MIG Reports analysis of voter sentiment on economic issues shows a clear pattern: Trump > Harris. Across numerous samples and economic topics, Americans voice their strong preference for Donald Trump’s policies and leadership.

Inflation

Inflation remains a central point of frustration, with 55% of voters in the MIG Reports sample favoring Trump’s policies. They cite his administration's ability to maintain lower costs of living and greater community safety. In contrast, only 18% expresses support for how Biden and Harris handle inflation, while 27% remain uncertain or neutral.

America First

Government spending draws even stronger criticism toward Democrats. While 65% support Trump’s fiscal policies, only 14% back Biden-Harris spending strategies. Many accuse the administration of prioritizing foreign aid over domestic needs. Sentiment is particularly strong in discussions of the misallocation of taxpayer dollars and recent government responses to Hurricane Helene. Americans are frustrated that economic assistance is sent liberally abroad while middle-class hardships remain unaddressed.

Taxation

Taxation is another hot topic, with 60% preferring Trump’s tax cuts, especially for the middle class and businesses. Only 20% view Harris’s proposed tax increases favorably. Skepticism runs high, with many believing the tax plans would burden the middle class further rather than provide relief.

Open Border Effects

Illegal immigration continues to dominate the economic discourse, with 55% arguing lax border policies under Biden and Harris exacerbate job competition and strain public services. Only 12% support the administration’s approach to immigration, and 33% are uncertain about its economic impact.

Executive Leadership

Leadership emerges as a stark contrast between the candidates, with 70% voicing confidence in Trump’s leadership on the economy. People view him as a more pragmatic and business-oriented leader. In contrast, only 15% support Harris’s leadership, with many criticizing her as disconnected from the economic struggles of everyday Americans.

Americans on social media are reacting to the increased kinetic events in Israel with clear negativity. Analyzing these discussions reveals a widespread dissatisfaction with the actions and positions of all nations involved.

U.S. conversations reflect dissatisfaction with Israel's military strategies, outrage at Iran's aggressive stance, and criticism of U.S. foreign policy. Each party faces its own unique form of condemnation, highlighting the complexity and contentiousness of the geopolitical landscape.

Israel’s Unpopularity

Israel's role in the conflict, particularly its military actions in Gaza and Lebanon, draw widespread criticism from Americans. Many accuse Israel of using excessive force and causing disproportionate civilian suffering, especially in Gaza.

There is a strong sentiment that Israeli actions, particularly in response to missile strikes, contribute to an endless cycle of violence that exacerbates tensions in the region. Some discussions point to Israel’s historical military engagements as part of the larger problem, saying its aggressive posture has failed to secure peace and intensified animosity. This perspective sees Israel as a key provocateur in the ongoing conflict, with military operations as heavy-handed and counterproductive.

However, many Americans also defend Israel’s right to self-defense, especially in the face of Iranian missile strikes and the activities of Iranian-backed militias. This camp, though supportive, still voices frustration over the humanitarian toll. This suggests, even among Israel supporters, there is unease about the broader consequences of conflict.

Iran’s Unpopularity

Americans widely condemn Iran’s actions, especially the recent missile strikes on Israeli targets. Many frame Iran as a destabilizing force in the Middle East, blaming its military provocations for escalating the conflict. People view Iran as an aggressor for using its missile technology and supporting militant groups like Hezbollah. People see Iran as a direct threat to regional and global security.

Discussion emphasizes the danger of Iranian-backed forces and the broader implications of Iran’s involvement, with some expressing fear that these aggressive actions could lead to a larger global conflict.

Despite this, a small group argue Iran’s military actions are a form of retaliation against Israel’s long-standing dominance in the region. This group suggests the focus on Iran as the aggressor overlooks the broader context of Israeli military operations. They claim Israel provokes responses from Iran.

U.S. Actions and Criticism

The United States, specifically under the Biden administration, also faces substantial criticism for its handling of the conflict. A common narrative is that the U.S. has emboldened Iran by easing sanctions and engaging diplomatically with Tehran.

Critics argue this perceived appeasement has allowed Iran to become more aggressive in its actions against Israel, leading to the current state of heightened tensions. Many contrast this with the Trump’s foreign policy, which people say maintained a firmer stance on Iran, thereby preventing such escalations.

There is also frustration with how the U.S. media portrays the conflict. Americans accuse mainstream outlets of bias, especially in how they report on Israeli and Iranian actions. This perceived media manipulation adds to the dissatisfaction with U.S. leadership, as many feel public perception is being shaped to fit a particular narrative rather than reflecting the complex realities on the ground.

Donald Trump’s recent proposal to “staple a green card to every diploma” for graduates caused discussion within his base. The policy, which aims to retain skilled international graduates in the U.S. workforce, clashes with ongoing debates about immigration, the economy, and job competition.

Sentiment trends, potential voter impact, and deeper implications of this policy vary across Trump’s core base, Independents, and crossover voters. Analysis of voter discussions reveals the potential impact of this proposal on the election.

Summary of Findings

• 65-80% of Trump’s base endorses the policy for its economic benefits.
• 40-58% of Independents express cautious support but remain skeptical about job competition.
• At least half of crossover voters criticize the policy as politically motivated and say they would be less likely to vote.
• 10-15% of the base say this policy would increase their likelihood to vote
• 5-15% of Independents say it could increase their likelihood to vote.

Trump’s Core Base

The MAGA base is largely enthusiastic about the green card proposal. The policy resonates with those who see it as an economically sound solution to fill gaps in the American workforce. They appreciate that the policy focuses on retaining skilled talent, particularly in tech and innovation sectors, aligning with the economic nationalism that Trump has emphasized throughout his campaigns.

Comments from Trump’s base reveal a clear endorsement of the policy as beneficial to American economic growth. Voters feel Trump is prioritizing the U.S. workforce and addressing real labor shortages. However, around 20-30% are concerned about potential job competition, worrying the policy could lead to higher competition for American workers—particularly in lower-skilled sectors.

Independents

Independents are divided, with around half cautiously supporting it. These voters appreciate the focus on retaining high-skilled graduates, seeing it as a practical move to bolster economic growth and innovation in the U.S. However, many independents remain wary of Trump’s broader immigration policies and question the long-term impact of such a proposal on job competition.

The skepticism of this group stems from concerns about how the policy may affect the job market for American workers. Some view the proposal as a necessary economic measure, while others express doubt about its implementation and potential unintended consequences.

Crossover Voters

Crossover voters, or moderates, are overwhelmingly negative about the green card proposal. This group, which traditionally leans Democratic, views the policy as politically motivated.

For many, the proposal feels like an electoral ploy rather than a genuine attempt at reform, leading them to further distrust Trump’s intentions. However, there is a possibility this dialogue stems from anti-Trump voters who are reacting to these discussions merely to oppose any Trump policy as they normally would.

The dominant concern among this demographic is that the proposal will exacerbate existing immigration issues without addressing deeper systemic problems. Many see it as another example of Trump’s divisive approach to politics, which alienates them further. This opposition is likely to drive turnout against Trump, with crossover voters potentially mobilizing to vote for an alternative candidate.

Turnout Implications

The overall voter turnout trends suggest Trump’s green card proposal may energize his base. Supporters feel empowered by the economic and nationalist rhetoric with all his economic policies and are likely to engage more deeply in local campaigns.

However, for Independents, the policy yields mixed results, potentially driving modest gains in turnout among those who prioritize economic growth but failing to inspire more skeptical individuals. Crossover voters, on the other hand, show strong opposition.