Michael Cohen, former personal attorney and fixer for Donald Trump, has been a controversial figure. After pleading guilty to charges including campaign finance violations, tax fraud, and bank fraud, many Americans view him with skepticism. His testimony in cases related to Trump has further cemented his divisive perception.

Once a loyal attorney to Donald Trump, Cohen turned into a significant adversary after pleading guilty to several charges, including campaign finance violations linked to hush money payments. His credibility is one of the top issues voters cite as a reason for disliking him.

While his testimony could provide critical insights into Trump's alleged misconduct, the polarized political climate means reactions are likely to split along partisan lines. Democrats might view his testimony as crucial and validating their concerns about Trump. Republicans might view Cohen as a disgruntled former employee leveraging legal troubles to reduce his own penalties.

• Sentiment toward Trump on his legal challenges has remained steady in the last two weeks both nationally and in swing states. However, sentiment is slightly higher nationally.
• Approval towards Trump on allegations by Cohen and others remains in the high 40% range nationally. In swing states, sentiment on allegations dipped as low as 31% in the last two weeks.

Partisan Views Hold Strong

Trump Supporters

Among staunch Trump supporters, Cohen is seen as a betrayer, someone who turned against Trump to save himself. This group dismisses his testimony as self-serving and unreliable. They focus more on perceived injustices against Trump and the idea of a judicial system is being weaponized against him.

Conservatives and Trump supporters largely view Cohen as unreliable and motivated by personal grievances or a desire for revenge. They are likely to view his testimony as another episode in a politically motivated attack orchestrated by Democrats and the media.

Democrats and Anti-Trumpers

Voters critical of Trump are more likely to view Cohen's testimony as a confirmation of suspected illegal activities and unethical behavior. They consider Cohen's insights legitimate, especially if they align with other evidence. Even if they don’t find Cohen personally credible, they’re more willing to believe allegations against Trump.

This group tends to consider Cohen's insider knowledge and detailed accounts of the alleged hush money arrangements as crucial evidence of wrongdoing by Trump. They view Cohen more favorably, seeing his testimony as a form of accountability.

Independents and the Apolitical

Moderate reactions can be pivotal. Their view on Cohen's testimony might hinge on the overall narrative presented during the trial, the corroborative evidence, and how both parties frame the testimony. The impact on this demographic is less predictable and could sway based on the trial's proceedings and media portrayal.

Overall, Cohen's testimony may impact public opinion significantly, even as it remains polarized. For many, it reinforces existing beliefs about Trump's unsuitability for office. Others underscore beliefs about a biased legal system targeting conservative figures. The ultimate influence on electoral politics will depend on developments in the legal case and how both parties leverage this issue in their narratives.

Skepticism Toward Michael Cohen

Among those who view Cohen with suspicion and distrust, there are several arguments against his credibility.

Criminal Convictions

Cohen’s guilty plea on multiple charges, including lying to Congress, directly impacts his public image. His admitted dishonesty in legal matters leads many to question the truthfulness of his statements against Trump and others.

Motivations for Testifying

Skeptics argue Cohen turning against Trump was motivated by personal vendettas or a strategic move to reduce his sentence rather than a genuine attempt to expose wrongdoing.

Inconsistencies in Statements

Changes in Cohen’s statements before and after his legal troubles have led to doubts about his consistency and honesty. Critics point to these shifts as evidence his testimony is tailored to protect himself or inflict damage on Trump.

Media and Public Persona

Cohen's frequent media appearances and publication of a book about his experiences with Trump are seen by some as attempts to profit from the scandal. This commercialization of his insider knowledge casts doubts on his intentions.

The Department of Labor’s May Jobless Claims report revealed the highest level of jobless claims since August 2023. This news has triggered a broad spectrum of reactions and discussions across different demographic groups and political affiliations. MIG Reports analysis of the conversations highlight varying levels of confidence in political leadership. There is a pronounced contrast between supporter for President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.

Demographic Patterns

Younger demographics, especially those active on platforms like X (Twitter), tend to respond with a mix of concern and criticism toward Biden’s economic policies. Older demographics and those in traditional industries or unionized sectors also express significant concern over job security and the impacts of regulatory changes. Across multiple demographics, there is a direct interest in the government policies affecting job stability.

Discussion Trends and Patterns

Critics of the Biden administration argue that policy failures and mismanagement are to blame for the rise in jobless claims. For example, a conversation involving Senator Joe Manchin and Acting Secretary Julie Su about the NLRB’s joint employer rule illustrates concerns that current labor policies might be contributing to job losses.

Senator Manchin's questioning of Secretary Su, and her inability to provide data on job losses, has fueled further criticism and speculation about the administration's transparency and competency in handling labor issues.

On the other hand, Biden supporters argue external factors such as global economic slowdowns or ongoing adjustments from COVID are to blame. They downplay policy missteps and initiatives as a cause. However, these voices are less prominent in the conversation, suggesting either a quieter support base or a shift in public confidence. Many voters indicate a deep mistrust in the current administration, linking job losses to broader accusations of deception and mismanagement.

Confidence in Biden vs. Trump

Confidence levels in President Biden appear to be waning among many voter groups, especially in conjunction with the jobless claims report. Online discussions suggest a longing for the economic policies under former President Trump. Many seem to view the Trump era as more favorable to job creation and economic stability.

The comparison between Biden and Trump in handling the economy is a recurring theme. Many Americans are expressing nostalgia for the "pre-Biden" economic conditions.

Former President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago classified documents case was indefinitely delayed on May 7. MIG Reports analysis of voter reactions shows a primarily positive response for Trump. This decision will likely evoke partisan sentiments among the public and influence their confidence in both the legal system and Trump himself.

What’s Increasing Sentiment Toward Trump

Trump's supporters likely view the delay as a vindication or sign the case against him is weak or politically motivated. Such a perception could solidify their support and even increase their mobilization and vocal defense of Trump.

Some supporters may interpret the entire case, along with others, as evidence of a "deep state" or corrupt legal system trying to undermine Trump, which can paradoxically increase their trust in him as an outsider fighting against a biased establishment. Any good news for Trump seems to make this group feel justified in their views.

For those less politically aligned with Trump, the delay might sow confusion and lead to a lack of confidence in the judicial process. This group might grow more sympathetic towards Trump, seeing him possibly as a target of unfair treatment.

Decreasing Sentiment Among Trump’s Critics

Those who oppose Trump might view the delay as a failure of the legal system to hold powerful figures accountable, leading to increased frustration and decreased faith in the judicial process to effectively manage and resolve such high-profile cases.

A delay can deflate the hopes of those seeking closure or a definitive ruling against Trump, potentially demoralizing this bloc and reducing their engagement with the case.

Neutral or Mixed Reactions

Some experts and legal commentators offer more measured takes, suggesting the indefinite delay is part of complex legal strategies or standard procedural developments. They argue it might not sway public opinion drastically in either direction but could influence the more informed sections of the electorate.

Detailed analysis and discussions about the potential legal reasons behind the delay (e.g., gathering more evidence, procedural issues) might keep public interest alive but with a focus shifted more toward the legal intricacies rather than direct sentiment towards Trump.

Broader Implications

The delay might become a talking point in broader political discourse, influencing upcoming elections, with parties using it to galvanize their bases or criticize the opposition.

Extensive media coverage, depending on its slant, can significantly sway public sentiment by framing the delay as either justified or as a miscarriage of justice. The delay may also lead to waning public attention as other news stories or events take precedence, potentially diminishing the immediate impact of the case against Trump over time.

Recently, Representative Maxine Waters caused controversy during an interview where she stated:

“I want to know about all of those right-wing organizations that [Trump] is connected with who are training up in the hills somewhere and targeting what communities they are going to attack. We need to know now, given that he is telling us there is going to be violence if he loses.”

MIG Reports analysis of reactions to Waters' comments show a visceral emotional response across social media platforms. Based on the conversations, it is clear her comments have incited a mixture of outrage, mockery, and disbelief among critics. Those who identify as Trump supporters or are especially critical of Waters and the Democratic Party.

Accusations of Hypocrisy and Deflection

Many voters suggest Waters' remarks are hypocritical or a deflection from other issues. Critics argue the Democratic Party, including figures like Joe Biden, is also guilty of incendiary or irresponsible behavior. For instance, some point to Democrats' actions during the Derek Chauvin trial or the handling of campaign donations from controversial figures as examples of hypocrisy.

Dismissal of the Claim as Absurd

A significant number of responses ridicule Waters' statement as absurd or detached from reality. Americans argue the idea of Trump supporters organizing violent uprisings is a baseless conspiracy theory. They contrast this image with their perceived reality of ordinary Americans who are busy with daily responsibilities like work and family care.

Allegations of Fearmongering and Division

Some users accuse Waters of fearmongering, suggesting her comments are intended to stoke fear and division among the electorate. This perspective asserts that by portraying Trump supporters as a looming violent threat, Waters exacerbates political polarization and distracts from substantive policy discussions.

Frustration with Congressional Conduct

There is also a broader critique of the behavior of members of Congress, with Waters cited as an example of what some see as a decline in the quality and decorum of congressional leadership. Voters express frustration with what is perceived as careless or irresponsible rhetoric from elected officials, which they argue undermines the integrity of political discourse.

Defensive Responses

In defense of Trump supporters, some emphasize their normalcy and reject the characterization that they're extremists. This defense often includes portraying Trump supporters as hard-working, family-oriented citizens, implicitly countering the notion that they would participate in anti-government activities.

• In the last two days, discussion about Rep. Waters has significantly increased, reaching 250 mentions where she typically receives less than 10.
• Sentiment towards Rep. Waters also dropped, dipping to 45% from her typical 50%.

MIG Reports analysis of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ “Employment Situation Summary,” known as the jobs report, reveals American sentiment is predominantly negative. Many stakeholders and observers are describing the job numbers as "horrible," "not strong," and indicative of a struggling economy. This is no surprise after skepticism around previous jobs reports this year.

Notably, there are concerns about the authenticity and impact of the reported job numbers. While there are some optimistic takes regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could boost the stock market, the overall sentiment leans toward concern and dissatisfaction with the current state of job creation.

What Americans Are Saying

• Credibility of Job Numbers: There is a notable discussion about the authenticity and reliability of the job numbers released. Some question the methods and political influences behind these report figures.
• Political Impact: The reactions are heavily polarized along political lines, with figures like Donald Trump and Nancy Pelosi’s comments on MSBNC featuring in discussions about job loss records and economic performance.
• Economic Policies: Legislation like the CHIPS Act and Inflation Reduction Act are mentioned in the context of their supposed impact on job creation, with differing views on their effectiveness.
• Interest Rates and Stock Market: There's a recurring theme about how bad job numbers might lead to lower interest rates, which could paradoxically benefit the stock market.

Public Confidence in the Numbers

The belief in the accuracy of the job numbers is mixed. Some commentators and political figures express stark criticism and disbelief regarding the reported job statistics, attributing them to political maneuvering. Meanwhile, others accept them at face value but interpret them as signs of poor economic management.

Online discussions indicate a significant trust gap between the public and the institutions reporting these numbers, with political affiliation appearing to influence perceptions significantly. This could lead to continued uncertainty and polarized opinions about the state of the economy as summer 2024 approaches.

This distrust is evident in a recent tweet from Joe Biden which drew heavy criticism in replies and quote tweets, a social media phenomenon known as getting “ratioed.” The President’s post had significantly fewer likes than comments, indicating a ratio and negative reception.

Wages are rising faster than prices, incomes are higher than before the pandemic, and unemployment has remained below 4% for the longest stretch in 50 years.

We have more to do to lower costs for hardworking families, but we’re making real progress.

— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) May 5, 2024

Forecast for Summer 2024

Given the prevailing negative sentiment and skepticism about the job numbers, the public mood going into the summer of 2024 could be cautious, if not pessimistic, unless there are significant and tangible improvements in job creation and economic indicators.

Voters will likely remain skeptical about Bidne’s economic policies and their effectiveness in addressing unemployment and job quality. As jobs and the economy continue to be a very high priority issues for Americans, sentiment on this front could tangibly impact voter decisions in the fall.

The reactions to Judge Juan Merchan holding former President Trump in contempt for violating a gag order doesn’t seem to sway voter opinions about the court case or Trump as a 2024 presidential candidate. Those who support Trump and view the trial as politicized continue to do so. And those who believe Trump should be punished for his actions feel Judge Merchan’s actions are justified.

Republicans and conservatives express outrage and skepticism at the contempt ruling. They view special counsel Jack Smith as a political hitman and believe the case is politically motivated. Many also believe Trump is being unjustly persecuted and are calling for investigations into the individuals they perceive to be orchestrating this persecution.

Democrats and anti-Trump Republicans are more likely to believe Trump has violated the gag order and should be held accountable for his actions. These voters are likely to be generally critical of Trump's presidency and his future election prospects. They argue no one is above the law, including former presidents, and Trump should face the consequences of his actions.

Liberals tend to believe Trump represents a threat to democracy and accuse him of aspiring to dictatorship. This group often cites various investigations and legal actions against Trump as evidence of his supposed criminal behavior.

The fact that Trump is being prosecuted for multiple crimes indicates to anti-Trump voters that he is guilty. Meanwhile, the same evidence is viewed by Trump supporters, not as a sign that Trump is guilty, but rather that the cases are politically motivated.

Some moderate voters hold skepticism towards both sides, questioning the motivations and actions of all involved. These individuals express frustration at the perceived political theater and call for more focus on issues that directly affect the American people.

There are also Democrats who express concern about the potential impact of protests and contempt charges on the upcoming election. They worry court rulings or convictions could lead to a backlash among certain voter groups, ultimately helping Trump in his re-election bid.

• Donald Trump being held in contempt by Judge Merchan has not significantly impacted his approval, dropping only one point nationally and in swing states.
• Sentiment towards Trump’s legal issues also dropped slightly, indicating some voters may feel unhappy with the proceedings.

Fear of Trump Being Re-elected

Democrats and anti-Trump Republicans are more likely to view the contempt charge as a clear sign of Trump's disregard for the law and the Constitution. Some liberals argue the former president is attempting to establish a dictatorship, undermine democracy, and escape accountability for alleged criminal activities. They express fear that if Trump were to be re-elected, he would terminate the Constitution and establish authoritarian rule.

Concern Over Judicial Norms

The reaction of many legal professionals and experts has placed focus on the implications of a former president being held in contempt. These experts argue the issue is less about Trump as an individual and more about the precedent it sets for future interactions between the judiciary and the executive branch. Many legal minds contrast allegations against Trump with allegations against Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, and Bill Clinton, pointing out that political norms have historically prevented prosecuting political figures.

Critics of Trump argue the Trump prosecutions are justified and fair. They insist Trump's posts on social media could potentially influence the jury and witnesses. They applaud the judge's decision to hold Trump in contempt, arguing his conduct, rather than the tail itself, breaks norms. Some express hope this ruling could lead to further legal consequences for Trump, including potential jail time.

Free Speech Worries

Many are also framing the contempt charge as a free speech violation. They say the former president should be able to express his views without interference. This group believes the gag order is an example of judicial overreach and call for the fines to be returned.

Some argue the actions of Judge Merchan are part of a broader conspiracy to undermine Trump and his campaign. They have also expressed concern that the gag order extends to Trump's campaign, which they see as an infringement on political speech. There are repeated concerns that political actors are attempting to influence the election by silencing Trump and the American people have a right to hear from Trump himself.

There are also reactions that do not neatly fit into the pro-Trump or anti-Trump categories. Some voters say the issue is not as much about free speech as it is about the right to a fair trial. Others have expressed concern about the potential implications of the ruling for future cases. They say it could set a dangerous precedent for limiting free speech in the context of legal proceedings.

Joe Biden's plan to effectively ban coal power plants is a contentious issue for Americans. MIG Reports analysis shows voter opinions on this matter are largely influenced by their beliefs about energy production, energy costs, and the environment. Additionally, it seems many Americans remain unaware of the ramifications of Biden’s unilateral action, given international conflict dominating social media and news coverage.

Online discussions which favor Biden's plan frame it as a necessary step towards sustainability and combating climate change. Those who hold this view often highlight the benefits of green energy, such as solar and wind power, in terms of its environmental impact and potential cost savings. They advocate for continuing to develop renewable energy technologies and infrastructure. They also express optimism about the potential for these sources to replace traditional fossil fuels.

Many others oppose Biden's coal regulation plan, often citing concerns about its impact on the economy and energy costs. This group frequently points to the role of fossil fuels in supporting American energy independence, as well as the jobs and economic activity generated by the oil and gas industry. They express concerns about the potential for green energy technologies to drive up energy costs, often arguing for a more balanced approach that includes both renewable and traditional energy sources.

There is also a group expressing skepticism of the green energy movement, viewing it as a political agenda rather than a practical solution to energy and environmental challenges. They argue the push for green energy overlooks its environmental impact and the cost of producing and disposing of renewable energy technologies, such as solar panels and wind turbines.

Energy Production

There seems to be a divide in which some push for aggressive measures to tackle climate change. Others voice concerns about potential economic implications and energy costs. A considerable number of Americans are calling for the expansion of nuclear power plants, asserting they are the most feasible solution to meet the country's energy demands while reducing carbon emissions. Many are hopeful toward Jigar Shah, the director of the U.S. Energy Department’s Loan Programs Office, highlighting the possibility of reactivating dormant nuclear power plants.

Simultaneously, there is vehement opposition to fracking due to its alleged environmental impact. Some voters criticize New York Governor Kathy Hochul for considering its use. Various people point out the irony of politicians celebrating natural parks while supporting fracking.

Despite this, there are voices of skepticism regarding the feasibility and environmental implications of renewable energy sources. Some claim renewable energy production is insufficient to meet the country's energy and fuel needs, arguing that nuclear power and natural gas are more reliable alternatives.

Recent viral reporting on Biden's proposed tax hikes has generated heated criticism and outrage online. Some say the proposed capital gains tax increase to 44.6% and an unrealized gains tax of 25% will predominantly affect the wealthy. Supporters insist the wealthy deserve to pay their “fair share.” Critics argue high earners already pay a significant portion of total taxes. Many also say the government should focus more on reducing its spending rather than increasing taxation.

Opposition to Unrealized Gains Tax

Discussions have ensued particularly about the proposed unrealized gains tax. This tax would be levied on any increase in value of an asset, even if it has not yet been sold. For example, if a person buys a stock for $100 and it increases in value to $150, they will have an unrealized gain of $50. Currently, Americans are not taxed on this gain until they sell the stock. Taxing unrealized gains is highly controversial, with opponents arguing it would be unfair and would cause financial hardships for people who have seen their assets increase in value but do not have the cash on hand to pay a tax on the gain.

The severe negative sentiment towards an unrealized gains tax is expressed in tweets like one from venture capitalist David Sacks. Many voters who align with this thinking say Biden’s proposed tax increase will destroy American taxpayers and business owners.

Let’s say you build a business from scratch and qualify for Biden’s new 25% unrealized gains tax. So you have to sell 25% of your business to pay the tax. But now you have to pay 44.6% cap gains + 13.3% CA on that. So you actually have to sell ~37%. Is this right?

— David Sacks (@DavidSacks) April 25, 2024

Another argument against taxing unrealized gains suggests it’s unfair because it requires taxpayers to pay taxes on income they haven’t received. Voters talk about the idea of a tax on unrealized gains as outright theft.

Most Americans seem to believe that Biden’s tax hikes would lead to negative economic consequences. They say it would force reduced investment and economic growth, discouraging entrepreneurship, which would harm the economy.

• Following 2024 Tax Day, sentiment toward taxes started to decline, falling from 48% on April 14 to 46% on the 15th and 44% 10 days later.
• Americans are also increasingly negative on the economy, with sentiment sinking to 42% following news about Biden’s proposed tax plans.

Many voters also discuss their belief that taxes are being misused by the government. They complain that money gets spent on things they disagree with or is not being distributed fairly. Two recent issues Americans complain are a misuse of tax dollars are illegal immigrant support and foreign aid.

Voter Group Reactions

Wealthy Americans who would be directly impacted by the new tax policies are most likely voice negativity about Biden’s plan. They argue it would deter investment and prevent doing business. They say it’s effectively double taxation since capital gains are often derived from income that has already been taxed.

Some small business owners who have assets but are not extremely wealthy also disapprove of the proposal. They express concerns that, even if they don’t reach the affected tax backet, it could indirectly impact their businesses if wealthy consumers and investors cut back on spending and investment.

Republican voters of all economic classes are also generally opposed to the tax hike. They say higher taxes will hurt economic growth, regardless of who is personally affected. They also argue it would penalize success and discourage entrepreneurship.

Democratic voters are generally supportive of the tax increase. However, some moderate Democrats have expressed concern about the potential impact on business and economic growth.

Many people online also point out that Biden’s proposal, if implemented, would impose the highest capital gains tax rate in history. They also highlight the fact that Jimmy Carter, who also proposed increased capital gains taxes, suffered politically.

Biden is proposing a 44.6% capital gains tax, the highest ever, previously set by Jimmy Carter.

Here's how that worked out for Jimmy Carter: pic.twitter.com/UFiiPl6Skb

— Joe Consorti ⚡ (@JoeConsorti) April 24, 2024

Democrats and Lower Economic Classes are in Favor

Biden defenders are generally more supportive of the tax hike, viewing it as a way to address income inequality. They argue the wealthy should pay more taxes and be prevented from monopolizing wealth. They say the additional revenue could be used to fund programs that benefit lower income individuals, such as education and healthcare.

Progressive voters and lower income Americans often push back against online complaints about higher taxes, claiming many who are complaining are not wealthy enough to be affected. They argue the rich benefit disproportionately from economic growth and should therefore contribute more in taxes.

MIG Reports analysis clearly shows a potential TikTok ban in the United States is opposed by most voters. This majority views a ban as an infringement on their freedom of speech, a fundamental right in the United States.

Many voters express concern over government overreach and censorship. They argue their voices are being silenced and their ability to express themselves freely is being limited. This sentiment is particularly strong among younger Americans, who are more likely to use TikTok and other social media platforms as a form of expression and communication.

Many view the potential ban as an assault on their First Amendment rights, arguing the government is trying to control or limit platforms it has no right to restrict. They express concern about the suppression of voices, elimination of income streams, and potentially silencing certain opinions. They say without platforms like TikTok, an array of voices may not be heard.

Freedom of Speech Arguments

The concept of freedom of speech appears to be particularly important to younger Americans. They view TikTok as a platform for self-expression and community building. These users often refer to the app as a space that allows uncensored speech and promotes diversity. They fear a ban would be unnecessary and counterproductive.

There is a small contingent, mostly older voters, who support the ban. They frequently cite national security concerns. This group argues the Chinese-owned app is a risk to the United States and its citizens. Some also say big tech companies being regulated by the government is not a free speech issue. However, this sentiment is less prevalent and is mainly found among older Americans.

Arguments also spark debates about freedom of speech versus hate speech. Some say freedom of speech should not be used as a cover to promote hate or discrimination. This sentiment is seen across various age groups and political affiliations.

Gen Z and Other Digital Natives

Among younger demographics, regardless of political affiliation, opinions are largely negative towards the ban. Younger Americans view TikTok as a source of entertainment, self-expression, and even income.

This group often blames both the Trump and Biden administrations for the proposed ban, often using humor and sarcasm in their comments. They also express concern over the government's control over social media platforms.

Other Discussions About TikTok

General sentiment toward the idea of banning TikTok in the United States appears to be divided along political and generational lines. Beyond free speech and government censorship, people are discussing security, social issues, and the modern community.

National Security

Some conservative or older voters insist a ban is necessary due to concerns over national security and data privacy. They argue TikTok and its Chinese parent company ByteDance, share sensitive user data with the Chinese government.

Anti-Woke Sentiment

A significant number of voters express anti-woke sentiments, a term often used to criticize perceived political correctness or progressive social ideologies. These users voice disdain for what they perceive as liberal or “left: bias on social media platforms, including TikTok.

Anti-Racism

More liberal or progressive voters say they use TikTok as a platform to promote anti-racist sentiments and ideas. They argue banning TikTok would suppress these important conversations and movements.

Entertainment and Community

For many younger users, TikTok is primarily a source of entertainment and community. These Americans often express frustration at the potential ban, viewing it as an unnecessary restriction on their leisure activities and social interactions.