The Democrat establishment and leftist media appear to be out of touch with the concerns and priorities of many Americans, particularly on issues like immigration and border control. This disconnect is recurringly evident in their coverage of these issues, where they often downplay the importance of border security and the rule of law in favor of a more open and inclusive immigration policy.

Despite a surge in illegal border crossings and an ongoing humanitarian crisis at the southern border, many Democrat leaders and leftist media outlets have largely ignored these problems or blamed them on the previous administration. This is in stark contrast to the views of many Americans, who see border security and immigration enforcement as key issues that need to be addressed.

Trust in Media 

Similarly, progressives and leftists have largely dismissed American concerns about the potential impact of unchecked illegal immigration on jobs, wages, and social cohesion. Instead, they often portray these concerns as rooted in racism or xenophobia, alienating many ordinary citizens who simply want their government to enforce the law and protect their interests.

Furthermore, Democrats seem to be out of touch with the political realities on the ground, as evidenced by their coverage of the 2024 Republican primaries. Despite overwhelming support for former President Donald Trump among Republican voters, many Democrats have tried to portray him as a dictator who is leading the GOP to electoral disaster. This narrative, however, seems to be more wishful thinking than reality, as Trump's dominance in the primaries shows.

Other issues where they appear to be out of touch with many Americans include:

• Law enforcement and crime
• Taxes and economic policy
• Education
• Cultural issues

On each of these issues leftists seem to be more in tune with the views of far-left progressive activists and academics than with the concerns and priorities of ordinary Americans.

The mainstream media, particularly leftist outlets, also seem to cover these issues less often, further alienating the public, for whom these are top concerns. The media's portrayal of President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris often focuses more on their personalities and less on their policies, which can contribute to this disconnect.

Many Americans see the media as being “drunk with power” and “fascist,” indicating a lack of representation and accountability. Some posts even compare the current state of the Democrat party to the era of the Great Depression, suggesting a disconnect with the lived experiences of many Americans and unpopularity for making unfair attacks on average citizens.

As President Biden prepares to deliver his State of the Union address, there are several pressing concerns Americans will require him to address. Some of the most pressing issues include foreign wars, securing the U.S. border, the economy and inflation, and the overall direction of the country.

Foreign Wars

The ongoing Israel-Palestine and Russia–Ukraine conflicts are expected to play a significant role in Biden's speech. Americans are looking for answers regarding America’s stance and plans regarding these international issues.

Biden's approach to these conflicts, particularly on the question of enforcing a ceasefire and his stance on Israel's occupation of Palestine, is of high interest for all voters. Given the conflict’s polarizing nature, Biden's words will likely be scrutinized by both critics and supporters.

This SOTU speech could prove a defining moment in his presidency, answering important questions voters have about the administration's approach to foreign policy.

Speech Forecast

• Biden will likely take a balanced approach given the divided view of Israel, especially within the Democrat party.
• 42% of Americans believe Israel's military response has been excessive.43% justify the current operations or believe they have not been aggressive enough. Biden will likely tread carefully to avoid alienating either group.

• The President may discuss recent U.S. efforts to provide humanitarian aid to Gaza, which have been met with mixed reactions.
• He will likely reiterate the country's commitment to providing humanitarian aid and ensuring it reaches those who need it most.
• Biden may also address the criticism from U.S. Armed Forces members who have condemned Israel's actions in Gaza.
  

The Border

The situation at the U.S. border continues to be a top issue for voters. Biden will likely address the administration's immigration policies, particularly regarding the influx of illegal immigrants. Critics argue that Biden's administration has compromised American security by letting in illegal immigrants without thorough background checks. Republicans have also called for impeachment over this issue, arguing it's the executive's duty to protect the border.

Speech Forecast

• President Biden is likely to present a more compassionate approach towards immigrants, emphasizing the need for comprehensive immigration reform and a path towards citizenship for undocumented individuals.
• He is expected to discuss the administration's efforts to manage the increase in arrivals, which many describe as a crisis.
• He may outline measures to process asylum seekers more efficiently, improve conditions in detention facilities, and address root causes of migration in Central America.

The Economy and Inflation

Biden's handling of the economy and rising inflation rates are other key areas of concern. Critics claim Biden has compromised the country's economic security. Biden will likely address plans to bolster the economy and tackle inflation.

Speech Forecast

• Biden is expected to focus on his administration's efforts to address inflation and support economic recovery in the wake of COVID.
• This could include references to his infrastructure and social spending plans, which he will argue are crucial for boosting productivity, reducing inequality, and ensuring long-term economic stability.
  

The Direction of the Country

The overall direction of America, including the state of democracy, is another significant topic Biden will likely address. Critics argue the administration has been negligent in its duties to the nation and American citizens. Supporters argue Biden has been successful in pushing historic pieces of legislation.

Speech Forecast

• Biden is likely to articulate a vision of unity and progress, despite the deep political divisions that exist.
• He is likely to stress the importance of bipartisanship and cooperation in tackling the country's challenges.
• Biden will most likely defend his administration's record in areas like pandemic response, climate change, and social justice.
• Lastly, he will likely address the impeachment calls and allegations of corruption in his administration, including claims against his family members.

After both President Biden and former President Trump visited the Texas border, immigration talk online has surged to the top issue for both politicians. Reactions are scattered, mostly along party lines. But Biden’s approval on immigration continues to lag behind Trump’s.

• Border security was the most talked about issue for both men in the last 24 hours.
• Trumps approval on the border is 49% and Biden’s is 45%.
• Around 19,000 people were talking about the border online in the last 24 hours.
• Trump’s overall support remains slightly above Biden, although both received a slight bump after their border appearances.

Biden Perceived as “Shuffling” to the Border

A majority of people are expressing frustration and anger towards Biden's border policies. The comments about Biden's visit are also largely negative.

People are discussing the contrast of Biden at the border versus Trump at the border, saying Biden looked frail and fragile. There are some outcries by liberals who, instead of defending Biden’s mental and physical fitness, accuse Trump of being in worse condition.

There is also significant related discussion around Biden’s overall health and recent medical exam. Many voters are suggesting they don’t have confidence in Biden’s doctor’s assessment. They point out his appearance at the border did nothing to persuade them of Biden’s physical vigor.

Many people say they fear the potential impact of Biden’s frailty on his ability to handle complex and volatile international situations, including border security.

A lot of discussion also revolves around the murder of Laken Riley, a 22-year-old woman allegedly murdered by an illegal immigrant. This incident appears to have triggered a wave of outrage, with many blaming Biden's immigration policies for such tragedies.

People across political aisles are starting to argue that the Biden administration's open border policy and the reversal of Trump's immigration policies have led to an increase in illegal immigration and associated crimes. Some accuse Biden of prioritizing illegal immigrants over American citizens, suggesting they are more valuable due to their potential to vote for Democrats.

There is still a significant portion of Biden supporters who defend his approach to the border and his recent appearance. They argue that no president has managed to completely stop illegal immigration. They suggest that the current border crisis is also the fault of Republicans who failed to vote on a bipartisan border bill.

• Biden’s approval increased slightly with his border visit, reaching 46%.
• This is up from a meager 33% approval a week ago.

Trump Seen as Highly Entertaining at the Border

The overall discussion of Trump's border visit is positive. People praise his actions, voicing their desire for his return to office. Voters often feel that Trump was more proactive in dealing with border issues and that his approach was more effective.

Many people perceived Trump’s border visit as upbeat and entertaining – especially his jovial wave to Mexicans on the other side of the border fence. There were comments suggesting that one does not have to like Trump to be amused by his showmanship.

There is also significant support for Trump's approach to immigration policies. People are enthusiastic about his commitment to deporting illegal immigrants who break U.S. laws and his efforts to stop the flow of illegal crossings. Many voters say Trump's policies, like the "Remain in Mexico" policy, were effective in reducing illegal immigration and should be reinstated.

While much of the discussion about Trump’s border visit was positive, there are still many voices criticizing him. This group mocks his supporters and claim that Biden is doing a better job. They argue that the former president's health is a cause for concern and accuse him of leaning over during his visit. Mostly Democrats, these defenders favorably compare Biden to FDR, who was wheelchair-bound during his presidency. They dismiss concerns about Biden's health and criticize his detractors for focusing on his physical condition.

• Trump’s approval on border security increased with his visit, reaching 48%.
• This is up from a steady 45% for most of the week.

Discussion is heating up about the amount of taxpayer dollars being used to fund services and benefits for illegal immigrants. Headlines are emerging suggesting cities like Denver are cutting back on city employees to free up funds for immigrants. Federal funds are being diverted to support illegal immigrants with shelter, food, and cash.

These headlines are stirring up ire among American citizens who are already concerned about their own finances and the larger economy. Many people online express dissatisfaction with plans like the proposal to give $10,000 debit cards to illegals. More people are becoming vocal about their feelings that these initiatives are a misuse of tax dollars.

There are differing viewpoints which align with political affiliations, however, the issue is starting to supersede partisan lines. Generally, Republicans lean towards stricter immigration policies and criticize using tax dollars for illegal immigrants. Democrats tend to favor more lenient immigration policies and the provision of public services for migrants.

But as the Biden administration is forced to address the issue, there is growing bipartisan awareness of the impact on all Americans.

Public Opinion Is Shifting in Favor of Strong Borders

As the border issue reaches a fever pitch, public opinion grows more complex. It cannot be accurately summarized by party affiliation alone. Many variables, including personal experiences, geographic location, and demographic factors seem to be influencing voter perspectives on illegal immigration.

Overall, MIG data shows Americans’ desire to prioritize national interests, especially the safety and protection of citizens. Many argue that tax dollars should be used to care for American citizens before aiding illegal immigrants.

There is an increasing amount of support for building a wall along the southern border. Many people are mentioning a Monmouth University poll that indicated a majority of Americans now want a wall.

The border crisis continues to be the top issue for voters leading up to the election. MIG data suggests that public sentiment is shifting towards stricter border control.

Biggest Voter Issues

Governor Abbott’s Migrant Bussing

Many Texas voters approve of Governor Abbott's initiative to bus migrants to sanctuary cities. They view it as a way to lighten the burden on Texas and give sanctuary states what they asked for.

Texans are desperate to relieve the strain on resources and population overrun and believe that sanctuary cities should bear more responsibility. They also believe that this initiative is pushing the consequences of open-border policies into the spotlight, forcing a dialogue about immigration reform

Voters in all border states argue that the responsibility for immigration should be a national issue, rather than falling solely on border states like Texas.

Voters in Sanctuary Cities

Among Americans living in sanctuary cities, there are complaints that they are being targeted and burdened due to their policies. There is less discussion from residents of sanctuary cities, but those who voice public opinions tend to be critical of bussing migrants out of border states.

People in sanctuary cities raise concerns about the constitutionality of Abbott's actions. They question whether the Governor has the legal authority to dictate where immigrants can and cannot go.

They also worry about the economic implications of an influx of immigrants. They fear that it could lead to job losses for locals, wage suppression, and increased competition for limited resources.

There’s also talk of illegal immigrants overcrowding schools and healthcare systems and increasing crime rates. Some, however, are vocal in the opinion that sanctuary cities should welcome immigrants and provide them with the support they need to integrate into society.

Disapproval for Funding Illegal Immigrants

Most of the public commentary shows Americans are opposed to using tax dollars to fund services for illegal immigrants. They argue that it is unfair for tax-paying citizens to finance benefits for people not legally present in the country. This perspective often stems from a belief that illegal immigrants are taking advantage of the system, and the administration is encouraging it.

Americans say illegals are taking jobs from American workers, draining public resources, and contributing to crime rates. More voters also argue that tax dollars should be used to improve services for American citizens who are already struggling to get by.

There’s a growing sentiment that illegal immigrants should not be eligible for social services like healthcare and education, and some say they should not be allowed to work. There is frustration and anger around the perception that illegal immigrants are being favored over U.S. citizens.

Many express dissatisfaction with the current state of law enforcement, blaming Democrats for crime problems in their cities. They see this as an additional burden on taxpayers and businesses and call for a change in leadership. Many people also complain that Democrats have cut police budgets, exacerbating crime in places like San Francisco and New York.

A swell of news stories involving violent crimes by illegals is amplifying the frustration. Commenters refer to specific cases where illegal immigrants are accused or convicted of violent acts and, sometimes, repeatedly allowed back into the country. They express a sense of outrage and distress, accusing the government of wasting tax dollars on criminals.

The ire is often directed at Democratic politicians for supporting open border policies and Republicans for failing to act or oppose Democrats. And, while this can still be seen as a partisan issue, more Democrats and Independents are beginning to speak out about protecting America’s border.

Approval for Funding Illegal Immigrants

There is still a segment of voters – mostly Democrats – who support more funding for illegal immigrants. They see this crisis as a humanitarian issue. They point out that many illegal immigrants work in low-paying jobs and contribute to the economy through sales and income taxes. They also argue that denying services to illegal immigrants may lead to public health issues and increased poverty.

Some say religious organizations, particularly large ones, should pay taxes. Their reasoning is that this would increase revenue and reduce the burden on taxpayers. They argue that religious organizations should contribute the way businesses and individuals do.

This group also advocates for immigrants being allowed to work and pay taxes. They believe this would be more beneficial to the economy than the current situation.

Some Democrats argue that sanctuary cities provide a haven for undocumented immigrants. They believe migrants enhance the cultural diversity of the nation.

Those who approve of spending taxpayer money on illegals tend to view migrant bussing initiative as a form of political opportunism. They accuse Abbott of exacerbating a humanitarian crisis and hold him responsible for the distress and trauma experienced by both immigrants and first responders.

What Californians Are Saying About Newsom’s Governance

In light of recent efforts to initiate yet another recall vote, California governor Gavin Newsom is facing significant criticism. Backlash against Newsom’s policies is growing as California continues to hemorrhage residents.

Most of the negativity is centered around his handling of the economy, crime, and immigration. People also blame Newsom for various issues ranging from wildlife protection to the decline in the quality of life in California.

• In the last five days, Newsom’s support has decreased from 48%, reaching a low of 43%.
• This drop coincided with a large increase in discussion volume, suggesting as more people discuss him, he loses support.

How Californian’s Perceive Newsom’s Public Image

Critics of Newsom are often more right leaning, expressing frustration and dissatisfaction with his liberal policies. They frequently describe California as a "communist" state under his leadership. Republicans also say he aligns himself too closely with President Biden and Vice President Harris.

However, regardless of political affiliation, common perceptions of Newsom include:

• His attitude is smug and elitist.
• A tone-deaf leadership style leaves people feeling unheard.
• He is focused more on illegal immigrants than Californians.
• He prioritizes national political ambitions over Californians’ needs.
• Accusations that he treats constituents, particularly Latinos, as servants.

Criticism From Residents

Voters accuse him of having a failed agenda that is negatively impacting public safety and quality of life in the state. Many critics also express concern that Newsom might aspire to run for President, causing him to neglect California’s current needs.

Many Californians believe his policies have led to an increase in crime, homelessness, and drug addiction. These issues, people say, have significantly decreased quality of life. Critics believe his policies are causing the state to deteriorate as more people move away.

People mention specific projects like a train that doesn't go anywhere as examples of his failed agenda and wasteful spending. Some also highlight the fact that businesses are leaving California, which is increasing economic issues for the state.

Reasons People Leave California

Many reports highlight the fact that more than 700,000 people have moved away from California since 2020. This is bolstered by MIG analysis which reveals the most common reasons people say they moved.

1. Cost of Living
2. Taxes
3. Housing Crisis
4. Political Climate – oppressive leftism
5. Natural Disasters – wildfires, earthquakes, drought
6. COVID policies – mask and vaccine mandates
7. Business Regulations
8. Crime Rates
9. Changing Demographics
10. Few Job Opportunities – outside of major cities and industries

Losing Issues for Newsom

Economy

• Gavin Newsom’s current approval on the economy is 42%, with a 30-day average of 43%.
• His 30-day high was 50% and his low was 36%.

There is also significant criticism of Newsom's handling of the California economy. Many who signed the petition to recall Newsom cite his inability to address the state's economic situation effectively.

Many Californians also express dissatisfaction with the high taxes, pointing out that despite them, there is no perceivable improvement in public services or infrastructure. A very common complaint is Newsom’s wasting of tax dollars.

People say the high and rising cost of living, along with businesses being driven out of the state by regulations is crippling the economy.

Border Security

• Gavin Newsom’s current approval on the border is 46%, with a 30-day average of 45%.
• His 30-day high was 51% and his low was 37%.

Sentiment toward Newsom regarding the border and immigration is overwhelmingly negative. The main concerns revolve around a perception that California has an open border. Many people are discussing the real-world impact of illegal immigration on their daily lives.

Voters accuse Newsom of prioritizing the rights, money, and benefits of illegal immigrants over Californians. They also express frustration at Newsom's lack of action and seeming callousness about the immigration situation at the southern border. This is a special point of grievance for those who criticize California’s sanctuary state status.

Californians who are unhappy with the sanctuary laws in the state are saying that Newsom deserves to be recalled and they plan to vote for his removal. They also argue that too much money is being spent on illegal immigrants, which they view as both a border and economy issue

Public safety and immigration are also overlapping issues, with many people pointing to crimes committed by illegal aliens as unacceptable and far too frequent. Many reiterate Newsom’s prioritizing the rights of illegal immigrants and violent felons over the safety of Californians.

Crime

• Gavin Newsom’s current approval on crime is 46%, with a 30-day average of 43%.
• His 30-day high was 53% and his low was 27%.

Regarding crime as a whole, people highlight rising violent crime and retail theft. They discuss the increased and relentless instances of theft and car break-ins, especially in places like San Francisco. They also talk about the impact organized retail theft is having on both shopping and the overall economy.

There’s also a discussion about gun rights in the state and how they impact crime. Democrats call for stronger gun laws in hopes of reducing gun violence. More conservative voters are unhappy with the existing gun restrictions, arguing it makes protection of life and property more difficult amid rising criminal activity. This group also criticizes the cost of carry permits in the state, saying they're unconstitutional.

There is an emphasis on crimes committed by illegal aliens who, many say, would never have the chance to perpetrate crimes if they were not allowed in the country to begin with. Many also point out that technically, all illegal immigrants are criminals, breaking the law when they entered the country.

Winning Issues for Newsom

Climate Change

• Gavin Newsom’s current approval on crime is 48%, with a 30-day average of 45%.
• His 30-day high was 51% and his low was 25%.

Many Democrats and Independents praise Newsom’s commitment to climate action. They call for more robust and equitable climate initiatives like the ones he has promoted.

Supporters appreciate his stance on issues such as climate change and social equity. They express their intention to vote against a recall, suggesting that they believe he genuinely cares about the climate, despite disagreements over some of his policies. This same group also applauds his efforts to counter policies and rhetoric of Republicans.

Abortion

• Gavin Newsom’s current approval on crime is 52%, with a 30-day average of 47%.
• His 30-day high was 52% and his low was 38%.

A lot of people support Newsom's stance on abortion, viewing it as a necessary right for women. They disagree with the idea of a national abortion ban, and certainly don’t want to see one in California.

They argue that the right to an abortion is essential for women's health and autonomy and should be protected. This group praises Newsom for standing up for women's rights in the face of conservative opposition.

Newsom’s Possible Presidential Run

Rumors of a potential run for the presidency also factor into how Californians view their governor.

Democrat Support for Newsom

Some Democrats believe Newsom is doing a great job as governor. They appreciate his defense of President Biden and say they would support his policies on a national level. This group think Newsom demonstrates strong leadership, and they admire his advocacy for issues like homelessness and wildlife protection. It is likely supportive Democrats would view Newsom as a strong candidate and might support his potential presidential run.

Democrats’ approval for Newsom often includes healthcare, climate change, his leadership during COVID, and his handling of the wildfires. They also overwhelmingly support his progressive stance on abortion rights.

Democrat Disapproval for Newsom

There are some concerns about Newsom among a portion of Democrats. Especially in a potential presidential run. These Democrats tend to disagree with some of his policies and actions as governor – particularly regarding immigration and the homeless crisis.

More moderate Democrats view Newsom as too liberal or too tied to the problems of California to be a strong presidential candidate. There are also concerns about Newsom's failure on issues like child exploitation and prostitution, which some Democrats feel he has not addressed adequately.

Overall, voters including a segment of Democrats criticize Newsom on homelessness, cost of living, and crime. Many people see these issues as egregious failures and therefore might not support him for president.

There are also those who express skepticism about Newsom's support for President Biden, accusing him of ignoring Biden's clear cognitive decline and supporting a false narrative.

The tragic murder of University of Georgia (UGA) student Laken Riley has ignited a fervent online discussion, primarily focusing on illegal immigration, crime, and the broader political landscape. The sentiments expressed in these conversations are shaping public opinion and have the potential to impact the 2024 elections.

Online Sentiment

The online discourse predominantly reflects frustration with leniency towards illegal immigrants. People believe current policies arecontributing to a surge in crime and societal disruption. Many comments express concern over the increasing criminal activities of illegal immigrants, with references to murder and robbery. The blame is often directed at specific state governments, particularly California and New York.There is widespread support for stricter immigration policies and stronger border controls.

Political Impact

The murder of Laken Riley has the potential to impact the 2024 elections in various ways:

Political Climate

The incident could heighten political tension and strengthen anti-immigration sentiments. Candidates advocating for tough immigration policies may gain support in the wake of an event like this.

Policy Debate

The murder will likely intensify debates on immigration policies and border control, influencing campaign strategies. Some candidates may call for stricter laws and stronger border controls, issues often linked to political stances and actions of President Donald Trump.

Voter Sentiment

The tragedy may sway voter sentiment in Georgia, leading to increased support for candidates addressing crime and immigration.

Public Safety Concerns

The murder could raise concerns about public safety, prompting candidates to address these issues and propose solutions in their campaigns.

The subject of Border Security and Immigration continue to be top issues linked with both Presidential candidates.

Public Sentiment

Negative public sentiment against the current administration is palpable, with users blaming lax immigration policies for the student's death. There is a call for mass deportations, tighter border control, and criticism of specific politicians, including Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, and the entire Republican party for perceived inaction.

Polarization and Divisions

The discourse is highly politicized, revealing a deep divide in opinions about the government's role and specific political figures. While some support the border wall and stricter immigration policies, others criticize both the current and past administrations for their handling of the immigration issue.

National Security Concerns

Supporters of the border wall argue for its completion, citing perceived national security risks. Some discussions mention the actions of “border vets” and a poll indicating majority support for the wall, signaling a potential shift in public sentiment.

Conclusion

The murder of UGA student Laken Riley has become a focal point in the broader debates on immigration. Online discourse reflects a polarized nation with deep-seated opinions on how to address these issues. As the 2024 elections approach, the incident has the potential to influence political agendas, shape candidate strategies, and impact voter sentiment, particularly in the state of Georgia.

As the spotlight continues to shine on illegal immigration, many voters understand the problems of economic migrants impacting the economy, cartels bringing drugs into the country, and increased crime in sanctuary cities. But Americans are now starting to express fears of a larger, more global threats beyond Central and South American migrants and the cartels.

China’s Power is Growing

A lot of Americans are talking about China’s significant and increasing global power. Some argue that governments in Iran, Russia, Israel, America, NATO, and the European Union can all be bought by China – and may have already been bought. The perceived control of China over world affairs is a major concern.

Voters continually express apprehension about China's alignment with Russia, Iran, and North Korea. The potential for these alliances to result in terrorist activities or geopolitical instability is a recurring theme in the discussions. Americans sound increasingly alarmed at China’s potential threat to U.S. national security through the economy and illegal immigration.

As it relates to the border, more people are beginning to speculate that Chinese nationals are among the many illegal immigrants a truant U.S. government is allowing to stream into the country.

There are increasing fears about potential threats these illegal crossings pose from the Chinese government, including espionage, sleeper military cells, and other forms of interference.

Americans are concerned about the potential of military-age single men coming from China across the southern border for unknown but threatening purposes. There are speculations that an “invasion” is taking place not only by Central and South American migrants, but Chinese nationals and other antagonistic countries.

More and more Americans insist that the U.S. should prioritize its own security interests before international interests. They express frustration with what they see as inaction and incompetence by our country’s government.

U.S. Business and Politics in the Pocket of China

There is a significant and vocal segment of Americans who express suspicions that American politicians and corporations are being influenced by China.

Many people mention politicians like Gavin Newsom and Nikki Haley, and CEOs like Mark Cuban as supporters of open immigration policies and submission to China’s interests. Some accuse Haley of encouraging illegal immigration by promoting policies that benefit foreign companies, such as bringing the Chinese corporation Bluestar Silicones to South Carolina.

More and more, American voters express fears that the U.S. is being put economically, politically, and now possibly militarily at the mercy of China.

Some other concerns that often come up related to China’s influence in the U.S. include:

• Fears that China is buying vast amounts land across the country.
• Discussion of China’s use of technology and artificial intelligence for cyber warfare.
• Apprehension about China’s control over TikTok and its social surveillance.
• Talk about China’s potential to invade Tiwan as the U.S. sits idly by.

Sentiment toward China tends to be slightly higher among Democrats. Although, Republican sentiment has fluctuated slightly more in the last 15 days.

• The 15-day average sentiment toward China is 47% among Democrats and 46% among Republicans.

Overarching Border Fears Move Sentiment Prior to the Election

The conversation about China’s potential threat at the southern border is roiling under the surface of a larger illegal immigration conversation. A January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll showed that immigration surpassed inflation as the most important issue to American voters. MIG data confirms this poll with 30-day trending topic analysis.

• Border security generated more online discussion in the last 30 days than economic issues.
• Both border security and the economy are in the top five overall discussion topics.
• Average sentiment for border security is 45% compared to 46% for the economy.

Many voters are expressing outrage over the perceived misuse of their tax dollars, particularly when used to provide for illegal immigrants. Americans argue that their hard-earned money is being used to fund services and benefits for illegals, which they find unjust. This sentiment is particularly strong with recent news of New York City Mayor Adams' plan to provide $10,000 Debit Cards to undocumented immigrants.

More people are saying that increased crime and economic drain are top problems caused by unchecked illegal crossings. Instances of crime involving illegal immigrants are often highlighted when people advocate for stricter immigration control.

Discussion shows increasing resistance to the idea of amnesty for illegal immigrants, with some insisting that illegal entry should be penalized rather than condoned. The need to finish building a wall along the southern border is also commonly suggested.

Many voters criticize Biden for his ineffective handling of the border crisis and an unwillingness to act in the interest of Americans. Words like "invasion” and “infiltration” are being used more frequently. Voters repeatedly lament the growing strain on public resources, such as schools and social services. This coincides with existing concerns about the economy, rising costs, and unchecked government spending.

A final concern that many, especially Republicans and conservatives, vocalize is the potential political implications of continued open border. Americans worry about the influence of illegal immigrants on the electoral process, accusing Democrats of using the influx of potential new voters to secure votes.

Border sentiment is consistently lower among Republicans than among Democrats. However, negative discussion about the subject is widespread among all voter groups.

ICE may begin the mass-release of illegal immigrants after the failed border bill, but many Americans are unaware, online trends show. In the wake of the ICE bombshell, online discussion increased only slightly, indicating border policy fallout may be delayed.

• While the border remains a top election issue, early February’s House battle over the widely criticized Border Bill saw peak discussion volume, reaching nearly 30,000 online mentions.
• Trends show widespread dissatisfaction with the Biden Administration’s policies and the worsening situation on the US southern border.
• However, by February 14, discussion was down by two thirds, barely crossing 10,000 mentions in the wake of the failed so-called Border Bill, which would limit illegal border crossings to 5,000 per day.
• The data suggests that Americans are unaware of the implications of continued border security issues as volume decreases, yet negative sentiment remains stable.
• Border sentiment has held within a few percentage points of 45% for the last 30 days and sits at 45% as of February 15.

Competing with wars in Ukraine and Gaza and the DOJ Special Counsel Report questioning President Biden’s fitness for office, border security has dropped to sixth place among trending topics. Yet the undiscussed bombshell—that ICE may be set for the widespread release of detained illegal immigrants—has yet to explode.

Top issues online:

1. Biden – special counsel report
2. Security issues – Ukraine and Israel
3. Ideologies – Wokeism
4. Economic issues – taxes and inflation
5. Palestine – Gaza and Hamas
6. Border security – illegal immigration

The discussion around ICE’s potential mass release is limited, according to MIG data. But there is a clear sentiment among those who are discussing it that illegal immigrants should be deported immediately upon encounter with law enforcement.

What People Are Saying About the Border

Discussion of the border falls predictably within partisan lines, even as democrats’ sentiment on the border has eroded. A clear theme is that huge numbers of illegal entries are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore, and more Americans now call for stricter border control and mass deportations.

• Mass Deportations: Many Americans are expressing frustration and anger towards immigration policies they perceive as lax, calling for mass deportations and closing the border.
• Sentiment tracking shows the Border is linked with a host of other critical issues: Americans are worried about crime, terrorism, and the economic burden associated with illegal immigrants.

• There are also increasing accusations of treason against individuals who support open border policies.
• Double standards: trends show dissatisfaction with preferential treatment for illegals, such as bypassing TSA screening at airports and benefits funded by American taxpayers.
• Discussion of ICE is limited, but existing trends show a critical stance toward the agency for releasing illegals into the US—which could happen at scale in the wake of the Biden Administration’s battle with the House.

Blame to Go Around

While discussion has simmered in the wake of the bill’s failure, trends show Americans’ anger over the border persists.

• Republican voters are accusing the Biden administration of lying and gaslighting the public in its claims the administration lacks the authority to close the border.
• The few Democrats who have reacted to the border crisis are blaming Republicans and, more specifically, Donald Trump.
• Some defending the Biden administration claim immigrants contribute to the economy and pay taxes.
• Liberal voters criticized Republican lawmakers for blocking the legislation, which would have permitted 5,000 illegal border crossings each day. But increasingly, democrats have turned on the Biden Administration’s handling of the issue.

Impeached DHS secretary Alejandro Mayorkas also received attention in the wake of his House impeachment inquiry.

• On the day of his impeachment, and the following day, discussion about Mayorkas increased from roughly 500 to 1,500 mentions.
• Approval for Mayorkas actually increased from 45% to 46% on the day of his impeachment.
• This indicates that, despite widespread dissatisfaction with the border, Americans are not fully on board with Republican political tactics.

However, along with negativity toward House Republicans, the public discourse around Mayorkas is under fire, with calls for his ouster.

• Many are arguing Mayorkas was derelict in his duty from day one, and that his impeachment is direct fallout from his handling of the border.
• Some are unsatisfied with Mayorkas as the target for inquiry, suggesting Mayorkas’ and DHS’ problems with the border extend to Biden and the White House.
• Even among some Republicans, there is belief that impeaching Mayorkas will not solve the underlying issue, as the Biden Administration will likely replace Maryorkas with someone equally unfit.
• There are also criticisms that the House Republicans have spent more time trying to impeach Mayorkas than they have spent actually securing the border.
• There is speculation that President Biden will scapegoat Mayorkas’ DHS to shift blame away from his administration.
• The Senate's ability to convict Mayorkas is unclear, with the real possibility a Senate trial would end in acquittal.

Overall, trends indicate Americans are unhappy with officials and lawmakers across the board when it comes to the southern border. Even as the border has lost ground to war and security issues in trending discourse, sentiment shows deep underlying negativity among Americans about the number of illegal immigrants entering the country.

Security issues have obscured the prospect of widespread ICE releases of illegals, the fallout of which remains to be seen.

Public Awareness on the Border

Recent MIG data shows online discussions about border security is significantly increasing, implying rise in awareness and concern among Americans. The general sentiment among Republicans, Democrats, and Independents appears to be that of concern and frustration, albeit for differing reasons.

• In the last 90 days, conversation online about the border has dramatically increased from an average of 2,951 mentions per day in November to 11,088 mentions per day in January.
• In the past week, online discussion about the border has averaged 15,462 mentions per day with February 4 reaching a high of 25,228.

• American sentiment about the border has decreased in the last 90 days. Public sentiment dropped from a consistent 50% in November to 43% today.
• Sentiment on border security has remained below 50% for 84 straight days.

Reactions to the Proposed Border Bill

Discussions about the Lankford border bill appear to be highly polarized and emotionally charged. In general, the discussions also reveal a perceived link between immigration and crime. This suggests that a significant portion of the online discussion on immigration is driven by concerns over safety and rule of law.

Republicans

Sentiment among Republicans seems to be predominantly negative with strong criticism towards the border bill.

• Republicans perceive it as an open borders bill that would allow unchecked immigration and jeopardize national security.
• There are numerous calls for strict immigration control, including the deportation of illegal immigrants and the closure of the border.
• Many accuse the Biden administration of facilitating illegal immigration, which they believe has led to an increase in crime, particularly referencing recent events in New York.
• Republicans also express support for actions against certain Democratic representatives, particularly Ilhan Omar.
• Many advocate for the completion of the southern border wall initiated under Trump's administration.
• Some have even suggested extreme measures like crocodiles in rivers, electrified fences, and drones with bombs.

Democrats

• Democrat voices are less prominent in these border discussions. But there is some criticism of Republicans for spreading what they see as racist and hateful rhetoric.
• Those on the left challenge the narrative of open borders and argue that encounters at the border do not equate to an increase in the U.S. population
• Sentiment suggests they believe Republicans are spreading misinformation about the bill and using the immigration issue to stoke fear and gain political advantage.
• There are accusations of Republicans fear-mongering, particularly toward Trump and Governor Abbott.
• There is also criticism towards the spending on the wall, with some Democrats arguing that the funds could be better used for other domestic issues.
• Democrats continue to be largely critical of the border wall, but are less engaged in discussion about the current crescendo of concern around safety and rule of law.

Independents

• Sentiment among independents is harder to pin down due to the diversity of views within this group.
• There is a noticeable contingent who suggest unorthodox solutions to the border issue, like building a wall on the northern border with Canada.
• Independents are not as vocal as Republicans, but it can be inferred that they are generally concerned about border security and immigration policies.
• They seem to have more nuanced views, but tend to see the need for both border security and humane treatment of immigrants.

Reactions to James Lankford

The online sentiment regarding Senator James Lankford's actions on border security is overwhelmingly negative. Many express dissatisfaction with his border security bill, viewing it as detrimental to the United States.

Approval for Lankford has fluctuated in the last 14 days with a high of 54% and a low of 38%.

Disapproval

• Many argue Lankford’s bill will lead to an influx of 2-3 million illegals per year or 20-30 million in a decade, effectively ending USA borders altogether.
• There’s also dissatisfaction with the bill’s distribution of funding. Many express indignation over possible allocation of more funding to Ukraine and Israel over border security.
• A few voices accuse Lankford of being swayed by bribes or outside interests rather than prioritizing the needs of American citizens.
• Some voters in Oklahoma, Lankford's home state, voice their disappointment, stating that they are closely watching his actions.
• There is a sentiment of betrayal among some Oklahomans who accuse Lankford of siding with Democrats and "selling out" Oklahoma.
• There are numerous calls for him to step down from his position, with some referring to him as a "RINO."
• There's a sentiment of betrayal and a threat of political repercussions with some users threatening to primary him in upcoming elections.
• Across party lines, there seems to be a perceived lack of focus on domestic issues.
• Overall, sentiments reflect a demand for markedly tighter border security measures, as well as a broad disapproval of the bill's provisions.

Approval

• Despite the overall negative sentiment, there are a few voices that view aid to Ukraine as beneficial to the US economy and thus support Lankford's bill.
• Arguments that the Russian invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented demand for US arms sales, providing a significant boost to the American economy.
• There are a few voices of support for Lankford, arguing that he is focused on results rather than political posturing.
• However, these voices appear to be in the minority.

Reactions to Alejandro Mayorkas

Online sentiments toward Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas appear to be largely negative, with a strong focus on his alleged failure to handle the issues at the border effectively.

• Many commenters accuse Mayorkas of lying about his efforts to address what they perceive as an "invasion" at the border.
• People believe he has not taken action to curb the surge of illegal border crossings. Some even suggest that he's aiding and abetting the situation.
• This sentiment is mostly held by those who believe that Mayorkas and President Biden's border policies have exacerbated the crisis at the southern border.

Approval for Mayorkas has fluctuated in the last 14 days with a high of 48% and a low of 44%.

Division on a Mayorkas Impeachment

While talk about the border situation is generally negative, there seems to be more division about a possible Mayorkas impeachment.

Approval

• There is a strong call from many for his impeachment, with some arguing that his handling of the US-Mexico border crisis is a breach of public trust.
• Many accuse him of lying to the American people and Congress and failing to enforce border security laws.
• There is a belief that Mayorkas has not protected the homeland effectively and should be held accountable for his actions.
• Many say Mayorkas and Biden are ignoring laws they should be enforcing and do have power to act on this issue.
• Supporters insist that it is the duty of Congress members to vote in favor of his impeachment. They also accuse him of being a "Constitution hater."

Disapproval

• On the other hand, there are many who view the potential impeachment as a partisan ploy by House Republicans.
• Arguments that the impeachment is not about Mayorkas's job performance but an attempt to make the border issue a political talking point against the Biden administration.
• Dissenters argue that the impeachment is a political stunt, a "hit job," and an abuse of the process.
• There are some voices who say the impeachment will not pass the House vote and question the timing of the impeachment.
• Some argue that Mayorkas does not have the authority to set the US immigration agenda and that this responsibility lies with Congress.