Recently, Barack Obama appealed to black men, addressing them as "brothas," urging support for Kamala Harris. MIG Reports analysis shows wide-ranging and polarized reactions on social media.

NEW: Former President Barack Obama says the "brothas" aren't turning out for Kamala Harris like they did for him.

The comments from Obama came during an event at the University of Pittsburgh where Obama sounded the alarm on black voters.

"We have not yet seen the same kinds of… pic.twitter.com/v77CHcOv2A

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 10, 2024

The response to Obama’s call brings up issues of identity, representation, and disillusionment within the black community—particularly black men. While there is support for and skepticism toward Obama's message, many raise questions about the larger implications of Democrats losing critical voter groups.

Reaction Trends

Skepticism and Criticism

Around 65-70% of reactions to Obama’s comments are skeptical or outright critical. Voters question Kamala Harris's authenticity as a representative of black Americans, citing concerns that her background and political record do not resonate with the struggles of black men.

Critics largely perceive Obama’s lecture as political manipulation, designed to rally votes without offering meaningful engagement with their concerns. The criticism extends to both Obama and Harris, with many expressing frustration that Democratic elites are disconnected from the economic and social struggles of the communities they claim to represent.

Support for Obama and Harris

Only 20-25% of voters react with support for Obama’s message. This group resonates with his call for racial solidarity. They view the appeal as a necessary rallying cry for empowering black leaders, emphasizing the importance of unity behind Harris.

Supporters believe voting for Harris represents a larger effort to secure political representation for marginalized voices, especially in a time of heightened political stakes. For these voters, Obama’s message carries the weight of moral and racial duty to uplift black leaders in positions of power.

Neutral or Indifferent Reactions

Another 10-15% make neutral or indifferent comments toward Obama’s appeal. They view his call as a standard political maneuver—lacking any significant personal relevance or emotional connection.

They perceive the plea as part of routine political rhetoric rather than a heartfelt call to action. For this group, the message does not resonate deeply enough to move their political allegiances or inspire any meaningful change in perspectives of Harris or the Democratic Party.

Identity and Representation

Across all discussions, the tension between identity politics and political authenticity is a recurring theme. Critical voters feel Obama used identity as leverage or as a political tool, with little regard for the true needs of black men.

Kamala Harris’s identity as a black woman is both a potential point of connection and a source of division. Many black voters feel her policies and political stances do not adequately address the challenges they face. A struggle between representation and authentic engagement is infused in skepticism about Obama's message.

Political Fatigue and Disillusionment

Voters also discuss political fatigue and disillusionment, especially among younger black voters. There is a feeling that Democratic leadership has failed to deliver on promises of change. People often mention economic instability, housing, and systemic inequality in their critical responses.

People are frustrated with empty rhetoric from political elites, with little tangible impact on their daily lives. This sense of betrayal and disillusionment has led to growing political apathy and a reluctance to engage in traditional political processes.

Fractured Political Loyalties

There is a fracture within the black electorate, with many black men feeling increasingly alienated from the Democratic Party. Skepticism toward Harris and the perceived disconnect between political leaders and the community leads to a shift in political loyalties.

This divide is particularly pronounced among younger voters, who are less likely to feel bound by traditional party lines. They are more inclined to question the authenticity and effectiveness of their political representatives.

Potential for Engagement

Despite overwhelming criticism and political fatigue, Obama's message still holds the potential to mobilize certain segments of the black electorate. For those who resonate with his call for unity, the appeal could serve as a rallying point for increased political activism.

However, high levels of skepticism and disillusionment may make it difficult for the Democratic Party to get engagement and voter turnout. Moving forward, the party will need to address these deeper concerns if it hopes to retain the support of black voters, particularly black men.

Social media reactions wend wild with a clip of Kamala Harris using a teleprompter during an alleged "unscripted" town hall. Discussions revolve around public trust in media, Harris’s inauthenticity, and political engagement in today’s polarized climate.

🚨 BREAKING: Univision accidentally broadcast proof that Kamala used a teleprompter at her town hall

Watch them panic when they realized they were showing the prompter live on-air pic.twitter.com/fiUFcfN2Kx

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) October 11, 2024

This is the third viral teleprompter event after a video clip circulated which appeared to show Kamala Harris struggling to find words during a rally with allegations that her teleprompter stopped working.

JUST IN: Kamala Harris has no clue what to say after her teleprompter appears to stop working, keeps repeating herself.

The Vice President kept repeating “32 days.”

“Remember his number 32 today? We got 32 days until the election.”

“So 32 days… 32 days… Okay. We got some… pic.twitter.com/2fIl1nyEkq

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 4, 2024

Prior to that, Harris also received backlash after her campaign event and interview with Oprah, where a brief camera angle again showed Harris being guided by a prompter.

WOW! Apparently Kamala Harris had a freaking TELEPROMPTER during her “interview” with Oprah

Scamala Harris is a fraud! pic.twitter.com/BZ7RGahJXs

— Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) September 22, 2024

Leadership and Authenticity in Question

These events are causing Americans to discuss authenticity and proficiency. Many view Harris’s reliance on a teleprompter as indicative of broader issues. They say perceptions that Harris can only speak in scripted situations disconnects her from everyday voters. It also causes many to question her proficiency in critical subjects important for a president to understand and communicate about.

More voters voice doubt about her ability to handle unscripted moments—an essential skill for someone in office. The event also sparked memes, poking fun at Harris’s apparent inability to speak clearly without direction.

LOL! pic.twitter.com/7660YPumm9

— Dr. Simon Goddek (@goddeketal) October 11, 2024

Skepticism is strong among working-class voters, many of whom are grappling with economic challenges like inflation, housing costs, and healthcare access. Already feeling neglected by the Biden-Harris administration, they are frustrated that leaders seem more concerned with media optics and controlling messaging than substantive action. To this group, Harris’s inauthenticity reveals ineffective leadership and an inability to meaningfully engage with voters.

Demographic and Sentiment Breakdown

The controversy resonated across demographic groups, with varied reactions depending on cultural and linguistic backgrounds.

Latino and Spanish-speaking Communities

The teleprompter event aired on Univision, with a portion of the discourse in Spanish. Among Latino audiences, reactions were mixed.

• Some feel disillusioned, citing Harris’s failure to connect authentically with a demographic that is typically critical to the Democratic base.
• Immigration, a deeply personal issue for many, features prominently in criticisms as many disapprove of Harris’s immigration policies.
• A smaller segment defends Harris, emphasizing her progressive stances on social justice and reproductive rights They argue criticism stems from biases against women of color in leadership.

Economic and Policy Concerns

Discussions from economically vulnerable and middle-class groups focus heavily on Harris’s perceived failure to address key issues like rising living costs and healthcare.

• The teleprompter symbolizes a deeper chronic detachment from the struggles of ordinary Americans.
• Harris's policies—particularly around immigration and government spending—are presented evidence that Democrats do not prioritize American citizens.

Polarization and Ideological Division

Reactions to Harris’s town hall appearance are politically divided. For conservative voters, this incident is another example of a failing administration disconnected from its base and mainstream American values. This group makes comparisons between Harris and former President Trump, with critics praising Trump’s direct, unscripted communication style and portraying Harris as overly reliant on canned talking points.

Dissatisfaction with the Biden-Harris administration also surfaces among swing voters and Independents. They view Harris’s performance as political opportunism, lacking leadership qualities and policy vision.

Democrats are defensive, asserting those on the right are overreacting. Many also claim Trump is incoherent and babbling, revealing he has weaker political understandings than Harris.

Media and Manipulation of Public Perception

Voters also discuss the role of media in shaping public perceptions. Some felt touting the appearance as "unscripted" while Harris used a teleprompter confirms their belief that media outlets craft an artificial image of political leaders. This incident fuels a growing belief that the media, especially left leaning outlets, manipulate public perception by controlling how events are framed.

Broader Implications for Political Engagement

A growing perception that Harris is inauthentic and unqualified threatens political engagement among her voters. Disillusionment and frustration are apparent, particularly among swing voters and Independents.

Many are concerned that neither party adequately addresses the pressing issues of the day, leading to a sense of alienation from the political system. This discontent may lead to decreased voter enthusiasm and turnout, especially by those who feel left behind by the political establishment.

Recent media scandals and accusations of “misinformation” serve to further entrench voters in their existing views about free speech and media bias.

MIG Reports data shows:

• Republicans and conservatives blame legacy media outlets of skewing news in favor of Democrats.
• Democrat and liberals are more likely to believe the news unfairly benefits conservatives.
• Free speech advocates view X as a critical platform for keeping media outlets accountable.

CBS and the 60 Minutes Scandal

A "60 Minutes" interview with Harris has become a flashpoint of discussion about media bias and free speech on X (formerly Twitter). Many people online pointed out misleading edits during the interview, with two versions of Harris’s answer to a question—one coherent and the other a “word salad.”

A giant Fake News Scam by CBS & 60 Minutes. Her REAL ANSWER WAS CRAZY, OR DUMB, so they actually REPLACED it with another answer in order to save her or, at least, make her look better. A FAKE NEWS SCAM, which is totally illegal. TAKE AWAY THE CBS LICENSE. Election Interference.… pic.twitter.com/JRxSda3NeC

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 10, 2024

• 63% of voters are frustrated over CBS obscuring the reality of Harris’s responses, saying the network is betraying its political bias.
• Voters called for CBS to release a full transcript of the interview, demanding transparency and accountability.
• Americans say the mainstream media has abandoned impartial journalism and lies to help Democrats.
• Conservatives believe legacy media outlets systematically discredit conservative figures and viewpoints, making platforms like X critical for free speech.

Hillary Clinton’s Call for Information Control

Hillary Clinton recently made comments on CNN extolling the need for controlling misinformation. In a viral clip, she criticized Section 230 and called for its repeal. She said if social media platforms “don’t moderate and monitor the content, we lose total control.”

“If they don’t moderate the content, we lose total control.”

— Hillary Clinton pic.twitter.com/TeJ7qaIeaS

— The Rabbit Hole (@TheRabbitHole84) October 6, 2024

• 68% of voters criticize Clinton’s stance, calling it a violation of free speech and the Constitution.
• Voters say Democrats and the media advocate for censorship and using government force to silence opposing viewpoints.
• Many, especially on the right, say Clinton and others use accusations of “misinformation” to suppress dissenting opinions rather than promote truth.

X as a Free Speech Stronghold

Previous MIG Reports analysis showed less than 25% of all voters trust mainstream media. With this collapse of trust, more Americans prefer alternative platforms like X, which they see as vital for free expression.

• 62% of voters believe X plays an essential role in facilitating free speech and serving as an alternative to biased mainstream outlets.
• 48% worry legacy media and politicians are trying to suppress information shared on X and other online platforms.
• Democrats and Republicans both distrust media but cite bias as benefitting the opposite viewpoints.

Conservative Distrust in Media

Republicans and right leaning voters often feel frustration that mainstream media portrays conservative leaders, especially Trump, in a negative light. Many also point out that legacy outlets like MSNBC admit their bias in favor of Democrats behind closed doors. They say news outlets amplify or suppress stories based on whether they help or hurt Democrats.

BREAKING: @MSNBC Producer Admits MSNBC Is 'Doing All They Can to Help’ the Harris Campaign

During an undercover date with an OMG journalist, Basel Hamdan (@BaselYHamdan), a writer and producer for MSNBC’s show “Ayman,” (@AymanMSNBC) was asked what the network has done to assist… pic.twitter.com/y9Yk8o1UX7

— James O'Keefe (@JamesOKeefeIII) October 3, 2024

• 40% of conservatives discuss their outrage over media portrayals of Trump, arguing the press systematically manipulates narratives to discredit him.
• 65% argue “woke” culture is eroding traditional American values, contributing to extreme political discourse.
• 68% are concerned that the Biden-Harris administration wants to silence critical viewpoints, particularly during times of crisis or controversy.

Democrats Say Media Favors Trump

While Democrats also distrust the media, they believe bias favors conservatives. Many discuss “misinformation” and “disinformation,” saying it is a significant problem exclusive to the right.

• 70% of Democrats believe the media fails to hold Trump accountable for lies, suggesting a systemic bias in favor of conservative narratives.
• 65% say the media amplifies conservative claims about immigration being a crisis, while downplaying the benefits of diverse populations.
• 80% perceive conservative-leaning outlets as promoting misleading information to undermine Democrat credibility.

Inflation is holding strong as a defining economic issue for voters in 2024. Since Biden and Harris took office, reports show consumer prices have risen more than 20%. Americans feel very little hope for relief if trends continue. Online discussions show strong dissatisfaction among all voters, though with some partisan disagreements about who is at fault.

If you made $100,000 a year when Biden-Harris took office...

Congratulations, you now make $83,000 a year.

Vote accordingly. pic.twitter.com/WAV2dI7m47

— John LeFevre (@JohnLeFevre) October 10, 2024

MIG Reports analysis shows:

• 64% of overall voters blame Biden and Harris for the current economy.
• 72% of Americans are unhappy with current wages relative to the cost of living.
• 59% express feelings of financial helplessness due to rising costs.

Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data justifies the negative sentiment Americans express with Consumer Price Index (CPI) trends during the Biden-Harris administration:

• The cost of All Items rose 21% from 2020 to today.
• Food at Home surged 25%.
• Medical Care costs have risen 10%.
• Rent for Urban Consumers rose 24.8% during the current administration.

Americans feel inflation as more than a statistic—they feel it as a daily reality. Discussions on social media overwhelmingly focus on the struggle to cover basic needs like groceries, housing, and healthcare. This is where 72% of voters express dissatisfaction with wage levels relative to inflation. Conservatives are often most vocal, viewing inflation as a consequence of Biden-Harris economic policies.

Wages Aren’t Keeping Up

The mismatch between rising prices and stagnant wages is further driving voter frustration. While the government reports nominal wage gains, increases are swiftly negated by inflation. Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows median weekly wages reached $1,151 this year. However, when adjusted for inflation, purchasing power is equivalent to just $946 in 2020 dollars. This gap between nominal and real wages highlights the tangible quality of life strains Americans feel.

MIG Reports data shows:

• 48% of economic discussions mention wage stagnation.
• 60% are skeptical of government statistics on job growth and wages.

Many Americans feel they’re being lied to about the state of the economy—though this sentiment is more common among Republicans. Voters say the so-called wage increases mean nothing when they cannot afford the same expenses they did four years ago.

Partisan Political Blame

Overall, Americans are unhappy about the economy. Most blame the Biden-Harris administration for rising inflationary pressures, but there are partisan divides. Sentiment is strongest among Republicans with 84% blaming Biden-Harris as the primary source of economic hardship.

Republicans

Inflation and the economy are top issues for Republicans, along with border security.

• Economic Mismanagement: Republicans view Democratic policies, particularly the American Rescue Plan and Inflation Reduction Act, as directly fueling inflation. They believe these measures injected too much money into the economy, benefiting government and corporate interests at the expense of citizens.
• Support for Trump: 85% of Republican voters intend to vote for Trump, saying his policies manage economic issues more effectively. They often cite pre-COVID quality of life, calling for “America First” policies that reduce government spending.
• Distrust of Government: 55% of Republicans are skeptical that a Harris administration would implement any substantial policy changes. They view the government’s attempts to combat inflation as ineffective or exacerbating.

The dominant tone among Republicans is one of anger and distrust, with many voters convinced that a change in leadership is the only way to address the rising cost of living.

Democrats

Many Democratic voters defend Biden’s economic policies, citing wage growth and job creation, though some acknowledge the ongoing challenges of rising costs.

• Economic Optimism: 25% of Democratic voters highlight Biden-Harris efforts to address inflation, pointing to initiatives like the Inflation Reduction Act and the American Rescue Plan as positive steps. They say inflation is now under control.
• Blaming Trump: 60% blame inflation on Trump’s legacy, specifically citing his tax policies, trade wars, and COVID-19 policies. They view Biden and Harris as working to fix problems inherited from Trump, not creating new ones.
• Frustration Over Jobs: However, 15% are skeptical about whether Biden-Harris initiatives will make lasting improvements. They acknowledge positive job reports but worry about wage growth. Tim Walz in particular is facing state-level criticism for perceived mismanagement.

The Democratic voter base is split between those who defend the administration and those who are frustrated by inflation and stagnating wages. The largest theme is defensiveness, as many say the highest priority is preventing a second Trump term.

Independents

Discussion among Independents is low, but most express disillusionment with both political parties. Many directly blame Democrats, but there is not loss of criticism for Trump as well.

• Economic Frustration: 62% focus on rising costs of living and the strain of inflation on average American families. There is urgency and a call for immediate action to slow skyrocketing prices.
• Kamala Blame: Many Independents criticize Harris for not addressing the inflation crisis effectively in the last four years. They say she mismanaged the economy as well as immigration, which impacts both economic strain and public safety.
• Poor Disaster Response: 25% criticize inequities in government support following Helene and Milton. Many voice discontent over the federal government prioritizing illegal immigrants over American citizens affected natural disasters.

Economic Discontent Drives Votes

With Election Day less than a month away, economic discontent is likely to influence voter behavior. Trump is poised to capitalize on this frustration, especially in swing states where economic concerns are a high priority.

Predictions

• Republican Turnout: Many expect high voter turnout among Republicans, particularly in suburban and rural areas hit hardest by inflation and stagnant wages.
• Few Swing Votes: Independents and moderates, though disillusioned with both parties, may swing Republican if Trump maintains strong economic messaging and Harris continues to fumble media hits.
• Economic Discontent: If Americans continue to feel individually impacted by economic conditions, they are likely to lean further into a change platform. Mixed messaging from Biden and Harris on Harris’s track record and future plans will likely push voters toward Trump.

Christian voter intentions revealed in online discussions are divided. Various religious groups have varying priorities, concerns, and theological underpinnings influencing their desire to vote.

Recent reporting suggests only 51% of “people of faith” plan to vote in the election. MIG Reports analysis indicates some of the reasons for this divide.

NEW—According to new survey data by George Barna, only 51% of “people of faith” plan to vote this November.

TRANSLATION:

- 41 million born-again Christians WILL NOT VOTE
- 32 million mainline Christians WILL NOT VOTE

This is a five-alarm fire.

The local church must be…

— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) October 7, 2024

Christian Voter Issues

While some issues overlap, there are several major concerns across various Christian voter groups.

35% of Christians prioritize abortion and pro-life values

• Christians, particularly evangelicals, rank abortion as one of the most critical moral and political issues.
• Many view it as religious more than political, saying candidate positions on abortion determine their suitability for leadership.
• Pro-life Christians voice their faith as a driving force for voting decisions.
• Approximately 40% of pro-life discussions commit to vote for a pro-life candidate.

30% of Christians prioritize religious freedom and morality

• Christians worry about protecting religious liberties, with a noticeable fear of increasing secularism.
• Many say candidates should defend the rights of religious institutions.
• Around 30% of discussions center on preserving Christian values in public policy.
• Christians view these issues as not both political and theological, tied directly to their biblical interpretations.

20% of Christians prioritize social justice and economic concerns

• Economic issues regarding middle-class and lower-income families drive Christian discussion.
• These voters want candidates who address economic stability, taxation, and social equity.
• About 20% of comments prioritize economic and social concerns in voting decisions.
• Many Christians view economic issues through compassion, particularly when discussing poverty and economic disparities.

25% of Christians prioritize border security

• Immigration is divisive, with 20-30% of comments voicing concerns over government policies.
• Christians who emphasize national identity and family integrity see strict immigration policies as defending Christian values.
• They aim to protect the social fabric and Christian identity of America.

15% of Christians prioritize cultural and moral decline

• Concerns over societal decay, particularly on issues like gender identity and sexual orientation, are critical for many Christians.
• 10-15% focus on the need for candidates to uphold traditional family values, with a strong emphasis on cultural preservation.

10% of Christians prioritize environmental stewardship

• A smaller group discusses environmental stewardship, particularly younger Christians.
• These voters frame their desire for climate-conscious candidates through a theological lens, viewing environmentalism as a biblical responsibility.

Issues Discouraging Voting

40-45% of Christians cite disillusionment with politics

• Many Christians feel neither political party adequately represents their values.
• A feeling of disenfranchisement drives almost half of Christians to abstain from voting.
• Concerns about political corruption and a lack of genuine Christian principles in politics are frequently complaints.

10-15% of Christians cite partisan divides

• Polarization within Christianity, especially between evangelicals and mainline Protestants, contributes to a sense of sadness and resignation.
• These divisions cause frustration over the inability to unite on moral and theological issues.

Trending Sentiments

60-70% voice negative sentiment toward current leadership

• Most Christians express dissatisfaction with the Biden-Harris administration.
• 60-70% of discussions reflect negative sentiments, often using terms like "gaslighting" and accusations of dishonesty.
• These voters view Democrats as advancing policies that undermine Christian values, particularly on issues like abortion and religious freedom.

30% voice hope for a Christian leader

• Despite widespread disillusionment, 30% of Christians say they hope for a leader who aligns with biblical principles.
• There is desire for a leader who represents a more biblically faithful ethos, with many discussions invoking a desire for a “Christian king” figure.

Denominational Perspectives

Evangelicals

• More than half of the discussion is among evangelicals.
• This group focuses on issues like abortion, religious freedom, and traditional family values.
• They vocally support conservative candidates and are more likely to vote, viewing it as a moral obligation.

Mainline Protestants

• This group represents 20-25% of the discussion.
• Protestants are focused on social justice, climate change, and economic inequality.
• While still critical of current leadership, they are often frustrated with hyper-partisanship and seek a broader, more compassionate platform.

Catholics

• 20% of discussion is among Catholics.
• They often have a split perspective, with some emphasizing social justice and others pro-life values.
• They navigate a complicated political space, often considering candidates from both sides based on how well they articulate these issues.

Desire for Biblical Leadership

Most Christians discuss wanting a leader who embodies biblical values, sometimes voicing a desire for a "Christian king" or a leader who reflects Christian ethics and doctrines. This sentiment aligns with a desire to return to “biblical leadership,” which resonates deeply with Christian communities, particularly evangelicals.

Theology and Leadership

Discussions often invoke scriptural justifications for voter desires for a leader who rules in accordance with Christian doctrine. Christians who want a biblically faithful leader tie that idea to a belief that leadership must be guided by God’s law, reflecting both theological and moral commitments.

Social media discussions among Democratic voters reveal a growing divide in support for Harris versus Trump. Conversations contain strong emotional reactions based on personal beliefs and polarized opinions about the country’s future. MIG Reports analysis shows motivations behind Democratic voter preferences, their sentiments towards both candidates, and linguistic patterns characterizing conversations.

What Democrats are Saying

• 60-65% of Democrats are critical of Harris's leadership, particularly on immigration and economic issues.
• 35-40% of Democrats say they’re willing to support Trump, driven by frustration with the current economy and foreign policy.
• Conversations about both candidates are divided and emotionally charged, with strong language expressing support or dissatisfaction.

Support for Kamala Harris

Most Democrats support the Harris-Walz ticket—around 60-65%. These voters voice their intention to vote for Harris in November. Some of the top reasons for support include:

• Tax Policy: 45% of Democrats cite Harris’s tax policies, particularly the Child Tax Credit, as a reason for their backing. They see it as a benefit for middle-class families.
• Policy Alignment: 30% focus on abortion and DEI. Her stance on progressive issues resonates with this segment of the Democratic base.
• Party Loyalty: 25% express their loyalty to the Democratic Party, citing lifelong affiliation as their reason for supporting Harris-Walz.
• Experience: 15-25% value her experience as Vice President, viewing her as competent and capable of leading.

Support for Donald Trump

Despite his Republican affiliation, MIG Reports data suggests Donald Trump may gain votes from around 35-40% of Democratic voters. This contrasts sharply with only 15% of Republicans who say they would vote for Harris. The reasons voters cite in conversation include:

• Economic Policies: Of the 35-40% of Democrats willing to vote Trump, half emphasize his tax cuts and pro-business policies. They credit him with fostering economic stability.
• National Security: 30% of Democratic Trump supporters cite his stance on border security as a major factor driving their decision.
• Frustration with Harris: 20% crossing the aisle say they're unhappy with Biden-Harris policies on immigration and disaster response for Helene and Milton.

Sentiment and Emotional Tone

Harris Negativity

• Harris has majority support within her Party, but still faces significant criticism.
• A drastic 70% of Harris-related discussions include negative comments about her policies and leadership.
• The most frequent critiques mention her track record on immigration and a lack of competence as Vice President.
• Democrats use terms like “incompetence” and “disgrace” in Harris conversations.

Trump Polarization

• Discussion about Trump is divided, with 60% of comments positively noting his economic policies.
• 40% of Democrats talking about Trump are sharply critical of his past controversies and behavior.
• Trump supporters view him as a strong leader who can restore order, while detractors focus on his polarizing rhetoric and failures.

Swing States

In critical swing states, patterns are similar to national Democratic sentiment. Harris generally receives more support than Trump, but there is some variability compared to national trends.

Harris Support

In swing states, Harris's support varies more significantly, with Democratic approval swinging wildly between 30% and 70%.

• Reasons for support are largely consistent, mentioning social issues, tax policies, and her experience as VP.
• However, the intensity of this support fluctuates more among swing state voters.
• This variability likely reflects the more competitive nature of these states, where voters may feel less firmly aligned along party lines.

Trump Support

Trump gains higher support in some swing states. Some reports show up to 55% of early voting favoring Trump.

• Higher Trump support reveals heightened dissatisfaction with Democratic leaders on immigration and economic issues.
• Trump supporters in swing states cite his strength on national security and economic policies.
• Democratic support is likely strongest in these battleground areas compared to national support, which is dampened by deeply blue areas.

Similarities

Across both national and swing state discussions, the reasons for supporting each candidate remain consistent. Democrats like Harris for her social policies and progressive stances. But Trump gets mentioned for his economic policies and tough foreign policy. Voters nationwide express dissatisfaction with the Biden-Harris administration, particularly on immigration and disaster response.

Biggest Differences

The major difference is the level of support for each candidate. In swing states, Democrats may be more willing to cross party lines. Harris’s support indicates greater variability, suggesting she hasn’t locked in her entire base.

Trump’s support is significantly higher in some swing states, likely due to economic stressors in middle class populations and border states frustrated about immigration. Disparities underscore the unpredictable dynamics of this election, where voter sentiment is difficult to pin down and political allegiance is less fixed than in prior years.

Discussions among Republicans on social media provides insights into their voting preferences—and clear trends toward Trump. Through affirmative first-person language, reasons for candidate support, trending discussion topics, and linguistic patterns, analysis breaks down voter likelihood in the GOP.

Less than a month away from election day, Republicans overwhelmingly support Trump, and Harris gains minimal, largely negative attention from never-Trumpers. MIG Reports data echoes NYT-Sienna polling indicating only 9% of Republicans plan to vote for Harris.

What Voters are Saying

MIG Reports data shows:

• 85% of Republican voters express affirmative support for Donald Trump.
• 15% voice support for Kamala Harris.
• 75-90% of posts mentioning Trump voice optimism about his return to office.
• 80-85% of discussions regarding Harris are negative, critiquing her policies and performance.

This data suggests, despite his polarizing image and some establishment Republicans and RINOs voicing never-Trump sentiments, most Republicans plan to vote Trump. It also undermines mainstream media and Democratic narratives suggesting Republicans are so frustrated with Trump, they’re crossing the aisle.

New Kamala ad airing in Pennsylvania depicts a "lifelong Republican," and "former Trump voter" grilling on a Blackstone, professing his newfound support for Kamala Harris.

Only one problem: he never voted for Trump in a general election. pic.twitter.com/5Wg1jAwqKp

— johnny maga (@_johnnymaga) October 4, 2024

Anti-Trump Republicans Vote Harris

Republican discussions prominently feature affirmative, first-person language confirming support for Donald Trump. They say things like, "I’m already voting for Trump" and "Trump is the only one who can fix this country." This shows a high level of personal commitment among GOP voters who believe in his leadership and vision for America.

Discussions about Kamala Harris rarely include direct affirmations of support. When voter mention her, it is often in a cautious tone, with statements like “I’ll vote for Harris just to stop Trump.” This suggests Democratic support from Republicans is driven by animosity toward Trump or the MAGA coalition.

Reasons for Voting Preferences

• Republicans say they support Trump for his economic record, with 65% referencing the lower unemployment rates and market stability during his administration.
• Immigration and national security are also significant support drivers. Voters view Trump's stricter border control policies as critical.
• Trump's combative stance against the establishment and mainstream media, seen as corrupt by many on the right, adds to his appeal.
• Harris supporters focus may mention social justice and abortion, but their support is driven by opposition to Trump rather than endorsement for Harris.

Discussion Trends and Sentiment

• 75-90% of discussions express confidence in Trump's ability to restore America. People mention “restoring order” and “fixing the mess.”
• 80-85% of Harris discussions are negative, criticizing her as incompetent—especially on immigration and disaster response.

Linguistic Patterns

Linguistic analysis reveals distinct patterns in the way voters discuss Trump and Harris.

• Trump supporters use highly emotive and assertive language, framing the election as a “battle” for America’s future.
• They use words like “betrayed,” “destroyed,” and “warrior” convey a strong sense of urgency and personal investment in the outcome.
• Harris voters in the GOP have a hesitant tone, where support is often expressed in defensive terms or framed as a necessary opposition to Trump.

Conclusion

The narrative emerging from Republican social media discussions shows strong loyalty and commitment to Trump. Support is driven by his track record on economic management, national security, and his anti-establishment stance.

While Kamala Harris garners some support, it is largely from never-Trumpers rather than supporters who appreciate her policies or leadership. The highly polarized nature of the language used to discuss these candidates reflects partisan ideological divides shaping the 2024 election.

A recent declaration by the National Health Institute (NIH) admitted fluoride exposure reduces children’s IQ, sparking public discussion. MIG Reports analysis shows concern over the health risks associated with fluoride, while skepticism regarding the findings also shapes the conversation. Though a smaller group is outright dismissive of the NIH’s conclusions, reactions generally reveal societal anxieties about health and institutional trust.

The government put fluoride in our water and attacked anyone who questioned it.

Now - the NIH (after major pressure) has declared it “reduces the IQ of children” and is “hazardous to human health” - and states are removing it from water.

This is under-covered news.

— Calley Means (@calleymeans) October 8, 2024

What Americans are Saying

MIG Reports data shows:

• 47.5% of the conversation centers on health concerns, with alarm about the implications of fluoride exposure on children’s cognitive development.

Worried Americans use emotional language, often referring to fluoride as a threat which experts and leaders have hidden. Voters emphasize the need for increased transparency and a reevaluation of the water supply, tying their concerns to broader distrust in governmental health institutions.

• 12.5% supports raising awareness about the potential dangers of fluoride exposure.

These voices urge further research and advocacy, pushing for policy changes, perhaps under the guidance of RFK Jr. in a second Trump administration—to protect children’s health. They emphasize a proactive approach, seeing this as an opportunity to address long-standing concerns about fluoride and promoting alternative measures for MAHA (make America healthy again).

• 30% of the discussion voices skepticism of the research itself.

This group questions the reliability of the NIH’s findings, with many suggesting the announcement may be politically motivated or part of a larger agenda. The language in these comments often references past public health controversies, such as vaccines. They say the fluoride debate fits into a broader narrative of eroding trust in scientific and government authorities.

• 10% of the commentary is dismissive of the revelation.

Uninterested voters either downplay the significance of the findings or outright reject them as sensationalism. They frame the NIH’s declaration as exaggerated, saying the risks of fluoride have been overstated for attention or ulterior motives.

American reactions to the federal government’s disaster response after Hurricane Helene continues to be sharply negative. Now, with Hurricane Milton destruction, opinions of VP Harris and DHS Secretary Mayorkas are overwhelmingly negative. Voters distaste for their leadership, disaster preparedness, and resource allocation.

Many are criticizing Mayorkas for his unwillingness to respond to criticisms that he was attending an award ceremony while natural disasters were ongoing for citizens.

Mayorkas put on the spot 💥

CNN host: As Hurricane Helene was making landfall, Biden was at the beach, Kamala was flying between ritzy California fundraisers, and you were at an awards ceremony in Los Angeles. How do you respond to these allegations?pic.twitter.com/eJB1O6uNsb

— Defiant L’s (@DefiantLs) October 9, 2024

There are also reports criticizing Mayorkas, Biden, and Harris for shopping, lounging on the beach, and toasting a beer on The Late Show amid serious safety threats and destruction after Helene and before Milton

This is where your President, Vice President, and DHS Secretary were as Americans were drowning from Hurricane Helene & fleeing for their lives from Hurricane Milton. pic.twitter.com/sg8nqzLnfN

— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) October 9, 2024

What Voters are Saying

• 77% of voters voice strong negative sentiment toward leadership and their response to disaster relief.
• 90% of Republicans drive the discussion, expressing negativity about disaster response and preparedness.
• 81% express dissatisfaction with Mayorkas, often calling him incompetent.
• There is widespread frustration regarding FEMA funds and resources being directed toward illegal immigrants.
• Americans make accusations negligence and callous responses to disaster recovery efforts.
• Many also voice distrust in media reporting and election impacts for voters in disaster zones.

Political Criticism

Public sentiment about federal leadership during natural disasters is highly polarized. Discussions heavily focus on accusations that the current administration has mismanaged disaster recovery efforts. There is frustration among citizens who feel the federal response has been both inadequate and insulting.

Many directly compare the actions of the Biden administration unfavorably to those of previous leadership, particularly former President Trump, and express a desire for a change in leadership.

Mayorkas Incompetence

Americans are harsh in discussions about Secretary Mayorkas. They criticize his actions and decisions regarding FEMA and disaster relief but do not limit their criticism, also mentioning his failures on border security.

People describe Mayorkas’s leadership as "criminally incompetent," with public outcry calling for accountability by his impeachment or resignation. This criticism is exacerbated by reports that FEMA has billions in unspent disaster relief funds, despite his public claims of shortages.

This topic has resonated strongly with 80% of working-class voices, particularly those already burdened by economic hardships who feel neglected by federal aid. The language used in these discussions—terms like "betrayal" and "dishonesty"—illustrates a profound sense of abandonment by the government during times of crisis.

Mismanaged Funds and Negligence

Discussions around funding accuse FEMA of negligence and even animosity toward natural disaster victims. People criticize the federal government for its failure to help citizens, preferring to focus on “misinformation” and the comfort of FEMA workers.

Despite obstructing relief efforts, @FEMA’s Criswell says criticizing her agency is “dangerous”:

“It has a tremendous impact on the comfort level of our own employees … When you have this dangerous rhetoric like you’re hearing, it creates fear in our own employees” pic.twitter.com/ProJObu7fc

— Tom Elliott (@tomselliott) October 6, 2024

Funding discussions are saturated with criticism of FEMA for directing resources towards illegal immigrants at the expense of disaster preparedness. These criticisms are particularly poignant among rural residents, who feel that disaster recovery resources are disproportionately directed toward urban areas. They feel they’re being left to fend for themselves.