The Democratic Party’s economic messaging during the Biden administration was that “everything is okay” and “it’s not as bad as you think.” Since the election, rhetoric has begun to shift in tone and focus. With Trump back in office, Democrats are remembering the importance of acknowledging the voters’ plight in a down economy.

Voter Sentiment 

MIG Reports data from recent online discussion shows the inverse patterns of public perception among Democrats and Republicans.

Jobs

• 70% of Democratic-leaning voters are positive about jobs under Biden.
• 68% of Republicans are critical, citing illegal immigrating competition government job growth.

Economy

• 30% of Democrats praise Biden’s economy, citing healthcare and education funding.
• 20% voice dissatisfaction with inflation and policy mismanagement.
• 65% of Republicans are critical of Biden’s economy, including inflation and wage stagnation.

Trade

• 70% of Democratic voters worry about Trump’s tariff plans leading to trade wars.
• 65% of Republican voters support aggressive trade policies to correct imbalances.

Post-Election Rhetoric

Fiscal Responsibility

Since November, Democratic messaging has shifted toward acknowledging fiscal concerns, including national debt, which consumes nearly 30% of government revenue. Voter frustration with inefficient spending, particularly on foreign aid and disaster management, has driven calls for greater accountability. Comparatively, pre-election rhetoric often downplayed fiscal mismanagement, focusing instead on equity-driven narratives.

“America Last” Social Safety Nets

Democrats consistently champion social safety nets like unemployment benefits and healthcare programs. Advocating for unemployment benefits for illegal immigrants draws sharp criticism from Republicans, independents, and some disenchanted Democrats.

Post-election, their rhetoric is focusing on defending these programs against Republican critiques. However, voter sentiment reveals growing dissatisfaction with how Biden has implemented and prioritized these policies.

Equity-Focused Policies

The Democratic push for taxing the wealthy and funding climate initiatives continues, but voter dissatisfaction with delayed tangible benefits is growing. Progressive rhetoric on equity contrasts sharply with middle-class frustrations over rising living costs and inflation.

Strategic Shifts in Messaging

Inflation and Cost-of-Living

Inflation remains a pivotal voter issue. With Biden leaving office and Trump entering, Democrats are starting to adopt a more realist stance. They are more willing to acknowledge the reality of inflation under Trump 2.0. This contrasts with pre-election narratives, where Democrats minimized inflationary concerns.

Trade and Global Economics

Democratic fear about tariffs and trade wars brings rhetoric around potential consumer price increases. Pre-election messaging often emphasized balanced trade, even as Biden continued many of the trade policies from Trump 1.0. However, sentiment shows Republicans are successfully framing tariffs as necessary for economic nationalism.

Jobs and Employment

Job creation under Biden is a central Democratic talking point as they tout more than 250,000 nonfarm payroll increases in December 2024 and a 4.1% unemployment rate. However, Republican critiques linking job market struggles to policies benefiting illegal workers and job growth from government jobs is causing a pivot to acknowledging job displacement.

Contrasts with Republican Messaging

Republicans maintain focus on fiscal conservatism and economic nationalism. They emphasize inflation control, debt reduction, and middle-class tax relief. This contrasts with progressive idealism and perceptions of rampant spending under Biden.

Recommendations

• Capitalize on Inflation Concerns: Highlight Democratic unwillingness to address inflation and jobs under Biden—connect this to middle-class hardships.
• Emphasize Fiscal Conservatism: Contrast Democratic spending inefficiencies with Republican calls for debt reduction and the goals of DOGE.
• Push for Economic Nationalism: Frame aggressive trade policies as a defense of American jobs and sovereignty.

Four years after the January 6 Capitol event, online discussion about J6 prisoners continues to ignite debate. Social media reveals public opinion as the nation transitions from the Biden administration to Trump 2.0.

Trump needs to pardon all J6 prisoners on day one.

— SOVEREIGN BRAH 🇺🇸🏛️⚡️ (@sovereignbrah) January 7, 2025

Perceptions of Justice

Sentiment Analysis

• 40% of comments support J6 prisoners
• 35% are critical toward J6 prisoners
• 25% remain neutral or analytical of the situation

Those who support January 6 defendants frame them as patriots and victims of a biased justice system, often labeling them as “political prisoners” or “martyrs.” They frequently compare J6 prisoners to activists in other movements, such as Black Lives Matter (BLM) and pro-Palestinian demonstrations. They say disparate legal consequences for leftist activists reveal a double standard in the justice system.

Critics of January 6 emphasize accountability, portraying the prisoners as criminals who sought to undermine democracy. They emphasize the importance of upholding the rule of law to protect democratic institutions, often labeling J6 participants as “seditionists” and “insurrectionists.” Online discussions among critics of J6 defendants focus their rhetoric on “democracy” and “protecting institutions,” withholding any defense of leftist protesters committing similar acts.

🧵 Barbara F. Walter is the author of HOW CIVIL WARS START. She is a Professor at UC - San Diego and has consulted for the World Bank, DOD, State Dept, the UN, and the J6 Committee 👈. She is also a permanent member of the CFR. pic.twitter.com/CuNo0pwfPa

— Blue Canaries (Publius) (@CanariesBlue) October 11, 2024

Neutral or analytical commentators tend to examine systemic implications, questioning whether legal proceedings are being handled equitably and what these events mean for future governance and protests.

Victimhood and Heroism

Sentiment Analysis

• 40% of discussion includes heroism narratives
• 30% includes victimhood narratives

Supporters of J6 prisoners often valorize their actions, likening them to historical resistance movements against tyranny. Terms like “martyrs” and “freedom fighters” are common, reflecting a belief that they stood against government overreach.

Critics frame the prisoners as individuals who engaged in unlawful activities for political gain. They say attempts to lionize their actions erode respect for democratic processes and diminish the gravity of their offenses.

Distrust in Institutions

A pervasive theme across discussions is skepticism about institutional integrity. Many say the prosecutions of J6 participants are politically motivated, exposing a retribution against conservatives rather than seeking justice. Many include mainstream media and the judiciary in their suspicion, with accusations that narratives are manipulated to delegitimize Trump’s supporters.

This sentiment aligns strongly with broader conservative critiques of establishment institutions, reinforcing perceptions that the system is fundamentally skewed against their values.

Reminder that J6 was used an excuse to deny electors their chance to contest a blatantly fraudulent 2020 election.

J6 was also used to justify censoring/banning Trump, and many of his supporters.

Then they tried to put Trump in jail over J6 and tried to prevent him from running… pic.twitter.com/iChdlR6Wg0

— Clandestine (@WarClandestine) December 12, 2024

Leadership Expectations

Sentiment Analysis

• 51% of those discussing January 6 support pardons.

As Trump reenters office, expectations from voters are divided. Trump voters overwhelmingly anticipate that pardoning J6 prisoners will be one of his early acts. They see this as restoring justice and a symbolic rejection of Biden-era policies.

Critics fear pardons could embolden future disruptive movements, undermining respect for the rule of law. They also caution against the precedent of politicized pardons, warning it could exacerbate divisions and destabilize governance.

Connected Issues

Discussions about J6 prisoners often intersect with other major political themes, including immigration, taxation, and governance. Voters draw connections between the perceived treatment of J6 participants and broader dissatisfaction with governmental effectiveness. For instance, some use J6 discussions as a lens to critique federal policies on unrelated issues, further emphasizing distrust in leadership.

Regional and Temporal Variations

Sentiment around J6 prisoners varies by region, reflecting local political dynamics. Conservative regions are more likely to support pardons for defendants and advocate for releasing prisoners. Liberal areas emphasize accountability and justice. The discourse ebbs and flows with Trump’s political activity, highlighting his influence on public sentiment.

Predictive Analysis

Discussions about January 6 will likely be closely tied to Trump’s political trajectory. If Trump prioritizes pardoning J6 participants, it will galvanize his base, solidifying their support. However, this action is likely to deepen divides, prompting backlash from critics who view such moves as undermining justice.

The J6 discourse may also serve as a rallying point for broader conservative activism, reinforcing skepticism toward institutional power. Continued focus on these events may energize opposition movements, emphasizing accountability and democratic integrity. Ultimately, the trajectory of this conversation will depend on how effectively political leaders navigate these divides and address underlying concerns about fairness, governance, and unity.

Donald Trump’s assertive foreign policy rhetoric is reigniting debates among his MAGA supporters about America’s role on the global stage. For many, his statements about Canada, Greenland, and the Panama Canal embody his signature boldness. There are questions, however, about balancing a more isolationist “America First” ethos with strengthening the country.

Reporter: Can you assure the world that as you try to get control of Greenland and the Panama Canal, that you won't use military or economic coercion?

Trump: "No." pic.twitter.com/JlvCxi9jtQ

— Greg Price (@greg_price11) January 7, 2025

MAGA Base Reactions

Canada

• Trade and Defense Concerns: Trump’s critiques of Canada’s trade agreements and NORAD contributions resonate with supporters who believe allies should do more to align with U.S. interests.
• Sentiment Data: Approximately 65% of MAGA supporters express frustration that Canada benefits disproportionately from its relationship with the U.S., while 35% caution against alienating a key ally.
• Narrative Focus: Comments frequently juxtapose "tough love" with concerns that antagonizing Canada could harm economic ties critical to domestic industries.

Panama Canal

• Historical Significance: The idea of reclaiming influence over the Panama Canal evokes nostalgia for America’s once-unrivaled global dominance.
• Support vs. Skepticism: While many appreciate the strategic rationale, others fear this rhetoric risks unnecessary foreign entanglements.
  • 60% of respondents favored increased U.S. leverage in international waterways.
  • 40% expressed concerns about abandoning isolationist principles central to MAGA’s identity.
• Themes in Sentiment: Proponents argue this move symbolizes strength and pragmatism, while critics worry about dilution of the “America First” philosophy.

Greenland

• Strategic and Resource Control: Trump’s interest in Greenland appeals to supporters who see its potential for rare earth minerals and Arctic strategic positioning.
• Mixed Reactions: Supporters view this rhetoric as a metaphor for U.S. assertiveness:
  • 55% praise the boldness of the idea.
  • 45% voice skepticism about the practicality and optics of acquiring foreign territories.
• Narrative Context: This reflects a desire for American leadership without veering into imperialism, showing how MAGA grapples with expansionist aspirations versus restraint.

Would Greenland State University play in the SEC or Big10? pic.twitter.com/Jstb5wWh1a

— Harrison Krank (@HarrisonKrank) January 7, 2025

Sentiment Analysis

Republican Sentiment

• Positive reactions to Trump’s global rhetoric: 55%
• Neutral/mixed reactions: 30%
• Critical reactions: 15%

Qualitative Insights

• Supporters emphasize themes of strength, national security, and pragmatic resource acquisition.
• Concerns include the risk of overreach, abandoning “American First” isolationism, and moral implications of coercive policies.

Patterns and Anomalies

• Strength as a Core Value: MAGA supporters consistently link Trump’s rhetoric to a perception of decisive leadership.
• Democratic Critique: Many frame Biden’s foreign policy as weak, contrasting it with Trump’s proactive and bold style.
• Internal Skepticism: Some MAGA supporters, typically aligned with isolationist principles, express caution, particularly regarding Greenland and the Panama Canal.
• Imperialism Concerns: Criticism arises over how such rhetoric might tarnish America’s democratic image globally.

Ideological Tensions within MAGA

The reactions to Trump’s rhetoric illuminate a philosophical divide within his base. On one side are hawkish supporters who applaud a reassertion of U.S. influence. On the other are isolationists who prioritize domestic stability and caution against foreign entanglements. There are disagreements about how much of Trump’s rhetoric is in pursuit of advantageous negotiations rather than actual plans.

Trump’s rhetoric diverges sharply from the more cautious, multilateral approaches of past administrations. His directness and willingness to challenge norms resonate with voters disillusioned by traditional diplomacy. Yet this boldness also introduces risks, including potential voter alienation among those wary of aggressive foreign policies.

If Trump continues to push this rhetoric, he is likely to solidify support among hawkish conservatives while risking fractures within the more isolationist factions of his base. This dynamic could influence broader conservative strategy, particularly as the 2024 election cycle intensifies.