Following Joe Biden’s sudden withdrawal from the presidential election, media outlets and Democrats have been working hard to position VP Kamala Harris as a formidable challenger to Donald Trump for president. At this early stage in her campaign, many are unclear on how robust her support will be on election day. MIG Reports data on head-to-head comparisons of Trump versus Harris after the first few days of her campaign suggests it may be an uphill battle for Democrats, despite presumably successfully ousting their nominee.

• The day after Biden’s withdrawal, Kamala Harris mentions regarding the presidential election surpassed mentions of Trump 25,000 to 24,000, but subsequently dropped.
• Approval for Harris as the presidential candidate also initially surpassed trump 49% to 44%. But in the following days the gap narrowed to only two points as Trump gained and Harris dropped.
• The percentage of support for Harris versus Trump shows them both at 47% nationally, but Trump has a slight edge in swing states with 49% support to Harris’s 46%.

Kamala Harris

The Youth Vote

Younger voters show a degree of skepticism toward Kamala’s nomination, expressing apprehensions about the transparency of the process. The adherence to procedural democratic norms is crucial for this group, and any deviation triggers calls for more open, participatory processes within the party.

Phrases like "party elites choosing," "delegate process," and "open convention" signify a pushback from segments of the Democratic base who feel their wishes were bypassed. These detractors worry anointing Harris without broader grassroots input may alienate certain voter groups, potentially impacting turnout and enthusiasm in the general election. These themes also seem to counter media claims that Harris's viral "brat summer" influence may not be completely genuine.

Some young progressives show enthusiasm for Harris's liberal stance and representation, marking her as a candidate who symbolizes progressivism and memes. However, the far left of this demographic has concerns that Harris will not push the policy boundaries as far as they desire.

Geography

In battleground and swing states, there is pointed concern about Harris’s ability to capture the critical moderate and Independent vote essential for the general election. Democratic sentiment from these critical regions suggests a mix of cautious acceptance and pragmatic support, recognizing the necessity of a strong candidate to counter Trump's influence.

In Democratic strongholds and among “chronically online” voters, there is a pronouncement of excitement for Kamala’s quirky appeal. This demographic also appreciates her diversity.

Swing states and red states especially criticize Harris on immigration issues and economic concerns. Many polls, and MIG Reports data, show Harris trailing Trump in important states like Pennsylvania where she faces a 46% to 48% deficit.

Key Issues for Harris

Intra-Party Disagreements

Some in the Democratic base focus on her past prosecutorial actions, saying she aligns too closely with the Establishment. Their disillusionment is compounded by the idea that she was “installed” by leaders rather than elected. This is a particular sore point for progressives who felt unfairness over Democratic leaders pushing Bernie Sanders out.

Black Lives Matter progressives have also expressed dissatisfaction, demanding an open primary to allow for public participation in the nomination process. They say Harris’s ascent to the top of the ticket sidesteps true democratic engagement.

Many bring up Harris's historical campaign performance, revisiting her 2020 presidential bid and noting she dropped out before any primary votes were cast. This fuels skepticism about her electability and support base.

The Economy

There is deep frustration from most Americans about the possibility of Harris continuing Biden’s economic policies. People talk about jobs, high inflation, gas prices, and expensive groceries, describing their own economic struggles.

Critiques often link Harris directly to deepening economic woes, highlighting a belief that her policies will continue to exacerbate everyday financial burdens. Voters also emphasize concerns over rising national debt and deficit spending, which they associate with increased inflation rates and economic instability.

Border Security

The U.S. border is also a deep concern aggravating Harris’s negative sentiment. Voters discuss record illegal border crossings and increased economic strain with Harris as “border czar.” People attribute the border crisis to policy failures under her watch. Many on the right also highlight the fact that mainstream media outlets are now attempting to deny Harris’s role as border czar.

Harris’s past actions as a prosecutor and her handling of immigration issues are frequent focal points of dissatisfaction, painting her as ineffective and incompetent. There is also significant disdain for her actions regarding President Biden as people accuse her of covering up Biden’s declining health.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Supporters and critics alike mention her decision not to attend Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s address to Congress. Most view it as aligning more with pro-Palestinian sentiments than with Israel.

Many comments accuse Harris of giving Hamas a “PR victory.” This perception worsened by her prioritizing meetings viewed as less significant, such as with a sorority group. At the same time, pro-Palestine progressives express dissatisfaction toward the Biden-Harris administration for giving too much support to Israel.

Generally, voters worry about Harris’s ability to manage other sensitive international security issues like the Ukraine-Russia war. People say she offers limited experience in foreign affairs, questioning capacity to handle global security challenges effectively.

Donald Trump

The Youth Vote

Young voters from 18-25 present an interesting demographic for Trump. Many display a profound disillusionment with conventional politics. While much of this demographic expresses disdain for Trump's policies and demeanor, they also seem to dislike Kamala.

Online conversation suggests skepticism toward Trump, with terms like “misogynist” and “racist” frequently mentioned in discussions about his actions and rhetoric. Harris, while facing critiques from the left on her prosecutorial past, resonates more positively with themes of inclusion, diversity, and progressive change.

Younger conservatives, a growing cohort, view Trump as a strong, non-conformist leader, with comments lauding his boldness and critique of the current administration's policies. Supporters in this age group emphasize Trump's promise to restore economic stability, pointing to lower inflation and job opportunities during his tenure.

There is also a noticeable trend among young liberals and Independents who question Trump’s image as a hostile figure. The sentiment "President Trump doesn’t think young people are stupid" surfaces, suggesting a disconnect in how leftists and the media portray young people.

Geography

Trump commands a significant following in rural and certain suburban areas, particularly in the South and the Midwest. Here, voters appreciate his economic policies and business acumen. Urban centers and coastal regions typically support Harris.

Areas with robust manufacturing or energy sectors tend to view Trump’s deregulations and economic policies more favorably. Urban regions heavily affected by tariff retaliations express stronger disapproval.

Key Issues for Trump

Economy and Inflation

A consistent theme favoring Trump centers on his administration keeping inflation low, implementing tax cuts, and maintaining a secure and prosperous economy. Many supporters tout the low inflation rates during his presidency, comparing them favorably to higher rates under the current administration.

Conversely, critics of Trump highlight issues such as the longer-term effects of his tax cuts. They argue cuts disproportionately favor the wealthy and increase the national deficit. Arguments against Trump often include supply chain and manufacturing issues during COVID.

Government Corruption

Many conversations express outrage and suspicion toward the federal agencies responsible for Trump's security. They are furious about the failure and neglect in protecting him during an attempted assassination.

People decry former Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle as a symbol of broader systemic issues in government agencies, celebrating her resignation. The public's reaction emphasizes questions about the integrity and competency of federal agencies, with comments frequently accusing them of corruption and ineptitude.

Numerous conversations also speculate about conspiracy theories, proposing the assassination attempt was an "inside job" or part of a larger "deep state" maneuver against Trump. These theories are fueled by inconsistent or false statements made by government officials, reinforcing the perception of a cover-up or evasion.

Voter opinions of J.D. Vance's vice-presidential candidacy show hesitant hope, some skepticism, and direct criticism. Supporters laud his life story as emblematic of the American Dream. His rise from disadvantaged beginnings to the national political stage is seen as a testament to meritocracy.

Vance’s supporters are especially keen on highlighting his service in the Marines and his Ivy League education as accomplishments earned through hard work and determination. This narrative of individual effort resonates strongly with traditional American values of self-reliance and perseverance, giving cautious hope to those unfamiliar with Vance.

There are some who argue Vance's life story as a powerful counterpoint to criticisms of elitism within the political establishment. His rise from his socio-economic background situates him as an inspiring figure for many Americans dissatisfied with career politicians. This sentiment is compounded by comparisons to Kamala Harris, who many view as a DEI token.

However, many people also have concerns and sharp criticisms—especially when it comes to Vance’s tech ties.

• In the last 7 days, overall approval for J.D. Vance has hovered at or just below 50%.
• His approval on the economy fluctuates slightly but averaged 49% in the last week.
• Sentiment toward Vance on crypto has the highest high at 52%, but also the lowest low at 45%, likely due to lower discussion volume.

General Reaction to Vance’s Tech History

Public reactions to J.D. Vance's connections to Silicon Valley and the tech sector are mixed. There are supporters who are enthusiastic about the potential benefits of his connections. They say Vance's ties to Silicon Valley could drive innovation and economic growth. They also believe his relationships with tech giants may bring much-needed investment and expertise to various sectors, including education, infrastructure, and job creation.

Sentiment trends reveal deep concerns about economic and political power dynamics. The public repeatedly underscores that the middle class should not bear the burden of policies and systems that disproportionately benefit the wealthy elite. This discontent is amplified in the context of unions, with many feeling true advocacy for working-class interests is incompatible with benefiting from Silicon Valley's corporate wealth.

In contrast, there are individuals who view Vance’s background in the tech sector as potentially advantageous. There is cautious excitement about the possibility of having a candidate who understands the complexities and potential of technological innovation and its impact on the economy. They see Vance as a figure who can perhaps bring fresh, tech-driven perspectives to policymaking. This they hope will foster growth which can solve modern economic challenges with innovative solutions.

Public sentiment towards Vance is complicated by his perceived contradictions. Some voters applaud his narrative of rising from humble beginnings and attaining success, viewing it as a testament to the American Dream. However, this narrative is simultaneously criticized, with detractors accusing Vance of romanticizing his past while contradicting it through his political stances and elite connections.

Arguments Defending Vance

Americans seem generally disapproving of any perception of undue influence by wealthy individuals on politics. They also regularly express concerns over economic equity and fairness. Vance’s connections to Silicon Valley and his critiques of current economic policies elicit mixed reactions, ranging from support for his tech-oriented insights to strong disapproval of his financial backers and political rhetoric.

Despite general disapproval for wealth influencing politics, some Americans appreciate Vance for his rejection of traditional establishment politics within the Republican Party. They resonate with his "pro-union anti-corporate" rhetoric.

Hopefuls value what they see as his commitment to fighting corporate excesses and believe in his potential to rejuvenate the GOP with a blend of economic populism and cultural conservatism. These supporters tend to downplay or dismiss the negative characterizations, viewing them as media exaggerations meant to discredit a rising political figure who might disrupt the status quo.

Many supporters, tech enthusiasts, and crypto voters largely support Vance's commitment to clear cryptocurrency regulations. They appreciate his efforts to navigate the regulatory landscape, which they view as fraught with restrictive measures under current administration policies.

This group likes Vance's critique of the SEC's hardline enforcement tactics, which they believe stifle innovation. His legislative proposals aiming to overhaul how the SEC and CFTC regulate crypto are seen as steps towards an environment more conducive to technological growth and investment.

Vance's personal involvement in the crypto sphere, evidenced by his Bitcoin holdings and public comments, amplifies his credibility among crypto voters—who are increasingly seen as an important voting group. His actions such as voting to repeal controversial accounting rules and opposing stringent tax reporting requirements demonstrate a deep understanding of the challenges faced by the industry.

Supporters like Vance’s comments on the utility of cryptocurrencies in circumventing government overreach. This is highlighted by his stance on the Canadian trucker protests and gaining traction with voters who value financial autonomy and limited government interference.

Negativity Toward Vance as VP

Vance's controversial stances and his connections with influential figures like Peter Thiel can also drum up disapproval. Critics believe there’s reason for concern and Vance may pose a significant threat to democratic norms.

This position has been emphasized heavily in public discussions, particularly following Liz Cheney’s sharp critique. Cheney's assertions that Vance would "overturn an election and illegally seize power" and "capitulate to Russia" resonate strongly with liberals and anti-Trump Republicans.

Vance also faces criticism from some Republicans and the media for his perceived hypocrisy and controversial positions. Some praise his alignment with former President Trump, but others use his past criticism of Trump as evidence of hypocrisy or a disingenuous power play.

The influence of Peter Thiel and other billionaires financing Vance’s campaigns generates contentious debate about the role of money in politics. Critics argue his backing fuels fears of oligarchic control over democratic processes. This sentiment suggests a widening economic and representational gap, intensifying the debate over campaign finance reform.

Concerns arise regarding the potential for a monopolistic tech landscape bolstered by politicians like Vance. Critics argue Vance’s tech ties and support from high-profile tech investors could perpetuate a monopolistic ecosystem where large corporations dominate, leaving little room for grassroots innovation.

On Monday, Kamala Harris made her first public appearance as the presumptive Democratic nominee for president after securing the delegates needed. It was also reported that she raised $81 million dollars within the first 24 hours of her campaign. However, some voice skepticism that reported “grassroots” enthusiasm is not being propped up by Democratic leaders and the media. MIG Reports data shows a sharp divide in public sentiment and reveals several key topics and trends.

The Establishment’s Candidate

Discussions focus on how rapidly Harris secured endorsements and delegates, emphasizing the notion of party machinery consolidating around her. Many discussions touch on swift leadership maneuvering to unite behind her campaign after President Biden's sudden exit.

People often bring up the fact that state Democratic Party delegations, such as those from California, New York, and Ohio, have unanimously endorsed her, propelling her closer to securing the nomination. Keywords like "Harris," "delegates," "endorsement," and "Democratic nomination" permeate discussion.

Some voters express frustration with the Democratic Party's internal dynamics. They accuse Party elites of unilaterally deciding the nominee and usurping the primary process. Views of "no primary votes necessary, just greed, corruption, and brute force," exacerbate the perception of a Democratic Party takeover by elites. Keywords like "elites," "donor money," "undemocratic," and "corrupt" highlight this unease with how the nomination is being orchestrated.

The lack of endorsement from former President Barack Obama and explicit support from other significant Democrats like Rep. Rashida Tlaib, who calls for an “open nominating convention,” inject complexities into the discourse. This suggests internal party contention and feeds speculation on Harris’s viability.

Sentiment Trends

There is excitement and enthusiasm among many Democrats who had begun to feel demoralized by Joe Biden’s prospect. Harris supporters interpret her fundraising success as a sign of strong voter enthusiasm. They highlight her historical candidacy, celebrating her potential to be the first biracial woman to lead a major-party ticket.

Endorsements from influential Democratic figures, such as Nancy Pelosi, and the swift backing by Democratic delegates, further boost positive sentiment.

On the other hand, there is significant skepticism and criticism. Detractors question her ability to win a general election against a formidable opponent like Donald Trump. Criticisms often focus on her past performance in the 2020 primaries, where she dropped out early, polling at just 3.4%. The backlash also stems from Harris's perceived alignment with the "establishment," causing some to feel disenfranchised by what they see as an undemocratic coronation process.

Vice President Kamala Harris's nomination as the presumptive Democratic candidate has stirred widespread and polarized discussions among undecided and Independent American voters. Online reflections show insights into what issues are resonating most strongly with the public and how their sentiments are moved by these political shifts.

Key Topics

Discussions regarding Harris's nomination include her qualifications, past political record, endorsements, her stance on international affairs concerning Israel, and her unserious public image. The former California Attorney General and current Vice President brings a complex political history that motivates both criticism and support.

The topics of her past prosecutorial record, her performance and dropping out of the 2020 Democratic primary, and her relationship with influential political figures like Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, stir significant conversation.

Trending Topics

1. Trust and Credibility: Public discussions reveal a chronic struggle with trust in Harris's candidacy, driven by her past actions and perceived opportunistic alliances.
2. Democratic Process Integrity: Many conversations highlight a belief that the delegate-driven nomination process lacks true democratic spirit, raising fears about elitist overreach.
3. Foreign Policy and Ideological Stance: Harris’s international politics, particularly concerning Israel, exacerbates ideological divides within her own Party.

Sentiments diverge significantly based on these topics. For instance, Harris's prosecutorial record surfaces frequently, with some viewing her as experienced in law enforcement and others criticizing her for disproportionate incarceration rates among Black Americans. This discrepancy impacts voter sentiment broadly, influencing trust and support levels.

Anti-Israel and Pro-Palestine

One of the most contentious topics in the last few days has been Harris's refusal to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. This brings accusations of a "pro-Hamas" and "pro-terrorist" position from the potential new president.

The public split on this subject profoundly impacts sentiment. Supporters defend her stance as a sign of a balanced, critical perspective on Middle Eastern politics. Critics use it as evidence of anti-Israel bias, shaking the confidence of pro-Israel voters and sparking fears about perceived Democratic Party radicalism.

Professional Politician

The Harris campaign's swift move to secure endorsements and delegates after Biden's withdrawal injects both hope and cynicism into the public dialogue. Supporters see this maneuver as a necessary consolidation to maintain Party unity and enhance election efficacy, thus lifting sentiment. Critics, however, perceive it as undemocratic and manipulative, undermining faith in the electoral process, thus decreasing sentiment. Pelosi's subsequent endorsement of Harris, however, served to fan growing flames of enthusiasm among Democratic voters.

Another pivotal topic concerns her failure to secure primary delegates in past races. This argument surfaces frequently among detractors, framing her as an untested candidate lacking broad voter support, which dampens her acceptance among undecided voters. Many also argue he ascent to the candidacy is an affront to every Democrat voter who cast votes for Joe Biden.

Establishment’s Pick

Notably, the initial lack of endorsement from figures like Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi created an air of uncertainty in the immediate aftermath of Biden’s withdrawal. This image of Party disarray impacts voter sentiment variably. While some interpret it as a strategic move to prevent premature influence, others read it as a lack of full confidence, stirring unease. With

Financial backing and the role of influential figures like George Soros also come under scrutiny. Harris's significant war chest generates enthusiasm about her capacity to mount a robust campaign but also fuels skepticism about undue influence by wealthy donors and political elites, dampening trust among voters wary of corporate sway in politics.

Sentiment Trends

Increasing Sentiment

Expressions of Party unity, endorsements from key leaders like Pelosi and Obama affirming her leadership, and narratives highlighting her policy acumen and experience tend to increase sentiment. Positive engagement stems from the portrayal of Harris as a candidate capable of evolving and addressing deep-seated issues within the party and nationwide.

Decreasing Sentiment

Dialogues stressing undemocratic practices, her past prosecutorial record, perceived leftist radicalism, and negative comparisons with other potential candidates push sentiment down. These criticisms suggest reversing negative sentiment will require Harris addressing concerns about fairness, transparency, and her political record comprehensively.

Americans are reacting to Joe Biden’s tweet announcing his decision to drop out of the presidential election with strong emotions. There is an unusually chaotic and less patterned conversation landscape. MIG Reports data reveals two distinct patterns:

• United support among Democrats for the change in candidates.
• Frenetic and disjointed criticism of Harris’s candidacy, with diverging viewpoints and a visible lack of cohesive narrative.

Chaos

The complexity of public responses reveals disjointed and confused political strategies. Voters frequently discuss the Democratic Party's decisions, with terms like "identity politics,” “donor class,” and “disarray.” There is a sentiment among these voices that Biden's exit and Harris's candidacy are results of broader political maneuvering within the party. This view often comes with a mix of skepticism and resentment. This critical perspective underscores a belief in factionalism and party politics influencing key decisions, rather than a purely meritocratic consideration of Harris’s capabilities or votes cast by Americans.

Public sentiment towards Kamala Harris's candidacy is divided. While her Democratic voter base seems unified around her, critics remain vocal about their concerns. Supporters bring up her political history, lauding her as accomplished. However, they do not attach her previous unpopularity or the poor approval toward Joe Biden’s presidency to her current candidacy.

Online conversations have fewer clear themes and exhibit a heightened sense of chaos and urgency compared to more traditional discourses. This suggests a notable shift in the voter beliefs about the causes and implications of Joe Biden withdrawing.

This new, chaotic dynamic reveals a turbulent and uncertain political climate. This is only exacerbated by Biden's abrupt announcement of his withdrawal and the ensuing scramble for alignment and support within the Democratic Party.

Joe Biden

The top keywords emerging from these discussions center on "Biden," "Kamala," "Trump," "Hunter," "legacy," and "economy." Public sentiment around Joe Biden seems to polarize sharply into highly positive and highly negative views.

Positive sentiments highlight Biden's progressive accomplishments, his legacy as a pro-working-class president, and a belief in his deep empathy and character. People express profound gratitude for his efforts in establishing gun reform, boosting the economy, tackling climate change, and supporting unions.

Many echo Hunter Biden’s statement about his father’s unconditional love and commitment to public service. They underscore an emotional and personal connection to Biden's tenure. Supporters praise Biden for his significant achievements and transformative policies, stating their readiness to back Kamala Harris, who they believe will continue his progressive legacy.

Negative sentiments are often vehement, with accusations of incompetence, weakened borders, and economic mismanagement. Critics accuse Biden of being manipulated by his Party leaders and stress Kamala Harris’s perceived inadequacies. They voice frustrations over his legacy, including the immigration crisis and multiple foreign policy crises. Detractors emphasize a narrative of decline under Biden’s administration and project even more pessimism at the prospect of Harris taking the helm.

The reasons for sentiment trends are mostly rooted in partisan divisions. Supporters focus on Biden’s alleged policy successes and personal virtues, while critics latch onto recurring failures and controversies. The chaotic nature of these conversations indicates deep-seated political divides and a struggle for narrative control as voters grapple with the implications of Biden’s withdrawal and Harris’s ascent.

Kamala Harris

In the wake of President Biden's unexpected withdrawal announcement, online conversation among Americans is frenetic and impassioned. Discussion about Harris, like Biden, is less structured and more chaotic than usual.

Vote Blue No Matter Who

A predominant keyword emerging from the conversations is "KamalaHarris2024," often accompanied by hashtags like #VoteBlue, #HarrisForPresident, and #MadamePresident. Supporters express enthusiasm about her candidacy, citing her qualifications and historical significance as a leading advocate for marginalized groups, including the LGBTQ community.

Democrats use words like "champion," "equality," "proud," and "excited" with their endorsements. Sentiment among her supporters is optimistic and expresses a readiness to mobilize. This is supported by significant fundraising numbers following Biden's announcement. Despite receiving no votes in the Democratic primary during her previous run for president and her dismally low historical approval, Democratic voters seem to be rallying around Harris. This suggests a willingness to “vote blue no matter who.”

Detractors seem to be mostly on the right, focusing on her past controversies and perceived shortcomings. Top keywords in these opposing viewpoints include "Antifa," "BLM," "Willie Brown," and "criminal justice." These critics often allege her political career has been marked by opportunism and inconsistency.

People point to her tenure as California’s Attorney General where she faced criticism for her handling of wrongful convictions and her relationship with the former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown. Words like “disappointed,” “backlash,” “controversy,” and “unprepared” are frequently used by those skeptical of her presidential ambitions. The sentiment here tends to emphasize distrust and discontent, driven by historical grievances and perceived failures in her political tenure.

Reports from Joe Biden’s X account announcing his sudden decision to drop out of the presidential race on Sunday sent shockwaves throughout social media. MIG Reports data shows initial reactions from Democratic voters are a complex and evolving mix of confusions and support for Kamala Harris. There is a mixture of anticipation, skepticism, and enthusiastic support.

Initial discussions reflect an uncertainty about her potential as a candidate but often tout her capabilities and political accomplishments. The news of Biden dropping out ignites a surge in sentiment and robust debates among Democratic voters.

Before the Withdrawal

Before Biden’s withdrawal, some Democrats viewed Kamala Harris as a capable yet underutilized political figure. They expressed frustration over trivial criticisms levied against her, such as mocking her laugh.

This reflects a genuine defense of her perceived strengths against what supporters see as baseless attacks. Public sentiment here is predominantly supportive, despite her historical unpopularity, with key topics revolving around her intelligence and capability, often drawing ironic comparisons to criticisms from political opponents.

After the Withdrawal

Upon Biden’s announced exit from the race, conversations rapidly shift toward the potential of a Harris-led ticket. There is an undercurrent of both excitement and practicality.

Strong endorsements surface, calling for a "damn PITBULL" by her side, indicative of a desire for a strong and assertive leadership style in her potential VP pick. Such terms signal a public leaning toward a more aggressive and dynamic campaign approach under her leadership.

Voter Enthusiasm Pushes Left

Following Biden's withdrawal announcement, Democratic voters express optimism about Harris's potential to lead and form effective political alliances. Discussions about possible running mates for Harris, such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez or Pete Buttigieg, suggest a forward-thinking and inclusive vision for the Democratic ticket. The public showcases a tendency toward innovative pairings, hoping to leverage Harris's strengths with widely recognized and charismatic figures to counter Republican opponents effectively.

Digging In

Critiques from political adversaries, however, fuel defensive and sometimes contentious reactions from Democratic voters who highlight Harris's prior endorsements and commend her political astuteness. The public often underscores her knack for tough debates. They claim J.D. Vance has revealed reluctance to face Harris in debates, attempting to underscore her competence and perceived intimidation factor among opponents.

The authenticity of the online voter discourse appears largely genuine, with spontaneous and unscripted expressions of both support and strategy for the upcoming election. The vernacular tone, use of humor, and references to political dynamics further corroborate the authenticity of the sentiment. Public conversations include strategic discussions about the Democratic National Convention and the anticipation of the final candidate selection, indicating an engaged and politically active base.

The leading keywords in discussions about Kamala Harris include:

• Smart
• Capable
• Tough
• Debating
• Pitbull
• Running mate

MIG Reports data shows reactions to Republican National Committee (RNC) speeches are shaping the landscape for the 2024 election. They are resonating significantly with the American people in several key areas like unity, the economy, and immigration.

However, there is also selective perception from both parties. Republicans and conservatives emphasize the policy points they agree with while Democrats and liberals nitpick issues like abortion. Regardless of the RNC platform and content, discussions are often driven by issues voters personally care about.

Many of the speeches given during the RNC highlight themes which are important for the potential trajectory of Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign. The central topics are immigration policies, economic strategies, national security, and cultural issues. Discussions on these topics will likely continue shaping the conversation until November.

Trump Speech Breakdown

A statistical breakdown of Trump’s speech highlights the topical themes he touched on by volume. The provides an understanding of what Americans heard and where Trump himself is placing platform emphasis.

Trump’s speech covered the following topics:

Election Campaign & Unity

• The campaign
• American unity
• Vision for the future

Personal Story & Assassination Attempt

• Trump’s personal narrative of the assassination attempt and its implications

Economic Policies

• Inflation
• Jobs
• Energy policies
• Economic relief

Immigration Policies

• Border security
• Immigration

International Policies

• International relations
• Wars
• Global stability

Social Policies

• Law and order
• Healthcare
• Education
• Social justice

An analytical breakdown of topic emphasis according to word count shows:

1. Election Campaign & Unity: 24.3%
2. Personal Story & Assassination Attempt: 23.0%
3. Economic Policies: 20.3%
4. Immigration Policies: 14.9%
5. International Policies: 9.5%
6. Social Policies: 8.1%

In contrast, a breakdown of Trump’s 2016 acceptance speech emphasized:

1. Introduction and Acceptance: 5%
2. Domestic Crisis and Safety: 20%
3. Immigration Policies: 17.5%
4. Economic Policies: 15%
5. International Policies: 15%
6. Social Policies and Justice: 12.5%
7. Anti-Corruption and Reform: 10%
8. Conclusion and Call to Action: 5%

The following breakdown depicts American discussion in response to the RNC throughout the week.

Immigration

American voter conversations indicate the Trump campaign’s talking points resonate heavily on promises of mass deportations. While many voters express hope for this, there was little explicit mention of deportation in RNC speeches. This suggests there is an organic campaign wish from the people.

The importance of a secure border is resonating powerfully with a certain segment of the electorate who are dissatisfied with the current state of immigration policy under the Biden administration. Discussions include policies like ending birthright citizenship and implementing a massive deportation operation. These align with concerns about national security and prevalent economic anxieties. These issues are not mentioned in reference to a specific RNC speaker but remain a high-volume discussion from Americans.

Discussions reveal a split in public opinion on immigration. Many Trump supporters praise his proposed measures as necessary for restoring law and order. Opponents criticize them as xenophobic and inhumane.

Economic Issues

Americans are saying Trump's platform suggests a continuation and amplification of his previous term’s policies. They highlight tax cuts, reducing regulation, and focusing on energy independence with an emphasis on fossil fuels over renewable sources.

While some praise these measures as advantageous for economic growth and beneficial for businesses, critics say they could increase income inequality and harm environmental progress. The call to restrict outsourcing and turn the United States into a manufacturing superpower is echoed in sentiments aiming to bring more jobs back domestically.

National Security

National security remains a significant aspect of RNC messaging and the Trump campaign’s strategy for 2024. The rhetoric around withdrawing from NATO, bolstering military capabilities, and ending foreign conflicts such as those in Ukraine aligns with Trump's America First ideology.

This strikes a strong chord with voters who are wary of prolonged overseas engagements. However, some voices warn that isolating the United States from global alliances and commitments could weaken international relations and security.

Cultural Issues

Cultural issues also featured in RNC speeches, generating commentary among American voters. The strong stances on hot-button topics like abortion, education, and LGBTQ rights are divisive across party lines.

Trump’s platform promises to ban critical race theory (CRT) from schools, return abortion laws to the states, and respect biological sex—especially in sports. These more conservative social stances resonate with a substantial conservative and Christian base.

However, opposition groups and many liberals consider these policies regressive and harmful to civil liberties and social inclusivity. This may be another example of selective perception among liberals. Many Democrats and leftists are focusing on issues like abortion and LGBTQ issues, despite a notable and purposeful absence from the 2024 RNC Platform.

Trending Sentiment

Sentiment on social media and in public discourse continues to be deeply polarized. Proponents of Trump’s policies express enthusiasm and hope for a return to what they view as stronger world leadership, a return to traditional values, and a secure nation.

Detractors express fear and concern about the potential for increasing division, loss of rights, and international isolation under another Trump administration. Discussions about economic promises, high stakes immigration reform, and broad cultural policy shifts highlight a nation deeply engaged and divided over its future path.

MIG Reports data shows liberals, progressives, leftists, and Democratic voters are reacting to the Republican National Committee Convention. Generally, there is a blend of skepticism, critique, and rallying support for their own candidates and values. Among these groups, the dialogue primarily centers on defending Democratic leadership, calling out perceived hypocrisy in the GOP, and highlighting the erroneous or misleading statements made by Republican leaders.

What Democrats are Saying

Many people are outlining what they see as contradictions in the Republican stance on crime and morality. Democrats and left leaning voters often point out the irony in Republicans accusing Democrats of acting immorally while simultaneously supporting figures President Trump, who has face multiple indictments. Liberals use this apparent contradiction to reveal GOP inconsistencies and underscore a narrative of moral and ethical superiority within the Democratic camp.

There's an emphasis on contrasting the integrity and character of Democratic leaders with that of their Republican counterparts. Many express admiration for President Biden’s commitment to his official duties and perceive his unwillingness to interfere in his son’s legal matters as a sign of strong character and dedication to the rule of law.

Democrats also defend Kamala Harris, criticizing what they see as baseless and superficial attacks on her. They say comments about her demeanor and laughter are petty and inconsequential.

There is a sense of distrust and dismissal toward Republican rhetoric and actions. Critics of the GOP describe its leaders as erratic and often incoherent during public and private engagements. Descriptions of Trump seeming unable to maintain coherent thoughts during meetings form part of a broader narrative questioning his competence.

Liberals also criticize Mike Lawler and J.D. Vance, saying they embody the problematic aspects of the Republican agenda. Comments link them to extreme right-wing elements and propagandists like Alex Jones. This narrative underscores an assumption that the GOP is increasingly aligned with radical and conspiratorial thinking.

“Grown-ups” in the Room

Those defending Biden and Democratic leadership emphasize qualities like integrity and restraint. They contrast these characteristics with how they perceive GOP figures. Supporters say Democratic leaders handle personal and political challenges with mature and principled reactions. For instance, the narrative around President Biden’s decision not to interfere with investigations of Hunter Biden is highlighted as a demonstration of high ethical standards.

Many also express alarm at the increasing consolidation of conservative influence in various sectors like tech. Democrats criticize Elon Musk’s Trump endorsement following his assassination attempt, viewing it as a threat to democratic norms and values.

Those on the left are expressing frustration, ridicule, and resolve. The frustration comes from confronting repeated instances of perceived wrongdoing and hypocrisy within the GOP. Ridicule and mocking tones are employed as coping mechanisms and rhetorical strategies to undermine the opposition. Despite the heavy criticisms, there is a persistent trend of rallying behind Democratic leaders and espousing a message of unity and higher moral ground.

As Republican enthusiasm surges following the RNC and Democrats show disagreement and disarray, Senate races in several key states are heating up. Amid a huge news week including Trump’s attempted assassination, J.D. Vance accepting the VP nomination, and the RNC convention, Republicans are making a strong showing in their respective Senate races.

Here is the latest EyesOver and MIG Reports analysis of Senate races in Nevada, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Montana—all important races for the 2024 elections.

Nevada Senate: Sam Brown vs Jacky Rosen

The Nevada Senate race between Republican Sam Brown and Democrat Jacky Rosen shows Brown leading 60%-40% in head-to-head support. The wide gap in support comes from a significant spike in both approval and mentions for Sam Brown after his RNC appearance.

• Over the last 7 days, Brown's lowest topic approval score is ideologies (culture issues) at 43%, while Rosen's lowest issue is the economy at 43%.
• Brown's highest topic score is a tie between economic issues and border security at 47%. Rosen's strongest topic approval of border security is still low at 42%.
• The top three most discussed topics in discourse mentioning Brown and Rosen were ideologies, economic issues, and the attempted assassination of Donald Trump.

Candidate Summary

Sam Brown and Jacky Rosen's approval disparity has widened this week after being tied last week. In the last 7 days, Brown saw a 4% lead in approval, averaging 48% to Rosen's 44% in average approval. Brown also saw higher discussion volume than Rosen for the first time over the last 7 days.

Wisconsin Senate: Tammy Baldwin vs Eric Hovde

The Wisconsin Senate race between Democratic incumbent Tammy Baldwin and Republican challenger Eric Hovde currently shows Hovde leading 57%-43% in head-to-head support. Eric Hovde enjoyed a spike in online mentions due to the RNC.

• Over the last 7 days, Baldwin’s weakest topic approval is border security at 43%. While Hovde’s lowest topic approval score is abortion at 41%.
• Eric Hovde's strongest topics gaining approval are economic issues and border security, both at 47%. Baldwin's highest topic approval is abortion, also at 47%.
• The top three most discussed topics in discourse involving Baldwin and Hovde are ideologies (cultural issues), the economy, and Trump’s attempted assassination.

Candidate Summary

The gap between Eric Hovde and Tammy Baldwin's voter approval significantly widened compared to last week. Prior to the RNC, both were tied in approval. This week Eric Hovde holds a 47% 7-day average approval to Tammy Baldwin's 42%. This is also the first time Hovde has gained higher discussion volume than Baldwin.

Arizona Senate: Kari Lake vs Ruben Gallego

In the race for Arizona Senate, Republican Kari Lake currently holds a narrow lead over Democrat Ruben Gallego, capturing 52% compared to Gallego's 48%.

• On the issues, Kari Lake has the highest support for immigration issues, election integrity, and economic issues, all at 48%.
• Lake’s lowest sentiment issue is gun control at 40%, due to accusations from liberals about her 2A stances following the assassination attempt.
• Ruben Gallego’s highest issue approval is ideologies at 44%.
• His lowest is allegations, which refer to his association with Joe Biden and other unpopular liberals.

Candidate Summary

Ruben Gallego's support score stands at 42%, while Kari Lake's support score is slightly higher at 47%. While the race has been volatile over the last month, this week Lake has maintained an average lead.

Montana Senate: Tim Sheehy vs Jon Tester

Republican Tim Sheehy also holds a lead on Jon Tester in head-to-head support in Montana. Sheehy leads at 53% to Tester’s 47%.

• Over the last 7 days, Sheehy’s highest topic approval score is border security at 47%. Tester’s strongest topic approval score is abortion at 45%.
• Tester's weakest topic approval score is rally at 40%, while Sheehy's is abortion at 41%.
• The three most discussed topics in discourse involving Sheehy and Tester are ideologies, rally, and economic issues.

Candidate Summary

Sheehy and Tester's approval scores remain separated by the same 2% margin as last week, with Tester averaging 44% to Sheehy's 46%. Tester's approval dropped to its lowest point in the last 7 days after the assassination attempt on President Trump but has since recovered.