Former Democratic congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard recently endorsed Donald Trump for president, sparking significant discussion among voters. This came as a surprise to many but built on the notable shift in mood days after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. also endorsed Trump.

Gabbard, a former congresswoman from Hawaii and 2020 presidential Democratic candidate, triggered a wave of reactions. In her speech, she touched on her shift away from the Democratic Party. She emphasized Trump's approach to foreign policy, particularly his stance on avoiding new wars, contrasting it with Biden-Harris tendencies towards conflict.

She also associated Trump with values of prosperity and freedom, suggesting his policies foster economic growth and protect individual liberties. She criticized Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party, echoing Kennedy’s statement that the Democratic Party has lost its way, moving toward tyranny and authoritarianism.

I was a Democrat for over 20 years. Today, I endorsed Donald Trump for President. WATCH to hear why: pic.twitter.com/lwA8FYFx8h

— Tulsi Gabbard 🌺 (@TulsiGabbard) August 26, 2024

The endorsement was also a call to action for all Americans, regardless of party affiliation, to support Trump if they value peace, prosperity, and freedom. This, and her subsequent appointment to Trump's transition team, signifies a strategic move to unite diverse political factions against the Democratic Party's interventionist policies and economic tyranny.

MIG Reports analysis of voter segment reactions shows:

• 59% of MAGA voters approve of Gabbard’s endorsement
• 27% of establishment Republicans are concerned or skeptical
• 55% of progressive Democrats feel negatively
• 35% of moderate Democrats are confused or concerned

Independents are split:

• 38% positive or supportive
• 40% negative or opposed
• 20% ambivalent or curious

Independents are Divided

The Independent voter group presents the most varied responses to Gabbard’s endorsement. With 37.5% of Independents showing support and 40% expressing opposition, this group is notably split. Still another group is ambivalent, indicating a blend of curiosity and skepticism.

For Independents, Gabbard’s endorsement may symbolize an opportunity to break free from strict party loyalties. However, it also raises questions about the implications of a cross-party alliance. Recent criticisms toward Democrats from figures like Kennedy and Gabbard may speak to this group who acknowledge the major parties’ weaknesses.

Moderate Democrats are Cautious

While most moderate Democrats still disapprove of a Trump coalition, some show a nuanced reaction. With 35% expressing confusion or concern, this group appears to be grappling with the implications of Gabbard’s shift. Unlike their progressive counterparts, moderate Democrats are more focused on the potential electoral impact.

This group may be more sensitive to recent party defections like RFK Jr., Senator Joe Manchin, and Gabbard herself. Their reactions reflect the internal struggle within the Democratic Party as it seeks to hold onto centrist figures while facing increasingly radical factions within.

MAGA Gives a Warm Welcome

Among MAGA supporters, Gabbard’s endorsement is met with enthusiasm. This group views her shift as a reinforcement of Trump’s broader appeal and a rejection of the traditional political establishment.

MIG Reports data shows around 59% of MAGA discussions express positive sentiment toward Gabbard’s endorsement. For these voters, Gabbard’s willingness to reach across the aisle is a unifying force that strengthens all "America First" voters who oppose establishment politics.

Pushing back against radical leftism resonates strongly with many groups of disaffected Republicans, Democrats, and Independents. MAGA voters view the Trump tent as large enough to accommodate any reasonable American who wants to avoid radical leftism. Broadening the base with those who share disdain for the establishment is seen as a win.

Establishment GOP is Skeptical

Establishment Republicans are reacting with more caution. For this faction, Gabbard’s endorsement raises concerns about the potential shift away from party lines and conservative values. Around 27% of the discussion among establishment Republicans reflect skepticism or concern regarding this new alliance.

These voters worry aligning with a former Democrat might alienate neocons and further fracture the party. Their cautious stance highlights the ongoing tension within the GOP as it grapples with the balance between populist momentum and maintaining the traditional ideological status quo.

Progressives Strongly Disapprove

Progressive Democrats are reacting with strong disapproval. Many view her decision as a betrayal of core Democratic values, particularly given their view of Trump’s policies as divisive. On the left, 55% of the discussion expresses negative sentiments toward Gabbard.

This negativity underscores the deep divide within American politics and even among Democrats. Cross-party endorsements are often seen as capitulations rather than strategic moves. For progressives, Gabbard’s alignment with Trump symbolizes a dangerous shift toward far-right extremism, further polarizing the country.

Trump’s New Unity Coalition

The new coalition forming around Trump with support from politicians like Gabbard and RFK Jr. could have significant ramifications. For MAGA supporters, this alliance promises to energize the base and attract disaffected voters.

However, the skepticism among establishment Republicans and the outright hostility from progressive Democrats indicate this coalition may also aggravate deep partisans and the political establishment.

Some frame the political chasm in 2024 not as between parties, but between the American people and the political ruling class. There are also some expressing the emerging division as pro-America and middle-class versus pro-war and elite power.

Independents, particularly in swing states, will be crucial in determining the outcome of the election. Their divided response suggests this new alliance could appeal to anti-establishment voters or alienate those wary of extreme political shifts. Ultimately, the success of this coalition will depend on its ability to resonate with key voter groups.

Discourse surrounding Donald Trump's most recent indictment reflects a nation deeply divided along political lines. This time, Special Counsel Jack Smith brings a superseding indictment that refines previous charges against him in the federal election interference case. The new indictment, adjusted to reflect a recent Supreme Court ruling, focuses on Trump's actions as a candidate rather than as President, removing allegations tied to his official duties.

Voter sentiments vary widely depending on individual political affiliations. Online discourse reveals that support for Trump remains significant, and opposition is also unmoved.

Black and White Discussion

MIG Reports analysis shows 55% of voter discussions express support for Trump and a strong belief that the indictment is politically motivated and unjust. This sentiment is especially prevalent among those who view the legal actions as an attempt to undermine Trump’s potential candidacy in the 2024 election.

The narrative of a "witch hunt" against Trump is a recurring theme, with supporters framing him as a victim of a corrupt political system. They argue the indictment is part of a broader effort by the Democratic Party to silence Trump and his supporters. Voters distrust the judiciary and the current political establishment, viewing them as weaponized.

About 42% of commenters express opposition to Trump, advocating for accountability and emphasizing the need for upholding democratic norms. This group views the indictment as a necessary step in ensuring no political leader is above the law. They emphasize Trump's alleged involvement in efforts to overturn the 2020 election results.

Sentiment from Trump critics is expressed as a desire to protect the integrity of the democratic process. This group emphasizes the importance of holding Trump accountable for his actions—which they view as threatening democracy. This perspective, while less dominant, carries significant emotion for those who hold it.

...With Shades of Grey

A smaller portion of the discussions—roughly 16%—focus on concerns about electoral integrity and the impact of the indictment on the upcoming 2024 race. While this concern is shared by both supporters and opponents of Trump, it is particularly resonant among his supporters.

Trump voters express anxiety about potential biases and corruption in the election process. This group argues the legal challenges against Trump are strategically timed to influence voter perceptions and potentially sway the election results. They consider this as one tool in the Democratic toolbox to control election outcomes.

Lastly, discussions delve into the legal strategies and interpretations of the indictment. About 13% focus on the constitutional and procedural aspects of the case. Voters explore the implications of the Supreme Court's rulings on presidential immunity and debate the legitimacy of various charges against Trump.

Discussions about legal particulars, while less emotionally charged, reveal a high level of engagement with Trump's cases. This suggests a deep interest in the broader implications of the indictment on the rule of law.

More than 200 former Republican aides who once served prominent figures like George W. Bush, John McCain, and Mitt Romney have endorsed Kamala Harris for president. This news ignites a fierce political discourse which highlights growing anti-establishment sentiments among voters.

More than 200 Republicans who worked for former Pres. George H.W. Bush, former Pres. George W. Bush, Sen. John McCain and Sen. Mitt Romney endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, saying democracy would be "irreparably jeopardized" by another Trump admin. https://t.co/y5L8fsjX2f

— CBS News (@CBSNews) August 26, 2024

This moment reveals the ongoing struggle between populist and anti-establishment MAGA voters and those they view as RINOs and neocons, rekindling rank-and-file enthusiasm prevalent during Trump's first term. The reactions to this endorsement reflect more than just a divergence of opinion—they highlight a growing ideological chasm fostering intense emotions about the future of the GOP.

GOP Voters Disapprove

• Approximately 65% of the discussion about GOP figures endorsing Harris shows strong disapproval.

Negative sentiment often stems from a sense of betrayal, with many viewing the endorsers as "RINOs" or Republicans In Name Only. Voters often view establishment Republicans as having abandoned core conservative principles by aligning with a Democratic candidate.

The remaining 35% of comments, which include supportive and neutral perspectives, focus on the endorsement as a necessary stance against the perceived dangers of a second Trump presidency.

Voter discussions reveal a stark divide between those who prioritize party loyalty and those who value a broader commitment to democracy, setting the stage for a deeper exploration of the underlying themes.

The Betrayal of Republican Values

The endorsements trigger an intense reaction among Trump supporters, who dominate the conversation with accusations of the political class prioritizing themselves over voters. Voters view former Republican aides as abandoning core tenets of conservatism in favor of aligning with the political establishment.

The term "betrayal" recurs frequently in these discussions, highlighting the emotional weight of a “Benedict Arnold” move by establishment figures. Many critics emphasize the notion that GOP aides are out of touch with the grassroots base of the party—which increasingly favors the anti-establishment rhetoric of Donald Trump.

The language used in these criticisms often includes third-person references like "they" and "these RINOs," which serve to distance the speaker from the accused and reinforce a collective identity among those who feel betrayed.

Anti-Establishment Sentiment and the MAGA Movement

At the heart of the backlash against Republicans endorsing Harris is the growing influence of anti-establishment sentiment in the Republican base. Trump supporters, who view him as the champion of this movement, express outrage and disbelief that former Republican operatives would support a Democratic candidate.

This endorsement, to them, represents not just a betrayal of conservative values but an alignment with the very establishment they believe Trump is fighting against. The use of charged terms like "deep state" and "traitors" underscores the belief that the endorsers are part of a corrupt system that threatens the integrity of the party and the country.

This anti-establishment rhetoric resonates strongly among Trump supporters, who increasingly view the political landscape as a battle between the "real Republicans" who back Trump and those who align with an old guard. The discourse reveals a clear division within the party, where loyalty to Trump and his anti-establishment agenda takes precedence over traditional party allegiances.

Some also frame the divide as less about political party and more about the political class versus average Americans. They point out that RFK Jr. And Tulsi Gabbard—two former Democrats—both endorsed Trump. This drives home assertions that “the people” coalesce behind Trump and “the elites” huddle with the Democratic establishment.

The Struggle for the Soul of the Republican Party

The reactions to Harris's endorsement encapsulate the ongoing struggle for the soul of the Republican Party. On one side are those who prioritize the interests of the Party and view the endorsement as a principled stand against the dangers of Trump. These individuals emphasize themes of unity, democracy, and a commitment to past norms over encroaching populism.

On the other side are those who align with the MAGA movement. They see the endorsement as a direct challenge to their vision of the Party. They frame the discussion around loyalty to Trump and rejecting the political establishment, positioning themselves as defenders of true Republicanism against a corrupt and out-of-touch elite.

A viral post from venture capitalist David Sacks on X cited a 2020 Gallup poll about American trust in mainstream media. This ignited discussion about the stark divide in how Americans view news and media and whether trust is correlated with political affiliation. MIG Reports analysis of this conversation, alongside Gallup polling and X’s own Grok analysis reveals American sentiments across party affiliation. In this way, public sentiment extends Gallup’s sample size, confirming the strong correlation.

Party affiliation is now entirely correlated with trust in MSM. Republicans realize it’s propaganda. Independents are on the path. Democrats are the people still plugged into the Matrix. pic.twitter.com/1KSPt8wkX4

— David Sacks (@DavidSacks) August 25, 2024

According to Gallup data in 2020:

• 73% of Democrats trusted media
• 36% of Independents trusted media
• 10% of Republicans trusted media

These numbers illustrate Sacks’s suggestion that political affiliations are now less about policy agreement and more about whether a person trusts narratives from the media and politicians.

Growing polarization in the country seems exacerbated by this fraught relationship between voters, the media, and political parties. While the viral poll is from 2020, more recent Gallup data from 2022 and 2023 show similar trends.

In addition, last year’s polling shows Democratic trust in media was on a downward trajectory similar to Republican trust until 2016. A period of high confidence in the media followed through Trump’s administration and has since dropped down to 58% at the tail end of Biden’s term. This trend corresponds with Republican beliefs that media outlets push Democratic and anti-Trump or anti-Republican narratives. Meanwhile, Democrats seem to buy into media narratives particularly about the danger of Donald Trump as a Republican figurehead.

A comparison of these findings with an independent MIG Reports analysis, based on real-time voter conversations and AI-driven data analysis, explores whether Americans believe trust in media truly correlates with political affiliation in 2024.

Distrust in Mainstream Media

MIG Reports data shows:

• 64.8% of all voters in the discussion indicate a strong distrust in mainstream media.
• This sentiment is predominantly expressed by Republicans, suggesting their isolated percentage is likely higher, aligning with Gallup’s findings.

Most conversations about distrust cite the perception of bias and dishonesty from mainstream media outlets. Republican-leaning voters often express a belief that media outlets are skewed to favor liberal viewpoints. This causes skepticism about the accuracy and fairness of reporting.

Voters use phrases like "fake news" and "liberal bias," signaling frustration over their belief in a deliberate distortion of facts to support Democratic narratives. This sentiment is particularly strong when media coverage is perceived to misrepresent or unfairly criticize conservative figures and policies.

This group feels their viewpoints and values are systematically overlooked, criticized, distorted, or misrepresented by mainstream media.

Trust in Mainstream Media

MIG Reports data shows:

• 24.9% of all voters express trust in mainstream media—mostly coming from Democrats.
• This is lower than Gallup’s 2023 finding that 32% of Americans trust the media “a great deal” or “a fair amount.”

Those who express trust in mainstream media often emphasize the importance of “credible journalism” and its role in political accountability in a democracy. Comments from Democratic-leaning individuals highlight their belief that media outlets serve as essential checks on political power and provide necessary transparency.

This group uses words like, "responsible reporting" and "factual news." They say the media plays a crucial role in informing the public and holding leaders accountable. Democratic trust is often linked to the perception that media organizations are committed to objective reporting and that there is no widespread institutional corruption.

For these Democrats, media coverage that aligns with their values or supports their political perspectives is positive and trustworthy.

Correlation of Trust with Democratic Support

MIG Reports data shows:

• 14.6% of discussions about trust in media directly mention a correlation with support for the Democratic Party.
• This percentage indicates conversations about a potential correlation—it does not directly project the correlation itself.
• However, it does support a conclusion that Democrats largely comprise the dwindling segment of voters giving credence to mainstream media reporting.

The analysis suggests a correlation between political affiliation and perceptions of media trustworthiness. Republicans predominantly express distrust towards mainstream media, citing bias and misrepresentation. This distrust is frequently linked to coverage that is seen as hostile and antagonistic toward conservative viewpoints.

Democrats are more likely to view mainstream media positively, aligning their trust with media coverage that supports their political beliefs and values. This divide suggests trust in media is not only influenced by the content and quality of reporting but is also deeply intertwined with one's political identity and alignment.

If there is a correlation between trust in the media and Democratic affiliation, the analysis does not clearly suggest why that might be. Two possibilities may be that Democrats trust media sources which confirm their biases, or that those adopting a skeptical attitude toward media are also likely to lose allegiance to the Democratic Party.

X’s Grok Analysis Confirms Findings

Analysis using a similar methodology to MIG Reports reveals the X (formerly Twitter) AI platform Grok reaches similar findings. In parallel Grok analysis:

• 60-70% of Americans distrust media versus MIG Reports showing 64.8% distrust.
• 30-40% of Americans trust media compared to MIG Reports showing 24.9% trust.
• 70-80% of Democrats agree with or do not distrust media narratives, versus only 10-20% of Republicans.

Quantifying the Correlation

With an estimated correlation coefficient (r) based on these sentiments:

• Democrats show a positive trust correlation coefficient around r = 0.6 to 0.8.
• Republicans have inverse relationship where trust is a negative correlation coefficient around r = -0.6 to -0.8.
• Independents show a weaker but still negative trust correlation around r = -0.2 to -0.4.

This quantification suggests political affiliation, particularly towards the Democratic Party, is a strong predictor of media trust. Democrats are more likely to trust media sources which might be seen as aligning with or at least not actively opposing their political views.

However, broader distrust across the population, including Independents, highlights a general skepticism towards media, but this sentiment is notably amplified among Republicans.

This Grok analysis suggests the link between political affiliation and media perception may be more pronounced than MIG Reports data currently demonstrates. While this difference in analysis is worth noting, the overall narrative remains consistent—political affiliation plays a significant role in shaping how Americans perceive the media.

Corrupt Media Fosters Anti-Establishment Views

With so few Americans trusting the media, many voters express a sentiment of crisis threatening the American political and social landscape. When journalism is perceived as politicized, it loses credibility and fails to serve its essential role as the "fourth estate"—a watchdog that holds power to account.

The growing distrust in media, politicians, and institutions raises concerns about the public's ability to find truth and make informed decisions. This is a deep concern for many voters leading up to the 2024 election. Many view this presidential election as extremely high-stakes and a pivotal moment for the trajectory of America.

As the media is seen as biased or untrustworthy, voters increasingly turn to alternative sources of information, further fragmenting public discourse. This fragmentation could lead to an electorate that is even more polarized, making it harder for candidates to reach across the aisle or build consensus on critical issues. The erosion of trust in journalism could also lead to increased skepticism toward election results, particularly if the media plays a central role in reporting on election outcomes. This suspicion of election integrity is also corroborated by MIG Reports data showing sentiment on the topic dropping down to 35% in the last week.

Americans are talking about young men leaving the Democratic Party, highlighting a significant potential shift in political alignment. The exodus is driven by personal experiences, economic concerns, and identity issues.

Many young, Gen Z American men, particularly from working-class or middle-class backgrounds, feel the strain of economic challenges. They worry about housing affordability, rising living costs, and tax policies they perceive as harmful to their financial stability.

Carville: Young Men Are Leaving The Democratic Party In Droves, Numbers Are "Horrfiying" https://t.co/1FJBvyPJ1v

— RCP Video (@rcpvideo) April 3, 2024

MIG Reports analysis shows this demographic likely includes primarily white or non-minority men aged 18-35. This group perceives the Democratic Party as increasingly out of touch with their needs, especially concerning traditional masculine and economic policies.

Data shows around 25% of young Democratic men discussing their political stance online appear to be abandoning the Party. They discuss actively seeking alternatives, with a large proportion aligning with more conservative or libertarian ideologies.

Disillusionment and Lack of Representation

Many young men feel the Democratic Party no longer represents their interests, particularly concerning issues like traditional masculinity, economic policies, and governance. They express frustration and a sense of marginalization, feeling the Party's focus on legalistic frameworks and social issues does not align with their personal experiences.

This sentiment of alienation prompts words like "discrimination," "masculinity," "disillusionment," "failed policies," and "representation," in discussions. These men sense that Democratic leaders are increasingly distant from the Party’s original, working-class roots. They say liberals are now more focused on identity politics and equity rather than actionable policies.

Economic Concerns and Housing

Many young men believe Democratic policies have failed to address their economic struggles. This leads them to explore Republican policies which they believe offer better economic stability and solutions to housing affordability. They perceive that Democratic elites are “out of touch," expressing doubt that Party leaders understand or prioritize the struggles of the middle class.

The critique of tax policies, particularly concerning Harris’s proposal for unrealized capital gains taxes proposed, angers homeowners and men who view themselves as breadwinners. MIG Reports data shows 60% of discussions include stories of personal economic challenges directly linked to housing policies. Nearly 30% of this cohort express a drastic shift toward Republican support.

Shift Toward Conservative Alternatives

Young Democratic men are showing noticeable shift toward Republican figures—particularly Donald Trump. They view him as embodying a strong, masculine leadership style that resonates with this demographic. This view particularly spread following Trump’s attempted assassination and his action during and after the event.

Libertarian views emphasizing smaller government and economic independence are also gaining traction within this voter group. Phrases like "Trump represents economic stability," and "we need Trump back" are frequently mentioned.

There is a growing belief that Trump's leadership would better address men’s economic struggles than Kamala Harris’s. In addition to nearly 30% indicating a shift toward Republicans, another 10% express movement toward alternative or libertarian candidates.

Polarization and Urgency

Sentiment trends suggest young men feel an urgent need to switch allegiances to protect what they view as fundamental freedoms and to counter a perceived leftist agenda. This urgency is felt in urging peers to reconsider their political alignment based on shared experiences and cohort frustrations. Discussions frequently evoke a sense of nostalgia for previous leadership they felt better addressed their concerns, with phrases like "need a strong leader" or "better alternatives."

Nostalgia and Ideological Realignment

There is a sense of nostalgia and a yearning for political dynamics that resonate more closely with traditional values. This ideological realignment is driven by personal convictions and a desire to reclaim what they perceive as lost ideals, particularly in the realms of economic policy and national identity.

Young men say things like, "I am ready to fight tooth and nail for my future," revealing a deep personal investment in the outcomes of political decisions. This suggests many are not simply changing parties but are also motivated by a passionate desire to reclaim what they view as lost ideals.

Kamala Harris's DNC speech focused heavily on broad, unifying platitudes in about 65% of its content. The platitudes included unity—within the Democratic Party and across the nation, emphasizing themes like American values, family, and the importance of coming together in challenging times. They served to rally the Democratic base and attempted to connect with a broader electorate on her promises.

Analysis of the speech showed Harris’s language aimed to generate enthusiasm and reinforce her leadership role. It presented her as the figure who can unify and energize the Democratic base. This framing is strategic, aiming to solidify her position as the candidate who can lead the party to victory.

While her speech had a generally positive reception, there are some in the Democratic base who remain skeptical. This unease tends to focus on Harris’s path to the nomination.

MIG Reports Analysis

Data shows that, while Harris’s speech was largely unifying, approximately 25% of Democrats are skeptical and show concern.

MIG Reports data indicates:

• 70% of Democrats express excitement and optimism, highlighting unity and momentum.
• 25% are skeptical about the legitimacy of her nomination process.
• 5% are neutral, focusing on factual aspects without strong sentiment.

Economic Issues

Democratic support for Harris on economic issues is tied to her specific policy proposals. About 60% of the positive comments among her base focus on middle-class tax cuts and job creation efforts.

Approximately 30% of comments support manufacturing job creation and 25% for her fundraising success. This reveals voters are particularly drawn to the tangible benefits they anticipate from her economic plans, showing a clear preference for policy substance.

Housing

Support for Harris’s housing proposals is more modest, with only 15% positive comments. This support is primarily focused on her specific proposals to build more homes, reflecting a preference for actionable policies over general statements.

While there is some recognition of her broader commitment to addressing the housing crisis, the conversation here is more policy driven. Voters are keenly aware of the need for effective solutions. The lower enthusiasm for her housing policies suggests Democrats may seek more innovative or comprehensive solutions beyond the existing proposals.

Democratic Support

Support for Harris within the Democratic base is robust, with 60% of comments reflecting enthusiasm for her candidacy and leadership. This data set shows a strong emphasis on her ability to inspire and mobilize voters, with much of the positivity aligning with her general appeal and the sense of empowerment she brings to the party.

There is some overlap with policy support, particularly in areas where her leadership aligns with Democratic values, but the narrative here leans more towards her role as a unifying figure and the broader ideals she represents.

Overall

The analysis of Democratic reactions to Kamala Harris reveals a nuanced balance between support for her platitudes and her policies. While there is substantial backing for her leadership qualities and vision—especially in areas like her nomination and general support among Democrats—the largest volume of support was is on economic promises.

On Aug. 19, DHS OIG published a management alert regarding the inability of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to effectively monitor unaccompanied migrant children (UCs) released from the custody of the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). The report raises significant concerns about children's safety and the risk of trafficking for the 290,000 missing children.

MIG Reports analysis shows significant public concern in reaction to the report. Discussion particularly focuses on issues of human trafficking, border security, and immigration policies.

Key insights from American voter conversations include:

• Trafficking Concerns: The highest level of concern comes from discussions directly linking the Biden administration to the trafficking crisis. 75% of voters blame the current leadership and 75% express a strong desire for new leadership.
• Border Security Issues: Across multiple subtopics, about 70% of discussions express frustration with current border security policies, blaming them for exacerbating trafficking issues and missing children. This sentiment is consistent across different demographics, with a strong call for stricter immigration policies.
• Swing States and Political Impact: In swing states, 65% of discussions link trafficking with missing children, and 55% express a preference for a leadership shift. This suggests concerns may significantly influence electoral outcomes, with clear advocacy for returning to Trump-era immigration policies.

290,000 children are missing due to the open border policies of Biden, Harris & Gallego.

My heart breaks for these poor babies. https://t.co/SPzsvAZywn

— Kari Lake (@KariLake) August 21, 2024

Strong Discontent with Current Leadership

About 75% of people discussing trafficking issues directly blame the Biden-Harris administration for exacerbating the crisis. They refer to human trafficking, missing children, and cartel activity in conversations.

Dissatisfaction is not confined to one area; it spans across various aspects of border policy, with 70% of discussions in border-related topics also reflecting anger and frustration towards the administration. Around 70% are calling for stricter border controls and a change in leadership.

Many also criticize VP Harris for calling out Trump’s DHS for losing track of 545 children when, on her watch, nearly 300,000 have gone missing.

UPDATED: In 2020, Kamala Harris said DHS not being able to find the parents of 545 children was "outrageous and a stain on our national character."

Now under Border Czar Kamala Harris's leadership, DHS has lost nearly 300,000 illegal migrant children.

That's a 54,945.9%… pic.twitter.com/Q84WeB9hSc

— Steve Guest (@SteveGuest) August 20, 2024

Calls for Political Change and Stricter Policies

In addition to the general discontent, there is a strong push for political change. Roughly 65% of voters advocate for a return to Trump-era immigration policies, including measures like "Remain in Mexico" and increased deportations.

Around 60% link the missing children directly to human trafficking. This trend continues in broader conversations about border security, where 70% hold the administration responsible for the ongoing crisis and express a desire for a political shift.

Swing States and Electoral Impact

The sentiment in swing states mirrors national discussion, with a significant focus on the connection between missing children and trafficking. About 65% of voters in swing states link these issues and 55% want new political leadership.

While there is some skepticism—around 30% attributing the problem to broader social or economic factors rather than directly linking it to trafficking—the majority sentiment is one of urgency and a desire for accountability.

When considering the electoral impact, approximately 70% of believe the current administration's policies have failed to secure the border, which they see as contributing to the trafficking crisis. About 65% of discussions support Trump as the candidate best suited to restore order and security.

The overall mood is overwhelmingly negative, with 80% of conversations expressing anger and frustration.

Urgent Policy & Personnel Change Required

The overarching theme is deep dissatisfaction with the current administration's handling of border security and immigration. MIG Reports weighted analysis reveals approximately 66.9% of voters desire political change. Many advocate for a return to stricter border controls. There is a clear demand for leadership that prioritizes the safety and security of vulnerable populations, particularly children, who are seen as being at the greatest risk.

The chart shows that when more people are unhappy or frustrated with how things are being handled—especially regarding issues like trafficking and border security—they are more likely to want new leaders or changes in policies. Each point on the plot represents a different topic, and the closer a point is to the top right corner, the stronger the link between dissatisfaction (negative sentiment) and the push for political change.

The scatter plot's points, representing high levels of negative sentiment and advocacy for change, are closely tied to discussions involving these keywords. The frequent appearance of terms like "human trafficking," "missing children," "open borders," and criticism of Kamala Harris in connection with these issues indicates the more these topics are discussed, the stronger the call for political change becomes. This trend is consistently reflected across the topics analyzed.

The absence of several prominent Democrats from the Democratic National Convention (DNC) in Chicago is raising questions about the Party's unity. Many attribute absences to political strategy for Democrats in key down-ballot races. However, it also underscores the growing division in a typically unified Party.

A few prominent Democratic Senators are skipping the DNC including:

• Sherrod Brown
• Jon Tester
• Jacky Rosen
• Martin Heinrich
• John Fetterman

Voters are discussing the implications for upcoming elections—particularly in swing states where incumbents face tough re-election battles. Though Fetterman is not up for reelection, many point out his recurring clashes with the left over the border and Israel.

Other Democratic representatives not in attendance include Yadira Caraveo, Val Hoyle, Jared Golden, Mary Sattler Peltola, and Marie Gluesenkamp Perez.

Tough Races in Swing States

Democratic Senators Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Jon Tester of Montana, and Jacky Rosen of Nevada are all engaged in challenging re-election campaigns in states that have trended Republican in recent years. Many assume their decisions to forego the DNC, where Vice President Kamala Harris is being coronated to the nomination, is strategic.

Voters conclude these Democrats in important races hope to distance themselves from the national Party’s increasingly progressive platform. However, most of these candidates have endorsed the Harris-Walz ticket—with the exception of Tester in Montana.

MIG Reports data shows currently:

• Republican Bernie Moreno is leading Sherrod Brown in Ohio 52% to 48%.
• Republican Tim Sheehy is leading John Tester in Montana 52% to 48%.
• Jacky Rosen is leading Republican Sam Brown in Nevada 52% to 48%
• Martin Heinrich is leading Republican Nella Domenici in New Mexico 54% to 46%.

Voters in swing states like Ohio and Nevada likely view their Senators’ absence as an attempt to appeal to a broader electorate. Those wary of Harris’s progressive stances may be won over by the implicit rejection of Senators staying home. However, Democrats also face the difficulty of energizing the progressive base without alienating moderate or conservative voters who could determine the outcome of their races.

For candidates like Sherrod Brown, whose reputation is advocating for working-class issues, voters express disappointment. They say his absence is a missed opportunity to reinforce party solidarity. Similarly, Jon Tester and Jacky Rosen receive scrutiny from Democrats who suggest their participation is crucial in demonstrating alignment with leadership and the Democratic platform. This is a point of emphasis for those concerned about the challenging landscape Democrats face in retaining Senate control in various states.

John Fetterman, though not up for reelection, faces questions about his visibility at national events. Supporters worry his absence at the convention may signal a break with power centers in the Party, jeopardizing his standing among Democrats.

Division and Disarray Among Democrats

This strategic optics game is also indicative of deeper divisions within the party—particularly between traditional Democrats, progressives, and leftists. As more of her economic policies and historical positions surface, voters perceive Harris as deeply sympathetic toward the radical left. This perception is beginning to alienate Independent voters and some Democrats.

Despite leadership attempts to show unity within the Party, voters are keenly aware of growing fractures between far-left progressives and traditional Democrats—particularly when it comes to Israel. Sentiment is growing that the Party's shift towards progressive policies is pushing the country away from core values like meritocracy and free market capitalism. This division will likely have significant implications for Democratic success in critical down-ballot races, and potentially in the presidential race.

Voters are increasingly discussing Harris as supporting open borders and pushing communist economic policies. These two issues are the most important to voters, exacerbating the danger for Democrats in the election.

Voter Sentiment and Potential Backlash

Approximately 65% of discussions around the DNC hint at a potential backlash against the Democratic Party if it continues leftward. This suggests senators in critical races may be justified in attempting to distance themselves from national leadership. Voters, especially in swing states, express doubts about the effectiveness of the DNC and the broader Party strategy.

There is a prevailing sentiment that absence signals a lack of confidence in Harris's leadership. But critics say by not participating in the DNC, candidates may be missing an opportunity to demonstrate unity and solidarity. They say it could potentially weaken their campaigns or the national ticket among those who prioritize party cohesion. Some say it’s especially important when the spotlight is focused on Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.

The Impact of Harris's Leadership

Kamala Harris’s leadership and policy positions, especially on issues like the economy and immigration, are central concerns. Her proposals, which critics label as overly radical, likely will not resonate with moderate voters Senate candidates need to win. This sentiment suggests while some voters support Democratic ideals, they remain wary about the current direction of the Party.

Moderates accuse the DNC and its headliner candidates, particularly Harris, of radicalism and communism. They characterize Harris’s proposals as signs of a sharp leftward shift that aims to diminish traditional Democratic values. This exemplifies the tension, where voters in state races likely wish for a return to more centrist American values.

Symbols and rhetoric also play crucial roles in this discourse. Some X users highlight visuals and language around the DNC to showcase discontent. They emphasize various optics which they say capture a larger anti-Harris sentiment even among some DNC attendees like Chris Cuomo.

Dang… the left lost Cuomo 🤣😂😂

pic.twitter.com/5gRPlhM1NI

— MJTruthUltra (@MJTruthUltra) August 22, 2024

Most embarrassing moments at the DNC so far

These are unbelievable

🧵 A THREAD

12. Guy caught in 4K yelling "NOOOO" to choosing Kamala Harris pic.twitter.com/fEVvCH7kob

— TaraBull (@TaraBull808) August 21, 2024

Discussions also point to Kamala Harris’s nomination as people question its legitimacy due to the absence of primary votes. This narrative surfaces consistently, with voters expressing frustrations about the perceived "coronation" of Harris at the DNC—a decision they believe overrides the democratic process.

MIG Reports analysis of online conversations about the Democratic National Convention (DNC) reveals trends in two categories:

• How all Americans are reacting to the DNC
• How Democrats are reacting to the DNC

This analysis reveals both shared and divergent perspectives on key issues. By comparing voter sentiment, critical areas and focuses emerge in both groups. Immigration and border security are top ten issues for all Americans, but the lack of conversation from Democrats is the reason they are not included in this analysis.

Shared Topics Among All Voters

Economic Issues

Economic concerns dominate discussions among all voters and the Democratic voter subset. However, the tone and focus vary significantly. Americans generally express deep anxiety over the Harris campaign’s proposed capital gains tax. They fear it could devastate the middle class and undermine the American Dream.

Discussions across voter groups frequently highlight terms like "destruction," "economic harm," and "inflation," signaling widespread dissatisfaction with current economic policies.

Democrats focus more on pride in job creation—talking less of recent revisions—and frustration over legislative inaction. They express concern about economic justice and fiscal responsibility. Their conversations touch on unemployment statistics and the potential impact of tax policies on workers.

While both groups share economic anxieties, Democratic voters are more likely to defend the administration's achievements while simultaneously advocating for more progressive reforms.

Foreign Policy and Security Issues

Foreign policy, particularly the Israel-Palestine conflict, emerges as a significant topic in both groups. Americans are concerned about U.S. involvement in the conflict, with many accusing Biden and Harris of complicity in violence. More progressive voters express a strong desire for accountability and change. Discussions reveal a critical view of both Democratic leadership and former President Trump's influence on foreign policy.

Democrats express deep dissatisfaction with the administration's approach to the Israel-Palestine conflict. They criticize President Biden's perceived bias toward Israel and the lack of empathy toward Palestinian civilians. However, there are nuanced debates about the role of the U.S. in fostering peace and the moral responsibilities of its leaders.

Both groups highlight security issues, but Democratic voters display a broader spectrum of emotions, from anger to cautious optimism about potential policy shifts.

Ideological Conflicts

Both groups engage in discussions about ideological conflicts within the Democratic Party, though the intensity and framing differ. Americans are generally skeptical of Party's perceived shift toward socialist or leftist policies. They criticize Kamala Harris's economic agenda as a departure from traditional American values. These discussions use terms like "communism," "socialism," and "price controls," reflecting a fear of moving too far left.

Democrats focus on internal ideological purity and the need for the Party to present a unified front against rising far-right ideologies. They express concern about the Party's direction and the potential alienation of moderate voters, emphasizing the need to combat fascism while advocating for social safety nets.

While both groups discuss ideological conflicts, Democratic voters frame their concerns as a struggle against far-right extremism.

Unique Topics and Correlations

Crime and Public Safety – All Americans

Crime, particularly rising violent crime rates, features prominently in overall voter discussions. People express frustration with Biden-Harris policies, which they believe contribute to lawlessness and insecurity.

This topic, while not as central to the discussions among Democratic voters, correlates with broader concerns about the administration's effectiveness and public safety, reinforcing the overall narrative of discontent with Biden and Harris.

Legislative Effectiveness – Democratic Voters

Democratic voters focus significantly on legislative effectiveness, particularly in relation to social security, Medicare, and other social safety nets. They are frustrated with the perceived stagnation in Congress and the lack of progress on critical legislation.

This topic connects to broader concerns about governance and the effectiveness of current policies in addressing public needs. It also underscores the internal dissatisfaction within the Party regarding its ability to deliver on promises.