MIG Reports analysis of American voter perspectives reveals how sentiment determines voting choices based on key issues. Many issues remain partisan, with Democrats supporting Kamala Harris’s stance and Republicans supporting Trump’s.

Independent voters are likely to be a critical voter group in 2024, enhancing the importance for each candidate to appeal to them. Several trends in sentiment and behavior overlap, suggesting a rough sketch of these voting demographics and indicating where they may place votes.

The top voter issues generating volume consistently over time are:

• The U.S. border
• Economic concerns
• Ideological disagreements
• National security and international affairs
• The Trump and Harris presidential campaigns

Voter conversations vary across political affiliation, with different emphasis and sentiment within each.

Border Security

There is strong disapproval toward Biden-Harris border policies and calls for a return to Trump-era measures which were more effective. Much of the conversations revolves around illegal immigrants and the perception of open borders. Voters are dissatisfied with the Biden-Harris administration, citing concerns about unchecked immigration, national security, and rising crime rates.

Kamala Harris's role as border czar often leads to criticism and accusations that she is failing to secure the border. Many also say she is actively encouraging illegal crossings. The discussion also ties border security to broader social issues like crime and the economy. People believe the impact of illegal immigration touches many areas of American life. This suggests border security will be a critical issue as Americans cast their votes.

Trump Voters

Republican conversations about the 2024 election highlight border security as a critical issue. There are strong sentiments favoring Donald Trump’s policies over Kamala Harris’s. Because people link immigration policies to other high-priority issues like national security and economic concerns, its importance increases.

Voters are frustrated with the Biden-Harris administration, saying Trump's policies were more effective. The discourse frames the upcoming election as a pivotal moment, with border security presented as integral to future stability.

Discussion among Democrats and Independents is much lower than among Republicans.

Economic Issues and Housing

Worries about the economy are consistent across all voter groups, with significant worry about inflation, taxes, and government spending. There is widespread dissatisfaction with the Biden-Harris administration’s policies.

Voters associate rising costs of living and inflation with "Bidenomics” and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). Many voters view these policies as exacerbating economic challenges rather than alleviating them. There is a consistently strong narrative linking economic instability directly to government mismanagement.

There is notable discontent regarding proposed changes like the "no tax on tips” proposal both Trump and Harris have presented. Many voters are skeptical about the sincerity of these reforms, suggesting they’re simply rhetorical promises that will not be kept.

Housing Affordability

The cost of housing further amplifies economic anxieties for Americans. There is pervasive frustration in online discussion over the lack of affordable housing and rising rent and mortgage rates. People view the housing crisis as symptomatic of broader economic instability. This, many also blame on Biden and Harris.

For many voters, there is a clear overlap between economic stressors and housing costs. Many tie their financial struggles to expensive housing, blaming politicians for focusing on less important issues and neglecting critical economic realities.

Independents

Independent voters are concerned about economic transparency and fairness. The economy dominates conversations among Independents who are skeptical of the reliability of economic indicators like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and job reports. They question the accuracy of inflation data and express a desire for more transparency from the government.

Discussions also focus on the fairness of government spending. They contrast the plight of the working class with perceived preferential treatment for the wealthy, including large corporations. Sentiment is mixed, with some rejecting increased social assistance, calling it socialism, while others criticize economic inequality.

Among Independents, there is criticism of Kamala Harris’s policies. Some fear her leadership will worsen economic challenges and bring communist economic policies.

Republicans

Trump voters are optimistic about his economic policies, expressing urgency to return to his leadership and avoid further economic decline. Republicans highlight low taxes—including Trump's “no tax on tips” proposal—and tout Trump’s tax reform proposals. These, they associate with economic growth and middle-class support.

Inflation is also a significant concern as many draw a sharp contrast between today’s prices and those under Trump's leadership. Border security and immigration are frequently mentioned, as voters link these issues to economic strain. They support Trump's policies as vital for national security and economic health.

Democrats

Harris voters are more optimistic, expressing confidence in her economic management and hope in her future policies. The economic conversation is still central among Democratic voters, but it prompts them to stronger support for Kamala Harris's candidacy.

Democrats discuss trade, tariffs, agricultural prosperity, and the positive impact of Biden and Harris’s policies compared to past administrations. The term “farmers” frequently appears, reflecting a belief that Harris's strategies have reversed the hardships imposed during Trump's tenure. Democrats view Harris as revitalizing the agricultural sector and improving economic stability.

Ideologies

Americans are increasingly divided on the ideological stances of Democrats versus Republicans. There is heightened emotional sentiment and deep ideological divides regarding economic policy, social issues, democratic integrity, and perceptions of governance. These discussions revolve around terms like “socialism,” “communism,” and “America First.”

Trump supporters express strong loyalty to preserving and fighting for American values against a radical left agenda. They criticize Democrats like Harris for policies they say are socialist or communist. Many Republicans voice fears that a Harris presidency would push the country toward communism. Meanwhile, those on the left view a second Trump presidency as likely heralding fascism and authoritarianism.

Economic concerns spark ideological debates about communism versus capitalism. Conversation about social issues like gun rights and immigration draw debates about personal and national sovereignty versus safety and inclusion.

The debate over effective leadership intensifies as voters criticize both candidates. Trump supporters view him as a strong leader while critics view him as an authoritarian. Harris supporters view her as effective and historically significant while critics question her leadership and competence.

The ongoing election discussions highlight not just policy preferences but grow fears on both sides about the direction of the country. Most voters believe the ideological battleground will significantly impact America's future political landscape.

Independents

Independent voters are skeptical and frustrated with the political divide. They are engaged in ideological discussions but disillusioned with the two parties. There is a significant focus among Independents on media portrayals, political alignment, and ideological evolution.

This group is worried about the role of media, with skepticism directed at outlets like Fox News and CNN as unreliable or politically aligned. They also strongly react to the perception of radical ideological shifts in either party and decry media outlets as partisan.

Republicans

Republican voters also express widespread distrust of mainstream media. They accuse most legacy news outlets of bias, misrepresentation, and accepting talking points from Democrats. There is also disillusionment with the Republican establishment as voters call for more aggressive and principled leadership that aligns with true conservative values.

Democrats

Democrat conversations often center on governance, with mixed to positive sentiment toward Biden and Harris' ability to address challenges. Most support is underpinned by opposition to Trump, with optimism about Harris rectifying his damage to the country.

Election campaign strategies and voter mobilization are more prominent than conversations about media bias. There is both frustration and motivation among Democrats regarding the Party. Public perceptions of Harris as a candidate mix skepticism with support, showing some criticism and some excitement for her potential election.

Security Issues

Foreign policy and national security issues are also important to American voters. Discussions focus heavily on the U.S. relationship with Israel, the conflict in Gaza, and the implications of Iran's alleged hacking of the Trump campaign.

Discourse around foreign interference and military aid further exacerbates anxieties about national security. Trump voters feel indignant, arguing media portrayals and allegations of hacking are part of a broader agenda against their candidate.

The Biden administration's military aid to Israel gets most of the attention from Democrats. Conversations are charged with anger and frustration toward the Biden-Harris administration, with many accusing them of complicity in the ongoing conflict.

Independents

Independent voters are wrestling with the moral and strategic complexities of U.S. involvement in wars and conflicts. They show empathy for the humanitarian crises arising from these conflicts, particularly in Gaza. But they are wary of how protest movements alienate potential allies through extreme rhetoric or actions.

This group is skeptical about the possibility of meaningful change in U.S. foreign policy, especially regarding its support for Israel. There is general frustration with the political status quo. Despite these concerns, Independents express a strong sense of national pride. They hope for foreign policy that aligns more closely with their values and expectations of American leadership on the global stage.

Republicans

Discourse among Republican voters focuses on Iran allegedly hacking Trump’s campaign communications. They are suspicious about the security of political communications and the broader implications for national security. There is also deep distrust toward mainstream media. This group believes news outlets use incidents like this to undermine Trump's campaign.

There is anger, distrust, and a feeling of vulnerability among Republicans. They talk about the importance of national security, media integrity, and foreign influence in shaping voter sentiment. Overall, the conversations reflect a concerned electorate focused on protecting American values and the integrity of the electoral process.

Campaign Rallies

A significant focus in conversations about campaign rallies is on crowd sizes and the effectiveness of protests. Many use crowd size as a measure of political strength, with Trump supporters boasting large numbers as evidence of his influence and critics saying the claims are exaggerated.

Harris supporters claim her rallies are larger, with more popularity and better vibes. However, her rallies face scrutiny about the legitimacy of images and organic voter support, with critics accusing her of staging events and faking images. Some, however, are frustrated with the ongoing fixation about crowd sizes on both sides. They say these conversations detract from substantive political engagement.

There are also conversations about protests. Some question the lack of substantial protests at Trump rallies compared to the vocal opposition from pro-Palestine demonstrators at Harris events. People discuss the safety and efficacy of protests, fearing the consequences of heightened political tensions.

In general, discussions fall by the wayside, overshadowed by the focus on spectacle and attendance. This leaves many voters feeling as though pressing issues like immigration and healthcare are being neglected.

MIG Reports analysis shows interesting trends in perceptions of Kamala Harris—specifically of her rise in popularity since taking over the Democratic presidential nomination. Online conversations reveal various sentiments among American voters with questions and critiques about her political standing and the dynamics of her approval ratings.

Independents

Discussion Trends

Independent voters often not the sudden shift in approval for Kamala Harris, with many questioning the reasons and timing of this change. They scrutinize her sudden approval swing spearheaded by the media and Democratic Party pundits, asking: why now?

This group speculates about the factors influencing Harris’s sudden increase in support. Many express skepticism, suggesting the soaring approval reported by Democrats and some polls may stem from manipulated narratives or strategic political maneuvers rather than genuine grassroots support.

Many in this voter group are concerned about Harris’s economic understanding and leadership capabilities. Words like "delusional," "basic economy," and "make America worse" communicate a strong disapproval of her leadership. People express a lack of faith in Harris’s ability to address critical issues like inflation.

Other recurring themes suggest she was “installed," in the nomination since she did not receive a single primary vote. Some call this idea "disgusting," indicating a belief that her rise violates norms of the democratic process. These suspicions further fuel cynicism about the sudden sea-change in Harris’s public approval.

Sentiment Trends

Independent voters are doubtful, expressing some hostility and anger, with very few supportive comments. The general tone is frustration with Harris’s lack of competence and the media and Democrats’ unwillingness to acknowledge her shortcomings. Many in this group fear drastically negative consequences if Harris is elected. People speculate about the "end of America," expressing the intensity of their concerns.

Many Independents point out the fact that Harris was deeply unpopular—even in her own party—just months ago. They cite the fact that her presidential campaign for the 2020 Democratic nomination ended in 2019 because of her unpopularity. Harris’s approval ratings have also been abysmal, along with Joe Biden’s, throughout their administration.

Someone just sent this to me. It's from 2021. I never saw it before. Jimmy Dore is awesome.

I remember posting this video, it got millions of views and even liberals were bashing Kamala in the comments. Susan Sarandon even commented that Kamala is a fraud.😂

Kamala is so fake. pic.twitter.com/b88ZccEjug

— MAZE (@mazemoore) August 15, 2024

Some recognize the political elite's influence in Harris’s rise to the top of the Democratic ticket. Others prefer to move forward and focus on criticizing the effectiveness of her policies. Both attack avenues reveal widespread unease in segments of the electorate regarding Democratic leadership, direction, and policy proposals.

Harris as a polarizing figure. While there are discussions of a perceived popularity surge, skepticism prevails. There are many Independents who are so archly opposed to Trump that criticism of Harris may fall by the wayside. But skepticism about how Democratic leaders use power and the extremism of Harris’s policies does not go unnoticed. 

Democrats

Democrat voters have a diverse and evolving sentiment toward Kamala Harris, particularly as they reflect on leadership’s claims of her popularity within the party. Current conversations highlight a noticeable approval swing, prompting many to question its origins and the timing of this shift. Voter sentiment oscillates between admiration for her campaign capabilities and concerns regarding her performance in various vice-presidential responsibilities.

Pro-Kamala Means: She Isn’t Biden or Trump

Much of the positive sentiment toward Harris hinges on her opposition to Donald Trump. When contrasted with their perception of Trump, many Democrats express belief in her ability to articulate a coherent and positive message. They view this as stark contrast to what they describe as Trump’s "verbal diarrhea" and racist ravings.

Democrats talk about Harris’s "message," "narrative," and "crowds,” praising her chances to defeat Trump a second time. Supporters emphasize Harris’s large audiences at campaign rallies compared to accusations of thing crowds at Trump’s events. This pattern indicates a strategic narrative casting Harris as a dynamic, engaging candidate capable of rallying support, which seems crucial in recalibrating public approval.

Just six months ago, anti-establishment figure and comedian Jimmy Dore gained 2 million views on commentary videos mocking Vice President Harris. This criticism of her image and inconsistencies was a common trend, even among Democrats, since the 2020 Democratic primaries.

However, since Joe Biden’s withdrawal, Democratic voters have received an infusion of energy and enthusiasm. Following the first presidential debate between Biden and Trump, the Democratic Party was in despair at Biden’s plummeting odds. Replacing Biden with Harris has served to reenergize the base and incentivize those who criticized her in the past to find new admiration for their nominee.

Calcifying Racial Classes

Recent endorsements, such as from the Culinary Union in Nevada, further enhance Harris’s standing among Party loyalists. These endorsements serve as validation points that resonate with the demographic diversity of the voter base, including Latino, Black, AAPI, and immigrant communities. Harris's backing from significant organizations plays a role in enhancing her credibility and appeal among partisans.

Discourse also focuses on the claimed policy successes of the Biden-Harris administration. Supporters highlight improvements in agricultural commerce, which they claim stem from Democratic policies. The base touts Biden-Harris achievements as an antidote to perceived failures of Trump’s administration.

Sentiment Trends

Democratic sentiment trends reflect both enthusiasm and a sense of urgency as the election approaches. Supporters express a commitment to voter mobilization, with calls to action like "get off the couch and vote." The phrase "voting" alongside emotive language about unity among underrepresented groups reinforces an atmosphere of collective urgency.

Despite the positivity across many factions of the Democratic base, some skepticism and critique remain. This manifests in discussions questioning Harris’s presence on certain media platforms, with adversarial commentary about how she presents herself to different audiences.

There are some pockets of Democrats who say they cannot support Harris, including some politicians in red or purple districts. This group seems reluctant to forget why she was deeply unpopular until just a few weeks ago. They also highlight the fact that, as America learns more about her economic proposals, moderates and free market capitalists will remain opposed.

Reactions to Donald Trump’s X space with Elon Musk sparked conversations about free expression, censorship, and manipulation. Supporters celebrate Trump's unfiltered communication style, contrasting him with politically charged media narratives that selectively report on his statements. Meanwhile, many in the media are concerned X—formerly Twitter—is exacerbating divisive rhetoric.

Mark Cuban went on John Stewart to complain about Elon Musk and 𝕏 but ended up being an advertisement for why people should be on 𝕏pic.twitter.com/T3RkisMz0q

— Paul A. Szypula 🇺🇸 (@Bubblebathgirl) August 14, 2024

America Likes Raw, Unfiltered Politics

Social media conversations referencing Trump and Musk show broad appreciation for unfiltered, straightforward political conversation. Voter enthusiasm for an open dialogue and off-script discussions contrasts sharply with criticisms from mainstream media. Americans voice their desire for candid discussions by public figures, celebrating authenticity from Trump in the face of Kamala Harris’s carefully crafted image.

People recount personal stories about their paths to political engagement. There are many mentions of firsthand experiences of communism or observers beholding the unfiltered truth of Trump’s policies for the first time. These stories often involve feelings of revelation at the lies of Democrats and the media on ideological and political fronts. These accounts personalize ideological conflicts and mobilize public sentiment around shared values and experiences.

Young voter sentiment appears polarized. Some express disillusionment with traditional politics but still resonate with Trump's directness and his portrayal as an outsider. Others voice a profound fatigue towards what they perceive as Trump's divisive communication style. Detractors cite extremely polarizing moments during his presidency, specifically on issues of race and gender. TikTok analytics show Trump commanding a wide audience despite pervasive negativity about him. This suggests strong curiosity among younger audiences.

• On the day of the X space, Trump received a 2% approval boost nationally and mentions of his presidential campaign jumped to 23,543 from 16,269 the day before.

Legacy Media Hates Being Upstaged

Media outlets respond to Trump's reappearance on X as distressing and undermining. Many lament the wide reach of more than one billion listeners, expressing regret at the audience being composed largely of young voters.

🚨JUST IN: 77% OF THE 27 MILLION PEOPLE THAT TUNED IN TO TRUMP'S SPACE WITH ELON MUSK WERE YOUNGER THAN 34!

This is why the mainstream media is in MELTDOWN MODE!

Trump has the GEN-Z VOTE!

We know the FAKE NEWS won't report this.

Share to make this go viral! pic.twitter.com/M6Y8hBzwHo

— Bo Loudon (@BoLoudon) August 13, 2024

CNN on President Trump’s interview with Elon Musk:

“These are people who aren't going to tune into traditional news — who aren't going to follow politics in a traditional sense — but they are going to tune into Elon Musk doing an X space with Trump. This is a group of people who… pic.twitter.com/2PFmuUwFt1

— Proud Elephant 🇺🇸🦅 (@ProudElephantUS) August 12, 2024

Legacy media commentary often focuses on the apparent DDoS attack that delayed the start of the X space. Reporters highlight the attack as a “glitch” or technological failure, calling it a chaotic resonance of Trump's relationship with digital media. Some portray the delay as a setback for Trump, while others frame it as an irrelevant detail against the backdrop of more serious problems posed by the Trump campaign.

NEW: CNN fumes after the Trump / Musk X Space last night, slams Trump for his comments about their candidate Kamala Harris.

Mission successful.

“It began with 40 minutes of silence and then an apocalypse of politics.”

“No matter how you frame it or what caused the glitch, what… pic.twitter.com/QoabK3aast

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) August 13, 2024

Demographic and Group Responses

MAGA voters are unanimous in their excitement about the X space and Trump being back on the platform. They align themselves with his narrative about American patriotism in contrast to Democratic disdain for American values. They express urgency about the upcoming election, viewing it as a battle for the very essence of American values against leftist and communist ideologies.

Younger progressive voters are concerned over Trump's policies, particularly women’s rights and LGBTQ issues. Their sentiment often poses Trump as threatening a resurgence of authoritarianism.

Working-class voters appear highly sympathetic towards Trump's economic messaging. Many reflect on his promises of job growth and economic revitalization, arguing his policies offer a chance to restore dignity to working-class Americans. Affluent voters are more likely to voice unease about Trump’s alignment with populist rhetoric, often dismissing him as dangerous or irresponsible.

Conversations about the X space often include words like "communism," "freedom," "socialism," and "values." This highlights the ideological struggle that characterizes the 2024 election. Trump is viewed as a symbol of resistance against the left, while Kamala Harris symbolizes strong pushes for progressive change.

X is Preserving Free Speech

Americans are concerned about increasing attacks on free speech. They view the assault as part of a larger strategy by the left to suppress dissenting voices. Many express their support for Musk and Trump as hinging on their advocacy for the First Amendment. This group often suggests the DDoS attack was an attempt to banish freedom of expression, despite Elon Musk providing an open forum. This collective sentiment positions Trump supporters as guardians of liberty against rapidly receding constitutional rights.

There is a growing public anxiety about the future of American democracy on both sides of the aisle. Democrats and progressives present Donald Trump as a threat to democracy while Republicans and conservatives point to the Democratic establishment as already trampling norms and constitutional freedoms.

Comment threads on X and other platforms often contain a sense of urgency. Many view the current political climate as one of their remaining chances to make a stand for their beliefs. Phrases like “the last real worldview difference election” and calls for unity among conservatives underscore a rallying cry against socialist encroachment.

Trump on the Issues

Many voters who listened to Trump’s X space are taking the opportunity to contrast his policy proposals with Kamala Harris’s. People note that Trump touched on various important voter issues, while Harris has yet to release any meaningful policy platform.

• Since her announcement as the Democratic nominee, Kamala Harris has gradually lost support.
• She received an approval bump with announcing Tim Walz as her running mate, but the downward trend continues, showing 49% on July 20 compared to 44% today.
• Donald Trump also received an approval bump following his X space, jumping from 44% to 46% on the day of the stream before settling back at 44%.
• Discussion volume around Trump’s campaign also spiked following the X space, jumping to 23,543 from 16,269 the day before.

Fake Kamala

Conversations online contain a constant stream of condemnation directed at Kamala Harris. Voters call her a "flip-flopper," "radical," and "fake," criticizing her actions and positions. Sentiments largely reflect a perception that Harris is an untrustworthy politician who lacks genuine convictions.

Trump critics highlight the discrepancy between his rhetoric and actions, particularly on immigration and the economy. They claim he adversely affected large segments of the population, championing Harris as an antidote.

• After Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the presidential race, Kamala Harris received a significant support boost.
• However, that support has steadily eroded over the last month, dropping to 39% compared to Trump’s 58% today.

Border Security

One of the most frequently discussed topics following Trump’s X space is border security. People want stronger borders to stop illegal immigration. There is admiration for Trump's policies and stringent border controls, linking them to national safety and economic stability. Conversations portray Trump as a champion for strong borders, with discussions citing illegal crossings during his administration compared to today.

Critics accuse Trump and Republicans of politicizing border security for political gain. However, these arguments are often made ideologically rather than with references to specific policy disagreements.

Taxes

Trump’s proposal to eliminate taxes on tips is also popular. People discuss Kamala Harris’s attempt to piggyback on this policy, highlighting Trump’s comments about her being a copy-cat. Supporters say Trump advocates for the working class with tax relief measures. There is both support for Trump's fiscal policies and skepticism towards Harris’s lackluster economic platform.

Many of these conversations suggest Trump’s proposals resonate more authentically with the public.

Election integrity

Election integrity remains a salient topic in voter conversations, particularly related to Trump’s chances at the ballot box. People discuss Democratic Party tactics, mentioning "Joe Biden," and "Coup 2.0"as heightening their suspicions. Sentiments generally portray Trump as a victim of a political system designed to undermine him.

This fosters a feeling of agitation among his supporters who are concerned about secure voting procedures in November. Discourse around potential election fraud continues to be a rallying theme for Trump voters, blending feelings of indignation and loyalty toward him.

Axios recently reported the Kamala Harris campaign was using Google ads to appear as credible news stories. This paid advertising tactic is frowned upon in politics because it suggests allegedly objective news outlets support one candidate over another.

Harris’s ads framed her as the superior candidate while attacking her opponent, Donald Trump. MIG Reports analysis of conversations about this story shows voters treat this generally as unethical and shady.

The Kamala Harris campaign has been running google ads that link to mainstream media articles, but with headlines rewritten by her campaign to appear more supportive

This makes it look to people using Google that the news outlets are saying what her campaign wrote, even though… pic.twitter.com/x4chVdPS7T

— Whole Mars Catalog (@WholeMarsBlog) August 14, 2024

Sausage-Making on Full Display

The theme of authenticity and integrity permeates discussions, with frequent use of terms like fraud, lie, trust, and fake. Conversations questioning Harris's authenticity often accuse her of adopting policies for political gain rather than genuine conviction—her recent proposal for “no taxes on tips” is a recent example.

Voter skepticism extends to Harris’s communication style, with criticism that she avoids unscripted interactions and press questions. The sentiment here is distrustful, portraying Harris as a political figure lacking in genuine leadership qualities and transparent communication.

Many voters are disillusioned with political tactics and thus unsurprised by the Harris campaign’s advertising tactics. Still, with reporting on the abnormality of the ads, people voice their displeasure at mixing political campaigning with purportedly objective news publications.

Negativity also increased when the Axios reporter who wrote the story posted on X walking back criticisms of the campaign's tactics. This exacerbated distaste among voters who already view mainstream media as biased in favor of Democrats. Some also consider it an ironic implication that Democratic narratives are pushed by media outlets without ad dollars.

Harris camp doing nothing wrong and Google, which is pretty strict about banning spammy ads, doesn’t see it as a consumer harm. News outlets just collateral damage in this weird ads tactic https://t.co/xEAiW3JWNC

— Sara Fischer (@sarafischer) August 13, 2024

Show Me Your Friends, I’ll Show You Your Future

Discussions around Harris's policies often intersect with evaluations of her running mate, Tim Walz. Walz has remained in the news cycle for reported “stolen valor” through lies about his military service, combat action, and his rank. Many view this as consistent behavior among politicians.

They conclude questionable Harris campaign tactics foreshadow the deceptive strategies of a potential Harris presidency. This intersection indicates that public perception of Harris is partly influenced by her associations, leading to compounding negative sentiment from shared controversies.

• Discussions of Kamala Harris’s ideologies represent 10.5% of overall conversations about her and show lower approval.

Democrats Don’t Care

Conversations also reflect partisan sentiments, with distinct divides between Harris’s support and opposition. For instance, the hashtags and statements from Democratic voters mostly criticize the Republican Party, emphasizing a clash of ideologies. Harris supporters prioritize voting down Republican candidates, framing her as pivotal in defending rights and democracy.

This position is further demonstrated by Harris’s voter base showing no interest in policy, as the campaign continues to operate without a platform and no challenges from traditional, establishment media. Despite this, positive sentiment from Harris’s advocates is outnumbered by the more frequent and vociferous criticisms from her detractors, highlighting a polarized perception.

Public sentiment toward Kamala Harris's presidential campaign has become sharply polarized over allegations of using AI-generated images to fake crowd sizes. Conversations reveal distrust and skepticism, across multiple demographic axes, regarding the authenticity of her campaign strategies and her political stances.

Critics say the Harris campaign relies heavily on media manipulation and social media influence, suggesting her support maybe be more manufactured than genuine. TikTok influencers have claimed they were paid to promote the campaign. Other evidence emerged suggesting rally attendees were paid.

About those Harris crowds.... pic.twitter.com/7O8jL46Uoz

— Matt Braynard (@MattBraynard) August 12, 2024

There are allegations the mainstream media shelters her from scrutiny by not demanding press conferences or in-depth interviews. This critique extends to her running mate, Tim Walz, who people accuse of using deceptive narratives to obfuscate his true political intentions.

• Harris’s approval regarding campaign rallies and fundraising has declined in the last week, slipping from 54% and 53% respectively, to 48% and 46% today.

Campaigns Exchange Accusations

Posts from conservative outlets and individuals are more likely to highlight concerns about astroturfed support and fake images. They use these allegations to demonstrate their belief that the Harris campaign is fundamentally dishonest. Social media accelerates the spread of these views, as even Donald Trump posted about it on Truth Social.

This caused back-and-forth allegations between campaigns as the KamalaHQ X account rebutted Trump’s accusations. The Harris campaign also claimed Trump’s rallies are less packed than Harris’s, causing arguments about the pettiness of these political strategies.

1) This is an actual photo of a 15,000-person crowd for Harris-Walz in Michigan

2) Trump has still not campaigned in a swing state in over a week... Low energy? pic.twitter.com/VgTfoMAcuk

— Kamala HQ (@KamalaHQ) August 11, 2024

Meanwhile at @realdonaldtrump’s rally... https://t.co/uZ73w1de7D pic.twitter.com/lhCZvG4KxF

— Kamala HQ (@KamalaHQ) August 10, 2024

There is still some question about whether it is proven the Harris campaign used doctored images. But as with many issues in partisan politics, many choose the narrative and perspective they prefer, without legitimizing any of the opposition’s claims to evidence. While there is significant ire directed at the Harris campaign for being “fake” and “phony,” some on the right still argue it’s an unproductive controversy.

It damages Trump's campaign to claim something is AI when it clearly isn’t. Call me a sellout if you want, but I don't want Trump to lose over this trivial narrative about crowd sizes. He’s surrounded by bad advisors who are pushing this nonsense. We should be focusing on…

— Vivek Ganapathy Ramaswamy (parody) (@VivekRammaswamy) August 11, 2024

General Disbelief in Harris’s Authenticity

Claims about inauthenticity from Harris campaign communications extends to how Americans view her as a politician. Many criticize her communication style and public visibility, saying she relies heavily on scripts and canned remarks to mask her lack of knowledge. People accuse her of being disingenuous and phony, further cementing perceptions that she is not a competent politician.

Harris supporters downplay allegations of faked images and inauthenticity. They instead focus on the "joy" and “vibes” of the campaign, praising her as a refreshing alternative to Trump. They claim to support her policies, though many cannot articulate what those policies are. These voters often frame criticisms as partisan attacks, saying opposing Trump takes precedence over accusations about campaign tactics.

“Why are ya’ll voting for Kamala Harris?”

“I want to keep access to my bank accounts. I would like to keep making money, I don’t want to be some man’s object I really don’t. The whole thing with Project 2025 is terrifying.” pic.twitter.com/Lkb6XJLHp9

— TENET Media (@watchTENETnow) August 10, 2024

Supporters insist the enthusiasm and turnout for Harris are genuine. These proponents highlight the presence of witnesses, journalists, and photographers at her events as evidence. They call accusations a desperate tactic by opponents to undermine Harris’s rising popularity, claiming fear and defensiveness from Republicans.

Demographic Reactions

The demographic breakdown further complicates Harris’s image. Older voters tend to be more critical of her, emphasizing fears about her socialist tendencies and lack of transparency. They invoke instances of Harris “flip-flopping” on issues, saying she merely seeks to garner favor. For these voters, use of AI-altered images is indicative of a broader pattern of manipulation and dishonesty.

Younger voters are more split. Some prefer to praise Harris’s progressive policies but are also wary of the integrity issues these allegations present. Many younger voters raise questions about digital ethics and authenticity. These topics resonate strongly with a generation attuned to digital literacy, media manipulation, and the implications of technology on politics.

Gender also plays a role in shaping perceptions. Female voters, especially those identifying as feminists, often support Harris for her symbolic significance as a potential female president. Yet, they are not immune to concerns about the campaign's authenticity. Many female voters express a desire for a transparent and honest campaign, fearing any proven deceit undermines broader efforts for gender equality in leadership.

Recently, a story went viral about democratic vice-presidential nominee Tim Walz participating in an "Abolish ICE" march. This has caused discussion about his political stance on immigration issues. Overall sentiment online is negative, reflecting deep concerns about Walz’s views on the border crisis.

Tim Walz marched in an "Abolish ICE" protest in Minneapolis on June 30, 2018 https://t.co/Vi0ABaWsSa pic.twitter.com/YD7YenZbEz

— Matt Wolking (@MattWolking) August 9, 2024

The march, which occurred on June 30, 2018, was during the peak of the “Abolish ICE” movement. This suggests Walz may be influenced by the popular sentiments of leftist ideology.

Voters Want a Strong Border

Voter discussions consistently highlight Tim Walz’s beliefs, policies, and actions regarding immigration. People frequently use terms like open borders, sanctuary cities, illegal immigrants, and driver’s licenses for illegals in conversation about Walz. There is great apprehension about his support for providing state benefits to illegal immigrants at the expanse of citizens.

Most Americans view the Biden-Harris administration's open border policies as a threat to national security, prioritizing illegal immigrants over American citizens. This criticism extends to Walz who is increasingly viewed as supporting open borders.

Voters reference Walz’s comments about "ladder factories" to facilitate illegal crossings. People view his controversial comment about investing in ladders to circumvent a border wall as representative of his overall border stance.

Another critical conversation touches on the economic and social impact of Walz’s policies. Voters argue his approach drains state resources by using taxpayer funds for illegal immigrants while American citizens are crushed by inflation and taxes. Negative sentiment is often amplified by claims that his policies promote lawlessness and compromise public safety.

Americans view Walz’s record as governor, particularly his actions during the 2020 George Floyd protests, as evidence of his radically leftist stance. They speculate that actions like attending and Abolish ICE march reveals his inclination to be swayed by popular, radical leftist movements.

Critics claim Walz’s hesitation to deploy the National Guard in Minnesota allowed and escalated protester violence and destruction. This is further used to question his capability to handle a national immigration crisis as vice president.

Tim Walz: Not That Guy

Public sentiment toward Tim Walz as a potential vice president, particularly regarding his ability to manage the illegal immigration crisis, is overwhelmingly skeptical, if not outright hostile. Critics say his policies and actions epitomize the radical direction they believe the Democratic Party is taking. This narrative is bolstered by consistent claims that his policies favor illegal immigrants at the expense of national security, economic stability, and public safety.

There is a strong emphasis on the ideological divide Walz represents within the Democratic Party. Many discussions label him as a “radical leftist” or a “socialist,” accusing him of promoting extreme policies that alienate moderate voters.

Depiction of Walz as a radical are often paired with concerns about his proximity to far-left figures and policies who undermine traditional American values and governance. Sentiment trends indicate voters share negative opinions, painting Walz as unfit to handle national issues due to radicalism and past governance failures.

Democrats are attempting to frame Governor Tim Walz as the authentic, rural moderate Republicans claim J.D. Vance to be. However, this strategy may not be working, based on recent MIG Reports data.

Urban voters and liberals praise and promote perceptions of Walz as a Midwesterner with moderate appeal. Rural voters, who tend to be more conservative, criticize Walz as out of touch, calling him a “progressive costal elite’s version of a Midwesterner.”

• Since being chosen as the Democratic VP nominee, Walz’s national support has dropped from 49% prior to the announcement to 45% a week later.
• J.D. Vance is holding steady at around 49% support, with some daily fluctuation.

• In the last week, Tim Walz has generated significantly more discussion than Vance with 62,775 mentions versus Vance’s 18,262.
• Overall approval for Walz averaged 47% in the last week compared to Vance’s 48%.
• Walz’s highest support topic was Palestine at 51% in the last week and campaign rallies at 61% in the last 24 hours.
• Walz’s lowest support topic was crime at 36% in the last week and military at 45% in the last 24 hours.
• Vance’s highest support topic was housing at 50% in the last week and multiple topics at 50% in the last 24 hours, including taxation, unions, and healthcare.
• Vance’s lowest support topics was Congress at 34% in the last week and cultural issues at 48% in the last 24 hours.

J.D. Vance

Vance’s policy positions, particularly on immigration and reproductive rights, elicit strong reactions from key voter groups. His strict stance on border security and alignment with Trump’s policies resonate with his supporters. Critics accuse Vance of extremism and question his sincerity, citing past criticism of Trump juxtaposed with his current support.

Increasing Support

One of the key issues increasing J.D. Vance’s support is his military service, which many voters respect. Voters compare his service in the Marines with Tim Walz’s service in the National Guard, often mentioning allegations of Walz’s stolen valor.

American voters are also vocal about Vance’s ability to handle media interviews adeptly. His quick thinking and ability to counter mainstream media narratives generates praise from conservatives and moderates who view the media as biased.

Voters are discussing Vance's interviews on left-leaning networks like CNN. Reactions are varied but generally emphasize his confrontational and assertive style. Some admire his ability to "handle" and "unload on" liberal anchors like Dana Bash. They view his performance as showing media savviness and courage to engage adversarial platforms.

Discussions also emphasize voter beliefs that media outlets bias their coverage of Vance compared to Walz. People say Vance receives scrutiny and negative coverage whereas Walz receives praise and protection. There are accusations that Wikipedia and other platforms censor Vance’s military credentials while disregarding discrepancies about Walz’s military rank.

Decreasing Support

Vance’s controversial comments about "childless cat ladies," gender, and race generally lower his approval. Many describe these remarks as misogynistic and offensive, energizing opposition particularly among women and progressive groups. His stance on abortion and advocacy for state-level control is another source of criticism. Pro-choice advocates and moderate voters in swing states generally express disapproval.

Another point of controversy is Vance’s messaging on the Child Tax Credit (CTC). Critics point to his failure to vote on the expansion of the CTC, calling him unreliable and insincere. Some question his resolve in supporting the expansion of the CTC after missing crucial votes.

Some voters call Vance a "chameleon" who changes his tune for different audiences—an accusation his supporters direct instead at Kamala Harris. Critics claim Vance lacks authenticity, saying it erodes trust with voters who are unsure of his principles.

Geographic Support

Vance's support is more robust in conservative strongholds and rural areas. In these areas, his messages about patriotism, military service, and criticism of liberal policies resonate. In urban areas, where progressive values are the norm, voters oppose him based on his controversial image, which is perpetuated by the media.

Tim Walz

Party affiliation plays a significant role in support for Tim Walz. Democratic and progressive voters cast his efforts as necessary steps to modernize and humanize state governance. These voters prioritize social equity and see Walz as a champion of these ideals. Republican and conservative voters express displeasure, accusing him of radical leftism and threatening economic freedom and individual rights.

Increasing Support

Support for Walz is driven by his progressive policies and efforts toward social equity. Democrats appreciate his push for progressive taxation, free school breakfast and lunch programs, and his push for healthcare access.

Voters view his policies as “inclusive,” with supporters praising “basic decency” and “neighborliness.” His transformations in education, focusing on cultural teaching and ethnic studies, are positive for those advocating representation and equity.

Democrats and progressives value Walz’s alignment with the Biden administration. They laud policies bolstering social welfare, LGBTQ+ issues, and sex changes for transgender youth. This group views Walz as a compassionate and progressive leader gaining momentum among urban and younger voter demographics.

Decreasing Support

The same issues generating support for Walz also drive disapproval among conservatives and moderates. Opposition to Walz is fierce, with critiques focusing on the extremes of his progressive policies. Critics label Walz as a socialist or communist.

Republicans and conservatives say Walz exacerbates racial tensions and undermines traditional American values. They criticize his actions during the BLM riots in 2020, saying he encouraged lawlessness, violence, and destruction. Walz’s involvement in the Minnesota Freedom Fund generates accusations that he eroded community safety by bailing out violent protesters.

Critics also attack his stances on gender identity, particularly the installation of tampon dispensers in boys’ bathrooms. There is negativity toward his support for “gender-affirming care” for minors, which critics call child mutilation. Walz’s public education track record also draws criticism due to declining proficiency in reading and math among Minnesota students during his tenure.

Debates over Walz's personal history and past behavior generate negativity. Allegations of stolen valor and suspicious ties with China further undermine his credibility with voters who prioritize national security and personal integrity.

There are claims about his work as a teacher in China in 1989, his yearly visits between 1996 and 2003, and his decision to honeymoon in China. Voters say these events cast a shadow over his loyalty to America. People voice suspicions of underlying influence from the Chinese Communist Party, labeling him untrustworthy and a potential security threat. Some reference his failed security clearance in 2021, questioning whether it was due to his foreign ties.

Walz’s lack of media presence also creates frustration which extends to the overall tactics of Democrats, which some say are meant to obfuscate and hide from voters. His and Kamala Harris’s failure to engage with the media fosters doubt about transparency and accountability.

Geographic Support

Urban areas, which tend to be progressive, are more likely to support Walz. They like his policies of healthcare for illegal immigrants and social justice in education. Rural areas express growing dissatisfaction. They view his policies as out of touch with their more conservative and traditional norms. Rural and conservative voters see his policies as embracing a socialist agenda that threatens economic stability and erodes their way of life.

Supporters emphasize Walz’s potential to bridge gaps in politically diverse areas. They cite his record in the U.S. Congress where he represented a conservative region of Minnesota, despite the state’s overall blue leaning. They say he understands rural America and can identify with everyday voters. However, this image is not borne out in reactions from voters in rural regions.

MIG Reports data shows increasing conversations about potential U.S. dollar decline, the Laffer Curve, and policy hypocrisy from Kamala Harris. Americans continue to discuss the Biden administration’s fiscal policies and the failure of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).

Some say the IRA impacted the U.S. economy positively, but many criticize its results as contradicting its promises. Negative discourse also extends to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, where inflation, interest rates, and economic management strategies further polarize opinions. Overall, there is growing apprehension about America's economic future.

Many economists utilize the Laffer Curve as a general theory, though it is not an exact instrument. The Laffer Curve illustrates the relationship between tax rates and tax revenue, showing there is an optimal tax rate which maximizes revenue. If tax rates are too low, the government collects less revenue. If tax rates are too high, it can discourage economic activity, also decreasing revenue. The curve suggests both very low and very high tax rates can negatively impact revenue.

Concerns over the implications of analysis using the Laffer Curve highlight these facts:

• 2019 tax revenue per person was $12,628 while tax spending was $16,188
• 2023 tax revenue per person was $13,341 while tax spending was $18,406
• Tax revenue per person increased by approximately 5.65%
• Tax spending per person increased by approximately 13.70%

This increased government spending continues to widen disparities between tax revenue and tax spending. In recent comments, economist Art Laffer also suggested the U.S. dollar may jeopardize its status as the world’s reserve currency saying, “the U.S. government’s use of the dollar as a political weapon, through sanctions and other measures, has eroded international trust in the currency.”

Economist Art Laffer Slams US Economic Policies, Warns of Dollar's Decline as Global Reserve Currency - #Economics https://t.co/rRPRxNCTNT

— Bitcoin.com News (@BTCTN) August 10, 2024

Harris’s Hypocritical Fiscal Policy

Voter sentiment about the Inflation Reduction Act is negative. Many blame current economic struggles on this policy—including high inflation, increased IRS oversight, and elevated costs for goods and services.

VP Kamala Harris, who cast the deciding vote to pass the IRA, regularly attracts criticism in online conversations. People describe the IRA as a political maneuver that, contrary to its name, exacerbated inflation rather than mitigating it. Many people also view it as especially harmful to low-income workers.

Harris also generates extreme negativity for recent claims in a campaign speech that she plans to remove taxes on tips. People accuse her of plagiarism, pointing out that Donald Trump began promoting this concept back in June.

People point out that Harris’s deciding vote on the IRA directly contradicts her new promise. They highlight the policy’s IRS expansions to pursue taxpayers for not paying taxes. They cite that the IRS, under the Biden-Harris administration, rolled out a “tip reporting” program in February to improve tip reporting compliance.

Kamala Harris, who now claims to be against taxing tips, was the tie-breaking vote on the Inflation Reduction Act, which expanded the IRS so it could go after people not paying taxes on tips.

Incredible stuff. The most inauthentic, astro-turfed campaign in history. pic.twitter.com/9Nne61oJPi

— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) August 11, 2024

Sentiment trends are unmistakably negative when discussing Biden-Harris administration fiscal policies. People associate Harris with increased financial hardship and increasingly accuse her of disingenuous flip-flopping.

The reliability of sentiment analysis is high given the volume and consistency of negative feedback. Common themes include accusations that the IRA was a disguised effort to push progressive agendas rather than control inflation.

Voters complain that targeting tips for tax revenue, as Harris has very recently done, impacts lower income households who rely on tip wages. People allege misallocation of funds under Harris toward initiatives like climate change and say overall tax burdens on middle-class families are increasing.

Partisan proponents of the IRA and the Biden-Harris administration cite lowered prescription drug costs and clean energy advancements as key benefits. Opponents argue these benefits are overshadowed by overarching economic downturn, characterizing the IRA as a net negative.

Trump Versus Harris Tax Policies

The concept of the Laffer Curve influences discussions on tax cuts and their impact on revenue and economic growth. Some also debate fiat currency and the Federal Reserve's role in managing the U.S. dollar. Public sentiment is divided on these topics, as some distrust the Fed's control over fiat money, advocating alternatives like Bitcoin. Many Americans view the Federal Reserve as increasing inflation and debt through money printing, though some also believe it is a stabilizer in financial crises.

Sentiments towards Kamala Harris regarding the economy is largely negative. Voters are skeptical about her promises to eliminate taxes on tips. They see the claims as politically motivated, pandering, and an attempt appropriate Trump's populist policy proposals.

Democratic VP nominee Tim Walz also faces criticism for how he handled Minnesota’s budget surplus. Voters say his tax hikes during surplus periods caused inefficient economic management.

The narrative around Trump's tax policies is nostalgic as voters recall his tax cuts. There is pronounced positivity toward middle-class and small business tax savings. Voters highlight Trump's previous economic measures, like the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, as significant achievements that benefited the American workforce.

Trump's proposal earlier this year to eliminate federal tax on tips has been positively received by voters. Many suggest this is why Kamala Harris suddenly adopted the idea as well, despite looking hypocritical in doing so. People also lambast the media for how they report on Harris proposing no tax on tips versus how they reported Trump's initial proposal. One stark example gaining criticism is CBS news, which framed it as a tragic loss of tax revenue under Trump then, subsequently, a win for service and hospitality workers under Harris.

What an honest media we have.

SAME policy. Different candidates. pic.twitter.com/PJHcEB5M9y

— Wesley Hunt (@WesleyHuntTX) August 12, 2024

Trending directions indicate an increasing anxiety about the potential for recession. Americans worry about recent stock market crashes, heightened geopolitical uncertainties, and economic policies that perpetuate instability. Voters pay attention to economic indicators like unemployment rates and GDP growth. Any shifts are met with calls for urgent rate cuts to stimulate economic activity.

On Aug. 6, Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris announced Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. Many voters speculate Harris’s strategy was aimed at solidifying support with voters in the Midwest. Democrats are emphasizing both progressive and moderate credentials to appeal across the party’s spectrum.

MIG Reports data shows headwinds for Harris in the three days following Walz’s announcement as the Democratic VP pick:

• Harris continues to lose ground nationally against Donald Trump
• Walz’s individual support dropped from leading J.D. Vance by 3%, to trailing him by 1%.

Negativity Toward Gov. Tim Walz

On the ideological left, there is a limited amount of support for Harris-Walz. Leftists among these groups dissect Harris's campaign decisions for their shaky alignment with progressive values. Progressives express skepticism about her commitment to systemic change, often pointing to her past as a prosecutor and her perceived establishment ties.

Democrats and progressives who approve of Walz express hope that he can strengthen Harris’s appeal to rural and Midwestern voters while reinforcing progressive policies. However, this hope seems largely negated by voter sentiment in Midwest states like Wisconsin.

• Despite an initial boost on Aug. 6, Kamala Harris’s approval in Wisconsin has since dropped to net -1% relative to her support prior to adding Walz to the ticket.
• In Ohio, Harris saw a 4% bump with her VP announcement, which dropped back down to 46% in the following days.
• Similarly in Michigan Harris has not held her VP bump, dropping back down from 49% on Aug. 6 to 47% today.

Moderates and centrists are a challenge for Harris, creating a need to prevent herself from being perceived as far-left. Critical issues like the economy, border, and national security draw sharp negativity from important voter groups.

Despite the Harris campaign attempting to frame Walz as a moderate who appeals to both progressives and centrists, MIG Reports data shows online sentiment is predominantly negative. The campaign’s framing effort is often met with skepticism and outright rejection. Dissatisfied voters are quick to highlight Walz’s record as extremely far left.

Many Midwestern voters also highlight geographic and cultural rifts. They claim coastal democrats have misunderstood Midwestern moderates. They view Walz’s policies as reshaping Minnesota into a facsimile of California's liberal agenda. This comparison highlights growing divides on the left between far left progressives and moderate and blue-collar Democrats.

Top issues causing negativity toward Walz include:

• Walz role in allowing and possibly abetting BLM riots in Minneapolis in 2020
• His position on transgender issues and child sex-change surgeries
• Concerning ties Walz has with China and travel there as a teacher
• Widespread allegations of stolen valor
• His extremely progressive immigration policies
• Walz’s poor fiscal record of government over-spending in Minnesota
• His stringent enforcement of 2020 COVID lockdowns

National approval for Walz has been volatile in the last month. In mid-July, Walz saw approval highs of 48% and a low of 37%.

• Since being chosen as the Democratic VP candidate, Walz's approval has dropped from 49% to 46%.
• A month ago, online mentions of Tim Walz only averaged 38 per day. With his announcement as Harris’ running mate, mentions spiked to 23,936, dropping back to around 10,000 in the following days.

Voter Group Reactions

Democrats

Among Democrats, many highlight Tim Walz's legislative achievements and progressive credentials. Proponents celebrate his moves to provide universal free school meals, legalize cannabis, enact carbon-free electricity mandates, and establish paid family leave policies.

Walz's supporters argue his executive experience and progressive policies align with Kamala Harris's vision for America. They spotlight his efforts in sectors like education, climate change, and healthcare.

National Democratic figures like Nancy Pelosi and David Axelrod have defended Walz, indicating his acceptance among influential party members. However, these support pillars do not translate to more moderate Democratic voters.

Moderate Democrats express concern about Walz’s progressive track record. They worry about the backlash against his handling of BLM protests and his controversial COVID "snitch line." Walz's advocacy for defunding police and support for youth gender surgeries also alienates centrist Democrats in swing states who view these policies as too radical.

Republicans

Predictably, Republican and conservative voters are sharply critical of Walz. They decry his role during BLM protests in Minnesota, accusing him of allowing riots and chaos. Conservatives view Walz as overly radical, emphasizing his ties to socialist policies and his progressive stance on LGBTQ issues.

Republicans suggest Walz solidifies a leftward shift on the Democratic ticket. This, they argue, is contrary to the values of mainstream America.

Much of the discourse among Republicans—with growing media acknowledgement—outlines allegations of repeated stolen valor by Walz. Evidence has emerged that Wal retired from the National Guard to avoid deployment and misrepresented his rank and service record. This scandal elicits strong negativity from veterans, voters who value support for the U.S. military, and moderate demographics who emphasize valor and honor in service.

Independents and moderates

Some Independents appreciate Walz's tangible policy achievements and his Midwestern roots. They hope this can help the Democratic ticket gain traction in critical swing states. However, support among those who would have appreciated Walz's military background wavers with more information about his alleged stolen valor.

Many are also concerned about how he managed 2020 protests and view his policies as too extreme. His COVID lockdown policies also generate disapproval—especially in discussion about creating a "snitch line" to report anyone violating lockdown orders. These are major sticking points for moderates and Independents, could jeopardize support.

Geographic Voter Groups

Geographically, the reaction to Walz varies. In Minnesota and neighboring Midwestern states, his candidacy elicits strong responses, both positive and negative. These regions have witnessed his governorship firsthand, causing many to express dissatisfaction.

In contrast, coastal states inclined towards more progressive policies seem to respond more favorably to Walz. They align with progressive values but believe Walz could shore up moderate appeal.

In traditionally conservative regions, especially the South and parts of the Midwest, criticism reigns. These regions frame Walz’s policies as emblematic of excessive government intervention and radicalism.

• In swing states, Walz does not meaningfully boost Kamala Harris’s support.
• Since Walz’s announcement as VP pick, Kamala Harris has lost ground against Donald Trump in swing states, going from a 50%-46% Trump lead to 52%-44%.