MIG Reports analysis shows parents discussing school in swing states fear for their children’s education and safety. An unsettling theme emerges as voters grapple with the state of public education and social issues. Parents are actively engaging in debates about their children's education, with significant emphasis on school choice, curriculum content, and safety concerns.

School Choice and CRT

Approximately 40% of parents advocate for educational freedom and school choice, arguing it provides better opportunities for their children. This is a particular desire in underperforming districts. Parents are proactive in their desire to escape the growing inadequacies of the public school system. They largely favor alternatives like charter schools or school vouchers.

On a national scale, there are strong opinions on curriculum content—particularly when it comes to Critical Race Theory (CRT). Nationally, about 45% of parents support bans on CRT, fearing it creates division among students. Meanwhile, 35% oppose bans, arguing they would restrict essential discussions on race and social justice.

National sentiments align with concerns from swing state parents, where approximately 30% worry about the politicization of school curricula. In these states, the discussion is also focused on CRT and LGBTQ issues.

Achievement Gaps are a Paramount Concern

Safety concerns also feature prominently in these discussions. In swing states, about 60% of parents express anxiety over the adequacy of safety measures in schools. They especially discuss safety in the context of ongoing health concerns post-COVID.

Parental worries are not primarily around potential illnesses, but the educational and social impact of health policies on children. This worry is also present in national conversations, underscoring American families’ concern over physical safety and the emotional well-being of children.

A November 2020 report from Fairfax County Public Schools showed students were severely impacted by COVID measures. And more recent studies continue to show that the damage of COVID measures to students is not a short-term issue.

• Student performance has continued to struggle, still not recovering from 2020’s disastrous metrics now, four years later.
• Speech delays, academic achievement gaps, and other developmental impacts are still haunting school children in 2024.

Since the COVID pandemic, there's been an increase in the number of young children who have been slow to develop language skills, with pediatric speech delays more than doubling for children aged 12 and younger.@zschultzWPT reports. pic.twitter.com/CkJ2ZtNVNB

— PBS News (@NewsHour) January 7, 2024

The discourse in swing states, supported by national sentiments, shows parents are focused both on immediate educational choices and the broader implications of these choices on their children's future.

The active and passionate voices in these discussions underscore the determination of parents to influence educational policies that align with their values. Parents are determined to ensure safety and promote a balanced, effective curriculum.

MIG Reports analysis of discourse prior to Labor Day around "what it means to be American" reveals American perspectives in 2024. At the core of these discussions are deeply held beliefs about identity, values, and the role of government in shaping the American experience.

American Identity and Constitutional Principles

Conversation about American identity emphasize the importance of upholding the Constitution as the foundation of what it means to be American. Much of the discourse focuses the idea that the United States is a "constitutional republic" rather than a pure democracy, reflecting deep concerns about preserving traditional governance structures.

Sentiment is particularly strong in discussions on civil liberties, with free speech and the right to bear arms viewed as core components of American identity. The prevailing narrative reveals a widespread belief that constitutional rights are under threat. Voters call for a return to foundational principles and a defense against perceived government overreach.

• 30% of discussions about American identity focus on the preservation of constitutional principles.
• The emphasis on civil liberties, particularly the First and Second Amendments, underscores voters are committed to protecting what they see as essential to American freedom.

The American Dream

The concept of the American Dream remains central in national discourse, though it is increasingly impacted by disillusionment. People express concerns that the American Dream—once synonymous with the opportunity for prosperity through hard work—is now out of reach. This is a particular lament for younger generations.

Economic challenges such as rising housing costs and inflation are frequently cited as barriers eroding chances at the American dream. There is a strong sense of nostalgia for a time when the American Dream felt more attainable. This, coupled with frustration over current economic policies, are seen as exacerbating inequality.

• 25% of the overall discussion touches on the American Dream
• Conversation is dominated by a sense of loss and frustration, reflecting widespread concerns that upward mobility and economic stability is fading.
• Sentiment is particularly resonant among those who feel left behind by the current economic environment.

Nationalism and American Exceptionalism

Nationalism and the idea of American exceptionalism are also prominent themes. Voters want policies that prioritize American citizens over non-citizens. This includes a strong focus on securing borders and protecting American jobs.

Americans believe the United States should maintain a distinct national identity and stay aligned with traditional values. Sentiment is often one of protectionism, with a desire to safeguard the nation's interests in the face of perceived external threats.

• 20% discuss nationalism and American exceptionalism.
• The emphasis on protecting American jobs and securing borders is prominent.
• Voters express a desire to maintain the country's sovereignty and prioritize the well-being of U.S. citizens.

Cultural and Social Values

Discourse around cultural and social values contains tension between traditional and progressive ideologies. Some Americans advocate for a return to what they see as foundational American values, such as meritocracy and personal responsibility. This coincides with criticism of contemporary social movements, which some believe challenge the core identity of the nation.

Issues like gender identity, DEI (diversity, equity and inclusion), education, and social justice are particularly contentious. Traditionalists view these as threats to the cultural fabric of America, while more progressive voters advocate for “evolving” American values.

• 15% discuss cultural and social values as a significant but secondary concern to American identity.
• The polarization around social issues reflects broader societal divides, with strong opinions on both sides.

Patriotism and Civic Engagement

Patriotism is another theme, though it is less dominant compared to others. Many express a deep love for the country and a commitment to defending its values. There is a widespread call for civic engagement, particularly in the form of voting and political activism. Advocates view this as a means to protect and uphold the nation's ideals.

Sentiment is often tied to fears of authoritarianism and the erosion of civil liberties, with many expressing a sense of duty to resist perceived government overreach.

• 5% of the discussion is on patriotism and civic engagement.
• The emphasis on civic duty and protecting American values shows a desire to maintain the integrity of the nation's democratic processes.

Polarization and Divided Sentiments

Americans continue to be polarized on issues of national identity and ideology. This contributes to starkly contrasting views on what it means to be American.

On one side, there is a strong desire to preserve traditional values and resist changes that could erode the nation's historical identity. On the other, are assertions of the need for adaptation and progress. This tension between those who fear losing core American principles and those advocating for progressive change is fraught.

• 5% of the discussion focuses on ideological polarization.
• The significant divides within American society reflect broader tensions and conflicts over the country's future direction.
• Despite the lower discussion volume, this theme is a pervasive undercurrent in many seemingly unrelated conversations.

Utility bills are rising, and the cost of energy is hitting Americans where it hurts. Discussions among voters show an emotional electorate, frustrated, dissatisfied, and calling for accountability.

Broader concerns with economic policies, political integrity, and the future of energy production in the United States feed into feelings of despair. As American families watch their utility bills climb, the intensity of public debate increases. Voters share their personal experiences and concerns about the broader implications of these rising costs.

External Factors Influencing Rising Energy Prices

Energy prices in the U.S. have been increasing beyond the rate of inflation largely due to:

• The impact of the Ukraine war
• Ongoing supply chain issues

The war in Ukraine has significantly disrupted global energy markets. The U.S. has ramped up its energy exports, particularly liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Europe, as European countries seek alternatives to Russian energy.

This increase in demand from Europe has put upward pressure on U.S. energy prices. As more of the domestic supply is diverted to exports, there is energy available for the U.S. market. Additionally, sanctions on Russian energy have reduced the global supply of oil and natural gas, contributing to higher prices globally, including in the U.S.

The war in Ukraine has also exacerbated residual supply chain issues continuing from COVID lockdowns. These supply chain disruptions have impacted various sectors, including energy, leading to inefficiencies and higher costs. For instance, labor shortages and logistical challenges impact energy transportation, further driving up prices.

Reduced supply from Russia and these ongoing logistical issues are creating a perfect storm for rising energy costs. These factors, combined with inflationary pressures, have led to the current situation where energy prices are rising faster than the general rate of inflation, straining consumers and businesses in the U.S.

Americans Feel Squeezed

MIG Reports analysis shows Americans are overwhelmingly negative when they discuss the cost of energy. Conversations often tie this issue to larger economic struggles, about which voters are also extremely negative.

• 70% of voter discussions around energy production express dissatisfaction.
• 75% are negative when discussing economic issues related to utility bills.

These numbers highlight a widespread frustration with the current state of energy policy and its economic impact on everyday citizens. The sentiment is personal and palpable—60-65% of discussions use first-person language. This suggests energy and economic issues are not abstract concerns but directly impacting Americans’ daily lives.

People use third-person language to criticize political figures and policies. This suggests a collective frustration directed at external actors, who Americans blame for the worsening energy market.

Economic Burden and Political Disillusionment

Voters talk about their economic burdens and growing political disillusionment. The rising cost of utility bills is often cited as evidence of both. People feel financial strain, particularly middle-class and small business owners.

There is a pervasive belief that political figures are too closely aligned with corporate interests in the energy sector. Terms like "oil and gas barons" and references to political donations from energy companies highlight a narrative of corruption and collusion, further fueling public distrust.

Americans also talk about the environmental implications of current energy production methods. Discussions about "clean energy" and "fracking" reveal a public divided on how to balance economic needs with environmental sustainability.

Some advocate for a transition to more sustainable energy sources, emphasizing the importance of not "destroying the planet." Others express skepticism about the feasibility and cost of such a transition, advocating for utilizing existing sources of fuel to bring prices down.

Utility Bills Surge Anti-Establishment Sentiment

Americans are growing extremely dissatisfaction with the political and economic status quo. People are concerned about the rising costs of utility bills but also about a lack of political accountability and insufficient energy policies. Painfully high energy costs are just one thistle in a bouquet or thorny economic conditions injuring Americans.

People want change, both in how energy is produced and managed and in the political landscape that governs policy. There is a clear desire for leadership who will prioritize the welfare of citizens over corporate interests. Voters want politicians who will take meaningful action to address the financial and environmental challenges they face.

External factors such as the Ukraine war and supply chain disruptions simply add to the frustrations Americans already feel about the economy. These issues deepen a desire for leadership who can improve the domestic economy and broader global dynamics impacting the U.S.

The recent surge in criminal activities by the Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua in Aurora, Colorado has ignited a wave of public outrage. People express concern over unchecked illegal immigration, crime, and governance.

A "gang takeover" of apartment complexes in Aurora is at the center of discussion, causing local and national concern. There are reports of armed gang members controlling properties, engaging in criminal activities, and causing a surge in violence. Law enforcement has been forced to form special task forces to address the issue.

UPDATE: The city and Aurora Police Department, as previously stated, established a special task force in collaboration with other local, state and federal partners to specifically address concerns about Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua (TdA) and other criminal activity affecting… pic.twitter.com/ytAhIcBxy0

— Aurora Police Dept (@AuroraPD) August 28, 2024

Migrant gang criminal activities include intimidation, drug dealing, and potentially sex trafficking. The increase of this organized crime is sparking debate about immigration policies, local law enforcement's response, and the pressing issue of community safety.

As migrant gangs establish footholds in suburban American communities, residents feel fear, frustration, and political disillusionment. MIG Reports analysis shows rampant fear about safety, the border crisis, and government complicity.

Immigration

Concerns over illegal immigration and border security weigh Americans down. Many blame Biden-Harris policies for the rise of gangs like Tren de Aragua. The conversation frequently links the gang's presence in Aurora to what residents perceive as an open border, leading to a deterioration in community safety.

Sentiment is negative, with approximately 75% of the discussion expressing fear and frustration. The public narrative suggests the influx of illegal immigrants, facilitated by "open border" policies, is a direct threat to local safety and stability.

Crime

Gang activities in Aurora contribute strongly to widespread fear and concern over migrant crime overall. Americans highlight the gang's involvement in violent criminal activities, including human and drug trafficking, which has led to a surge in local crime rates.

Residents are angry and frustrated at what they see as a failure of law enforcement and local governance. Sentiment in conversations is overwhelmingly negative, with most of the discourse focused on stronger law enforcement and more effective community protections against gang violence.

NGOs

The current national political climate also shapes perceptions of local communities toward Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs). The negative sentiment toward NGOs often stems from broader ideological conflicts, particularly the belief that their practices align with liberal or progressive agendas. Critics argue NGO actions exacerbate illegal immigration, allowing violent offenders into their communities.

NGOs are perceived as extensions of the Biden-Harris administration, driving current immigration policies. Voters view them as tools used to implement and sustain open border policies.

Criticism of NGOs is not isolated to local conversations but widespread nationally, fomenting dissatisfaction with political leadership. Disapproval is heightened among those who feel NGOs prioritize ideological goals over community safety and social order.

This is a Major Problem

The overarching narrative on migrant crime and gang activity is one of fear and frustration. Residents in communities like Aurora express deep concerns about the threats posed by gangs like Tren de Aragua.

Border issues, which many believe are limited to border states, are becoming a national problem. Americans perceive government failure is causing the crisis to spread across all communities.

Voters distrust political leadership and believe Harris’s current and proposed immigration and law enforcement policies will be inadequate. People want more robust border security, stricter immigration enforcement, and decisive action from local and national leaders to ensure community safety.

Recent reports say Allstate Insurance plans to significantly increase rates in California, sparking intense public discourse. With rate hikes of 34%—and for some policy holders, up to 650%—residents are rightfully worried about affordability, corporate accountability, and government regulation.

Conversations show Californians feel frustration and anger, coupled with demands for transparency and reform. MIG Reports analysis reveals key themes and sentiments emerging from voter discussions, offering a nuanced understanding of how Californians are reacting to these developments.

BREAKING: Allstate is set to increase home insurance rates in California by an average of 34.1%, per Bloomberg

— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) August 29, 2024

Overview of Public Sentiment

The response to Allstate's rate hikes is overwhelmingly negative, with many Californians expressing disbelief or anger. The reaction is not just about the immediate financial impact, but broader anxieties about economic security. Many also question the trustworthiness of both corporate and regulatory entities.

Frustration with Affordability

• Economic Strain: Californians lament unaffordable insurance, which will only worsen with drastic rate increases. Families and individuals already struggle with rising living costs and view the hikes as an unbearable additional burden. Concern is acute for middle-class households who feel squeezed by inflation.
• Impact on Vulnerable Populations: Discussions often highlight the disproportionate impact on low- to middle-income families. People fear this group may not be able to maintain the necessary insurance coverage. There is fear additional rate hikes will exacerbate economic inequalities.

Distrust in Corporate and Government Entities

• Perception of Corporate Greed: Many believe Allstate and other large companies prioritize profit over the welfare of their customers. They see rate hikes as an example of corporate exploitation, particularly in a time of economic uncertainty.
• Demand for Accountability: There is also a desire for greater accountability from both the insurance industry and government regulators. Many Californians express disappointment in the government's failure to protect consumers. The sentiment is one of betrayal as blue state residents feel vulnerable to the whims of corporate decisions.

Calls for Regulatory Reform

• Need for Government Intervention: Some emphasize the necessity for more robust government intervention to curb what they view as excessive and unjustified insurance rate increases. People mention legislative reforms which could better regulate the insurance industry and prevent similar situations in the future.
• Transparency and Consumer Protection: Californians also demand transparency in how insurance rates are determined. They want clearer explanations and justification from Allstate for rate changes, and fair practices across the insurance market.

Ideological Divides

Discussions about Allstate's rate hikes also reveal distinct ideological divides concerning the role of government, corporate ethics, and economic systems.

Debate over Government Regulation

• Support for Regulation: Some people advocate for stronger regulatory oversight, believing companies like Allstate will continue to exploit consumers. These voices often criticize the current regulatory framework as too lenient.
• Libertarian Views: Others argue against overregulation, fearing it would stifle competition and innovation in the insurance industry. This group often aligns with more libertarian views, suggesting insurance rate hikes are the result of other market forces like more accidents, uninsured drivers, and expensive cars. They downplay corporate greed, saying government interference will only worsen the situation.

Critique of Economic Systems

• Disillusionment with Capitalism: There is a broader disillusionment with capitalism, particularly in how it relates to corporate behavior. This group views Allstate’s rate hikes as symptomatic of economic inequality, where the wealthy benefit at the expense of the average consumer.
• Economic Justice and Corporate Ethics: People call for a reevaluation of corporate ethics, arguing companies should be held to higher standards of responsibility. This reflects a growing concern about economic justice and the need for systemic changes. These advocates say a widening gap between corporate profits and consumer welfare is unsustainable.

When Americans are aware of migrant crimes against children, particularly those involving trafficking and abuse, they are furious. Voter conversations show widespread concern and anger over child safety.

People’s reactions are shaped by their awareness of these crimes and their perceptions of the underlying problems. This analysis explores prevailing sentiments, focusing on how awareness impacts public emotions and beliefs about the impact of unchecked immigration on American children.

Awareness and Emotional Impact

People are increasingly aware of the crimes committed by migrants, especially those involving children. This awareness triggers intense emotional responses, predominantly fear and outrage. Approximately 75-85% express negative sentiments, with voters expressing alarm over child trafficking and abuse linked to illegal immigration.

Americans view these crimes as an imminent threat to the safety their children, heightening a sense of urgency and desperation. Fears are compounded by frequent mentions of specific incidents involving children, which serve to personalize and amplify emotional impact.

The public’s awareness of these issues does not merely evoke concern but generates discussion of societal vulnerability and government failure. When the media reports crimes against children, Americans express outrage, often blaming Biden-Harris policies as facilitating increased dangers.

BREAKING: Illegal aliens tried to hijack 2 buses full of kids in San Diego

Border Czar Harris owns this mess pic.twitter.com/KovIECZgLc

— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) August 29, 2024

Perceived Problems and Their Origins

Voters discussing these issues regularly insist the root of the problem is the Biden-Harris border. People view these policies as too lenient, allowing criminals to exploit vulnerable populations, particularly children.

MIG Reports analysis shows 70-80% of discussions emphasize the belief that open borders and ineffective enforcement contribute directly to the rise in migrant crime. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris receive the blame as voters assert their immigration policy is a major failure.

National sentiment is that leaders have both failed to protect citizens and created a situation where migrants can commit these crimes with impunity. There are widespread calls for stricter immigration controls and harsher penalties crimes—especially against children.

There is also a growing distrust of government institutions, with around 60% suggesting government agencies and nonprofits are either complicit in or negligent toward the border crisis.

Role of NGOs at the Border

Many Americans accuse Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) of facilitating illegal immigration. They regularly implicate these organizations in the crimes committed by migrants, particularly those involving children.

The means sentiment is predominantly negative as people express outrage and betrayal, believing NGOs enable human trafficking and other criminal activities. This distrust is further exacerbated by the perception that NGOs prioritize the welfare of migrants over the safety of citizens. Many people call for stricter regulation and oversight of these organizations.

Some of the reasons Americans give for blaming NGOs include:

• Operational Practices: Some say NGOs providing aid like shelter and legal advice to migrants facilitate illegal immigration by making the journey more viable.
• Collaboration with Smugglers: There's suspicion that some NGOs inadvertently or directly aid smugglers with logistical support or information.
• Political and Ideological Motives: Some view NGOs, especially those with international affiliations, as pushing for U.S. open borders or demographic change.
• Financial Incentives: Critics say NGOs, often funded by governments or international bodies, encourage migration because their financial benefits are tied to the scale of the crisis they manage.
• Misuse of Resources: People say NGOs divert resources meant for legal residents to illegal migrants.
• Lack of Accountability: Lack of oversight at the U.S. border causes accusations of activities beyond humanitarian aid, potentially including trafficking.

Anger at Cartels

Voters also cite cartels as a root cause of violence and trafficking across the U.S. border. Public sentiment strongly links the activities of Mexican cartels to the broader issue of border security and safety for American communities.

Discussion reflects a widespread belief that lax border policies allow cartels to thrive, facilitating and even encouraging drug trafficking and child trafficking. This fuels public demand for more aggressive measures to combat cartel influence.

Additional Themes

Beyond the complicity of government and NGOs with cartels, Americans also discuss broader societal issues like the erosion of American cultural and moral values through immigration.

Citizens express concern that the influx of migrants, coupled with the government's inaction, is leading to a decline in societal standards. Many argue that migrants who increasingly do not assimilate, deepen national cultural fractures and erode Americans values.

MIG Reports analysis of reactions to Kamala Harris's first media interview shows skepticism, criticism, and some support. There is division among voters between those with concerns about Harris's statements and policy shifts and her supporters. Many also note the conspicuous perception of CNN and Dana Bash preparing the interview to protect Harris from scrutiny.

People criticize the fact that the pre-taped interview was composed of soft-ball questions and was truncated to less than 20 minutes. They also question whether Harris could have fielded interview questions without her running mate, Tim Walz.

Trump’s last four interviews:

-57 minutes (Dr. Phil)
-57 minutes (Theo Von)
-2 hours and 3 minutes (Elon Musk)
-1 hour and 11 minutes (Shawn Ryan)

Kamala’s first interview in 40 days as the Democrat nominee:

18 minutes, edited, no transcript, and with a chaperone.

— Bad Hombre (@joma_gc) August 29, 2024

MIG Reports data shows:

• 65% of those discussing the interview express doubts about Harris’s reliability and consistency on policy.
• 58% voice frustration about her economic policies and lack of support for military families.
• 27% convey cautious optimism about her vision for the middle class.
• 70% call for accountability and transparency regarding her positions on key issues.

Flip-Flopper in Chief

Many Americans complain about Harris’s inconsistency or noncommittal posture on critical policy positions. This is a particular frustration regarding border security and immigration.

Voters express disbelief over her recent flip-flop on a border wall, calling it hypocritical given her historical stance. Americans feel betrayed, suggesting Harris's frequent shifts reveal her political opportunism, where her policies follow public sentiment rather than stand on principle.

Some also criticize her as a “copycat” saying she is adopting Trump’s populist policies like “no tax on tips” and a border wall because her own views are unpopular. People use words like "flip-flopper," "untrustworthy," and "gaslighting" to describe Harris. And 65% express doubts about her reliability on policy.

It’s the Border and Immigration, Stupid

MIG Reports analysis of election and swing state discussions confirm immigration and border issues are a strong source of public dissatisfaction toward Harris.

• In swing states, 75% of discussions on border security and 70% on immigration is negative as people voice frustration with Harris’s role as "Border Czar."
• In election discussions, 60% criticize her border security stance, and 82% disapprove of her immigration policies, focusing on leadership and ideological concerns.
• Overall, negative sentiment averages between 71-73%, highlighting significant challenges for Harris on these issues.

Other Issues

Military

Voters also disapprove of Harris's response to economic issues and the military. They criticize her, mentioning military support amidst economic hardship. Americans feel she neglects U.S. troops while simultaneously advocating for financial support for overseas actions.

There is frustration over promises of economic assistance. People say Harris’s platitudes come off as inadequate or superficial. Sentiments trend negative, with 58% expressing anger and disappointment towards Harris on economic matters and support for military families.

Middle Class

There is some cautious optimism regarding Harris’s vision for the middle class and supporting American aspirations. Some express appreciation for her hopeful messages in response to questions about her first actions as president.

This is a smaller group, however, with only 27% mentioning the interview positively. Supporters resonate with themes of hope and a desire for a new direction, even amid concerns regarding her current track record and decision-making

Accountability

An overall theme of skepticism about accountability and transparency overshadows much of the discussion. Voters raise pointed questions about her policy decisions and the implications of her previous statements.

Many view her as inauthentic and disengaged from real Americans. This consistent call for transparency highlights an overarching mistrust, as 70% demand clearer communication regarding her positions on critical issues.

Former Democratic congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard recently endorsed Donald Trump for president, sparking significant discussion among voters. This came as a surprise to many but built on the notable shift in mood days after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. also endorsed Trump.

Gabbard, a former congresswoman from Hawaii and 2020 presidential Democratic candidate, triggered a wave of reactions. In her speech, she touched on her shift away from the Democratic Party. She emphasized Trump's approach to foreign policy, particularly his stance on avoiding new wars, contrasting it with Biden-Harris tendencies towards conflict.

She also associated Trump with values of prosperity and freedom, suggesting his policies foster economic growth and protect individual liberties. She criticized Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party, echoing Kennedy’s statement that the Democratic Party has lost its way, moving toward tyranny and authoritarianism.

I was a Democrat for over 20 years. Today, I endorsed Donald Trump for President. WATCH to hear why: pic.twitter.com/lwA8FYFx8h

— Tulsi Gabbard 🌺 (@TulsiGabbard) August 26, 2024

The endorsement was also a call to action for all Americans, regardless of party affiliation, to support Trump if they value peace, prosperity, and freedom. This, and her subsequent appointment to Trump's transition team, signifies a strategic move to unite diverse political factions against the Democratic Party's interventionist policies and economic tyranny.

MIG Reports analysis of voter segment reactions shows:

• 59% of MAGA voters approve of Gabbard’s endorsement
• 27% of establishment Republicans are concerned or skeptical
• 55% of progressive Democrats feel negatively
• 35% of moderate Democrats are confused or concerned

Independents are split:

• 38% positive or supportive
• 40% negative or opposed
• 20% ambivalent or curious

Independents are Divided

The Independent voter group presents the most varied responses to Gabbard’s endorsement. With 37.5% of Independents showing support and 40% expressing opposition, this group is notably split. Still another group is ambivalent, indicating a blend of curiosity and skepticism.

For Independents, Gabbard’s endorsement may symbolize an opportunity to break free from strict party loyalties. However, it also raises questions about the implications of a cross-party alliance. Recent criticisms toward Democrats from figures like Kennedy and Gabbard may speak to this group who acknowledge the major parties’ weaknesses.

Moderate Democrats are Cautious

While most moderate Democrats still disapprove of a Trump coalition, some show a nuanced reaction. With 35% expressing confusion or concern, this group appears to be grappling with the implications of Gabbard’s shift. Unlike their progressive counterparts, moderate Democrats are more focused on the potential electoral impact.

This group may be more sensitive to recent party defections like RFK Jr., Senator Joe Manchin, and Gabbard herself. Their reactions reflect the internal struggle within the Democratic Party as it seeks to hold onto centrist figures while facing increasingly radical factions within.

MAGA Gives a Warm Welcome

Among MAGA supporters, Gabbard’s endorsement is met with enthusiasm. This group views her shift as a reinforcement of Trump’s broader appeal and a rejection of the traditional political establishment.

MIG Reports data shows around 59% of MAGA discussions express positive sentiment toward Gabbard’s endorsement. For these voters, Gabbard’s willingness to reach across the aisle is a unifying force that strengthens all "America First" voters who oppose establishment politics.

Pushing back against radical leftism resonates strongly with many groups of disaffected Republicans, Democrats, and Independents. MAGA voters view the Trump tent as large enough to accommodate any reasonable American who wants to avoid radical leftism. Broadening the base with those who share disdain for the establishment is seen as a win.

Establishment GOP is Skeptical

Establishment Republicans are reacting with more caution. For this faction, Gabbard’s endorsement raises concerns about the potential shift away from party lines and conservative values. Around 27% of the discussion among establishment Republicans reflect skepticism or concern regarding this new alliance.

These voters worry aligning with a former Democrat might alienate neocons and further fracture the party. Their cautious stance highlights the ongoing tension within the GOP as it grapples with the balance between populist momentum and maintaining the traditional ideological status quo.

Progressives Strongly Disapprove

Progressive Democrats are reacting with strong disapproval. Many view her decision as a betrayal of core Democratic values, particularly given their view of Trump’s policies as divisive. On the left, 55% of the discussion expresses negative sentiments toward Gabbard.

This negativity underscores the deep divide within American politics and even among Democrats. Cross-party endorsements are often seen as capitulations rather than strategic moves. For progressives, Gabbard’s alignment with Trump symbolizes a dangerous shift toward far-right extremism, further polarizing the country.

Trump’s New Unity Coalition

The new coalition forming around Trump with support from politicians like Gabbard and RFK Jr. could have significant ramifications. For MAGA supporters, this alliance promises to energize the base and attract disaffected voters.

However, the skepticism among establishment Republicans and the outright hostility from progressive Democrats indicate this coalition may also aggravate deep partisans and the political establishment.

Some frame the political chasm in 2024 not as between parties, but between the American people and the political ruling class. There are also some expressing the emerging division as pro-America and middle-class versus pro-war and elite power.

Independents, particularly in swing states, will be crucial in determining the outcome of the election. Their divided response suggests this new alliance could appeal to anti-establishment voters or alienate those wary of extreme political shifts. Ultimately, the success of this coalition will depend on its ability to resonate with key voter groups.

Campaign promises are a central element of political discourse, shaping voter perceptions and influencing electoral outcomes. However, the effectiveness and authenticity of these promises often come under scrutiny. MIG Reports analysis explores how voters perceive and react to campaign promises, particularly in the context of housing, economic issues, and ideological alignment.

Voter discussions show a consistent theme of skepticism towards political promises, highlighting how impact on voter behavior is often temporary and contingent on immediate concerns.

The analysis suggests that much of the motivation to vote stems from a combination of:

• Supporting candidates who align with voter group identity
• Opposing candidates or policies voters perceive as harmful

2024 Presidential Election Discussions

Housing

Kamala Harris’s housing policy proposals are gaining significant skepticism from Americans. Voters debate whether financial assistance programs, such as the $25,000 down-payment aid for first-time homebuyers, will genuinely help or inadvertently worsen the housing market.

The recurring use of phrases like "empty promises" and "virtue signaling" underscores a broader disillusionment with political rhetoric. Voters seem to believe these promises are not only ineffective but would exacerbate the very problems they aim to solve.

Sentiment aligns with the notion that, while Harris's promises might temporarily attract support, they do not lead to long-term loyalty or trust.

Economic Issues

Discussion of economic issues further amplifies skepticism toward Harris. Voters critically examine her promised tax policies, expressing a profound sense of betrayal as she is the current VP. Voters often equate her promises with economic instability, particularly highlighting concerns about rising inflation and increased tax burdens on the middle class.

The language used in these discussions reflects a personal stake in the economic debate, with voters frequently sharing their struggles and fears. This personal connection to the issue reinforces the idea that campaign promises, though initially persuasive, fail to sustain voter alignment.

Ideologies

Proposed ideological alignment by candidates is often temporary, with voters remaining vigilant against perceived deviations from their values. The analysis shows that campaign promises, while initially persuasive, fail to create long-lasting loyalty. This is especially true when voters perceive a disconnect between the promises and the candidates’ actions.

Swing States Discussions

Housing

Discussions in swing states reveal widespread distrust in housing-related campaign promises. Voters are particularly concerned that initiatives like Harris’s down-payment assistance will drive up housing prices rather than make homeownership more accessible.

Skepticism is not just about the specific policy but also reflects a broader distrust in governmental intervention. Voters express anxiety about economic stability, fearing promises might do more harm than good. Sentiment shows a belief that promises are unlikely to deliver the intended results.

Economic Issues

Economic discussions in swing states show a deep engagement with the promises made by political candidates, especially concerning inflation and taxation. Voters express strong opinions about the current economic climate, often attributing rising costs and financial instability to the Biden-Harris administration.

The language in these discussions indicates a significant level of skepticism towards the promises of economic relief. Voters frequently question the sincerity and feasibility of campaign promises, particularly those involving tax increases.

What Does It All Mean?

As trust erodes due to unfulfilled promises, voters show growing disillusionment, particularly regarding housing and economic issues. This frustration leads many to view campaign rhetoric as more performative than genuine. While much of the discussion focuses on Kamala Harris, this concept seems to apply across politicians and political parties.

Despite this, voters seem acutely aware of their role in the political "game," understanding their vote is less about trusting promises and more about strategic decision-making. They approach elections pragmatically, recognizing the limitations of campaign rhetoric but still seeing participation as crucial for influencing outcomes. Many express their intention of voting to prevent what they perceive as worse alternatives.