Voter discussions surrounding the Israel-Hamas conflict presents a deeply polarized view with significant political undertones. Discussions largely revolve around the U.S. foreign policy actions, handling of military aid, and the implications of these decisions on the war's progress.

• Trump shows higher approval on the topics of wars, Israel, and Palestine compared to Biden.
• Despite higher discussion volume around the same issues, Biden's approval continues to drop.

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump 

While opinions are divided on whether the Trump and Biden administrations have positively influenced outcomes in the Middle East, many correlate Trump's decision to move the embassy to Jerusalem and the Abraham Accords with a more stable region.

Trump supporters cite his strong stance on NATO and Israel as a positive, contrasting Biden's perceived weakness.

The conflict in Gaza is often discussed in conjunction with other global issues like the war in Ukraine, reflecting a broader debate on how the U.S. should engage globally under different administrations. Biden's support for Ukraine contrasts with Trump, who is perceived to de-escalate bloody conflicts and end “forever wars.”

Foreign Policy Moving Forward

Voters often criticize Biden for his policies and administrative actions, which could erode public trust. Trump, while controversial, often evokes a nostalgic sentiment among his supporters for perceived better days under his administration. 

The intensity of criticism against Biden, coupled with calls for impeachment, suggests a significant trust deficit. Trump continues to maintain a loyal base that trusts his leadership, as evidenced by supportive tweets and calls for his re-election. 

Given current discussion trends and polarization in public opinion, it seems likely his base may trust Trump more than Biden’s base trust the current administration. This is particularly true for anti-Israel progressives. However, increased trust in Trump does not necessarily extend beyond his base, and the public might be more divided in their trust between the two leaders. 

The discourse surrounding election integrity, particularly in relation to Secretary Antony Blinken's claim about China interfering in U.S. elections, is contentious. The sentiments expressed fall along partisan lines and the intensity of these sentiments seems to have escalated after Blinken's claim.

Prior to Blinken's comment, discussion was centered mostly on allegations of domestic election fraud. The 2020 presidential election is still a highlight among many voter conversations. There are still accusations of criminal activity, with many blaming the former president, Donald Trump, for orchestrating a conspiracy to influence the election. This was a recurrent theme in many online comments.

Overall, sentiment toward election integrity is largely negative, with many expressing anger, frustration, and a sense of betrayal. Voter comments suggest a deep-seated mistrust in the electoral system and the political establishment on both sides. There are also calls for ensuring fair elections, with some suggesting measures like paper ballots and identification requirements.

After Blinken's claim, the discourse became even more heated. Allegations of election fraud continue, with some now also linking them to foreign interference, particularly from China. Sentiment is still largely negative, but there is now also a sense of fear and urgency. Many express the need for immediate action to protect the integrity of U.S. elections.

Based on MIG Reports data, most of the public is more worried about domestic interference than foreign interference in the 2024 election. This is evident from numerous references to the 2020 election, during which many allege domestic fraud was a significant issue.

There is a strong narrative among Republicans around a belief that the election was stolen. Some blame key figures in the Republican party for not supporting Donald Trump. Democrats seem more likely to be skeptical that Trump himself attempted to tamper with the election and secure an illegitimate presidency against the will of the people.

Given recent reactions to the $61 billion aid package for Ukraine, it's clear opinions on this issue are contentious among Americans. As we look towards the 2024 election, these divisions could become even more pronounced. Many voters express concern about the amount of money being spent abroad while issues at home, such as rising food costs and threats towards minority communities, are not being adequately addressed.

Critics of the bill argue the aid package is a misuse of funds, asserting the money could be better spent addressing domestic issues. Some feel it’s an example of the U.S. involving itself in conflicts that do not directly affect the country, suggesting an “America Last” sentiment. They also express skepticism about the effectiveness of the aid and question the motivations behind the bill. Some on the right accuse Speaker Mike Johnson of pushing through the bill for political gain.

Supporters of the bill see it as a necessary measure to support allies and uphold democratic values in the face of aggression. They argue providing aid to Ukraine is in the U.S.'s strategic interest. They also claim opposing the bill equates to supporting Russian aggression and undermining democracy. However, there is stronger support for the parts of the bill that provide aid to Israel and Taiwan.

Many Americans express dissatisfaction with the bill as a whole. Their primary concern is the domestic impact, questioning why such a large sum of money is being sent overseas while American citizens are struggling with high living costs, poverty, and other social issues. They criticize the government for neglecting domestic needs in favor of foreign aid.

Another group, including some hardline Republicans, voice their opposition to the aid package for ideological reasons. They view it as fueling conflicts and promoting a globalist agenda, with some suggesting it's part of a Zionist project for world domination. They also express concerns about the potential for money to escalate conflicts in the Middle East and Asia.

There seems to be a growing sentiment of frustration among voters at the perceived neglect of domestic issues. This could potentially drive a surge in support for Trump and others who more often champions an "America First" stance.

Overall, it seems a significant portion of the population dislikes the massive foreign aid package. They believe funds should be used at home to address things like poverty, healthcare, and infrastructure. If this group becomes frustrated enough, they’ll likely support candidates in the 2024 elections who prioritize domestic issues over international ones.

MIG Reports data has identified a significant amount of dissatisfaction and frustration among Americans regarding cyberattacks and perceived failures of homeland security. Many of these feelings result from recent events that users suspect to be cyberattacks, which they blame on the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and its Secretary, Alejandro Mayorkas.

Some are calling for Mayorkas to resign, indicating dissatisfaction with his handling of security issues. There is a belief that DHS is not doing enough to prevent cyberattacks and protect American citizens. These sentiments are fueled by the perceived ineffectiveness and alleged corruption within the department.

Discussions have been increasing with a rising number of disastrous incidents on U.S. infrastructure, with many skeptical of reasons why. These events include things like the Baltimore Bridge, weather radar outages, and 911 outages. As foreign conflicts expand in countries like Russia and Iran, Americans are more worried they will never find the truth about responsible actors.

Anger is also directed at the government at large, with some voters accusing it of being compromised by foreign entities. They believe foreign adversaries have manipulated the government to their advantage, leading to a lack of accountability for cyberattacks.

Many people are apprehensive about the possibility of future attacks. There is a sense that the current government and security departments are not adequately prepared or competent to handle and prevent such incidents. As a result, there is a call for more stringent security measures and more robust responses to cyber threats.

There's also a level of anxiety about how cyberattacks could impact daily life, from increasing costs to potentially disrupting essential services. Some speculate about the potential for cyberattacks to escalate into physical conflict or even war, citing the mutual hostility between certain nations.

Others argue that hostile foreign adversaries could exploit American communications and cyber infrastructure to carry out attacks. However, there are also concerns about domestic threats, with some users accusing certain politicians and political groups of being "domestic terrorists."

Israel

Public commentary about a foreign aid bill to Israel reveals largely political divisions, with an array of sentiments across different voter groups and demographics.

Republicans

A strong sentiment of support for Israel is evident. Many Republicans express concern about Iran's attacks on Israel and emphasize the need for the U.S. to back Israel. They also highlight the role of the U.S. in ensuring Israel's security and the need for Congress to act in support of Israel.

Democrats

There’s a mixed bag of opinions among Democrats. Some express concern about the U.S. getting involved in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran, suggesting it's not in our best interest to get dragged into a potential war. However, other Democrats acknowledge the need for some form of aid to Israel but suggest the U.S. should impose strict political conditions on any such aid. They also express concern about the potential for the situation to escalate into a broader conflict in the Middle East.

Independents

Divided overall, Independents express support for Israel and condemn Iran's actions but also question why the U.S. should be involved in the conflict. There's also an undercurrent of frustration about U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East, with some Independents suggesting America should stay out of the conflict altogether.

There is also a narrative that connects the situation in Israel with the ongoing crisis in Ukraine, suggesting aid for both countries should be considered simultaneously. Some people express frustration that Ukraine is not receiving the same level of support as Israel.

Among various demographics, there is a correlation between religious beliefs and the level of support for Israel. Some use religious texts to justify supporting Israel, suggesting a strong connection between religious beliefs and political opinions on this issue.

Ukraine

Republicans

The Republicans and conservatives are quite divided. Some still voice strong support for providing aid. However, there are large swaths of right leaning voters who vehemently oppose sending more American tax dollars to Ukraine. Many in this group use strong language to emphasize what they view as a misuse of American funds. They do not want to spend money abroad while domestic issues are being neglected – particularly the crisis at the southern border. They also accuse RINOs (Republicans In Name Only) of betraying their party by supporting more foreign aid.

Democrats

A significant portion of Democrats remain strong advocates for providing taxpayer-funded aid to Ukraine. Many express their support or say they’ve signed petitions to get military aid to Ukraine. They criticize hold-ups in Congress and believe that helping Ukraine is essential for democracy.

Independents

Independent views seem to be scattered. Some express concern about escalating tensions and potential war, suggesting the U.S. should refrain from fueling the conflict by sending aid. Others seem frustrated about the U.S. providing aid abroad when there are urgent domestic issues.

Across all groups, there is a growing disapproval for sending tax dollars abroad while economic and border security issues worsen at home. There is also a perceived correlation between aid to Ukraine and Israel, with many seeing these as linked issues. Disparate political opinions about Ukraine and Israel seem to confuse the issue of foreign aid overall.

Some advocate for separate aid packages, depending on which conflict they have more sympathy for. Certain critics question the decision to allocate more aid to Ukraine than to Israel. They express skepticism about Ukraine's governance, citing President Zelensky's background as a comedian and actor and questioning his alleged ties to the CIA.

Taiwan and China

Again, analysis of a proposed foreign aid bill to Taiwan reveals a broad range of viewpoints, falling mostly along political lines. However, these viewpoints largely focus on the geopolitical implications of the proposed foreign aid, with many users discussing the broader context of international alliances and conflicts.

Republicans

Many Republicans seem to favor the aid bill as a means of supporting democratic allies like Taiwan. They express concern about the perceived threats from countries like Russia, Iran, China, and North Korea, with some calling for stronger measures to counter these countries. There is also some criticism of Trump's foreign policy, with some Republicans accusing him of aligning with Putin, which they believe goes against the party's principles.

Democrats

Among Democrats, there is a noticeable lack of online discussion, which may be more indicative of the lack of mainstream media coverage. In 2022, then-Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan was met with enthusiasm and approval from most Democratic voters. It is plausible Democrats may initially support a Taiwan aid bill, but ultimately withdraw support as geopolitical tensions rise (such as future tariffs on Chinese steel). There are also some voices calling for neutrality and peace, criticizing the U.S. for engaging in proxy wars and causing destabilization.

Independents

Independents express diverse views, with some supporting Israel and others siding with Iran. Some call for neutrality, criticizing both Israel and Iran for their actions. Many independents seem to be concerned about the potential for World War III, with some fearing that conflicts involving countries like Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea could escalate into a larger war.

Recent conflict escalations between Iran and Israel have generated conversations among Americans about the U.S.'s position on the issue. Some Americans favor a more aggressive stance towards Iran, while others advocate for a balanced approach towards both countries.

Israeli Support vs. Iranian Support

Israel

• Supporters tend to be older, Republican, and Christian.
• There are also strong Israel supporters among Jewish liberals and Democrats.

Support for Israel is driven by a belief in shared democratic values, the historical alliance between the U.S. and Israel, and a sense of obligation to protect an ally from Iranian aggression. Supporters often highlight Israel's right to self-defense and the need for U.S. intervention. They also stress the importance of passing aid packages for Israel. This sentiment appears to be particularly strong among conservative and right-leaning individuals, as well as those of Christian faith who often express religious reasons for supporting Israel.

Iran

• Supporters are generally younger, Democrats, and secular or Muslim.
• This coincides with younger Americans being anti-Israeli and supporting Biden’s nuclear deal efforts with Iran.

Support for Iran appears to increase when the discussion centers around perceived Israeli aggression, the plight of Palestinians, and belief that Israel is in violation of international law. This perspective is often espoused by liberal-leaning Americans, many of whom criticize U.S. support for Israel. Much of this group has become increasingly involved in protests and gatherings to support Palestine. These individuals often cite Israel’s alleged violation of Iran’s sovereignty, such as the bombing of the Iranian consulate, as a reason for their empathy towards Iran.

Discussion Trends

U.S. Military Aid

One of the most common discussion trends concerns U.S. military aid to Israel. Many Americans express support for the aid, particularly in light of recent attacks from Iran. However, some criticize the U.S. for providing aid to Israel while not supporting other nations in conflict, such as Ukraine.

Accountability

There are calls for holding Iran accountable for its actions, with many Americans labeling Iran as a “terrorist nation.” On the other hand, some argue Israel also needs to be held accountable for its actions, accusing them of instigating the conflict.

Peace vs. War

A significant number of Americans advocate for peace in the Middle East. They express fatigue over the continued conflicts and call for an end to hostilities. However, there are also fears of potential escalation into a larger conflict, possibly leading to World War III.

Political Implications

The political implications of the Israel-Iran conflict are a hot topic. Some Americans criticize certain politicians for their stance on the issue, alleging that they are acting against the nation's interests. There are also concerns about the potential impact on U.S. relations with other countries, particularly Russia and China.

Economic Consequences

The economic consequences of the conflict, particularly the cost of military aid to Israel, are also a point of discussion. Some Americans express concerns about the sustainability of such expenditures in light of the U.S. debt situation.

American sentiment towards Ukraine appears to be generally positive among both Republicans and Democrats, based on MIG Reports data. Many individuals express a desire to provide Ukraine with aid and support, particularly in its conflict with Russia. Some see this as a matter of defending democracy and honoring those who served during the Cold War, while others view it as a strategic move to prevent further aggression from Russia.

However, there is a divergence in approval when it comes to funding Ukraine. Some argue against further financial support, citing reasons such as a belief that Ukraine cannot win the war against Russia, the need to prioritize domestic issues, and opposition to "forever wars."

Democratic Views

Democrat voters express a strong sentiment for supporting Ukraine in its fight against Russia. Some emphasize Ukraine's role as a gateway to European countries and the need to support democracy. The mention of Cold War veterans also suggests a sentiment of historical responsibility. There's also a comparison to Israel, with some expressing that Ukraine needs aid more urgently. However, there are also concerns about the U.S. debt and the need to address domestic issues.

Republican Views

Among Republican voters, there are varying sentiments. Some highlight the need to stop funding wars and focus on domestic issues. There are concerns about the U.S. being involved in a proxy war with Russia. However, there's also acknowledgment of Ukraine's plight, with some urging for Congress to pass the aid bill. The connection with Israel also comes up, with some expressing that Israel should fight its own battles, implying that the same should apply to Ukraine.

Dynamic Response

Many people express increased support for Ukrainian funding when considering the potential consequences of inaction, such as the escalation of conflict and potential involvement of U.S. troops. This sentiment seems to be prevalent across both political parties, suggesting that the fear of a larger war outweighs party lines.

There's also a notable sentiment against funding Ukraine, with some arguing the U.S. should not involve itself in foreign conflicts, or that other issues, such as border security, should take precedence. These views appear to be more common among Republicans but are also present among Democrats.

In relation to the association of Ukrainian funding with a larger bill, such as border security, the analysis suggests that this could potentially decrease support among Democrats who may see it as a diversion of resources from a pressing international issue. Among Republicans, the sentiment is more mixed, with some favoring this approach as a pragmatic solution, and others viewing it as a dilution of national priorities.

The level of financial support, lack of oversight, and the type of aid (military vs. financial support for Ukrainian government) all appear to play a role in shaping sentiments towards funding Ukraine. Some express frustration over the amount of money given to Ukraine, suggesting that funds could be better utilized elsewhere. Others express concerns about a lack of oversight and accountability for how these funds are used.

There's also a divide over whether aid should be strictly military or if it should also support other aspects of the Ukrainian government. Some argue providing comprehensive support could help Ukraine more effectively resist Russian aggression, while others believe that aid should be limited to military support to avoid potential misuse of funds.

MIG Reports analysis indicates that inclusion of other issues that Americans care about, such as border security, does not potentially increase support for funding Ukraine.

The sentiment towards Ukraine is often compared with the sentiment towards Israel. Some individuals express frustration with the U.S.'s financial support for Israel, arguing that these funds would be better spent on aiding Ukraine. However, others argue that Israel has the right to defend itself, much like Ukraine.

While the sentiment towards Ukraine is generally positive, approval of funding is a more complex issue, influenced by a variety of factors including the amount of aid, its oversight, the type of aid, and the incorporation of other domestic issues. This may be indicative of general tacit support from Americans, who view Ukraine as an ally. However, without the desire to continue funding a cause which does not benefit the U.S. citizenry.

Recent Border Patrol encounters with Chinese nationals crossing the border illegally shows an alarming increase in the last two years. This news corresponds with American voters’ growing dissatisfaction with border security and threats posed by China. Opinions fall somewhat along party lines, but even Democrats are becoming more distressed about the Biden administration’s border policy.

MIG Reports analysis indicates border and U.S. security issues are a top priority for voters in 2024. These issues are especially critical in swing states where voter opinions promise to weigh heavily on presidential election results this fall.

• Most voters currently blame President Biden for the disastrous border situation and rising threats of Chinese infiltration.
• In swing states, Trump gains higher approval on both border security and China, averaging 47% to Biden’s 41% on the border and 46% to Biden’s 43% on China.

• Nationally, Republican sentiment on the border is slightly lower than Democrat sentiment – and overall sentiment is lower still.
• Sentiment on China nationally is tighter overall and among Democrats and Republicans. But Republicans have a lower average sentiment at 45%.

American Views on China

Republicans are more likely to voice concerns about China when it comes to illegal immigration. This group views China as a significant threat to national security – including the alarming number of Chinese nationals apprehended by Border Patrol.

• According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection data, encounters with Chinese nationals illegally entering the country have jumped to a shocking 22,233 so far in 2024, up from 342 in 2021.

Conservative voters are also concerned about economic pressure from China, intellectual property theft, and the potential for cyber-attacks. Right leaning voters tend to be very worried about the possibility that China is intentionally infiltrating the U.S. border with military aged men. They view China as an antagonistic force that is both physically and digitally attempting to compromise U.S. security.

While many liberal voters also view China as a potential threat, they are more likely to emphasize diplomatic and economic measures to address the issue, rather than military action. They may also be more focused on human rights issues in China, and less concerned about border infiltration.

Another prominent viewpoint in the China discussion is the notion that if authoritarian regimes like Russia and China gain victories, it could strengthen other authoritarian states and promote their aggressive actions.

Political Blame Falls on President Biden

Many voters on both sides of the aisle explicitly link the issue of border control to the failings of the current administration. Most express disapproval for President Biden’s border policies and apparent disregard for an issue that concerns so many Americans. These criticisms also include frustration with the Democratic Party’s handling of the border issue, overall.

• Recent AP polling revealed that 58% of Americans view border security as extremely or very important. This includes 46% of Democrats and 75% of Republicans.

The question of who should be allowed to immigrate to the U.S. is also contentious topic. Some express a preference for immigrants who contribute to the economy, while others prefer to limit or halt immigration completely. Republicans are especially likely to voice objections to single, military aged men, from any country, being admitted to the U.S.

Overall, voters are strongly advocating for stricter enforcement of immigration laws. Some go so far as to call for mass deportation of illegal immigrants.

Resentment About the Border Wall

Although Donald Trump enjoys higher approval among voters regarding border security, there is some criticism for his failure to fully build the border wall during his term. Many Republicans and conservatives point to the border wall as a key campaign promise he did not fulfill.

This criticism is often mentioned with critiques of the Republican Party's handling of border control. Some suggest Trump and Republican failures show the inherent difficulties of securing the border.

At the same time, more liberal voters express skepticism about the feasibility of the border wall, questioning its cost and practicality. Some also propose a wall on the northern border, often in response to potential political changes in Canada.

An accidental strike by Israel in Gaza that hit a group of World Central Kitchen workers has sparked a flurry of reactions online. The issue was trending on twitter with World Central Kitchen and IDF both receiving nearly half a million tweets. Responses to the tragedy tend to fall along party lines, although most people express sympathy and condolences for the loss of life.

Overall, Democrats and progressives are enraged at Israel and the IDF for allowing causing these civilian deaths. They largely blame Israel for unnecessary casualties and take the opportunity to continue pushing for a ceasefire.

Republicans and more pro-Israel moderates general blame Hamas for generating conflict amid civilian territories. They tend to view the tragedy as a heartbreaking reality of war, which Israel does its best to avoid.

• Typical trends of American sentiment on issues related to the Israel-Hamas conflict see approval in the low 40% range.
• After the accidental strike with aid worker casualties, both security issues and Israel-Palestine approval dropped to 39%.
• Discussion about both subjects has remained high, reaching nearly 10,000 mentions daily for the last week.

Democrats Double Down on a Ceasefire

Following the aid worker casualties in Gaza, Democrats are primarily emphasizing human rights violations, condemning the strike as an act of indiscriminate violence. They express deep disgust for what they call a humanitarian crisis in Gaza and call for an immediate ceasefire.

Many who identify as progressives or Democrats also criticize the U.S.'s seemingly one-sided support for Israel and lack of condemnation for civilian casualties. They advocate for a more Palestine-friendly approach that would prioritize the rights and needs of Palestinians.

However, there is an internal divide within the Democratic party. More progressive members tend to be vocal or activist in support for Palestine, calling for Biden and the administration to stop taking an Israel-sympathetic approach. Many of them are even dropping support for Biden and voting "Uncommitted" in Democrat primary elections. Moderate and traditional Democrats are more likely to remain pro-Israel, condemning Hamas and its terror attack on October 7.

Democrats online emphasize the importance of protecting non-combatants in conflict zones. They are criticizing the lack of precision in military operations by the IDF and call for increased oversight and accountability. They are also praising the World Central Kitchen workers, blaming the IDF for stopping them from bringing aid to Gaza.

Most people on the left highlight the proportionality of Israel's response to Hamas. They are quick to condemn the accidental strike, citing it as a clear example of overreaction by the IDF. This group is more likely to criticize Israel's policies and America’s pro-Israel stance in the conflict.

Republicans Lament the Tragedies of War and Terrorism

Republicans and more moderate Democrats are more likely to reiterate their support for Israel. They hold the accidental strike as tragedy and an unfortunate result of Israel's right to self-defense against Hamas terrorism. These voters tend to blame Hamas for initiating the war and for placing civilians needlessly in the crossfire.

Israel supporters argue Hamas uses civilians as human shields, which makes military precision difficult and leads to unnecessary civilian casualties. Some Republicans are also criticizing Democrats for their misguided promotion of Palestinian aggression and misunderstanding the complexities of Middle East conflict.

Republicans tend to lament the unfortunate reality of collateral damage in conflict situations. They stress that the incident underscores a need for decisive action to resolve the conflict and to eliminate conditions which force such operations in the first place.

This group argues the incident is a consequence of Hamas' tactic of using civilian areas for military purposes. Republicans are more likely to support continued U.S. military aid to Israel – although that view is not universally held by more isolationist Republicans.

Many assert the solution to the conflict involves defeating Hamas and other terrorist groups. However, most people express their condolences for the tragic loss of life and hope for a thorough investigation into the incident.