth and alleviate inflationary pressures.
- They say he represents a return to a more business-friendly, self-sustaining economy.
Harris
- Harris’s unclear economic policies receive mixed responses.
- Her tax proposals, particularly on unrealized capital gains, are portrayed by critics as burdensome on the middle class and small businesses.
- Her supporters argue these measures will reduce wealth inequality, but critics frame her policies as economically harmful.
- Voters struggle between seeking economic equality and fearing increased government control.
Border Security
Border security is another critical area where Trump has an edge—43% to Harris's 41%. Frustration is high regarding Biden-Harris immigration policies.
Trump
- Trump’s tough stance on immigration resonates with voters concerned about resource allocation and national security.
- There are repeated grievances about Democrats prioritizing illegal immigrants over veterans and struggling Americans.
- Sentiment is urgent and concerned, with many voicing fears that current policies undermine public safety and strain social services.
Harris
- Harris’s role as “border czar” draws substantial criticism, with opponents framing her as ineffective in controlling the border.
- People say she’s indifferent to the consequences open borders have on American communities.
- There is public anger over drug trafficking and crime, with Harris getting blame as unwilling or unable to address the issue.
- Her supporters counter by advocating for policies of inclusivity and support for migrant communities.
Housing
Housing sentiment is balanced at 46% for both candidates. There is shared public frustration over affordability and living costs which transcends partisan lines.
- Rising housing expenses, coupled with inflation, fuel widespread discontent.
- Trump supporters argue his approach to deregulation and reduced taxes fostered a more affordable housing market.
- Harris supporters emphasize her efforts toward housing reforms aimed at long-term affordability and protections for vulnerable groups.
- However, proposed initiatives are overshadowed by the immediate economic strain Americans feel.
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