Trump Has All the Momentum a Week from November 5
October 28, 2024Key Takeaways
- In the home stretch of the presidential race, Trump is gaining steam, threatening to overtake Harris in toss-up states and putting VA and NH in play.
- Nationally, Trump has a strong 52% support compared to Harris’s 45%, maintaining a lead for the last 30 days.
- Voters cite the economy as a top issue swaying them toward Trump, as wells as lack of clarity and leadership from Harris.
Our Methodology
Demographics
All Voters
Sample Size
24,000
Geographical Breakdown
Swing States
Time Period
7 Days
MIG Reports leverages EyesOver technology, employing Advanced AI for precise analysis. This ensures unparalleled precision, setting a new standard. Find out more about the unique data pull for this article.
With just a few more days until the election, MIG Reports data shows Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris 52% to 45% and growing stronger. Recent polls suggest Trump’s message of economic recovery is resonating among an increasingly dissatisfied electorate, while the Harris campaign shows all signs of collapse and panic.
Economy Tops the Charts
Voter frustrations with inflation and the rising cost-of-living continue to dominate conversations. Americans feel the Biden-Harris administration has failed to remedy the economic situation. They also express doubt and confusion about Harris’s campaign proposals for the next four years.
- Inflation and Everyday Expenses: Soaring prices for groceries and gas are straining American families. Many recall the lower cost of living under Trump’s administration, leading them to voice support for his return to office.
- Independent Swing: Independents are leaning toward Trump 2-to-1, showing decisive momentum shift in the last few months. These voters prioritize economic stability over party loyalty and view Trump as the best solution.
Clarity and Vision Versus Confusion
Trump’s message of “law and order” and promises to “Make America Great Again” once more resonate strongly with voters who seek decisive, pro-America leadership.
- Restoring National Pride: Trump is a rallying figure around strong national pride, low taxation, and economic recovery. Harris’s focus on social issues is not resonating with voters who cannot afford their bills.
- Election Integrity Worries: Trump’s emphasis on election security is energizing his base. Meanwhile, Harris faces challenges overcoming accusations of elitism and failing to clearly make her presidential pitch to Americans.
Swing State Dynamics
In critical swing states, the economic landscape is tilting the scales in Trump’s favor. Swing states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Ohio show Independents breaking for Trump, often revolving around the economy.
- Economic Concerns: Voters in swing states want a Trump economy. They see his tax policy and trade-focused strategies as essential to addressing inflation.
- Discontent with Democratic Messaging: Harris’s focus on abortion and social justice is not a high enough priority for undecided voters in these states. They demand clear answers on concrete economic plans.
- Turnout and Enthusiasm Gaps: Trump’s rallies in these regions attract large, motivated crowds, suggesting high voter turnout potential. Harris’s campaign events show lower energy, particularly among young and minority voters.
Down-Ballot Implications
This momentum isn’t limited to the presidential election—down-ballot races are also reflecting similar sentiments, with an evident lean toward Republican candidates.
- House and Senate: Republican candidates, particularly in districts hard-hit by inflation, are benefiting from Trump’s economic message, showing potential for flipping critical seats in November.
- Conservative Resurgence: MAGA down-ballot candidates are leveraging his momentum, fueling voter mobilization in suburban and rural areas. Even some Democratic candidates are beginning to use friendly messaging toward Trump.
- Split-Ticket Voting: Some voters also express a willingness to split their tickets to balance local needs with national considerations.