Over graduation weekend, graduating students from Duke University walked out in protest supporting Palestine during the commencement speech by Jerry Seinfeld. This event, like many campus protests, serves as a litmus test for broader public opinion on issues such as freedom of speech, academic freedom, and international politics.

Voter Reactions to the Walkout

Political Polarization: The event is likely to continue polarizing voter opinions. For conservative voters and those aligned with right leaning values, such actions might be viewed as disrespectful or indicative of a broader "cancel culture" that opposes free speech. Conversely, liberal voters might see this as a courageous stand for human rights and an expression of solidarity with Palestine.

Calls To Defund Universities: Conservative commentors and politicians have been quick to criticize the walkout as un-American and as an example of why universities should not receive government funding. This rhetoric can resonate with voters who feel universities are becoming too liberal or are not respecting diverse viewpoints. The use of phrases like "#defunduniversities" and "#stopantisemitism" can galvanize this segment of the electorate, potentially increasing their support for conservative candidates who promise to address these issues.

Impact on Liberal Voters: Liberal voters might view the student protest as a necessary act of defiance against perceived injustices in the Middle East. This could strengthen their resolve to support candidates who promise a more balanced foreign policy or who are willing to criticize Israel's policies.

Continued Dissonance for Voters

Events like the Duke University walkout can increase sentiment for political figures like Donald Trump, who has positioned himself as a staunch defender of Israel and a critic of what he perceives as excessive political correctness in academia. Trump's base might see this as further justification for his policies and rhetoric, potentially boosting his support among undecided or swing voters who are frustrated with current university climates.

The visibility of such protests can also have a dual effect. On one hand, it can embolden other students and activists to organize similar demonstrations, creating a ripple effect across other universities and public forums. This could lead to a sustained movement, particularly if the protests gain substantial media coverage and social media traction. However, it could also provoke counter-protests and further entrench the divides between different ideological groups.

If anti-Israel protests continue and escalate, they could have significant implications for upcoming elections. Political candidates may be forced to take clear stances on issues related to Israel and Palestine, academic freedom, and freedom of speech. This could influence voter turnout and preferences, particularly among younger voters and those in academic communities.

Columbia University recently canceled its commencement ceremony in response to ongoing anti-Israel protests on campus. These protests, part of a broader wave of political demonstrations at U.S. colleges, have intensified, leading to significant disruptions and even police intervention. While reactions to the protests generally vary according to political leanings, Columbia’s canceled graduation seems to upset parents across the board.

Many supporters of the protests express concerns about security measures and the involvement of law enforcement. Discussions frequently mention the use of police force during raids at Columbia’s Hamilton Hall, where protesters were staying. Those who advocate for pro-Palestine action tend to condemn what they see as excessive force and police brutality, claiming the protests are peaceful.

The decision to cancel graduation has sparked debate over its impact on graduating students. Many argue the protests have unfairly deprived these students of a pivotal life experience. Protest supporters believe the cancelation underscores the seriousness of the Israel-Hamas conflict. Still others blame university administrators for allowing the protests to impact normal proceedings on campus.

• National sentiment towards universities and protests dipped below 40% at the beginning of May, as protests reached fever pitch.
• Sentiment seems to be slowly recovering as national attention turns to other events and discussion volume drops.
• Approval of President Biden on Israel and Palestine remains in the low 40% range as both right and left leaning voters seem unhappy with his handling of the conflict.

Reactions to Canceling Graduation

Protest supporters are more likely to focus on the reasons behind the cancellation, in their reactions. They point out public health or student safety concerns, and generally support measures that prioritize community welfare.

Pro-Israel and more conservative voters tend to view the cancellation as an overreaction and infringement on important milestones and traditions. They seem to view the decision as a capitulation to protesters by the administration.

Parents of university students, particularly those of graduating seniors, are being significantly impacted by the cancellation. They express disappointment, frustration, and unhappiness at the loss of an important ceremony for graduating students.

Reactions among parents are predominantly negative. Sentiments focus on the emotional and financial ramifications:

• Disappointment and frustration: Many parents express disappointment that their children will miss out on the ceremonial acknowledgment of their academic achievements.
• Financial concerns: There is frequent mention of financial losses relating to travel and accommodation bookings, as many families prepare for commencement months in advance.
• Request for Alternatives: A common request among parents is for the university to consider alternative forms of celebration, such as virtual events or smaller, department-specific ceremonies.

Critique of University Administrators

Many critics of the decision to cancel graduation are also critical of how university administrators have handled the protests in general. They say the administration is overly lenient or biased in favor of what they consider "left-wing" protesters. This sentiment is especially carried over among conservative voters who views their values as under attack by academia.

There is a frequent call for stricter actions against protesters who obstruct the functioning of educational institutions or who promote anti-American or violent rhetoric. Conservatives frequently cite:

• University failure to protect Jewish students and curb antisemitic rhetoric.
• A belief that administrators allow "political correctness" to stifle truly free speech and normal campus functions.
• The notion that universities are becoming safe havens for extremist views under the guise of academic freedom.

Liberal voters are more likely to support the administrators' decisions in handling protests, emphasizing the importance of free speech and peaceful protest. However, this group is not monolithic. Some progressives believe that university leaders are failing to adequately support minority and marginalized groups during protests. They argue administrators are not doing enough to meet the demands of protesters. Progressives often cite:

• Administrators not being proactive in defending free speech rights for all groups, especially minorities.
• Concerns over the potential suppression of academic freedom under external political pressures.
• The balance between maintaining campus order and respecting protesters' rights.

On May 2nd, a 142-page leaked document of terms and demands from the Chicago Teachers Union (CTU) regarding their contract renewal went semi-viral. The CTU’s plans include sheltering the homeless, pay raises, fully paid abortions, and more. Reactions seem to intersect with broader debates on Critical Race Theory (CRT), Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI), and related educational policies. MIG Reports analysis reveals several key discussion trends and the sentiments about these topics.

Top Discussion Trends

Educational Curriculum and Ideologies: Many comments focus on CRT and DEI, framing these concepts either as necessary for a fair education system or as ideological tools that manipulate and indoctrinate students. This dichotomy reflects a broader cultural and political clash over what should be taught in schools.

Teachers’ Roles and Challenges: Discussions often highlight the challenges teachers face, including dealing with curriculum bans, political interference in education, and a perceived systemic underfunding. The discourse shows a mixture of support for teachers' efforts to navigate these challenges and criticism of their involvement in ideological education methods.

Merit and Academic Standards: Some conversations revolve around academic standards, particularly in relation to college admissions and the perceived fairness of requiring different test scores for students of different ethnic backgrounds. This ties back to larger debates on equity, equality, and meritocracy in education.

Public Perception and Political Actions: There is discussion on the actions of politicians and policymakers concerning education. Many voters call for clearer explanations of their politician positions on DEI and CRT. This trend points to a demand for transparency and accountability from those shaping educational policies.

Sentiment Analysis

Negative Sentiment: Many voters express distrust and frustration towards educational theories like CRT and DEI, often perceiving them as divisive or discriminatory. This negative sentiment is also directed at perceived governmental overreach and mismanagement of educational priorities.

Positive Sentiment: There is a strong current of support for educational reforms that include diverse perspectives and histories. Supporters argue these frameworks are vital for an inclusive and comprehensive education system.

Polarization: The overall sentiment is polarized, reflecting a divided public opinion that mirrors the broader societal divisions on race, education, and politics.

Where Public Opinion May Be Heading

Given the current trends and sentiments, public opinion is likely to remain deeply divided on theories like CRT and DEI. Here are a few predictions on public thinking:

Heightened Debates: As educational policies continue to evolve, debates are likely to intensify. Parents and voters may focus on the impact of these policies on students' performance and societal integration.

Political Mobilization: The issues are becoming increasingly politicized, potentially influencing voter behavior and party alignments. Political candidates might leverage these topics to galvanize their bases, leading to more entrenched positions.

Calls for Clear Policies: There is likely to be a growing demand for clear and concise educational policies that address both the goals of inclusivity and the concerns over academic standards and ideological bias.

Community and Parental Involvement: Expect increased involvement from communities and parents, seeking greater say in the educational content and methods, potentially leading to localized educational reforms or confrontations.