Alongside border security, the economy and inflation are quickly becoming some of the most important issues to American voters in 2024. Many people are worried about the rising costs of daily life — from food prices to insurance rates, utility bills, and home prices. There's a strong sentiment of frustration, with people feeling "crushed" by the skyrocketing costs.

Many people are saying they’re forced to cut back on non-essential spending to afford basic necessities. Voters are growing more worried about rampant inflation making everyday expenses difficult to manage. They also voice concerns about the potential for war and its economic consequences.

Across the country, there is a sense of apprehension about the future. People are becoming worried about a looming recession or economic crash. They express anxiety about the potential impact on Americans’ retirement savings and long-term financial plans.

Housing is a Particular Sore Spot

The rising cost of housing and rent is a significant concern for voters across the political spectrum. Some on the left believe rent control is a solution, while people on the right more frequently advocate for the development of more housing.

There are many reasons Americans feel frustrated with their housing costs. They cite reasons like cost of rent, home purchase prices, property taxes, insurance costs, preferential treatment for illegal aliens, and low supply.

Property Taxes and Insurance

A common complaint is that fewer and fewer Americans can afford to buy a home. But for those who do own, rising costs of property taxes and insurance are unavoidable. Voters talk about how property taxes, which are often based on the assessed value of a property, are making homeownership prohibitively expensive.

There are discussions about the methods used to determine property values for tax and sale purposes. A lot of people feel these valuation methods are flawed, leading to inflated tax values and unfair taxation. Many also complain about the high percentage of property taxes, depending on the state they live in.

The frustration over property taxes seems especially vocalized in states like New Jersey and New York. There is blame and dissatisfaction with politicians for how they've handled various tax increases. Many Americans say these actions can easily influence their voting decisions.

Drastically rising homeowner’s and renter’s insurance costs are also a contentious point of frustration for Americans. This is usually mentioned along with high rents, rising utility costs, and insufficient income growth.

As an example, people in Florida discuss skyrocketing insurance rates, which are driving away buyers and causing home prices to fall for sellers. New buyers cannot enter the market with skyrocketing insurance costs or the inability to obtain coverage like flood insurance.

Rent and Market Prices

The impact of high housing costs on quality of life and financial stability is a recurring theme in online discussions. People discuss the challenges of saving and investing when housing costs are high — and many say they fear they’ll never be able to afford a home.

A dominant topic is concern about home prices continuing to rise, even as interest rates rise — especially in markets like San Diego, Florida, and Idaho. Americans talk about how high prices, interest rates, and utilities often cause housing to cost more than 50% of their income.

There’s a growing discussion about the fact that wage growth has not kept pace with housing costs. This is a widespread negative point of view for most Americans, regardless of political affiliation.

Future predictions about the housing market and home prices are a popular topic. Both experts and laypeople speculate about how the housing market could look in the near future. There are fears that prices could continue increasing, pushing more people out of the market. But the inverse fear also exists with a potential market crash, causing many who bought at current interest rates to lose their homes.

Illegal Immigration

Within frustrations about high taxes, there’s discussion about how tax revenue is spent by the government. Many people are complaining about taxpayer-funded programs for illegal aliens and more government workers. They argue that taxpayer money should be used to improve public services like education, law enforcement, and assistance for veterans.

There's significant negativity about the use of government resources to support immigrants with housing, food, phones, and services. Many people decry benefits given to illegal immigrants when so many American citizens are struggling to make ends meet. The perception by many people is that politicians prioritize illegal immigrants over their own constituents.

A particular sore point for many voters is the fact that citizens who pay taxes are forced to cover their own expenses along with those of people who do not pay taxes at all. There is a sentiment that low housing supply is only exacerbated by the influx of foreign nationals into the country. Many suggest restricting immigration rates could potentially lead to lower housing prices.

Overall Inflation Costs

The entire discussion about housing costs in the U.S. is ensconced withing larger worries about the overall economy and demoralizing inflation. In general, there’s frustration at perceived unfairness in the American economy.

Voters on both the left and the right point out an unfair distribution of the tax burden. Democrats tend to point out the rich as needing to pay more. Republicans lament the tax burden on middle class Americans.

Increasing food costs, gas prices, interest rates, costly travel and services, and insufficient wages are all common points of dissatisfaction. The cost of groceries alone on many Americans is making it harder for them to maintain their standard of living. Nearly everyone expresses their concern about how long this trend will continue.

Furthermore, there's worry that climate and energy policies could lead to further inflation. Some believe the climate agenda could spark new price hikes on food, adding to the financial struggles of many Americans.

Criticism of the Biden Administration

A significant portion of people attribute rising costs to certain political figures or administrations. Democrats tend to blame the Trump administration, and Republicans tend to blame Biden. Regardless of whose fault it is, most people agree on the need for more effective government action to control rising costs.

Most Americans agree that prices were better under the Trump administration. However, the reasons why cause disagreement along partisan lines. Liberals argue that inflation is a global issue, not just a problem in the U.S. They suggest the pandemic disrupted supply chains and labor markets worldwide, leading to increased prices.

Conservatives point out that inflation was relatively low during Trump’s administration, which happened to be right before the pandemic. They argue that pandemic spending started the ball rolling, but the Biden administration has severely worsened the situation.

• Inflation is in the top five topics people have discussed in the last 30 days regarding Joe Biden.
• Along with border security, many people say inflation is a top three issue in the upcoming 2024 election.

In general, Democrats tend to view Biden’s economy more positively than Republicans. However, negativity has been growing on both sides. This sentiment among Americans is at odds with how the media and the administration talks about the economy.

• Fewer and fewer people believe the media’s framing of America’s economic situation.
• Republicans tend to be more negative toward the economy in 2024.
• It is likely that the disparity between how the media discusses inflation and how American voters feel is convoluting opinions on the subject.

Messaging Analysis

The issues that are of most importance to younger voters in this presidential election are primarily focused on financial stability and fairness. There are concerns about high taxes, especially property taxes, which they feel are an unfair burden on them. Younger voters feel that the government is taking more than it should from hard-working people and they're seeking changes to this system.

There's also disappointment in the perceived corruption and cheating within the government, particularly when it comes to the issue of tax evasion by wealthy individuals. This sentiment is closely tied to a desire for greater transparency and accountability in politics. Some of the top issues include:

• Economic Policy: Many young voters are worried about economic inequality and the financial struggles faced by many Americans.
• Mental Health: There's a growing recognition among younger voters that mental health is a critical issue that deserves greater attention and resources.
• Education: Young voters are particularly concerned about the state of education in the United States.
• Health Care: Access to affordable, quality health care is a top concern for many younger voters.

Talking About

Approval

Economic Issues

Analysis reveals a wide variety of sentiments among young people towards economic and financial issues. A dominant theme is a concern about high property taxes, especially in states like New Jersey and New York. There is a sense of dissatisfaction among young homeowners who feel overburdened by what they perceive as excessive taxes. Some are advocating for the elimination of residential property taxes, arguing that homes are personal property and should not be subjected to such taxes.

Another issue of concern for younger voters is the perception of state-specific economic conditions. Some refer to "loser blue states" and "winner red states," indicating a polarization of views along political lines. In this context, the "loser" states are seen as having high taxes and unfavorable business conditions, while pushing young business owners and workers to consider moving to "winner" states where they believe their economic prospects would be better off.

There is also discontent about how tax money is spent. Some younger voters believe funds are misused or diverted to unworthy causes, leading to suggestions that they might stop paying taxes. This indicates a distrust in how government handles fiscal policy.

Some express anger about perceived unfairness in the tax system, specifically pointing to wealthy people or corporations that utilize loopholes to avoid paying high taxes. This sentiment might be tied to broader concerns about economic inequality.

On the topic of personal finance, there's a sense of urgency about changing the conventional financial wisdom. Young people are questioning traditional advice, such as going to school, getting a job, paying taxes, and investing in the stock market, suggesting they feel these paths may not lead to financial security in the current economy.

There is worry among younger people about the rising costs in areas like New York, with some linking it to high taxes, crime, and immigration. There is a shared feeling among some young people that these conditions are pushing out long-term residents.

In summary, the economic concerns of younger voters revolve around high property taxes, the misuse of tax revenue, disparities in the tax system, changes in personal financial management, and the high cost of living in certain regions. Their views often align with their political leanings, impacting their perception of different states' economic condition.

Swing States – Economic Issues

Opinions on economic issues differ sharply based on political bias. There are recurring themes like taxes, housing, homelessness, and business climate, which seem central to most demographics.

Many users, especially those who identify as supporters of former President Trump, express concerns about high taxes. They believe high taxes are punitive to successful businesses and individuals, particularly in states like New York and California. They argue that states with lower taxes, such as Florida and Texas, offer a better business environment.

Affordable housing is also a critical issue. Some younger voters accuse Trump of being racist for allegedly refusing to rent to black people in the past. Others lament the high cost of rent and the financial struggles associated with it, suggesting that this is a significant concern among many young voters.

Homelessness is another recurring theme, with users expressing empathy for the homeless. Some younger people believe the problem has worsened under current leadership, suggesting dissatisfaction with the government's handling of the issue.

The issue of job opportunities also features prominently. Some younger voters accuse politicians of insider trading, suggesting a belief that the political elite is corrupt and self-serving. This sentiment could indicate dissatisfaction with perceived inequality in the job market and the economy at large.

Swing States

As the spotlight continues to shine on illegal immigration, many voters understand the problems of economic migrants impacting the economy, cartels bringing drugs into the country, and increased crime in sanctuary cities. But Americans are now starting to express fears of a larger, more global threats beyond Central and South American migrants and the cartels.

China’s Power is Growing

A lot of Americans are talking about China’s significant and increasing global power. Some argue that governments in Iran, Russia, Israel, America, NATO, and the European Union can all be bought by China – and may have already been bought. The perceived control of China over world affairs is a major concern.

Voters continually express apprehension about China's alignment with Russia, Iran, and North Korea. The potential for these alliances to result in terrorist activities or geopolitical instability is a recurring theme in the discussions. Americans sound increasingly alarmed at China’s potential threat to U.S. national security through the economy and illegal immigration.

As it relates to the border, more people are beginning to speculate that Chinese nationals are among the many illegal immigrants a truant U.S. government is allowing to stream into the country.

There are increasing fears about potential threats these illegal crossings pose from the Chinese government, including espionage, sleeper military cells, and other forms of interference.

Americans are concerned about the potential of military-age single men coming from China across the southern border for unknown but threatening purposes. There are speculations that an “invasion” is taking place not only by Central and South American migrants, but Chinese nationals and other antagonistic countries.

More and more Americans insist that the U.S. should prioritize its own security interests before international interests. They express frustration with what they see as inaction and incompetence by our country’s government.

U.S. Business and Politics in the Pocket of China

There is a significant and vocal segment of Americans who express suspicions that American politicians and corporations are being influenced by China.

Many people mention politicians like Gavin Newsom and Nikki Haley, and CEOs like Mark Cuban as supporters of open immigration policies and submission to China’s interests. Some accuse Haley of encouraging illegal immigration by promoting policies that benefit foreign companies, such as bringing the Chinese corporation Bluestar Silicones to South Carolina.

More and more, American voters express fears that the U.S. is being put economically, politically, and now possibly militarily at the mercy of China.

Some other concerns that often come up related to China’s influence in the U.S. include:

• Fears that China is buying vast amounts land across the country.
• Discussion of China’s use of technology and artificial intelligence for cyber warfare.
• Apprehension about China’s control over TikTok and its social surveillance.
• Talk about China’s potential to invade Tiwan as the U.S. sits idly by.

Sentiment toward China tends to be slightly higher among Democrats. Although, Republican sentiment has fluctuated slightly more in the last 15 days.

• The 15-day average sentiment toward China is 47% among Democrats and 46% among Republicans.

Overarching Border Fears Move Sentiment Prior to the Election

The conversation about China’s potential threat at the southern border is roiling under the surface of a larger illegal immigration conversation. A January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll showed that immigration surpassed inflation as the most important issue to American voters. MIG data confirms this poll with 30-day trending topic analysis.

• Border security generated more online discussion in the last 30 days than economic issues.
• Both border security and the economy are in the top five overall discussion topics.
• Average sentiment for border security is 45% compared to 46% for the economy.

Many voters are expressing outrage over the perceived misuse of their tax dollars, particularly when used to provide for illegal immigrants. Americans argue that their hard-earned money is being used to fund services and benefits for illegals, which they find unjust. This sentiment is particularly strong with recent news of New York City Mayor Adams' plan to provide $10,000 Debit Cards to undocumented immigrants.

More people are saying that increased crime and economic drain are top problems caused by unchecked illegal crossings. Instances of crime involving illegal immigrants are often highlighted when people advocate for stricter immigration control.

Discussion shows increasing resistance to the idea of amnesty for illegal immigrants, with some insisting that illegal entry should be penalized rather than condoned. The need to finish building a wall along the southern border is also commonly suggested.

Many voters criticize Biden for his ineffective handling of the border crisis and an unwillingness to act in the interest of Americans. Words like "invasion” and “infiltration” are being used more frequently. Voters repeatedly lament the growing strain on public resources, such as schools and social services. This coincides with existing concerns about the economy, rising costs, and unchecked government spending.

A final concern that many, especially Republicans and conservatives, vocalize is the potential political implications of continued open border. Americans worry about the influence of illegal immigrants on the electoral process, accusing Democrats of using the influx of potential new voters to secure votes.

Border sentiment is consistently lower among Republicans than among Democrats. However, negative discussion about the subject is widespread among all voter groups.

The recent $355 million fraud ruling against former President Donald Trump in New York City is driving new questions about the U.S. justice system being weaponized against political opponents. Democrat Judge Arthur Engoron’s ruling in a case filed by New York’s democratic Attorney General Letitia James, has sparked controversy, deepening existing divisions between Republicans and Democrats, online trend analysis and sentiment tracking shows.

The controversy is a lightning rod, with Republicans seeing the unprecedented $355 million fine as a biased attack on a political challenger during an election year.

A Deutsche Bank executive testified in Trump’s defense against the charges, saying the bank, and Trump, followed the bank’s rules in valuing assets at the center of the fraud trial. Democrats are framing the trial as holding Trump accountable for his financial dealings, saying no one is above the law. Meanwhile, the former president leads Biden in both national and key swing state polls. The repercussions of the ruling are rippling through media and policy debates, showing deeply entrenched partisan sentiments, with some wondering if courts are now a tool for punishing political opponents. 

Republican Response

Republicans are criticizing the NYC fraud ruling against Trump as an extension of power by democrats. The ruling has also underscored Republicans’ commitment to the former president. Some Republicans have drawn comparisons between Trump's alleged financial misdeeds and the corruption scandals plaguing the White House. Their claims have initiated a broader conversation about political accountability and the rule of law and what it means to wield power in America.

Republicans are concerned the Biden White House is corrupt, perceiving that government institutions, including the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the FBI, have been weaponized against political rivals. Biden's alleged involvement in the theft of classified documents during his tenure as a senator and vice president has added to the fire. Some Republicans have gone so far as to draw parallels to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s arresting rivals, framing the White House within a broader narrative of political persecution.

Trends show Republicans see the fraud ruling against Trump as indicative of a larger pattern of bias and corruption, suggesting a political agenda behind the legal proceedings. In scrutinizing the legal process, they have been able to underscore their belief in the need for fairness and impartiality. Republicans have maintained focus on the integrity of the legal proceedings in discourse.

Emphasizing Trump's accomplishments, particularly in areas like border security and economic stability, Republicans have also been aiming to highlight Trump’s accomplishments against the Biden administration's handling of key issues, including persistent inflation, crime, open borders, and the national debt having gone parabolic. Critics of the White House have been able to set Trump’s accomplishments and the legal attacks they say are political persecution by democrats against the backdrop of White House policy failures.

Democrat Response

On the Democratic side, the NYC fraud ruling against Trump is wielded as a weapon to disqualify the former president. Democrats, in turn, see media coverage of the Biden administration missing the White House’s student loan forgiveness efforts and success in maintaining its border policy. They insinuate a lack of accountability or consequences for Trump, the fraud trial being one of the former president’s many legal cases. They also emphasize potential misuse of classified documents and even allege that Trump may have sold such documents to foreign leaders.

Democrats are responding in kind to the recent DOJ report claiming Biden was unfit to stand trial with concerns about Trump's potential misuse of classified information to pay legal fees and questioning the former president’s mental capacity.

They also question the legitimacy of Republican criticisms, especially regarding Biden's handling of the deficit, contrasting it with claims about Trump's tax cuts benefiting billionaires and contributing to the growing deficit. 

Economic Fallout

Beyond the political realm, the ruling against Trump may cause economic havoc, particularly in New York’s business and investment climate landscape. Some see fallout on the horizon: will the targeting of political adversaries accelerate an exodus of investors from New York? Analysts are wary the prospect of political bias in legal proceedings may discourage businesses from continued investment in states with high taxes, such as New York, Illinois, and California

Some Republicans express apprehension about the broader economic implications, suggesting that the ruling could have negative consequences for state budgets, public services, and infrastructure. If businesses and investors feel vulnerable to political lawfare, they may choose to relocate or reduce their activities, leading to a decrease in tax revenues for the affected states.

On the other hand, Democrats are countering these claims by emphasizing the moral implications of the ruling. They argue that the economic concerns raised by Republicans are a diversion from Trump's financial dealings. Democrats contend that holding individuals accountable for financial misconduct is crucial for ensuring a fair and just economic system.

Conclusion

The NYC fraud ruling against Trump has become a lightning rod for political division, with Republicans and Democrats interpreting the decision along partisan lines. The controversy has exposed live questions as to whether the rule of law is on the line, and whether the justice system is a tool to punish political adversaries. The fallout contributes to a widening gap between the two political camps. As debate unfolds, the impact of this ruling on the political landscape and the 2024 election remains to be seen. Even so, the controversy has exposed massive fissures in perception of American courts as upholding equality before the law.

Analyzing the political climate in Brazil and understanding the reasons behind the popularity of Jair Bolosnaro and the unpopularity of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva requires a nuanced understanding of the socio-political dynamics of the country. Additionally, a key factor is the absence of a political race. Without a ballot box to decide on, all Brazilians can voice their discontent to the country’s current leader.

Head to Head - Bolosnaro and da Silva

Talking About - Bolosnaro and da Silva

Sentiment - Bolosnaro and da Silva

Bolosnaro

Jair Bolsonaro has gained popularity for several reasons. Firstly, his tough on crime stance resonates with a significant portion of the Brazilian population, who are tired of high crime rates and corruption. His commitment to reducing bureaucracy and promoting economic liberalization, which includes privatization of state-owned companies and reduction in state intervention in the economy, appeals to the business community and the middle class. Bolsonaro’s nationalist rhetoric, his commitment to traditional family values, and his stance against political correctness also appeal to a significant portion of the Brazilian populace. Furthermore, his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, despite international criticism, has found support among those who prioritize economic stability over stringent lockdown measures.

However, there are many factors that have led to a decrease in Bolsonaro's support. His perceived mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic, with Brazil having one of the highest death rates in the world, has led to widespread criticism. His environmental policies, particularly his handling of the Amazon rainforest fires, have been controversial both domestically and internationally. Furthermore, accusations of corruption and nepotism within his administration have led to decreased trust and support.

da Silva

As for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, or Lula, his popularity has suffered due to a variety of factors. The largest among these is the corruption charges that led to his imprisonment, tarnishing his image and that of his Workers' Party. Despite overseeing a period of significant economic growth and implementing social programs that lifted millions out of poverty, Lula’s legacy has been overshadowed by the corruption scandal.

However, there are factors that still generate support for Lula. His social programs, including Bolsa Familia, continue to be popular among the lower income population. His ability to maintain economic stability during his tenure is also remembered positively. Furthermore, Lula maintains a strong base of supporters who see him as a victim of political persecution, and his recent legal victories have led to a resurgence of this support.

Holocaust Comments

Analyzing the Brazilian public's reaction to Lula's comments, it's clear that his statements have stirred up significant debate. Lula da Silva, President of Brazil, made a controversial comment comparing the situation in Gaza to the genocide committed by Hitler during the Holocaust. The comments have ignited a passionate response among Brazilians, with the public appearing to be sharply divided.

The narrative reveals that a significant portion of Brazilians agree with Lula, expressing their support for his stance on social media. They argue that Lula's comparison is valid, viewing the conflict in Gaza as a war between a well-equipped military and innocent women and children. These supporters believe that the Israeli government's actions toward Palestinians are akin to genocide, and they are not shy about voicing their opinions. They accuse Globo, a major Brazilian media outlet, of supporting genocide due to its perceived lack of critical coverage of the issue.

However, not all Brazilians agree with Lula's statements. His critics accuse him of trivializing the Holocaust by comparing it to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. They argue that Israel has the right to defend itself and that Lula's comments cross a red line. This group believes that Lula's comments are harmful to the Jewish community and, in some cases, have even led to calls for his punishment.

It's important to note that the Israeli government has taken offense to Lula's comments, leading to a diplomatic strain between the two nations.

Lula's detractors accuse him of supporting terrorists and dictators, using the phrase "Lula é" followed by the names of organizations and leaders such as Hamas, Iran, Hezbollah, Maduro, and others. They argue that Lula is aligning Brazil with these entities, thereby endangering the country's international standing and potentially its safety. They call for Lula's impeachment, citing Article 5 of Law 1079/50, which prohibits acts of hostility against foreign nations that could lead Brazil to war or compromise its neutrality.

These critics also express their support for Israel and the Jewish people, condemning Lula's comments as anti-Semitic and rejecting his comparison of the situation in Gaza to the Holocaust. They argue that Lula is unfairly vilifying Israel while ignoring the actions of Hamas and other groups they view as terrorists.

In conclusion, Lula's comments have sparked a heated debate among Brazilians. While some agree with his comparison of the Gaza conflict to the Holocaust, others vehemently denounce his remarks. This difference in opinion among Brazilians underscores the complexity of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and its global impact.

Impact to Support - da Silva

ICE may begin the mass-release of illegal immigrants after the failed border bill, but many Americans are unaware, online trends show. In the wake of the ICE bombshell, online discussion increased only slightly, indicating border policy fallout may be delayed.

• While the border remains a top election issue, early February’s House battle over the widely criticized Border Bill saw peak discussion volume, reaching nearly 30,000 online mentions.
• Trends show widespread dissatisfaction with the Biden Administration’s policies and the worsening situation on the US southern border.
• However, by February 14, discussion was down by two thirds, barely crossing 10,000 mentions in the wake of the failed so-called Border Bill, which would limit illegal border crossings to 5,000 per day.
• The data suggests that Americans are unaware of the implications of continued border security issues as volume decreases, yet negative sentiment remains stable.
• Border sentiment has held within a few percentage points of 45% for the last 30 days and sits at 45% as of February 15.

Competing with wars in Ukraine and Gaza and the DOJ Special Counsel Report questioning President Biden’s fitness for office, border security has dropped to sixth place among trending topics. Yet the undiscussed bombshell—that ICE may be set for the widespread release of detained illegal immigrants—has yet to explode.

Top issues online:

1. Biden – special counsel report
2. Security issues – Ukraine and Israel
3. Ideologies – Wokeism
4. Economic issues – taxes and inflation
5. Palestine – Gaza and Hamas
6. Border security – illegal immigration

The discussion around ICE’s potential mass release is limited, according to MIG data. But there is a clear sentiment among those who are discussing it that illegal immigrants should be deported immediately upon encounter with law enforcement.

What People Are Saying About the Border

Discussion of the border falls predictably within partisan lines, even as democrats’ sentiment on the border has eroded. A clear theme is that huge numbers of illegal entries are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore, and more Americans now call for stricter border control and mass deportations.

• Mass Deportations: Many Americans are expressing frustration and anger towards immigration policies they perceive as lax, calling for mass deportations and closing the border.
• Sentiment tracking shows the Border is linked with a host of other critical issues: Americans are worried about crime, terrorism, and the economic burden associated with illegal immigrants.

• There are also increasing accusations of treason against individuals who support open border policies.
• Double standards: trends show dissatisfaction with preferential treatment for illegals, such as bypassing TSA screening at airports and benefits funded by American taxpayers.
• Discussion of ICE is limited, but existing trends show a critical stance toward the agency for releasing illegals into the US—which could happen at scale in the wake of the Biden Administration’s battle with the House.

Blame to Go Around

While discussion has simmered in the wake of the bill’s failure, trends show Americans’ anger over the border persists.

• Republican voters are accusing the Biden administration of lying and gaslighting the public in its claims the administration lacks the authority to close the border.
• The few Democrats who have reacted to the border crisis are blaming Republicans and, more specifically, Donald Trump.
• Some defending the Biden administration claim immigrants contribute to the economy and pay taxes.
• Liberal voters criticized Republican lawmakers for blocking the legislation, which would have permitted 5,000 illegal border crossings each day. But increasingly, democrats have turned on the Biden Administration’s handling of the issue.

Impeached DHS secretary Alejandro Mayorkas also received attention in the wake of his House impeachment inquiry.

• On the day of his impeachment, and the following day, discussion about Mayorkas increased from roughly 500 to 1,500 mentions.
• Approval for Mayorkas actually increased from 45% to 46% on the day of his impeachment.
• This indicates that, despite widespread dissatisfaction with the border, Americans are not fully on board with Republican political tactics.

However, along with negativity toward House Republicans, the public discourse around Mayorkas is under fire, with calls for his ouster.

• Many are arguing Mayorkas was derelict in his duty from day one, and that his impeachment is direct fallout from his handling of the border.
• Some are unsatisfied with Mayorkas as the target for inquiry, suggesting Mayorkas’ and DHS’ problems with the border extend to Biden and the White House.
• Even among some Republicans, there is belief that impeaching Mayorkas will not solve the underlying issue, as the Biden Administration will likely replace Maryorkas with someone equally unfit.
• There are also criticisms that the House Republicans have spent more time trying to impeach Mayorkas than they have spent actually securing the border.
• There is speculation that President Biden will scapegoat Mayorkas’ DHS to shift blame away from his administration.
• The Senate's ability to convict Mayorkas is unclear, with the real possibility a Senate trial would end in acquittal.

Overall, trends indicate Americans are unhappy with officials and lawmakers across the board when it comes to the southern border. Even as the border has lost ground to war and security issues in trending discourse, sentiment shows deep underlying negativity among Americans about the number of illegal immigrants entering the country.

Security issues have obscured the prospect of widespread ICE releases of illegals, the fallout of which remains to be seen.

The National MS Society is facing severe backlash online for forcing a 90-year-old volunteer to step down from her position. The Society said Fran Itkoff was not "inclusive" when she sought clarification about the organization’s requirement to use pronouns.

Itkoff volunteered 60 years for the MS Society before being ejected, but the internet came to her defense, generating significant blowback for the organization.

• Many accused the organization of exemplifying “woke culture” and reacting excessively.
• Some called for donors to boycott the organization, alongside those who say they’ve donated in the past and will now stop.
• Itkoff’s dismissal has sparked outrage, with some stating they hope the organization fails after her unceremonious firing.
• A lot of the criticism emphasizes pronoun policies as especially harmful to older people, like Itkoff, who are unfamiliar with the concept.
• Itkoff was apparently not objecting to their use, but simply seeking clarification, revealing a ruthless intolerance among those who claim inclusion.
• The discussion begs the question: why are organizations forcing absolute adherence to new and highly contested norms?
• Sentiments reveal Americans are tired of the focus on pronouns detracting from organizations’ stated mission, in this case, helping people with multiple sclerosis.

Pushback Against Gender Ideology in American Discourse

Itkoff’s expulsion also reflects a broader debate and polarization around woke organizations and the clear divide in America over social justice, DEI, and required gender inclusivity.

• American sentiments increasingly see these initiatives as "woke" and "leftist," as partisan discussions continue to dominate more aspects of American life.
• Brands such as Dove and the “He Gets us” Super Bowl advertising campaign sparked recent controversy over inclusion’s continued march through American life.
• Many Americans are critical of both the politicization of the ads and the Super Bowl itself.
• While some see these social inclusion efforts as important for creating equity in America, Americans increasingly perceive gender ideology and DEI as a partisan political agenda.
• Many right-leaning voters are particularly upset about enforced use of pronouns, believing this to be an imposition on personal freedoms and an affront to reality.
• Sentiments show that Americans are frustrated with DEI and pronoun requirements in increasingly politicized workplaces and schools.

The Right Claims Cultural Wins Against Woke Organizations

After the widely successful Bud Light boycott last year, conservatives and right-leaning voters have continued to claim cultural victories. And now, backlash to Itkoff’s dismissal shows that Americans are asking: can the country have a multiple sclerosis charity that … fights MS?

• Some claim that organizations drifting into a “woke” agenda, like the National MS Society, should face consequences.
• Along with the Anheuser-Busch and Target boycotts, conservatives also claimed the resignation of Harvard president Claudine Gay in a DEI backlash capped with a major plagiarism scandal reaching the highest levels of the academy.
• Recent data shows a significant and growing level of concern around the protection of freedom of speech, and its perceived suppression.
• Many Americans feel their voices are being silenced by censorship, particularly from social media platforms and woke businesses.
• Conservatives, especially, are speaking up against what they perceive as woke coercion and are expressing their outrage.
• More people are saying they feel insulted and gaslit by those woke organizations that are increasingly forcing their agenda on customers, employees, and students.

Online discussion about woke, LGBTQ, and trans ideologies remains consistently between 8,000 and 10,000 mentions daily. Sentiment toward these issues also trends in the low 40% range, sitting at 44% today.

The discourse surrounding FISA reauthorization, Rule 702, Rule 613, and other domestic spying topics is highly polarized and fueled by mistrust in the government throughout the political spectrum. In terms of political party affiliations, Democrats, Republicans, and Independents all express concerns about government surveillance, though for different reasons. Republicans and Independents appear more likely to link it to fears of a police state, while Democrats connect it more to civil liberties.

Democrats

• Seem to be more supportive of surveillance measures as necessary tools for national security, but express concerns about potential abuses of power and invasions of privacy
• Some Democrats are supportive of the FISA reauthorization, arguing that it is a crucial tool in combating terrorism and maintaining national security.
• Others are concerned about civil liberties and privacy rights, asserting that the current laws give too much power to intelligence agencies and lack proper oversight.

Republicans

• More skeptical about government surveillance, viewing it as an excessive overreach of power. They fear that such measures could be used to manipulate elections and control the population.
• Some, particularly in the conservative wing, see FISA and its rules as essential for national security and believe that potential abuses could be mitigated through better oversight.
• Libertarian-leaning Republicans are worried about government overreach and violation of Fourth Amendment rights.
• MAGA shows a divided opinion
  • Some express support for strong national security measures, including surveillance, to combat threats.
  • Others, however, share the concerns about government overreach and potential misuse of power.
  • This division is also influencing the discourse around the upcoming general elections, with some Republicans arguing that the party needs to take a firm stance on this issue.

Independents

• Display a range of opinions, but many echo the fears of government overreach seen from Republicans and concerns about personal privacy
• Among Independents, the focus tends to be more on personal privacy rights. While some acknowledge the need for strong intelligence gathering capabilities, many express concerns about potential abuses and the lack of transparency in the surveillance process.
  

Trending Concerns

1. Excessive government surveillance and potential misuse of such power.
   2. The impact of domestic spying on personal privacy.
   3. Potential for election manipulation through surveillance.
   4. The constitutionality of FISA reauthorization, Rule 702, Rule 613, and similar measures.
   5. Stricter gun control measures and their impact on the Second Amendment rights.
   6. The link between mental health issues and mass shootings.
   7. The effectiveness of gun control laws in preventing mass shootings.
   8. The role of media in shaping public opinion about these issues.
   9. The impact of COVID-19 on the push for surveillance and gun control.
   10. The potential for these issues to influence the upcoming general election.

American’s Shared Fears

The general public's worries seem to center around potential abuses of power and violations of privacy, the balance between security and liberty, and the potential for political bias in surveillance practices. These concerns could indeed play a role in the upcoming general election, as voters weigh the importance of these issues against other pressing matters like the economy, healthcare, and climate change.

1. Distrust of Government: A significant portion of the public does not trust the government, regardless of party lines. This is especially true for matters related to domestic spying and surveillance.
   2. Concerns over Deep State: Many Republicans believe in the existence of a 'deep state' that is attempting to undermine President Trump and his allies. Some are using this belief to promote skepticism about the upcoming election.
   3. Alleged Corruption: Democrats are voicing concerns about alleged corruption within the Trump administration, particularly regarding the use of domestic spying and foreign interference in elections.
   4. Cryptocurrency and Surveillance: Some independents are concerned about the potential for government surveillance of cryptocurrency transactions, viewing it as a tool of the 'deep state'.
   5. Lack of Transparency: There is a widespread sentiment that the government is not transparent enough about its surveillance practices, leading to distrust and conspiracy theories.
   6. Fear of Foreign Interference: Both Democrats and Republicans are worried about foreign interference in the upcoming election, although they disagree on who is responsible and the extent of the interference.
   7. Media Manipulation: There are fears about media manipulation by the government, with some believing this is a tool used by the 'deep state' to control public opinion.
   8. Abolishment of the Deep State: Trump supporters, in particular, are calling for a dismantling of the perceived 'deep state', viewing it as a necessary step to restore trust in the government.
   9. Rule 702 Concerns: Many are concerned about the reauthorization of Rule 702, which allows for the warrantless surveillance of non-U.S. citizens abroad. Critics argue that this rule can be used to indirectly spy on American citizens.
   10. General Election Tensions: All of these issues are contributing to heightened tensions and polarized attitudes leading up to the general election. There is a widespread concern that domestic spying and foreign interference could impact the election's outcome.

Talking About - Weaponization of Government

Sentiment - Weaponization of Government

As the news spreads of a possible disqualification of Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis from the Trump RICO case, the public response is a mixed bag. The main issue revolves around Willis's alleged personal relationship with Nathan Wade, a special prosecutor she appointed to manage the election interference case against Donald Trump.

Overall, it seems the potential for Willis to be removed from the case has heightened skepticism about the validity of the charges. A significant portion of the public raises concern about the potential implications on the integrity of the judicial process. This seems to be a general trend, despite clear partisan divides on this issue.

In online discourse, the top keywords related to Fani Willis are largely generating negative sentiment.

Sentiment toward Fani Willis related to the various allegations dropped noticeably when a hearing on her possible dismissal was announced.

• Trump and Willis saw similar sentiment in the high 40% range prior to the hearing news.
• After her misconduct hearing was announced, Willis dropped to 40% and Trump held at 46%.

It is evident that Democrats and Republicans view this case very differently based on political opinions. However, sentiment toward allegations against both Trump and Willis is similar among all voters, dropping slightly across the board as news about the hearing is released.

Republicans Accuse Willis of Politicizing the Justice System

In general, Republicans are very critical of both Willis’s actions and the RICO case itself.

• They argue that Willis is politically biased and has used her position to target high-profile political figures including Trump.
• Republicans believe that her connections to the Democratic Party, particularly her alleged meetings with the Biden administration, are evidence of this bias.
• Critics also claim that her campaign fundraising was partially illegal, suggesting corruption.
• They believe she is more interested in aiding Biden's 2024 campaign than prioritizing public safety and the rule of law.
• Many on the right argue Willis’s relationship with Nathan Wade is inappropriate and simply the appearance of conflicts of interest compromise the impartiality of her office.

Democrats Insist No One is Above the Law

For their part, Democrats tend to support Willis and, even more strongly, the case she’s bringing against Trump.

• Democrats point out that Willis is a highly qualified prosecutor who is committed to upholding the rule of law.
• They argue that her investigations into Trump is not the result of political bias, but rather a reflection of her commitment to holding everyone accountable, regardless of their status.
• Supporters also dismiss the allegations of illegal campaign funding, noting that they are unproven and potentially politically motivated.
• Many on the left argue that these allegations are attempts to undermine Willis's credibility and reputation.
• There are assertions that Willis and Wade’s private lives should not be used to judge their professional competence.
• Democrats claim that male figures in similar positions often maintain private lives without facing the same level of scrutiny.

Doubling Down on Trump Support

With more evidence of a politicized judicial system, many on the right and in the center are arguing in favor of Trump.

• Continued legal attacks on Trump, which seem to be fast falling apart, elicit accusations that the "Deep State" is politicizing the courts.
• Allegations that Willis misused state and federal funds have been a key topic, with many expressing their desire for justice and transparency in the political sphere.
• There is a considerable amount of frustration among many different groups who view the situation as an example of corruption and a disregard for the rule of law.
• There are voices lauding Congressman Cory Mills for introducing a bill aimed at removing Willis from her position.
• Some are hailing the prospects of Willis's disqualification as a victory for Trump, suggesting that the allegations against Willis undermine the credibility of the entire case.
• Many Americans seem to be concluding that bias and corruption are being revealed within the legal establishment against Trump.
• There's a sentiment among some that Willis, along with other prominent Democrats like Hillary Clinton, Nancy Pelosi, and Barack Obama, are given a "pass" despite perceived wrongdoing..

While Republicans are largely leading the objections against a potentially politicized judicial system, this sentiment seems to be spreading to other voter groups as well.

Objections of Racism

In defense of Willis, Democrats and others on the left take the other side of the politicization argument.

• Many Democrats counter with the argument that Willis’s misconduct hearing is a result of Republicans weaponizing the court against her.
• There are arguments that "black women in charge" are subjects of excessive criticism.
• Supporters suggest that Willis's potential disqualification is part of a broader pattern of American biases that black, female leaders are incompetent or corrupt.
• Supporters also accuse Republicans of attempting to punish Willis for maintaining a private life alongside her professional responsibilities.
• Many dismiss the allegations against Willis as an attempt to distract from Trump's alleged misdeeds.
• Many on the left assert that Willis is being unfairly targeted due to her race and gender and that she is facing heightened scrutiny which white or male DAs would not.
• Overall, those on the left see the possible removal of Willis as a potential setback in the pursuit of accountability for Trump's actions.
• Among this group, Willis's potential disqualification does not necessarily invalidate the indictments.