Trump Says Harris Wants Another Debate Because She’s Losing
September 24, 2024Key Takeaways
- Harris challenges Trump to a second debate on CNN but Trump says it’s too late—Republican voters agree.
- 58% of Republicans are opposed a second debate, while 62% of Democrats favor another debate.
- Democrats hope Harris can continue to damage Trump’s image, while Republicans believe Trump can win without another debate.
Our Methodology
Demographics
All Voters
Sample Size
100,000
Geographical Breakdown
National
Time Period
14 Days
MIG Reports leverages EyesOver technology, employing Advanced AI for precise analysis. This ensures unparalleled precision, setting a new standard. Find out more about the unique data pull for this article.
The presidential race picture is unclear post-debate and amid early voting as both sides claim to have the edge in a tight race. MIG Reports analysis showed Trump surging after the first Trump-Harris debate on ABC, which coincides with Times/Siena swing state polling. Both MIG Reports data and polls show Trump gaining momentum in key battleground states and expanding his lead over Harris. With early voting underway and Harris’s numbers questionable, Democrats want a second debate.
"Kamala Harris dominated the debate" pic.twitter.com/0aXGDGsmY0
— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) September 23, 2024
Harris announced that she has accepted an invitation from CNN for a second debate, causing a stir on social media when she called Trump the “Former Vice President.” Meanwhile, Trump remains dismissive, saying it's too late for another debate and Harris is likely losing.
Kamala: “I’d like another debate. I hope the former Vice President would agree to that.”
— Greg Price (@greg_price11) September 22, 2024
Which Vice President is she talking about here?
pic.twitter.com/H8JhwYICNc
JUST IN: Donald Trump says he will *not* be doing another debate in October on CNN, says Kamala Harris is "losing badly."
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) September 21, 2024
"The problem with another debate is that it's just too late voting has already started."
"She's had her chance to do it with Fox... but now she wants to do… pic.twitter.com/LeNTo38wVA
Voter Sentiment Breakdown
Voters from both parties are divided on whether a second debate would be productive, but Democrats largely support a second debate and Republicans do not.
- 42% of Republicans support a second debate, while 58% oppose it.
- 62% of Democrats favor another debate, with 38% opposed.
- Since the debate, national sentiment toward Trump has remained strong, surging from 52% the day following the debate to 55% today.
- Harris’s national sentiment has dipped from 47% the day following the debate to 45% today.
- In swing states, Trump has surged from an even 49% support for both candidates on the day of the debate to 50% for Trump today compared to 47% for Harris.
- Electoral college support also looks good for Trump with Republicans at 49% compared to Democrats at 47%.
Why Democrats Want a Second Debate
Among Democrats, the desire for a second debate stems from three key motivations:
- Hold Trump accountable: The top reason is an opportunity for Harris to challenge Trump and "call him out” for his dangerous and objectionable policies and rhetoric.
- Showcase Harris’s policies: Many also view a second debate as a chance for Harris to more clearly present her policies.
- Clarify issues for voters: Some Democrats believe another debate would help undecided voters gain clarity on important topics like healthcare and immigration.
Democrats who oppose a second debate cite:
- Skepticism about Trump’s participation: Some doubt Trump will engage seriously or fairly. They say he will refuse or use it to spread “misinformation.”
- Unproductive focus on personality: Some say another debate will devolve into personal attacks, giving Trump the spotlight over substantive issues.
- Harris’s ability to perform: Critics within the party worry Harris might struggle to effectively counter Trump’s aggressive tactics and off-the-cuff remarks.
Why Republicans Don’t Want Another Debate
Republicans largely dismiss or oppose the idea of another debate:
- Concerns about Trump’s performance: There’s unease about Trump’s ability to stay focused during debates. Some worry another debate would not help him.
- Debate bias concerns: Many are also critical of media outlets like CNN they view as biased in favor of Harris and actively attacking and fact-checking Trump.
- Nothing useful in a debate: Some say voters know who Trump is and will not find out anything informative from Harris, therefor another debate won't sway votes.
Those who support a second debate say:
- Redemption for Trump: Some Republicans think Trump deserves another chance to perform better, hoping in a second debate he would clearly defeat Harris.
- Show Harris’s true policies: Some say another chance to challenge Harris more directly on policy issues can still sway some undecided voters.
- Biased media: Those who say the ABC debate was unfair hope a second one will either be fair or more strongly point out bias if CNN moderators reveal bias.
What Happens if the Debate Takes Place?
Should Trump decide to accept the invitation, the potential outcomes are uncertain. For Harris, a second debate is a critical opportunity to make up lost ground. As Trump’s numbers grow, she needs a high-profile event to shift momentum back in her favor.
However, for a public sentiment comeback to be successful, Harris would need an extremely strong showing. Harris needs to resonate with swing voters on issues that matter most like the economy and the border. But she faces a challenge from progressive voters who prioritize social justice and anti-Israel issues, which alienate moderates.
For Trump, the stakes of another debate are high. While his base remains enthusiastic, another chaotic appearance could be a double-edged sword. While MAGA voters will likely continue with strong support, moderates on the fence may not like another spectacle like the viral Springfield cats and dogs issue.