government Articles
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Recent trouble for certain regional banks has caused some Americans to express their concerns about how banking and interest rates are impacting the economy. A year ago Silicon Valley Banks collapsed, generating fears of another 2008-style financial crisis. This is mentioned today, along with huge losses for New York Community Bank as fearful discussions resume.
The general sentiment towards banks, especially those involved in political and economic decision making, appears to be driven by skepticism and concern.
The Fed and Potential Dollar Collapse
Some Americans express concern over increasing inflation, national debt, and the role that banks and politicians may play in exacerbating the situation. There are also mentions of alleged corruption involving politicians and their bank accounts.
There is also scattered talk about the Federal Reserve, with some Americans expressing doubts about its policies and actions in managing the economy. There are specific concerns about the potential for a U.S. dollar collapse and the role that the Federal Reserve may play in this. Some voters believe that the Federal Reserve and other banks are working together against the interests of small investors.
People concerned with the American financial system often mention Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve. Some praise his caution in monetary policy and his approach to interest rates. However, there is also significant criticism, accusing the Federal Reserve of being a private banking system that lies and works against the interest of the average person.
- Banking sentiment online hit a 30-day low of 46% on February 11.
- The 30-day high was 49% on February 26, with relatively high discussion just over 1,000.
Fear About Potential Bank Failures
There is also general concern about the stability of the world financial system. People speculate about the potential for more bank failures and the possibility of the dollar losing its status as world reserve currency. They mention the national debt and the potential for a dollar collapse, pointing to warnings from large institutions like Bank of America.
There's also discussion about inflationary challenges and disagreements about the best monetary policies to maintain stability. People appear to be aware of the complex global economic dynamics at play.
Discussion about potential bank failures often arises alongside concerns about the level of risk-taking by banks, the adequacy of their capital buffers, and the effectiveness of regulatory oversight.
Basel III
Online discussion also touches on banks' opposition to the higher capital requirements proposed in Basel III. Users claim that banks have spent a lot of money lobbying against these regulations.
There is a common thread in the conversation suggesting banks are using their financial power to manipulate politics and the market. Some mention Basel III to make the point that banks have spent a significant amount of money to bribe politicians in their favor regarding legislation. There seems to be a significant level of distrust and skepticism towards the banking sector and its role in shaping regulatory requirements.
Bitcoin Speculation with Increased Financial Skepticism
Many people also discuss the issue of "too big to fail" banks and record-low sentiment following the 2008 GFC. They discuss the moral hazards created by government bailouts for banks. More recently, the discussion has also focused on the potential effects of digital currencies like Bitcoin and fintech companies on the traditional banking system.
Amid Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs, some speculate that digital currencies are a solution that threatens traditional banks. Some also argue about the role of banks and financial institutions in the cryptocurrency market. They compare Bitcoin with traditional banking systems, stating that the latter is corrupt and benefits only large institutions.
There seems to be distrust in the current financial system and the Federal Reserve. These voters suggest the adoption of a CBDC might face resistance from those in the public aware of its implications. Some mention that corruption and money laundering within the banking sector could be mitigated by the transparency and traceability of digital currencies.
It’s not obvious whether political affiliation influences voter opinions about the U.S. banking and financial system. These discussions tend to be skeptical of both government and large corporations, which may be appealing to both right- and left-leaning voters.
While the segment of American voters involved in talk about banks and digital currencies is not overwhelmingly large, most Americans feel the squeeze of rising costs and the discussion is likely indicative of an underlying concern among those who are following current and potential conditions.
12
Mar
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American sentiment towards banning TikTok and President Trump's remarks about TikTok and Facebook reveals a deeply divided populace. The divide is largely along party and generational lines.
- Democrats generally express concerns about censorship and the restriction of freedom of expression, viewing the proposed ban as an overreach by the government.
- Republicans, on the other hand, largely support the proposed ban due to national security concerns. Many Trump supporters are skeptical that social media platforms try to restrict what users see and hear.
- Independents vary in their views, with some expressing concerns about data privacy while others worry about the impact on freedom of speech.
Age also plays a significant role in the conversation. Younger Americans, who make up a significant portion of TikTok users, are generally more opposed to the ban. Older Americans seem more supportive. Race and economic status, however, do not seem to play a significant role in the conversation, with views crossing racial and economic lines.
- President Biden on March 8th endorsed possible legislation that could lead to the popular video-sharing app TikTok being banned in the United States.
- Sentiment on Ideologies shows a split among political parties and respective leaders since the idea of banning TikTok has resurfaced.
- TikTok is expected to be most used/consumed social media platform in 2025 among U.S. adults.
Rebels Without a Cause
Former President Donald Trump's remarks about TikTok and Facebook evoked divided opinions. He posted on Truth Social, “If you get rid of TikTok, Facebook and Zuckerschmuck will double their business. I don't want Facebook, who cheated in the last Election, doing better. They are a true Enemy of the People!”
Many support his concerns about TikTok and Facebook's potential threats to national security and user privacy. Others see his comments as politically motivated and self-serving.
Democrats generally criticize Trump's comments as an attack on free speech and an attempt to control the narrative. Republicans largely agree with his criticisms of these platforms, fearing that social media only shows users what the platforms wants them to see.
Sentiment analysis shows mixed views on the potential Congressional legislation banning TikTok. Many Americans express skepticism and a general distrust towards politicians, irrespective of their stance on the issue.
11
Mar
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The aftermath of Senator Katie Britt's response to the State of the Union address reveals a stark division in public opinion, particularly along party lines. While Republicans applaud her strong stance on border security and energetic critique of President Biden's policies, Democrats criticize what they perceive as a lack of substance and resort to shallow insults that question her intelligence.
Republicans and Independents Praise Britt's Stance on Border Security
Many Republicans appreciated Senator Katie Britt's strong stance on border security, viewing it as a resolute pushback against Biden’s open border policy. Supporters commended her focus on critical issues such as sex trafficking and crime, interpreting it as a call to action to protect U.S. citizens. Britt's energetic contrast to President Biden and her sharp criticism of his policies, especially on border control, resonated positively with Republican party members.
Independent viewers also admired her for offering a contrasting view to President Biden's vision of America. They appreciated the energy and freshness she brought to the table, considering it a stark contrast to Biden's age and perceived lack of dynamism. Some individuals saw her as a refreshing new face in the Republican party, effectively highlighting what they perceived as the failures of the Biden administration.
Democrats Insult Britt's Appearance and Style
On the Democratic side, criticisms of Senator Britt's response were focused on what they perceived as a lack of substance. Some likened her performance to that of an overeager first-year drama student, questioning the authenticity of her delivery.
Notably, some Democrats went beyond policy critiques, resorting to sexist insults targeting Senator Britt's appearance and style. They described her appearance as "sweet" with a performance that was deemed fake and theatrical. Comparisons to characters from popular culture, such as a commander's wife from the Handmaid's Tale, were used to criticize her speech about kitchens and perceived lack of freedom.
Democrats also compared Britt to other female Republican leaders, such as Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds and South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem. Like Britt, these leaders are often criticized by Democrats for their perceived lack of intellectual depth and “reliance on appearance over substance.” This seems to be the go-to criticism for women they view as attractive.
Conclusion
Senator Katie Britt's response to the State of the Union address has undoubtedly stirred up a mix of reactions. While Republicans laud her for taking a strong stance on border security and offering a fresh perspective, Democrats criticize her appearance and performance over actual policy.
08
Mar
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As primaries are well under way in early 2024, there is a stark contrast between voter groups regarding trust in the election process. Democrats are more likely to fully trust the results of the 2020 election, with a belief that Joe Biden won fair and square. Republicans are extremely skeptical of the validity of voting processes around the country.
A highlight among many Republicans and Independents is the question of election integrity. There seems to be a growing belief that election fraud may occur again. In general, all voters have suspicions about potential outcomes of the 2024 election, but with different emphases, depending on party allegiance.
Democrats Trust the System and Criticize Trump
Voter sentiment among Democrats seems to be mixed. There are many who express strong support for Joe Biden. They express faith in the electoral process that led to his presidency. There seems to be little consternation about whether they can trust that their vote will be counted.
However, there are also many criticisms of the Biden administration among Democrats. This is driven less from skepticism about election integrity and more a result of the current state of America. Dissatisfaction could potentially impact their confidence in the election process if they perceive the party is forcing Joe Biden on an electorate who believes he’s too senile to serve.
Democrats tend to express concerns about interference from foreign powers more than a rigged internal voting system. Confidence in the electoral process is often linked to the party's emphasis on expanding voter access and reducing barriers to participation.
However, many Democrats voice concerns about voter suppression, particularly in communities of color, and the impact of gerrymandering on election results.
Democrat voters emphasize the importance of preserving democracy and fair elections, claiming a lack of substantial evidence of widespread voter fraud as proof of a reliable system. They also criticize Republican attempts to challenge the 2020 election, claiming it undermines democracy through false claims of fraud.
Democrats seem to focus more on the importance of voting and the impact of voter turnout, as seen in the mention of early voting in Texas and the low turnout in Dallas.
Overall, Democrats voice fears of specific politicians, like Trump, undermining the election process. They seem to fear foreign interference more than a broken system.
Republicans Are Highly Suspicious of Election Integrity
Many Republican voters express dissatisfaction with suspicious circumstances in many states during the 2020 election. As a result, they tend to speak skeptically about whether they believe votes are accurately collected and counted. There is a swath of Republicans who accuse Biden of cheating his way into office.
A lot of people allege fraud or corruption in local precincts, national parties, and even the news media when calling election results.
Republicans generally support stricter voter ID laws, oppose mail-in ballots, and point to cases of inflated voter rolls or votes by the deceased. They perceive many voting “irregularities” as attempts by the Democrats to control the election process.
They call for measures like volunteer supervision and ending mail-in ballots to ensure fair elections. They question the legality of abrupt changes made to voting rules and any delays in vote counting.
Many Republicans are concerned that, unless these election integrity issues are addressed, Trump may not be able to take office even if elected in 2024.
Overall, Republicans seem disillusioned with voting practices in specific states and nationwide. They tend to be highly suspicious that Democrats will do anything to ensure an electoral win. Many often express a belief that Donald Trump has been targeted both by a rigged election system and politicized legal indictments.
Independents Are Skeptical Across the Board
Independents tend to be more skeptical of the political process in general, often citing the influence of money in politics and the two-party system as problematic.
Many express dissatisfaction with both major political parties, indicating a broader distrust of party politics and the election process. Others indicate a willingness to vote based on a candidate’s performance rather than party affiliation, suggesting a level of confidence in the election process.
There are independents that agree with Republicans that the election process and the reliability of the election results is suspect. This group seems to be looking for more transparency and evidence to support cheating claims made by both the Democrats and Republicans.
07
Mar
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The recent Supreme Court ruling that states cannot remove Donald Trump from their ballots has provoked a range of reactions across the political spectrum.
Republicans, as expected, have largely applauded the decision. For them, this represents not only a victory for Trump but also a confirmation of the principle that states should not have the power to dictate who can or cannot run for the presidency. This sentiment is reflected in the statements of figures like Illinois Republican Party Chairman Don Tracy and former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, who have publicly backed the Supreme Court's decision.
Democrats, however, have expressed a mix of disappointment and resignation. Some left-leaning commentators, influencers, and media outlets have criticized the decision. They suggest it reflects the Supreme Court's conservative bias, despite a unanimous decision.However, not all Democrats share this view. The response from some Democrats suggests a grudging acceptance of the ruling, with some even expressing relief that the decision was unanimous, thus avoiding a potentially divisive political battle.
Some Democrats say the decision is a blow to their efforts to hold Trump accountable for his actions while in office. Keith Olbermann and other far-leftists have even suggested drastic measures such as dissolving the Supreme Court in response to the ruling.
Independents have diverse views on the topic. But in general, they seem to lean towards acceptance of the ruling. Many appear to view it as a necessary affirmation of the democratic process, even if they personally dislike Trump.
The Supreme Court's ruling again reveals deep political divisions within the United States. However, the fact that the decision was unanimous may help to defuse potential political tensions and pave the way for a fair and open election in 2024.
This decision has also sparked debates about the role of the judiciary in political matters. Some suggest that the unanimous ruling sends a message that the court is not a tool for political maneuvering. This sentiment is echoed in statements such as "The Supreme Court was never going to save us from Donald Trump and frankly we shouldn’t want them to."
Overall, there seems to be a consensus among most Americans – except far-leftists – that the ballot box, not the courts, should determine political outcomes. The unanimous nature of the decision might also serve as a reminder of the independence of the judiciary and its key role in maintaining a democratic system.
05
Mar
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As President Biden prepares to deliver his State of the Union address, there are several pressing concerns Americans will require him to address. Some of the most pressing issues include foreign wars, securing the U.S. border, the economy and inflation, and the overall direction of the country.
Foreign Wars
The ongoing Israel-Palestine and Russia–Ukraine conflicts are expected to play a significant role in Biden's speech. Americans are looking for answers regarding America’s stance and plans regarding these international issues.
Biden's approach to these conflicts, particularly on the question of enforcing a ceasefire and his stance on Israel's occupation of Palestine, is of high interest for all voters. Given the conflict’s polarizing nature, Biden's words will likely be scrutinized by both critics and supporters.
This SOTU speech could prove a defining moment in his presidency, answering important questions voters have about the administration's approach to foreign policy.
Speech Forecast
- Biden will likely take a balanced approach given the divided view of Israel, especially within the Democrat party.
- 42% of Americans believe Israel's military response has been excessive.43% justify the current operations or believe they have not been aggressive enough. Biden will likely tread carefully to avoid alienating either group.
- The President may discuss recent U.S. efforts to provide humanitarian aid to Gaza, which have been met with mixed reactions.
- He will likely reiterate the country's commitment to providing humanitarian aid and ensuring it reaches those who need it most.
- Biden may also address the criticism from U.S. Armed Forces members who have condemned Israel's actions in Gaza.
The Border
The situation at the U.S. border continues to be a top issue for voters. Biden will likely address the administration's immigration policies, particularly regarding the influx of illegal immigrants. Critics argue that Biden's administration has compromised American security by letting in illegal immigrants without thorough background checks. Republicans have also called for impeachment over this issue, arguing it's the executive's duty to protect the border.
Speech Forecast
- President Biden is likely to present a more compassionate approach towards immigrants, emphasizing the need for comprehensive immigration reform and a path towards citizenship for undocumented individuals.
- He is expected to discuss the administration's efforts to manage the increase in arrivals, which many describe as a crisis.
- He may outline measures to process asylum seekers more efficiently, improve conditions in detention facilities, and address root causes of migration in Central America.
The Economy and Inflation
Biden's handling of the economy and rising inflation rates are other key areas of concern. Critics claim Biden has compromised the country's economic security. Biden will likely address plans to bolster the economy and tackle inflation.
Speech Forecast
- Biden is expected to focus on his administration's efforts to address inflation and support economic recovery in the wake of COVID.
- This could include references to his infrastructure and social spending plans, which he will argue are crucial for boosting productivity, reducing inequality, and ensuring long-term economic stability.
The Direction of the Country
The overall direction of America, including the state of democracy, is another significant topic Biden will likely address. Critics argue the administration has been negligent in its duties to the nation and American citizens. Supporters argue Biden has been successful in pushing historic pieces of legislation.
Speech Forecast
- Biden is likely to articulate a vision of unity and progress, despite the deep political divisions that exist.
- He is likely to stress the importance of bipartisanship and cooperation in tackling the country's challenges.
- Biden will most likely defend his administration's record in areas like pandemic response, climate change, and social justice.
- Lastly, he will likely address the impeachment calls and allegations of corruption in his administration, including claims against his family members.
05
Mar
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The Supreme Court's decision to hear former President Donald Trump's claim of immunity from prosecution has stirred up a maelstrom of reactions across the political spectrum.
Many Democrats reacted with outrage, viewing the decision as an unwarranted delay in bringing Trump to justice. They argue that the Supreme Court, particularly those Justices appointed by Trump, are aiding and abetting him by providing a legal lifeline. They fear this decision could further delay the trial on election interference charges, possibly even past the 2024 election. This sentiment is shared by some independents, who also express disappointment in the Supreme Court's handling of the case.
However, many Republicans view the decision as a necessary step in the due process of law. They argue that the Supreme Court is doing its due diligence by considering Trump's unprecedented immunity claim rather than rushing to judgment. They also counter arguments about biased Justices by pointing out that Trump's appointments to the court were fully within his presidential powers.
Demographic Differences Regarding the SCOTUS Case
On a broader demographic level, younger voters or progressives are more likely to express anger and frustration at the perceived delay in justice. Older or more conservative voters tend to value the deliberative process of the court.
Other demographic breakdowns show a pattern of support or opposition largely along party lines. However, the issue of presidential immunity is a complex one and does not neatly fall along partisan lines. For instance, some Republicans who value the rule of law may be critical of Trump's immunity claim. And some liberals who are wary of the expansion of executive power may view it with sympathy.
For those who were already critical of Trump, the decision has only reinforced their negative views. For those who support Trump, the decision has been a source of frustration and has contributed to their perception of the judiciary as being biased against the former president.
While there are general partisan trends, there are pockets within each group who may hold differing views. For instance, some Republicans have expressed concern about potential long-term damage to the party's reputation. And some Democrats recognize the importance of the court's decision in establishing a legal precedent for future presidents.
01
Mar
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In the wake of Mitch McConnell’s announcement that he plans to step down as Senate Republican leader in November, discussion about a potential replacement has been growing. Many Republicans express satisfaction that McConnell is departing and advocate for a staunchly conservative, America First candidate to take his place.
Many GOP voters have voiced their disapproval of McConnell, labeling him a RINO and accusing him of aiding the Democratic agenda. Critics frequently call for a more conservative candidate to replace him. Often, people call for someone who aligns with former President Trump's policies and has not been in Congress for decades.
Some of the most frequently mentioned candidates include John Cornyn who has a positive reputation. But many voters in the discussion are strongly opposed to this idea, characterizing him as another RINO. Other names being floated are Josh Hawley, JD Vance, and Rand Paul. Vance and Paul are particularly favored by participants who want to see a break from the establishment and a shift towards more conservative, America First policies.
Other names being mentioned include Rick Scott, Tom Cotton, John Thune, John Barrasso, Steve Daines, Ted Cruz, and Ron Johnson.
There's also a concern expressed about the potential for Kentucky's Democratic Governor, Andy Beshear, to appoint a liberal to McConnell's Senate seat. This worry dovetails with a more general fear that McConnell's departure might lead to the appointment of another establishment Republican rather than a more right-leaning figure.
Overall, the discussion shows a desire for change within the GOP, with many people hoping for a shift away from established figures and towards candidates who more strongly align with Trump's policies.
Rand Paul
Rand Paul is known for his libertarian views and fiscal conservatism, which is attractive to some constituents.
Positives and Negatives
He often advocates for smaller government and individual liberties. His stance on immigration is traditionally conservative, advocating for secure borders. However, his sometimes controversial stances and combative style can be off-putting to others.
- Rand Paul’s approval has fluctuated in the last week, sitting at 51% yesterday.
- Discussion volume also increased in the last couple of days, reaching 255 yesterday.
John Cornyn
The Texas senator is highly respected within his party and is known for his ability to work across the aisle.
Positives and Negatives
He is known for his conservative stances, particularly on issues like immigration and border security due to his state's proximity to the Mexico border. However, he may not be as well-known nationally as some of the other contenders.
- John Cornyn’s approval has dropped slightly in the last week, sitting at 49% yesterday.
- Discussion volume increased however, reaching 245 yesterday.
J.D. Vance
Vance is a junior United States senator from Ohio and an author and venture capitalist.
Positives and Negatives
He’s known as the author of "Hillbilly Elegy" and has gained significant attention for his commentary on the working class in America. People like his focus on working-class issues. However, his lack of political experience could be a disadvantage.
- J.D. Vance’s approval has risen in the last week, sitting at 49% yesterday.
- Discussion volume is down however, dropping to 178 yesterday.
Josh Hawley
The Missouri senator is a rising star in the Republican party and is known for his populist rhetoric.
Positives and Negatives
He’s known as one of the younger members of the Senate and is seen as a rising star in the Republican Party. People like his populist stances and criticism of big tech companies. However, his involvement questioning the 2020 election has been controversial.
- Josh Hawley’s approval has dropped slightly in the last week, sitting at 44% yesterday.
- Discussion volume increased however, reaching 940 yesterday.
Rick Scott
As the senator from Florida and the former governor of the state, Rick Scott has a strong political background.
Positives and Negatives
He’s known for his conservative political stances. He is strongly against illegal immigration and supports border security measures. However, his tenure as governor was marked by controversy and scandals, which could impact his chances.
- Rick Scott’s approval has risen in the last week, sitting at 47% yesterday.
- Discussion volume is up, reaching 282 yesterday.
Tom Cotton
The Arkansas senator is considered a rising star in the Republican party, with a strong record on national security and defense.
Positives and Negatives
He’s known for his hawkish foreign policy stances and conservative views on immigration, advocating for restrictions and enhanced border security. However, his hardline stances on immigration and other issues could potentially alienate moderate voters.
- Tom Cotton’s approval has fluctuated in the last week, sitting at 45% yesterday.
- Discussion volume is slightly down, hitting 111 yesterday.
John Thune
As the current Senate Majority Whip, Thune has a strong leadership background.
Positives and Negatives
He is generally well-liked within his party and is valued for his conservative stances. But some see him as too moderate and not aggressive enough in challenging Democrats.
- John Thune’s approval has increased in the last few days, sitting at 51% yesterday.
- Discussion volume is low but increasing, reaching 45 yesterday.
John Barrasso
The Wyoming senator is a strong conservative with a focus on energy and environmental issues.
Positives and Negatives
He is known for his focus on energy and environmental policy, often opposing regulations seen as harmful to his state's fossil fuel industry. However, his low profile could be a disadvantage in a leadership race.
- John Barrasso’s approval has increased in the last few days, sitting at 52% yesterday.
- Discussion volume is low but increasing, reaching 107 yesterday.
Steve Daines
The Montana senator is known for his business background and has been a strong supporter of President Trump.
Positives and Negatives
He’s known for advocating for limited government and tax cuts. However, his lack of seniority in the Senate could be a disadvantage since the last NRSC chairman who went on to be Majority Leader was Bill Frist in 2003.
- Steve Daines’s approval has dipped in the last few days, sitting at 48% yesterday.
- Discussion volume was low at 45 yesterday.
Ted Cruz
Cruz, as Senator and former presidential candidate name recognition, has a passionate base of support.
Positives and Negatives
He's known for his involvement in the Tea Party movement and seen as a conservative firebrand. People like his strong advocacy for border security. However, his combative style and involvement in efforts to question the 2020 election could be a liability.
- Ted Cruz’s approval is fairly steady, but ticked up slightly to 48% yesterday.
- Discussion volume is among the highest at 974 yesterday.
Ron Johnson
The Wisconsin senator is known for his business background and fiscal conservatism.
Positives and Negatives
He’s known for his strong conservative views, particularly on fiscal issues. However, his controversial statements and hard-right stances could hurt his chances.
- Ron Johnson’s approval has fluctuated, hitting 49% yesterday.
- Discussion volume is is relatively low at 80 yesterday.
29
Feb
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What Californians Are Saying About Newsom’s Governance
In light of recent efforts to initiate yet another recall vote, California governor Gavin Newsom is facing significant criticism. Backlash against Newsom’s policies is growing as California continues to hemorrhage residents.
Most of the negativity is centered around his handling of the economy, crime, and immigration. People also blame Newsom for various issues ranging from wildlife protection to the decline in the quality of life in California.
- In the last five days, Newsom’s support has decreased from 48%, reaching a low of 43%.
- This drop coincided with a large increase in discussion volume, suggesting as more people discuss him, he loses support.
How Californian’s Perceive Newsom’s Public Image
Critics of Newsom are often more right leaning, expressing frustration and dissatisfaction with his liberal policies. They frequently describe California as a "communist" state under his leadership. Republicans also say he aligns himself too closely with President Biden and Vice President Harris.
However, regardless of political affiliation, common perceptions of Newsom include:
- His attitude is smug and elitist.
- A tone-deaf leadership style leaves people feeling unheard.
- He is focused more on illegal immigrants than Californians.
- He prioritizes national political ambitions over Californians’ needs.
- Accusations that he treats constituents, particularly Latinos, as servants.
Criticism From Residents
Voters accuse him of having a failed agenda that is negatively impacting public safety and quality of life in the state. Many critics also express concern that Newsom might aspire to run for President, causing him to neglect California’s current needs.
Many Californians believe his policies have led to an increase in crime, homelessness, and drug addiction. These issues, people say, have significantly decreased quality of life. Critics believe his policies are causing the state to deteriorate as more people move away.
People mention specific projects like a train that doesn't go anywhere as examples of his failed agenda and wasteful spending. Some also highlight the fact that businesses are leaving California, which is increasing economic issues for the state.
Reasons People Leave California
Many reports highlight the fact that more than 700,000 people have moved away from California since 2020. This is bolstered by MIG analysis which reveals the most common reasons people say they moved.
- Cost of Living
- Taxes
- Housing Crisis
- Political Climate – oppressive leftism
- Natural Disasters – wildfires, earthquakes, drought
- COVID policies – mask and vaccine mandates
- Business Regulations
- Crime Rates
- Changing Demographics
- Few Job Opportunities – outside of major cities and industries
Losing Issues for Newsom
Economy
- Gavin Newsom’s current approval on the economy is 42%, with a 30-day average of 43%.
- His 30-day high was 50% and his low was 36%.
There is also significant criticism of Newsom's handling of the California economy. Many who signed the petition to recall Newsom cite his inability to address the state's economic situation effectively.
Many Californians also express dissatisfaction with the high taxes, pointing out that despite them, there is no perceivable improvement in public services or infrastructure. A very common complaint is Newsom’s wasting of tax dollars.
People say the high and rising cost of living, along with businesses being driven out of the state by regulations is crippling the economy.
Border Security
- Gavin Newsom’s current approval on the border is 46%, with a 30-day average of 45%.
- His 30-day high was 51% and his low was 37%.
Sentiment toward Newsom regarding the border and immigration is overwhelmingly negative. The main concerns revolve around a perception that California has an open border. Many people are discussing the real-world impact of illegal immigration on their daily lives.
Voters accuse Newsom of prioritizing the rights, money, and benefits of illegal immigrants over Californians. They also express frustration at Newsom's lack of action and seeming callousness about the immigration situation at the southern border. This is a special point of grievance for those who criticize California’s sanctuary state status.
Californians who are unhappy with the sanctuary laws in the state are saying that Newsom deserves to be recalled and they plan to vote for his removal. They also argue that too much money is being spent on illegal immigrants, which they view as both a border and economy issue
Public safety and immigration are also overlapping issues, with many people pointing to crimes committed by illegal aliens as unacceptable and far too frequent. Many reiterate Newsom’s prioritizing the rights of illegal immigrants and violent felons over the safety of Californians.
Crime
- Gavin Newsom’s current approval on crime is 46%, with a 30-day average of 43%.
- His 30-day high was 53% and his low was 27%.
Regarding crime as a whole, people highlight rising violent crime and retail theft. They discuss the increased and relentless instances of theft and car break-ins, especially in places like San Francisco. They also talk about the impact organized retail theft is having on both shopping and the overall economy.
There’s also a discussion about gun rights in the state and how they impact crime. Democrats call for stronger gun laws in hopes of reducing gun violence. More conservative voters are unhappy with the existing gun restrictions, arguing it makes protection of life and property more difficult amid rising criminal activity. This group also criticizes the cost of carry permits in the state, saying they're unconstitutional.
There is an emphasis on crimes committed by illegal aliens who, many say, would never have the chance to perpetrate crimes if they were not allowed in the country to begin with. Many also point out that technically, all illegal immigrants are criminals, breaking the law when they entered the country.
Winning Issues for Newsom
Climate Change
- Gavin Newsom’s current approval on crime is 48%, with a 30-day average of 45%.
- His 30-day high was 51% and his low was 25%.
Many Democrats and Independents praise Newsom’s commitment to climate action. They call for more robust and equitable climate initiatives like the ones he has promoted.
Supporters appreciate his stance on issues such as climate change and social equity. They express their intention to vote against a recall, suggesting that they believe he genuinely cares about the climate, despite disagreements over some of his policies. This same group also applauds his efforts to counter policies and rhetoric of Republicans.
Abortion
- Gavin Newsom’s current approval on crime is 52%, with a 30-day average of 47%.
- His 30-day high was 52% and his low was 38%.
A lot of people support Newsom's stance on abortion, viewing it as a necessary right for women. They disagree with the idea of a national abortion ban, and certainly don’t want to see one in California.
They argue that the right to an abortion is essential for women's health and autonomy and should be protected. This group praises Newsom for standing up for women's rights in the face of conservative opposition.
Newsom’s Possible Presidential Run
Rumors of a potential run for the presidency also factor into how Californians view their governor.
Democrat Support for Newsom
Some Democrats believe Newsom is doing a great job as governor. They appreciate his defense of President Biden and say they would support his policies on a national level. This group think Newsom demonstrates strong leadership, and they admire his advocacy for issues like homelessness and wildlife protection. It is likely supportive Democrats would view Newsom as a strong candidate and might support his potential presidential run.
Democrats’ approval for Newsom often includes healthcare, climate change, his leadership during COVID, and his handling of the wildfires. They also overwhelmingly support his progressive stance on abortion rights.
Democrat Disapproval for Newsom
There are some concerns about Newsom among a portion of Democrats. Especially in a potential presidential run. These Democrats tend to disagree with some of his policies and actions as governor – particularly regarding immigration and the homeless crisis.
More moderate Democrats view Newsom as too liberal or too tied to the problems of California to be a strong presidential candidate. There are also concerns about Newsom's failure on issues like child exploitation and prostitution, which some Democrats feel he has not addressed adequately.
Overall, voters including a segment of Democrats criticize Newsom on homelessness, cost of living, and crime. Many people see these issues as egregious failures and therefore might not support him for president.
There are also those who express skepticism about Newsom's support for President Biden, accusing him of ignoring Biden's clear cognitive decline and supporting a false narrative.
27
Feb