Jobs and Political Loyalties: Emotion Drives Economic Discussion

September 05, 2024 Jobs and Political Loyalties: Emotion Drives Economic Discussion  image

Key Takeaways

  • Discussions about jobs often debate the effectiveness of Biden's post-COVID job recovery and the trustworthiness of reports.
  • Voter sentiment is mixed, with about 57% expressing skepticism or dissatisfaction with job numbers and recovery, while 43% are more optimistic.
  • Economic policy discussions, particularly around taxes and inflation, are largely negative, with 62% expressing frustration or opposition. 

Our Methodology

Demographics

All Voters

Sample Size

4,100

Geographical Breakdown

National

Time Period

7 Days

MIG Reports leverages EyesOver technology, employing Advanced AI for precise analysis. This ensures unparalleled precision, setting a new standard. Find out more about the unique data pull for this article. 

MIG Reports analysis of voter sentiment on jobs, the jobs market, and unemployment shows the likely impact on the upcoming general election in November. Online discussions around jobs are prominently influenced by political figures and policies.

Regaining Jobs Lost During COVID

Discussions about job creation dominate the conversation, highlighting contrasting viewpoints on the effectiveness of recent administrations. Voters talk about job creation, unemployment, Biden, and Trump. Many point out claims from both political parties regarding job growth and recovery, referencing statistics claiming millions of jobs were added post-COVID under the Biden administration.

Some voters believe these increases merely reflect a return to pre-pandemic employment levels. They attribute job losses to COVID measures, which were later regained. Suggestions about gaining back lost jobs account for 35% of the discussion, showing a sustained focus on the interpretation of employment trends. This sentiment is also supported by previous MIG Reports analysis on overall skepticism toward government job reports.

Sentiment Trends

Voter sentiment around job creation appears mixed. Many express optimism about reported job growth under the Biden administration. Others voice skepticism, often characterizing the reported figures as misleading or exaggerated.

  • 57% express concern, criticism, or dissatisfaction regarding job numbers
  • 43% indicate a belief in positive economic trends

People also discuss economic policies and their perceived effects on the job market. This includes discussions on corporate taxes, government spending, and their implications for employment. Discussions refer to "tax hikes," "corporate flight," "stimulus," and "inflation," suggesting discontent around Biden-Harris polices and proposals. This topic occupies about 28% of comments, with significant public engagement around Harris’s economic platform.

Sentiment around economic policy is negative:

  • 62% express frustration or opposition to proposed tax increases or regulatory changes.
  • 38% support Harris’s policies for long-term economic stability and job security.

Unemployment, particularly concerning historical rates and ongoing economic challenges, emerges as a prevalent discussion point.

Unemployment comprises 22% of discussion, with:

  • 30% expressing optimism based on current lower unemployment rates
  • 70% expressing anxiety over job security and the potential for recession

The Emotions of Politics

Emotion plays a huge role in how people engage with political and economic discussions. While economic conditions are critical in shaping opinions, voters do not always react in a rational or direct manner. Many times, people view the economy through a personal and emotional lens, filtering facts through personal experience and bias.

A prominent trend, however, is skepticism about data. Voters express suspicion about reported job numbers and inflation rates—this points to a growing distrust in institutions and leadership. American often turn to alternative narratives or confirmation biases that align with their pre-existing views.

General skepticism is part of a wider cultural trend where trust in traditional authorities like governments, media, and even data is declining. This causes people to become disillusioned or cynical. In this sense, emotion and skepticism feed into each other—people may feel betrayed by institutions, amplifying their skepticism.

Beyond emotions and economics, many are swayed by their political identity or broader social groupings. Discussions about Trump and Biden-Harris not focused solely on jobs—they reflect political identities. Many voters defend or attack economic policies based on whether they align with perceived values or party affiliations.

Holistic Understanding

MIG Reports analysis suggests many voters are often more moved by emotion and identity than pure economic circumstances. Economic impacts matter, but they are frequently filtered through personal feelings and ideological lenses. Someone struggling economically might still express support for policies or leaders they feel resonate with their values.

Stay Informed

Analysis

  • 10

    Sep

    Pre-Debate: Trump Leads Harris and is Growing Stronger  image
  • 09

    Sep

    Debate Forecast: Voter Sentiment Prior to Trump-Harris Debate  image
  • 09

    Sep

    Running Mate Effect: How Voters Talk About Walz and Vance  image