Dangerous Ground: Biden’s War Approval is Shrinking

July 21, 2024 Dangerous Ground: Biden’s War Approval is Shrinking  image

Key Takeaways

  • Sentiments towards President Biden on national security issues are overwhelmingly negative, with broad criticisms of his foreign policy decisions.
  • There is widespread distrust and resentment towards Biden’s policies and perceived lack of cohesive strategy.
  • The discussions reflect deep polarization and divergent narratives about Biden’s effectiveness as a leader in addressing critical security concerns. 

Our Methodology

Demographics

All Voters

Sample Size

20,000

Geographical Breakdown

National

Time Period

7 days

MIG Reports leverages EyesOver technology, employing Advanced AI for precise analysis. This ensures unparalleled precision, setting a new standard. Find out more about the unique data pull for this article. 

Exclusive MIG Reports data reveals a trend in overall sentiment toward President Joe Biden’s war strategies is predominantly negative. This confirms sharp divisions among American voters and criticisms from various ideological perspectives.

Ukraine Failure

Sentiment about Biden's handling of the Ukraine conflict is overwhelmingly critical. Many believe his approach has either exacerbated tensions or failed to achieve meaningful resolutions. Critics argue Biden's cancellation of PMC (private military company) support to Ukraine and the potential halt in delivering F-16 fighter jets suggests a capitulation to Russian pressure.

American sentiment is fueled by accusations that his administration has been too lenient or ineffective in counteracting Putin’s advances. This is widely interpreted as a sign of weakness or political appeasement. These sentiments were only exacerbated when, during the 2024 NATO summit Biden referred to Ukraine’s President Zelensky as “President Putin.”

  • Voter discussions about Ukraine and Israel are both trending negative.
  • In the last week, Biden’s approval on Israel dropped to 40% and his approval on Ukraine dropped to 44%.

Israel Failure

Another major topic of discussion is Biden’s approach to the Israel-Hamas conflict. Some praise his efforts to broker a ceasefire and acknowledge the progress made towards a ceasefire-hostage release deal. But others view his policies as misguided or insufficient.

There is rampant sentiment, especially among progressives and some isolationists on the right, that Biden’s support for Israel is too strong. This leads to accusations that Biden is facilitating the ongoing violence by enabling Israeli military actions.

Moreover, his claims of having done more for the Palestinian community than previous administrations are met with skepticism and ridicule. Pro-Palestine voters repeatedly point out the ongoing devastation and humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

  • As the election draws closer, Biden seems to be losing ground on national security approval compared to Trump.
  • While Biden enjoyed a lead a week ago, the last few days have seen him sink below Trump’s approval to 39% compared to Trump’s 46%.

Iran and China Disapproval

The sentiment around Biden’s broader foreign policy is further colored by criticisms of his administration’s dealings with Iran and China. Some link his decision to re-enter the Iran nuclear deal framework, and the release of funds to Iran, to increased tensions and conflicts, particularly in the Middle East. Furthermore, there are fears that Russian military data might be shared with China, potentially undermining U.S. strategic advantages.

Home Front Failure and Seeking Change

Biden’s domestic policies, which are impacted by national security, also generates negative sentiment. Critics highlight his failures in border security, saying he’s allowed increased illegal immigration and potential security threats. The chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan continues to loom large in public sentiment as well, with many seeing it as a blunder that has emboldened America's adversaries.

Rhere is palpable frustration from some quarters regarding media double standards and misinformation. Allegations that mainstream media has been complicit in covering up or downplaying Biden’s failures are constant. This feeds into a broader narrative of mistrust towards government and media institutions, which many believe are becoming increasingly partisan.

Furthermore, MAGA voters tend to frame Biden’s policies as failures when juxtaposed with Trump’s achievements. This group argues, under Trump, the U.S. experienced peace and higher global standing. Under Biden, they say there has been an upsurge in global conflicts and crises.

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